the end of the distributed revolutioncolumbiaclimatelaw.com/files/2018/06/bradford.pdf · travis...
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The End of the Distributed Revolution
Travis Bradford, Executive Chairman, WATT Fuel Cell
President, Prometheus Institute Professor of Professional Practice, Columbia University
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The three goals of electricity provision
1. Low Cost
2. High Reliability
3. Lower social and environmental impacts
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A disruptive challenge, indeed…
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Experience Curves steep for solid state tech
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The Duck Curve – Not ideal for system needs
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The Death Spiral – Grid Defection
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Grid Defection threatens permanent disruption?
7 But seems distant and not credible…
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Just over the horizon? – Hydrogen Pathways
Power-to-Gas Power-to-Fuel
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How do we get from here to there?
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Copyright © WATT Fuel Cell Corporation, 2018. All rights reserved.
With only one step, a fuel cell directly converts fuel into usable electricity and heat through a chemical reaction. The emission is water and carbon dioxide. The result is higher efficiency, no noise and safe emissions.
WATT FUEL CELL V. CONVENTIONAL GENERATOR
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Copyright © WATT Fuel Cell Corporation, 2018. All rights reserved.
Separate support formation and coating technologies require substantial staffing & significant processing times
WATT FUEL CELL V. CONVENTIONAL SOFC MFG
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Conventional tubular SOFC manufacturing process
90% less time to produce SOFCs than conventional manufacturing processes
AMP Production Printer w/ Autoloader Module • Automated process, minimal labor
WATT Additive Manufacturing Process (AMP)
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Creative Destruction is inevitable • Expansion of additional technical solutions subject to experience
curve cost reductions • Increased economic competition for complete packages of
distributed solutions • Disintegration of traditional utility roles and natural monopolies • Major questions:
o How quickly will these solutions be available in volume?
o Who will deliver them? Utilities (which ones?) vs. 3rd Party.
o How do we manage cost shifting issues and stranded assets?
o How can policy help or hinder this transformation?
o What configuration does the new architecture naturally drive toward?
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Thank you!