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UT Energy Week 2018 Panel 2: Innovation in Oil & Gas: Impacts of Digitalization on Operations Technology & Big Data in Unconventional Oil & Gas Development James Courtier Vice President Exploration January 31, 2018

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Page 1: Technology & Big Data in Unconventional Oil & Gas Development · UT Energy Week 2018 Panel 2: Innovation in Oil & Gas: Impacts of Digitalization on Operations Technology & Big Data

UT Energy Week 2018Panel 2: Innovation in Oil & Gas: Impacts of Digitalization on Operations

Technology & Big Data in Unconventional Oil & Gas Development

James CourtierVice President Exploration

January 31, 2018

Page 2: Technology & Big Data in Unconventional Oil & Gas Development · UT Energy Week 2018 Panel 2: Innovation in Oil & Gas: Impacts of Digitalization on Operations Technology & Big Data

Forward-Looking / Cautionary Statements

2

This presentation (which includes oral statements made in connection with this presentation) may contain forward-looking statements with respect to Laredo Petroleum, Inc. (the “Company”, “Laredo” or “LPI”) within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.

All statements included in this presentation that address activities, events or developments that Laredo Petroleum, Inc. assumes, plans, expects, believes or anticipates will or may occur in the future are forward-looking statements.

Without limiting the generality of the foregoing, forward-looking statements contained in this presentation are based on certainassumptions made by the Company and are subject to a number of assumptions, risks and uncertainties, that could cause actual results to differ materially from those projected as described in the Company’s Annual Report on From 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2016 and other reports filed with the Securities Exchange Commission (“SEC”).

Any forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date on which such statement is made and the Company undertakes no obligation to correct or update any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by applicable law.

Page 3: Technology & Big Data in Unconventional Oil & Gas Development · UT Energy Week 2018 Panel 2: Innovation in Oil & Gas: Impacts of Digitalization on Operations Technology & Big Data

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Technology & Big Data Outline

• Massive quantities of data being generated

• Physics-based technical assessments remain essential

• Why “Big Data Analytics” is rapidly gaining momentum

• Macro industry insights

• Future for new industry entrants

Page 4: Technology & Big Data in Unconventional Oil & Gas Development · UT Energy Week 2018 Panel 2: Innovation in Oil & Gas: Impacts of Digitalization on Operations Technology & Big Data

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What and where is the data?

Initial Subsurface Data Sets• Cores• Logs• Seismic

Subsurface Characterization & Modeling• High resolution 3D models• Reservoir, mechanical and fracturing properties• Hydraulic fractures, reservoir simulation & studies

Operations• Drilling & Completions• Real-time instrumentation data• Pressure pumping data

Production• Metered production data• Downhole pressure data

Massive quantities of data being generated across entire value-chain

Page 5: Technology & Big Data in Unconventional Oil & Gas Development · UT Energy Week 2018 Panel 2: Innovation in Oil & Gas: Impacts of Digitalization on Operations Technology & Big Data

Steady, Strategic Plan Yields Repeatable Results

Shar

ehol

der R

etur

ns

Capital Efficiency

Lower Costs

Contiguous Acreage Position

Infrastructure

Optimized Development PlanProprietaryData

& Analytics

A disciplined focus on key value drivers since inception has driven shareholder returns

5

Page 6: Technology & Big Data in Unconventional Oil & Gas Development · UT Energy Week 2018 Panel 2: Innovation in Oil & Gas: Impacts of Digitalization on Operations Technology & Big Data

Steady, Strategic Plan Yields Repeatable Results

Shar

ehol

der R

etur

ns

Capital Efficiency

Lower Costs

Contiguous Acreage Position

Infrastructure

Optimized Development PlanProprietaryData

& Analytics

Today’s talk focuses on how data & analytics assist an unconventional oil company during development

6

Page 7: Technology & Big Data in Unconventional Oil & Gas Development · UT Energy Week 2018 Panel 2: Innovation in Oil & Gas: Impacts of Digitalization on Operations Technology & Big Data

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Reprocessed 3D seismic dataset exhibits substantial imaging improvements

9 Individual 3D surveys 2018 MegaMerge

Improving & Integrating Existing Data

Page 8: Technology & Big Data in Unconventional Oil & Gas Development · UT Energy Week 2018 Panel 2: Innovation in Oil & Gas: Impacts of Digitalization on Operations Technology & Big Data

A

A’

shallow deep

Regional Yates Depth Structure

Improvements in image clarity, continuity & depth accuracy

Improving existing data sets adds tremendous value at low cost

A A’

A A’

8

MegaMerge Processing Improvements

Page 9: Technology & Big Data in Unconventional Oil & Gas Development · UT Energy Week 2018 Panel 2: Innovation in Oil & Gas: Impacts of Digitalization on Operations Technology & Big Data

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High-Resolution 3D Geomodel Reservoir Characterization

High quality inputs improve 3D reservoir characterization

Improved High-Resolution Facies & Rock Property Volumes

Improved Petrophysical Model

Improved Inversion Products

UWC

Strawn

LWC

Page 10: Technology & Big Data in Unconventional Oil & Gas Development · UT Energy Week 2018 Panel 2: Innovation in Oil & Gas: Impacts of Digitalization on Operations Technology & Big Data

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Integrating data within geomodels greatly improves development planning toolkit

SOPHI

Consistent geological frameworkhigh-resolution

multiple data type inputsquantitative

multi-attribute outputs

High-Resolution 3D Geomodel Overview

Page 11: Technology & Big Data in Unconventional Oil & Gas Development · UT Energy Week 2018 Panel 2: Innovation in Oil & Gas: Impacts of Digitalization on Operations Technology & Big Data

Proprietary workflows are shortening time from concept to field implementation, enabling continual optimization of completions designs

Internal Models Accelerate Completions Design Evolution

PriorBase Design 2H-15 Testing

2016 Base Design

1H-17 Testing

2H-17 Base Design

2H-17 Testing

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Page 12: Technology & Big Data in Unconventional Oil & Gas Development · UT Energy Week 2018 Panel 2: Innovation in Oil & Gas: Impacts of Digitalization on Operations Technology & Big Data

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Why “Big Data Analytics”?

Patterns may not emerge in bivariate studies -necessitating a multivariate approach

R² = 0.0004

6-M

onth

Cum

ulat

ive

Oil

Young's Modulus

Bivariate Example:Impact of 1 parameter

Multivariate Example:Impact of 9 parameters

Page 13: Technology & Big Data in Unconventional Oil & Gas Development · UT Energy Week 2018 Panel 2: Innovation in Oil & Gas: Impacts of Digitalization on Operations Technology & Big Data

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Fundamental Insights from Multivariate Analytics

Algorithms detect individual parameters that impact value drivers (e.g. oil production) and their significance

Increasing Fractures

Incr

easi

ng P

rodu

ctio

n

Increasing Resistivity

Incr

easi

ng P

rodu

ctio

n

Increasing Proppant Concentration

Incr

easi

ng P

rodu

ctio

n

Increasing Proppant Mass

Incr

easi

ng P

rodu

ctio

n

Increasing P-ImpedanceIncr

easi

ng P

rodu

ctio

n

Increasing Spectral Decomp

Incr

easi

ng P

rodu

ctio

n

Increasing Young’s Modulus

Incr

easi

ng P

rodu

ctio

n

Increasing Completion Length Incr

easi

ng P

rodu

ctio

n

Positive impact on 6 mo oil

Negative impact on 6 mo oil

Page 14: Technology & Big Data in Unconventional Oil & Gas Development · UT Energy Week 2018 Panel 2: Innovation in Oil & Gas: Impacts of Digitalization on Operations Technology & Big Data

R² = 0.8012

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Key engineering & geoscience production drivers are detected amongst multiple input parameters

• Engineering Variables (7)• Acoustic Properties (6)• Petrophyiscal Parameters (13)• Lithology Indicators (9)• Oil Storage Attributes (6)• Structural Attributes (3)• Pore Pressure

45 Input Variables Examined

• Completed Lateral Length• Parent-Child Tangent Distance• Completion Parameter #1• Completion Parameter #2• Production Parameter• Geological Parameter #1• Geological Parameter #2• Geological Parameter #3• Geological Parameter #4• Geological Parameter #5

Multivariate 3D Bo/ft. Solution

6-Month Oil Production MODEL PREDICTION

ACTU

AL O

IL 6

MO

CU

M.

Multivariate Analytics: 3D BO/ft Predictions

Page 15: Technology & Big Data in Unconventional Oil & Gas Development · UT Energy Week 2018 Panel 2: Innovation in Oil & Gas: Impacts of Digitalization on Operations Technology & Big Data

Sugg-Graham Nine-Well Package Performing vs. Type Curve

Note: Production has been scaled to 10,000’ EUR type curves and non-producing days (for shut-ins) have been removedAverage cumulative production data through 10/25/2017. This includes 96 Hz UWC/MWC & Cline wells that have utilized optimized completions with avg. ~1,900 pounds of sand per lateral foot. Type curve utilizes a weighted-average of 89 Hz UWC/MWC 1.3 MMBOE wells & 7 Hz Cline 1.0 MMBOE wells

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Wells drilled with tighter spacing are exceeding type curve expectations

~36% Outperformance of all 96 wells to 1.3 MMBOE type curve

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

1 91 182 274 366 456 547 639 731

Cum

ulat

ive

Prod

uctio

n (M

BOE)

1.3 MMBOE type curveIndividual producing wellsSugg-Graham nine-well package

3 Months 6 Months 9 Months 12 Months 15 Months 18 Months 21 Months 24 Months

Page 16: Technology & Big Data in Unconventional Oil & Gas Development · UT Energy Week 2018 Panel 2: Innovation in Oil & Gas: Impacts of Digitalization on Operations Technology & Big Data

15,000 OBO Permian Hz WellsPublic well economics

Directional surveysDaily production

Public completions detailsPublic well spacing details

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Summary of “Big Data” Utilized in Machine Learning Project

Over 15 million unique attributes accessed via machine-learning to quantify dominant economic drivers

320+ LPI Hz Wells

120 Subsurface attributes

Multi-year drill schedule

Detailed well economics

Direction surveys

Detailed completions

Daily production

Well-spacing distances

Organized Database

Subscription DataLPI Proprietary Data

Page 17: Technology & Big Data in Unconventional Oil & Gas Development · UT Energy Week 2018 Panel 2: Innovation in Oil & Gas: Impacts of Digitalization on Operations Technology & Big Data

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Predictive AccuracyConstituent Model Parameters

Machine Learning Example: Solving For Production

Predicted

Obs

erve

d

Spacing

CompletionsGeology

Optimizing multi-well development for NPV via machine-learning analytics reduces risk & enhances total asset value

Page 18: Technology & Big Data in Unconventional Oil & Gas Development · UT Energy Week 2018 Panel 2: Innovation in Oil & Gas: Impacts of Digitalization on Operations Technology & Big Data

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Wrap-up

Multivariate, multidisciplinary, multidimensional

Integrating traditional workflows with rapid analytics accelerates technical insights & understanding

Analytics-Based

Physics-Based Detect

Validate

Implement

Test

Page 19: Technology & Big Data in Unconventional Oil & Gas Development · UT Energy Week 2018 Panel 2: Innovation in Oil & Gas: Impacts of Digitalization on Operations Technology & Big Data

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• Physics-based technical assessments remain essential

• High-resolution geomodels heavily influence workflows

• “Big Data Analytics” taking off

• Macro industry insights

• Future for new industry entrants

Technology & Big Data Summary

Page 20: Technology & Big Data in Unconventional Oil & Gas Development · UT Energy Week 2018 Panel 2: Innovation in Oil & Gas: Impacts of Digitalization on Operations Technology & Big Data

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Thank You