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TRANSCRIPT
The New Paradigmin Energy
Tony IannelloManaging DirectorManaging Director
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Today’s presentationClick to edit Master title styleToday s presentation
Drivers of new energy
New paradigm in - New market
N t kNetworks
GenerationGeneration
Retail
Regional
Ch ll i ld2
Challenging new world
Economic growth demands moreClick to edit Master title style
Economic growth demands more electricity infrastructure
STATE LOT APPROVALS ACTUALS AND ESTIMATED PROJECTION
30000
15812
18541
21053
26428
23700
20000
25000
ots a
ppro
vedGross State Product (%)
1040712443
5000
10000
15000
Num
ber o
f lo
8
60
00/01 01/02 02/03 03/04 04/05 05/06 06/07
6
4
2
0
300/01 01/02 02/03 03/04 04/05 05/06 06/07-2
Peak demand drivesClick to edit Master title style
Peak demand drives infrastructure growth
3000
Average Summer Peak Demand SWIS Summer Peak Load
2719MW
3004MW3059MW
2500
2174MW1900MW
2538MW 2473MW
2000MW
2080MW 2174MW1950MW1900MW1900MW
1500
10002000/01 2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05
Financial Year
4
Peak electricity demand is at historically high levels
Power surge – household Click to edit Master title style
gappliance use
Portion of homes with appliances
Dishwasher 1999
More than one fridge 2002
Air-conditioner
Computer
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90
%
5
%
New energy paradigm – new Click to edit Master title style
gy p gmarket
State New market framework Government’s Objective:
to support new entrants into the market
More competitionMore competition
Better services/Better services/ lower prices
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Competitive market introduces Click to edit Master title style
pnew set of rules
Wholesale market mechanismWholesale market mechanism
(unique for WA)
Economic regulation of networks
Increased contestability
Consumer codes
Di ti f W t P7
Disaggregation of Western Power
Mil t fClick to edit Master title styleMilestones for success
NetworksNew wholesale
marketNew
generatorsRegulated
Regional
g
New
Disaggregation
Generation
Independent market operator
retailers
Competitive
Generation
Capacity
Optimal outcomes for consumers
1 A il 2006 1 J l 2006 2007 d b d
Retailp y
procurementconsumers and State
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1 April 2006 1 July 2006 2007 and beyond
New Energy Paradigm -Click to edit Master title style
gy gNetworks
Current Statecost constrained self-regulated
Future Statecustomer-focused best-in-class regulated
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New Energy Paradigm -Click to edit Master title style
gy gNetworks
Capital Investment450 Actual Projected
Operating Expenditure
300
350
400
ure
$M250
300
350
M
Actual Projected
239.4257.0
373.7
423.2
150
200
250
Cap
ital E
xpen
ditu
299.3302.5
195.6177.8180.1100
150
200
Expe
nditu
re $
172.0
0
50
100
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Financial Year
0
50
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Financial Year Financial YearFinancial Year
10
New Energy Paradigm -Click to edit Master title styleNew Energy Paradigm
GenerationCurrent State
Supplier of last resort
Future StateFuture StateOptimal supplier of reliable low-of reliable, lowcost energy
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New generation required to meet Click to edit Master title style
g qState’s electricity requirements
5000
5500 WPC Generation Other Generation
20104000
4500
240
370750 1190 1190
1530 1670
3000
3500MW
35183224 3224
3034 3000 3000 3000 3000
2000
2500
3000
1500
2000
2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13
Financial Year
12
Financial Year
Click to edit Master title styleRenewables an essentialan essential ingredient of energy infrastructureinfrastructure
Most diverse portfolio of rene able energrenewable energy
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N E P di R t ilClick to edit Master title styleNew Energy Paradigm - Retail
Current StateMonopoly supplier of electricityelectricity
Future StateCompetitive retailer of multi-sourced energy
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A new battlefield in the Click to edit Master title styleelectricity market
Contestable customers(>5.7kw or 50Gwh/a)
Franchise customers
900 000
12 000
900,000
Real reduction12,000 Real reduction (27%) in unit prices
Market pricing Flat tariffs
Generation costs Uniform tariff
E b dd d
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are the battlefield Embedded cross subsidies
B ildi lt tiClick to edit Master title styleBuilding alternative revenuesDual Fuel Policy for Retail
Electricity GasWe
Contestability threshold 0.18TJ/pa (5.7kW)
Contestability threshold 1TJ/ pa
We would like to see
or
12 500 customers
or
600 customers
see these
aligned12,500 customers
(Customers with annual t f $8000)
600 customers
(Customers with an l t faccount of $8000) annual account of
$16,000)W t P h lift d k t h i t t bl k t t 15%
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Western Power has lifted market share in contestable gas market to > 15%
New Energy Paradigm -Click to edit Master title style
gy gRegional
Current StateInward focusedCost minimisation
Future StateCommercialEngagedSupportingFacilitating development
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Click to edit Master title styleSix newSix new
regionalregional
tcentres
dopened
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Regional communities win Click to edit Master title style
gwith partnership investments
Marble BarBroomeExmouthCarnarvonGascoyne J tiJunctionFitzroy CrossingN ll i
New diesel or gas fired power stations in 14 towns Upgraded network in some towns
NullagineDerby Laverton
Upgraded network in some townsWind/diesel power systems in Bremer Bay, H t C l B
Halls CreekMenziesCamballin
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Hopetoun, Coral Bay Looma
Click to edit Master title style
It’s a challenging new worldIt s a challenging new world for Western Power,
its leaders andits leaders and all market participants,
but with plenty of opportunity.p y pp y
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