the italian asset management market - assogestioni855,11422/2016-09-23-the... · key figures 23...
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Key figures23 September 2016
The Italian Asset Management market
Research Department
1. The Italian Asset Management market Summary statistics
Open-end funds
Mandates
A snapshot of the insurance market
The recovery, some tentative explanations
2. The European Investment Fund Industry Net assets & sales by fund / fund group domicile
3. Savings & Wealth Household saving rate: trend & int’l comparison
Household financial portfolio & private pension plans
Key figures23 September 2016
The Italian Asset Management market
Research Department
1. The Italian Asset Management market Summary statistics
Open-end funds
Mandates
A snapshot of the insurance market
The recovery, some tentative explanations
2. The European Investment Fund Industry Net assets & sales by fund / fund group domicile
3. Savings & Wealth Household saving rate: trend & int’l comparison
Household financial portfolio & private pension plans
Research Department The Italian Asset Management market Key figures
23 September 2016
4AuM, net flows & performance, €bn. 4
The Italian AM market (Jan 2015: Aug 2016)
857
935
+2.6%
52%
918
731
+141.0
898
49%
+27.5+0.9
Dec 2014 Dec 2015 Aug 16
+62.4
48%
‐1.0
+1.9
1,588
+95.3
+46.0
Mand.
Funds
+9.5
89949%
BlackRock
1,834
2015
II :M7+M8
992
Perf.
51%
+13.5
+14.1 +6.4
+3.1
1,910+2.1%
Perf.
I
Research Department The Italian Asset Management market Key figures
23 September 2016
5
Net flows (monthly data)
Monthly data. Source: Assogestioni.
‐8
‐6
‐4
‐2
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
22
24
26
Jan2013
Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan2014
Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan2015
Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan2016
Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug€ bn
Research Department The Italian Asset Management market Key figures
23 September 2016
6
III
‐0.01
+0.04
+0.53+0.07
+0.1
IV
2016 I:M7+M8II
2015 III
‐1.0:M7+M8
+15.6
+9.3
+13.4+6.3
2015 III
2016 I
IV
II
+2.4
+8.1
+9.7
+14.1
+2.1
IV
2015 III
:M7+M8
2016 I
II
7%124
‐0.4
+1.1
+0.8‐0.0
+1.0
2016 I
:M7+M8
2015 III
IV
II
Product breakdown
6
4%
43
45%868
Open‐end Funds
Retail Mandates (discretionary portfolios)
Closed‐end Funds
Institutional Mandates
87046% 3%
48
Research Department The Italian Asset Management market Key figures
23 September 2016
7€bn, yearly data. Source: Assogestioni.
Long term trend
Research Department The Italian Asset Management market Key figures
23 September 2016
8
n.a.
+11.5
0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10%
0 2 4 6 8 10
+22.8
+33.4
n.a.
0% 4% 8% 12% 16% 20% 24%
0 3 6 9 12 15 18
82%
73%
60%
15%279
25%
3%
2%
479
4%
8%
5%
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160
ARCA
BANCO POPOLARE
AXA
BNP PARIBAS
AZIMUT
MEDIOLANUM
AMUNDI
ALLIANZ
UBI BANCA
BLACKROCK
ANIMA HOLDING
POSTE ITALIANE
PIONEER INVESTMENTS
FIDEURAM
EURIZON CAPITAL
GENERALI
Net sales as % AuMFunds
€bn
AuM (Aug 2016)Net flows – 2016 :M8 2015
Mand. + –x%: Mkt share 8
Top 15 Groups
Research Department The Italian Asset Management market Key figures
23 September 2016
9
Open-end funds: domicile breakdown
AuM & net flows, €bn. 9
Aug 2016871
Dec 2012482
Dec 2015
850
31%
43%
26%
27%
39%
34%
2016 : M8Domestic +4.4
R‐trip/Offshore +10.5Foreign +3.8
‐4
‐2
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
2016 I 2016 II :M7+M8
+10.7
+32.2+26.3
+15.6
+30.4
+44.7
+19.6
+28.5+23.5
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
2013 2014 2015
Research Department The Italian Asset Management market Key figures
23 September 2016
10
Long term trend: open-end funds
€bn, yearly data. Source: Assogestioni.
Research Department The Italian Asset Management market Key figures
23 September 2016
11
n.a.
+20.2
0% 8% 16% 24% 32% 40%
0 3 6 9 12 15
+7.1
n.a.
0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12%
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
80%
68%
3%
6%
8%
10%
5%
15%
2%
5%
4%
51%
7%
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130
SCHRODERS
PICTET
DEUTSCHE BANK
INVESCO
AMUNDI
ARCA
JPMORGAN AM
UBI BANCA
AZIMUT
MEDIOLANUM
BLACKROCK
ANIMA HOLDING
GENERALI
PIONEER INVESTMENTS
FIDEURAM
EURIZON CAPITAL
Top 15 Groups (open-end funds only)
11Net sales as % AuMDomestic
€bn
AuM (Aug 2016)Net flows – 2016 :M8 2015
R‐trip/Offshore + –x%: Mkt shareForeign
Research Department The Italian Asset Management market Key figures
23 September 2016
12
Asset Class breakdown
12June 2016.
232 bn – 28%
326 bn – 39%
276 bn – 32%34%
17%
8%
20% 8%
8%
6%
2%
4%
42%
47%
40%
43%
10%
24%
41%
24%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
FOREIGN
R‐TRIP/OFFSHORE
DOMESTIC
TOTAL
Equity Balanced Money Market Bond Flexible Hedge
Research Department The Italian Asset Management market Key figures
23 September 2016
13
+1.71
‐1.66
0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10%
0.0 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.5
6%
12%
5%
6%
11%
6%
17%
27%
6%
5%
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75
BALANCED
OTHER
SPECIAL. SECTOR
GLOBAL
SPECIAL. COUNTRY
EMERGING MKTS
PACIFIC AREA
AMERICA
EUROPE
EURO AREA
ITALY
+12.9
0% 8% 16% 24% 32% 40%
0 2 4 6 8
Equity & balanced funds
Net sales as % AuMDomestic
€bn
AuM (Jun 2016)Net flows – 2016 II 2015
R‐trip/Offshore + –x%: Mkt shareForeign 13
Research Department The Italian Asset Management market Key figures
23 September 2016
14
+7.1
0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10%
0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5
1%
202
18%
18%
21%
6%
6%
2%
10%
11%
7%
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180
HEDGE
FLEX
FLEX (BOND)
SPECIALIZED
MIXED
EM
GLOBAL
DOLLAR AREA
EURO CORPORATE / HY
EURO GOV. M/L TERM
EURO GOV. SHORT T.
ITALY
MM FUNDS
+51.6
+34%
+23%
0% 4% 8% 12% 16% 20%
0 2 4 6 8Net sales as % AuMDomestic
€bn
AuM (Jun 2016)Net flows – 2016 II 2015
R‐trip/Offshore + –x%: Mkt shareForeign 14
Money mkt, Bond, Flex & Hedge funds
Research Department The Italian Asset Management market Key figures
23 September 2016
15
20%
30%
40%
50%
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
Q12010
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12011
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12012
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12013
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12014
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12015
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12016
Q2
Net & gross flowsNet
(€ bn)Gross(€ bn)
15Gross Sales Gross Redemptions Net Sales Funds w/Net Sales>0
Research Department The Italian Asset Management market Key figures
23 September 2016
16
‐40
‐30
‐20
‐10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Q12010
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12011
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12012
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12013
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12014
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12015
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12016
Q2
The blockbuster effect : top quartile funds take all
16Net flows, €bn. I II III IV Top 1% New Stories
Research Department The Italian Asset Management market Key figures
23 September 2016
17
New stories tag cloud
2013 2014 2015 2016New funds 560Year
456 439 252
17
Research Department The Italian Asset Management market Key figures
23 September 2016
18
+10.8
+7.9%
+5.5
0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5%
0 1 2 3 4 5
8%
8%
63%
8%
10%
3%
612
0 20 40 60 80 100
OTHER
INSURANCE PRODUCTS(UNIT & INDEX L‐ED)
INSURANCE PRODUCTS(TRADITIONAL)
PENSION PLANS
DISCRETIONARYMANDATES (GPM)
DISCRETIONARYMANDATES (GPF)
0% 6% 12% 18% 24%
0 3 6 9 12
18Net sales as % AuM
€bn
AuM (Jun 2016)Net flows – 2016 II 2015
+ ‐x%: Mkt shareDomestic Co.Foreign Co.
Mandates: AuM & Net Sales trends
Research Department The Italian Asset Management market Key figures
23 September 2016
19
+10.5
n.a.
+13.2
0% 4% 8% 12% 16% 20% 24%
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
n.a.
+ 6.6
‐29%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20%
0 1 2 3 4 5
147
41%
93%
8%
1%
6%
88%
403
2%
3%
78%4%
15%
5%
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
BANCA ESPERIA
CREDIT SUISSE
BLACKROCK
CREDITO EMILIANO
BNP PARIBAS
ANIMA HOLDING
BANCO POPOLARE
AMUNDI
UBI BANCA
AXA
ALLIANZ
PIONEER INVESTMENTS
POSTE ITALIANE
FIDEURAM
EURIZON
GENERALI
Top 15 Groups (mandates only)
19Net sales as % AuMRetail
€bn
AuM (Aug 2016)Net flows – 2016 :M8 2015
Instit. + –x%: Mkt share
Research Department The Italian Asset Management market Key figures
23 September 2016
20
Italian Market: 30% 305371
0 30 60 90 120 150
BNPP CARDIF VITABNP PARIBAS
UBI BANCA (JV AVIVA / LOMBARDA VITA)UBI BANCA
BP (JV AVIPOP / POPOLARE VITA)BANCO POPOLARE
CREDIT AGRICOLE VITAAMUNDI
AXA ASS. (Gr.)AXA
ALLIANZ ASS. (Gr.)ALLIANZ
UCB (JV AVIVA / ALLIANZ / CNP)PIONEER INVESTMENTS
POSTE VITAPOSTE ITALIANE
INTESA SANPAOLO VITA (Gr.)EURIZON CAPITAL / FIDEURAM
GENERALI ASSICURAZIONI (Gr.)GENERALI INVESTMENTS
€ bn
81%
Insurance Mandates & Captive/Affiliated Insurers
Technical Res.Mandates
€bn, December 2015. Source: Assogestioni, balance sheets.
585
Italian insurancemarket (Mar 2016)
Research Department The Italian Asset Management market Key figures
23 September 2016
21
Bond 69%
Funds 24%
7%
Life Insurance Market: long-term trend
€bn, yearly data. Source: Ania, Ivass.
Dec. 2015
Dec. 2002
June 2016Dec. 2004Max Unit&Index l.
Research Department The Italian Asset Management market Key figures
23 September 2016
22
0 4 8 12 16 20 24
0 4 8 12 16 20 24
86%
€ bn
71%
Allianz/Creditras Vita
55%
Intesa Sanpaolo Vita/Fideuram Vita
Generali Ass./Generali Italia/Alleanza Ass./BG Vita
Unipolsai/Popolare Vita/Bim Vita/Arca Vita
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120
CATTOLICA
BNP PARIBAS
AXA
AVIVA
MEDIOLANUM
UNIPOLSAI
ALLIANZ
POSTE ITALIANE
INTESA SANPAOLO
GENERALI
0 4 8 12 16 20 24
0 4 8 12 16 20 24
Top 10 Life Insurance Groups
Premiumsx%: Mkt shareClass III (unit/index)
Technical Reserves (Dec 2015)Flows – 2015 2014
Class I & Other + – Net flows (*: notavailable)
Research Department The Italian Asset Management market Key figures
23 September 2016
23
0 2 4 6 8 10
0 2 4 6 8 10
0 2 4 6 8 10
0 2 4 6 8 10
91%
€ bn
71%
Generali Ass./Generali Italia/Alleanza/BG Vita
54%
Allianz/Creditras Vita
Intesa Sanpaolo Vita/Fideuram Vita
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
AXA
UNIPOLSAI
CNP ASSURANCES
AVIVA
OLD MUTUAL
POSTE ITALIANE
GENERALI
MEDIOLANUM
ALLIANZ
INTESA SANPAOLO
Technical Reserves (Dec 2015) Flows – 2015 2014
x%: Mkt share
Top 10 Unit&Index Linked Groups
Premiums+ – Net flows (*: notavailable)
Key figures23 September 2016
The Italian Asset Management market
Research Department
1. The Italian Asset Management market Summary statistics
Open-end funds
Mandates
A snapshot of the insurance market
The recovery, some tentative explanations
2. The European Investment Fund Industry Net assets & sales by fund / fund group domicile
3. Savings & Wealth Household saving rate: trend & int’l comparison
Household financial portfolio & private pension plans
Research Department The Italian Asset Management market Key figures
23 September 2016
25
A pro-cyclical market
€bn, yearly data. Source: Assogestioni, MSCI.
MSCI WORLD (Loc)
Research Department The Italian Asset Management market Key figures
23 September 2016
26
... in search for yield
% Yield. Source: Bank of Italy.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Aug
BTP Yield (Rendistato)
Research Department The Italian Asset Management market Key figures
23 September 2016
27Source: Assogestioni, Bank of Italy, Eurostat.
AM Market, GDP & Bank credit
‐50
‐40
‐30
‐20
‐10
0
10
20
30
40
50
90
92
94
96
98
100
102
104
106
108
110
I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 '16
€bn
Net Sales Funds (r.)
Corporate loans (l.,index)
GDP (l.,index)
Italy
Germany
France
UK
Research Department The Italian Asset Management market Key figures
23 September 2016
28
1741 26 39 43 48 69
4071
1559
18 30 26 15
‐73
17
3634
‐49
31
‐44
35
‐68 ‐45
68
‐22 ‐36 ‐31 ‐32
2413
2319
27
21 13 2744
29
14
‐36‐74 ‐71
‐16
9120
‐11
19
‐10 ‐27 ‐44 ‐49
8
‐21
21
3258 43
41
38
3841
57 51
5531
28
28
23
5349
16
‐150
‐100
‐50
0
50
100
150
200
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016Q1
€bn
Currency&Deposits Italian Gov.Bonds Bank Bonds Investment Funds Pension Funds&Life Products
Households: less bonds, more funds (flow view)
€bn. Source: Bank of Italy.
Research Department The Italian Asset Management market Key figures
23 September 2016
29
TotalIssued by
banksTotal Listed
Italy € bn % % % % % % %
1995 1,799 38.2% 22.6% 1.9% 19.3% 2.8% 5.8% 8.7%
2000 3,041 22.9% 16.5% 6.4% 29.5% 5.4% 17.0% 10.0%
2005 3,864 23.6% 19.0% 7.1% 28.3% 2.4% 11.0% 14.2%
2010 3,633 30.7% 19.7% 10.3% 20.1% 2.0% 7.5% 17.6%
2012 3,732 31.6% 19.3% 10.0% 19.7% 1.6% 7.3% 17.8%
2015 4,117 30.9% 10.7% 4.5% 23.3% 1.6% 11.1% 20.1%
2016 Q 1 4,047 31.8% 10.5% 4.3% 22.1% 1.4% 11.0% 20.7%
2016 Q 1
France 4,896 28.4% 1.4% n.a. 20.3% 4.1% 6.8% 34.2%
Germ any 5,502 39.1% 3.1% n.a. 10.1% 4.8% 9.8% 31.3%
UK 8,244 22.9% 1.5% n.a. 7.9% 2.7% 4.2% 59.4%
USA 62,431 13.8% 6.3% n.a. 34.9% n.a. 10.8% 32.3%
Total Asset Currency
& depositsInvestm ent
funds
Pension funds & life pr
Bonds Stocks
Households: less bonds, more funds (stock view)
%. Source: Eurostat, OECD, BCE, Deutsche Bundesbank.
Research Department The Italian Asset Management market Key figures
23 September 2016
30
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Q1
EU avg Italy Germany France UK
The uptick of the saving rate is good news for the industry
Gross household saving rates. Source: Eurostat.
Research Department The Italian Asset Management market Key figures
23 September 2016
31
‐40
‐30
‐20
‐10
0
10
20
30
Q12007
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12008
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12009
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12010
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12011
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12012
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12013
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12014
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12015
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12016
Retail Bank Bonds Domestic and Round‐Trip Funds Foreign Funds
Quarterly flows, €bn. Source: Assogestioni, Bank of Italy.
Banks: no more dependent on funding from retail investors...
31
Research Department The Italian Asset Management market Key figures
23 September 2016
32
5.5
6
6.5
7
7.5
8
8.5
9
9.5
‐15
‐10
‐5
0
5
10
15
20
25
Q12009
Q3 Q4 Q12010
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12011
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12012
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12013
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12014
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12015
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12016
Q2
Funds flows, captive Man.Cos (l.) Net interest margin (r.)
€bn. Source: Assogestioni, bank balance sheets (Top 5 groups). 32
... and urged to sustain profitability throughnon interest-based sources of revenues
Research Department The Italian Asset Management market Key figures
23 September 2016
33
+7.1
0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10%
0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5
1%
202
18%
18%
21%
6%
6%
2%
10%
11%
7%
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180
HEDGE
FLEX
FLEX (BOND)
SPECIALIZED
MIXED
EM
GLOBAL
DOLLAR AREA
EURO CORPORATE / HY
EURO GOV. M/L TERM
EURO GOV. SHORT T.
ITALY
MM FUNDS
+51.6
+34%
+23%
0% 4% 8% 12% 16% 20%
0 2 4 6 8
Net sales as % AuMDomestic
€bn
R‐trip/Offshore + –x%: Mkt shareForeign 33
The success of funds with high margins (target-date funds)
Key figures23 September 2016
The Italian Asset Management market
Research Department
1. The Italian Asset Management market Summary statistics
Open-end funds
Mandates
A snapshot of the insurance market
The recovery, some tentative explanations
2. The European Investment Fund Industry Net assets & sales by fund / fund group domicile
3. Savings & Wealth Household saving rate: trend & int’l comparison
Household financial portfolio & private pension plans
Research Department The Italian Asset Management market Key figures
23 September 2016
35
1,8071,681
1,371
522
275
3,462
1,917
13,290
Germany14%
France13%
UK10%
Switzerland4%
Italy2%
Luxembourg26%
Ireland14%
Europe100%
Ucits
AIF
+14%+1%
+17%+0%
+13%‐1%
+9%+5%
+6%+0%
+13%‐8%
+21%+4%
+13%‐2%
61%
352016Q1 €bn. Source: Efama, AFG, BVI.
Net Assets by fund domicile
Growth rate‘15
’16Q2
44% 40%
90% Spezialf.
Research Department The Italian Asset Management market Key figures
23 September 2016
36
Net sales by fund domicile
Net sales as a % of AuM. Yearly data in €bn. Source: Efama, BVI.
‐21
+29
‐7%
+17
‐8% ‐6% ‐4% ‐2% +0% +2% +4% +6% +8%
France
+95
+106
+56
‐8% ‐6% ‐4% ‐2% +0% +2% +4% +6% +8%
Germany
201120122013
+342014
+13 2015
2016‐8
IIIIIIIV
IIIIIIIV
III
‐8% ‐6% ‐4% ‐2% +0% +2% +4% +6% +8%
UK
+254
+261
+8.1
+15
‐8% ‐6% ‐4% ‐2% +0% +2% +4% +6% +8%
Luxembourg
+599
+721
+164
‐8% ‐6% ‐4% ‐2% +0% +2% +4% +6% +8%
Europe
201120122013
+342014
+24
+1
2015
‐14%
+5.4%2016
IIIIIIIVIIIIIIIVIII
‐8% ‐6% ‐4% ‐2% +0% +2% +4% +6% +8%
Italy
Research Department The Italian Asset Management market Key figures
23 September 2016
37Index values. Source: Efama.
Net Assets by fund domicile – Long-term growth
50
100
150
200
250
300
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Q1 2016 Q2
Ireland
Luxembourg
UK
France
Germany
Italy
Research Department The Italian Asset Management market Key figures
23 September 2016
38
60%
39%
3,462
1,917
13,290
1,008
2,375
1,982
2,562
564
Germany24%
France15%
UK46%
Switzerland48%
Italy51%
Luxembourg Ireland Europe
Domestic Funds ‐ Ucits
Domestic Funds ‐ AIF
Luxembourg Funds
Irish Funds
Net Assets by fund group domicile
2016Q1. €bn. Foreign (Round-trip) share in %. Est. on Efama, Assogestioni, ALFI & IFIA data.Exp > 90%
Exp 10%
+10%+3%
Growth rate‘15’16 Q2
+13%‐4%
+0%+8%
+7%+1%
+15%+0%
+14%‐4%
+17%‐2%
+13%‐3%
61%
Research Department The Italian Asset Management market Key figures
23 September 2016
39
Net sales: fund domicile vs. fund group domicile
Net sales as a % of AuM. Fund domicile (blue), fund group domicile (black). Est. on Efama, Assogestioni, ALFI, IFIA & BVI data.
‐8% ‐6% ‐4% ‐2% +0% +2% +4% +6% +8%
Germany
201120122013
2014
2015
2016
IIIIIIIV
IIIIII
IVI
II
‐8% ‐6% ‐4% ‐2% +0% +2% +4% +6% +8%
UK‐8% ‐6% ‐4% ‐2% +0% +2% +4% +6% +8%
Luxembourg‐8% ‐6% ‐4% ‐2% +0% +2% +4% +6% +8%
Europe
201120122013
2014
2015
+15%
‐9%
IIIIIIIVIIIIIIIV
III
‐14%
2016
‐8% ‐6% ‐4% ‐2% +0% +2% +4% +6% +8%
Italy
‐8.1%
‐8% ‐6% ‐4% ‐2% +0% +2% +4% +6% +8%
France
Key figures23 September 2016
The Italian Asset Management market
Research Department
1. The Italian Asset Management market Summary statistics
Open-end funds
Mandates
A snapshot of the insurance market
The recovery, some tentative explanations
2. The European Investment Fund Industry Net assets & sales by fund / fund group domicile
3. Savings & Wealth Household saving rate: trend & int’l comparison
Household financial portfolio & private pension plans
Research Department The Italian Asset Management market Key figures
23 September 2016
41
Household saving rates in Europe
Gross household saving rates. Source: Eurostat.
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Q1
EU avg Italy Germany France UK
Research Department The Italian Asset Management market Key figures
23 September 2016
42
15.3%
Italy
10.5%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
Q1-1.0%
-0.5%
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
-1.5% -1.0% -0.5% 0.0% 0.5% 1.0%
∆ c
onsu
mpt
ion
∆ income
How income & consumption Δ% affect saving rates
2008Q4:2016Q1. Source: Eurostat.
Research Department The Italian Asset Management market Key figures
23 September 2016
43
-1.0%
-0.5%
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
-1.0% -0.5% 0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5%
∆ c
onsu
mpt
ion
∆ income
How income & consumption Δ% affect saving rates
2008Q4:2016Q1. Source: Eurostat.
17.1%
Germany 17.1%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
14.7%
France 14.7%
10%12%14%16%18%
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
Q1
Research Department The Italian Asset Management market Key figures
23 September 2016
44
-1.0%
-0.5%
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5%
∆ c
onsu
mpt
ion
∆ income
How income & consumption Δ% affect saving rates
2008Q4:2016Q1 Source: Eurostat.
5.4%
UK
11.1%
6.2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
Q1
Research Department The Italian Asset Management market Key figures
23 September 2016
45
TotalIssued by
banksTotal Listed
Italy € bn % % % % % % %
1995 1,799 38.2% 22.6% 1.9% 19.3% 2.8% 5.8% 8.7%
2000 3,041 22.9% 16.5% 6.4% 29.5% 5.4% 17.0% 10.0%
2005 3,864 23.6% 19.0% 7.1% 28.3% 2.4% 11.0% 14.2%
2010 3,633 30.7% 19.7% 10.3% 20.1% 2.0% 7.5% 17.6%
2012 3,732 31.6% 19.3% 10.0% 19.7% 1.6% 7.3% 17.8%
2015 4,117 30.9% 10.7% 4.5% 23.3% 1.6% 11.1% 20.1%
2016 Q1 4,047 31.8% 10.5% 4.3% 22.1% 1.4% 11.0% 20.7%
2016 Q1
France 4,896 28.4% 1.4% n.a. 20.3% 4.1% 6.8% 34.2%
Germany 5,502 39.1% 3.1% n.a. 10.1% 4.8% 9.8% 31.3%
UK 8,244 22.9% 1.5% n.a. 7.9% 2.7% 4.2% 59.4%
USA 62,431 13.8% 6.3% n.a. 34.9% n.a. 10.8% 32.3%
Total Asset Currency
& depositsInvestment
funds
Pension funds & life pr
Bonds Stocks
Household financial portfolio breakdown
High level of directinvestment (~ 35%)
Decreasingamounts of bankissued bonds (5.0%)
Negligible level oflisted shares. High level of unlistedones.
Funds: rise until1999 (18%) thendown, then againup.
Pensions/life product: up but stilltoo modest.
45%. Source: Eurostat, OECD, BCE, Deutsche Bundesbank.
Research Department The Italian Asset Management market Key figures
23 September 2016
46
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
20%
95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16Q1
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16Q1
Managed products in household portfolios
too low?
Italy France Germany United Kingdom USA
Investment funds Pension funds & life products
abnormallyhigh?
46Source: Eurostat, OECD, BCE, Deutsche Bundesbank.
Research Department The Italian Asset Management market Key figures
23 September 2016
47
Private pension plans at a glance (2nd & 3rd pillar)
Source: Covip, Istat, RGS.
2008
(,000)
Member breakdown 7,227 21.0%
Private sector employees 5,174 26.0%
Public sector employees 174 4.0%
Self‐employed 1,879 19.0%
(,000) % '15 ∆ % 7y ∆ % (€ m) % GDP
Vehicle breakdown 7,227 100% +11% +49% 140,180 8.6%
Contractual p.f. 2,419 33% +24% +18% 42,546
Open p.f. 1,150 16% +9% +45% 15,430
Ind. Insurance Plans (PIP) 3,028 42% +4% +120% 26,835
Ante 1993 p.f. ('pre‐existing') 645 9% ‐0% ‐5% 55,299
2015
Working pop. (est.)
Membership rate
Membership rate
22,559 32.0%
13,903 37.2%
3,253 5.4%
5,403 34.8%
2015 Members Assets