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The NH Climate Action Plan The Transportation and Land Use Connection Strafford Region Planning Commission May 28, 2009 Thomas S. Burack Commissioner NH Department of Environmental Services

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Page 1: The NH Climate Action Plan The Transportation and Land Use Connection Strafford Region Planning Commission May 28, 2009 Thomas S. Burack Commissioner NH

The NH Climate Action Plan The Transportation and Land Use

Connection

Strafford Region Planning CommissionMay 28, 2009

Thomas S. Burack Commissioner

NH Department of Environmental Services

Page 2: The NH Climate Action Plan The Transportation and Land Use Connection Strafford Region Planning Commission May 28, 2009 Thomas S. Burack Commissioner NH

Overview

• Climate Change in the Northeast• New Hampshire Greenhouse Gas Emissions• Climate Change Policy Task Force Action Plan

Recommendations• Implementation

Page 3: The NH Climate Action Plan The Transportation and Land Use Connection Strafford Region Planning Commission May 28, 2009 Thomas S. Burack Commissioner NH

http://earth.rice.edu/mtpe/atmo/atmosphere/hot/anom_99/0Greenhouse_Effect.html

Earth’s “CO2-Blanket”

Page 4: The NH Climate Action Plan The Transportation and Land Use Connection Strafford Region Planning Commission May 28, 2009 Thomas S. Burack Commissioner NH

Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide & Temperature Record

Petit et al., 1999

180

220

260

300

0100,000200,000300,000400,000

-10

-5

0

5

Car

bon

Dio

xide

(pp

mv)

Years before 2000 AD

Tem

pera

ture

(o C

)

CO2

Temperature

Page 5: The NH Climate Action Plan The Transportation and Land Use Connection Strafford Region Planning Commission May 28, 2009 Thomas S. Burack Commissioner NH

C h a l l e n g e s o f a C h a n g i n g E a r t h — J u l y 2 0 0 1 Source: C. D. Keeling and T. P. Whorf; Etheridge et.al.; Barnola et.al.; (PAGES / IGBP); IPCC

(BP 1950)

Current (2009)

CO

2 C

once

ntr

atio

n (

pp

mv

)

Vostok RecordLaw Dome RecordMauna Loa RecordIPCC IS92a Scenario

Historical and Future Carbon Dioxide LevelsProjected (2100)

Page 6: The NH Climate Action Plan The Transportation and Land Use Connection Strafford Region Planning Commission May 28, 2009 Thomas S. Burack Commissioner NH

Indicators of Climate Change in the Northeast

Hodgkins et al., 2002; 2003; Wolfe et al., 2005; Wake and Markham, 2005; Wake et al., 2006

• More precipitation• More frequent extreme precipitation • Winter warming • Decreased snowfall• Fewer days with snow on ground• Lake ice out dates earlier• Earlier spring runoff• Extended growing season• Sea-level rise

Page 7: The NH Climate Action Plan The Transportation and Land Use Connection Strafford Region Planning Commission May 28, 2009 Thomas S. Burack Commissioner NH

Presidentially Declared Storm-Related Disasters

Year of Storm Event

Page 8: The NH Climate Action Plan The Transportation and Land Use Connection Strafford Region Planning Commission May 28, 2009 Thomas S. Burack Commissioner NH

Projections of Climate Change in New Hampshire

Day

s pe

r yea

r ove

r 90o F

Page 9: The NH Climate Action Plan The Transportation and Land Use Connection Strafford Region Planning Commission May 28, 2009 Thomas S. Burack Commissioner NH

Historical data from EPABusiness as Usual (BAU) estimates from CSNE

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

NH

Gre

en

ho

use

gas

em

issi

on

s [M

MTC

O2

e/ye

ar]

Greenhouse Gas EmissionsProjections

Page 10: The NH Climate Action Plan The Transportation and Land Use Connection Strafford Region Planning Commission May 28, 2009 Thomas S. Burack Commissioner NH

Climate Change Policy Task Force

• Established through Executive Order 2007-3 December 6, 2007– Establish quantified greenhouse reduction goals

– Recommend specific actions to achieve its greenhouse gas reduction goals

Page 11: The NH Climate Action Plan The Transportation and Land Use Connection Strafford Region Planning Commission May 28, 2009 Thomas S. Burack Commissioner NH

Action Plan Development Process

• Climate Change Policy Task Force– Twenty-nine (29) members

• Working Groups (6)– 125+ Participants

• Six (6) Official Public Listening Sessions– 15 Locations– 275 Participants– 100 Commenters

• 300 Pages of Public Comments – e.g., mail, email, phone calls

Page 12: The NH Climate Action Plan The Transportation and Land Use Connection Strafford Region Planning Commission May 28, 2009 Thomas S. Burack Commissioner NH

Climate Change Policy Task Force Recommended Goals

• Reduce greenhouse gas emissions 20% below 1990 levels by 2025

• Reduce greenhouse gas emissions 80% below 1990 levels by 2050

STATE ACTION COMPLEMENTS GLOBAL EFFORTS

Page 13: The NH Climate Action Plan The Transportation and Land Use Connection Strafford Region Planning Commission May 28, 2009 Thomas S. Burack Commissioner NH

Overarching Strategies to Achieve Goals

1. Maximize energy efficiency in buildings and transportation;

2. Increase renewable and low-emitting heat and electric power sources;

3. Protect our natural resources to maintain the amount of carbon sequestered;

4. Develop an integrated education, outreach and workforce training program; and

5. Adapt to existing and potential climate change impacts.

Page 14: The NH Climate Action Plan The Transportation and Land Use Connection Strafford Region Planning Commission May 28, 2009 Thomas S. Burack Commissioner NH

Transportation CO2 Emissions

Fuels Vehicles

Transportation Demand (VMT)

Greenhouse Gas EmissionsTransportation Sector

Page 15: The NH Climate Action Plan The Transportation and Land Use Connection Strafford Region Planning Commission May 28, 2009 Thomas S. Burack Commissioner NH

Greenhouse Gas EmissionsTransportation Sector

Page 16: The NH Climate Action Plan The Transportation and Land Use Connection Strafford Region Planning Commission May 28, 2009 Thomas S. Burack Commissioner NH

Current New Hampshire Land Use Patterns

• Rapidly growing small towns• Scattered development• Dispersing population• Increasing rate of land consumption• Segregated land uses• Lack of activity centers• Poor accessibility

Page 17: The NH Climate Action Plan The Transportation and Land Use Connection Strafford Region Planning Commission May 28, 2009 Thomas S. Burack Commissioner NH

Transportation CO2 Emissions

Fuels Vehicles

Transportation Demand (VMT)

Greenhouse Gas Emission REDUCTIONSTransportation Sector

Page 18: The NH Climate Action Plan The Transportation and Land Use Connection Strafford Region Planning Commission May 28, 2009 Thomas S. Burack Commissioner NH

Transportation CO2 Emissions

Fuels Vehicles

Transportation Demand (VMT)

Land UseTransportation

Options Available

Price of Driving and Options

Greenhouse Gas Emission REDUCTIONSTransportation Sector

Page 19: The NH Climate Action Plan The Transportation and Land Use Connection Strafford Region Planning Commission May 28, 2009 Thomas S. Burack Commissioner NH

Desired Land Use Conditions

• Open space preservation• Higher density development • Concentrated activity centers• Mixed use development• Pedestrian oriented design• Increased density near transit

Page 20: The NH Climate Action Plan The Transportation and Land Use Connection Strafford Region Planning Commission May 28, 2009 Thomas S. Burack Commissioner NH

Recommended Land Use Actions

• Assess Greenhouse Gas Development Impact Fees • Streamline Approvals for Low- Greenhouse Gas

Development Projects

• Develop Model Zoning to Support Bus/Rail Transit• Develop Model Zoning for Higher-Density, Mixed-Use

Development

• Continue/Expand Funding, Education, and Technical Assistance to Municipalities

Page 21: The NH Climate Action Plan The Transportation and Land Use Connection Strafford Region Planning Commission May 28, 2009 Thomas S. Burack Commissioner NH

Encourage Appropriate Land-Use Patterns that Reduce VMTs

Essential

2.C.1.a State GHG-Impact Fees

2.C.1.b Streamlined Permitting for Low-GHG Development

2.C.2 Transit Zoning Overlay/Model to Support Bus/Rail Transit

2.C.3 Develop Model Zoning for Higher-Density, Mixed-Use Development

2.C.8 Expanded Tech Assist to Municipalities

Key:

Begin Work on ActionActive ImplementationAction Continues

Actions: 2009 2012 2015 2020 2025

Page 22: The NH Climate Action Plan The Transportation and Land Use Connection Strafford Region Planning Commission May 28, 2009 Thomas S. Burack Commissioner NH

Transportation CO2 Emissions

Fuels Vehicles

Transportation Demand (VMT)

Land UseTransportation

Options Available

Price of Driving and Options

Greenhouse Gas Emission REDUCTIONSTransportation Sector

Page 23: The NH Climate Action Plan The Transportation and Land Use Connection Strafford Region Planning Commission May 28, 2009 Thomas S. Burack Commissioner NH

Desired Transit Outcomes

• Expand existing transit availability• Increase transit options • Increase connectivity and accessibility of

transportation system

Page 24: The NH Climate Action Plan The Transportation and Land Use Connection Strafford Region Planning Commission May 28, 2009 Thomas S. Burack Commissioner NH

Recommended Transit Actions

• Implement a Stable Funding Stream to Support Public Transportation

• Improve Existing Local/Intra-Regional Transit (Bus) Service

• Expand Local/Intra-Regional Transit (Bus) Service

• Improve Existing Inter-City Bus Service

Page 25: The NH Climate Action Plan The Transportation and Land Use Connection Strafford Region Planning Commission May 28, 2009 Thomas S. Burack Commissioner NH

Recommended Transit Actions

• Maintain and Expand Freight Rail Service• Maintain and Expand Passenger Rail Service

• Expand Park-and-Ride Infrastructure• Expand and Improve Bicycle and Pedestrian

Infrastructure

Page 26: The NH Climate Action Plan The Transportation and Land Use Connection Strafford Region Planning Commission May 28, 2009 Thomas S. Burack Commissioner NH

Reduce VMTs through an IntegratedMulti-Modal Transportation System

Essential

2.B.1.a Expand Local Bus Service

2.B.1.b Improve Existing Local Bus Service

2.B.2 a Maintain and Improve Passenger Rail Service

2.B.2.b Maintain and Improve Freight Rail Service

2.B.2.c Establish a Dedicated Funding Source for Public Transportation

2.B.2.e Expand Park-and-Ride Infrastructure

2.B.2.h Improve Existing Inter-city Bus Service

Supporting

2.B.1.c Expand/Improve Bike/Ped Infrastructure

Key:

Begin Work on ActionActive ImplementationAction Continues

Actions: 2009 2012 2015 2020 2025

Page 27: The NH Climate Action Plan The Transportation and Land Use Connection Strafford Region Planning Commission May 28, 2009 Thomas S. Burack Commissioner NH

Climate Action Plan Emission Reduction Potential

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

NH

Em

issi

ons [

Mill

ion

met

ric t

ons C

O2

per y

ear]

NH

An

nu

al G

reen

ho

use

Gas

Em

issi

on

s(m

illio

n m

etri

c to

ns

CO

2eq

uiv

ale

nts

per

yea

r)

Mid-Term Goal

Long-Term Goal

Future Reductions

Page 28: The NH Climate Action Plan The Transportation and Land Use Connection Strafford Region Planning Commission May 28, 2009 Thomas S. Burack Commissioner NH

Transportation CO2 Emissions

Fuels Vehicles

Transportation Demand (VMT)

Land UseTransportation

Options Available

Price of Driving and Options

Greenhouse Gas Emission REDUCTIONSTransportation Sector

Page 29: The NH Climate Action Plan The Transportation and Land Use Connection Strafford Region Planning Commission May 28, 2009 Thomas S. Burack Commissioner NH

Newmarket, NHNewmarket, NHMay 2006May 2006

Fosters Daily Democrat photosFosters Daily Democrat photos

Addressing Climate Change Impacts

Page 30: The NH Climate Action Plan The Transportation and Land Use Connection Strafford Region Planning Commission May 28, 2009 Thomas S. Burack Commissioner NH

Desired Adaptation Outcomes

• Facilitate early responses/avoided impacts

• Enhance communities’ resistance to change

• Promote resilient communities

Page 31: The NH Climate Action Plan The Transportation and Land Use Connection Strafford Region Planning Commission May 28, 2009 Thomas S. Burack Commissioner NH

Moving Forward

• NH Climate and Energy Collaborative– Six members from the business community.– Six members from the public sector.– Six members from the education and nonprofit sectors.

• Implementing Partners– “Boots on the Ground”

Page 32: The NH Climate Action Plan The Transportation and Land Use Connection Strafford Region Planning Commission May 28, 2009 Thomas S. Burack Commissioner NH

Contacts

Thomas S. BurackCommissioner

NH Dept. of Environmental [email protected]

(603) 271-2958