the bush plan does not achieve a true 70% reduction by 2018
DESCRIPTION
The Bush Plan Does Not Achieve a True 70% Reduction by 2018. Effect of banking on reaching cap. Clear Skies: No Solution to Regional Haze for Acadia. Current polluted day. Under “Clear Skies” 2 deciview improvement. Haze Rule Target: Natural Visibility. WinHaze Visual - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
The Bush Plan Does Not Achieve a True 70% Reduction by 2018
Effect of banking on reaching cap
Clear Skies: No Solution to Regional Haze for Acadia
Current polluted day Under “Clear Skies”2 deciview improvement
Acadia NationalPark, Maine
WinHaze Visual Air Quality ModelerV 2.90
Haze Rule Target: Natural Visibility
Clear Skies: No Solution toRegional Haze for Great SmokyCurrent polluted day Under “Clear Skies”
2 deciview improvement
Haze Rule Target: Natural Visibility
Great Smoky Mountains National Park
Deaths per 100,000 Adults<=11 - 55 - 1010 - 2020 - 3030+
Power Plant Deaths Per 100,000 Adults 2020
Deaths per 100,000 Adults<=11 - 55 - 1010 - 2020 - 3030+
Clean Power Act 2020
Deaths per 100,000 Adults<=11 - 55 - 1010 - 2020 - 3030+
Clear Skies 2020
Deaths per 100,000 Adults<=11 - 55 - 1010 - 2020 - 3030+
Clean Air Planning Act 2020
Deaths per 100,000 Adults<=11 - 55 - 1010 - 2020 - 3030+
EPA “Straw” Proposal 2020
Counties in Projected to be in Nonattainment for Either PM2.5 or Ozone in 2010 Under Clear Skies
Base-201069 counties32.7 million people
Clear Skies-201027 counties19.1 million people
Clean AirPlanning Act-201016 counties15.6 million people
Straw/EPA 201013 counties14 million people
Clean Power Act 20105 counties10.3 million people
Effect of CSA on Mercury Concentration in Fish in 2010 and 2020
40
439
Number of Watersheds with > 10% Reductionin Fish Hg Concentration
Number of Watersheds with < 10% Reductionin Fish Hg Concentration
88
391
(18%)
CSI 2010 CSI 2020(8%)
The Bush Plan Fails to Solve the Acid Rain Problem
Hubbard Brook study found that nothing short of 80% reduction in power plant SO2 would allow biological recovery in damaged NE ecosystems to begin before mid-century.
CSI falls short, so problem remains unsolved.
Results from Hubbard Brook Experimental Forest, NH
COMPARISON OF REQUIREMENTS UNDER BUSINESS-AS-USUAL AND THE STRAW PROPOSAL
Clear Skies < Clean Air ActUnder CSA you get . . .
Pollutant Tons YearSO2 3.5M 2018-25NOx 1.7M 2018-25Hg 15 2018-25
But you lose . . .
• Tight emissions limits for new plants.• States’ rights to get reductions from upwind
states.• Special protections for air quality in national
parks.• 2010 deadline for clean air standards
attainment.• Federal protections requiring modern
emission controls on plants when they modernize (New Source Review).
• Residual Mercury risk and other toxic emission control requirements.
The Clean Air Act requires . . .
Pollutant Tons YearSO2 2.0M 2010-12NOx 1.25M 2009-10Hg 5 2008
Power Sector CO2 Emissions
2,000
2,100
2,200
2,300
2,400
2,500
2,600
2,700
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
MM
T C
O2
Carper/03
McCain/Lieberman
CSI/03