the data analytics revolution: a guide from the astin ...€¦ · cognitive computing •...
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The Data Analytics Revolution: A Guide from the ASTIN Working Party
on Big Data Raymond Wilson
© < Working Party On Data Analytics, ASTIN>
This presentation has been prepared for the Actuaries Institute 2015 ASTIN and AFIR/ERM Colloquium. The Institute Council wishes it to be understood that opinions put forward herein are not necessarily those of the Institute and
the Council is not responsible for those opinions.
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Data is Getting Bigger
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Businesses Need To Keep Up
• How do we take advantage of this growing data availability?
• What skills do we need?
• How do we plan for the future?
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Outline
• Analytics/Data Trends
• Organizational Structures
• Common Data Language
• Analytics Teams & Tools
• Modeling Considerations
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Analytics/Data Trends
• Analytics, Machine Learning & Cognitive Computing
• Digitization of Insurance
• Omni-channel Distribution & Multi-touch Points
• Reliance on Third Party Data Centres
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Organizational Structures
Key focus to bridge potential gaps are:
• Data Gathering
• Analytics Process
• Communication Process
• IT Support
• Model Implementation
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Organizational Structures
Data to Information
Information to Insights
Insights to Outcomes
• Information & Data Management
• Sponsorship & Governance
• Org. Structure & Talent Management
• Insights Creation • Capability
Development
• Insight – Driven Decisions
• Outcome Measurement
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Organizational Structures
Possible Structures:
• Decentralized
• Functional
• Consulting
• Centralized
• Centre of Excellence
Organizing Analytics
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Organizational Structures
• How aligned is analytics with organization’s priorities & objectives?
• How mature are the Organization’s analytic capabilities?
• How great is the demand for analytic output?
The Right Organizational Structure
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Common Data Language
1. Giving data meaning
2. Programming Language exists
3. Crucial for analysis
4. Characteristics of absence of CDL
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A View to Create a Common Language Companies want to steer their business so they need to be able to:
1. Anticipate changes to their existing portfolio of contracts
2. Anticipate how these portfolios will behave in the future
Common Data Language
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Critical Transition : Data Silos to Basic Framework
• Common Vocabulary
• Common Measures
• Common Methodology
Common Data Language
Results:
• Teams Collaborate
• Business Units Comparability
• Natural Data Transfer
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Critical Transition : Data Silos to Basic Framework
Achieved when stakeholders agree on:
• What needs to be measured & how?
• Which Input Data should be used?
• Which assumptions should be used?
Common Data Language
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Analytic Teams & Tools
• As data evolves so too must the teams and tools
• It’s important to decide what tools will be
most effective in your environment • Teams now require a confluence of IT &
statistical skills
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Analytic Teams
Analytic teams need to be comprised of light & heavy quants. Light Quants:
• These are translators of analytics results
• They tell the analytic story to the business
• They need to have a combination of analytical skills as
well as stellar communication & story telling ability
Analytic Teams & Tools
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Analytic Teams
Heavy Quants:
• These are your crunchers
• They have heavy statistical & programming skills
• Master’s of open and closed source tools
• A growing evolution of these roles: actuaries,
predictive modellers, Statisticians and the exciting
new Data Scientist
Analytic Teams & Tools
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Analytic Tools: Closed Source vs. Open Source
Commercial Software/Closed Source
• Cost money • It's complete • Output is easy to access
and interpret • Connects easily with major
storage application • Quicker results • Comes with tech support
Open Source
• Free • Incomplete • Output may not be easy to
access and interpret • Connection with major
storage application may be difficult
• Maybe tedious getting results • No central tech Support
(resort to the use of forums, take time to resolve issues)
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Data Data Quality and Validity are important considerations within the modeling proces
Some important considerations in the data assessment process are: • Variable relevance • Completeness of data • Variables noise • Choice of Predictor Variables • Ability to search for interactions between variables
Modelling Considerations
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Modeling Key issues faced when doing modeling work:
• Timeliness of data
• Data credibility
• Danger of adopting model results without ongoing assessment
• Systematic limitations of current paradigms & modeling tool
Modelling Considerations
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CASE STUDY Analytics Development - Evolving the Analytics Organization at
BCIC
• Need for Analytic Output
• Introduces an Actuary
• Organization Has greater demand for Analytic Output
• Hires other Analysts
• Develop Analytics Skills
• Centralizes Analytics team
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Q&A