the gold industry leader€¦ · $0.4 trillion(1) sources: mckinsey & company, imf, barclays,...

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The Gold Industry Leader CIBC 14th Annual Whistler Institutional Investor Conference January 21, 2011 The Gold Industry Leader CIBC 14th Annual Whistler Institutional Investor Conference January 21, 2011

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Page 1: The Gold Industry Leader€¦ · $0.4 trillion(1) Sources: McKinsey & Company, IMF, Barclays, Bloomberg, Dundee Wealth Economics (1) As at January 17, 2011 Margin Expansion Total

The Gold Industry LeaderCIBC 14th Annual Whistler Institutional Investor Conference

January 21, 2011

The Gold Industry LeaderCIBC 14th Annual Whistler Institutional Investor Conference

January 21, 2011

Page 2: The Gold Industry Leader€¦ · $0.4 trillion(1) Sources: McKinsey & Company, IMF, Barclays, Bloomberg, Dundee Wealth Economics (1) As at January 17, 2011 Margin Expansion Total

CAUTIONARY STATEMENT ON FORWARD-LOOKING INFORMATIONCertain information contained in this presentation, including any information as to our strategy, projects, plans or future financial or operating performance and other statements that express management's expectations or estimates of future performance, constitute "forward-looking statements”. All statements, other than statements of historical fact, are forward-looking statements. The words “believe”, "expect", "will", “anticipate”, “contemplate”, “target”, “plan”, “continue”, “budget”, “may”, “intend”, “estimate” and similar expressions identify forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are necessarily based upon a number of estimates and assumptions that, while considered reasonable by management, are inherently subject to significant business, economic and competitive uncertainties and contingencies. The Company cautions the reader that such forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause the actual financial results, performance or achievements of Barrick to be materially different from the Company's estimated future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by those forward-looking statements and the forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance. These risks, uncertainties and other factors include, but are not limited to: the impact of global liquidity and credit availability on the timing of cash flows and the values of assets and liabilities based on projected future cash flows; changes in the worldwide price of gold, copper or certain other commodities (such as silver, fuel and electricity); fluctuations in currency markets; changes in U.S. dollar interest rates; risks arising from holding derivative instruments; ability to successfully complete announced transactions and integrate acquired assets; legislative, political or economic developments in the jurisdictions in which the Company carries on business; operating or technical difficulties in connection with mining or development activities; employee relations; availability and costs associated with mining inputs and labor; the speculative nature of exploration and development, including the risks of obtaining necessary licenses and permits and diminishing quantities or grades of reserves; changes in costs and estimates associated with our projects; adverse changes in our credit rating, level of indebtedness and liquidity, contests over title to properties, particularly title to undeveloped properties; the risks involved in the exploration, development and mining business. Certain of these factors are discussed in greater detail in the Company’s most recent Form 40-F/Annual Information Form on file with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission and Canadian provincial securities regulatory authorities.

The Company disclaims any intention or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by applicable law.

Page 3: The Gold Industry Leader€¦ · $0.4 trillion(1) Sources: McKinsey & Company, IMF, Barclays, Bloomberg, Dundee Wealth Economics (1) As at January 17, 2011 Margin Expansion Total

A Compelling Investment Case

Investment Case for Gold Strong fundamentalsInvestment Case for Barrick Capturing benefits of high gold and copper prices

record Q3 net income and operating cash flow; margin expansion– record Q3 net income and operating cash flow; margin expansion– annualized return on equity of ~18%(1)

– strong financial position; dividend increased 20%(2)

C i i Consistent execution– high quality diversified asset base – history of reserve growth

Strategy focused on adding value to increase NAV, production, reserves and income on a per share basis– growing production at lower costs

f i hidd l t i ti ti

1

– surfacing hidden value at existing operations

Compelling valuation(1) See final slide #4 (2) See final slide #5

Outlook - Bullish on Gold

Diversifying Role– up 417% over past 10 yrs (S&P – down 3%)(1)up 417% over past 10 yrs (S&P down 3%)

Price supportive macroeconomic environment:– quantitative easingquantitative easing– fiscal policies & sovereign debt concerns– trade & current account imbalances

Excessive global FX reserves

Central banks become net buyers

Scarcity value

2(1) As of January 17, 2011

Page 4: The Gold Industry Leader€¦ · $0.4 trillion(1) Sources: McKinsey & Company, IMF, Barclays, Bloomberg, Dundee Wealth Economics (1) As at January 17, 2011 Margin Expansion Total

Global FX Reserves

2/3 of FX reserves are in US dollars FX reserves are exploding

$7.4 trillionheld by 19 FX reserves are exploding

US$ trillions

held by 19 countries

China8

9

China2.85

Japan 1 0

8

6

7

Taiwan 0.4

Japan 1.0

Russia 0.44

5 $6.6trillion

increase

1

2

3 2002-2010

3Source: DundeeWealth Economics201079 89 99

010

Net Official Sector Gold Sales

663(tonnes)

479 484

Net official sector b f h f

365

236 buying for the first time since 1988

236

2004 2005 2006 2007 200830

2009 2010*

4

Source: GFMS, World Gold Council

* Q4 2010 is estimate

-87

Page 5: The Gold Industry Leader€¦ · $0.4 trillion(1) Sources: McKinsey & Company, IMF, Barclays, Bloomberg, Dundee Wealth Economics (1) As at January 17, 2011 Margin Expansion Total

Scarcity Value

60 60Global Financial Assetstotal $117 trillion

US$ trillions

50PrivateDebt

50

$

Equities

40

Equities

40ManagedAssets$40 illi

qdeclined by 45% in 2008

20

30 EquitiesGovt.Debt

20

30$40 trillion

10 10Gold Equities& Gold ETFs

5

0 0

$0.4 trillion(1)

Sources: McKinsey & Company, IMF, Barclays, Bloomberg, Dundee Wealth Economics (1) As at January 17, 2011

Margin Expansion

Total Cash Costs(1) vs Gold PricesUS$ per ounce 1,184Avg. Realized Price(1)

+$1,350 Current Spot

519

736

1,184

872

Avg. Realized Price

Margins(1)

985

429519

621

872

443214265

276

466 448439

5456

225280

345214

T l C h C

6

05 06 07 08 09 9 months10(1) see final slide #1

Total Cash Cost

Page 6: The Gold Industry Leader€¦ · $0.4 trillion(1) Sources: McKinsey & Company, IMF, Barclays, Bloomberg, Dundee Wealth Economics (1) As at January 17, 2011 Margin Expansion Total

Record Financial Results

Adjusted Net Income(1)

t S t 30

Op. Cash Flowto Sept. 30, US$M

Net Incometo Sept. 30,US$M to Sept. 30,

US$M

US$M 3,346

69%

US$M

2 378 2,329

93%

1,978

69%2,378

1,20593%

09 10 09 1009 10

7(1) See final slide #1

Hedge Book Elimination-4,487

Leverage to Gold

Barrick EPS & CFPS vs GoldReturns (US$)

Barrick’s adjusted earnings and cash flow(1)earnings and cash flow(1)

growth has significantly outpaced the rise in500%

600%( = adjusted)

outpaced the rise in gold prices over the past 5 years

400%

200%

300%

100%

8

(1) See final slide #1. All EPS figures are adjusted except Dec 04 is GAAP basis and all CFPS are on a GAAP basis except Dec 09 is adjusted. YTD Sept. 30, 2010 adjusted EPS and CFPS return is annualized; gold price as at Dec. 31, 2010

Dec-04 Dec-05 Dec-06 Dec-07 Dec-08 Dec-09 Dec-100%

Page 7: The Gold Industry Leader€¦ · $0.4 trillion(1) Sources: McKinsey & Company, IMF, Barclays, Bloomberg, Dundee Wealth Economics (1) As at January 17, 2011 Margin Expansion Total

Strong Financial Position

Industry’s Highest Rated Balance SheetA-Rated Industry s Highest Rated Balance Sheet

Cash Balance(1)

A Rated

$4.3B

Undrawn Line of Credit(1) $1.5B

Strong Operating Cash Flow(2)

d d d Q3

$3.3B

Increase in Dividend Announced in Q3(3)20%

9(1) As of Sept. 30, 2010 (2) For Nine months ended Sept. 30, 2010 (3) See final slide #5

Balanced Portfolio

North2009 P&P Reserves

America

2010E ProductionNorth America

40%

Africa

North America40%

SouthAmerica

35%AustraliaPacific

Africa12%

South Africa

SouthAmerica

27% AustraliaPacific

Africa 8% 13%

A t li

AmericaPacific25%

10

AustraliaPacific Industry’s Largest Reserves and Production

ProjectMine

Page 8: The Gold Industry Leader€¦ · $0.4 trillion(1) Sources: McKinsey & Company, IMF, Barclays, Bloomberg, Dundee Wealth Economics (1) As at January 17, 2011 Margin Expansion Total

History of Reserve Growth

THROUGH ACQUISITION AND EXPLORATION proven and probable – millions of ounces ~140 (1)proven and probable – millions of ounces

135TOTAL

EXPLORA

~140 (1)

EXPLORA-TION

2018 Moz

1990 2009100TOTALMINED

103TOTAL

ACQUIRED

Divestitures

11(1) See final slide #3

Barrick’s Strategy

Focused on adding value… Increase gold and copper reserves through exploration Increase gold and copper reserves through exploration

and selective acquisitions

Invest in high return development projectsg p p j

Maximize value of existing mines

Leverage technical skills and regional infrastructure to g gcommercialize new deposits

Enhance CSR practices to maintain license to operate

…to increase NAV, production, reserves and earnings all on a per

12

reserves and earnings all on a per share basis

Page 9: The Gold Industry Leader€¦ · $0.4 trillion(1) Sources: McKinsey & Company, IMF, Barclays, Bloomberg, Dundee Wealth Economics (1) As at January 17, 2011 Margin Expansion Total

Production Growth

Gold Productionounces millions

9.0 (1)

ounces millions

7.4

7.65-7.85

135

2009 2010 5-Year Target

(1) See final slide #6

Cortez Hills - Exceeds Expectations

Cortez property for 9 months ended Sept. 30, 2010:d ti f 936 K t t t l h t f $307/ (1)– production of 936 Koz at total cash costs of $307/oz(1)

Supplementary EIS and ROD expected early 2011

Mining the Open Pit

141414(1) See final slide #1

Page 10: The Gold Industry Leader€¦ · $0.4 trillion(1) Sources: McKinsey & Company, IMF, Barclays, Bloomberg, Dundee Wealth Economics (1) As at January 17, 2011 Margin Expansion Total

Pueblo Viejo Project Update

Initial production expected in Q4 2011(1)

In line with $3 0B pre-production capital budget(2) In line with $3.0B pre production capital budget( )

(100%) 625-675 Koz to Barrick at total cash costs of

$275-$300/oz(2,3)

~80% of capital committed

Ore Oxygen Ore Autoclave Limestone Limestone

Construction almost 50% complete

OreReclaim

OxygenPlant

OreMilling

Autoclave Limestone Milling

LimestoneKilns

15(1) See final slide #7 (2) See final slide #2 (3) See final slide #1

15

Pascua-Lama Project Update

Initial production expected in Q1 2013

First rock removal from cross-border ore transport tunnel in Chile

expected in Q1 2013

Detailed engineering and procurement overand procurement over 90% complete

In line with ~$3.0B pre-production capital budget(1)

~50% of capital

Primary crusher platform excavation

– ~50% of capital committed

750-800 Koz at total cash

16

750 800 Koz at total cash costs of $20-$50/oz(1,2)

(1) See final slide #2 (2) See final slide #1 16

Page 11: The Gold Industry Leader€¦ · $0.4 trillion(1) Sources: McKinsey & Company, IMF, Barclays, Bloomberg, Dundee Wealth Economics (1) As at January 17, 2011 Margin Expansion Total

Cerro Casale Project Update

Detailed engineering about 30% complete~$4 2B pre-production capital budget (100%)(1)~$4.2B pre production capital budget (100%)(1)

Barrick’s 75% share of production:–750-825 Koz gold and 170-190 M lbs copper–750-825 Koz gold and 170-190 M lbs copper–Total cash costs of $240-$260/oz(1,2)

Hydrologic drilling for water supply reservoir

1717(1) Based on June 2009 prices and assumes Chilean peso f/x rate of 500:1 (1) See final slide #2 (2) See final slide #1

Next GenerationGoldBarrick’s shareof resources

CopperBarrick’s share of resourcesB lb

Nickel

0.5

Reko Diq, Pakistan (37.5%) Feasibility completed

M oz B lbsDONLIN CK. B lbs

REKO DIQ KABANGA

8.418 4

2.6Inferred

Inferred

Donlin Creek, Alaska (50%) Potential to be 1 Moz producer

(100%)

6.4Inferred

REKO DIQ Inferred18.4M&I

1.1M&I

(100%) Results of gas pipeline option

expected in Q2 20119.5

11.7M&I

Kabanga, Tanzania (50%) One of the world’s largest

undeveloped nickel sulfide

M&I

18

pdeposits

Page 12: The Gold Industry Leader€¦ · $0.4 trillion(1) Sources: McKinsey & Company, IMF, Barclays, Bloomberg, Dundee Wealth Economics (1) As at January 17, 2011 Margin Expansion Total

Value Creation Opportunities

Turquoise Ridge super pit potential(1)

– Annual mining rate could conceptually increase to up toAnnual mining rate could conceptually increase to up to ~800 Koz/yr based on a potential open pit ore body of +20 million ounces(2)(3) (100% basis)

L N t lfid t d i lif b 4 ith Lagunas Norte sulfides: extends mine life by 4 years with additional ~2 Moz

Zaldívar deep primary sulfides offer additional:+6 Blbs Zaldívar deep primary sulfides offer additional:+6 Blbs contained Cu and ~2.4 Moz contained Au

El Indio Belt: supergiant Cu-Au-Mo porphyry potential

Significant brownfield opportunities to increase production & extend mine lives at other operations

19

Exploration success to provide additional upside potential

(1) Barrick’s interest in Turquoise Ridge is 75% (2) See final slide #8 (3) See final slide #9

Compelling Valuation

50 $1,400Multiple Gold

40 $1,200

Avg. Gold Price

30 $1,000

20 $800

S&P 500 P/EPS

ABX P/EPS*

0

10

$400

$600ABX P/OCFPS*

20* EPS and CFPS are on trailing quarterly basis

0 $400Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3

2005 2006 2007 2008

Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3

2009

Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3

2010

Current

Page 13: The Gold Industry Leader€¦ · $0.4 trillion(1) Sources: McKinsey & Company, IMF, Barclays, Bloomberg, Dundee Wealth Economics (1) As at January 17, 2011 Margin Expansion Total

In Closing

Positive outlook for gold and exceptional leverage to the gold priceto the gold price

Consistent operational execution contributed to record financial resultsrecord financial results

Focused on value creation and increasing key metrics on a per share basismetrics on a per share basis

Targeting 9 Moz of annual production within the next 5 yearsnext 5 years

Capturing significant upside within current asset base

21

base

Footnotes1. Net cash costs per ounce, net cash margin per ounce, total cash costs per ounce, cash margin per ounce, total cash costs per pound, adjusted net income, adjusted

cash flow and average realized price are non-GAAP financial measures with no standardized meaning under US GAAP. See pages 41-48 of Barrick’s Third Quarter 2010 Report.

2. All references to total cash costs and production are based on expected first full 5 year average, except where noted. Expected total cash costs for Cortez Hills, Pueblo Viejo, Pascua-Lama and Cerro Casale are based on $75/bbl oil. Cortez total cash cost and production actuals and estimates include Pipeline operation. PuebloPueblo Viejo, Pascua Lama and Cerro Casale are based on $75/bbl oil. Cortez total cash cost and production actuals and estimates include Pipeline operation. Pueblo Viejo total cash cost estimates are calculated assuming a gold price of $1,100/oz. Pascua-Lama total cash cost estimates are calculated assuming a gold price of $1,100/oz and applying silver credits assuming a by-product silver price of $16/oz and a Chilean peso f/x rate of 500:1. Cerro Casale total cash cost estimates are calculated assuming a gold price of $1,100/oz and applying copper credits assuming a by-product copper price of $2.75/lb and assuming a Chilean peso exchange rate of 500:1 for first full 5 years. Reko Diq total cash cost estimates are calculated assuming a gold price of $925/oz and a copper price of $2.20/lb. All ‘budget’ references refer to ‘pre-production’ capital budgets on a 100% basis and exclude capitalized interest. Pueblo Viejo pre-production capital of $3.0B (100% basis) includes $0.3B to complete an accelerated expansion to 24,000 tpd. Pascua-Lama pre-production capital assumes Chilean peso f/x rate of 575:1; Argentine peso f/x

f l d l b d d h l f/ frate of 3.7:1. Cerro Casale pre-production capital is based on June 2009 prices and assumes Chilean peso f/x rate of 500:1.

3. Calculated as at December 31, 2009 in accordance with National Instrument 43-101 as required by Canadian securities regulatory authorities. For United States reporting purposes, Industry Guide 7 (under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934), as interpreted by the Staff of the SEC, applies different standards in order to classify mineralization as a reserve. Accordingly, for U.S. reporting purposes, Cerro Casale is classified as mineralized material. For a breakdown of reserves and resources by category and additional information relating to reserves and resources, see pages 23 to 33 of Barrick’s 2009 Form 40-F/Annual Information Form on file with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission and Canadian provincial securities regulatory authorities.

4 R h h ld ’ i i GAAP fi i l i h d di d i d US GAAP 2010 li d i i b d4. Return on shareholders’ equity is a non-GAAP financial measure with no standardized meaning under US GAAP. 2010 annualized return on equity is based on shareholders’ equity (before non-controlling interest) as of September 30, 2010 and adjusted net income for the first 9 months of 2010.

5. The declaration and payment of dividends remains at the discretion of the Board of Directors and will depend on Company’s financial results, cash requirements, future prospects and other factors deemed relevant by the Board. Calculated based on converting previous semi-annual dividend of US$0.20 per share to a quarterly equivalent.

6. The target of 9 M oz of annual production (within 5 years) reflects a current assessment of the expected production and timeline to complete and commission of B i k’ j t tl i t ti d itti (P bl Vi j P L C C l ) d iti t ti d i i d t t f CBarrick’s projects currently in construction and permitting (Pueblo Viejo, Pascua-Lama, Cerro Casale); an assumed positive construction decision and start-up of Cerro Casale and production at expected levels; and the Company’s current assessment of existing mine site opportunities, some of which are sensitive to metal price and various capital and input cost assumptions. See note 2 above for additional detail regarding certain underlying assumptions.

7. Initial production for Pueblo Viejo continues to be anticipated for the fourth quarter of 2011, although timing delays principally associated with the issuance of certain approvals related to power supply may result in first production occurring in Q1 2012.

8. The current U/G cutoff grade is 0.25 opt; open pit cutoff would be 0.04 opt. Assumes a gold price of $975/oz. Feasibility, permitting and construction are estimated t t k 8 K it d l d d i l d E i t l I t St t t Pl f O ti A l Cl W t A t S ti 404 P itti

22

to take ~8 years. Key permits and approvals needed include: Environmental Impact Statement, Plan of Operations Approval, Clean Water Act Section 404 Permitting, Mercury Control Permits, Water Pollution Control Permit. Turquoise Ridge potential total resource of +20 Moz includes 5.4 Moz reserve (100% basis).

9. Additional exploration is required to define the mineral resource and it is uncertain whether Barrick will be able to define such mineral resource.