the east steeles nexus · 2019-01-11 · the east steeles nexus . 40 . housing suitability ....
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SCARBOROUGH PROFILE Understanding and explaining poverty in Scarborough & Northern Scarborough (East Steeles Nexus) John Stapleton Open Policy Updated January 2019
Acknowledgements • This slide show would not be possible without the strong
assistance of: • J. David Hulchanski and Richard Maaranen
Neighbourhood Change Research Partnership, University of Toronto)
• Harvey Low: City of Toronto • Jordan Raghunandan: USTC student • Mimi Lau: Scarborough Community Renewal
Organization • Yvonne Yuan (Open Policy)
The East Steeles Nexus 2
Scarborough 23 % of City Population
ESN and NIA 3
1970-2015: CHANGE OVER TIME From Neighbourhood Change CURA
The East Steeles Nexus 4
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1980: 3 poverty pockets
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1990: Kingston road & Housing
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1995: central & north Scarborough
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2000: Scarborough part of City 3
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2005: Very low poverty for 1st time
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2007most tracts in poverty
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2010: Only near the lake not in poverty
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2012: Unbroken line of poverty away from the lake
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2015: Deep Poverty in Scarborough north emerges
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JOBS 2006-2016
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A CLOSER LOOK Scarborough
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November 1, 2017 20
Working Poverty in Scarborough is concentrated in Northern Scarborough
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• Working poverty in the East Steeles Nexus is unbroken from the 404 to Scarborough Pickering Town Line
Working Poverty in Markham is in south perched on Steeles
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Highest concentration of working poor in York Region is in the East Steeles Nexus
SUBSIDIZED HOUSING IN SCARBOROUGH
The East Steeles Nexus 23
ESN and NIA 24
ESN and NIA 25
ESN and NIA 26
DOUBLE OR NOTHING! NO NIA’S IN NORTH SCARBOROUGH Poverty and Neighbourhood Improvement Areas in Toronto
The East Steeles Nexus 27
Neighbourhood improvement areas noted in light blue –Toronto only
Toronto East Steeles Nexus
(None)
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ESN and NIA’s
ESN and NIA 29
City of Toronto: Low after tax and shelter cost income
in poorest 48 neighbourhoods (All NIA’s are in poorest 48)
ESN and NIA 30
Blue: NIA’s. Yellow: Non NIA low income
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Double or nothing? • Double or nothing refers to the evidence that most NIA’s
are concentrated in neighbourhoods with much more subsidized housing units
• Areas with subsidized housing have higher after shelter income .
• The poor who live in unsubsidized housing have less after shelter income than the poor who live in subsidized housing
• But almost all the NIA funds go to neighbourhoods with subsidized housing because they are poorer.
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Why no NIAs in North Scarborough? • ESN is slightly richer than the NIA’s but poorer than the
rest of Toronto
The East Steeles Nexus 33
Double or Nothing: East Steeles Nexus subsidized housing 1/3 or less than NIA’s –
lowest in City
ESN and NIA 34
Total yearly income and yearly after rent incomes of Ontario Works, ODSP recipients and seniors living in subsidized (RGI) apartments in Ontario. All tenants assumed to have no outside or work income Family configuration
and Program Basic needs or
seniors benefits + Tax Credits
Social assistance or seniors’ RGI rent
Total yearly Income
Percentage of income spent on
Rent
OW single $5,131 $1,020 $6,151 16.6%
1+1 $12,859 $2,232 $15,091 14.8%
1+2 $20,129 $2,712 $22,841 11.9%
1+3 $27,473 $3,228 $30,701 10.5%
OW and ODSP rates differ along with their designated RGI rents.
ODSP single $8,979 $1,308 $10,287 12.7%
ODSP couple $12,543 $2,388 $14,931 16.0%
In seniors’ calculation below: seniors’ income does not add to rent
Senior Single $21,146 $6,344 $21,146 30.0%
Senior Couple $32,687 $9,806 $32,687 30.0%
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NIA, Housing and the ESN District Total
Population Low Income Population
Social Housing Units
SHU per Total Population
SHU per Low-income Population
ESN (8) 265,794 68,830 4,382 1.65% 6.37%
All NIA (31) 615,133 176,510 30,170 4.90% 17.09%
Scarborough NIA (8) 182,441 53,490 10,036 5.50% 18.76%
Non Scarborough NIA (23) 418,995 124,520 19,896 4.75% 15.98%
Toronto (140) 2,731,571 583,070 89,752 3.29% 15.39%
Data Source: Statistics Canada, Census 2016; Low-Income Measure After Tax (LIM-AT), Taxfiler data (T1FF), 2012 from Statistics Canada; Soc
ESN and NIA 36
HOUSING AFFORDABILITY Scarborough
ESN and NIA 37
Total yearly income and yearly after rent incomes of Ontario Works & ODSP recipients and seniors living in subsidized (RGI) apartments vs. tenants in the private market. Compares rents at SA maximums and at 50% of total income Family configuration and Program
Total yearly
Income in RGI
housing using S.A.
rental scale
Basic needs or seniors
benefits + tax
credits in private market
After rent
income in RGI
After rent income in
private market
rental at SA maximums
Difference in after rent
incomes private vs RGI rental
At SA maximums
After rent
income in private
market rental where rent is 50% of income
Difference in after rent
incomes private vs RGI rental
where private rent
is 50% of income
Monthly rents at 50% of total
income (private rental)
OW single $6,151 $9,811 $5,131 $5,229 +$98 $4,906 -$225 $409 1+1 $15,091 $20,503 $12,859 $12,794 -$65 $10,252 -$2,607 $854 1+2 $22,841 $28,493 $20,129 $20,116 -$13 $14,247 -$5,882 $1,187 1+3 $30,701 $36,545 $24,473 $27,482 +$3,009 $18,273 -$6,200 $1,523 ODSP single $10,287 $14,943 $8,979 $8,981 +$2 $7,472 -$1,507 $623 ODSP couple $14,931 $21,915 $12,543 $12,535 -$8 $10,956 -$1,587 $913 Note Below: seniors’ incomes do not relate to social assistance maximums Senior Single $21,146 $21,146 $14,802 n/a n/a $10,573 -$4229 $881 Senior Couple $32,687 $32,687 $22,881 n/a n/a $16,343 -$6,538 $1,362
The East Steeles Nexus 38
Housing Affordability: Paying more than 30% for rent
Toronto East Steeles Nexus (Scarborough Only)
The East Steeles Nexus 39
Higher Household size in East Steeles Nexus
Toronto by Household Size East Steeles Nexus (Scarborough only)
The East Steeles Nexus 40
Housing suitability
Toronto East Steeles Nexus (Scarborough only)
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Rooming houses are illegal in Scarborough & Markham Toronto’s Legal Rooming houses Rooming house pilot in East
Steeles Nexus (Scarborough only
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Rooming Houses illegal in Scarborough and Markham • Rooming house illegality may be contributing to the
proliferation of rooming houses • With housing and rental demand at all time highs, illegal
rooming houses can act freely as tenants encouraged to stay quiet.
• Illegal operators don’t report their rental for taxation periods and have greater control over tenants who face eviction if they raise issues
• Many Illegal operators prefer illegal status as they are not required to make needed repairs or report income.
• Those found to be illegally operating see it as the price of doing business in a highly lucrative market
• 2:00 a.m. to 6:00 a.m. parking bans have little or no effect in Scarborough and increase poverty by forcing working families out of Scarborough.
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DATA APPENDICES
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NEW IMMIGRANTS & REFUGEES Appendix 1
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Visible Minorities
Toronto East Steeles Nexus (Scarborough only)
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ESN has highest concentration of visible minorities
83.40%
63.75% 68.04%
63.27%
51.50%
9.03% 10.62% 7.30%
11.02% 6.88%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
ESN (8) All NIA (31) Scarborough NIA (8) Non Scarborough NIA (23) Toronto (140)
Immigration Status
Visible Minority (%) Recent Immigrants (%)
ESN and NIA 47
Refugees since 1980
Toronto East Steeles Nexus (Scarborough only)
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Non –official mother tongue
Toronto East Steeles Nexus (Scarborough only)
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No knowledge of French or English
Toronto East Steeles Nexus (Scarborough only)
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TRANSPORTATION Appendix 2
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Getting to work takes longer: percentage of commutes taking longer than 45 minutes
Mid Toronto East Steeles Nexus (Scarborough only)
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High and Low Percentages of 45 minute commute times
Mid Toronto East Steeles Nexus (Scarborough only)
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Leaving earlier… Commute by Departure Time Mid Toronto
Leaves later – travels less East Steeles Nexus (Scarborough Only)
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Average Travel times in minutes: Public Transit
Toronto Scarborough
No data for East Steeles Nexus
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Map of average travel time in minutes Public transit
Mid Toronto East Steeles Nexus (Scarborough only)
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Subway Lines (noted in red)
Toronto
East Steeles Nexus (Scarborough map but includes Markham)
The East Steeles Nexus area has no subway or LRT service
The Stouffville GO train has three stops in the Nexus: Milliken, Agincourt and Unionville
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North-South 400 Series Highways GTA and East Steeles Nexus
GTA (6) East Steeles Nexus (0)
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VOTING PATTERNS Turnout and comparisons
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INCOMES & RELATED DATA Appendix 3
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Food Bank visits are rising
Toronto Scarborough (No data for East Scarborough nexus)
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Toronto’s highest growth in Food Bank Visits in 3 East Steeles wards
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The surge in Food Bank Visits in Scarborough
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THANK YOU Questions?
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