the business of (tech) investing -- mentorcamp

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@paulsingh #mentorcamp PAUL SINGH @paulsingh [email protected] dashboard.io THE BUSINESS OF (TECH) INVESTING THE RISE OF THE ANGELS (AND THE ENTREPRENEURS)

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Slides for my talk at MentorCamp 2013 in Halifax, NS. The alternative title for this talk is "how not to lose all your fucking money."

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Page 1: The Business of (Tech) Investing -- MentorCamp

@paulsingh #mentorcamp

PAUL SINGH

@paulsingh・[email protected]・dashboard.io

THE BUSINESS OF (TECH) INVESTING

THE RISE OF THE ANGELS (AND THE ENTREPRENEURS)

Page 2: The Business of (Tech) Investing -- MentorCamp

@paulsingh #mentorcamp

@paulsingh・[email protected]・dashboard.io

500 STARTUPS

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@paulsingh #mentorcamp

Page 4: The Business of (Tech) Investing -- MentorCamp

@paulsingh #mentorcamp

A (R)EVOLUTION IN THINKING

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@paulsingh #mentorcamp

SIGNALS ARE EVERYWHERE

BIG DATA + OPEN SOURCE ANALYTICS = NEW TECHNIQUES FOR VC

Page 6: The Business of (Tech) Investing -- MentorCamp

@paulsingh #mentorcamp

SIGNALS ARE EVERYWHERE

BIG DATA + OPEN SOURCE ANALYTICS = NEW TECHNIQUES FOR VC

Page 7: The Business of (Tech) Investing -- MentorCamp

@paulsingh #mentorcamp

TRANSPARENCY ISSIGNALS ARE EVERYWHERE

BIG DATA + OPEN SOURCE ANALYTICS = NEW TECHNIQUES FOR VC

Page 8: The Business of (Tech) Investing -- MentorCamp

@paulsingh #mentorcamp

WALL STREET BEAT US TO IT

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@paulsingh #mentorcamp

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@paulsingh #mentorcamp

UBS PROPRIETARY SATELLITE PARKING LOT FILL RATE ANALYSIS POINTS TO AN INTERESTING CADENCE INTRA-QUARTER AND POTENTIAL UPSIDE TO OUR VIEW.

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@paulsingh #mentorcamp

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TWICE A WEEK A SMALL HELICOPTER CIRCLES OVER CUSHING’S TANK FARMS ON AN OIL INDUSTRY SPYING MISSION.

Page 13: The Business of (Tech) Investing -- MentorCamp

@paulsingh #mentorcamp

WALL STREET ISN’T ALONE

THESE TECHNIQUES ALREADY USED TO UNDERWRITE IN-VITRO FERTILIZATION LENDING, PAYDAY LOANS, SUBPRIME AUTO LENDING, HOME/PERSONAL/AUTO INSURANCE AND MORE.

Page 14: The Business of (Tech) Investing -- MentorCamp

@paulsingh #mentorcamp

WE CAN DO IT, TOOSURPRISE!

IT TURNS OUT,

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@paulsingh #mentorcamp

+ “GUT” + TRUSTED MENTORS + MUCH, MUCH MORE DATA.

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@paulsingh #mentorcamp

WE CAN DO IT, TOO.

Page 17: The Business of (Tech) Investing -- MentorCamp

@paulsingh #mentorcamp

WE CAN DO IT, TOO.

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@paulsingh #mentorcamp

WE’RE DOING IT, TOO.

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@paulsingh #mentorcamp

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@paulsingh #mentorcamp

VENTURE CAPITAL IS OPEN TO ATTACK BY DISRUPTIVE NEW BUSINESS MODELS AND TECHNOLOGY.

-- NAVAL RAVIKANT (@naval)

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@paulsingh #mentorcamp

dashboard.io

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@paulsingh #mentorcamp

dashboard.io

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@paulsingh #mentorcamp

EARLY STAGE VCIS CHANGINGHAS CHANGED

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@paulsingh #mentorcamp

STATE OF THE ART IN EARLY STAGE INVESTING IS NOT

VERY SOPHISTICATED

Page 25: The Business of (Tech) Investing -- MentorCamp

@paulsingh #mentorcamp

UNBUNDLING OF ADVICE, CONTROL

AND MONEY

Page 26: The Business of (Tech) Investing -- MentorCamp

@paulsingh #mentorcamp

USED TO BE ABOUT CAPITAL, DEALFLOW

AND JUDGEMENTTODAY, IT’S ABOUT ACCESS.

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@paulsingh #mentorcamp

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@paulsingh #mentorcamp

INCREASINGLY ABOUT DEAL SELECTION,

NOT DEAL SOURCING.IT’S 2013, YO.

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dashboard.io

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@paulsingh #mentorcamp

(500) CHECKLISTProduct solves a problem for a specific target customer

Capital-efficient businesses - operational @ <$1M funding

Primarily internet-based distribution - search, social, mobile, local

Simple revenue models - transactions, subscriptions or affiliate

Functional prototype before investment (or previous success)

Small but measurable usage - some customers, early revenue

Small but cross-functional team - engineer, design/UX, marketing

Page 31: The Business of (Tech) Investing -- MentorCamp

@paulsingh #mentorcamp

(NEW) FINANCINGS Standardized terms

No fixed amounts, no closings, no leads

Continuous, not discrete rounds

Prices beginning to float

No Board seats at the earliest stage

Herd mentality and oversubscriptions

Page 32: The Business of (Tech) Investing -- MentorCamp

@paulsingh #mentorcamp

THE BUSINESS OF INVESTING IS ABOUT CHOOSING THE

LEAST-WORST OPPORTUNITYNOT TRYING TO PREDICT THE NEXT GOOGLE, FACEBOOK OR LINKEDIN.

Page 33: The Business of (Tech) Investing -- MentorCamp

@paulsingh #mentorcamp

THE FIRST CHECK SHOULD BE SMALL AND FAST

DOUBLE DOWN HEAVY IF THE COMPANY SURVIVES INTO THE NEXT ROUND

Page 34: The Business of (Tech) Investing -- MentorCamp

@paulsingh #mentorcamp

BY ITS NATURE, THE INTERNET UNDERMINES ANYONE WHOSE STATUS DEPENDS ON PRIVILEGED ACCESS TO INFORMATION.

-- MICHAEL LEWIS

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@paulsingh #mentorcamp

THE PRIVATE MARKET IS BECOMING MORE

ACCESSIBLE.

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@paulsingh #mentorcamp

THE PRIVATE MARKET IS BECOMING MORE TRANSPARENT.

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@paulsingh #mentorcamp

Demo Day Videos ⟹ livestream.com/500startups

Sample Pitch Decks ⟹ slideshare.net/500startups

Venture Capital 101 ⟹ venturehacks.com/archives

Investor Thoughts:

Brad Feld ⟹ feld.com

Fred Wilson ⟹ avc.com

Chris Dixon ⟹ cdixon.org

Mark Suster ⟹ bothsidesofthetable.com

angel.co/valuations and angel.co/salaries

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@paulsingh #mentorcamp

dashboard.io

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@paulsingh #mentorcamp

YOUR KEY TAKEAWAYS

Focus on Traction.

Learn to Communicate and Inspire.

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@paulsingh #mentorcamp

ALSO... Distribution > Product

Tactics > Strategy

Notability > Credibility

Get on AngelList

Raise 12-18+ months of funding

Learn the basics of VC economics

Don’t confuse due diligence with progress & probability...

Shameless plug: dashboard.io

Page 41: The Business of (Tech) Investing -- MentorCamp

@paulsingh #mentorcamp

@paulsingh・[email protected]・dashboard.io

LEARN MORE:

bit.ly/dashboard-weekly

THE BUSINESS OF (TECH) INVESTING

THE RISE OF THE ANGELS (AND THE ENTREPRENEURS)