the influence of solar variability on the atmosphere and ocean dynamics

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The Influence of Solar Variability on the Atmosphere and Ocean Dynamics Speaker Pei-Yu Chueh Adviser Yu-Heng Tseng Date 2011/3/29

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The Influence of Solar Variability on the Atmosphere and Ocean Dynamics. Speaker : Pei-Yu Chueh Adviser : Yu- Heng Tseng Date : 2011/3/29. SST bias. ATM. COSMOS. CCSM4. OCN. COSMOS. CCSM4. COSMOS. CCSM4. Obs. SST mean. Pacific SSTa STD. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: The Influence of Solar Variability on the Atmosphere and Ocean Dynamics

The Influence of Solar Variability on the Atmosphere

and Ocean Dynamics

Speaker: Pei-Yu Chueh Adviser: Yu-Heng Tseng

Date: 2011/3/29

Page 2: The Influence of Solar Variability on the Atmosphere and Ocean Dynamics

SST bias

SST bias of COSMOS-aosolc-SSTsimulation averaged over 100yr referenced to HadISST

60 E 90

E 120

E 150

E 180

W 150

W 120

W 90

W 60

W 30

W 0

30

E

75 S

60 S

45 S

30 S

15 S

0

15 N

30 N

45 N

60 N

75 N

-3

-2

-1

0

1

2

3

SST bias of CCSM4-B1850CNSC-SSTsimulation averaged over 100yr referenced to HadISST

60 E 90

E 120

E 150

E 180

W 150

W 120

W 90

W 60

W 30

W 0

30

E

75 S

60 S

45 S

30 S

15 S

0

15 N

30 N

45 N

60 N

75 N

-3

-2

-1

0

1

2

3

Page 3: The Influence of Solar Variability on the Atmosphere and Ocean Dynamics

COSMOS

120 E 150

E 180

W 150

W 120

W 90

W

15 S

0

15 N

Zonal wind stress COSMOS-aosolc

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

120 E 150

E 180

W 150

W 120

W 90

W

15 S

0

15 N

Zonal wind stress CCSM4-B1850CNSC

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

120 E 150

E 180

W 150

W 120

W 90

W

15 S

0

15 N

Wind stress curl COSMOS-aosolc

-2

-1.5

-1

-0.5

0

0.5

1

120 E 150

E 180

W 150

W 120

W 90

W

15 S

0

15 N

Wind stress curl CCSM4-B1850CNSC

-1

-0.5

0

0.5

1

120 E 150

E 180

W 150

W 120

W 90

W

15 S

0

15 N

Precipitation CCSM4-B1850CNSC

2

4

6

8

10

12x 10

-8

120 E 150

E 180

W 150

W 120

W 90

W

15 S

0

15 N

Precipitation COSMOS-aosolc

2

4

6

8

10

12x 10

-5

CCSM4ATM

Page 4: The Influence of Solar Variability on the Atmosphere and Ocean Dynamics

COSMOS CCSM4OCN

Page 5: The Influence of Solar Variability on the Atmosphere and Ocean Dynamics

-2

-2-1

.5

-1

-1

-1

-1

-0.5

-0.5

-0.5

-0.5

-0.5

-0.5

-0.5

-0.5

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0.5

0.5

0.5

0.5

0.5

1

1

1

1

1

1

1.5

1.5

1.5

2

2

2.5

2.5

SST anomalies (oC) from COSMOS-aosolc-SST

Longitude

Mon

th

140E 180 140W 100WJ

F

M

A

M

J

J

A

S

O

N

D

-1.5

-1

-1

-0.5

-0.5

-0.5

-0.5

0

0

0

00

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0.5

0.5

0.5

0.5

0.5

1

1

1.52

SST anomalies(oC) from HadISST

Longitude

Mon

th

140E 180 140W 100WJ

F

M

A

M

J

J

A

S

O

N

D

-1.5

-1

-1

-0.5

-0.5

-0.5

-0.5

0

0

0

0

0

00

0

0

0

0

0.5

0.5

0.5

0.5

1

1

1.5

SST anomalies (oC) from CCSM4-B1850CNSC-SST

LongitudeM

onth

140E 180 140W 100WJ

F

M

A

M

J

J

A

S

O

N

D

COSMOS CCSM4Obs.

Page 6: The Influence of Solar Variability on the Atmosphere and Ocean Dynamics

HadISST mean

120 E 150

E 180

W 150

W 120

W 90

W

15 S

0

15 N

22

24

26

28

30

COSMOS-aosolc-SST mean

120 E 150

E 180

W 150

W 120

W 90

W

15 S

0

15 N

22

24

26

28

30

CCSM4-B1850CNSC-SST mean

120 E 150

E 180

W 150

W 120

W 90

W

15 S

0

15 N

22

24

26

28

30

SST mean

Page 7: The Influence of Solar Variability on the Atmosphere and Ocean Dynamics

Pacific SSTa STD

CCSM B1850CN

120oE 160oE 160oW 120oW 80oW 20oS 10oS

0o 10oN 20oN

0

1

2

HadISST,1869-2009

120oE 160oE 160oW 120oW 80oW 20oS 10oS

0o 10oN 20oN

0.5

1

CCSM B1850CNSC

120oE 160oE 160oW 120oW 80oW 20oS 10oS

0o 10oN 20oN

0

1

2

HadISST,1869-2009

120oE 160oE 160oW 120oW 80oW 20oS 10oS

0o 10oN 20oN

0.5

1

COSMOS aosolc

120oE 160oE 160oW 120oW 80oW 20oS 10oS

0o 10oN 20oN

0

1

2

HadISST,1869-2009

120oE 160oE 160oW 120oW 80oW 20oS 10oS

0o 10oN 20oN

0.5

1

COSMOS aot31

120oE 160oE 160oW 120oW 80oW 20oS 10oS

0o 10oN 20oN

0

1

2

HadISST,1869-2009

120oE 160oE 160oW 120oW 80oW 20oS 10oS

0o 10oN 20oN

0.5

1

CCSM B1850CN

120oE 160oE 160oW 120oW 80oW 20oS 10oS

0o 10oN 20oN

1

2

3

HadISST,1869-2009

120oE 160oE 160oW 120oW 80oW 20oS 10oS

0o 10oN 20oN

0.5

1

Page 8: The Influence of Solar Variability on the Atmosphere and Ocean Dynamics

Nino3.4 SSTa model & HadISST 1870~2010

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 910 20 30-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

10

Lo

g 10P

SD

(d

B)

Period (year)

Nino3.4 SSTa power spectrum COSMOS asob

COSMOS asobsolcCOSMOS asobt31observation

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 910 20 30-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

10

Lo

g 10P

SD

(d

B)

Period (year)

Nino3.4 SSTa power spectrum COSMOS ao

COSMOS aosolcCOSMOS aot31observation

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 910 20 30-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

10

Lo

g 10P

SD

(d

B)

Period (year)

Nino3.4 SSTa power spectrum CCSM B1850CN

CCSM B1850CNSCCCSM B1850CNobservation

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 910 20 30-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

10

Lo

g 10P

SD

(d

B)

Period (year)

Nino3.4 SSTa power spectrum CCSM B1850

CCSM B1850SCCCSM B1850observation

Page 9: The Influence of Solar Variability on the Atmosphere and Ocean Dynamics

J F M A M J J A S O N D-1.5

-1

-0.5

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

Month

Tem

pera

ture

ano

mal

y(oC

)

Annual cycle of nino34 SST

HadISSTCCSM4COSMOS

J F M A M J J A S O N D-1.5

-1

-0.5

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

Month

Tem

pera

ture

ano

mal

y(oC

)

Annual cycle of nino3 SST

HadISSTCCSM4COSMOS

Page 10: The Influence of Solar Variability on the Atmosphere and Ocean Dynamics

CCSM4-B1850CNSC-SST mean

120 E 150

E 180

W 150

W 120

W 90

W

15 S

0

15 N

22

24

26

28

30

J F M A M J J A S O N D-1.5

-1

-0.5

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

Month

Tem

pera

ture

ano

mal

y(oC

)

Annual cycle of nino34 SST

HadISSTCCSM4COSMOS

CCSM4-B1850CNSC-SST month:10

120 E 150

E 180

W 150

W 120

W 90

W

15 S

0

15 N

CCSM4-B1850CNSC-SST month:11

120 E 150

E 180

W 150

W 120

W 90

W

15 S

0

15 N

CCSM4-B1850CNSC-SST month:12

120 E 150

E 180

W 150

W 120

W 90

W

15 S

0

15 N

CCSM4-B1850CNSC-SST month:1

120 E 150

E 180

W 150

W 120

W 90

W

15 S

0

15 N

CCSM4-B1850CNSC-SST month:2

120 E 150

E 180

W 150

W 120

W 90

W

15 S

0

15 N

CCSM4-B1850CNSC-SST month:3

120 E 150

E 180

W 150

W 120

W 90

W

15 S

0

15 N

CCSM4-B1850CNSC-SST month:4

120 E 150

E 180

W 150

W 120

W 90

W

15 S

0

15 N

CCSM4-B1850CNSC-SST month:5

120 E 150

E 180

W 150

W 120

W 90

W

15 S

0

15 N

CCSM4-B1850CNSC-SST month:6

120 E 150

E 180

W 150

W 120

W 90

W

15 S

0

15 N

Page 11: The Influence of Solar Variability on the Atmosphere and Ocean Dynamics
Page 12: The Influence of Solar Variability on the Atmosphere and Ocean Dynamics

HadISST month:1

120 E 150

E 180

W 150

W 120

W 90

W

15 S

0

15 N

24

26

28

HadISST month:2

120 E 150

E 180

W 150

W 120

W 90

W

15 S

0

15 N

22

24

26

28

HadISST month:3

120 E 150

E 180

W 150

W 120

W 90

W

15 S

0

15 N

22

24

26

28

CCSM4-B1850CNSC-SST month:1

120 E 150

E 180

W 150

W 120

W 90

W

15 S

0

15 N

22

24

26

28

CCSM4-B1850CNSC-SST month:2

120 E 150

E 180

W 150

W 120

W 90

W

15 S

0

15 N

22

24

26

28

CCSM4-B1850CNSC-SST month:3

120 E 150

E 180

W 150

W 120

W 90

W

15 S

0

15 N

22

24

26

28

COSMOS-aosolc-SST month:1

120 E 150

E 180

W 150

W 120

W 90

W

15 S

0

15 N

22

24

26

28

30

COSMOS-aosolc-SST month:2

120 E 150

E 180

W 150

W 120

W 90

W

15 S

0

15 N

24

26

28

30

COSMOS-aosolc-SST month:3

120 E 150

E 180

W 150

W 120

W 90

W

15 S

0

15 N

24

26

28

30

Page 13: The Influence of Solar Variability on the Atmosphere and Ocean Dynamics

HadISST month:4

120 E 150

E 180

W 150

W 120

W 90

W

15 S

0

15 N

22

24

26

28

HadISST month:5

120 E 150

E 180

W 150

W 120

W 90

W

15 S

0

15 N

24

26

28

HadISST month:6

120 E 150

E 180

W 150

W 120

W 90

W

15 S

0

15 N

22

24

26

28

CCSM4-B1850CNSC-SST month:4

120 E 150

E 180

W 150

W 120

W 90

W

15 S

0

15 N

22

24

26

28

CCSM4-B1850CNSC-SST month:5

120 E 150

E 180

W 150

W 120

W 90

W

15 S

0

15 N

22

24

26

28

CCSM4-B1850CNSC-SST month:6

120 E 150

E 180

W 150

W 120

W 90

W

15 S

0

15 N

22

24

26

28

COSMOS-aosolc-SST month:4

120 E 150

E 180

W 150

W 120

W 90

W

15 S

0

15 N

24

26

28

30

COSMOS-aosolc-SST month:5

120 E 150

E 180

W 150

W 120

W 90

W

15 S

0

15 N

24

26

28

30

COSMOS-aosolc-SST month:6

120 E 150

E 180

W 150

W 120

W 90

W

15 S

0

15 N

24

26

28

30

Page 14: The Influence of Solar Variability on the Atmosphere and Ocean Dynamics

HadISST month:7

120 E 150

E 180

W 150

W 120

W 90

W

15 S

0

15 N

22

24

26

28

HadISST month:8

120 E 150

E 180

W 150

W 120

W 90

W

15 S

0

15 N

22

24

26

28

HadISST month:9

120 E 150

E 180

W 150

W 120

W 90

W

15 S

0

15 N

20

22

24

26

28

CCSM4-B1850CNSC-SST month:7

120 E 150

E 180

W 150

W 120

W 90

W

15 S

0

15 N

22

24

26

28

CCSM4-B1850CNSC-SST month:8

120 E 150

E 180

W 150

W 120

W 90

W

15 S

0

15 N

22

24

26

28

CCSM4-B1850CNSC-SST month:9

120 E 150

E 180

W 150

W 120

W 90

W

15 S

0

15 N

22

24

26

28

COSMOS-aosolc-SST month:7

120 E 150

E 180

W 150

W 120

W 90

W

15 S

0

15 N

22

24

26

28

30

COSMOS-aosolc-SST month:8

120 E 150

E 180

W 150

W 120

W 90

W

15 S

0

15 N

20

25

30

COSMOS-aosolc-SST month:9

120 E 150

E 180

W 150

W 120

W 90

W

15 S

0

15 N

20

25

30

Page 15: The Influence of Solar Variability on the Atmosphere and Ocean Dynamics

HadISST month:10

120 E 150

E 180

W 150

W 120

W 90

W

15 S

0

15 N

20

22

24

26

28

HadISST month:11

120 E 150

E 180

W 150

W 120

W 90

W

15 S

0

15 N

22

24

26

28

HadISST month:12

120 E 150

E 180

W 150

W 120

W 90

W

15 S

0

15 N

22

24

26

28

30

COSMOS-aosolc-SST month:10

120 E 150

E 180

W 150

W 120

W 90

W

15 S

0

15 N

20

25

30

COSMOS-aosolc-SST month:11

120 E 150

E 180

W 150

W 120

W 90

W

15 S

0

15 N

22

24

26

28

30

COSMOS-aosolc-SST month:12

120 E 150

E 180

W 150

W 120

W 90

W

15 S

0

15 N

22

24

26

28

30

CCSM4-B1850CNSC-SST month:10

120 E 150

E 180

W 150

W 120

W 90

W

15 S

0

15 N

22

24

26

28

CCSM4-B1850CNSC-SST month:11

120 E 150

E 180

W 150

W 120

W 90

W

15 S

0

15 N

22

24

26

28

CCSM4-B1850CNSC-SST month:12

120 E 150

E 180

W 150

W 120

W 90

W

15 S

0

15 N

22

24

26

28