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•Daily Operations Briefing Tuesday, November 25, 2014

8:30 a.m. EST

Significant Activity: Nov 24 – 25 Significant Events:

• Flooding potential – Western New York

• Power outages in Regions III and V

Tropical Activity:

• Atlantic – Tropical cyclone activity not expected next 48 hours

• Eastern Pacific – Tropical cyclone activity not expected next 48 hours

• Central Pacific – No tropical cyclones expected through Tuesday evening

• Western Pacific – No tropical activity impacting U.S. territories

Significant Weather:

• Slight Risk of severe thunderstorms – Southeast

• Heavy snow possible – Northern Rockies/Central Appalachians

• Elevated/Critical Fire Weather Areas: CA; Red Flag Warnings: CA

Space Weather: past 24 hours – none; next 24 hours – none

FEMA Readiness:

• FEMA Region II activated to Level III (Dayshift only)

Flood Potential – Western New York Situation

• Lake-effect snow events brought heavy snowpack to portions of western NY

• There had been the potential for significant flooding due to warmer weather

Cooler temps overnight are slowing the melting process

• Flood threat reduced; minor urban/river flooding remains possible (WFO Buffalo)

• Flood Warning remains in effect through 4:15 p.m. EST today

• 2 shelters open with 6 (-2) occupants (Midnight Shelter Report, Nov 25)

Impacts

• Heavy snowpack caused localized property damage

o 7 major, 18 moderate, 62 minor (Preliminary, local damage assessments)

Response:

• NY State EOC remains Fully Activated

• FDNY IMT elements (US&R) are deployed to support, as needed

• FEMA Region II RRCC remains activated to Level III (Dayshift only)

• FEMA Region II IMAT will demobilize from Albany, NY today

http://www.nohrsc.noaa.gov/interactive/html/map.html?ql=station&zoom=&loc=41.9

38+N,+79.832+W&var=ssm_depth&dy=2014&dm=11&dd=23&dh

=16&snap=1&o11=1&o9=1&o12=1&o13=1&lbl=m&mode=pan&ex

tents=us&min_x=-

80.175000000002&min_y=41.883333333329&max_x=-

77.116666666669&max_y=43.599999999996&coord_x=++-

79.832&coord_y=+++41.938&zbox_n=43.56375925925526&zbox_

s=41.93864814814383&zbox_e=-77.4397031250023&zbox_w=-

79.83284895833538&metric=0&bgvar=dem&shdvar=shading&wi

dth=800&height=450&nw=800&nh=450&h_o=0&font=0&js=1&uc

=0

Power Outages – Midwest/Mid-Atlantic Situation

• Strong winds downed trees and power lines, leading to significant power

outages across FEMA Regions III and V

• No major property damage reported or identified

Impacts: As of 7:00 a.m. EDT

• Approx. 112k customers remain without power (peak 380k)

• Most heavily impacted is Region V-99k (majority in MI-88k; peak 191k)

• Restoration operations are ongoing

Response:

• All State EOCs remain at normal operations

• No shortfalls reported; no requests for FEMA assistance

• FEMA Regions III and V remain at Watch/Steady State

Note: Customer outage data and graphics are provided by the Department of Energy’s

EAGLE system. Comprehensive National coverage of all electrical service providers is

not available.

2 Day Tropical Outlook – Atlantic

2 Day Tropical Outlook – Eastern Pacific

2 Day Tropical Outlook – Central Pacific

Open Field Offices as of November 24

Declaration Requests in Process Requests APPROVED

(since last report)

Requests DENIED

(since last report)

1 Date Requested 0 0

ND – DR (Appeal) Severe Storms and Flooding November 18, 2014

Disaster Requests & Declarations

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/national_forecast/natfcst.php

National Weather Forecast Day 1

Day 1 Day 1

Active Watches/Warnings

http://www.nws.noaa.gov/largemap.php

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/day1-3.shtml

Precipitation Forecast – 3 Day

Day 1

Day 2

Day 3

Total Forecast Snowfall

http://www.crh.noaa.gov/images/crh/DHS_NOC_Briefing_Graphics/wpc_snow.png

River Forecast

Convective Outlook, Days 1 – 3

Day 1 Day 2

Day 3

Fire Weather Outlook, Days 1 – 8

Day 1 Day 2

Days 3-8

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats/threats_ie.php

Hazard Outlook: Nov 27 – Dec 1

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/drap/global.html

NOAA Scales Activity (Range: 1/minor to 5/extreme)

Past

24 Hours Current

Next

24 Hours

Space Weather Activity: None None None

• Geomagnetic Storms None None None

• Solar Radiation Storms None None None

• Radio Blackouts None None None

Space Weather

Sunspot Activity

http://spaceweather.com/

HF Communication Impact

Public Assistance Grant Program

PA Highlights

• On 11/18 the Township of Long Beach, NJ was obligated

approximately $3 Million in Public Utilities costs under PA

Category F to replace sewer lines damaged as a result of

Hurricane Sandy, DR-4086

PA Project Worksheets Obligated

in past week, as of 11/24/2014 at 1400 EDT Emergency Work Permanent Work

PA Category A - Debris

Removal

B - Protective

Measures

C - Roads &

Bridges

D - Water

Control

Facilities

E - Public

Buildings

F - Public

Utilities

G -

Recreational

or Other

H - Fire

Management

Z - State

Management Total

Number Of PWs

Obligated 24 23 48 1 7 9 8 0 0 120

Federal Share

Obligated $770,208.58 $2,699,286.41 $3,638,286.08 $32,011.94 $5,953,037.63 $3,734,717.89 $1,001,511.62 $23,042.50 $10,004,426.94 $27,856,529.59

Public Assistance Obligated per Category In the Past 2 Weeks – 11/10/2014 through 11/24/2014

$0

$10,000,000

$20,000,000

$30,000,000

$40,000,000

$50,000,000

$60,000,000

$70,000,000 Z - State Management

H - Fire Management

G - Recreational or Other

F - Public Utilities

E - Public Buildings

D - Water Control Facilities

C - Roads & Bridges

B - Protective Measures

Last Week This Week$62,354,235 $27,856,530

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

4175-MS 4145-CO 4086-NJ 4030-PA

4020-NY 1981-ND 1972-MS 1971-AL

Total Households in FEMA Direct Housing per State Past Year per Week, 11/25/2013 –11/24/2014, Projected to 5/25/2015

There are currently 37 Households Occupying 40 Temporary Units

Direct Housing

AL

States with Currently

Occupied Units

† Units are under authority of Department of Justice

CO

MS

NY

DR IA Declaration

Date

Program End

Date

Current # of

Households in

Direct Housing

(Weekly Change)

4175-MS 04/30/2014 10/30/2015 19 (0)

4145-CO 09/14/2013 03/14/2015 16 (0)

4020-NY† 08/31/2011 06/01/2013 1 (0)

1971-AL† 04/28/2011 10/28/2012 1 (0)

Based On Projected Move

Outs per DR

11/24/2014

5/25/2015

37 (0)

6 (0)

NPSC Call Forecasting and Actual Calls Over the Past 4 Weeks

10/26/2014 through 11/22/2014

NPSC Activity

NPSC Call Activity in the Past Week

11/16/2014 through 11/22/2014

Call Type Projected

Calls Actual Calls

Average Answer

Time

Maximum

Answer Time

Minimum Answer

Time

Registration Intake 4,021 4,871 :13 3:01 :06

Helpline 19,413 19,912 :12 :43 :09

All Calls 23,434 24,783 :12 :50 :07

2 Disasters with

Currently Open

Registration Periods

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

Forecast RI

Actual RI

Forecast HL

Actual HL

IHP Approved per Category In the Past 2 Weeks – 11/10/2014 through 11/24/2014

Individual Assistance Activity

Individuals and Households Program Activity

as of November 24, 2014 at 1500 EDT

In Past 7 Days Cumulative

Applicants

Approved

Amount

Approved

Applicants

Approved

Amount

Approved

Op

en

Re

gis

trati

on

Pe

rio

d

DR-4193-California | Dec. - 10/27/14 | End of Reg. Period - 12/26/14

Housing Assistance 357 $891,914 1,924 $6,317,573

Other Needs Assistance 208 $124,842 658 $410,085

DR-4195-Michigan | Dec. - 9/24/14 | End of Reg. Period – 12/14/14*

Housing Assistance 1,980 $5,550,101 51,994 $99,744,869

Other Needs Assistance 1,655 $1,282,502 37,827 $28,882,896

Total IHP $7,849,359 $135,355,422

* Extended

$0

$1,000,000

$2,000,000

$3,000,000

$4,000,000

$5,000,000

$6,000,000

$7,000,000

$8,000,000

$9,000,000

Housing - Rental

Housing -Repair/Replace

Housing - Other

Other Needs -Personal Property

Other Needs -Medical/Dental

Other Needs -Transportation

Other Needs - Other

Last Week This Week

$7,997,397 $7,849,359

FEMA Readiness – Deployable Teams /Assets

Deployable Teams/Assets

Resource Status Total FMC

Available

Partially

Available

Not

Available

Detailed

Deployed

Activated

Comments Rating Criterion

FCO 40 15 38% 0 2 23 OFDC Readiness:

FCO Green Yellow Red

Type 1 3+ 2 1

Type 2 4+ 3 2

Type 3 4 3 2

FDRC 3 2 1 FDRC

10 6 60% 0 0 4

US&R

28 27 96% 0 1 0 • NM-TF1 (Red - Personnel shortages)

• Green = Available/FMC

• Yellow = Available/PMC

• Red = Out-of-Service

• Blue = Assigned/Deployed

National IMAT

3 1 33% 0 0 2 • IMAT East 1 – Deployed to FEMA HQ

• IMAT West – Deployed to GA

• Green: 3 avail

• Yellow: 1-2 avail

• Red: 0 avail (Individual N-IMAT red if

50% of Section Chiefs and/or Team

Leader is unavailable for deployment.)

Regional IMAT

13 7 54% 1 3 2

Partially Mission Capable (PMC):

• Region VI-1

Not Mission Capable (NMC):

• Regions IV-3, V & IX-1 (personnel shortages)

Deployed

• Region IX-2 to CA

• Region II to NY (demobilizing today)

• Green: 7 or more avail

• Yellow: 4 - 6 teams available

• Red: > 8 teams deployed/unavailable

R-IMAT also red if TL Ops/Log Chief is

unavailable and has no qualified

replacement.

MCOV

60 59 98% 0 1 0

• Green = 80 – 100% avail

• Yellow = 60 – 79% avail

• Red = 59% or below avail

• Readiness remains 95%

FEMA Readiness – National/Regional Teams

National/Regional Teams

Resource Status Total FMC

Available

Partially

Available

Not

Available

Deployed/

Activated Comments Rating Criterion

NWC

5 5 100% 0 0 Activated Enhanced Watch (day only)

• Green = FMC

• Yellow = PMC

• Red = NMC

NRCC

2 344 89% 0 44 Not Activated

HLT

1 N/A N/A 0 1 Activated

DEST

Not Activated

RRCCs

10 10 100% 0 0 Not Activated Region II – Level III (Dayshift only)

RWCs/MOCs

10 10 100% 0 0 Not Activated