the nepal earthquake of april 25,2015 m7.8 11:56 am saturday morning walter hays, global alliance...
TRANSCRIPT
THE NEPAL EARTHQUAKE OF APRIL 25,2015
M7.811:56 AM Saturday Morning
Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction, Vienna, Disaster Reduction, Vienna,
Virginia, USA Virginia, USA
NEPAL: ONE OF THE GLOBAL
EARTHQUAKE DISASTER LABORATORIES
NEPAL: COLLISION OF EURASIAN AND INDO-AUSTRALIAN PLATES
NEPAL: COLLISION OF EURASIAN AND INDO-AUSTRALIAN PLATES
NEPAL: A NATION OF 27.8 MILLION
LOCATION
• The quake's epicenter was 80 kilometers (50 miles) northwest of Kathmandu, and it had a depth of only 11 kilometers (7 miles), which is considered shallow in geological terms.
This earthquake, the worst quake to hit Nepal (a poor South Asian
nation) since 1934, collapsed buildings and houses,
leveled centuries-old temples and triggered avalanches in the
Himalayas.
KATHMANDU, THE CAPITAL, DEVASTATED
The Kathmandu Valley is densely populated with nearly 2.5 million people,
and the quality of building construction is often poor
KATHMANDU SKYLINE
TECTONIC DEFORMATION
EARTHQUAKE
TSUNAMI
GROUND
SHAKING
FAULT RUPTURE
FOUNDATION FAILURE
SITE AMPLIFICATION
LIQUEFACTION
LANDSLIDES
AFTERSHOCKS
SEICHE
DAMAGE/LOSSDAMAGE/LOSS
DAMAGE/ LOSSDAMAGE/ LOSS
DAMAGE/ LOSSDAMAGE/ LOSS
DAMAGE/ LOSSDAMAGE/ LOSS
DAMAGE/ LOSSDAMAGE/ LOSS
DAMAGE/ LOSSDAMAGE/ LOSS
DAMAGE/ LOSSDAMAGE/ LOSS
DAMAGE/ LOSSDAMAGE/ LOSS
DAMAGE/ LOSSDAMAGE/ LOSS
DAMAGE/LOSSDAMAGE/LOSS
SIZE, LOCATION, AND DEPTH AFFECT DAMAGE
• The quake's hypocenter was only 11 kilometers (7 miles) --- The bigger, shallower, and closer the quake is, the more destructive it usually is.
• Witnesses said the trembling and swaying of the earth went on for several minutes.
INADEQUATE RESISTANCE TO HORIZONTAL GROUND SHAKING
EARTHQUAKESEARTHQUAKES
SOIL AMPLIFICATION
PERMANENT DISPLACEMENT (SURFACE FAULTING & GROUND
FAILURE)
IRREGULARITIES IN ELEVATION AND PLAN
FIRE FOLLOWING RUPTURE OF UTILITIES
LACK OF DETAILING AND CONSTRUCTION MATERIALS
INATTENTION TO NON-STRUCTURAL ELEMENTS
CAUSES OF DAMAGE
CAUSES OF DAMAGE
GLOBAL “DISASTER
LABORATORIES”
GLOBAL “DISASTER
LABORATORIES”
INITIAL REPORTS:AT LEAST 480 PEOPLE IN 4 COUNTRIES (NEPAL, INDIA,
TIBET, BANGLADESH) KILLED; MANY INJURED;
POSSIBLY MANY TRAPPED UNDER RUBBLE
DAMAGE
SEARCH AND RESCUE
A COMPARISON WITH OTHER DEVASTATING
EARTHQUAKES (in terms of casualties)
DECEMBNER 1920 HAIYUAN, CHINA EARTHQUAKE
• DEATH TOLL ESTIMATED AT 273,400.
SEPTEMBER 1923 GREAT KANTO EARTHQUAKE: JAPAN
• DEATH TOLL ESTIMATED AT 142,000.
JULY 1976 TANGSHAN, CHINA EARTHQUAKE
• DEATH TOLL ESTIMATED AT 242,000 TO 655,000.
EXAMPLE: 240,000 DEAD AFTER “BULLS-EYE” EARTHQUAKE
EXAMPLE: 240,000 DEAD AFTER “BULLS-EYE” EARTHQUAKE
• TANGSHAN, CHINA (1976) EARTHQUAKE: The impossible situation; too late for a race against time” to save lives and protect property.
• TANGSHAN, CHINA (1976) EARTHQUAKE: The impossible situation; too late for a race against time” to save lives and protect property.
EL ASNAM, ALGERIA; 3,500 DEAD (OCT. 10, 1980)
EXAMPLE: COLLAPSE OF HIGH-RISE APARTMENT BUILDINGS
EXAMPLE: COLLAPSE OF HIGH-RISE APARTMENT BUILDINGS
• MEXICO CITY AFTER 1985 EARTHQUAKE: Timely responses during a forty-eight hour and thirty day “race against time” save lives and protect property
• MEXICO CITY AFTER 1985 EARTHQUAKE: Timely responses during a forty-eight hour and thirty day “race against time” save lives and protect property
EXAMPLE: SEARCH AND RESCUE OF SURVIVORS IN COLLAPSED BLDGS.
EXAMPLE: SEARCH AND RESCUE OF SURVIVORS IN COLLAPSED BLDGS.
• TURKEY (1999) KOCALEI EARTH-QUAKE):
• Timely responses during a forty-eight hour “race against time” to save lives and protect property
• TURKEY (1999) KOCALEI EARTH-QUAKE):
• Timely responses during a forty-eight hour “race against time” to save lives and protect property
EXAMPLE: GUJARAT, INDIA 20,800 DEAD (JAN 26, 2001) EXAMPLE: GUJARAT, INDIA 20,800 DEAD (JAN 26, 2001)
BOUMERDES, ALGERIA; 2,226 DEAD (MAY 21, 2003)
DECEMBER 2004 EARTH-QUAKE/TSUNAMI: INDONESIA
• DEATH TOLL ESTIMATED AT 280,000.
EXAMPLE: 230,000 DEAD AFTER EARTHQUAKE/TSUNAMI
EXAMPLE: 230,000 DEAD AFTER EARTHQUAKE/TSUNAMI
• INDONESIA (2004): The impossible situation; too late for a race against time” to save lives and protect property.
• INDONESIA (2004): The impossible situation; too late for a race against time” to save lives and protect property.
MAY 2008 EARTHQUAKE: SICHUAN PROVINCE, CHINA
• DEATH TOLL ESTIMATED AT 88,000.
EXAMPLE: 88,000 DEAD AS RESULT OF NON-ENGINEERED BUILDINGS
EXAMPLE: 88,000 DEAD AS RESULT OF NON-ENGINEERED BUILDINGS
• CHINA (MAY 2008):
• The impossible situation; too late for a race against time” to save lives and protect property.
• CHINA (MAY 2008):
• The impossible situation; too late for a race against time” to save lives and protect property.
JANUARY 2012 HAITI EARTHQUAKE
• DEATH TOLL ESTIMATED AT 220,000.
EXAMPLE: 220,000 DEAD AS RESULT OF NON-ENGINEERED BUILDINGS
EXAMPLE: 220,000 DEAD AS RESULT OF NON-ENGINEERED BUILDINGS
• HAITI (2010):
• The impossible situation; too late for a race against time” to save lives and protect property.
• HAITI (2010):
• The impossible situation; too late for a race against time” to save lives and protect property.
EXAMPLE: A TENT CITY FOR SURVIVORS AFTER AN EARTHQUAKE
EXAMPLE: A TENT CITY FOR SURVIVORS AFTER AN EARTHQUAKE
• HAITI (2010): Timely temporary housing during a thirty day “race against time” to save lives and protect property
• HAITI (2010): Timely temporary housing during a thirty day “race against time” to save lives and protect property
EXAMPLE: SURPRISE! DEBRIS FROM JAPAN’S TSUNAMI NOW IN USA
EXAMPLE: SURPRISE! DEBRIS FROM JAPAN’S TSUNAMI NOW IN USA
• SENDAI, JAPAN AFTER THE MARCH 2011 EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI: What will happen to the radioactive debris?
• SENDAI, JAPAN AFTER THE MARCH 2011 EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI: What will happen to the radioactive debris?
LESSON: THE KNOWLEDGE AND TIMING OF ANTICIPATORY ACTIONS IS VITAL
• The people who know: 1) what to expect (e.g., strong ground motion, soil effects, tsunami wave run up, ground failure), 2) where and when they will happen, and 3) what they should (and should not) do to prepare for them will survive.
LESSON: TIMELY, REALISTIC DISASTER SCENARIOS SAVE LIVES
• The people who have timely, realistic, advance information that facilitates reduction of vulnerabilities, and hence the risks associated with strong ground shaking, tsunami wave run up, and ground failure will survive.
LESSON: EMERGENCY RESPONSE SAVES LIVES
• The “Uncontrollable and Unthinkable” events will always hinder the timing of emergency response operations, especially the search and rescue operations that are limited to “the golden 48 hours.”
LESSON: EMERGENCY MEDICAL PREPAREDNESS SAVES LIVES
• The local community’s capacity for emergency health care (i,e., coping with damaged hospitals and medical facilities, lack of clean drinking water, food, and medicine, and high levels of morbidity and mortality) is vital for survival.
LESSON: EARTHQUAKE ENGINEERED BUILDINGS SAVE LIVES
• Buildings engineered to withstand the risks from an earthquake’s strong ground shaking and ground failure that cause damage, collapse, and loss of function, is vital for protecting occupants and users from death and injury.
LESSON: THE INTERNATIONAL COMMUNITY ALWAYS PROVIDES AID
• The International Community provides millions to billions of dollars in relief to help “pick up the pieces, ” but this strategy is not enough by itself to ensure earthquake disaster resilience.
FACTMOST OF THE 200 + NATIONS
NEED EARTHQUAKE DISASTER RESILIENCE POLICIES THAT ARE BASED ON LESSONS LEARNED
FROM PAST EARTHQUAKE DISASTER LABORATORIES
YOUR YOUR
COMMUNITYCOMMUNITY
YOUR YOUR
COMMUNITYCOMMUNITYDATA BASES DATA BASES AND INFORMATIONAND INFORMATIONDATA BASES DATA BASES AND INFORMATIONAND INFORMATION
HAZARDS: GROUND SHAKING GROUND FAILURE SURFACE FAULTING TECTONIC DEFORMATION TSUNAMI RUN UP AFTERSHOCKS
•MONITORING•HAZARD MAPS•INVENTORY•VULNERABILITY•LOCATION
RISK
ACCEPTABLE RISK
UNACCEPTABLE RISK
BOOKS OF KNOWLEDGE BOOKS OF KNOWLEDGE
•PREPAREDNESS•PROTECTION•EM RESPONSE•RECOSTRUCTION AND RECOVERY
EARTHQUAKE DISASTER EARTHQUAKE DISASTER RESILIENCERESILIENCE
PILLARS OF EARTHQUAKE DISASTER RESILIENCE
Preparedness
Protection: Adoption and Implementation of a Modern Earthquake Engineering Building Code
and Lifeline Standards
Prevention: Land Use Planning and Base Isolation
PILLARS OF EARTHQUAKE DISASTER RESILIENCE (continued)
Monitoring
Realistic Earthquake Disaster Scenarios
Timely Emergency Response (including search and Rescue and Emergency Medical Services)
Cost-Effective Recovery and Reconstruction
THE CHALLENGE:
CHANGING EXISTING POLICIES:
CREATE, ADJUST, AND REALIGN PROGRAMS, PARTNERS AND PEOPLE UNTIL YOU HAVE CREATED THE KINDS OF TURNING POINTS NEEDED FOR MOVING TOWARDS EARTHQUAKE DISASTER RESILIENCE
AN UNDER-UTILIZED GLOBAL STRATEGY
To Create Turning Points for Earthquake Disaster Resilience
USING EDUCATIONAL SURGES CONTAINING THE PAST AND PRESENT LESSONS TO FOSTER
AND ACCELERATE POLICY CHANGES
MOVING TOWARDS THE MUST-HAPPEN GLOBAL STRATEGY
To Achieve Earthquake Disaster Resilience
INTEGRATION OF SCIENTIFIC AND TECHNICAL SOLUTIONS WITH POLITICAL
SOLUTIONS IN EVERY NATION FOR REALISTIC POLICIES ON PREPAREDNESS,
PROTECTION, DISASTER SCENARIOS, EMERGENCY RESPONSE,
RECONSTRUCTION, AND RECOVERY