the future of sustainable powertrains · 2020-03-12 · in 2020 4% global market share for ev in...
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Carnot EnginesThe Future of Sustainable Powertrains
Page 3Executive SummaryCarnot is developing game-changing ceramic engines with
double the efficiency and half the fuel consumption / CO2
emissions of current engines. They will revolutionise the
industry and bring the internal combustion engine into the 21st
Century. Primary target markets are Generators and long-haul
transport, for which there are no alternatives to combustion
engines. Carnot has secured £330k in grant funding and is
seeking £170k to complete phase 1 of our 3-year R&D-focused
strategy to generate IP, run a bench prototype before selling
the company to a high-volume manufacturer.
Page 1
Carnot
£170kInvestment
Sought
£1.9bn4-Year Exit Valuation
£540bnTotal Addressable
Market
ü Double efficiency
ü 30% reduced total cost of ownership
ü High margins for manufacturers
ü Operation on all fuels including biofuels and hydrogen
ü World-class team
ü Carnot is the only entity developing this technology
EIS/SEISTax Relief
£330kGrant Funding
Page 3
7 million premature
worldwide deaths in 2018 due to
air pollution
In 2016, 92% of the world’s population
lived in areas where air pollution exceeded safety limits
275 million people at
risk of flooding worldwide due to
climate change
1,576,593Death Toll
105,083Death Toll
39,536Death Toll
59,467Death Toll
1,614,620Death Toll
40,000Death Toll
The Global Problem
47,703Death Toll
68,520Death Toll
31,141Death Toll
Page 4Market Problem
30% $86bnLegislated HGV emissions
improvement in next 5 years. Same as achieved in previous
40 years
Financial penalties faced by manufacturers for non-
compliance with emission/efficiency regulations
Page 4Market Opportunity
No production-ready technologies to meet new emissions legislation
Manufactures too large to adapt to new regulations
Manufactures have very low operating margins
Manufactures looking to dynamic Startup’s for solutions
Page 4
50% Gross Margins for
Manufacturerszero-carbon operation 46% Average Fuel saving
Page 5The Carnot Solution
Conventional engine
CarnotCarnot Genset
Exhaust30%
Power 70%
Fuel Energy
Fuel Energy
Power
30%
35%Cooling
Exhaust 35%
CO2
35% BFE
70% BFE
30% reduced total cost of
ownership
Meet the team
Archie WATTS-FARMER (MEng, CEng)CO-FOUNDER, CEO
Page 6
Francis LEMPP (MSc)CO-FOUNDER, ENGINE DESIGNER
Nadiur RAHMAN (MEng)CO-FOUNDER, ENGINE DESIGNER
Innovative and Dynamic Founders
Experts in Start-up Growth and PrototypingBo GӦRANNSON
Chief AnalystWolfgang LEMPP
Managing DirectorPeter FARMERFinancial Director
Dr Richard KIRKChief IP Officer
Nik THOMPSONDirector
Dr Ed WoodChief Engineer
Page 7Funding Strategy
Carnot aims to raise >60% of capital through Grant
Funding
The OGTC TechX
£100,000Feb 2020
Energy Catalyst 7
£300,000Dec 2019
Eureka Eurostars
£300,000May 2020
Smart Grants
£300,000Jul 2020
Phase 1
RAISED£320,000
GOAL£490,000
Innovate UK£220,000 – Dec 19
TechX£100,000 – Feb 20
£58.2BILLION
Total Addressable Market
6.2%CAGR
Primary MarketsGlobally Until 2040
£58.2BILLION
Service Attainable Markets
88%Global Market share
for ICEIn 2020
4%Global Market share
for EVIn 2020
HGV Propulsion/APUs
CAGR 5.5% Predicted until 2040
Marine Propulsion/APUs
CAGR 6% Predicted until 2040
Page 6
Generator SetsCAGR 9% Predicted until 2030
Page 8Target Markets£58.2 bn
£39.4 bn
£7.8 bn
Total Addressable Market
Service Addressable MarketBackup power, long-haul transport
20% market penetration after 10 years
Page 9Competitive Landscape
Total Cost of Ownership Low Medium Very high Medium
Refuelling / Recharging Minutes Hours Minutes Minutes
Life-Cycle Emissions Low Medium Low High
Range Excellent Poor Poor Good
New Infrastructure Required None Very high Large None
Reliability/ Life/ Maintenance Good Poor Poor Good
CarnotCarnot Gensets Battery Fuel Cell Conventional ICE
Page 7Page 10Customer Value Proposition
35%Lower TCO than best in class ICE
For Generators
£180kTCO saving for Carnot Genset
43%Reduction in
fuel costsFor Generators
28%Lower TCO than best in class ICE
For HGV’s
£355kTCO saving per
HGV
48%Reduction in
Fuel costsFor HGV
Expensive
Low Cost
High RangeLow Range
CarnotCarnot Gensets
Conventional Engines
Battery Tech.
Fuel Cell
£490kInvestment
First Round
£1.9MInvestmentSecond Round
£2MInvestment
Third Round
£1.9bnExit Valuation
4 Years
Phase I
Phase II
Phase III
PCT International Patent Applications
Test all Key-risks and Sub-systems
Run a Motored Prototype
Run a Fired Prototype
Page 8
EXIT
Page 11Program Milestones
2020 2021 20232022
IP Generation
Stakeholder Review
Stakeholder Review
2020 2021 20232022Phase I
£490k
Company Headcount
Investment
7
Motored Prototype
Page 9Page 12
£1.8M
Company Headcount
Investment
16
Test key-risk sub-systems
Phase II
£1.9MInvestment
17Company Headcount
Run a Fired Prototype
Phase III
(Cash Flow)(Cash Flow) (Cash Flow)
Project Timeline
Proof-of-Concept
Test Key Risk Sub-Systems
Engineering Prototype
£1.9bnCarnot Exit Valuation
After 3 years
£1bnCruise Automation
Acquired by GM
£235MMaxwell Tech.Acquired by Tesla
OEM’sCommonly invest
in early rounds
Page 8Page 13The Exit StrategyAcquired by Large
Manufacturer
4238
27
+110%
+140%
2015 2016 2017
No.
of A
cqui
sitio
ns
Powertrain Startup Acquisitions
Rising Trend in StartupAcquisitions
£1.9bn Exit Valuation
Based on DCF analysis and market examples
2016
2017
2019
2019
Expenditure PHASE 1 PHASE 2 PHASE 3 TOTAL
R&D £312k £1.33M £1.34M £2.99M
Business Development £0 £91k £91k £181k
Capital Expenditure £135k £146k £191k £472k
Other Overheads £43k £242k £304k £589k
Cash Flow -£490k -£1.81M -£1.93M -£4.23M
Page 10Page 14Financial Forecast
8xExit Multiple
Assumed
£1.9bnExit Valuation
4 Years
£4.4 MInvestment
Total
DCF10 year Company
Valuation
Phase 1 – £490k
£312k R&D
£135k Capital Expenditure
£43k Overheads
EIS/SEISInvestors Eligible
for Tax Relief
£330k Awarded Grant Funding
Carnot EnginesTurning Theory into a Reality