the 2012 burntwood lecture revisiting rachel: the legacy of silent spring fifty years on. the sea...
TRANSCRIPT
The 2012 Burntwood LectureRevisiting Rachel: The Legacy of Silent Spring Fifty Years On.
The Sea Around Us
Professor Michael H. Depledge DSc.Chair of Environment and Human Health
Aquatic Origins?
• Sir Alistair Hardy• Omega 3• Vernix• Religions
Why focus oceans and health?• 2-3 billion increase in population by 2050 in
developing countries of the tropics and subtropics.
• Sewage disposal largely into estuaries and coastal waters.
• More than half of the world's 7 billion population currently live in cities. Up to 60% by 2030.
• World’s 33 major cities will have > 8 million residents by 2015. 21 of them are coastal cities.
Why focus on coastal communities?
• Industrial manufacture is shifting to developing countries mainly near rivers, estuaries and coasts (with associated pollutant discharges)
• Most of the impacts of climate change will be felt by coastal communities (sea-level rise, storms, altered ocean currents, etc.) Seafood is a vital source of protein (half from coastal aquaculture).
• Reduction or interruption of this food supply could be catastrophic both economically and with regard to the health and wellbeing of more than 2 billion people.
• Oceanic fishing is worth US$ 82 billion annually ($ 2.5 billion in the USA).
• During 1990s, annual catch levelled off at 90 million tons.
• Future increases to be met by aquaculture - frequently involves destruction of coastal wetlands.
• Black Sea, North Atlantic and Caribbean fisheries are collapsing. (Source: Wilson, 2002)
HUMAN HEALTH AND OVERFISHING
Overt health threats from the Ocean
• Drowning (and related injuries)
• Contamination of seafood (algal toxins, microbes, chemical pollutants and radioisotopes)
Harmful algal blooms
RAMP : integrated environmental &human health risk assessment (PAHs)
Indoor cooking
Urine sampling PAH analysis
Oil industry
Hypoxia in the Oceans
Interconnections between humans and the environment: a historical perspective
500 700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 21000
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
Year
$1 trillion in 1900
$10 trillion in 1967
$52 trillion in 2003
Wo
rld
GD
P (
trill
ion
19
90
do
llars
)
Source: DeLong 1998
Economic History of the World
“ in a cubic mile of seawater there are about $93,000,000 of
gold and $8,500,000 of silver. To treat this volume of water
in a year would require the twice daily filling and emptying
of 200 tanks of water, each 500 feet square and 5 feet
deep”.
Rachel Carson, (1952)
A guide to getting rich quickly !
Each tank = 18.5 swimming pools
Contaminants from human activities entering environments.
Conventional• Metals (mercury, cadmium, lead)• Pesticides• Persistent Organic Pollutants• (PCBs, Dioxins, DDT, etc.)• Endocrine disruptors• Oil pollution (PAHs)• Nutrients (N, P)
New (?) (examples) • Brominated Flame Retardants• Plastics• Pharmaceuticals• Platinum• PFOS (perfluoroctane sulfonate)
• Nanomaterials
Contaminants in the Oceans.
PFOA, BDEs, algal toxins, pharmaceuticals, nanomaterials, etc, etc.
DDT, PCBs, Dioxins, PAHs, Other POPs, Metals.
TBT, BPA, EDCs
Dioxin TEQ levels by age: 4 studies
Patterson, ORGANOHALOGEN COMPOUNDS – Volume 66 (2004)
Men
Women
Millions
From Ed Stephan, Global Health Networkhttp://www.ac.wwu.edu/~stephan/Animation/pyramid.html
Human Demographics Population ageing e.g. USA
Depledge et al. (2012) Marine Environmental Research, (in press)
Body burdens of contaminants with age
0-17 18-24 25-44 45-64 65+0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Arsenic
Lead
Mercury
PCB28
PFOA
Cadmium
2,2',4,4',5,5'-hexabromobiphenyl
Age group (years)
Rel
ativ
e co
nce
ntr
atio
n o
f en
viro
nm
enta
l to
xica
nt
(AU
)
Rel
ativ
e co
nce
ntr
atio
n o
f h
exab
rom
ob
iph
enyl
(A
U)
Melzer D, Rice N, Depledge MH, Henley WE, Galloway TS 2010. Association Between Serum Perfluoroctanoic Acid (PFOA) and Thyroid Disease in the NHANES Study. Environ Health Perspect :-. doi:10.1289/ehp.0901584
Lang, I.A, Galloway, T.S., Scarlett, A., Henley, W.E., Depledge, M.H., Wallace, R.B. and Melzer, D. (2008). Association of Bisphenol A concentration with medical disorders and laboratory abnormalities in adults. Journal of the American Medical Association, 300(11), 1303-1310.
Are environmental chemicals altering the
incidence and pattern of diseases?
Managing pharmaceuticals in the environment
What about nanomedicines?
16 November 2012
Resistance to antibiotics is one of the greatest threats to modern health, experts say.
The warning from England's chief medical officer and the Health Protection Agency comes amid reports of growing problems with resistant strains of bugs such as E. coli and gonorrhoea.
They said many antibiotics were being used unnecessarily for mild infections, helping to create resistance.
And they urged patients to take more care with how they used medicines.
This is particularly important as there are very few new antibiotics in development.
The chief medical officer, Prof Dame Sally Davies, said: "Antibiotics are losing their effectiveness at a rate that is both alarming and irreversible - similar to global warming
IPCC temperature projections
From IPCC Report Climate Change 2001:
We are here
Climate Predictions
“ Now, in our own lifetime, we are witnessing a startling
alteration of climate..... It is now established beyond
question that a definite change in the arctic climate set in
about 1900, that it became astonishingly marked about
1930, and that it is now spreading into sub-arctic and
temperate regions. The frigid top of the world in very clearly
warming up! ”
Rachel Carson (1952)
Coming soon to a place near you!
Flash floods
Coastal flooding
Storm surges
Heat waves
Infectious diseases
Invasive species
Toxic algal blooms
Hurricanes
Ocean acidification
Ozone
Crop failure
Mitigation & Co-benefits: Artificial Reefs
FishingCommunity
Renewable Energy
Artificial reef -coastal protection
Are health threats from the oceans being under-estimated?
“Human beings cannot bear too much reality”
T.S. Elliot
The Value of Oceans for Wellbeing:
Choosing a hotel room…..
A B C
3 rooms are identical except view from the balcony
$71.94$109.28$91.22
White et al, 2010 (in press)
Pharmaceuticals and Medical Research
– Ecteinascidin 743
• potent anti cancer drug from the Caribbean sea squirt;
– Conotoxin
• Potent anti-pain drug from marine cone snail
– Brevenal
• possible cystic fibrosis agent from Florida Red Tide toxin.
Nobel Prize winning use of marine animal models
Trends in the prevalence of obesity
Source: NASA & WHO
Disease patterns by 2030
1. Aids2. Depression3. Stroke
1. Aids2. Infant Mortality3. Depression
1. Depression2. Heart Attack3. Alzheimers
1. Depression2. Heart Attack3. Alzheimers
1. Aids2. Depression3. Stroke
1. Depression2. Heart Attack3. Alzheimers
Health and Wellbeing from the Environment
Rockpool rambles
Sailing
Coastal walks
Swimming
Kayaking
SurfingDiving
Bluegym.org.ukBlue Gym = Campaign + Research
Rigorous scientific studies
(RCT, intervention & mechanistic studies)
Does living by the sea improve your health and wellbeing?
B. Wheeler, M. White, W. Stahl-Timmins and M.H. Depledge, 2012 (in press)
Societal issues and Societal issues and political decision political decision
makingmaking
Interconnections in Marine Environment & Health
HABs & pathogens
HABs & pathogens
Emerging pathogensEmerging pathogens
Natural Events
Natural Events
Environmental & ecosystem degradation
Environmental & ecosystem degradation
Poverty-disease nexus
Poverty-disease nexus
Toxic chemicals & particles
Toxic chemicals & particles Socio-
economic factors
Socio-economic
factors
Adverse impact on human health
Adverse impact on human health
Human population pressure
Human population pressure
Loss of food resources
Loss of food resources
HABs & pathogens
HABs & pathogens
Emerging pathogensEmerging pathogens
Natural Events
Natural Events
Environmental & ecosystem degradation
Environmental & ecosystem degradation
Poverty-disease nexus
Poverty-disease nexus
Toxic chemicals & particles
Toxic chemicals & particles Socio-
economic factors
Socio-economic
factors
Adverse impact on human health
Adverse impact on human health
Human population pressure
Human population pressure
Loss of food resources
Loss of food resources
All in the context of climate change
Societal issues and Societal issues and political decision political decision
makingmaking
Interconnections in Marine Environment & Health
HABs & pathogens
HABs & pathogens
Emerging pathogensEmerging pathogens
Natural Events
Natural Events
Environmental & ecosystem degradation
Environmental & ecosystem degradation
Poverty-disease nexus
Poverty-disease nexus
Toxic chemicals & particles
Toxic chemicals & particles Socio-
economic factors
Socio-economic
factors
Adverse impact on human health
Adverse impact on human health
Human population pressure
Human population pressure
Loss of food resources
Loss of food resources
HABs & pathogens
HABs & pathogens
Emerging pathogensEmerging pathogens
Natural Events
Natural Events
Environmental & ecosystem degradation
Environmental & ecosystem degradation
Poverty-disease nexus
Poverty-disease nexus
Toxic chemicals & particles
Toxic chemicals & particles Socio-
economic factors
Socio-economic
factors
Adverse impact on human health
Adverse impact on human health
Human population pressure
Human population pressure
Loss of food resources
Loss of food resources
All in the context of climate change
Moore, M.N. Depledge, M.H. et al. 2012, Microbial Ecol. (in press)
Oceans , human health and wellbeing: Specific Questions.
• Can we demonstrate associations between ecosystem health and human health?
• How do adverse natural events (such as earthquakes, volcanic eruptions, flooding, tsunami, severe storms impact) on public health?
• How does eutrophication from land-based nutrient influx impact on seafood security and safety?
• How do harmful algal blooms (HABs) and other biogenic toxins cause direct-contact toxicity and impair seafood safety and other impacts on human health?
• What are the transmission routes and public health consequences of pathogens (helminths, protozoans, bacterial and viral)?
• Are there negative impacts of aquaculture on the environment and public health?
• Are there risks from contamination of seawater and seafood by micro- and nanoparticles and conventional chemical pollution, including complex mixtures?
• What are the risks from radio-nuclides, including direct risks and food safety and security as a result of the expansion of the nuclear energy industry?
• Are there common pathways for transport and uptake of pathogens and chemical/particle pollutants?
• What are the impacts of food safety and food quality (nutritional components)?
• Can problems with food security (over-exploitation, environmental degradation and biodiversity loss; reduction in adaptive capacity through loss of genetic diversity) be effectively managed to prevent loss of biological resources (fisheries)?
• Does proximity to the seas and coasts have health benefits? - the “Blue Gym” effect.
• Can environmental, social and economic interactions (quality of governance, pressures from coastal zone overpopulation and sustaining critical coastal ecosystems) be predicted?
Oceans , human health and wellbeing: Specific Questions.
• Can we demonstrate associations between ecosystem health and human health?
• How do adverse natural events (such as earthquakes, volcanic eruptions, flooding, tsunami, severe storms impact) on public health?
• How does eutrophication from land-based nutrient influx impact on seafood security and safety?
• How do harmful algal blooms (HABs) and other biogenic toxins cause direct-contact toxicity and impair seafood safety and other impacts on human health?
• What are the transmission routes and public health consequences of pathogens (helminths, protozoans, bacterial and viral)?
• Are there negative impacts of aquaculture on the environment and public health?
• Are there risks from contamination of seawater and seafood by micro- and nanoparticles and conventional chemical pollution, including complex mixtures?
• What are the risks from radio-nuclides, including direct risks and food safety and security as a result of the expansion of the nuclear energy industry?
• Are there common pathways for transport and uptake of pathogens and chemical/particle pollutants?
• What are the impacts of food safety and food quality (nutritional components)?
• Can problems with food security (over-exploitation, environmental degradation and biodiversity loss; reduction in adaptive capacity through loss of genetic diversity) be effectively managed to prevent loss of biological resources (fisheries)?
• Does proximity to the seas and coasts have health benefits? - the “Blue Gym” effect.
• Can environmental, social and economic interactions (quality of governance, pressures from coastal zone overpopulation and sustaining critical coastal ecosystems) be predicted?
The Future.....• Global population –decreasing after 2050.• Technological advances can reduce pollution.• Improvements in aquaculture and land use can
deliver more food.• Marine conservation strategies can protect
and restore marine biodiversity.• Exploration of the oceans (especially the deep
oceans can provide new resources and new
insights about the planet.• The oceans offer new opportunities to improve
human health and wellbeing.
“ For the sea lies all around us..... In its mysterious past it encompasses all the dim origins of life and receives in the end, after many transmutations, the dead husks of that same life.....
For all at last return to the sea...........”
Rachel Carson, (1952)
If you would like to help, please contact [email protected]