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1 THE CURTAIN FALLS; AN ERA ENDS!

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Page 1: THE CURTAIN FALLS; AN ERA ENDS!umanitoba.ca/faculties/management/ti/media/docs/Paul_Earl(1).pdf · provincial loans 1929: Pools go bankrupt 1931: Feds take over Pool stocks 1935:

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THE CURTAIN FALLS; AN ERA ENDS!

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WHAT WE WILL DO:---

Part 1: Set the stage: the development of “the great ideological divide.”

Part 2: Take an incredibly quick romp through 80+ years of history.

Part 3: Look at where we are today.

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Part 1 The Great Ideological Divide

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“It is time something was done to stop this fooling with food, robbing the men who have toiled to feed the world, and those for whom the food has been produced. It is a crushing indictment of the competitive system.”

Colin Burnell

President, Manitoba Pool

MISTRUST OF MARKETS

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THE SOLUTION: THE POOLS!

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THE RESULT: UTOPIA!

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1930s: SHARPER CRITIQUES OF CAPITALISM

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Cecil Rice-Jones (to the Stamp Royal Commission):

“The futures market is of distinct benefit to a farmer, but radicals would hold meetings to get support for criticism of the Grain Exchange.”

THE DISSIDENT VIEW (ca. 1930s)

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“Western wheat farmers believed that the

open market or competitive system ought not to govern the marketing of western grain.”

Vernon Fowke

1950s CONSENSUS?

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Two ideological camps who “did not come to grips because the persisted in talking about different things while apparently fully convinced that they were talking about one and the same thing.”

Vernon Fowke

THE SHORT VERSION OF THE LAST 90 YEARS

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LAISSEZ FAIRE:

1. Unlimited personal

wealth is acceptable

2. Human beings are

individualistic by

nature

3. Economic motivation

(“economic man”)

.

4. Economic interests

are harmonious

(“rising tide lifts all

boats”)

THE OPPOSING IDEOLOGIES

CO-OPs:

1. Wealth and poverty

should not co-exist

2. Human beings are

social by nature

.

3. Motives of service

(“human nature is

cooperative”)

4. Economic interests are

antagonistic (It is a

zero sum game)

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Part 2 80+ years of history

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WHAT HAPPENED IN HISTORY

THE POINT OF THIS QUICK REVIEW:

We did not start out to create a state marketing agency.

It happened gradually, and in response to specific circumstances.

The current CWB was NOT (usually) the goal.

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1924: Three Pools formed

WHAT HAPPENED IN HISTORY

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1924: Three Pools formed

WHAT HAPPENED IN HISTORY

1929: Pools go bankrupt

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1924: Three Pools formed

1929: Pools go bankrupt

WHAT HAPPENED IN HISTORY

1931: Pools get provincial loans

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1924: Three Pools formed

1931: Pools get provincial loans

1929: Pools go bankrupt

WHAT HAPPENED IN HISTORY

1931: Feds take over Pool stocks

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1924: Three Pools formed

1931: Pools get provincial loans

1929: Pools go bankrupt

1931: Feds take over Pool stocks

WHAT HAPPENED IN HISTORY

1935: Canadian Wheat Board formed

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1924: Three Pools formed

1931: Pools get provincial loans

1929: Pools go bankrupt

1931: Feds take over Pool stocks

1935: Canadian Wheat Board

WHAT HAPPENED IN HISTORY

1938: Turgeon Royal Commission: “Keep CWB; we might be at war.”

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1924: Three Pools formed

1931: Pools get provincial loans

1929: Pools go bankrupt

1931: Feds take over Pool stocks

1935: Canadian Wheat Board

1938: Turgeon Royal Comm.

WHAT HAPPENED IN HISTORY

1939: War; CWB part of wartime regulation

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1924: Three Pools formed

1931: Pools get provincial loans

1929: Pools go bankrupt

1931: Feds take over Pool stocks

1935: Canadian Wheat Board

1938: Turgeon Royal Comm.

1939: War; CWB regulates grain

WHAT HAPPENED IN HISTORY

1943: Futures market suspended; CWB gets monopoly

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1924: Three Pools formed

1931: Pools get provincial loans

1929: Pools go bankrupt

1931: Feds take over Pool stocks

1935: Canadian Wheat Board

1938: Turgeon Royal Comm.

1939: War; CWB regulates grain

1943: CWB gets monopoly

WHAT HAPPENED IN HISTORY

Post-war: CWB administers British Wheat Agreement & international agreements

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1924: Three Pools formed

1931: Pools get provincial loans

1929: Pools go bankrupt

1931: Feds take over Pool stocks

1935: Canadian Wheat Board

1938: Turgeon Royal Comm.

1939: War; CWB regulates grain

1943: CWB gets monopoly

Post-war: British Wheat Agreement

WHAT HAPPENED IN HISTORY

1948: Section 28(k); CWB gets control of transportation

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1924: Three Pools formed

1931: Pools get provincial loans

1929: Pools go bankrupt

1931: Feds take over Pool stocks

1935: Canadian Wheat Board

1938: Turgeon Royal Comm.

1939: War; CWB regulates grain

1943: CWB gets monopoly

Post-war: British Wheat Agreement

WHAT HAPPENED IN HISTORY

1967: CWB made permanent

1948: Section 28(k) added

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THE TRANSPORTATION MESS

THE POINT OF THIS QUICK REVIEW:

History is littered with dead studies of grain logistics (7 between 1950 and 1994; we’re now on #10)

In 1996, the system suffered a major logistical breakdown.

Something is not working.

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THE TRANSPORTATION MESS

1948: Section 28(k); CWB gets control of transportation

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1948: Section 28(k) added

THE TRANSPORTATION MESS

1955: John Bracken: allocate cars in proportion to receipts

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1948: Section 28(k) added

1950s: The Bracken Inquiry

1967: The Block Shipping System: move from “push” to “pull”

THE TRANSPORTATION MESS

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1948: Section 28(k) added

1950s: The Bracken Inquiry

1970s: Booz-Allen; Murta committee; Grain Transportation Agency

THE TRANSPORTATION MESS

1960s: The Block Shipping System

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1948: Section 28(k) added

1960s: The Block Shipping System

1950s: The Bracken Inquiry

1970s: Grain Transport. Agency

1980s: Western Grain Transportation Act: end of Crow

THE TRANSPORTATION MESS

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1948: Section 28(k) added

1960s: The Block Shipping System

1950s: The Bracken Inquiry

1970s: The GTA is formed

1980s: The Western Grain Transp. Act

1994: Car Allocation Policy Group

THE TRANSPORTATION MESS

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1948: Section 28(k) added

1960s: The Block Shipping System

1950s: The Bracken Inquiry

1970s: The Grain Transport. Agency

1980s: The Western Grain Transp. Act

1994: Car Alloc. Policy Group

1996: Massive system failure; 1999: Estey study

THE TRANSPORTATION MESS

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1948: Section 28(k) added

1960s: The Block Shipping System

1950s: The Bracken Inquiry

1970s: The Grain Transport. Agency

1980s: The Western Grain Transp. Act

1994: Car Alloc. Policy Group

1996-’99: Massive breakdown; Estey

2000: Estey accepted; Kroeger implementation study fails!

THE TRANSPORTATION MESS

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1948: Section 28(k) added

1960s: The Block Shipping System

1950s: The Bracken Inquiry

1970s: The Grain Transport. Agency

1980s: The Western Grain Transp. Act

1994: Car Alloc. Policy Group

1996-’99: Massive breakdown; Estey

2000: Kroeger study

2011: End of CWB control

THE TRANSPORTATION MESS

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Part 3 Where are we now?

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OBJECTIVE #1:

To create “freedom of choice” for farmers,

allowing them to market outside the CWB.

THE OBJECTIVES

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OBJECTIVE #2:

To remove all regulatory powers from the

CWB and give grain handlers full management control over their facilities.

THE OBJECTIVES

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OBJECTIVE #3:

To create a voluntary CWB that will:---

source grain from farmers,

sell grain to end users,

contract with powerful competitors for logistics,

and to be viable in the long run.

THE OBJECTIVES

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THE FIRST QUESTION:

Can this be done commercially through negotiations among the parties?

Or is some kind of regulation required to guard against market power?

THE PRIMARY QUESTIONS (2)

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THE SECOND QUESTION:

What does the CWB need by way of a business plan and start-up capital, and how are they to be provided?

THE PRIMARY QUESTIONS (2)

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#1: ON THE ISSUE OF REGULATION:

WHAT IS THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN A VOLUNTARY CWB FACING 3 LARGE GRAIN COMPANIES, AND A CAPTIVE SHIPPER FACING 2 LARGE RAILWAYS?

THE SECONDARY QUESTIONS (2)

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#2: ON THE ISSUE OF START-UP CAPITAL

DOES THE GOVERNMENT HAVE A LEGITIMATE ROLE IN PROVIDING START-UP CAPITAL FOR THE NEW ENTITY?

THE SECONDARY QUESTIONS (2)

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A (VAIN?) HOPE

To take a pragmatic, rather than ideological, approach.

To recognise that society needs both free enterprise AND cooperative values

to solve economic problems.

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“Virtually all ideologues, of any variety, are fearful and insecure, which is why they are drawn to ideologies that promise prefabricated answers to all circumstances.”

Jane Jacobs

THE PROBLEM WITH IDEOLOGICAL APPROACHES

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“Those of us who looked to the self-interest of lending institutions to protect shareholders’ equity, myself included, are in a state of shocked disbelief.”

Alan Greenspan

2008

JACOBS ILLUSTRATED

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THE QUESTIONS

CAN A VOLUNTARY CWB SURVIVE WITHOUT REGULATION?

WHAT KIND OF CAPITAL DOES IT NEED TO START UP?

HOW DOES A VOLUNTARY CWB VIS A VIS 3 GRAIN COMPANIES DIFFER FROM A CAPTIVE SHIPPER VIS A VIS 2 RAILWAYS?

SHOULD GOVT PROVIDE START-UP CAPITAL?