ted-spreads difference between interbank rates and government bond rates (ted-spread)

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0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 Jan-07 Apr-07 Jul-07 O ct-07 Jan-08 Apr-08 Jul-08 O ct-08 Jan-09 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 Euro area U SA Sw eden TED-spreads Difference between interbank rates and government bond rates (TED-spread) Sources: Reuters Ecowin and the Riksbank Outcome up to 16 January. Lehman Brothers Bear Sterns Secure liquidity prior to the year-end BNP Paribas

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TED-spreads Difference between interbank rates and government bond rates (TED-spread). BNP Paribas. Lehman Brothers. Secure liquidity prior to the year-end. Bear Sterns. Outcome up to 16 January. Sources: Reuters Ecowin and the Riksbank. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: TED-spreads Difference between interbank rates and government bond rates  (TED-spread)

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Jan-07 Apr-07 Jul-07 Oct-07 Jan-08 Apr-08 Jul-08 Oct-08 Jan-09

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500Euro area

USA

Sweden

TED-spreadsDifference between interbank rates and government bond rates (TED-spread)

Sources: Reuters Ecowin and the Riksbank

Outcome up to 16 January.

Lehman Brothers

Bear Sterns

Secure liquidity prior to the year-end

BNP Paribas

Page 2: TED-spreads Difference between interbank rates and government bond rates  (TED-spread)

Exports as a proportion of the total balance of resourcesPer cent

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50

90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06

Page 3: TED-spreads Difference between interbank rates and government bond rates  (TED-spread)

5-year ratesPer cent

Note: Refers to government bonds with approx. 5 years remaining maturity

0.00

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01 January 2008 01 April 2008 01 July 2008 01 October 2008 01 January 20090.00

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

5.00

6.00

Sweden Euro area (Germany) US

Page 4: TED-spreads Difference between interbank rates and government bond rates  (TED-spread)

Stock marketsIndex: 31 December 2008 = 100

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01 January 2008 01 April 2008 01 July 2008 01 October 2008 01 January 200950

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Sweden (OMXS) Euro area (EuroStoxx) US (S&P 500)

Page 5: TED-spreads Difference between interbank rates and government bond rates  (TED-spread)

Purchasing Managers Index (PMI)Index = 50, unchanged activity

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1997 1998 19992000 2001 2002 2003 2004 20052006 2007 2008

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Euro area USA Sweden

Page 6: TED-spreads Difference between interbank rates and government bond rates  (TED-spread)

The Riksbank’s balance sheet totalASSETS 30 June 2008 31 december 2008 ChangeGold 26 30 4Foreign currency reserve 158 200 42Lending in USD 0 196 196Lending in SEK 4 266 262Other assets 4 7 3Total 192 700 508

LIABILITIESBanknotes and coins 108 112 4Fine-tuning 0 207 207Riksbank Certificates 0 49 49Liabilities to Fed 0 189 189Equity 59 59 0Other 25 84 59Total 192 700 508

Page 7: TED-spreads Difference between interbank rates and government bond rates  (TED-spread)

Policy ratesPer cent

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7.00

01 January 2008 01 April 2008 01 July 2008 01 October 2008 01 January 20090.00

1.00

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6.00

7.00

Sweden Euro area US

Page 8: TED-spreads Difference between interbank rates and government bond rates  (TED-spread)

Reporate and mortgage ratesPer cent

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01 January2005

01 January2006

01 January2007

01 January2008

01 January2009

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SBAB 3 month rate Mortgage rate 3 months Repo rate

Page 9: TED-spreads Difference between interbank rates and government bond rates  (TED-spread)

TCW-indexIndex: 18 November 1992 = 100

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01 January 2000 01 January 2002 01 January 2004 01 January 2006 01 January 2008120

125

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TCW index