the national phenology network...national phenology network? science, management, decision-making,...
TRANSCRIPT
Jake F. Weltzin
Ecologist US Geological Survey
The National Phenology Network
Providing capacity to meet natural resource agency science and
monitoring objectives
Outline
• IM&A in the USFS context
• The National Phenology Network
• Nature's Notebook: A project of the USA-NPN
• Data applications
• R9 pilot project
USFS in a changing environment
The Roadmap
The 2012 Planning Rule
Monitoring Directive
The Scorecard
Doug Chaltry Regional Planner, Monitoring & Evaluation Coordinator USFS Eastern Region
• Goal 1: Relevant and credible information
– Focused on priority management issues
– Integration and scalability
– Based on relevant science
– High quality and consistency
– Timely and accessible
• Goal 2: An inclusive and comprehensive system
– Information needs shared by partners
– Across organizational and geographic boundaries
• Goal 3: Must be responsive and adaptive to change
– Responsive to changing management needs
– Responsive to social, economic, and ecological change
– Responsive and adaptive to changing agency capacity
IM&A Strategy, USFS, 8 July 2013
IM&A: Needs defined by Goals
“A unified, multiscale monitoring system capable of detecting and evaluating national, regional and local trends will enable land mangers to develop and adjust adaptation and mitigation strategies to improve their effectiveness across landscapes and landownerships."
- National Roadmap for Responding to Climate Change 2011
Adaptive management across agencies
Outline
• IM&A in the USFS context
• The National Phenology Network
• Nature's Notebook: A project of the USA-NPN
• Data applications
• R9 pilot project
Phenology is…
The recurring plant and animal life cycle stages, or phenophases, such as leafing and flowering, maturation of agricultural plants, emergence of insects, and migration of birds.
Why Phenology? Phenology data helps us understand how plants,
animals and landscapes respond to environmental variation and climate change.
What is the… National Phenology Network?
Science, management, decision-making, policy
Enquist et al., Intl J Biomet 2014
What is the… National Phenology Network?
USA-NPN serves science and society by collecting,
organizing and distributing phenological information to aid
decision-making and adaptation to variable climates and
changing environments.
USA-NPN 5-year Strategic Plan www.usanpn.org/pubs/reports
Ganguly et al. 2010
Mean growing season length (d) 2001-2006
Betancourt et al. in prep
Large fires in western US
What is the… National Phenology Network?
Adapted from K.B. Jones et al. 2010
Adapted from CENR-OSTP
Remote sensing
Intensive science sites
Extensive observation sites
Volunteer & education networks
What is the… National Phenology Network?
LCCs + CSCs
UC-NRS
A National Framework for Science and Monitoring
What is the… National Phenology Network?
Outline
• IM&A in the USFS context
• The National Phenology Network
• Nature's Notebook: A project of the USA-NPN
• Data applications
• R9 pilot project
• Organism-based
- status (presence/absence)
- abundance or intensity
• Standard protocols
- vetted & published
- provenance
- cross-walked
- 945 species (plant+animal)
• 7 data pubs to date
A ground-based, multi-taxa, national-scale observing system
Denny et al., Intl J Biomet 2014 www.usanpn.org/natures_notebook OMB Control #: 1028-0103
What is… Nature's Notebook?
2008 2010 2011 2012 2013 2009
What is… Nature's Notebook?
Data dashboard: www.usanpn.org/node/21094
www.usanpn.org/results/data
Data, metadata, documentation freely available
What is… Nature's Notebook?
www.usanpn.org/data/visualizations
Dynamic tools for visualizing data
What is… Nature's Notebook?
Outline
• IM&A in the USFS context
• The National Phenology Network
• Nature's Notebook: A project of the USA-NPN
• Data applications
• R9 pilot project
How do natural resource professionals… understand bird migrations and habitats?
Pro
po
rtion
trees repo
rted flo
werin
g
% e
Bir
d c
hec
klis
ts/w
eek
Williams et al., 2013 Derived from Kellermann et al., in prep
pollinators Pat Davis/PLOS One
Jeong et al., GRL 2013
Red
map
le (
A. r
ub
rum
)
A. rubrum, 2080-2099
How do natural resource professionals… forecast forest green-up at regional scales?
Spring Onset, 1950-2012
From Ault et al., EOS 2013 and Ault et al., in prep
How do natural resource professionals… understand impacts of anomalous climate?
How do natural resource professionals… manage invasive species?
Wallace et al., in prep
MODIS EVI In-situ % green
Precipitation
16-day composites 250 m pixel
In-situ % green
How do natural resource professionals… determine species vulnerability?
How do natural resource professionals… plug into phenology monitoring and science?
www.usanpn.org/fws
www.usanpn.org/appalachian
How do natural resource professionals… cross organizations and geographies?
Outline
• IM&A in the USFS context
• The National Phenology Network
• Nature's Notebook: A project of the USA-NPN
• Data applications
• R9 pilot project
NFS R9 Partnership…helping achieve Scorecard & Planning Rule requirements
Develop an understanding of fundamental questions about how organisms are responding to changes in climate (SC Element 8 on monitoring).
Inform management decisions (PR monitoring reqs for
species indicators, invasive species, climate change). Facilitate the establishment of partnerships across the
landscape (PR monitoring req for collaboration). Facilitate public outreach & engagement (PR
monitoring reqs for visitor use & satisfaction of recreation objectives).
www.usanpn.org/usfs
Form working group consisting of interested forests to explore implementation of phenology monitoring: Meet monthly (3x to-date) Learn how NPS & FWS are partnering with NPN Select pilot forest to investigate how an existing monitoring program might be adapted: Ottawa NF
Next Steps: • Jointly develop plan for Ottawa NF pilot study • Provide preliminary training webinars for Region • Jointly develop information sheet(s)
www.usanpn.org/usfs
NFS R9 Partnership…helping achieve Scorecard & Planning Rule requirements
• Goal 1: Relevant and credible information applied to priority issues
• Goal 2: Inclusive and comprehensive system across organizational and geographic boundaries
• Goal 3: Responsive and adaptive to changing management needs: social, cultural, ecological & agency
IM&A, NPN and Nature's Notebook…
"…the best science for adaptation will be conceived in strong adaptive research-management partnerships. We must find new ways for scientists, managers, and citizens to work together to pool their observational powers and intelligence to continually reexamine the realities of forest systems." - D. Cleaves in Peterson et al. 2014
Thank you…
Integrate
Communicate Forecast
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a project of the USA-NPN
"Aggregate"
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Derive Add value
API
USGS GDP
Archive
Applied information Management
http://kstp.com/news/stories/S2979604.shtml?cat=1
How do natural resource professionals… improve urban water quality?
How do natural resource professionals… communicate climate change?
Next up:
How do natural resource professionals… engage the next generation?
www.usanpn.org/nn/mobile-apps
How do natural resource professionals… develop a diverse workforce?
Credit: Carolyn Enquist
How do natural resource professionals… help educators implement programs?
www.usanpn.org/education