telenor group | powerpoint template 16:9 · 2020-03-03 · total norwegian telecom market –fixed...

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Modernising Norway Petter-Børre Furberg, CEO Telenor Norway Camilla Amundsen, CMO Telenor Norway

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Page 1: Telenor Group | PowerPoint Template 16:9 · 2020-03-03 · Total Norwegian Telecom market –fixed subscribers (‘000) 710 653 595 524 450 623 639 628 615 603 622 734 863 990 1.130

Modernising Norway

Petter-Børre Furberg,

CEO Telenor Norway

Camilla Amundsen,

CMO Telenor Norway

Page 2: Telenor Group | PowerPoint Template 16:9 · 2020-03-03 · Total Norwegian Telecom market –fixed subscribers (‘000) 710 653 595 524 450 623 639 628 615 603 622 734 863 990 1.130

Telenor Norway – a growth company

• Build the best network

• ARPU growth from service position

• Revenue renewal Fiber and FWA

• Modernize Networks & IT

• Digitalise operation and customer touchpoints

• Organisation and way of work

• Increased focus on coverage

• Secure and robust network and services

RESPONSIBLE

BUSINESS

GROWTH MODERNISATION

2

Page 3: Telenor Group | PowerPoint Template 16:9 · 2020-03-03 · Total Norwegian Telecom market –fixed subscribers (‘000) 710 653 595 524 450 623 639 628 615 603 622 734 863 990 1.130

However, the total legacy fixed market has declined rapidly

• Falling xDSL and POTS base

• Gradual cannibalization from HFC to fiber

due to strong fiber preference

• Significant fiber ramp-up driven by SDU

segment

Total Norwegian Telecom market – fixed subscribers (‘000)

710 653 595 524 450

623 639628

615603

622 734 863 990 1.130

452.130

44

2.0002.070

43 4543

2.175 2.226

Radio/FWA

Fiber

xDSL

HFC

620527

446365

295

H1 2015 H1 2019H1 2018H1 2016 H1 2017

POTS

-11%

CAGR

-17%

CAGR

Source: nKOM H1 20193

Page 4: Telenor Group | PowerPoint Template 16:9 · 2020-03-03 · Total Norwegian Telecom market –fixed subscribers (‘000) 710 653 595 524 450 623 639 628 615 603 622 734 863 990 1.130

Fixed market 2019 dominated by high-speed broadband, more consumers on fiber infrastructure than xDSL

• Continued modernization of fixed broadband base

• Strong development through villa land-grab

strategy

• Increased fiber market share from 18 % in 2015

to 23 % EoY 2019

Fiber market share 2019 of23 % for FTTH and 24 % for FTTB

266293

261

18

xDSL

Fiber

HFC

FWA

Telenor subscribers (B2B and B2C)

Total: 833

Source: Telenor estimates EoY2019

420490

Total: ~910

Telenor fiber homes passed (B2C)

Fiber homes passed

HFC homes passed

4

Page 5: Telenor Group | PowerPoint Template 16:9 · 2020-03-03 · Total Norwegian Telecom market –fixed subscribers (‘000) 710 653 595 524 450 623 639 628 615 603 622 734 863 990 1.130

Accelerated Migration: Shifting customers to new technologies by end of 2023

5

60 %1,2

bNOK14 years

phase out

Cost Operating modelCustomers

Significantly reduce cost base associated with

copper network

Simplify our operating model and value

chains

Growth through shifting customers to future-proof

solutions

1. Pre IFRS16 number

Page 6: Telenor Group | PowerPoint Template 16:9 · 2020-03-03 · Total Norwegian Telecom market –fixed subscribers (‘000) 710 653 595 524 450 623 639 628 615 603 622 734 863 990 1.130

A year with significant learnings; Customers want to replace old technology with new!

6

% Fiber/HFC and FWA hit-rate 2019

30

20

0

10

50

40

60

5 6 7 8 9 10 11 1231 2 4

%

Months

Fiber/HFC

FWA

78 %Satisfied with

FWA product

18 k FWA

70 %Satisfied with

the FWA

process

Page 7: Telenor Group | PowerPoint Template 16:9 · 2020-03-03 · Total Norwegian Telecom market –fixed subscribers (‘000) 710 653 595 524 450 623 639 628 615 603 622 734 863 990 1.130

Focus going forward

Network roll-out to support migration

Continue fiber and FWA roll-out

4G capacity and coverage

5G roll-out

More efficient operations

Take out cost effects

Services that meet customer requirements

New FWA consumer portfolio

FWA for Business and Wholesale

TV over FWA

Simplification

7

Page 8: Telenor Group | PowerPoint Template 16:9 · 2020-03-03 · Total Norwegian Telecom market –fixed subscribers (‘000) 710 653 595 524 450 623 639 628 615 603 622 734 863 990 1.130

Estimated migration effects of the decommission base

8

• Ambition to retain ~60 % of customers

• Total copper addressable base of ~1.2bn

– Post IFRS16 ~1bn

• Migration cost put pressure on EBITDA,

stabilizing long term

Revenue development - NOKbn

2021202020192018 2022 2023 2024

Copper Fixed future

Migration

Revenue

2019 20242018 20222020 2021 2023

Source: Internal estimates, post IFRS15 & IFRS16 numbers

Copper

Fixed future

Cost impact - NOKbn

EBITDA development - NOKbn

20212018 2019 202420222020 2023

EBITDA

Page 9: Telenor Group | PowerPoint Template 16:9 · 2020-03-03 · Total Norwegian Telecom market –fixed subscribers (‘000) 710 653 595 524 450 623 639 628 615 603 622 734 863 990 1.130

End game - accelerated migration

9

• Approximately 260’ xDSL customers left EoY 19

• Ambition to shift 60 % of the xDSL customers to

future proof Telenor accesses

• TnN will end up with a small decline in fixed

market share post copper decommission

• Potential upside from possible future open

access network

Page 10: Telenor Group | PowerPoint Template 16:9 · 2020-03-03 · Total Norwegian Telecom market –fixed subscribers (‘000) 710 653 595 524 450 623 639 628 615 603 622 734 863 990 1.130

Renewing our TV experience – aggregating in a streaming world

1. Share of households with at least one SVOD TV subscription2. Average daily minutes of linear TV viewing

10

157

13

8 %

141110 1512 1816 17

45 %

98

OTT TV penetration1 Linear viewing (m/day)2

• Fragmentation of content consumption

• Administration, search and discovery

emerging as new customer problems

Offering a one-stop-shop for entertainment

• From channels to content focus

• New improved user interface - recommendations

• Increased flexibility with a points based system

Customer behaviour and needs are changing

A renewed T-We experience

Page 11: Telenor Group | PowerPoint Template 16:9 · 2020-03-03 · Total Norwegian Telecom market –fixed subscribers (‘000) 710 653 595 524 450 623 639 628 615 603 622 734 863 990 1.130

11

• We see 5G as an evolution

rather than a revolution

• First phase driven by capacity

need and slicing opportunity

on 5G

• 11 pilots and use cases

• Ramp-up on 5G FWA in 2020

Value-optimized 5G roll out

First years

From 4G to 5G driven by mobile and FWA capacity need and slicing opportunity

Page 12: Telenor Group | PowerPoint Template 16:9 · 2020-03-03 · Total Norwegian Telecom market –fixed subscribers (‘000) 710 653 595 524 450 623 639 628 615 603 622 734 863 990 1.130

• Telenor Norway will become

the incumbent without legacy

• Customer base on fiber, FWA

and mobile, efficient support

systems and a solid ground

for 5G services

• Leeway for efficiency through

simplification of IT stack and

organization

What are we building for the future?