the 6 th meeting of the intosai working group the role of knis in formation of the integrated...
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The 6th Meeting of the INTOSAI Working Group
The role of KNIs in formation of the integrated management system of social and economic
progress
Dr. Alexander A. Piskunov, Accounts Chamber of the Russian Federation
Krakow, April 22-24, 2013
Socio-economic development area
USA
Short-term
planning
Medium-term
planning
Long-term
planning
China
The system of SED management Target state of Target state of AuthoritiesAuthorities
Technologies
The syste
m of SED audit
Competence of
Government
Management architecture effectiveness
Management techniques competitiv
eness
Arch
itect
ure
Targ
eting
The dimension of
the RF Development
The processes (objects) of Management
TT
AA
TTechech
AA
TT
TTechech
The processes (objects) of Audit
Financial auditFinancial audit
Performance auditPerformance audit
Strategic auditStrategic audit
BB
GovernmentGovernment
GovernmentGovernment
GG
GG
SocietySociety
SocietySociety
SSSS
BB
BusinessBusiness
BusinessBusiness
BusinessBusiness
Target Target state of state of
BusinessBusiness
Target Target state of state of SocietySociety
Target Target state of the state of the
CountryCountry
Finance
Economy
Social Sphere
Environment
WorldBank
IMF OECD INTOSAI
WTO
UN
The coordination of the global development by supranational structures
Global risks 2013, WEF
WEF, “Global Risks Report 2013”
A comparison of the level of income and level of happiness
Leyrad, R. Happiness: Lessons from a New Science. M.:. Gaidar Institute, 2012.- p.146
10 20 35
60
80
100
90
70
50
40
03025155
UkraineMoldova
Zimbabwe RomaniaBulgaria
Russia
BelarusLatviaGeorgia Albany
PakistanTanzania
BangladeshAzerbaijan
Macedonia
TurkeyLithuania
EstoniaSlovakiaIndia
Uganda
JordanIranPeruMorocco
PolandAlgeriaEgypt SAChina Republic of Dominicans
Philippines
Vietnam
Croatia
Brazil UruguayVenezuela
Nigeria ChiliSalvador
Indonesia Columbia Mexico
Hungary
Argentine
Czech Republic
Greece
South Korea
Slovenia
Portugal
Israel
Spain
New Zeeland
Italy Japan
GermanyFrance
СингапурGreat Britain
Sweden Finland
AustriaAustralia
Belgium
IrelandNetherlands
Denmarkя
Canada
Norway
Switzerland
USA
Per capita income
«Very happy»or «happy enough», %
U.S. $ thousands per yeat
NDP Russia
The problem of the sustainable growth of national wealth insurance
Safety ViabilitySocial cohesion Quality of life Quality of controlCompetitiveness
2013 2020
Development potentials imbalance
Development potentialsharmonizationQuality of life
satisfaction
Health care spendingGRP
Russia 2020
Russia 2012
The target vector of
development
Discrepancy of vectors of
development
The actual gradient of the
development vector
Социальные сферы
Social spheres
Social development
Regulatingfactors
Indicators
Indicators, factors and spheres of social developmentIndicators, factors and spheres of social development
7
Problems in selecting of development scenariosProblems in selecting of development scenarios
Targeting Architecture
Technologies
Time
The selection of the
development vector
StabilizationGrowth
Mod
erni
zatio
n
Degradation
SEI – Social and economic indicators SEI
SEISEI
SEI
SEI
The problem of balancing the interests of The problem of balancing the interests of government, business and societygovernment, business and society
Sphere of Government
interests
Sphere of Business interests
Sphere of Social
interests
Channels of influence
TNKTNK
Development
pathway
BB
GG
SS
The balance The balance of KNIsof KNIs
World resources
World resources
External market
External market
Domestic market
Domestic market
Architecture
Architecture
Resources
Resources
Centers of force
Centers of forceProducts and Services
Products and Services
Products and Services
Products and ServicesPowerPower
PowerPower E
xtern
al market
Extern
al market
Do
me
stic market
Do
me
stic market
Arch
itecture
Arch
itecture
Reso
urces
Reso
urces
Tech
no
log
ies of d
evelo
pm
ent
Tech
no
log
ies of d
evelo
pm
ent
Products and Services
Products and Services
Products and Services
Products and Services
Society
Society
Society
SocietyResources
Resources
Architecture
Architecture
Domestic m
arket
Domestic m
arket
External m
arket
External m
arket
Bu
sin
ess
Bu
sin
ess
Bu
sin
ess
Bu
sin
ess
Pro
du
cts
and
Ser
vice
sP
rod
uct
s an
d S
ervi
ces
Pro
du
cts
and
Ser
vice
sP
rod
uct
s an
d S
ervi
ces
The problem of synchronization of SED processesThe problem of synchronization of SED processes
ISMSED
KNI
Эффект
China
EURussiaW
orld USA
% GDP in previous year
Consumer confidence index
Demographic cycles
Political cycles
B
S
G
Busi
ness
Soci
ety
Gov
ernm
ent
ISM SED
WORLD
ISM SED – Institute for Systems Management
of Social-economic development
G
B
S
1 ms
6 ye
ars
100
year
s
How is life, RussiaHow is life, Russia??
Индекс качества жизни Индекс конкурентоспособности
Management of targeted effects of developmentManagement of targeted effects of development««Where are you goingWhere are you going, , RussiaRussia?»?»
The concept of long-term development 2020
Vector of the Authorities’Public obligations
Russia 2013
SafetyQuality of life
φ
The actual gradient of the development vector
Discrepancy of the development vectors
Com
petit
iven
ess ω
θVector of the
public expectations
The problem of the balance of the key development potentialsThe problem of the balance of the key development potentials
Sovereignty
Safety
Competitiveness
Identity
Viability
Quality of life
Balance ofCpb
DependenceDegradation
Disorientation
Depopulation
Inequality
Threats and Risks
Sphere of regress
Sphere of progress
Reference model of management and audit of socio-Reference model of management and audit of socio-economic developmenteconomic development
Liabilitiesof Business
Liabilitiesof Authority
Liabilitiesof non-governmental
organizations
Coordination of goals, resources and measures of the Authority, Society and Business
14
Public-private partnership
Strategic planning
Programming
Budgeting and management of
realization
Standards of social
responsibility
Reports on corporate
social responsibility
Synchronization of goals,
architecture and technology transformation
Reports of governors
Reports on the results and main
areas of activity of the Government
Results of public
hearings
DoctrinesConcepts
ProgramsProjects
BudgetsPlans
The problem of imbalances in costs and benefits of the progressThe problem of imbalances in costs and benefits of the progress
Increase in costs
GDP growth
GDP
Costs
Level of happiness
Time
Income level
tk tmtj
Knowledge Base on KNI Knowledge Base on KNI ((http://nfbr.prognoz.ru/knihttp://nfbr.prognoz.ru/kni))
16
Visualization and comparison of the positions of Visualization and comparison of the positions of countries and of the development targetscountries and of the development targets
17
Comparison of the strategic levels of SEDComparison of the strategic levels of SED
NWF
Time
Goals
Activities
Resources
?∆ CPB
?
?
∆ KNI
∆ KPI
∆ $
СЭР
Decomposition of levels of SED managementDecomposition of levels of SED management
СЭЭ
∆ CPB
ЭПП
БЭО
∆ KNI
∆ KPI
∆ KCI
Stra
tegy
dev
elop
men
tSubjects
ToolsObjects{С,И, О}
Prog
ram
min
g
TargetingArchitectureTechnology
{T, Arch, Т}
Con
trac
ting
{P, C, As}
Bud
getin
g
SanctionsOperations
Transactions{S, Op, Tr}
Subj
ects
ToolsObjects
Government
Business
Society
International lawState law
ТНА ГА ЧА
Proj
ects
Contracts
Private law
Budgeting
Targ
ets
Technology ArchitectureLong-term (strategic)
Medium-term(operational)
Short-term(tactical)
StrategingContracting
ГИ ОИ
Products and services
Assets
Trance national
Industrial
Regional
Targets effectsLife cycles
ЧК ФА МА
StatePrivate
Sanc
tions
Transactions
Bans
Directions
Standards
Trance national
Operations
СТР ОПР ТКТ
НМА
Agreements
ProjectsContracts
Assets
Assets Projects Contracts
H2
Targets
Architecture
Technologies
Sanctions
Operations
Transactions
H4
H3
Targets Architecture Technologies
H1
Subjects
Objects
Tools
Assets
Contracts
Projects
H3
H2
X1 R12 X2
X2 R23 X3
X3 R34 X4
МИ
Equilibrium of capabilities as a condition of harmonized Equilibrium of capabilities as a condition of harmonized developmentdevelopment
Competitiveness
Sovereignty
Safety
Identity
Quality of life
Viability Harmonious development index
Cpb
National wealth
The problem of the balance of the key development potentialsThe problem of the balance of the key development potentials
Sovereignty
Safety
Competitiveness
Identity
Viability
Quality of life
Balance ofCpb
DependenceDegradation
Disorientation
Depopulation
Inequality
Threats and Risks
Sphere of regress
Sphere of progress
The new Federal Law on the Accounts Chamber was The new Federal Law on the Accounts Chamber was adopted in Russia in April 2013adopted in Russia in April 2013
• Article 14«…7. Strategic Audit is used to assess the feasibility, risks and consequences of the results of the strategic goals in the field of security and socio-economic development of the Russian Federation realization. Assessment should cover final (target) and achieved (current) values of key national indicators, which reflect the degree and quality of the implementation of socio-economic effects and cumulative effects of the socio-economic development of the Russian Federation …»
Thank you for attentionThank you for attention!!