tender offer for swedish residential player victoria park an...
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Tender Offer for Swedish Residential Player Victoria Park An Attractive Initial Step into a Promising Market
3 May 2018
Tender Offer for Victoria Park
Vonovia has developed
into a German champion…
German-wide residential company of scale with almost 394k units and a gross asset value of ca.
€39bn
Since the IPO in 2013, Vonovia has
proven that residential is a scalable business
implemented an efficient, large-scale modernization platform
established a meaningful, dynamically growing value-add business
acquired and integrated almost 280k units (incl. BUWOG)
diversified its funding structure
… and started exploring
opportunities in European
Metropolitan Areas
Thorough analysis of residential markets in attractive European metropolitan areas
Urban areas primarily in France, Sweden and The Netherlands were identified as the most
promising in terms of exporting the Vonovia business model at scale
Strategic partnership with SNI (“CDC Habitat”) in France
Acquisition of conwert and BUWOG in Austria
Sweden with strong
similarities to German
residential market
The Swedish residential market functions in broadly similar ways and under similar regulatory
and operating frameworks as Germany
Strong urbanization trend
Supply / demand imbalance in urban areas as strong population growth and slow new-build
production creates supply shortage
Attractive portfolio investment opportunities
Sizeable and liquid market with numerous consolidation opportunities, including municipality owned
portfolios
The Million
Home Program
Very homogeneous housing stock provides opportunities for professional, industrialized modernization
Investments: Between 1965 and 1975, about one million apartments were built (“Million Home
Program”), of which about two thirds offer attractive investment opportunities
Executive Summary (1/2)
Page 2
Tender Offer for Victoria Park
Executive Summary (2/2)
Page 3
Victoria Park is a
leading player
and can serve
as a nucleus for
market
consolidation…
Vonovia had been actively following Victoria Park for the past 12 months and considers Victoria Park to be a leading
player in the Swedish market with many similarities to Vonovia (e.g. modernization strategy with self-financing
renovation model which generates ~40% rent increase)
High quality portfolio of ca. 14k residential units (c. €1.5bn) primarily in the Stockholm, Gothenburg and Malmö
regions
Best-in-class platform with a portfolio improvement business model and development opportunities similar to Vonovia's
Vonovia intends to harness the potential of the Swedish residential market via Victoria Park’s scalable platform
and potentially become the market consolidator, replicating the Vonovia success story of the last 10 years
…and meets all
of Vonovia's
acquisition
criteria
Strategic fit: Victoria Park’s portfolio is located in urban growth regions and Swedish rental regulation provides the
necessary foundation to run a low-risk business similar to our German operations
NAV accretive and FFO accretive to Vonovia shareholders
Rating neutral: No impact on rating or outlook as a result of this transaction
Transaction
On Apr. 1, 2018, Starwood Capital had made an unsolicited offer for Victoria Park at SEK 34.00 (adjusted for dividends) per
each A & B class share and SEK 315.00 per preference equity share
When we were made aware of the situation by Victoria Park’s financial advisor we started to consider an amicable offer to
Victoria Park’s shareholders
Vonovia had been following Victoria Park for about 12 months in the context of its European activities, and was able
to further build on that knowledge during expedited due diligence work
Cash offer of SEK 38.00 for every Class A share (19.5% premium to undisturbed price1 of SEK 31.80) and Class B
share (19.9% premium to undisturbed price1 of SEK 31.70) and SEK 316.00 for every Preference equity share (1.0%
premium to undisturbed price1 of SEK 313.00)
Implied enterprise value of Victoria Park at SEK 17.8bn (equivalent to €1.7bn) based on cash consideration
The offer will be subject to reaching the minimum acceptance threshold of more than 50% on a fully diluted basis and
including call options. In addition, the offer will include other standard conditions
The independent bid committee of the Board of Victoria Park has recommended the offer
The Chairman, Peter Strand, and other board members have decided to sign an irrevocable as part of the offer
Irrevocable undertakings and call options have been received from 37.31% of the total voting rights, equivalent to 31.82%
of the shareholder base
Note: Stats based on latest reported company information as of 31 March 2018 for Vonovia and Victoria Park unless otherwise stated; all SEK figures converted into EUR using an SEK/EUR exchange rate of 10.6; 1 Undisturbed price refers to the latest closing price pre Starwood offer announcement, as of 29 March 2018
Tender Offer for Victoria Park
Vonovia's Strategy and Track Record in Germany Serve as Blueprint for Victoria Park
Financing 2
Portfolio Management 3
Value-add Business 4
Innovative
Tra
ditio
nal
Property Management 1
Reputation & Customer Satisfaction
Vonovia Mergers & Acquisitions Strategy
5
Building on existing German operations
Measured approach
Excellent partners for cooperation
Leveraging know how, experience and best practices
European Activities 6
Core Strategies Opportunistic Strategies
Page 4
Vonovia Victoria Park
Adjusted EBITDA Margin
Finance Mix
Vonovia's average cost per apartment modernization is an estimated ~30% lower3
% of Adj. EBITDA Operations (estimate)4
Victoria Park2
2013 2017
Vonovia
Vonovia
Source: Company Reports as of March 31, 2018 for Victoria Park and December 31, 2017 for Vonovia; 1 Calculated as operating profit divided by revenue; 2 Based on the Company’s SEK 8,573m of debt and c. SEK1,000m of bonds as of December 31, 2017; 3 Average property costs for a residential unit; 4 Based on Vonovia estimates only, potentially subject to differences in methodology / definition; 5 Indicative cost of incremental debt, based on and in line with recent Vonovia unsecured financing issuances. Current average in-place cost of debt is 1.8%
Secured 56%
60.8% 73.2%
49.7%1
2013 2017 Victoria Park
Unsecured 44%
Unsecured 79%
Secured 21%
Secured 88%
Unsecured 12%
Cost of debt: 2.0% Cost of debt: 3.3% Incremental cost5 of debt: ~1.5% (8 yrs.)
99
~1
92
8
Vonovia Victoria Park
Rental
Value-add
`000 units
IPO Sales Acq. Q1 2018
180 63
277 394
Tender Offer for Victoria Park
Attractive Rental Housing Market Dynamics
Page 5 Tender Offer for Victoria Park
Commentary
New build production costs above inflation
70
90
110
130
150
170
1990 1994 1998 2002 2006 2010 2014 2018
CPI
Single-Family Houses
Multi-Family Buildings
Index = 100
Source: Swedish National Statistics Office (SCB)
Demand for rentals remains
high as higher property prices
are a strong barrier to entry
Production costs have
outpaced inflation as a result
of increasing property prices.
However, rental production
costs are c. 40% cheaper than
tenant owned primarily due to
low cost of land
Historically low vacancies,
especially in metropolitan
areas
Recent increase in rental
housing can be explained by:
Strong demand and low
vacancies
Skepticism towards tenant
owned housing market
Post deregulation in 2007,
number of sold municipally
owned rental flats increased
significantly, especially
through conversions in
Stockholm
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
5,000
2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
Sweden
Stockholm
Gothenburg
4,000
4,500
5,000
5,500
6,000
6,500
2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
Sweden
Stockholm
Gothenburg
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
1977 1982 1987 1992 1997 2002 2007 2012 2017
Vacant (total stock)
Vacant (available to rent)
Average rental levels 1 room apts (SEK/month) Average rental levels 2 room apts (SEK/month)
Number of vacant flats
Positive market fudamentals with steady rent growth, low vacancy levels and limited new supply
Source: Swedish National Statistics Office (SCB)
Source: Swedish National Statistics Office (SCB) Source: Broker research
Tender Offer for Victoria Park
The Million Home Program Offers Significant Untapped Potential
Page 6
88.5
73.8 44.4
214.3
180.0
132.4
47.6 36.0 33.4 33.0 31.0 28.2 28.2 27.7 27.6 27.2 26.3 25.5 24.0 23.7 18.4 17.2 11.8 4.6
0
50
100
150
200
250
Tenant-Owned Rental Owner-Occupied
Victoria Park has built the best-in-class platform in Swedish residential
With Vonovia's industralised approach and low cost of capital, Victoria Park will be able to fully harness the potential of the Million Home
Program
More than 1m units were built across Sweden between
1965-1975, of which ~60% is related to residential flats
Around half of the stock is located in regions surrounding
Stockholm, Gothenburg and Malmö
Approximately 70% of the stock was suitable for renovation as of
2014, creating a large opportunity for portfolio acquisitions
and subsequent renovation projects
It is estimated that a full renovation of the entire stock would
take ~10 – 20 years, providing long term prospects for
continued growth
Victoria Park targets acquisitions of portfolios which offer
potential for renovation upside
Units (000s) Stockholm
Gothenburg
Malmö
~205K rental units in the top 3 counties alone
Source: Boverket, Chalmers Research, Prognoscentret 1 Tenant-Owned: Flats are owned by a housing association and tenants own a share in the association (indirect ownership); 2 Owner-Occupied: Direct ownership and occupancy of flat
1 2
0
40,000
80,000
120,000
1960
1961
1962
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
Multi-Dwelling Single-Dwelling
Total of ~1m units
Overview of the Million Home program Number of completed housing units
The Million Housing Program Stock by Location (County)
Source: Boverket
Tender Offer for Victoria Park
Sizeable Consolidation Opportunities
Page 7
Overview of the Swedish housing market size Top 10 largest private competitors hold ~16% of the private rental market, representing ~9% of the total rental market including the municipality owned rental housing
In the private rental housing sector, there are about 50 companies owning more than 1,000 flats
These 50 companies own about 200 – 300k flats, representing a market share of about ~14%, suggesting a high degree of fragmentation in the private sector
In the public sector, the market is more concentrated with only ~10% of the market being held by smaller municipality owned companies
Due to market factors and the regulatory environment, price competition is almost non-existent
38%
17% 8%
23%
21%
39%
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
Total HousingStock
Rental HousingStock
Top 20 LargestPrivate and Public Players
% Share
% share of total housing stock1
21% of total
4,796k
1,822k
385k
45% Stockholm 52% Malmö 64% Gothenburg
Source: Company Information, Boverket, SABO 1 As of 31 December 2016; 2 Direct ownership and occupancy of flat; 3 Flats are owned by a housing association and tenants own a share in the association (indirect ownership); 4 As of 31 December 2017; 5 Q1-18 incl. acquisition of May-18
27.9 27.1 26.9 26.5 26.0 24.6 24.3 24.2 23.0 22.5 19.1 18.6 18.3 18.1 16.7 14.0 13.3 11.0 8.7 6.2
Rik
shem
Sto
ckholm
shem
Poseid
on
Svenska B
ostä
der
Willh
em
Heim
sta
den
Ste
na
Bosta
dsbola
get
i G
BG
MKB F
astighets
Öre
bro
Bostä
der
Fam
ilje
bostä
der
Fam
ilje
bostä
der
i G
BG
Stå
ngåsta
den
D.
Carn
egie
& C
o
Uppsala
hem
Vic
toria P
ark
Akelius
Bald
er
Wallensta
m
L E
Lundberg
Top 20 largest private and public rental housing players (k flats)4
5
Private rental housing companies Municipally owned rental housing companies
Total public rental housing
Total private rental housing
Rental housing
Tenant owned housing3
Owner occupied housing2
Source: Swedish National Statistics Office (SCB), Company information
Tender Offer for Victoria Park
Victoria Park – company overview
Page 8
Source Company information 1 First listing in 2007 on First North, part of the OMX Nordic Exchange; 2 Comparing Q1 2018 versus Q1 2017
Business overview
Victoria Park is a listed property company, focusing on residential
properties in growth districts in southern and central Sweden
The company's main focus is to acquire residential properties with
significant value development potential and then renovate the
portfolio to achieve lower yield requirements and higher
property values
In addition to the standard-enhancing and value increasing investments
through renovation, Victoria Park works actively with socially
responsible property management and densification projects in
unutilized surrounding areas
Founded in 2006 and listed on Nasdaq Stockholm since 20131
Approx. 160 employees, HQ in Malmö, Sweden
45%
18%
37%
Stockholm
Gothenburg
Malmö
Geographical footprint
Distribution of rental value per geography
Region Stockholm
6,027 flats
Region Malmö
5,331 flats
Region Gothenburg
2,367 flats
SEKm 2014 2015 2016 2017 Q1 ‘18
Revenue 298 622 832 1062 284
Growth (%) 109% 34% 28% 10.5%2
EPRA NAV 1,327 2,985 4,821 7,201 7,549
EPRA NAV per share 6.46 13.41 20.08 29.65 31.08
LTV 65.9% 60.9% 59.8% 52.3% 51.4%
Market value properties 3,100 7,300 12,300 15,440 16,173
Financial development
66% CAGR
`14-`17
Example pictures of the property portfolio
Gothenburg Linköping
Do we have a 3rd
picture?
Eskilstuna
Tender Offer for Victoria Park
Victoria Park Operates a Proven Business Model, Significant Similarities to Vonovia's Approach
Source: Financial reports, Capital Markets Day presentation 2017 1 Per March 31, 2018; 2 Based on Vonovia estimates only, potentially subject to differences in methodology / definition
Focus on social responsibility creates future opportunities
Significant potential from renovations
Proven business model
Active property management
Value-creating development
Acquisitions of residential
properties with significant value
potential
1 2
4
69% of Victoria Park’s property
portfolio yet to be renovated1
Self financing renovation model
Renovations generate ~40% rent
increase, higher energy efficiency
with lower costs
86% value uplift on invested
CAPEX drives NAV growth
Impressive track record 3
Increase in EPRA NAV per share of
~66% CAGR from 2014 to 2017
Market value of properties
increased from SEK 3.1bn (2014)
to 16.2bn (2018 Q1)
Solid track record of creating
shareholder value
Social investments are key for
Victoria Park to increase the
residential areas’ attractiveness
and maximize the value potential
Local tenants are hired to create
an ongoing dialogue between the
company and tenants
~69% of the apartments are not renovated1
Victoria Park renovated ~1,200 apartments in 2017, 293 in Q1 ‘18
Page 9
Strong track record of value generation, with embedded value upside from c. 69% of Victoria Park portfolio yet to be renovated
Victoria Park’s flat renovation programme, called ROT-programme, is similar to Vonovia's optimize apartments programme regarding components and yields
Rent increases in Sweden are regulated and can only be accomplished in accordance with the tenant association. VP negotiates with the tenant association a
modernization standard to achieve a certain rent level – per building or block. This ensures a certain standard and a certain price.
Victoria Park’s proven business model
Victoria Park Vonovia
Strong similarities in business model
70%
80%
90%
500
400
300
200
100
0
% Unreno vated of total portfol io
Q4 '15 Q1 '16 Q2 '16 Q3 '16 Q4 '16 Q2 '17 Q3 '17 Q4 '17 Q1 '17
Planned renovations
Completed renovations
Victoria Park’s flat renovation program, called ROT-program, is similar to Vonovia's Optimize Apartments
program regarding components and yields
Flooring
Painting
Electric installation
Bathroom
Kitchen (incl. electric devices)
Flooring
Painting
Electric installation
Bathroom
Kitchen (incl. electric devices)
Δ 10k - 15k
25k – 28k EUR 35k – 40k EUR
Renovation rate of property portfolio
Q1 '18
UPDATED
Vonovia's average cost per apartment modernization is an estimated ~30% lower2
Tender Offer for Victoria Park
With Vonovia's Platform and Low Cost of Capital, Victoria Park Can Fully Harness its Potential
Page 10
What has Victoria Park accomplished…
Optimize apartments
Value enhancing renovation strategy
Close relationship with tenant associations and
municipalities
Acquisition-oriented growth
…What will Vonovia “bring to the table”
Industrialisation and standardisation expertise
Financing (lower cost of capital for Victoria Park)
Optimize Apartments (Vonovia with lower cost)
Expertise in upgrade building, neighborhood
development and space creation (additional
potential)
Value-add strategy
Drive consolidation of Swedish market
Building on Victoria Park‘s strong platform, Vonovia intends to enforce Victoria Park‘s strengths, add complimentary strategies and scale the business
Tender Offer for Victoria Park
Overview of Vonovia's and Victoria Park’s Key Financial and Portfolio Metrics
Page 11
Source: Company information, market data as of 2 May 2018; Note: Stats based on latest reported company information as of 31 March 2018 for Vonovia and Victoria Park unless otherwise stated; all SEK figures converted into EUR using an SEK/EUR exchange rate of 10.6; combined figures are estimated sums only and actual methodologies for calculation may differ, affecting actual combination; non-GAAP financial measures, such as FFO, may be calculated differently by different companies; investors are advised to use caution when comparing such non-GAAP measures between companies; 1 Adj. in-place rent per month calculated by gross in-place rent of €8.4 and adj. for non recs; 2 Multiple calculated by dividing GAV of €1.5bn by rental revenue of €109m and adj. for non recs.; 3 Value of investment properties divided by total sqm; 4 Average property costs (adjusted for non recs.) for a residential unit; 5 Midpoint of Vonovia standalone guidance plus indicative estimated 2018 FFO I contribution from BUWOG; 6 Incl.
shares in other real estate companies; 7 As per current earnings capacity disclosed by Victoria Park at the end of Q1 not including any changes in rents or vacancy until year end; 8 Excluding BUWOG; 9 Only
incl. class A and B shares
Pu
blic m
arket
/ P
&L
Almost € 41bn of assets and c. 408k units
Expanding residential market leadership and obtaining a best-in-class platform for critical mass in Sweden
Po
rtf
olio
FFO (2018E)
Rental income (2018E)
Market capitalization
Value
Residential units
Gross asset value
Multiple
Cost per unit
Vacancy
Victoria Park
€38m7
€109m7
c. €0.8bn9
€1,4073/sqm
c. 14k
€1.5bn
c. 17.5x2
c. €1,6654
c. 3.0%
€ 6.691/sqm In-place net cold rent
Vonovia
€1,040m5
€1,680m8
c. €20.3bn
€1,455/sqm
c. 394k
€39.2bn6
c. 19.8x
c. €526
c. 2.8%
€6.18/sqm
PF combined
c. €1,078m
c. €1,789m
c. €21.1bn
€1,468/sqm
c. 370k
€36.7bn
c. 19.6x
c. 2.7%
€6.31/sqm
€1,292/sqm
c. 23k
€2.5bn
c. 23.4x
c. 4.5%
€4.40/sqm
€1,407sqm
c. 14k
€1.5bn
c. 17.5x2
c. €1,6654
c. 3.0%
€6,691/sqm
c. €526
Tender Offer for Victoria Park
An Attractive Offer for Victoria Park’s Shareholders
Page 12
Financial terms
Cash offer of SEK 38.00 for every Class A and Class B share and SEK 316.00 for every Preference equity share
Implied Enterprise Value of Victoria Park at SEK 17.8bn (equivalent to €1.7bn) based on cash consideration
Attractive offer for
Victoria Park shareholders
Class A: 19.5% premium compared to undisturbed price1 of SEK 31.80; 8.3% compared to closing price of SEK 35.10 as of May 2; 18.9% compared to the 20 trading day undisturbed VWAP1 of SEK 31.97; and 24.6% compared to the 60 trading day undisturbed VWAP1 of SEK 30.50
Class B: 19.9% premium compared to undisturbed price1 of SEK 31.70; 7.3% compared to closing price of SEK 35.40 as of May 2; 20.5% compared to the 20 trading day undisturbed VWAP1 of SEK 31.54; and 24.9% compared to the 60 trading day undisturbed VWAP1 of SEK 30.43
Preference shares: 1.0% premium compared to undisturbed price1 of SEK 313.00; 0.3% compared to closing price of SEK 315.00 as of May 2; and 1.8% compared to the 20 trading day undisturbed VWAP1 of SEK 310.472
22.3% premium to last reported EPRA NAV per share of Victoria Park of SEK 31.08 (Q1 2018) per Class A and B share
11.8% premium to the Starwood’s offer at SEK 34.00 (adjusted for dividends) per each A and B class share
Victoria Park support
When we were made aware of the situation by Victoria Park’s financial advisor we started to consider an amicable
offer to Victoria Park’s shareholders
Independent bid committee of board of Victoria Park has recommended Vonovia's offer
Current chairman, Peter Strand, and other board members have decided to sign the irrevocable as part of the offer
Transaction features
Irrevocable undertakings and call options have been received for 37.31% voting rights, equivalent to 31.82% of capital
The offer will be subject to reaching the minimum acceptance threshold of more than 50% on a fully diluted basis and including call options. In addition, the offer will include other standard conditions
Transaction financing
Vonovia has the necessary bridge financing in place to execute the offer, hedged on a contingent basis
In connection with this transaction, we expect to raise approximately €1bn in the equity markets with timing depending on market conditions
The transaction meets all of Vonovia's acquisition criteria: Strategic fit, FFO/share accretive, NAV/share at least neutral, Rating neutral
Note: Stats based on latest reported company information as of 31 March 2018 for Vonovia and Victoria Park unless otherwise stated; all SEK figures converted into EUR using an SEK/EUR exchange rate of 10.6; 1 Undisturbed price or undisturbed VWAP refers to the latest closing price or the VWAP pre Starwood offer announcement, as of or during a period preceding 29 March 2018 2 To enable a comparison on a like-for-like basis, the historical volume-weighted average price has been adjusted for the impact of accrued dividend due to the detachment of dividend of SEK 5 per preference share as of 28 March 2018
Tender Offer for Victoria Park
Transaction Meets Our Acquisition Criteria
Page 13
Strategic Fit
Acquisition of Victoria Park offers a scalable portfolio in attractive urban growth regions of
Sweden and allows Vonovia to access the Swedish market via an existing successful platform
With the successful acquisitions of conwert and BUWOG in Austria the acquisition of Victoria Park
follows the same strategic logic for the “next step” in international expansion in Sweden, a
highly complementary market with strong similarities to German residential
German residential remains Vonovia's core business strategy
FFO per share Accretion
FFO per share accretion of c. €0.01 — €0.02 per share in first full year of consolidation (2019)1
NAV per share non-dilution
NAV per share accretion of c. €0.01 — €0.09 per share in first full year of consolidation (2019)1
Rating neutral No impact on rating or outlook expected
Note: Stats based on latest reported company information as of 31 March 2018 for Vonovia and Victoria Park unless otherwise stated; all SEK figures converted into EUR using an SEK/EUR exchange rate of 10.6; 1 Based on 50% debt and 50% equity financing on total cost basis (i.e. enterprise offer value including transaction costs) in line with our acquisition criteria, and does not assume any potential synergies. Actual financing of the transaction might differ
Unlike other public transactions, this time Vonovia was able to engage in expedited business diligence and consequently Vonovia has been
able to form and validate a business plan for Victoria Park
Consequently, based on that business plan we believe that the deal is at least NAV neutral and FFO accretive in 2019, based on a 50% equity
and 50% debt financing structure in line with our criteria (on a total cost basis, i.e. offer enterprise value incl. transaction cost)
NAV growth of Victoria Park is expected to be significantly higher than Vonovia standalone NAV growth due to the modernisation driven
business model
Tender Offer for Victoria Park
3 May 2018 Announcement of a voluntary take-over offer with support from Victoria Park’s board and management
25 May 2018 Start of the acceptance period
18 Jun 2018 End of the acceptance period
21 Jun 2018 Publication of the outcome of the offer
28 Jun 2018 Payment and settlement
Anticipated Transaction Timeline
Page 14
1 Indicative expected dates only
Transaction timeline1
Tender Offer for Victoria Park
Wrap-up
Page 15
Attractive offer
Attractive offer and deal structure for Victoria Park shareholders, offering a superior transaction proposition and significant premium to undisturbed share price as well as a premium to last reported EPRA NAV
Meets all acquisition
criteria
Transaction is accretive for Vonovia shareholders and meets all our acquisition criteria
Internationalexpansion
Following the successful acquisitions of BUWOG in Austria, the acquisition of Victoria Park follows the same strategic logic for the “next step” in international expansion in Sweden, a highly complementary market with strong similarities to German residential
Initial step with
substantial potential
Vonovia intends to harness the potential of the Swedish residential market via Victoria Park and aims to become the market consolidator, replicating the Vonovia success story of the last 10 years in a similar market
Tender Offer for Victoria Park Page 16
Appendix
Tender Offer for Victoria Park
Unparalleled Acquisition Track Record
Page 17
1 73.8% of acceptance achieved at end of initial acceptance period, with additional acceptance period to close on June 18, 2018
~20k units acquired
~11k units acquired
~140k units acquired
~30k units acquired
~27k units acquired
Transaction announcement: February 2014
Transaction closing: April 2014
Integration completion: June 2014
Achieved synergies: €10m p.a.
Transaction announcement: February 2014
Transaction closing: October 2014
Integration completion: December 2014
Achieved synergies: €15m p.a.
Transaction announcement: December 2014
Transaction closing: March 2015
Integration completion: December 2015
Achieved synergies: €76m operational + €61m financial p.a.
Transaction announcement: June 2015
Transaction closing: July 2015
Integration completion: September 2015
Achieved synergies: €12m p.a.
Transaction announcement: September 2016
Transaction closing: January 2017
Integration completion: June 2017
Achieved synergies: €23m p.a.
First sizeable portfolio acquisition
First sizeable corporate acquisition
Mixed cash/stock public takeover
Sizeable all equity financed portfolio acquisition
Public takeover and first acquisition outside Germany
Transaction announcement: December 2017
Transaction closing: Pending1
Integration completion: YE 2018 for German operating business
Announced synergies: €30m p.a.
Public takeover and acquisition of critical mass in Austria ~49k units
acquired
Transaction announcement: May 2018
Scheduled transaction closing: End of June 2018
Public takeover and acquisition of “nucleus” in Sweden
~14k units
Tender Offer for Victoria Park
Regulated Rental Market and Stable Rent Growth
Page 18
6,600
7,400
8,200
9,000
9,800
2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
5,000
5,500
6,000
6,500
7,000
7,500
8,000
2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
1 Room Apartments 2 Room Apartments
3 Room Apartments 4+ Room Apartments
Sweden Stockholm Gothenburg
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
5,000
2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
4,000
4,500
5,000
5,500
6,000
6,500
2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
Rental regulation highlights
Rents in Sweden are typically gross rents which
include “normal consumption” of water and heating.
Rent increases are negotiated with the tenant
organization or directly with each single tenant. The
tenant organization can determine a rent increase for a
whole building and not only a single tenant.
Two types of rent increases similar to Germany:
a) annual rent increase for sitting tenants
b) new letting rent increase (standard and new
letting rent to be negotiated with the tenant
organization) high degree of stability and track
record of ~40% uplift for Victoria Park
High degree of tenant protection safeguards stable
market conditions
Average rental levels (SEK/month)
Source: Swedish National Statistics Office (SCB)
Tender Offer for Victoria Park
Residential
Premises
Stockholm
Gothenburg
Malmö
Victoria Park’s current portfolio1
Example pictures of the property portfolio
Source: Company information and press releases Notes: 1 Property portfolio as of March 31, 2018; 2 Acquired 327 flats in Malmö and Trelleborg (lettable area of c. 26 tm2) to be taken into possession on 15 May 2018; 3 Premises made up of community premises and commercial premises, which are located inside the residential properties. Victoria Park owns no pure commercial properties
Victoria Park’s densification project portfolio
Gothenburg Linköping
Lettable area(3)
Rental value per geography
Renovated vs. not renovated
Not renovated
Renovated
City / Area # Prop. # Flats Lettable area tm
2
Rental value
Percentage renovated
Fair value Economic
occupancy rate, %
Turn- over
rate, %
SEK / m2
SEKm
SEK / m
2 SEKm
Stockholm 97 6,027 491 1,102 541 33.1% - - 96 17
Gothenburg 17 2,367 189 1,110 210 18.2% - - 99 11
Malmö2
105 5,331 403 1,097 442 33.5% - - 98 17
Total 219 13,725 1,083 1,101 1,193 30.7% 14,721 16,173 97 16
90% 10% 45%
37%
18%
69%
31%
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Victoria Park’s property portfolio
Category No. of flats GFA m2
Fair value, SEKm
Land ready for development 484 38,250
Planning in process 1,515 111,000
New development plan required 1,076 75,000
Total 3,075 224,250 230
Tender Offer for Victoria Park
Victoria Park’s Shareholder Base
Page 20
Victoria Park’s shareholder base1 243.9m non-diluted number of shares
Comments
Source: Victoria Park’s Interim Report as of 31 March 2018 1 The shareholder base split is based on the percentage of voting rights as per Victoria Park report as of March 31, 2018; 2 As of March 31, 2018
Victoria Park’s shareholder base has no substantial overlap
with Vonovia's shareholder base
Victoria Park’s total number of outstanding shares2:
243,906,359
Class A shares: 77,814,815
Class B shares: 165,059,497
Preference shares: 1,032,047
19.2%
7.9%
7.6%
6.8%
5.5%
53.0%
Other
Greg Dingizian
Anders Pettersson
Foundation For Baltic and East European Studies
Dan Olofsson (Danir AB)
Isabelle Wikner (Fogelvik Holding AB)
Tender Offer for Victoria Park
Swedish Macroeconomic Outlook
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Continued positive near-term macro outlook supportive for residential real estate investments
Source: SCB, Swedish National Institute of Economic Research, GFK, BMI, OECD December 2017 & March 2018 1 Real GDP
Commentary
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
8.0%
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Sweden Germany
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Sweden Germany
Continued positive near-term macro
outlook and consumer confidence
Historically low and further declining
unemployment
Projected real wage growth in line
with Germany
Strong and supportive macro fundamentals, very similar to Germany in most respects
Strong GDP and population growth1
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
SWE GDP SWE Population GER GDP GER Population
Low and further decreasing unemployment rates
Real wage growth
Source: Swedish Institute of Economic Research, Deutsche Bundesbank, BMI
Source: Swedish Institute of Economic Research, Deutsche Bundesbank
Source: Swedish Institute of Economic Research, BMI
Tender Offer for Victoria Park
Large Metropolitan Areas with Low Home Ownership Ratios
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85%
78%
78%
76%
76%
59%
55%
52%
48%
46%
44%
44%
36%
36%
36%
34%
33%
29%
28%
Warsaw
Valencia
Bilbao
Madrid
Barcelona
Venlo
Stockholm
Germany
Malmo
Eindhoven
Arnhem
Marseille
Randstad
Gothenburg
Aarhus
Lyon
Paris
Copenhagen
Lille
Home ownership ratios
Low home ownership is not a phenomenon unique to Germany but can be seen in metropolitan areas across Europe
Sources: JLL Research, own calculations Note: Data partly refers to city boundaries; size of rental market is illustrative and based on JLL Research and Vonovia FY2016 numbers (for German cities) incl. an assumed average flat size of 65sqm and an assumed monthly rent per sqm.
Urbanization (% of total population living in cities)
70
75
80
85
90
95
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
Germany France Netherlands
Sweden Spain
Clear urbanization trend across Europe Strong tenant protection in Sweden
Tender Offer for Victoria Park
Disclaimer
NOT FOR RELEASE, PUBLICATION OR DISTRIBUTION (IN WHOLE OR IN PART) IN, INTO OR FROM ANY JURISDICTION WHERE THIS WOULD VIOLATE THE LAWS OR REGULATIONS OF SUCH JURISDICTION
The facts and information contained herein are as up to date as is reasonably possible and nothing herein shall imply that the facts and information presented are accurate or applicable at any time other than on the date of this presentation. Neither Vonovia SE (the “Company”) nor any of its directors, officers, employees or advisors, or any other person makes any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the information contained in this presentation nor does the information herein constitute a recommendation to any person to acquire any securities. Neither the Company nor any of its directors, officers, employees or advisors, or any other person shall have any liability whatsoever for losses howsoever arising, directly or indirectly, from any use of this presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection therewith.
This document is selective in nature and is intended to provide an introduction to, and overview of, the business of the Company and its subsidiaries and for the potential transaction. The information relating to the Company does not constitute a complete overview of the Company and must be supplemented by the reader wishing such completeness. Any opinions expressed in this document reflect the Company’s current views and are subject to change without notice and neither the Company nor any other person is under any obligation to update or keep current the information contained herein. A significant portion of the information contained in this document, including market data and trend information, is based on estimates or expectations of the Company, and there can be no assurance that these estimates or expectations are or will prove to be accurate. Certain facts stated herein are derived from public sources and notwithstanding that such information has been correctly reproduced and the Company considers the sources to be reliable, the Company has not independently verified the information and such information should not be interpreted as having been adopted or endorsed by the Company as being accurate or complete.
This presentation contains forward-looking statements relating to the business, financial performance and results of the Company or the industry in which the Company operates. These statements may be identified by words such as “expectation”, “guidance”, “belief”, “estimate”, “plan”, “target” or “forecast” and similar expressions, or by their context. These statements are made on the basis of current knowledge and assumptions and involve risks and uncertainties. Various factors could cause actual future results, performance or events to differ materially from those described in these statements and neither the Company nor any other person accepts any responsibility for the accuracy of the opinions expressed in this presentation or the underlying assumptions. No obligation is assumed to update any forward-looking statements.
The information contained herein does not constitute an offer, nor a solicitation of an offer, to buy any securities, and it does not constitute any form of commitment or recommendation in relation thereto. This presentation does not constitute an offer document and has not been approved or registered with any supervisory authority. In connection with the proposed combination of Vonovia and Victoria Park, an offer document relating to the offer will be filed with and published by the Swedish Financial Supervisory Authority (the “SFSA”). Shareholders of Victoria Park should read the offer document carefully when it becomes available, since it will contain important information about the transaction. Shareholders of Victoria Park may obtain free copies of the offer document, any amendments or supplements thereto and other documents containing important information about the transaction, from Vonovia’s website http://en.vonovia-k.de
This document and any materials distributed in connection with this document are not directed to, or intended for distribution to or use by, any person or entity that is a citizen or resident or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law or regulation or which would require any registration or licensing within such jurisdiction, in particular, but not limited to Australia, Canada, Hong Kong, Japan, New Zealand or South Africa.
This presentation speaks as of its date. Neither the delivery of this presentation nor any further discussions of the Company with any of the recipients shall, under any circumstances, create any implication that there has been no change in the affairs of the Company or its subsidiaries since such date.
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