the idea test
DESCRIPTION
Hypothesis testing is a way of testing new ideas against your strategy, goals and context. Before running away with a brilliant new idea, it needs to be checked to see how good it really is and how well it fits with who you are and what you do. This is a way for Portfolio, Programme and Project Teams to test that their new initiative will add value in a way that is consistent with their organisation's vision and objectives.TRANSCRIPT
Testing the Big Idea
Decision Making - by the book
Decision making is both science and art. Many aspects of military operations - movement rates, fuel consumption, weapons effects - are quantifiable and, therefore, part of the science of war. Other aspects - the impact of leadership, complexity of operations, and uncertainty regarding enemy intentions - belong to the art of war.
» US Army Field Manual FM101-5, Staff Organization And Operations, 1997, Chapter 5
Time Appreciation
Have you got the time to do this thoroughly?
• Urgency• Scope• People• Resources
Idea Test1. Set the scene 2. Choose to change
3. First filter - test the Hypothesis
4. Turn the Hypothesis into a Goal5. Optimise the value of the Goal
6. Second filter - test the Goal
7. Plan to realise the Ends
8. Third filter - test the Goal
Means, Ways and Ends
Means, Ways and Ends
Idea Test1. Set the scene 2. Choose to change
3. First filter - test the Hypothesis
4. Turn the Hypothesis into a Goal5. Optimise the value of the Goal
6. Second filter - test the Goal
7. Plan to realise the Ends
8. Third filter - test the Goal
Pre-Mortem
A way to assess your risks• Set the scene, “It’s a year from now, we ran
the project and it all went wrong”.• Describe how and why it went wrong• See what you can do now to prevent this
happening.
Original idea by Gary Klein, quoted in Thinking Fast and Slow, Daniel Kahneman
Goal Modelling helps you make good choices in a complex world
David [email protected]
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www.keldale.com www.goalmodelling.com
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