8/22/2019 The end of the Web

1/4

Theend

of

Theweb?

8/22/2019 The end of the Web

2/4

Feature

teCHNOLOGY

69

First the Web, then Web 2.0. Where will it all end?Apparently just after Web 3.0. Fran Molloy reportson the internet of the future ... today.

T

here has been muc do out

W 2.0. ev t ct Cutl

Iovtio rviw commd ttgovmt dptmt giv om

coidtio to tkig it o od.

so you my upid to l tt W

2.0 i t vio of t itt w ll uig

t t momt.

but wt of W 3.0? It m tt W 3.0 i

t itt w out to com t itt

w c xpct to i t xt dcd d tt

will cg t vitul wold i wic icig

potio of ou liv pt.

W do you wt to go tomoow? Wil

o-o cytl ll, it m tt t ky to t

futu lwy li i t pt d t pt.

W, w d wy t itt mopd

ito vio 2.0 i ucl, ut t itt of t

pt i muc-cd vio t oigil

Wold Wid W.

T W w ivtd y egli citit

Tim b-L i 1989. (I kow ti to tu

cu ti xct m tc xitd o

t Wikipdi ty fo Itt ucgd fo t

lt t lt y.)

W 1.0 wowd viito i t dy mid-

iti wit it lu-udlid yplik, it

ppodc of Tim nw rom lck

txt o pli wit ckgoud, tiy 3K img

fil, t o-pill till of w-ufig dit pomi of ulimitd ifomtio. It w

popultd y potty cic gk d out-t

tit d, ccodig to t Itt aciv

Wyck Mci (wic pv ly pg

judgd to of mit i W Pio muum),

it w ivt, st Tk-od, viioy.

ely w o icludd t Yoo dictoy,

amzo, t Itt Movi Dt, T Wll,

Fd mgzi d nasa; d t gowig w

commuity goid ov t likly ffct of t

commcil ifluc of Micooft d aOL.

T go t igouood, idd.

Ft-fowd to 2008 d t gliti, lmot

oky, commuity-ll fl of t mid-iti

w plcd wit lk, ptti,

commcilly-domitd d f mo cowdd

vitul wold mlig mo mod oppig

mll t villg mkt.

by mid-2008, mkt lyt Itt Wold

stt potd tt 22 p ct of t wold

popultio w oli. rt vy gtly tw

gio, of cou, wit 73.6 p ct of not

amic, 48.1 p ct of euop d jut

5.3 p ct of afic oli.

8/22/2019 The end of the Web

3/4

70

Itt Wold stt dfi itt u

y po wit vill cc to itt

coctio poit, d ic kowldg of w

tcology.

rgiol vitio id, it m tt w

ft ppocig tim w um v idd

ctd tcology-mditd foum cpl of

ctig d flctig glol cociou.

T tm W 2.0 mgd i 2004 w

pomit tc puli Tim Orilly poitd

out tt iflutil mov d k i t

wold pticully t ui commuity

d mcd t itt to uc xtt tt

t W w ow vig pltfom, otig

viou pplictio.

T commcil w i ow tg it

fift ot y ic Mc ad

ld t Moic ow, Orilly id ctly.

sic 2004, Orilly Puliig otd

ul W 2.0 summit; d wit otpld fo 2009, it fi to um tt ty

xpct t cut vio of t itt to mi

i plc fo om tim.

Cctitic of W 2.0, ccodig to

Orilly, iclud ocil twokig (lik Fcook

d LikdI), aJaX (itctiv wpg tt

u pogm lik Jv), folkoomi (tggig),

ligtwigt collotio (g Wikipdi) d

mdi ig.

Pmlik coug covtio tw

olity logg d pvlc of collotio

gtd t widom of cowd tt

cotiutd towd t pticiptoy W 2.0

tt w tody, dpit t vltio of 2007hitwi tudy wic owd tt t vt mjoity

(80 to 90 p ct) of W 2.0 u piv

coum of cott o t w.

The future is here

but ccodig to tcology tpu nov

spivck, foud of etW, w ldy

dig ito W 3.0.

Wil t iovtio d pctic of W 2.0

will cotiu to dvlop, ty ot t fil tp

i t volutio of t W, gu, uggtig

tt mid-2007, t itt cod told

ito W 3.0, wit ck-d iftuctu

upgd tippig u towd tid gtio of

itlligt itt vic lik tul lgug

c, dt-miig d ditiutd dt.

T ldy udc of dfiitio

of W 3.0, ic t p w coid y nw

Yok Tim joulit Jo Mkoff i 2006.

ad w it t tid dcd of t itt

2010 to 2020 mot pudit ttig tt W

3.0 will omtig igg, tt d igt

t ytig v fo.

T tc viioi wo domit dicuio

i t logop otoiouly ipid y

ci-fi iiliti, ty ctiv i cuttig-

dg tcologi d ty clly pt t

timtd 1.5 p ct of w u wo ctully

gt cott.but wt will t miig 98 p ct of w

u xpic i W 3.0?

Wv cckd i wit pl of xpt to gt

om pdictio fo t itt w c xpct to

xpic i t xt dcd. som v com

ck wit viioy id fo glol utopi

wil ot v dk viw of ou w futu.

h ti tk o W 3.0.

Is Web 3.0 all semantics?

no Futu W xplotio would complt

witout commt fom it foud, Tim b-

L, wo fo my y cig

t dvlopmt of t smtic W, wic

will ftu mo ituitiv wy to fid d

ifomtio.

I 2006 joul ticl, T smtic W

rviitd, b-L dcid t smtic

W likd ifomtio pc i wic dt

i ig icd d ddd. It lt u gg

i t ot of dipitou u d dicovy of

ltd ifomtio tt llmk of vil

W uptk.

h liv tt t smtic W will t

Googl d-dow. T W will gt ttd tt t lpig u to mg, itgt, d

ly dt, b-L told t Uitd stt

hou of rpttiv i Mc 2007.

Tody, t W i quit ffctiv t lpig

u to puli d dicov documt, ut t

idividul ifomtio lmt witi to

documt (wt it t dt of y vt,

t pic of itm o ctlogu pg, o

mtmticl fomul) cot dld dictly

dt. Tody you c t dt wit you

ow, ut ct gt ot comput pogm

to mipult o ly it witout goig toug

lot of mul ffot youlf. a ti polm i

olvd, w c xpct tt W wol to lookmo lik lg dt o pdt, t

t jut t of likd documt.

The auto-service web

amic uto d tc tpu

sm Mit gw up i Idi wit

ouold full of vt d wokd i

tificil itlligc. I toougly joyd t

liftyl of ig l to dlgt tdiou tk to

vt, wit, ddig tt viio

W 3.0 popultd wit itlligt gt

vt uig clv pdictiv oftw tt

c mimic um oig d will covg

wit t mtic, dt-ic w to utomt

my ptitiv tk.

s uggt tt tificil itlligc gt will

pfom pcific fuctio uc tvl gt,

o pol opp gt o pol ficil

dvio gt d c will fll ito util

ui modl icludig dvtiig d commc

vu. W 3.0 i vticlid, cotxtulid,

polid w.

rc ogitio lik t Wold Wid Mid

pojct ldy potig uccful dvlopmt

The commercial web isnow a teenager its beenfifteen short years since

Marc Andreessen releasedthe Mosaic browser

8/22/2019 The end of the Web

4/4

Feature

teCHNOLOGY

71

of w-d pplictio tt c pfom logicl

oig optio.

The everywhere web

T W will ccil fom gowig

divity of twok (wil, wili, tllit, tc)

d will vill o v-icig um of

difft typ of dvic, b-L y.

Popl livig i Wt citi ldy ig

ti i ctio wit t gowt of GPs dvic, cc

to t itt fom my moil po, wifi cc

poit vill i coff op i mtopolit ,

wit my mjo citi lo offig o plig to

off f wifi cc.

The everything web

T itt fidg, it m, w ot t dud w

tougt it w; it w jut d of it tim. W 3.0

could wll m tt v you wig mci

will oli. My ivto v dmd upw-ld fuitu d good lik t itt-

ld cuttig od tt dowlod cip d

diply tm o c, o Micooft itt-

ld pk c, v t itt-ld toilt,

clld t iLoo ( pk, pptly!).

Gdgt lik t Cumy ( cutomil toy

tt llow w ufig vi tiy toucc) d

t nztg ( wifi ld pltic tlkig uy

lm clock tt dowlod wt foct, w

dli d mil mg) ldy gig

k f; witi t xt dcd, it likly tt w

will itt cc o ll ot of dvic.

W pplictio will com mo d mo

uiquitou tougout ou um viomt, witwll, utomoil dod, figto doo

ll vig diply givig u widow oto t

W, b-L y.

Cloud computing

Will ll you dt it o v i Idi

omw? O rui? ad wt do tt m

fo pivcy?

Googl CeO eic scmidt told t soul Digitl

Foum i 2007 tt W 3.0 will cctid y

difft ppoc to comput pplictio.

W 3.0 will ultimtly pplictio

wic picd togt. T um

of cctitic: t pplictio ltivly

mll, t dt i i t cloud, t pplictio

c u o y dvic, PC o moil po,

t pplictio vy ft d ty vy

cutomil. Futmo, t pplictio

ditiutd villy: litlly y ocil twok,

y mil. You wot go to t to d puc

tm. Tt vy difft pplictio modl

t wv v i computig.

Cloud computig ldy ttd to tk off;

wit t gowig um of popl wo v

gmil ti mil, kp ll ti mil poto o

Flickr, ti documt o Googl Doc d u

ti ccout toug Fook.

Comput mufctu tppig ito

gowig mkt fo tiy lptop tt u vy

ic pplictio ut mily ud fo wil

itt cc fo u wo kp mot of ti

dt oli.

The rise and rise of social networking

howd rigold i wit d futuit wo

ook, My Vitul Commuity, documtd o

of t W lit ocil twok, t Wll.

rigold ctivly ivolvd i ocil

twok v ic d pdict tt wcm d

vido-w itctio will uiquitou co t

itt witi t xt fw y.

but t glol u to pticipt i ocil

twokig com t pic, wit my u

diilluiod w ocil twokig it itld

wit dvtimt, xploitd ti dt o v

md it vy difficult to opt-out.Fcook u nipo D md dli w

tid to dlt i Fcook ccout ut w

pvtd fom doig o ily. h told t nw

Yok Tim tt Fcook w lik t hotl

Clifoi You c cck out y tim you lik,

ut you c v lv.

Neuromancer comes alive: the 3d web

W 3 will W 3D witi t xt t

to fiv y, y autli tpu bo

Quodlig, wo 3D vitul wold, Mycom, i

ltd to luc t t giig of 2009.

Willim Gio fmou cy-puk ovl

nuomc dutd i 1984 d pdictd

3D vitul wold tt ipid my itt

tpu.

T w two iggt vitul wold scod

Lif d Wold of Wcft v dciddly

difft midt, ut ot v ttctd

copot tttio, pticully scod Lif, wit

compi uc IbM, Dll, Itl v Tlt,

ttig up pc i ti vitul wold.

T W3D Cootium uggt tt i t

comig dcd, t W will tfom ito

i of 3D pc, lttig u coct d

collot uig 3D d pc d immiv

itctio uig micopo, voic- d gtu-

commd d vitul lity goggl d pp

v odyuit.

Cydildoic i t futu of t w! jok

Podct ntwok CeO Cmo rilly, wo

pdict tt t po volutio tt populid

t w mog cti goup will cotiu to

ig commcil div.

but lo gu tt po i o lugig

mtt; fo my ig govmt d tlco, c

tctic out xploittiv d mful cott

covit xcu to ttmpt to xci

coip d cotol ov t f-pc cultu

of t itt.

The end of the internet: the doomsday scenario

not vyo i xcitd out W 3.0. Oxfod

Uivity Pofo Jot Zitti w ook,T Futu of t Itt d how To stop It,

pdict cio ivolvig mo lockd cott,

icd filtig, v-xpdig copyigt lw,

d v-dimiiig pivcy.

It lk outlook; o tt w tumpd y

goup cllig tmlv iPow, wo ly 2008

vido pdictd t ed of t Itt i 2012.

evy igifict itt povid oud

t glo i cutly i tlk wit cc d

cott povid to tfom t itt ito

tlviio-lik mdium: o mo fdom, you

py fo mll commcil pckg of it you

c viit d youll v to py fo pt

uciptio fo vy it tt ot i tpckg, t goup tt.

altoug ti vido w widly ditiutd,

iPow lot cdiility wit my viw w

muc of t vido focud o t pt

mpl clvg.

Dpit t it fdom of t t, my

commtto ot tt llowig ufttd

cotol of t pyicl mifttio of t itt

(wt toug govmt o copot cotol

of po d cl li) will ultimtly mk t

wol twok vull.

The end of the internet: where to go when theres

nowhere else

ad wil W 3.0 i ig dow upo u

d w cot lly imgi t itt tt

ou cild will cc i dcd t i till

W 1.0 it tt mi lvt tody

w it fit lucd.

at www.iumi.og/oti.tm, uf

dvid: Tk you fo viitig t ed of t

Itt. T o mo lik. You mut ow

tu off you comput d go do omtig

poductiv. Go d ook, fo pt k.

While the innovations andpractices of Web 2.0 willcontinue to develop, they

are not the final step in theevolution of the Web