THE BANGLADESH DELTA PLANWAGENINGEN, 12-12-2019

WILLIAM OLIEMANS - DELTARES

‘THE BEST GIFT FOR THE FUTURE GENERATIONS BY THE PRESENT GENERATION’

CONTENTS

• The Bangladesh Delta Plan 2100

• Context and challenges

• From planning to implementation

Knowledge for resilient development?

To start: salient features

Population 169 million (2015), Area: 147 570 km2

Average GDP growth 2010 – 2015: 6,5 % per year. Agriculture: 15.1%, Industry: 26.5%, Services: 58.3% (2014 est.)

Ambition: to become a (lower) middle income country by 2021 and developed country by 2041

Delta country: 30% <5 m, 45% from 5-30m and 25% >30m

Main Delta Water Issues: Flooding, Drought, Erosion & Sedimentation, Water Quality, Environment and Sustainable Governance

• Flood▪ 1987/ 1988/ 1998/ 2004 ▪ 2000 (Jessore-Khulna region)▪ 2007 (North West region)

• Drought• Water logging or drainage

congestion• River erosion and Coastal erosion• Cyclones/storm surge induced

flood• Salinity intrusion• Groundwater degradation• Land subsidence• Climate change

▪ Sea Level Rise (SLR)▪ Temperature rise

• Transboundary issues

Water Management Issues

Source: Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics (BBS)

Wilson and Goodbred, 2016

BANGLADESH DELTA PLAN 2100

BDP 2100 Approach & Process

Key challenges

Prof. Dr. Jaap de Heer, Team Leader

William Oliemans, Water Resources

বাাংলাদেশ ডেল&টা প্ল্যান ২১০০

The need for a Delta Plan?

To achieve its development goals, the country must balance its available resources and plan against growing uncertainties:

• Urbanization & population growth

• Upstream developments

• Climate change (sea level rise, flooding and droughts)

• Land subsidence & environmental degradation

A ‘new’ type of planning is needed for the Delta Plan that can deal with these uncertainties

Uncertainties: Population, Climate Change

Uncertainties: Upstream Developments, Subsidence

BACKGROUND AND RATIONALE

• Need for a holistic and integrated approachfor Water Resources Management

• Identification of challenges, definition ofstrategies, scenario-analysis, investmentstrategies and governance

• Short, medium and long term goals

• Adaptive approach to deal better withuncertainties

KEY FEATURES (1)• Mix of Dutch Delta Approach and

Bangladesh approach• Extensive consultation at Hot Spot and

District level

KEY FEATURES (2)• Mix of strategies and investment priorities, in a 4-year project,

including a long term vision and deliverables for the 5-year plan

• Teams; A, B and C. Bangladesh and Dutch governmentagencies, consultants and institutes

Strategies Developed at 3 Scales:

❑National Strategies:❑Flood Risk Management❑Freshwater Supply❑Thematic Strategies▪Agriculture, Food Security, Nutrition and Livelihoods▪Transboundary Water Management▪Water Supply, Sanitation & Waste Management▪Environment, Ecology & Biodiversity▪Dynamizing Inland Water Transport System▪Sustainable Land Use and Spatial Planning▪Advancing the Blue Economy▪Renewable Energy▪Earthquakes

❑6 Hotspot Strategies▪Coastal Zone▪Barind and Drought Prone Areas▪Haor and Flash Flood Areas▪Chattogram Hill Tracts▪River Systems and Estuaries▪Urban Areas

From strategies to programsand projects

❖BDP 2100 Investment Plan consists of 80projects to be implemented by 2030:▪65 physical projects; ▪15 institutional & knowledge development projects. ❖Total capital investment cost: BDT2,938billion ($37.50 billion).❖Development of the Investment Plan:following the principles of ADM

Implementation - coordination challenge

Framework: NWPo – NWMP – ICZMP – Water Act – FYP – BDP2100 …

Rural Infrastruc

ture

Water Supply

Fisheries

Agri-culture

Water Resources

Integrated planning

LGI

DPHE

DoF

BADC/ DAE/

BMDA

BWDB

Sectoralimplementation

? ?

Monitoring –integraten challenges

Adaptation pathway – water quantity

Strategic objective:

Priority water needs should be met, whilst maintaining sustainable groundwater abstraction

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CHALLENGES FOR THE KNOWLEDGE COMMUNITY• From sector-driven development to integrated development; new knowledge• Co-creation: share knowledge and approaches but learn to adapt, include NGOs, business

and government in ACTION RESEARCH• Focus on adaptation for resilience and development; research solutions and problems• Growing with sediment and salinity

flood extentresource

availability

+

other

pressures

violent

extremism

income

jihadist

influence

+

-

criminal

economy-

+

insecurity

lack of state

+

+

+

+

+-

migration- +

traditional

resource

management

-

climate

?

water abstraction

and regulation

-

over-

explotation-

+

++

Joint Cooperation Programme Bangladesh – The Netherlands

JCP Objectives

• Carry out a long-term knowledge sharing and capacity building program between Bangladesh and Netherlands institutes in the water sector

• With the aim to:• Increase the knowledge base of the institutes

• Strengthen the capacity in Bangladesh to plan, develop and manage (marine and fresh) water resources systems. Capacities include water system knowledge, data management, decision-support modelling, cooperation and collaboration

• Contribute to the BDP2100 Knowledge Agenda

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THANK YOU

FOR YOUR ATTENTION

william.oliemans@deltares.nl

http://202.53.173.179/delta/

www.plancomm.gov.bd