AGRI.G2 - F&V - 2019

WORKING DOCUMENT

FWG - Forecast Working Group for Pears

The pear market in the EU:Trade in processed pears

------ 17 December 2019 --------

Exclusion of liability: this document of the European Commission aims to contribute to the analysis of the pear market situation in the EU.

The Commission accepts no responsibility for the information contained herein.

Data dources: data come mainly from experts and official statistics; they may have been supplemented with data from other types of sources.

Their reproduction or use is permitted with mention their source.

INDEX OF TABLES AND GRAPHS

1. PRODUCTION OF PEARS FOR FRESH CONSUMPTION

TABLE 1.1 : EU PRODUCTION OF PEARS , INCL. PEARS FOR POIRE' PER MEMBER STATE (1000T)

TABLE 1.2 : PEAR PRODUCTION PER MEMBER STATE (source: WAPA)

TABLE 1.3 EU PEAR PRODUCTION SINCE 1985 (IN 1000 TONNES)

GRAPH 1.1 : EU PRODUCTION OF PEARS , INCL. PEARS FOR POIRE' (1000T)

GRAPH 1.2 : PEAR PRODUCTION PER MEMBER STATE

GRAPH 1.3 : EU PEAR PRODUCTION

2. PRODUCTION AREA (PEARS FOR FRESH CONSUMPTION)

TABLE 2.1 : AREAS - PEARS (dessert)

GRAPH 2.1 : AREAS - PEARS (dessert)

3. STOCKS

TABLE 3.1 :

STATE OF STOCKS OF PEARS FOR FRESH CONSUMPTION PER MEMBER

STATE

TABLE 3.2 : EU STOCKS OF PEARS FOR FRESH CONSUMPTION

GRAPH 3.1 : MONTHLY DECREASE OF PEAR STOCKS (T)

GRAPH 3.2 : TOTAL PEAR STOCKS Base 100 = 2009/10

GRAPH 3.3 : EU STOCKS - DIFFERENCE TO 2009/10 (TONNES)

4. PRICES

TABLE 4.1 : PEAR PRODUCER PRICES

GRAPH 4.1 : PEAR PRODUCER PRICES - ITALY

GRAPH 4.2 : PEAR PRODUCER PRICES - BELGIUM

GRAPH 4.3 : PEAR PRODUCER PRICES - NETHERLANDS

GRAPH 4.4 : PEAR PRODUCER PRICES - SPAIN

TABLE 4.2 : PRODUCER PRICES IN MAIN EUROPEAN MARKETS- ABATE FETEL

GRAPH 4.5 : PRODUCER PRICES IN MAIN EUROPEAN MARKETS - ABATE FETEL

TABLE 4.3 : PRODUCER PRICES IN MAIN EUROPEAN MARKETS - CONFERENCE

GRAPH 4.6 : PRODUCER PRICES IN MAIN EUROPEAN MARKETS - CONFERENCE

TABLE 4.4 : PRODUCER PRICES IN MAIN EUROPEAN MARKETS - WILLIAMS

GRAPH 4.7 : PRODUCER PRICES IN MAIN EUROPEAN MARKETS - WILLIAMS

5. TRADE

source: EUROSTAT, COMEXT, Dataset EU28 SINCE 1999 CN (SIMULATED)

TABLE 5.1 :

EXTRA EU IMPORTS OF PEARS FOR FRESH CONSUMPTION PER

COUNTRY OF ORIGIN AND PER CAMPAIGN (JULY-JUNE) (IN TONNES)

GRAPH 5.1 :

EXTRA EU IMPORTS OF PEARS FOR FRESH CONSUMPTION PER ORIGIN

(HEMISPHERE) (TONNES)

GRAPH 5.2 :

EXTRA EU IMPORTS OF PEARS FOR FRESH CONSUMPTION PER

COUNTRY OF ORIGIN (T)

TABLE 5.2 : EXTRA EU MONTHLY IMPORTS OF PEARS FOR FRESH CONSUMPTION (T)

TABLE 5.3

EXTRA EU MONTHLY IMPORTS OF PEARS FOR FRESH CONSUMPTION (T) -

AVERAGE (2012/13-2016/17)

GRAPH 5.3 : EXTRA EU MONTHLY IMPORTS OF PEARS FOR FRESH CONSUMPTION (T)

TABLE 5.4 :

EXTRA EU EXPORTS OF PEARS FOR FRESH CONSUMPTION PER

CAMPAIGN (JULY-JUNE) (IN TONNES)

GRAPH 5.4 :

EXTRA EU TRADE IN PEARS FOR FRESH CONSUMPTION PER CAMPAIGN

(JULY-JUNE) (IN TONNES)

GRAPH 5.5 :

EXTRA EU EXPORTS OF PEARS FOR FRESH CONSUMPTION PER

CAMPAIGN (JULY-JUNE) (IN TONNES)

TABLE 5.5 : EXTRA EU MONTHLY EXPORTS OF PEARS FOR FRESH CONSUMPTION (T)

GRAPH 5.6 : EXTRA EU MONTHLY EXPORTS OF PEARS FOR FRESH CONSUMPTION (T)

GRAPH 5.7 : EU MONTHLY EXPORTS OF PEARS FOR FRESH CONSUMPTION TO RUSSIA (T)

TABLE 5.6 :

INTRA/EXTRA EU EXPORTS OF PEARS FOR FRESH CONSUMPTION PER

MEMBER STATE (T)

GRAPH 5.8 :

PEARS FOR FRESH CONSUMPTION - MAIN EXPORTERS INTRA EU

(TONNES)

GRAPH 5.9 :

PEARS FOR FRESH CONSUMPTION - MAIN EXPORTERS EXTRA EU

(TONNES)

TABLE 5.7 :

INTRA/EXTRA EU IMPORTS OF PEARS FOR FRESH CONSUMPTION PER

MEMBER STATE (T)

GRAPH 5.10 :

INTRA/EXTRA EU IMPORTS OF PEARS FOR FRESH CONSUMPTION

(TONNES)

TABLE 5.10 : TRADE IN DRIED PEARS (CN 0813 40 30)

TABLE 5.11 : TRADE IN PEARS PREPARED OR PRESERVED (2008 40)

TABLE 5.12 : IMPORTS OF PEAR JUICE (TONNES)

TABLE 5.13 : EXPORTS OF PEAR JUICE (TONNES)

GRAPH 5.11 : EXTRA EU TRADE IN PEARS PREPARED OR PRESERVED (2008 40) [TONNES]

GRAPH 5.12 : EXTRA EU EXPORTS OF PEARS PREPARED OR PRESERVED (2008 40) [TONNES]

GRAPH 5.13 : EXTRA EU IMPORTS OF PEARS PREPARED OR PRESERVED (2008 40) [TONNES]

GRAPH 5.14 : EXTRA EU EXPORTS OF PEAR JUICE INCL. CONCENTRATE [TONNES]

GRAPH 5.15 : EXTRA EU IMPORTS OF PEAR JUICE INCL. CONCENTRATE [TONNES]

TABLE 5.8: TRADE IN DRIED PEARS (CN 0813 40 30)

IMPORTS (TONNES)

2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 Ø 2013-17 2018/17 18/2013-17

South Africa 233 292 255 373 415 516 644 529 497 474 503 532 6% -6%

China 1461 1498 1139 860 629 572 462 418 438 341 226 446 -34% -49%

Turkey 124 51 95 49 96 203 235 197 91 70 184 159 161% 15%

others 149 46 116 200 179 49 46 43 166 248 82 110 -67% -25%

EXTRA-EU 1967 1887 1605 1481 1319 1340 1386 1187 1192 1133 995 1247 -12% -20%

EXPORTS (TONNES)

2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 Ø 2013-17 2018/17 18/2013-17

Switzerland 108 48 36 31 29 20 75 69 29 44 7 47 -83% -84%

UAE 1 1 2 7 21 16 68 24 31 4 1 29 -74% -97%

Canada 1 0 16 1 2 5 16 0 15 35 8 139% 366%

others 51 475 96 75 147 102 48 54 52 36 314 58 782% 438%

EXTRA-EU 160 525 133 129 198 140 196 164 112 98 357 142 265% 152%

TABLE 5.9: TRADE IN PEARS PREPARED OR PRESERVED (2008 40)

IMPORTS (TONNES)

2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 Ø 2013-17 2018/17 18/2013-17

China 21 628 16 443 17 232 14 477 17 185 15 595 13 026 11 251 11 048 14 262 13 615 13 036 -5% 4%

South Africa 16 119 14 578 19 076 11 528 13 479 14 162 12 408 11 532 10 902 9 608 8 140 11 722 -15% -31%

Argentina 1 961 1 943 2 120 1 466 740 1 277 724 558 872 1 566 1 710 1 000 9% 71%

Chile 710 395 239 349 179 150 262 26 73 282 128 288% 120%

Thailand 37 3 14 26 87 99 119 52 99 133 146 100 10% 45%

Serbia 32 24 40 97 73 161 156 79 -3% 97%

others 2 306 2 209 2 522 559 171 137 26 179 77 32 102 90 223% 13%

EXTRA-EU 42 761 35 571 41 204 28 405 31 874 31 445 26 604 23 696 23 072 25 834 24 150 26 130 -7% -8%

EXPORTS (TONNES)

2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 Ø 2013-17 2018/17 18/2013-17

Switzerland 707 792 794 619 615 553 531 547 497 476 509 521 7% -2%

United States 357 245 275 274 368 407 439 499 649 482 484 495 0% -2%

United Arab Emirates 94 277 75 17 28 44 71 924 664 401 173 421 -57% -59%

Mozambique 0 2 5 63 107 136 383 284 503 467 942 355 102% 166%

Cuba 36 4 120 25 6 33 115 283 370 404 158 241 -61% -35%

Morocco 417 19 34 46 42 24 35 73 140 525 306 159 -42% 92%

Saudi Arabia 57 53 74 74 64 81 132 164 235 172 199 157 16% 27%

Norway 141 101 44 174 81 140 188 189 142 118 91 155 -22% -41%

Egypt 1 1 5 3 13 12 381 0 135 246 142 155 -42% -8%

Angola 159 528 18 523 59 47 34 190 311 154 135 147 -12% -8%

Russian Federation 272 187 291 202 182 142 167 146 105 145 179 141 24% 27%

Japan 135 150 139 148 90 127 106 150 209 104 104 139 0% -25%

Kosovo 50 231 91 142 97 96 6 120 93 98 105 83 7% 27%

China 2 1 21 12 38 18 18 81 98 172 92 77 -46% 19%

Thailand 1 0 11 4 14 13 51 228 249 62 9% 302%

Australia 57 216 130 58 44 51 84 120 22 28 16 61 -40% -73%

Ukraine 19 18 19 18 66 60 77 97 31 37 48 61 29% -21%

others 1 356 886 1 375 2 419 1 245 750 706 450 697 557 924 632 66% 46%

EXTRA-EU 3 859 3 709 3 509 4 817 3 155 2 723 3 485 4 329 4 953 4 812 4 859 4 060 1% 20%

Source: COMEXT Dataset EU28 SINCE 1999 CN (SIMULATED)

TABLE 5.10: IMPORTS OF PEAR JUICE (TONNES) - incl TPA trade

IMPORTS OF PEAR JUICE CONCENTRATE 2009 80 11 & 80 19 - (TONNES), incl. TPA

2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 Ø 2013-17 2018/17 18/2013-17

China 8 597 9 895 9 335 4 990 5 613 8 701 3 465 5 941 6 840 4 107 2 840 5 811 -31% -51%

Turkey 734 261 553 162 303 1 003 1 183 1 129 1 356 1 374 1 444 1 209 5% 19%

South Africa 182 198 - - 101 857 357 275 175 1 776 261 688 -85% -62%

Argentina 948 1 762 1 043 171 236 163 164 313 1 032 152 289 365 90% -21%

Chile 331 - 218 18 51 40 158 - 242 318 558 152 75% 268%

United States 1 37 1 9 2 0 9 39 18 501 0 113 -100% -100%

others 73 145 105 108 347 18 182 228 46 257 135 146 -47% -8%

EXTRA-EU 10 866 12 299 11 255 5 459 6 653 10 781 5 519 7 925 9 707 8 485 5 526 8 483 -35% -35%

IMPORTS OF PEAR JUICE OTHER THAN CONCENTRATE (TONNES), TPA inclus - 2009 80 50, 61, 63 & 69

2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 Ø 2013-17 2018/17 18/2013-17

Argentina 434 336 199 55 52 - 206 45 350 131 78 146 -40% -46%

China 2 277 2 060 2 327 1 057 38 233 415 1 37 7 0 138 -97% -100%

South Africa 202 49 2 55 68 227 33 94 36 108 2 100 -98% -98%

Turkey 84 78 98 26 198 149 175 24 56 3 91 81 2642% 11%

Switzerland 148 810 11 472 715 120 134 0 92 21 260 73 1115% 254%

others 115 170 258 169 50 79 82 160 56 35 106 82 207% 29%

EXTRA-EU 3 259 3 503 2 895 1 834 1 121 807 1 045 324 626 306 538 621 76% -13%

IMPORTS OF PEAR JUICE INCLUDING CONCENTRATE (TONNES), TPA inclus

2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 Ø 2013-17 2018/17 18/2013-17

China 10 874 11 955 11 662 6 047 5 651 8 934 3 879 5 942 6 877 4 114 2 840 5 949 -31% -52%

Turkey 818 339 650 188 501 1 151 1 358 1 153 1 411 1 378 1 535 1 290 11% 19%

South Africa 384 246 2 55 169 1 083 390 369 211 1 884 263 788 -86% -67%

Argentina 1 382 2 098 1 242 227 289 163 370 357 1 382 282 367 511 30% -28%

Chile 331 - 249 18 51 40 158 - 242 318 558 152 75% 268%

others 337 1 163 344 758 1 113 217 408 427 210 814 501 415 -38% 21%

EXTRA-EU 14 125 15 802 14 149 7 293 7 773 11 587 6 563 8 249 10 333 8 791 6 064 9 105 -31% -33%

Source: COMEXT Dataset EU28 SINCE 1999 CN (SIMULATED)

TABLE 5.11: EXPORTS OF PEAR JUICE (TONNES) - incl TPA tradeEXPORTS OF THE PEAR JUICE CONCENTRATE 2009 80 11 & 80 19 - (TONNES), incl. TPA

2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 Ø 2013-17 2018/17 18/2013-17

Russian Federation 450 321 495 873 1 117 754 772 1 059 1 195 1 386 1 030 1 033 -26% 0%

Angola 423 788 396 561 335 496 659 527 434 184 116 460 -37% -75%

United States 316 222 429 512 53 72 38 27 63 1 027 915 245 -11% 273%

Switzerland 74 111 95 127 81 22 11 11 179 631 56 171 -91% -67%

Japan 245 251 224 173 139 238 79 167 185 136 333 161 145% 107%

Libya 20 104 - 4 106 - 18 352 132 21 120 105 465% 14%

Albania 75 75 543 793 624 288 95 50 73 31 60 107 95% -44%

others 1 173 994 1 169 2 091 772 551 431 644 907 498 835 606 68% 38%

EXTRA-EU 2 775 2 865 3 350 5 134 3 227 2 421 2 102 2 837 3 168 3 914 3 465 2 888 -11% 20%

EXPORTS OF PEAR JUICE OTHER THAN CONCENTRATE (TONNES), TPA inclus - 2009 80 50, 61, 63 & 69

2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 Ø 2013-17 2018/17 18/2013-17

Cape Verde 920 1 024 855 1 326 1 317 1 268 1 201 1 594 1 757 1 850 1 824 1 534 -1% 19%

United States 255 424 324 268 516 370 511 619 545 695 207 548 -70% -62%

Angola 739 697 790 749 1 301 920 548 207 53 19 24 349 26% -93%

Norway 39 15 22 27 261 307 302 283 410 302 348 321 15% 8%

Canada 268 155 33 82 653 161 189 409 215 201 126 235 -37% -46%

Russian Federation 278 282 348 381 435 371 234 152 139 176 160 215 -9% -25%

Switzerland 101 27 35 82 124 94 203 50 343 280 44 194 -84% -78%

Albania - 502 63 20 44 74 121 97 61 12 145 73 1135% 99%

others 515 421 673 1 812 1 235 668 726 761 576 557 857 658 54% 30%

EXTRA-EU 3 116 3 549 3 143 4 745 5 886 4 232 4 034 4 173 4 097 4 092 3 734 4 125 -9% -9%

EXPORTS OF PEAR JUICE INCLUDING CONCENTRATE (TONNES), TPA inclus

2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 Ø 2013-17 2018/17 18/2013-17

Cape Verde 922 1 025 855 1 333 1 317 1 271 1 201 1 595 1 759 1 853 1 826 1 536 -1% 19%

Russian Federation 728 604 843 1 253 1 552 1 125 1 006 1 211 1 334 1 562 1 190 1 248 -24% -5%

Angola 1 162 1 485 1 185 1 310 1 636 1 415 1 207 734 487 203 140 809 -31% -83%

United States 571 646 753 780 569 442 549 646 608 1 722 1 122 793 -35% 41%

Switzerland 174 139 130 209 205 116 214 61 522 911 99 365 -89% -73%

Norway 140 92 59 79 280 333 328 301 430 352 376 349 7% 8%

Canada 330 175 44 245 674 194 194 452 254 224 131 263 -42% -50%

Albania 75 577 607 813 668 361 216 147 134 43 205 180 380% 14%

Japan 272 264 250 176 176 247 79 176 198 143 335 168 135% 99%

Libya 20 108 2 147 206 16 31 355 200 47 237 130 407% 83%

others 1 497 1 300 1 765 3 534 1 831 1 133 1 112 1 333 1 340 948 1 538 1 173 62% 31%

EXTRA-EU 5 891 6 414 6 493 9 879 9 113 6 653 6 136 7 010 7 265 8 006 7 199 7 014 -10% 3%

Source: COMEXT Dataset EU28 SINCE 1999 CN (SIMULATED)

35 571

41 204

28 405

31 874 31 445

26 604

23 696 23 072

25 834 24 150

3 709 3 509 4 817

3 155 2 723 3 485

4 329 4 953 4 812 4 859

0

5 000

10 000

15 000

20 000

25 000

30 000

35 000

40 000

45 000

2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19

GRAPH 5.11. EXTRA EU TRADE IN PEARS PREPARED OR PRESERVED (2008 40)[TONNES]

IMPORTS

EXPORTS

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1 000

2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19

GRAPH 5.12. EXTRA EU EXPORTS OF PEARS PREPARED OR PRESERVED (2008 40)[TONNES]

Switzerland United States United Arab Emirates Mozambique Cuba Morocco

0

5 000

10 000

15 000

20 000

25 000

2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19

GRAPH 5.13. EXTRA EU IMPORTS OF PEARS PREPARED OR PRESERVED (2008 40)[TONNES]

China South Africa Argentina Chile

1 025

855

1 333 1 317 1 271

1 201

1 595

1 759

1 853 1 826

604

843

1 253

1 552

1 125

1 006

1 211

1 334

1 562

1 190

1 485

1 185

1 310

1 636

1 415

1 207

734

487

203 140

646

753 780

569

442

549

646 608

1 722

1 122

0

200

400

600

800

1 000

1 200

1 400

1 600

1 800

2 000

2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19

GRAPH 5.14. EXTRA EU EXPORTS OF PEAR JUICE INCL. CONCENTRATE[TONNES]

Cape Verde Russian Federation Angola United States

-2 000

0

2 000

4 000

6 000

8 000

10 000

12 000

14 000

2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19

GRAPH 5.15. EXTRA EU IMPORTS OF PEAR JUICE INCL. CONCENTRATE[TONNES]

China Turkey South Africa Argentina

12 299

11 255

5 459

6 653

10 781

5 519

7 925

9 707

8 485

5 526

3 503

2 895

1 834 1 121

807 1 045

324 626

306 538

2 865

3 350

5 134

3 227

2 421 2 102

2 837 3 168

3 914

3 465

3 549 3 143

4 745

5 886

4 232 4 034 4 173 4 097 4 092 3 734

0

2 000

4 000

6 000

8 000

10 000

12 000

14 000

2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19

GRAPH 5.16. EXTRA EU TRADE IN PEAR JUICE PER TYPE [TONNES]

imports pear concentrate imports pear juice excl concentrate

exports pear concentrate exports pear juice excl concentrate

The end