the next pacific islands regional climate assessment
TRANSCRIPT
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The Next Pacific Islands Regional
Climate Assessment
Webinar & Meeting | October 4, 2016 | East-West Center, Honolulu
Zena Grecni | [email protected] Program Specialist, Pacific RISA
Sustained Assessment Specialist, PIRCA
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Webinar Road Map
• Intro to PIRCA & the U.S. National Climate Assessment
• The Second PIRCA
• The Fourth National Climate Assessment (NCA4)
• Timelines for NCA4 and PIRCA
• Next Steps
• Your input: Topics, Case Studies, Formats
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2012 PIRCA Products Climate Change and Pacific Islands: Indicators and Impacts
• Full Report
• Case Studies
• Executive Summary
• NCA Pacific Islands chapter (2014)
www.eastwestcenter.org/PIRCA
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Perceived credibility of the PIRCA
Source: S. Moser, 2013
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Comparison of media coverage for NCA
technical input reports
Comparison of All Reports (A) and Regional and Sectoral Reports (B), in Descending Order
(Source: Combined data of tracked news by E. Cloyd and S. Moser for the PIRCA)
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The 2nd PIRCA
• Updated scientific knowledge
– New key findings
• Responsive to user input and newly available information
• Key findings in sectors of interest
• Online formats; easy to access
• A draft will serve as a technical input to the U.S. Nat. Climate Assessment (due Jan. 15)
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PIRCA Survey http://www.surveygizmo.com/s3/3054997/Nominate-PIRCA-Author
Ecosystems, Ecosystem Services
and Biodiversity (47%)
Ocean and Marine Resources (47%)
35%
29%
Indigenous Communities (28%)
n = 111
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Fourth National Climate Assessment (NCA4)
• Mandate for national report every 4 years
• Led by United States Global Change Research Program (USGCRP)
• NCA4 due in 2018 (last report published May 2014)
Link to NCA3: http://nca2014.globalchange.gov/
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NCA4 Regional Chapters
9
• The “main course” of NCA4
• ~20 pages/region, with region-specific sectoral focus areas, case studies, etc.
• Overseen by a Federal Coordinating Lead Author (CLA)
• Driven by non-fed Regional Chapter Leads
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NCA4 Chapters • I: Overview
• II: Our Changing Climate
• III: National Analyses • Water
• Energy
• Ecosystems, Ecosystem Services, and Biodiversity
• Oceans and Marine Resources
• Coastal Effects
• Agriculture and Food Production
• Forests
• Land Cover and Land Use Change
• Transportation
• Built Environment, Urban Systems, and Cities
• Human Health
• Air Quality
• Energy, Water, Land Nexus
• Tribal and Indigenous Communities
• North American and Other International Effects
• IV: Regional Analyses • Northeast
• Southeast and Caribbean
• Midwest
• Northern Plains
• Southern Plains
• Northwest
• Southwest
• Alaska
• Hawai`i and Pacific Islands
• V: Response • Near-term Adaptation Needs and Increased Resiliency
• Mitigation: Avoiding and Reducing Long-term Risks
10
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11
20
16
Sep: Call for Authors
Sep: Fed Chapter Lead Authors Selected
Oct: Non-Fed Regional Chapter Leads Selected
Oct-Dec: Author Meetings/Drafting
20
17
Jan: Release Chapter Outlines
Jan: Technical Inputs are Due
Jan-Mar: Regional Engagement Workshops
Jan-Jun: Drafting and Internal Reviews
Jul-Dec: Report Aggregation and Reviews
20
18
Public and National Academies Reviews and Response
Layout and Production
Release and Engagement
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12
20
16
Sep: Call for Authors
Sep-Oct: PIRCA Call for Authors (due Oct 15)
Sep: Fed Chapter Lead Authors Selected
Oct: Non-Fed Regional Chapter Leads Selected
Oct: Lead Authors Invited; First Author Meeting
Oct-Dec: Author Meetings/Drafting
Nov-Dec: Drafting Technical Input
20
17
Jan: Release Chapter Outlines
Jan: Submit Technical Input (Outline for PIRCA)/ Technical Inputs are Due
Jan-Mar: Regional Engagement Workshops
Jan-Jun: Drafting and Internal Reviews
Jan-Sep: PIRCA Drafting and Internal Reviews
Jul-Dec: Report Aggregation and Reviews
Dec-early 2018: Release and Engagement
20
18
Public and National Academies Reviews and Response
Layout and Production
Release and Engagement
NCA4 | PIRCA
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13
Nominate PIRCA Authors
http://www.surveygizmo.com/s3/3054997/Nominate-PIRCA-Author
Take the survey http://pacificrisa.us6.list-
manage1.com/track/click?u=85fbb6c4d2e0cfa07c10fbc88&id=0b85691
1dd&e=f948db74de
Submit case study ideas via survey or
send to us
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Questions?
Please introduce yourself through phone or computer audio, or type your question into the
chat box
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What do you think?
• Which topics or sectors would be most useful to you if included in the next climate assessment?
• Which formats do you prefer/use for getting information? – Briefs or executive summaries (1-2 pages)
– Reports (hard copy or pdf)
– Websites
– Email newsletters
– Blogs
– Social media posts
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Zena Grecni, MEM Project Specialist, East-West Center +1 808 944 7242 [email protected]
Victoria Keener, PhD Principle Investigator for Pacific RISA, East-West Center +1 808 944 7220 [email protected]
Contact Us