the future of fast food
TRANSCRIPT
ANALYZING TRENDS | TIM STOCK
ANTHONY BOURDAIN AMERICAN CHEF, AUTHOR & TV PERSONALITY
2
““The way people eat has changed...They’re as quick to brag about the greatest $3 bowl of laksa as a dinner at Ducasse.”
ANALYZING TRENDS | TIM STOCK3
context
economics technology society
data
PAST PRESENT FUTURE
descriptive model of critical areas of change
predictive model for forecasting scenarios
patterns
1 2
3 prescriptive model for innovation platforming to these emerging scenarios
scenarios
patterns
sourcing trends to analyze how
consumption is shifting
transparentefficient
ANALYZING TRENDS | TIM STOCK
FAST FOOD IS INTEGRAL TO THE AMERICAN DIET • Eight in ten Americans report eating at fast-food
restaurants at least monthly.• Americans earning $75,000 a year or more are
more likely to eat fast food at least weekly (51%) than are lower-income groups.
• Also, due to more rigorous training and incentives, 75% of employees believe they have an upward career path.
Source: Gallup, 2014; NRAEF, 2016
4
Daniel Schwartz, Chief Executive, Restaurant Brands International (Burger King & Tim Hortons)
the context of economics in fast food consumption
“It’s all about fewer, more impactful products that are operationally simple, and we felt grilled dogs would fit.”
-- Daniel Schwartz, WSJ, Feb. 16, 2016
ANALYZING TRENDS | TIM STOCK
HEALTHY ASPECTS ARE BEGINNING TO EVOLVE • 63-72% of kids’ meals follow national
calorie guidelines. But, only 25-33% met guidelines for calories, saturated fat and sodium.
• 53% of adults are watching their diet. • Still, 92% of adult meals are oversized,
having more calories than recommended.
Source: Packaged Facts; Dr. Sarah Sliwa, PhD, of Tufts University Friedman School of Nutrition in Boston, MA, in Journal of Nutrition Education and Behavior (JNEB); Medical News Today
5
Nate Weir, executive chef, Modern Market, Boulder, CO Source: Gallup, 2014; NRAEF, 2016the context of society in fast food consumption
“If my mission is to start to change the way people eat and to introduce people to new things, I think you have to walk that fine line; you can’t just go too over the top with it. My goal is to have people come back.”
--Nate Weir interview by QSR Magazine, April 2016--Nate Weir, executive chef, Modern Market
ANALYZING TRENDS | TIM STOCK
TECHNOLOGY HELPS INFORM AND EXPEDITE 22% have ordered using a tablet. 23% have used a mobile app. 16% have used a kiosk. And nearly 25% used technology to pay for meals, either mobile app or digital wallet.
Source: Market Force Information, March 2016
6
Gary Clough, COO, The Krystal Company, TN, at UTC College of Business. Photo by Contributed Photo/Times Free Press.
Source: Packaged Facts; Dr. Sarah Sliwa, PhD, of Tufts University Friedman School of Nutrition in Boston, MA, in Journal of Nutrition Education and Behavior (JNEB); Medical News Today
Source: Gallup, 2014; NRAEF, 2016the context of technology in fast food consumption
“Whether it’s order-confirmation boards or whether it’s mobile, I think everybody has to embrace technology. There are a lot of things that are out there that can really help not only with accuracy, but also with service.”
— Gary Clough
ANALYZING TRENDS | TIM STOCK7
ON-SITE GROWING MAKES IT REALAt Tender Greens in California, there are aeroponic towers. Each stands about 8 feet tall, growing produce for the restaurant.
ALIVE
Signifiers
farmingseeingnature
ANALYZING TRENDS | TIM STOCK8
VIRTUAL QSRs EVOLVE MEANING OF SENSE OF PLACENew York’s Maple eliminated the dining room. Customers order meals online or by mobile app, and a fleet of bike couriers deliver them.
EXPERIMENT
Signifierslinearsimplifiedefficient
ANALYZING TRENDS | TIM STOCK9
DAVID Chang’s momofuku test kitchenEXPERIMENT
Signifiers
linearsimplifiedefficient“the dream would be to have it incorporated into everyday food”
ANALYZING TRENDS | TIM STOCK10
CONSISTENCY OF CREATIVITY CALLS FOR TRAININGCalifornia-originated Dog Haus sends colorful training videos on how to assemble its newest chef creations to each of its franchisees.
CREATIVE
Signifiersvisualcreativeskilled
ANALYZING TRENDS | TIM STOCK11
predictive DELIVERY ALLOWS FOR more creative menusSprig, a California startup has found a speedy way to deliver home-cooked meals to your doorstep.
SYNCED
Signifiersconnectiontransparentinvolvement
ANALYZING TRENDS | TIM STOCK12
DELIVERY EN ROUTE MEANS FOOD CAN FIND YOUTravelkhana’s automated platform tracks trains in real time across India and ensures that fresh food orders are delivered to the passenger on time.
SYNCED
Signifiers
in momentau courantcravings
ANALYZING TRENDS | TIM STOCK13
“when was the last time you have a craving for good food during a train journey?”Travelkhana
ANALYZING TRENDS | TIM STOCK14
BLENDING LOCAL INGREDIENTS WITH GLOBAL FLAVORSCalifornia–based Heritage Eats establishes its rapport with local chefs and farmers as its franchise expands. The approach is scalable, and welcomed.
HYBRID
Signifiersuniquelocalrelational
ANALYZING TRENDS | TIM STOCK15
The Future of Fast Food
The new mandate is to creatively conspire with consumers’ evolving tastes without any compromise for speed, safety and health.
ANALYZING TRENDS | TIM STOCK16
Culture Mapping Model
FAST FOOD AS A CULTURAL SYSTEM OF EVOLVING HUMAN CODES
DOMINANT CODES
EMERGENT CODES
SYNCED
EFFICIENCY TRANSPARENCY
EXPERIMENT
2-3 years3-5 years
NOW/FADING 1-2 years
ANALYZING TRENDS | TIM STOCK17
context
economics technology society
data
PAST PRESENT FUTURE
descriptive model of critical areas of change
predictive model for forecasting scenarios
patterns
1 2
3 prescriptive model for innovation platforming to these emerging scenarios
scenarios
patterns
transparentefficient passion
Bourdain Market
ANALYZING TRENDS | TIM STOCK18
bourdain market frames the future passion of food
Bourdain Market
concept drawings
ANALYZING TRENDS | TIM STOCK19
Anthony Bourdain in China “look down the street and everywhere you look is something to eat.”