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TECHNOLOGY FOR THE LAST MILE

Lean experimentation and impact measurement

13 November 2019

GRIPS Disruptive Inclusive Innovation Seminar #4

KOPERNIK TEAM

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1. ABOUT KOPERNIK

2. LEAN EXPERIMENTATION EXAMPLES

KOPERNIK.INFO3

KOPERNIK.INFO4

KOPERNIK WORKS ACROSS TWO KEY AREAS

1: TECHNOLOGY DISTRIBUTION 2: R&D LAB FOR SOCIAL AND ENVIRONMENTAL CHALLENGES

Wonder WomenEmergency Support 2a: In-house experimentation 2b: Experimentation with clients

KOPERNIK – FINDING WHAT WORKS

KOPERNIK.INFO5

KOPERNIK WORKS ACROSS TWO KEY AREAS

1: TECHNOLOGY DISTRIBUTION 2: R&D LAB FOR SOCIAL AND ENVIRONMENTAL CHALLENGES

Wonder WomenEmergency Support

KOPERNIK – FINDING WHAT WORKS

2a: In-house experimentation 2b: Experimentation with clients

TECHNOLOGY DISTRIBUTION THROUGH LOCAL WOMEN’S GROUP

KOPERNIK.INFO6

KOPERNIK.INFO7

EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI IN SULAWESI AND LOMBOK

M 7.4

M 7

Damage

Sulawesi

Lombok

People displaced

220,324

Houses damaged

65,733

Fatalities

2,200

People displaced

445,343

Houses damaged

149,715

Fatalities

564

KOPERNIK.INFO8

AFFECTED AREAS

ロンボク島 スラウェシ島

KOPERNIK.INFO9

EXAMPLES OF DISTRIBUTED GOODS

KOPERNIK.INFO10

KOPERNIK FOCUSES ON THE EARLY PHASES OF THE INNOVATION FUNNEL AND WORKS WITH

PARTNERS TO SCALE UP VIABLE SOLUTIONS

IDEA

GENERATION

PROTOTYPE

TESTINGPILOT TESTING

INFLUENCE/

SCALE

UNMET NEEDS

IDENTIFICATION

KOPERNIK’S MISSION

3

Original focus of

Kopernik

KOPERNIK.INFO11

KOPERNIK.INFO12

KOPERNIK WORKS ACROSS TWO KEY AREAS

1: TECHNOLOGY DISTRIBUTION 2: R&D LAB FOR SOCIAL AND ENVIRONMENTAL CHALLENGES

Wonder WomenEmergency Support

2a: In-house experimentation 2b: Experimentation with clients

KOPERNIK – FINDING WHAT WORKS

Sh

ift

KOPERNIK FOCUSES ON THE EARLY PHASES OF THE INNOVATION FUNNEL AND WORKS WITH

PARTNERS TO SCALE UP VIABLE SOLUTIONS

IDEA

GENERATION

PROTOTYPE

TESTINGPILOT TESTING

INFLUENCE/

SCALE

UNMET NEEDS

IDENTIFICATION

KOPERNK.INFO 7

Where Kopernik

provides hands-on

work

Where Kopernik

helps/encourage

others to take up

the solutions and

scale

KOPERNIK.INFO13

Time

Prim

ary

Ou

tcom

e

Intervention/

Program start

A

Does the intervention have:

i. Positive Impact

ii. Negative Impact

iii. There's not enough information

IN ORDER TO UNDERSTAND DIFFERENT APPROACHES, IT MAYBE USEFUL TO TAKE A STEP BACK

AND THINK ABOUT WHAT ‘IMPACT’ MEANS…

VOTING PARTICIPATION

B

KOPERNIK.INFO14

A

C

B

Impact is defined as a comparison between:

The outcome some time after a program/intervention has been introduced (B)

AND

The outcome at that same point in time had the program not been introduced (C). This is known as the Counterfactual/Control

WHAT IS IMPACT?

(VOTING PARTICIPATION I)

Time

Prim

ary

Outc

om

e

IMPACT

Intervention/

Program start

KOPERNIK.INFO15

COUNTERFACTUALS ARE IMPORTANT TO HAVE A HOLISTIC PICTURE OF IMPACT. A DECREASE IN

OUTCOME DOES NOT NECESSARILY MEAN A NEGATIVE IMPACT

Prim

ary

Ou

tco

me

Impact

Program

start

A

C

B

(VOTING PARTICIPATION II)

KOPERNIK.INFO16

KOPERNIK’S LEAN EXPERIMENTATION APPROACH

Baseline

Treatment

Control

Intervention for treatment group

Endline

KPI

Time

Impact

Characteristics

• Hypothesis driven

• Clear KPIs

• Treatment v.s. control

• Baseline v.s. endline

• Small sample size

• Short time horizon

KOPERNIK.INFO17

NOBEL ECONOMICS PRIZE 2019 GIVEN TO ‘EXPERIMENTATION APPROACH’

KOPERNIK.INFO18

DEGREE OF COMPLEXITY IN EXPERIMENTATION NEEDS TO BE ALIGNED WITH THE STAGE OF THE

INTERVENTION

Stage of development intervention

Randomized

Control Trial

(RCT)

Lean

Experimentation

• Rapid & frequent

testing

• small sample size

• Long term

• large sample size

Learning and

improvements of

intervention

Experimentation

type

Key objective

Stage of development intervention

Early Mature

Proof of impact for

scaling and replication

KOPERNIK.INFO19

HAZE FROM PEATLAND FIRE

KOPERNIK.INFO20

SAFE ROOM FOR CHILDREN

KOPERNIK.INFO21

SAFE ROOM FOR CHILDREN

KOPERNIK.INFO22

PM 2.5 trend

EXPERIMENT IN A CONTROLLED ENVIRONMENT

KOPERNIK.INFO23

RESULTS

25th SEPTEMBER, 2019

9:30:12AM

9:40:13AM

9:50:11AM

10:00:10AM

10:10:08AM

10:20:08AM

10:30:06AM

10:40:04AM

10:50:04AM

11:00:01AM

11:10:00AM

11:19:59AM

11:29:57AM

11:39:55AM

11:49:54AM

11:59:53AM

Airborne PM 2.5 Concentration

Outdoor

Indoor

<250

Hazardous

150-250

Very Unhealthy

55-150

Unhealthy

35-55 Unhealthy for

sensitive groups

Average indoor concentration:

WHO 24 hour mean:

12-35 Moderate

0-12 Good

AM

Av 24%

Reduction

KOPERNIK.INFO24

AS A RESULT OF NEEDS IDENTIFIED, SEVERAL EXPERIMENTS ARE BEING IMPLEMENTED

Publications Follow-up projects

Rats in the rice fields: Innovative

method to minimize rat infestation

of rice fields

Rubber tapping rainguards:

minimizing harvest spoilage

during the rainy season

Unmet Needs report

Published online

KOPERNIK.INFO25

RATS EXPERIMENTATION RESULTS

STEM DAMAGE CAUSED BY RATS

No. of ste

ms d

am

aged

KOPERNIK.INFO26

CACAO BEANS

KOPERNIK.INFO27

TRADITIONAL DRYING V.S. SOLAR DRYER

KOPERNIK.INFO28

Research

item

Indicator Traditional drying Solar dryer

Drying speed # of days 3 days 4 days

Cacao quality AA(<85 biji/100 gr)

A (86-100 biji100 gr)

B (101-110 biji100 gr)

C (111-120 biji100 gr)

Grade C Grade A

Color of inside of the

beans (% of black or

brown)

82％ 88％

RESULTS

KOPERNIK.INFO29

TECHNOLOGY TESTING: CURRENT EXPERIMENTS

Cooling solutions for

wholesalers

Maumere, NTT

Cooling solutions for

mobile fishsellers

Maumere, NTT

Shredding machine for

fish floss makers

Maumere, NTT

EXPERIMENT 1 EXPERIMENT 2 EXPERIMENT 3 EXPERIMENT 4

Solar dryer for seaweed

farmers

Lembata, NTT

KOPERNIK.INFO30

KOPERNIK.INFO31

KOPERNIK WORKS ACROSS TWO KEY AREAS

1: TECHNOLOGY DISTRIBUTION 2: R&D LAB FOR SOCIAL AND ENVIRONMENTAL CHALLENGES

Wonder WomenEmergency Support

2a: In-house experimentation 2b: Experimentation with clients

KOPERNIK – FINDING WHAT WORKS

Sh

ift

FOLIA MANUFACTURES PAPER FILTERS TO PRODUCE DRINKING WATER AFFORDABLY

KOPERNIK.INFO32

•

•

•

‘FOLIA WATER’ PRODUCT TESTING

FISH BIKE SELLERS IN KUPANG COULD EARN MORE BY USING PORTABLE FRIDGES THAT

PROLONG THEIR DAILY SALES DURATION

Current practice Experimentation practice

“Motorcycle powered fridge”

Design intervention

KOPERNIK.INFO34

THIS PROJECT COORDINATED WITH LOCAL FISH SELLERS AND SHADOWED THEM DURING

THEIR SALES ACTIVITIES

Field activities

KOPERNIK.INFO35

COLLABORATION WITH UNILEVER IN MYANMAR TO TEST ITS MALARIA/DENGUE FEVER

PREVENTION PRODUCTS

KOPERNIK.INFO36