the end of the distributed revolutioncolumbiaclimatelaw.com/files/2018/06/bradford.pdf · travis...

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The End of the Distributed Revolution Travis Bradford, Executive Chairman, WATT Fuel Cell President, Prometheus Institute Professor of Professional Practice, Columbia University

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Page 1: The End of the Distributed Revolutioncolumbiaclimatelaw.com/files/2018/06/Bradford.pdf · Travis Bradford, Executive Chairman, WATT Fuel Cell . President, Prometheus Institute . Professor

The End of the Distributed Revolution

Travis Bradford, Executive Chairman, WATT Fuel Cell

President, Prometheus Institute Professor of Professional Practice, Columbia University

Page 2: The End of the Distributed Revolutioncolumbiaclimatelaw.com/files/2018/06/Bradford.pdf · Travis Bradford, Executive Chairman, WATT Fuel Cell . President, Prometheus Institute . Professor

The three goals of electricity provision

1. Low Cost

2. High Reliability

3. Lower social and environmental impacts

Page 3: The End of the Distributed Revolutioncolumbiaclimatelaw.com/files/2018/06/Bradford.pdf · Travis Bradford, Executive Chairman, WATT Fuel Cell . President, Prometheus Institute . Professor

A disruptive challenge, indeed…

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Page 4: The End of the Distributed Revolutioncolumbiaclimatelaw.com/files/2018/06/Bradford.pdf · Travis Bradford, Executive Chairman, WATT Fuel Cell . President, Prometheus Institute . Professor

Experience Curves steep for solid state tech

Page 5: The End of the Distributed Revolutioncolumbiaclimatelaw.com/files/2018/06/Bradford.pdf · Travis Bradford, Executive Chairman, WATT Fuel Cell . President, Prometheus Institute . Professor

The Duck Curve – Not ideal for system needs

Page 6: The End of the Distributed Revolutioncolumbiaclimatelaw.com/files/2018/06/Bradford.pdf · Travis Bradford, Executive Chairman, WATT Fuel Cell . President, Prometheus Institute . Professor

The Death Spiral – Grid Defection

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Page 7: The End of the Distributed Revolutioncolumbiaclimatelaw.com/files/2018/06/Bradford.pdf · Travis Bradford, Executive Chairman, WATT Fuel Cell . President, Prometheus Institute . Professor

Grid Defection threatens permanent disruption?

7 But seems distant and not credible…

Page 8: The End of the Distributed Revolutioncolumbiaclimatelaw.com/files/2018/06/Bradford.pdf · Travis Bradford, Executive Chairman, WATT Fuel Cell . President, Prometheus Institute . Professor

Just over the horizon? – Hydrogen Pathways

Power-to-Gas Power-to-Fuel

Page 9: The End of the Distributed Revolutioncolumbiaclimatelaw.com/files/2018/06/Bradford.pdf · Travis Bradford, Executive Chairman, WATT Fuel Cell . President, Prometheus Institute . Professor

How do we get from here to there?

Page 10: The End of the Distributed Revolutioncolumbiaclimatelaw.com/files/2018/06/Bradford.pdf · Travis Bradford, Executive Chairman, WATT Fuel Cell . President, Prometheus Institute . Professor

Copyright © WATT Fuel Cell Corporation, 2018. All rights reserved.

With only one step, a fuel cell directly converts fuel into usable electricity and heat through a chemical reaction. The emission is water and carbon dioxide. The result is higher efficiency, no noise and safe emissions.

WATT FUEL CELL V. CONVENTIONAL GENERATOR

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Page 11: The End of the Distributed Revolutioncolumbiaclimatelaw.com/files/2018/06/Bradford.pdf · Travis Bradford, Executive Chairman, WATT Fuel Cell . President, Prometheus Institute . Professor

Copyright © WATT Fuel Cell Corporation, 2018. All rights reserved.

Separate support formation and coating technologies require substantial staffing & significant processing times

WATT FUEL CELL V. CONVENTIONAL SOFC MFG

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Conventional tubular SOFC manufacturing process

90% less time to produce SOFCs than conventional manufacturing processes

AMP Production Printer w/ Autoloader Module • Automated process, minimal labor

WATT Additive Manufacturing Process (AMP)

Page 12: The End of the Distributed Revolutioncolumbiaclimatelaw.com/files/2018/06/Bradford.pdf · Travis Bradford, Executive Chairman, WATT Fuel Cell . President, Prometheus Institute . Professor

Creative Destruction is inevitable • Expansion of additional technical solutions subject to experience

curve cost reductions • Increased economic competition for complete packages of

distributed solutions • Disintegration of traditional utility roles and natural monopolies • Major questions:

o How quickly will these solutions be available in volume?

o Who will deliver them? Utilities (which ones?) vs. 3rd Party.

o How do we manage cost shifting issues and stranded assets?

o How can policy help or hinder this transformation?

o What configuration does the new architecture naturally drive toward?

Page 13: The End of the Distributed Revolutioncolumbiaclimatelaw.com/files/2018/06/Bradford.pdf · Travis Bradford, Executive Chairman, WATT Fuel Cell . President, Prometheus Institute . Professor

Thank you!