telenor group | powerpoint template 16:9 · 2020-03-03 · total norwegian telecom market –fixed...
TRANSCRIPT
Modernising Norway
Petter-Børre Furberg,
CEO Telenor Norway
Camilla Amundsen,
CMO Telenor Norway
Telenor Norway – a growth company
• Build the best network
• ARPU growth from service position
• Revenue renewal Fiber and FWA
• Modernize Networks & IT
• Digitalise operation and customer touchpoints
• Organisation and way of work
• Increased focus on coverage
• Secure and robust network and services
RESPONSIBLE
BUSINESS
GROWTH MODERNISATION
2
However, the total legacy fixed market has declined rapidly
• Falling xDSL and POTS base
• Gradual cannibalization from HFC to fiber
due to strong fiber preference
• Significant fiber ramp-up driven by SDU
segment
Total Norwegian Telecom market – fixed subscribers (‘000)
710 653 595 524 450
623 639628
615603
622 734 863 990 1.130
452.130
44
2.0002.070
43 4543
2.175 2.226
Radio/FWA
Fiber
xDSL
HFC
620527
446365
295
H1 2015 H1 2019H1 2018H1 2016 H1 2017
POTS
-11%
CAGR
-17%
CAGR
Source: nKOM H1 20193
Fixed market 2019 dominated by high-speed broadband, more consumers on fiber infrastructure than xDSL
• Continued modernization of fixed broadband base
• Strong development through villa land-grab
strategy
• Increased fiber market share from 18 % in 2015
to 23 % EoY 2019
Fiber market share 2019 of23 % for FTTH and 24 % for FTTB
266293
261
18
xDSL
Fiber
HFC
FWA
Telenor subscribers (B2B and B2C)
Total: 833
Source: Telenor estimates EoY2019
420490
Total: ~910
Telenor fiber homes passed (B2C)
Fiber homes passed
HFC homes passed
4
Accelerated Migration: Shifting customers to new technologies by end of 2023
5
60 %1,2
bNOK14 years
phase out
Cost Operating modelCustomers
Significantly reduce cost base associated with
copper network
Simplify our operating model and value
chains
Growth through shifting customers to future-proof
solutions
1. Pre IFRS16 number
A year with significant learnings; Customers want to replace old technology with new!
6
% Fiber/HFC and FWA hit-rate 2019
30
20
0
10
50
40
60
5 6 7 8 9 10 11 1231 2 4
%
Months
Fiber/HFC
FWA
78 %Satisfied with
FWA product
18 k FWA
70 %Satisfied with
the FWA
process
Focus going forward
Network roll-out to support migration
Continue fiber and FWA roll-out
4G capacity and coverage
5G roll-out
More efficient operations
Take out cost effects
Services that meet customer requirements
New FWA consumer portfolio
FWA for Business and Wholesale
TV over FWA
Simplification
7
Estimated migration effects of the decommission base
8
• Ambition to retain ~60 % of customers
• Total copper addressable base of ~1.2bn
– Post IFRS16 ~1bn
• Migration cost put pressure on EBITDA,
stabilizing long term
Revenue development - NOKbn
2021202020192018 2022 2023 2024
Copper Fixed future
Migration
Revenue
2019 20242018 20222020 2021 2023
Source: Internal estimates, post IFRS15 & IFRS16 numbers
Copper
Fixed future
Cost impact - NOKbn
EBITDA development - NOKbn
20212018 2019 202420222020 2023
EBITDA
End game - accelerated migration
9
• Approximately 260’ xDSL customers left EoY 19
• Ambition to shift 60 % of the xDSL customers to
future proof Telenor accesses
• TnN will end up with a small decline in fixed
market share post copper decommission
• Potential upside from possible future open
access network
Renewing our TV experience – aggregating in a streaming world
1. Share of households with at least one SVOD TV subscription2. Average daily minutes of linear TV viewing
10
157
13
8 %
141110 1512 1816 17
45 %
98
OTT TV penetration1 Linear viewing (m/day)2
• Fragmentation of content consumption
• Administration, search and discovery
emerging as new customer problems
Offering a one-stop-shop for entertainment
• From channels to content focus
• New improved user interface - recommendations
• Increased flexibility with a points based system
Customer behaviour and needs are changing
A renewed T-We experience
11
• We see 5G as an evolution
rather than a revolution
• First phase driven by capacity
need and slicing opportunity
on 5G
• 11 pilots and use cases
• Ramp-up on 5G FWA in 2020
Value-optimized 5G roll out
First years
From 4G to 5G driven by mobile and FWA capacity need and slicing opportunity
• Telenor Norway will become
the incumbent without legacy
• Customer base on fiber, FWA
and mobile, efficient support
systems and a solid ground
for 5G services
• Leeway for efficiency through
simplification of IT stack and
organization
What are we building for the future?