the 5 ps of equity investing
Post on 19-Oct-2014
1.673 views
DESCRIPTION
An article on Equity Investing by Franklin Templeton. It is a good guide when choosing Stocks or Mutual Funds or any other financial instrumentTRANSCRIPT
The 5Ps of Equity InvestingTHE FRANKLIN TEMPLETON WAY
“An investment in knowledge always pays the best interest.”-BENJAMIN FRANKLIN
The world we live in is non-stationary and non-linear and moves in an unpredictable manner and so do financial
markets. But, how does one go about investing in equity markets, especially in a difficult environment, like the
one we face right now? One may feel that being nimble-footed in tackling the vagaries of equity investing is a
good strategy, but in reality, it’s easier said than done.
Investing through equity mutual funds can be a very good option for any investor looking to invest in equities.
Mutual funds, as we all know, are professionally managed, well-diversified and cost effective; but, with over 400
equity schemes managed in the industry, it’s a tough job for any investor or advisor to choose the few schemes
that are likely to make investing in them worthwhile. The endeavour of this note is to give readers an opportunity
to understand some principles one may use, while selecting an equity mutual fund, irrespective of the financial
market condition.
We have all heard of the ‘4 Ps of Marketing’ which are the bedrock of a sound marketing strategy. Taking a cue
from them we have put together the ‘5 Ps of Equity Investing’ which can serve as a simple, but effective tool
for any equity mutual fund investor to short-list a good scheme for investing. The process hinges on 5 critical
parameters that one should look at, to help make the selection process meaningful and robust.
“Your success in investing will depend in part on your character and guts, and in part,
on your ability to realize at the height of the ebullience and the depth of despair alike
that this too shall pass.” – John Bogle, Mutual Fund Industry Pioneer.
1 PEOPLE
This refers to the fund house and its fund management team. It is an assessment of whether the investor’s
money is in good hands and can create significant level of comfort while taking the investment decisions.
Some key questions to ask:
• How stable is the fund management team?
• What is the experience of the fund management team? (across cycles, comparable mandates.)
• Does the fund manager (or the fund management team) instil a high level of confidence in their
communication?
• How stable is the firm’s ownership? Has there been a change in the firm's ownership?
• Does the firm’s management team (other than fund management) instil confidence?
Franklin Templeton India Equity TeamThe core equity team at Franklin Templeton Investments in India comes with a cumulative industry experience
of over 225 years, of which over half has been with the firm. In terms of size, we also have one of the largest
buy–side teams in the industry.
Franklin India Equity Team: Strong Intellectual Capital• Experience in managing a diverse range of portfolios across market cycles and across small, mid and large-cap stocks.
• Well-established relationships with local contacts.
• Focused on the local market while tuned in to global trends.
• Adheres consistently to investment objectives and philosophy.
• Frequent company visits and meetings with industry people to form independent views.
STEPHEN DOVER, CFAMD & CIO - International
SUKUMAR RAJAHMD & CIO – Asian Equity
22 years of industry experienceWith FT since 1994
SIVASUBRAMANIAN, KNCIO – Franklin Equity India
24 years of industry experienceWith FT since 1993
CHAKRI LOKAPRIYAPortfolio Manager
15 years of industry experienceWith FT since 2008
JANAKIRAMAN RENGARAJU, CFAPortfolio Manager & Research AnalystMedia, Telecom and Mid-cap stocks
15 years of industry experienceWith FT since 2007
HARI SHYAMSUNDERResearch Analyst
Auto and Oil & Gas5 years of industry experience
With FT since 2009
PEEYUSH MITTALResearch Analyst
Engineering and Non-Ferrous Metals6 years of industry experience
With FT since 2011
ADDITIONAL RESOURCESTrading Desk
(Prakash Natarajan and Deepak Subramani)Global Risk Management Product Management
ANAND VASUDEVANPortfolio Manager & Head of Research
Banks, Finance and Insurance15 years of industry experience
With FT since 2007
ROSHI JAIN, CFAPortfolio Manager & Research Analyst
Engineering10 years of industry experience
With FT since 2005
NEERAJ GAURH, CFAResearch Analyst
Consumer, Retail, Auto Ancillaries, Agriculture & Logistics
5 years of industry experience. With FT since 2010
AVNISH TIWARIResearch Analyst
Metals and Mining12 years of industry experience
With FT since 2012
ANAND RADHAKRISHNAN, CFAPortfolio Manager & Head of
Portfolio Analytics18 years of industry experience
With FT since 2004
ANIL PRABHUDASPortfolio Manager & Research Analyst
Hotels, Packaging & Sugar20 years of industry experience
With FT since 2003
MURALI YERRAMDedicated Portfolio Manager for Foreign
Securities & Research Analyst for InformationTechnology, Banks, Finance & Insurance
5 years of industry experience. With FT since 2007
SHALABH AGARWALResearch Analyst
Cement, Construction, Healthcare,Power & Utilities
8 years of industry experience. With FT since 2012
Franklin India Equity Team Structure:
FRANKLIN INDIA EQUITY TEAM TEMPLETON EMERGING MARKETS TEAM
F R A N K L I N T E M P L E T O N I N V E S T M E N T S
2
Templeton Emerging Markets Team: A Team Approach
A Large and Experienced Team - Templeton Emerging Markets Team is represented in 4 continents by 52
dedicated portfolio managers and analysts, with an average of 11 years in the industry and 8 years with the firm,
located across 18 offices.
Rigorous and Consistent Investment Process - A time-tested investment philosophy built upon a disciplined, yet
flexible, long-term approach to value-oriented emerging markets investing which allows Templeton to look
beyond short-term news, noise and emotion.
Peer Review Discussions - A challenging and rewarding team approach with weekly peer review meetings and
semi-annual team conferences.
PHILOSOPHY
Good fund management teams /fund managers have a distinct investment philosophy or ‘style’ of investing.
Some fund managers prefer to invest in equities with upward momentum. Others prefer to buy under-valued
equities at bargain prices. In fact, there are several different investment styles. The most common of these
are ‘Value’ and ‘Growth’. Investment styles may be periodically in and out of favour with the stock markets,
but tend to balance out over a full market cycle. Knowing a fund manager’s investment philosophy can help
understand the rationale for specific security transactions implemented by the manager over time. It can also
help put performance in bull and bear phases in context.
Some key questions to ask:
• How clearly defined is the investment philosophy?
• What are the advantages /disadvantages of this style?
• Does the philosophy inspire confidence?
Templeton Emerging Markets Team Structure:
DR. MARK MOBIUSExecutive Chairman
Templeton Emerging Markets Group
CHETAN SEHGALChief Investment Officer / India20 years of industry experience
With FT since 1995
RAJESH SEHGALSr. Executive Director / Sr. VP17 years of industry experience
With FT since 1999
VIKAS CHIRANEWALVice President / Deputy Director8 years of industry experience
With FT since 2006
Franklin Templeton Investment Philosophy: Across Value and Growth The equity fund management team at Franklin Templeton adopts an investment style that is across value and
growth, where the Franklin India Equity Team focuses on Growth and the Templeton Emerging Markets Team
focuses on Value. The focus has been on a bottom-up style of investing where emphasis is put on researching
and evaluating individual companies which display a long-term potential of wealth creation.
3 PROCESS
The process is how the philosophy is executed. Some key questions to ask:
• Is there a well laid down, comprehensive process in place?
• How much flexibility does the fund manager has in decision making, vis-à-vis the fund house?
• How are stocks researched?
• How is risk managed?
• How adequate and effective is the risk management process?
• Does the process inspire confidence?
Franklin India Equity Process
IDEA GENERATION• Depth and width of experience of the team help spot
ideas quickly
• Benefits of past mistakes - knowledge of ‘what to avoid’
• Extensive network of contacts built over 10 years of
investing in Indian equities
• Consistent philosophy with continual refinement
BUSINESS ANALYSIS• Deep understanding of businesses
• Long-term view of the business
• Ability to look beyond short-term noise
STOCK RECOMMENDATIONS• Team approach and debates
• Appropriate templates
and valuation tools
PORTFOLIO CONSTRUCTION• Time-tested approach has historically yielded consistently
superior long-term investment results
• Philosophy remains unchanged, with continual
improvement and refinement of our investment process
PORTFOLIO AND RISK MANAGEMENT• Ability to capitalize on abnormal price
movements
• Balance between excessive trading and
being passive
• Support from global risk managers
Continuous flow of new ideas
List of 300 companies,
100 core
60 companies on recommendation list
High alpha
Appropriate diversification
Medium turnover
Healthy risk-adjusted
returns
Franklin Templeton in India: Two distinct equity investing styles
Franklin India Equity Team
Focused on Growth
Templeton Emerging Markets Team
Focused on Value
4 PORTFOLIO
This refers to the portfolio put together by the fund manager.
Some key questions to ask:
• In terms of sectors /stock composition and portfolio turnover, is the portfolio true to its mandate?
• What is the concentration risk in the portfolio?
• Is there sufficient rationale for areas of concern?
Templeton Emerging Markets Process
Consider the example of Franklin India Bluechip Fund: FIBCF is a fund with an 18 year track record of investing primarily in large-cap stocks.
Does it invest only in large-cap stocks?Depending on fundamental views, we might sometimes look at mid-cap companies with a market capitalization
close to that of the large-cap ones, but the primary exposure is towards large-cap stocks. Since inception, it has
always remained true to its mandate of investing in large-cap stocks, irrespective of the market conditions. This
sets the fund apart from other funds, which may have changed their investment strategies to adapt to market
conditions.
Such a style consistency helps the investors understand the risks they
are undertaking and the possible performance characteristics of the
fund. If a fund doesn’t stay true to its investment style, investors will
not have an idea of the type of risks they are undertaking.
Period: 1 December 1993 to 30 June 2012
Source: Morningstar, from 1 December 1993 to 30 June 2012
Franklin India Bluechip Growth
BSE Sensex India
Ongoing Valuation Analysis
Disciplined Sell Methodology
Weekly Peer Review and Risk Analytics
Quantitative Analysis
Qualitative Analysis
Sector and Country Input
Initial Screening (3,000-4,000 Securities)
Global Contacts
Master List (21,000 Securities)
Investment Guidelines
Allocation Model
Diversified Portfolio
Continual Review Process
Peer Review and Analysts Sets Final Target Price
Action List Inclusion (600-800 Securities)
STEP 4Construct Portfolio
STEP 3Peer Review
STEP 2In-Depth Fundamental Analysis
STEP 1Identify Potential Bargains
STEP 5Evaluation and
Portfolio MaintenanceTE
MPL
ETON
’S B
OTTO
M-U
P ST
OCK
SELE
CTIO
N PR
OCES
S
Equity Style
Gian
tLa
rge
Mid
Smal
lM
icro
Deep Val Core Val Core Grth High GrthBlend
PERFORMANCE
Performance refers to the NAV movement of a fund. In our opinion, performance analysis can help validate
the strategy and its execution over a particular period. At another level, it can also help understand the
underlying risks (other than concentration risk) to holding the fund.
Performance Analysis to Understand Risk
Risk, by itself, can be the subject of a long and elaborate discussion. Risk can be perceived in different ways. Here are some of the ways of perceiving risk:
• Standalone volatility.
• Volatility relative to a benchmark.
• Maximum possible loss.
Depending on how one perceives risk, one could choose a measure that helps quantify the extent to which the past performance reflects that risk.
• To assess the historic standalone volatility, one could see the fund’s Standard Deviation.
• To assess the historic volatility relative to a benchmark, one could see the fund’s Beta.
• To measure the historic maximum possible loss, one could see the fund’s Maximum Drawdown.
Some things to bear in mind:
• Each measure will have its advantages and disadvantages. The choice of a measure is a very individual
choice based on one’s perception of risk and how one perceives the advantages of a measure stacked
up against its disadvantages.
• The selection of the time period, the benchmark and defining the appropriate peer group will have a
bearing on the accuracy of some of the measures.
• The results are best seen, not as individual rankings, but rather as quartiles or similar.
• If you cannot do these calculations on your own, check for research providers who can do this for you.
If you prefer readily available research, look at the methodology followed by different research providers
and select one whose methodology gives you most comfort.
5
Performance Analysis to Validate Strategy and Execution
Good performance is a reflection of good strategy and /or good execution. What constitutes ‘good performance’ is something over which opinions can vary. For most advisors and investors, the as-on-date returns form the basis of performance analysis. As illustrated earlier, such an analysis carries with it the risk of end-point-bias, i.e. the most recent performance hides the past performance. Additionally, such an analysis does not factor in the risk taken. We believe that higher returns are not possible without taking higher risk. For these reasons, we do not recommend performance analysis on this basis. Instead, we suggest measures which have relatively fewer disadvantages. Here are some of the measures that we suggest:
• Rolling Returns vis-à-vis benchmark and/or peer group funds.
• Sharpe Ratio vis-à-vis benchmark and/or peer group funds.
• Treynor Ratio vis-à-vis peer group funds.
• Alpha vis-à-vis peer group funds.
• Information Ratio vis-à-vis all funds.
WHY FRANKLIN TEMPLETON?
Franklin Templeton Worldwide:
• Premier global investment management organization with over 60 years of global investment experience
• Headquartered in San Mateo, California with offices in 30 countries worldwide
• Over 500 investment professionals managing USD 706.9 billion in assets for over 20 million investor accounts (as of 30 June 2012)
• Global research expertise of over 100 investment professionals
Franklin Templeton in India:
• Established office in 1996
• Extensive experience in both equity and debt across market cycles: 9 of our funds have a performance track record of over 10 years
• Focus on local needs backed by global expertise
Our values reflect what's most important to us as a company. They are the ideas that guide how we do business, how we treat our clients and how we work with each other. We strive to:
Put clients first
We strive to know and meet our clients’ needs, and we fully accept our fiduciary responsibility to protect the interests of our investors and stakeholders.
Build relationships
We work to establish enduring relationships with our clients and business partners. We value collaboration and co-operation in our workplaces.
Seek to achieve quality results
We value professional excellence and expertise, and we strive to produce consistent, competitive results for our clients.
Work with integrity
We speak and act in an honest manner. We believe in being accountable for the impact we have on others.
Our Core Values
Put clientsfirst
Work withintegrity
Buildrelationships
Seek to achievequality results
GLOSSARY
Alpha: Alpha takes the volatility (price risk) of a mutual fund and compares its risk-adjusted performance to a
benchmark index. The excess return of the fund relative to the return of the benchmark index is a fund's alpha.
Asset: Any holding with monetary value such as stocks, bonds, real estate and cash.
Asset Allocation: Investment strategy that diversifies assets among stocks, bonds and money market
instruments to help reduce investment risk.
Bear Market: A period of time during which securities prices are falling in the stock market.
Beta: It shows the sensitivity of the fund to movements measured against the benchmark. A beta of more than
1 indicates an aggressive fund and the value of the fund is likely to rise or fall more than the benchmark. A beta
of less than 1 implies a defensive fund that will rise or fall less than the benchmark. A beta of 1 indicates that
the fund and the benchmark will react identically.
Blue Chip: Stock of a nationally known company that has a long record of profit, growth and dividend payment,
and a reputation for quality management, products and services.
Bottom-up Investing: In bottom-up investing, the investor focuses his or her attention on a specific company
rather than on the industry in which that company operates or on the economy as a whole.
Bull Market: A distinctive time period, during which the prices of securities are rising, usually characterized by
high trading volumes.
Equity: A type of security representing part ownership in a company or corporation. Common stocks, preferred
stock and convertible stock are types of equity securities.
Fund Manager: The person responsible for deciding which securities are to be part of the mutual fund’s portfolio.
Growth Investing: A strategy whereby an investor seeks out stocks with what they deem good growth potential.
In most cases, a growth stock is defined as a company whose earnings are expected to grow at an above-average
rate compared to its industry or the overall market.
Information Ratio: The Information ratio is a measure of the risk-adjusted return of a financial security (or asset
or portfolio). The expected active return is divided by tracking error, where active return is the difference
between the return of the security and the return of a selected benchmark index, and tracking error is the
standard deviation of the active return.
Market Risk: The potential loss that is possible as a result of short-term volatility of the stock market.
Maximum Drawdown: The percentage loss that a fund incurs from its peak NAV to its lowest NAV.
Mutual Fund: A mutual fund is an investment that pools shareholders' money and invests it toward a specified
goal. Each fund's investments are chosen and monitored by qualified professionals who use this money to create
a portfolio. That portfolio could consist of stocks, bonds, money market instruments or a combination of those.
Net Asset Value: The NAV is the market value of mutual fund shares. It is calculated each business day, based
on the value of the assets of the fund minus its liabilities, divided by the number of shares outstanding.
Scheme Information Document (SID): SID is a legal document that contains important information about
a fund's investment goals, sales charges, expenses and risks.
Franklin India Bluechip Fund:Scheme Classification and Investment Objective: An open end growth scheme with an objective primarily to provide medium to long-term capital appreciation. Load Structure: Entry Load: Nil. Exit Load: 1% if redeemed or switched-out within one year of allotment.
Mutual Fund investments are subject to market risks, read all scheme related documents carefully.
Performance: How a fund has done in the past and how well it is doing at present.
Price-Earnings Ratio (P/E): One of the quantitative measures used by portfolio managers to help them value
companies. It is calculated by dividing a company’s share price by its earning per share.
Rolling Returns: The annualized average return for a period ending with the listed year. Rolling returns are
useful for examining the behavior of returns for holding periods similar to those actually experienced by
investors.
Sharpe Ratio: Statistical measure of a portfolio's historic ‘risk-adjusted’ performance. Calculated by dividing a
fund's excess return by the standard deviation of those returns. As a measure of reward per unit of total risk,
the higher the ratio, the better.
Standard Deviation: A measure of deviation or historic volatility of a portfolio. It measures the dispersion of a
fund's periodic returns from its mean value. The wider the dispersion, the higher the standard deviation and
thus higher the risk. Lower standard deviation is therefore preferred.
Top-Down Investing: The top-down style of investment management places primary importance on country or
regional allocation. Top-down managers generally focus on global economic and political trends in selecting the
countries or regions where they expect to find investment opportunities.
Treynor Ratio: A ratio developed by Jack Treynor that measures returns earned in excess of that which could
have been earned on a riskless investment per each unit of market risk.
Value Investing: The investment approach which favors buying under-priced stocks that are inexpensive relative
to their intrinsic value and that may have the potential to perform well and increase in price in the future.
Franklin Templeton Asset Management (India) Pvt. Ltd.Indiabulls Finance Centre, Tower 2, 12th & 13th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Elphinstone (West), Mumbai-400 013.
Join us on:
http://www.youtube.com/templetonindia
http://www.facebook.com/FranklinTempletonIndia http://www.linkedin.com/company/franklintempletonindia
http://www.twitter.com/ftiindia
Mobile phones by prefixing the local city code; local call rates apply for both numbers. Helpline available from 8 a.m. to 9 p.m. Monday to Saturday
[email protected] www.franklintempletonindia.comInvestors: 1800 425 4255, 6000 4255Distributors:1800 425 9100, 6000 9100