Technology Forecast for 2020

PREPARED BY PAUL HAGER

Things We Know

• Like last year, my predictions will try to push on some new areas

• Trends I believe we have already spotted:– AI/Machine Learning– Data Sciences– Blockchain– 5G

Let’s See How I Did

• Bold Prediction #1: 5G will disrupt ISPs in 2019 and 2020 Faster Than Expected

• Bold Prediction #2: Autonomous Vehicles will Get on the Road and Uber will Decline

• Bold Prediction #3: Digital Ethics Challenges will Explode Along with our Data

2019 Bold PredictionsSURE TO GO WRONG

Bold Prediction #1: 5G will disrupt ISPs in 2019 and 2020 Faster Than Expected

Update

Bold Prediction #2: Autonomous Vehicles will Get on the Road and Uber will Decline

• Waymo 8 - Million driverless miles and climbing

• Aptiv• Ford

Uber Check In

#DeleteUber

Autonomous Vehicles

Things Not a Trend

Bold Prediction #3: Digital Ethics Challenges will Explode Along with our Data

• Privacy• Digital Monopolies• AI Ethics• Video Ethics• Wearables• Data Explosion

– 90% of data in the world created in the last 2 years

– 2.5 Quintilian Bytes of data each day

https://www.forbes.com/sites/bernardmarr/2018/05/21/how-much-data-do-we-create-every-day-the-mind-blowing-stats-everyone-should-read/#4977b2e560ba

Digital Ethics

There is a lack of adequate

industry standards or

controls.

There is limited transparency in

how data is held, where it

is held, and who has access

to it.

Digital Ethics

Most data is stored in massive data silos which creates inherent

security risks.

Data escape is a common problem,

often motivated by the prospect of selling data onto the black market.

2020 Bold PredictionsSURE TO GO WRONG

Bold Prediction 1: AI in Cybersecurity

• Bold Prediction 1: 2020 will be the year AI/ML has a large impact in Cybersecurity both Positive & Negative

AI/ML in Cybersecurity

https://www-cdn.webroot.com/6015/4999/4566/Webroot_AI_ML_Survey_US-2019.pdf

AI/ML in Cybersecurity

• When choosing a new cybersecurity tool:• 35% of IT professionals consider AI or ML to be at

least somewhat important in their decision-making process

• 65% consider these technologies a necessity • BUT, while 82% report a very or extremely high level

of comfort with AI/ ML, more than half (58%) are still not sure what it really means, and many don’t know how their cybersecurity vendors source or update their threat data.

• 80% of telecommunications executives stated that they believe their organization would not be able to respond to cyberattacks without AI.

You Said Negatives…• Adversarial AI –

breaks the AI models and tricks AI into believing an attack is normal

Deepfake Voicemail Vishing Attacks

https://www.descript.com/lyrebird-ai

Bold Prediction #2: 2020 is the Year Quantum Computing Gets Used and Terrifies the Security World

Googles Foxtail Quantum Processor

Quantum Computing Explained

Positive Impact

Risk to Security• Page to watch:– www.nist.gov/pqcrypto

Bold Prediction #3: 2020 Will See the Cliff for Traditional Media/Advertising and the Growth of Tech

• According to eMarketer’s predictions for 2019, we can expect 15.2% of the US population to cut their TV cord. This translates to 39.3 million cord cutters. In 2020, that number is expected to jump by nearly 6 million, while in 2021, there could be over 50 million cord cutters in the US.

• eMarketer’s cord cutting statistics for 2022 predict the cord cutting population to reach 55.1 million people in the United States.

Rise of Twitch

Rise of Twitch

Rise of eSports

Influencer Marketing Rise

84% of millennials don’t like advertising

The numbers speak for themselves, with 80% of marketers finding it effective and nearly two-thirds having upped their budgets this year.

THANK YOU!

Paul Hager, President and CEOphager@itprosusa.com

www.itprosusa.comblog.itprosusa.com

Linkedin: /in/paulhagerfuturist/

Questions?

itprosusa.com/get-the-deck/