targeted inspections as an alternative to the 5% ots ... · 22nd cap/iacs conference ... •no...
TRANSCRIPT
Targeted inspections as an alternative
to the 5% OTS-controls in 2020
22nd CAP/IACS conference
Henrik Berg29 November 2016
Agenda
1. The Geo-Spatial application in DK
2. Increase in recovery cases after LPIS-updates
3. Distribution of deductions at parcel-level i 2015 in DK
4. New project on catch crops in 2017
5. Risk-based approach versus 5% integrated OTSC
6. Benefits from targeted inspections
7. Practical example with fishery vessels
/ The Danish AgriFish Agency / Targeted inspections as an alternative to the 5% OTS-controls in 20202
Geo-spatial application
/ The Danish AgriFish Agency / Targeted inspections as an alternative to the 5% OTS-controls in 20203
3
Administrative cross-check by spatial intersection of the digitised area (Art. 29, R. 809/2014)
Decisions made in DK
• No tolerances for cross-checks
• No tolerances for OTSC + GSAA
• Automated cut, areas below 0,1 ha
• On-line detection of over-laps
• Pro-rata on permanent grassland
LPIS is updated within a 3 year circle
/ The Danish AgriFish Agency / Targeted inspections as an alternative to the 5% OTS-controls in 20204
Increase in recovery cases after LPIS-updates
Claimed area 2015 deducted after LPIS-update
4
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
0 0,05 0,1 0,15 0,2 0,25 0,3
Ref
eren
s p
arce
ls
Claimed area 2015, ha/RP
80.000 reference parcels in 2015 (22%)18.000 claims in 2015 (45%)
2000 ha 1000 ha
Possible recovery cases
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
0,0
1
0,0
5
0,0
9
0,1
3
0,1
7
0,2
1
0,2
5
0,2
9
0,3
3
0,3
7
0,4
1
0,4
5
0,4
9
0,5
3
0,5
7
0,6
1
0,6
5
0,6
9
0,7
3
0,7
7
0,8
1
0,8
5
0,8
9
0,9
3
0,9
7
1,0
1
1,0
5
1,0
9
1,1
4
1,1
8
1,2
4
1,2
8
1,3
3
1,3
7
1,4
2
1,4
8
1,5
2
1,5
6
1,6
3
1,7
1,7
6
1,8
3
1,9
2
1,9
9
2,0
4
2,1
2,1
4
2,2
2
2,3
5
2,4
3
2,5
2
2,6
2,6
6
2,7
4
2,8
5
2,9
5
3,1
8
3,3
9
3,5
3,6
5
3,7
7
4,1
4
4,2
7
4,5
4,8
5
5,0
7
5,4
2
6,1
7
6,4
5
7,0
6
8,6
7
9,7
9
12,9
5
17,7
23,2
9
OTSC: Distribution of deductions at parcel-level i 2015 in DK
/ The Danish AgriFish Agency / Targeted inspections as an alternative to the 5% OTS-controls in 20205
Low risk
Deductions during OTSC, hectares (ha) per parcel
Medium risk High risk
150 parcels
760 ha
600 parcels
1,165 ha4,189 parcels
360 ha
Num
ber
of
parc
els
75% of the non-eligible area
1.6% of all inspected parcels
Available information from radar image
/ The Danish AgriFish Agency / Targeted inspections as an alternative to the 5% OTS-controls in 20206 A. R. Formaggio et al.: Pesq. agropec. bras., Brasília, v. 36, n. 5, p. 823-830, maio 2001
New project on catch crops in 2017Classification of fields and farmers into risk-groups
Activity Source of information
Date of harvest, main crop Radar image, Sentinel 1
Date of sowing, catch crop Radar image, Sentinel 1
The presents of catch crop in September NDVI index, derived from Sentinel 2
/ The Danish AgriFish Agency / Targeted inspections as an alternative to the 5% OTS-controls in 20207
Other informations Source of information
Total area with catch-crops at the holding Farmers reporting by end of August
Information about the main crop per parcel Area-Aid applications
Crop-calender for common crops Internal document
List of information needed for the classification
0
0,2
0,4
0,6
0,8
1
12 17 22 27 32 37 42
str
enght
Ploughing Sowing harvest Catch crop
Backscatter for a typical crop through
/ The Danish AgriFish Agency / Targeted inspections as an alternative to the 5% OTS-controls in 20208
Time-series of radar and NDVI image-results
May/June July August September
/ The Danish AgriFish Agency / Targeted inspections as an alternative to the 5% OTS-controls in 20209
Selection of an area for analysis – 10% of the agricultural area in DK
Work-flow:Collection of satellite images from July to mid September
September 20th: Decision for down-load of Sentinel 1 and 2 images
October 10th: Selection of 1% OTSC with the highest risk
October 20th: Last date for OTSC
/ The Danish AgriFish Agency / Targeted inspections as an alternative to the 5% OTS-controls in 202010
Data mining and Risk
assessment
Proces for selection of OTSC
GIS
Application
DATA
RADAR
results
NDVI
results
Risk
score
10%
1% OTSC
How to increase the effeciency of OTSC – without increasing the number of controls?
/ The Danish AgriFish Agency / Targeted inspections as an alternative to the 5% OTS-controls in 202011
OTSC – results
Accepted
Non-eligible <0,5 ha
Non-eligible 0,5-2 ha
Non-eligible >5 ha
Selection of farms5% OTSC 7% of the parcels
CAP 2020: Selection of parcelsTargeted inspection of parcels 0.5% of the parcels
0,3% high risk
parcels
Low
Risk
High -
Medium
Risk
Area not determined
~1500 hectares
OTSC
All
cla
imed
parc
els
Benefits from targeted inspections
Benefits: Reduced number of parcels to be visited by up to 90% Less administrative costs Informing the farmers about the risks Improved compliance Reduced error-rates
Challenges The availability of cloud-free Sentinel 2 images Data quality in general Maturity of IT-systems Knowledge to build a computerized risk-model Increased no. of re-performance check for calculating the error-rate
Needed: Major changes to the EU-Regulation
/ The Danish AgriFish Agency / Targeted inspections as an alternative to the 5% OTS-controls in 202012
Practical example with fishery vessels
/ The Danish AgriFish Agency / Targeted inspections as an alternative to the 5% OTS-controls in 202013
Operationel use of risk-scores
/ The Danish AgriFish Agency / Targeted inspections as an alternative to the 5% OTS-controls in 202014
Measuring the effect, long period
Numbers of vessels with very high risk (red) declines
The OTSC may be reduced proportionally with the reduced risk
