the forum for in-house recruiters (the firm) ltd - innovation workshop, 23rd november 2017

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Every job. Everywhere. The AI Explosion and its impact on the job market [email protected] James Neave, Head of Data Science

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Page 1: The Forum for In-House Recruiters (The FIRM) Ltd - Innovation Workshop, 23rd November 2017

Every job. Everywhere.

The AI Explosionand its impact on the job market

[email protected] Neave, Head of Data Science

Page 2: The Forum for In-House Recruiters (The FIRM) Ltd - Innovation Workshop, 23rd November 2017

Who we are...

2

Search engine for jobs

16 countries

>10m visitors per month

Traffic growth

>10m

visits/

mth

Page 3: The Forum for In-House Recruiters (The FIRM) Ltd - Innovation Workshop, 23rd November 2017

www.adzuna.co.uk

3

Page 4: The Forum for In-House Recruiters (The FIRM) Ltd - Innovation Workshop, 23rd November 2017

The Start of the Curve

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Download link: https://www.adzuna.co.uk/blog/wp-content/uploads/2017/05/Adzuna-The-Start-of-the-Curve-Whitepaper.pdf

• Response to numerous studies

forecasting ~50% job losses

• “It’s hard to make predictions,

especially about the future”Niels Bohr

Page 5: The Forum for In-House Recruiters (The FIRM) Ltd - Innovation Workshop, 23rd November 2017

Press

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Page 6: The Forum for In-House Recruiters (The FIRM) Ltd - Innovation Workshop, 23rd November 2017

Why do people think AI will get any good?

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Page 7: The Forum for In-House Recruiters (The FIRM) Ltd - Innovation Workshop, 23rd November 2017

Why do people think AI will get any good?

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Note log

scale!

Page 8: The Forum for In-House Recruiters (The FIRM) Ltd - Innovation Workshop, 23rd November 2017

Why do people think AI will get any good?

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Page 9: The Forum for In-House Recruiters (The FIRM) Ltd - Innovation Workshop, 23rd November 2017

Our study: Methodology

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● Data source○ >79m archived job ads from Jan 2015 onwards

● Data cleansing○ De-duplication; job title normalisation; exclusion of

low-frequency job titles

● Data analysis○ Extraction of fastest declining and growing job titles

by vacancy count

○ Sector breakdown

Page 10: The Forum for In-House Recruiters (The FIRM) Ltd - Innovation Workshop, 23rd November 2017

Conclusions from the paper

• Automation is not just in the future - we are seeing the

effects now

• The fastest declines are not in the types of job predicted

by the recent studies

• New job creation is balancing out the declines (so far…)

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Page 11: The Forum for In-House Recruiters (The FIRM) Ltd - Innovation Workshop, 23rd November 2017

Quiz time! 2 up, 2 down

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Illustrator

Shift Supervisor

Pharmacy AssistantNail Technician

Page 12: The Forum for In-House Recruiters (The FIRM) Ltd - Innovation Workshop, 23rd November 2017

13 out of top 20 declines due to automation

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Page 13: The Forum for In-House Recruiters (The FIRM) Ltd - Innovation Workshop, 23rd November 2017

The top 10 fastest declining occupations

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2019

Page 14: The Forum for In-House Recruiters (The FIRM) Ltd - Innovation Workshop, 23rd November 2017

The fastest declining sectors

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Page 15: The Forum for In-House Recruiters (The FIRM) Ltd - Innovation Workshop, 23rd November 2017

Growth occupations

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Page 16: The Forum for In-House Recruiters (The FIRM) Ltd - Innovation Workshop, 23rd November 2017

Fastest growing sectors

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Bonus: HR and Recruitment salaries are growing faster than almost any other sector!(Oct 2017: up 11% over last 12 months vs. national decline of -2.8%)

Page 17: The Forum for In-House Recruiters (The FIRM) Ltd - Innovation Workshop, 23rd November 2017

Summary

1. Certain jobs are already starting to decline due to

automation

2. The rate of decline will increase significantly in the next

10+ yrs

3. Awareness of the trends will become vital for managing

marketing and recruitment budgets

⇛ Data can help you!

Page 18: The Forum for In-House Recruiters (The FIRM) Ltd - Innovation Workshop, 23rd November 2017

Thank you

[email protected]