technology and humanity: the future - gerd leonhard · our exciting, weird, and scary future:...

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Technology and Humanity: The Future www.futuristgerd.com www.gerdtube.com www.gerdcloud.com @gleonhard

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Page 1: Technology and Humanity: The Future - Gerd Leonhard · Our Exciting, Weird, and Scary Future: Q&A With Peter Diamandis ... Most things that are disrupted (i.e. made faster, easier,

Technology and Humanity: The Future

www.futuristgerd.com www.gerdtube.com www.gerdcloud.com

@gleonhard

Page 2: Technology and Humanity: The Future - Gerd Leonhard · Our Exciting, Weird, and Scary Future: Q&A With Peter Diamandis ... Most things that are disrupted (i.e. made faster, easier,

AI: first, let’s forget most of what we’ve seen in Hollywood movies*

Page 3: Technology and Humanity: The Future - Gerd Leonhard · Our Exciting, Weird, and Scary Future: Q&A With Peter Diamandis ... Most things that are disrupted (i.e. made faster, easier,

Humanity will change more in the next 20 years than in the previous 300 years

Page 4: Technology and Humanity: The Future - Gerd Leonhard · Our Exciting, Weird, and Scary Future: Q&A With Peter Diamandis ... Most things that are disrupted (i.e. made faster, easier,
Page 5: Technology and Humanity: The Future - Gerd Leonhard · Our Exciting, Weird, and Scary Future: Q&A With Peter Diamandis ... Most things that are disrupted (i.e. made faster, easier,
Page 6: Technology and Humanity: The Future - Gerd Leonhard · Our Exciting, Weird, and Scary Future: Q&A With Peter Diamandis ... Most things that are disrupted (i.e. made faster, easier,
Page 7: Technology and Humanity: The Future - Gerd Leonhard · Our Exciting, Weird, and Scary Future: Q&A With Peter Diamandis ... Most things that are disrupted (i.e. made faster, easier,

Intelligent Assistance Augmentation Amplification

Page 8: Technology and Humanity: The Future - Gerd Leonhard · Our Exciting, Weird, and Scary Future: Q&A With Peter Diamandis ... Most things that are disrupted (i.e. made faster, easier,
Page 9: Technology and Humanity: The Future - Gerd Leonhard · Our Exciting, Weird, and Scary Future: Q&A With Peter Diamandis ... Most things that are disrupted (i.e. made faster, easier,

“Human Longevity, Inc (HLI). Today there are six to seven trillion dollars a year spent on healthcare, half of which goes to people over the age of 65. In

addition, people over the age of 65 hold something on the order of $60 trillion in wealth. And the question is what would people pay for an extra 10,

20, 30, 40 years of healthy life. It’s a huge opportunity” Our Exciting, Weird, and Scary Future: Q&A With Peter Diamandis

http://www.pcmag.com/article2/0,2817,2476315,00.asp

Page 10: Technology and Humanity: The Future - Gerd Leonhard · Our Exciting, Weird, and Scary Future: Q&A With Peter Diamandis ... Most things that are disrupted (i.e. made faster, easier,

http://frankdiana.wordpress.com/2014/04/03/the-smart-home/

Exponential digitization, automation, virtualization and robotization: media first. Now: logistics, transportation, telecom, utilities, financial services, government…

Via Peter Diamandis

Page 11: Technology and Humanity: The Future - Gerd Leonhard · Our Exciting, Weird, and Scary Future: Q&A With Peter Diamandis ... Most things that are disrupted (i.e. made faster, easier,
Page 12: Technology and Humanity: The Future - Gerd Leonhard · Our Exciting, Weird, and Scary Future: Q&A With Peter Diamandis ... Most things that are disrupted (i.e. made faster, easier,

‘Nothing vast enters the life of mortals without a curse’

Page 13: Technology and Humanity: The Future - Gerd Leonhard · Our Exciting, Weird, and Scary Future: Q&A With Peter Diamandis ... Most things that are disrupted (i.e. made faster, easier,

‘Nothing vast enters the life of mortals without a curse’

Page 14: Technology and Humanity: The Future - Gerd Leonhard · Our Exciting, Weird, and Scary Future: Q&A With Peter Diamandis ... Most things that are disrupted (i.e. made faster, easier,

Image of BP platform via US Coast Guard

Image: Minority Report The Movie

Page 15: Technology and Humanity: The Future - Gerd Leonhard · Our Exciting, Weird, and Scary Future: Q&A With Peter Diamandis ... Most things that are disrupted (i.e. made faster, easier,

Software that thinks like ‘like a human’: attaining super-intelligence?

Page 16: Technology and Humanity: The Future - Gerd Leonhard · Our Exciting, Weird, and Scary Future: Q&A With Peter Diamandis ... Most things that are disrupted (i.e. made faster, easier,

Schwab Intelligent Portfolios

Page 17: Technology and Humanity: The Future - Gerd Leonhard · Our Exciting, Weird, and Scary Future: Q&A With Peter Diamandis ... Most things that are disrupted (i.e. made faster, easier,

Technology does not have ethics

Page 18: Technology and Humanity: The Future - Gerd Leonhard · Our Exciting, Weird, and Scary Future: Q&A With Peter Diamandis ... Most things that are disrupted (i.e. made faster, easier,

Consciousness ? Embodiment? Awareness? Sentience? Purpose?

Page 19: Technology and Humanity: The Future - Gerd Leonhard · Our Exciting, Weird, and Scary Future: Q&A With Peter Diamandis ... Most things that are disrupted (i.e. made faster, easier,

Technological unemployment: this time, it’s real (and exponential)

Page 20: Technology and Humanity: The Future - Gerd Leonhard · Our Exciting, Weird, and Scary Future: Q&A With Peter Diamandis ... Most things that are disrupted (i.e. made faster, easier,

http://www.technologyreview.com/featuredstory/538401/who-will-own-the-robots/

The future of work: will we ride on-top of technology or be crushed by it?

Page 21: Technology and Humanity: The Future - Gerd Leonhard · Our Exciting, Weird, and Scary Future: Q&A With Peter Diamandis ... Most things that are disrupted (i.e. made faster, easier,

Everything that can be automated… will be. Everything else will explode in value

Page 22: Technology and Humanity: The Future - Gerd Leonhard · Our Exciting, Weird, and Scary Future: Q&A With Peter Diamandis ... Most things that are disrupted (i.e. made faster, easier,
Page 23: Technology and Humanity: The Future - Gerd Leonhard · Our Exciting, Weird, and Scary Future: Q&A With Peter Diamandis ... Most things that are disrupted (i.e. made faster, easier,

Human existence is a lot more than this

Page 24: Technology and Humanity: The Future - Gerd Leonhard · Our Exciting, Weird, and Scary Future: Q&A With Peter Diamandis ... Most things that are disrupted (i.e. made faster, easier,

Human existence is a lot more than this

Page 25: Technology and Humanity: The Future - Gerd Leonhard · Our Exciting, Weird, and Scary Future: Q&A With Peter Diamandis ... Most things that are disrupted (i.e. made faster, easier,
Page 26: Technology and Humanity: The Future - Gerd Leonhard · Our Exciting, Weird, and Scary Future: Q&A With Peter Diamandis ... Most things that are disrupted (i.e. made faster, easier,

Image of BP platform via US Coast Guard

Page 27: Technology and Humanity: The Future - Gerd Leonhard · Our Exciting, Weird, and Scary Future: Q&A With Peter Diamandis ... Most things that are disrupted (i.e. made faster, easier,

5-10% ? 100%

A virtual approximation is interesting and useful yet incomplete by definition

Page 28: Technology and Humanity: The Future - Gerd Leonhard · Our Exciting, Weird, and Scary Future: Q&A With Peter Diamandis ... Most things that are disrupted (i.e. made faster, easier,

http://www.explainingthefuture.com/singularity.html

Page 29: Technology and Humanity: The Future - Gerd Leonhard · Our Exciting, Weird, and Scary Future: Q&A With Peter Diamandis ... Most things that are disrupted (i.e. made faster, easier,

TechnologyAlgorithms

Software

Cloud

Machines

Screens

‘Humarithms’ Trust

EmbodimentSerendipity

Relationships

EmotionsMystery

Anonymity

Awareness AI / IA

Page 30: Technology and Humanity: The Future - Gerd Leonhard · Our Exciting, Weird, and Scary Future: Q&A With Peter Diamandis ... Most things that are disrupted (i.e. made faster, easier,

http://frankdiana.wordpress.com/2014/04/03/the-smart-home/

The Human Imperative

Page 31: Technology and Humanity: The Future - Gerd Leonhard · Our Exciting, Weird, and Scary Future: Q&A With Peter Diamandis ... Most things that are disrupted (i.e. made faster, easier,

“A Columbia University study suggested that with a

fleet of just 9,000 autonomous cars, Uber could replace every taxi

cab in New York City, and that passengers would wait an average of 36 seconds for a ride that

costs about $0.50 per mile”

Most things that are disrupted (i.e. made faster, easier, cheaper or more efficient) by technology will also need to be re-constructed to retain humanity

Page 32: Technology and Humanity: The Future - Gerd Leonhard · Our Exciting, Weird, and Scary Future: Q&A With Peter Diamandis ... Most things that are disrupted (i.e. made faster, easier,
Page 33: Technology and Humanity: The Future - Gerd Leonhard · Our Exciting, Weird, and Scary Future: Q&A With Peter Diamandis ... Most things that are disrupted (i.e. made faster, easier,

Thanks for your attention! Download these slides at www.futuristgerd.com

Watch my new film: www.techvshuman.com