the effects of global warming to the agricultural yield
DESCRIPTION
The Effects of Global Warming to the Agricultural Yield. DURUCASU, Hasan LEZKİ, Şenay ÇOŞKUN, Duygu. Global Warming. Climate Change. Agricultural Map of Turkey. Agricultural Products. Wheat is commonly cultivated plant with a frequency of 7 regions T omato cultivated in 5 regions - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
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The Effects of Global Warming to the Agricultural Yield
DURUCASU, Hasan
LEZKİ, Şenay
ÇOŞKUN, Duygu
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Global WarmingGlobal Warming
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Climate ChangeClimate Change
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Agricultural Map of TurkeyAgricultural Map of Turkey
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Agricultural ProductsAgricultural Products
WheatWheat is is commonly cultivated plant with commonly cultivated plant with a frequency of 7 regionsa frequency of 7 regions
TTomatoomato cultivated in 5 regions cultivated in 5 regions SSugar beetugar beet cultivated in 4 regions cultivated in 4 regions HazelnutHazelnut cultivated in cultivated in 11 region region
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CClimate limate FFeatures eatures
Rainfall Rainfall (mm) (mm)
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CClimate limate FFeatures eatures
Rainfall Rainfall (mm)(mm) Snow cover Snow cover (cm) (cm)
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CClimate limate FFeatures eatures
Rainfall (mm)Rainfall (mm) Snow cover Snow cover (cm)(cm) Humidity Humidity (%)(%)
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CClimate limate FFeatures eatures
Rainfall (mm)Rainfall (mm) Snow cover (cm)Snow cover (cm) Humidity (%)Humidity (%) Air temperature Air temperature (°C)(°C)
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CClimate limate FFeatures eatures
Rainfall (mm)Rainfall (mm) Snow cover (cm)Snow cover (cm) Humidity (%)Humidity (%) Air temperature Air temperature (°C)(°C) Soil temperature Soil temperature (°C)(°C)
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Selected Meteorological VariablesSelected Meteorological Variables
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RainfallRainfall
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Snow coverSnow cover
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HumidityHumidity
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Air TemperatureAir Temperature
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Soil TemperatureSoil Temperature
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Meteorological VariablesMeteorological Variables
For each product,
Annual Averages of meteorological variables are considered just for the stations located in the determined agricultural regions
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Selected Agricultural ProductsSelected Agricultural Products
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Annual Wheat Production (MT)Annual Wheat Production (MT)
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Annual Tomato Production (MT)Annual Tomato Production (MT)
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Annual Sugar Beet Production (MT)Annual Sugar Beet Production (MT)
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Annual Hazelnut Production (MT)Annual Hazelnut Production (MT)
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DatabaseDatabase
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Correlations Between Chosen Correlations Between Chosen Meteorological VariablesMeteorological Variables
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Regression AnalysisRegression Analysis
54321 ,,,, xxxxx
55443322110 xxxxxy
543210 ,,,,,
Regression coefficients
Error
Explanatory variables
y Explained variable
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Statistical Model for Statistical Model for Wheat Wheat ProductionProduction
The regression model is,The regression model is, WheatWheat = = 56315793 56315793
–– 100511 Rainfall 100511 Rainfall + + 487304 Snow Cover487304 Snow Cover – – 265082 Humidity 265082 Humidity +6441109 Air Temperature +6441109 Air Temperature ––6701124 Soil Temperature6701124 Soil Temperature
RR2=35.3% Anova p=0.042=35.3% Anova p=0.042
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Statistical Model for Statistical Model for Sugar Beet Sugar Beet ProductionProduction
The regression model is,The regression model is, Sugar Beet = 123095987 Sugar Beet = 123095987
- - 124367 Rainfall 124367 Rainfall + + 331934 Snow Cover 331934 Snow Cover -- 80709 Humidity 80709 Humidity ++ 18066146 Air Temperature 18066146 Air Temperature - - 19211292 Soil Temperature19211292 Soil Temperature
RR22 == 68% 68% Anova p=0.000 Anova p=0.000
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Statistical Model for Statistical Model for Tomato Tomato ProductionProduction
The regression model is,The regression model is, Tomato Tomato = - 75406988 = - 75406988
- - 49456 Rainfall 49456 Rainfall + + 196884 Snow Cover 196884 Snow Cover + + 493640 Humidity 493640 Humidity - 3255145 Air Temperature - 3255145 Air Temperature + 5929358 Soil Temperature+ 5929358 Soil Temperature
RR22 = = 39.7%39.7% Anova p= Anova p=0.0200.020
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Statistical Model for Statistical Model for Hazelnut Hazelnut ProductionProduction
The regression model is,The regression model is, Hazelnut Hazelnut = - 1637064 = - 1637064
+ + 981 Rainfall 981 Rainfall - - 10371 Snow Cover 10371 Snow Cover + + 4429 Humidity 4429 Humidity + 155448 Air Temperature + 155448 Air Temperature - - 29431 Soil Temperature29431 Soil Temperature
RR22 = = 36.3%36.3% Anova p= Anova p= 0.0360.036
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ConclusionConclusion
Meteorological factorsMeteorological factors Soil qualitySoil quality Seed qualitySeed quality FertilizationFertilization
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