the most important topic - wordpress.com · 7/1/2017 · 2. effortless and permanent weight-loss...
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The Most Important Topic In the History of Humanity
J.MorrisHicks
Victoria,BritishColumbiaJuly23,2017
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Growing List of Problems Threatening the Long-term Viability of our Civilization
and our Species
Andwhatisthattopic?
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TheContentsofthisLectureMayChangeYour
LifeForever!
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“Weareaninsatiablycuriousspecies—providedthesubjectsareourpersonalselvesandpeopleweknoworwouldliketoknow.Thebehaviorgoesfarbackbeyondourspeciesintheevolutionoftheprimatefamilytree.Ithasbeenobserved,forexample,thatwhencagedmonkeysareallowedtolookoutsideatavarietyofotherobjects,theirfirstchoicefor
attentionisothermonkeys.
E.O.Wilson,PhD,HarvardTheMeaningofHumanExistence(2014)
Whynomediacoverageofthemostimportanttopicinhistoryofhumanity?
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ConsiderMeYourReporter
• Reportingontopicsaboutwhichyouneedtohear,notjuston
topicsaboutwhichyouwanttohear.
• IwilltellyouwhenIamreportingmyopinion—aftergathering
asmuchdataonthetopicasIcanfind.
• Mygoaltodayistoinspireyoutodoyourownresearch,decide
whatyouthinkismostimportant,whatyouwilltellyourfamily
andhowthatnewknowledgewillaffectthedirectionofthe
restofyourlife.
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LifebeganonEarth…
• About4billionyearsago
• Humansemergedasaspecies
just200,000yearsago
Let’sStartattheBeginningEarth,Onesmallplanetamongbillionsofplanetsinourgalaxy,whichisjustoneofbillionsofgalaxiesintheuniverse.
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Puttingourtimehereinperspective
• Ifwecrammedall4billionyearsof“life
onEarth”intojustoneyear…
• Humanshavebeenhereforjust26
minutesofthelasthourofthatyear
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20SecondsSinceChrist
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TheSingularImportanceofOurFOODCHOICES
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LAND–WATER–ENERGYAFactorofTEN
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Finiteamountofland
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Theywouldstarvetodeath
Ifeveryoneatetheway
wedointheUnited
States,we’dneedthree
planetEarthstofeedus
all.WeonlyhaveONE
andsheisintrouble.
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Ourfoodchoicesgiveus…
HOPESingularpowerofourfoodchoicesto
PromoteHealth,HopeandHarmonyonPlanetEarth
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WhatCanWe“Hope”For?
1. Toslow,stoporreversemostchronicdisease
2. Effortlessandpermanentweight-loss
3. Reduceworldhunger,oceanacidification,species
extinction,waterpollutionandmuch,muchmore
4. Returnmillionsoffarmingacreagetoforests
5. Greatlyreduceoreliminate#1causeofclimatechange
PROBLEMisthatwemayhavewaitedTOOLONG
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FourHugeGrosslyUnsustainableSituations
1. Overpopulation
2. Live,work,travel&STUFF
3. Fossilfueldependence
4. OURFOODCHOICES
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CarryingCapacity
How many humans can the planet sustain indefinitely?
• AverageEuropeanLifestyle:TWOBillion
• AmericanLifestyle:ONEBILLION
Source:GlobalFootprintNetwork--footprintnetwork.org
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1.OverpopulationHowCanWeSolveIt?
1. DailyBirthsminusDeaths=220,000(netgain)
2. 380,000Births–160,000Deaths=+220,000
3. ReduceBirthsto100,000/day(U.N.&Religions)
4. =Populationdecreaseof60,000/day(160-100)
5. =Annualdecreaseof22million
6. 45yearstolowerpopulationbyonebillion
7. We’llneed160yearstohit4BillionMark(yr.2177)
8. Details?Abovemyjobgrade
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2.OverconsumptionSTUFF:GlobalEconomybasedonInfiniteGrowthinaWorldofFiniteResources
1. NeweconomybasedonSustainability
2. U.N.DevelopsSustainabilityRules
3. ViolationsPunishablebyDeath
4. NewGREENcitiesallovertheworld
5. Details?Abovemyjobgrade
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3.BurningFossilFuelsAspopulationandconsumptiondrops,this
problemwilltakecareofitself.
1. SustainabilityRuleswillfavorGREENenergy
2. Theruleswillalsodiscourageforeigntrade
3. Airtravelwillonlybepermittedforemergencies
4. GREENmanufacturingandfoodproductionwillbe
mostlylocal
5. Fossilfuelconsumptionexpectedtodropby90%
6. Details?Abovemyjobgrade
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4.OurFoodChoicesWhySoImportant?
1. Theydeterminehowtheplanetisused
2. Theyhaveahugeimpactonourhealth
3. #1DriveroftheCostofHealthCare
4. #1Driverofdeforestation*
5. #1DriverofSoilErosion*
6. #1DriverofOceanAcidification*
7. #1DriverofSpeciesExtinction*
8. #1DriverofClimateChange*
*Relatedtotheout-of-controlgrowthofourcivilizedpopulation
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FoodChoicesTheMostPowerfulStepthatWeas
IndividualsCanMake
1. Populationcontrolandanewglobal
economyisaboveourjobgrade
2. ButANYconsumerofanimalproductscan
changewhattheyeatovernight
3. Win-Win-Win:Improveyourhealth,save
moneyandhelpsaveourecosystem
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SpeciesExinction
August2010ReportfromtheU.N.
“Scientistsestimatethat150to200speciesof
plant,insect,birdandmammalbecomeextinct
every24hours…nearly1,000timesthe“natural”
or“background”rate…greaterthananything
theworldhasexperiencedfor65millionyears.”
CouldHumansBecomeExtinct?
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Let’sLookatHistoryEasterIsland–BeforeHumansArrived
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After1200YearsofHumanControl
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Let’sAskSome“BigPicture”Scientists
1. Mostfocusonnarrowfieldsofstudy
2. Fewunderstandthe“bigpicture”
3. Mostgetpaidbyconservativeentities
4. “BigPicture”viewscanbehazardous
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JacquesCousteau
“Humankindmay,ormaynotbe,partoftheplanthatnaturehasfortheEarthinthefuture.Lifewillbereborn,butfirsttheworldasweknowitnowwilldie.”1997at87
Frenchnavalofficer,explorer,conservationist,filmmaker,innovator,scientist,photographer,authorandresearcher
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FrankFenner,MD,Scientist,andEnvironmentalist
"Homosapienswillbecomeextinct,perhapswithin100years…It'sanirreversiblesituation.Ithinkit'stoolate."2010atage95
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PeterWadhams,ScD
“TheIPCCisguiltyofconspiracyofcomplacency…OuronlychanceistobeginurgentlyremovingCO2fromtheatmosphere.”2016
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StephenEmmott,PhD
“Weurgentlyneedtodo—andImeanactuallydo—somethingradicaltoavertaglobalcatastrophe.ButIdon’tthinkwewill.Ithinkwe’ref_____.”
ManagescomputationalscienceatMicrosoftinUK,visitingprofessoratUniv.ofOxford,managesateamofscientistswhostudyalltrendsthataffectourlives.Heendshis2013book…
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JamesLovelock,PhD(98)
BBC2012“Whenyouseethewholepicture,itisreallyfearsomelybad…justthemeltingofthefloatingiceintheArcticOceanwilladdasmuchheattotheEarthasalloftheCO2wehaveputintheatmospheretodate…”
Independentscientist,environmentalist,futurist;bestknownforhisGaiaHypothesis,whichpostulatesthattheEarthfunctionsasaself-regulatingsystem.NASAcontractor,winnerofmanyawards,PhDfromLondonSchoolofHygieneandTropicalMedicine.
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GuyMcPherson,PhDTenuredProfessorofEnvironmentalStudies,U.ofArizona
“Ourdaysarenumbered…ourcivilizationwillcollapseandhumanswillgoextinctbefore
2030.”Andguesswhat?
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BillMcKibben,Activist’82HarvardGrad,Famousforclimatechange
“Tobeentirelyhonest,wedon’tknowforsurethatwecanslowdownglobalwarmingenoughtomatter.We’ve
waitedaverylongtimetogetstarted.”FromApril2017video
Environmentalist,Author,Journalist,founded350.orgin2008andwontheGandhiPeaceAwardin2013
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DataSuggestsWe’veNotStarted
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CO2NowatUnprecedentedLevels
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FoodChoicesnolongerEnough
1. Tippingpoints:Waterconsumption,climate
change,speciesextinction
2. Theproblemwith“tippingpoints”isthatyou
don’tknowwheretheyareuntilyouhave
passedthem
3. Wemustdramaticallyslowthemassiveheat
engineknownasmoderncivilization
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Runaway Luxury Train
Faster. More People. More Comforts.
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RobertGoodland,PhDWorldBankEnvironmentalSpecialistfor23Years
Sept.2013“Nowthereappearstobeonlyoneremainingpragmaticwaytoreverseclimatechangebeforeit’stoolate–andthat’sbytakingquickandlarge-scaleactionsin
food,agricultureandforestry.”
2009“Livestockandtheirby-productsactuallyaccountforatleast32,564milliontonsofCO2peryearor51%ofannualworldwideGhGemissions.”
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LivestockConsumptionbyRegion
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Arethingsgettingbetter?
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FossilFuelReduction?
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Global Sea Ice Area (nsidc.org) Climate Change Tipping Point?
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Arctic Sea Ice Volume Through April 2017
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3 Times as Many Icebergs!
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Antarctic Sea Ice Area Updated 5-8-17
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Antarctic Sea Ice Area November Readings from 1978 to 2016
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3-22-17SeaIceNews
SeaIceSinkstoRecordLevelsatBOTH
PolesonMarch7andMarch3intheArctic
andAntarcticrespectively.OnMarch3,seaicearoundAntarcticahititslowest
extenteverrecordedbysatellitesattheendofsummer
intheSouthernHemisphere,asurprisingturnofevents
afterdecadesofmoderateseaiceexpansion.
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MediaisNOTreportingthe “big picture” about what we NEED to know
1. Icebergs.Mediareportsabouthumansafety,navigationalbenefitsand
beauty.Failstomentionpossibleclimatechangetippingpoints
2. ClimateChange.MediareportsoneveryfireinCaliforniabutfailstoreport
onmassivedeforestationandrecordlevelsofCO2inouratmosphere
3. WaterShortage.Mediareportsonhumanitarianeffortstoprovidewaterfor
thebillionsofpeoplewhodon’thaveenoughbutfailtoreportonthesteady
declineofunderwateraquifersthatbillionsneedforfood
4. EconomicGrowth.Mediareportsthe“goodnews”abouteconomicgrowthin
ourcountrybutnevermentionsthegrosslyunsustainableindustrialmachine
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MyOwnConclusionsAbout saving our civilization and our species
1. Population.Consumption.FossilFuels.
2. IFthereisachance,FOODisparamount
3. Canmovetheneedleinfiveyears
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T.ColinCampbell,PhD
“Thecloserwegettoeatingadietofwhole,plant-basedfoods,
thebetteroffwewillbe.”
Cornellprofessorwhodirectedthelargeststudyoftherelationshipbetweendiet
andhealthinhistory
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• FocusingonwhatweDOeat• Notwhatwe’reavoiding• Implied“wiggleroom”
The closer we get to eating a diet of whole, plant-based foods, the better off we will be. ---T. Colin Campbell PhD, Cornell University
Notnecessarilyvegetarianorvegan
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TheSurvey• Fruits,Veggies,Starches• WhataboutOmega-3??
• 3questionsondairy&eggs
• 3questionsonjunkfood
• Onequestiononflesh
• Onequestiononoil
• 4leafsurvey.com
• 4leafprogram.com
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ProteinMyth&LockedBrains
Preventing incredibly powerful plant-based solutions to our most serious health, hunger and sustainability issues from even making it to the
table for consideration
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MoreHurdles
1. “Humanshavealwayseatenmeat.”
2. “TheyatemeatintheBible.”
3. “Whataboutcalciumandosteoporosis?”
4. “Isimplycan’tlivewithoutmyburgers.”
5. “Tooexpensivetoeatahealthydiet”
6. “It’snotconvenienttoeatthisway.”
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TooExpensive?Notconvenient?
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TimeforSoulSearching• Howcanwelearntolivesustainably?
• Adding220,000people/day(Net;birthsminusdeaths)
• Unbridledconsumption—inaworldoffiniteresources
• Whatwillittaketostopthemadness?
• Whatrealprogressdoyousee?
• Whatareyougoingtodo?Yourownresearch,career?
• Overpopulation?Greenenergy?MonetizingCO2
removal?Sustainablehousing?Greenglobaleconomy?
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LeveragingthePoweroftheEconomythatbroughtushere
“AutomaticallyReducingtheCostofHealthcare”
AsthefirstwaveofCEOsbeginstotakeadvantageofthemanybenefitsthatcomefromahealthierworkforce,othercorporationswhodon’tundertakesimilarinitiativeswillhavetroublecompetingwiththosewhodo.”–J.MorrisHicks
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A.R.C.H.bySystem
• 4LeafSurvey
• DynamicDatabase
• ElaborateMessagingSystem
• ManagementReportingSystem
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Dowehaveachance?
Never doubt that a small group of thoughtful,
committed, citizens can change the world. Indeed,
it is the only thing that ever has. — Margaret Mead
People who are crazy enough to think that they
can change the world—are the ones who do.
— Steve Jobs
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Blog:hpjmh.com
4leafprogram.com
4leafsurvey.com
archby4leaf.com
J.Morris(Jim)Hicks
917-399-9700