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Corporate PresentationJANUARY 2012
THE PROSPECT OF INDONESIAN CEMENT INDUSTRY
THE PROSPECT OF INDONESIAN CEMENT INDUSTRY
±41%Domestic Market Share
SP
SGST
1
INDONESIA’S CEMENT INDUSTRY: NOW and THE FUTURESMGR Corporate Presentation
January 2012
2
1. SMGR 22.5 mn ton- Semen Padang: 6.4 mn ton
- Semen Gresik : 11.4 mn ton
- Semen Tonasa : 4.7 mn ton
2. Semen Andalas 2) 1.6 mn ton3. Semen Baturaja 1.3 mn ton4. Indocement TP 18.6 mn ton5. Holcim Indonesia 8.5 mn ton6. Semen Bosowa 3.8 mn ton7. Semen Kupang 4) 0.5 mn ton
TOTAL 56.8 mn ton
CEMENT INDUSTRY AT A GLANCE
• Design Capacity : 54.4 mio ton 56.8 mio ton 63.9 mio ton• Domestic Growth : 17.7% 5.0% 5.0%• Domestic Utilization : 89% 89% 83%• Total Utilization : 91% 90% 85%• Supply Domestic : 48.0 mio ton 50.4 mio ton 53.0 mio ton Export : 1.2 mio ton 1.0 mio ton 1.5 mio ton Import : 1.8 mio ton2) 1.5 mio ton 3) 1.0 mio ton 3)
1) Based on the Company’s forecast2) Imported cement by PT Semen Andalas (1.0 mio ton) and clinker by Bosawa and SMGR3) Imported cement & clinker4) Semen Kupang does not produce or sell cement in the last 3 years due to its financial problem
Singapore
Kuala Lumpur
SMGR
22
11
33
4455
1
1
6677
THE PLAYERS and CAPACITY (2012)
SMGR: 22.5 mio ton (38% of Industry Cap.)
CEMENT INDUSTRY 2011 2012F 1) 2013F 1)
2
3
COMPARISON: CEMENT CONSUMPTION PER CAPITA 2010
Source: UBS; Deutsche, Indonesia Cement Association
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
Saudi Arabia
ChinaSouth Korea
Singapore
Malaysia
ItalyJapan
Vietnam
USAThailand
Germany
Indonesia
IndiaPhilipina
kg/capita
172
kgkg
4Source: Indonesian Cement Association & BPS Statistic
Growth:
1.1%
Growth:
9.7%
Growth:
4.2%
Growth:
1.8%
Growth:
6.6%
Growth:
5.8%
Growth:
19.4%
Domestic consumption (LHS) GDP growth % (RHS)
(mio tons)
40,8
48,0
39,1
27,2 27,530,2 31,5 32,1
34,2
38,1
6,10%
5,6%
4,7%
5,1%5,4%
4,4%
6.3%
6.1% 4.60%
6,60%
6.0%
11.5%
4.2%
9.7%
2.5%
6.6%
1.8%1.1%
5.8%
17.7%
0,0
10,0
20,0
30,0
40,0
50,0
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
0,0%
10,0%
20,0%Cement growth % (RHS)
(F)(F)
INDONESIA HAS EXPERIENCED SOLID ECONOMIC AND DOMESTIC CEMENT CONSUMPTION GROWTH
DOMESTIC MARKET CONSUMPTION (2011)
Retail (residential) sector is the largest consumer of cement in Indonesia
5
Bag80%
Bulk20%
Key Drivers of Domestic cement demand:• National Economic Growth• Favorable Interest Rate Environment• Infrastructure Expansion• Per Capita Consumption increase from
current low levels
• Ready-mix (infrastructure): ± 60%
• Fabricator (pre-cast, fiber cement, cement based industry): ± 35%
• Projects (mortar, render): ± 5%
• Ready-mix (infrastructure): ± 60%
• Fabricator (pre-cast, fiber cement, cement based industry): ± 35%
• Projects (mortar, render): ± 5%
• Housing: ± 90%
• Cement based industry: ± 10%
• Housing: ± 90%
• Cement based industry: ± 10%±
±
Source: Internal Research
21,0
6,5
18,1
1,0
16,9
1,9
20,0
2,3
22,7
3,0
23,7
3,5
23,7
3,8
25,2
5,0
25,5
6,0
26,9
5,1
28,2
6,0
32,2
5,9
32,8
6,2
34,2
6,6
39,2
8,8
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Bag Consumption Bulk Consumption
SO FAR INFRASTRUCTURE EXPANSION HAS BEEN RELATIVELY SLOW
Bag and Bulk cement consumption 1997 – 2011 (million tons)
6Source: Indonesia Cement Association and the Company’s data
Region PopulationCement
Consump-tion (ton)
Cement Consumpt. Per Capita
(kg)
1. JAVA 136,563,142 21,996,688 161
2. SUMATERA 50,613,947 9,690,931 191
3. SULAWESI & MALUKU 19,926,385 3,421,522 172
4. KALIMANTAN 13,772,543 2,833,018 206
5. BALI & NUSA TENGGARA 13,067,599 2,326,931 178
6. PAPUA 3,612,854 513,287 142
Total Indonesia 237,556,470 40,782,377 172
MARKET BY GEOGRAPHY & CEMENT CONSUMPTION PER CAPITA (FY2011)
Papua
Bali & N T
Kalimantan
Sulawesi
Population Distribution (2010)Population Distribution (2010)
Sumatera21.3% Java
57.5.%
8.4%
5.8% 5.5% 1.5%
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REGIONMARKET SHARE (%)
SMGR INTP SMCB BSWA ANDLS BTRJA
1. JAVA 36.2 40.7 20.8 2.0 - 0.01
2. SUMATERA 43.1 15.5 11.7 3.0 16.0 11.0
3. SULAWESI 60.1 13.6 1.1 25.0 - -
4. KALIMANTAN 47.6 28.9 14.1 9.0 - -
5. NUSA TENGGR. 37.2 36.9 4.5 19.6 - -
6. EASTERN IND. 62.2 17.3 0.5 20.3 - -
TOTALINDONESIA
40.8 31.5 15.6 5.8 3.6 2.6
SG
SP
ST1
234
5
6
23.0%
7.3%7.0%
5.8% 1.6%
Java55.2%
Sumatera
Cement Distribution (2011)Cement Distribution (2011)
Domestic Market Share (FY2011)
8
DOMESTIC DEMAND VS NATIONAL CAPACITY
40.80048.000 50.400 53.000 56.200 59.600 63.120
39.100
0
10.000
20.000
30.000
40.000
50.000
60.000
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016TAHUN
000
TONS
INSTALLED CAPACITY REAL PRODUCTION CEMENT CONSUMPTION
2.5% 5.0%6.0% 17.7% Real & ProjectedGrowth
5.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0%
Domestic Consumption
Domestic Consumption
9
COMPANY PROFILESMGR Corporate Presentation
January 2012
10
1957 : Inauguration of Gresik I, installed capacity of 250,000 ton cement per annum 1991 : Initial Public Offering, Market Cap.: IDR0.63tn, resulting shareholding structure post IPO:
● Government of Republic of Indonesia: 73% ● Public: 27%
1995 : Acquisition of PT Semen Padang (Persero) and PT Semen Tonasa (Persero) 1998 : Cemex became a strategic partner, Market Cap.: IDR4.9tn 2006 : Blue Valley Holdings bought Cemex’s 24.9% stake in SMGR, Market Cap.: IDR21.5tn 2010 : In March 31, Blue Valley Holdings sold all of its stake ownership in SMGR, Market Cap per March 31, 2010: IDR43.3tn 2011 : Total installed capacity of 20.00mm tons, Market Cap per Dec 30, 2011: IDR67.9tn 2012 : Targeted total installed capacity of 22.50mm tons
BRIEF HISTORYBRIEF HISTORY
SMGR IS THE #1 CEMENT COMPANY IN INDONESIA
0,0
5,0
10,0
15,0
20,0
25,0
1957
1970
1980
1984
1985
1986
1990
1995
1997
1998
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
SMGR CAPACITY BUILD-OUT (MM TONS)SMGR CAPACITY BUILD-OUT (MM TONS)
Pre-consolidated capacityPre-consolidated capacity
Post-consolidated capacity
Based capacity: 16.9 mio tons
Upgrading: 3.1 mio tons
Installed capacity: 22.5 mio tons (2012)
11
Public The Government of the Republic of Indonesia
PT Semen Gresik (Persero) Tbk.
PT Semen Padang PT Semen Tonasa
OWNERSHIP STRUCTURE1OWNERSHIP STRUCTURE1
FOCUSES IN CORE BUSINESS
¹ As of April 09, 2010
Four subsidiaries Non-cement producers:
51.01% 48.99%
99.99% 99.99%
Name Activities % Ownership
1. Igasar Cement distribution 12.00%
2. Sepatim B General trading, cement packaging 85.00%
3. Bima SA General trading, cement packaging 80.00%
4. SUPS Cement Packaging 10.00%
Six subsidiaries Non-cement producers:
Name Activities % Ownership
1. UTSG Limestone & Clay Mining 55.00%
2. IKSG Cement Packaging 60.00%
3. KIG Industrial Estate 65.00%
4. Swadaya Gra Steel fabrication, contractor 25.00%
5. Varia Usaha Transport and general trading 24.90%
6. Eternit Gresik Building materials 17.60%
1212
Total production capacity EoY 2011: 19.8 mn tons and targetted EoY 2012: 22.2 mn tons Nationwide distribution networks: 361 Distributors 35 distribution warehouses in all areas of Java, Bali, Sumatra, Kalimantan, Sulawesi and Papua Operate 4 special sea ports: Padang, Tuban, Gresik, Biringkassi 18 large packing plants
SMGR’s PRODUCTION FACILITIES ARE WELL SUPPORTED BY STRATEGICALLY LOCATED MARKETING AND DISTRIBUTION FACILITIES (2011)
TelukBayur
Sumatera
Kalimantan
SulawesiMaluku
Papua
LombokBaliJava
Batam
Ciwandan
Tanjung Priok Jakarta
Samarinda
Banjarmasin
Palu
Bitung
Ambon
Makassar
Biringkasi
BaliTabananDenpasarSingarajan
DI YogyakartaLempuyanganJanti
Central JavaTegalPurwokertoKudusMagelangSolo/PalurAlas TuwoMojopahitSayung
West JavaSerangTangerangBogorCibitungBandungTasik MalayaCirebonNarogong
Belawan
Singapore
Kuala Lumpur
Tuban
Surabaya
Cement Plant
Packing PlantPort
Warehouse
East JavaMargomulyoTanjung WangiBangkalanSwabina
Aceh
Pelabuhan Tuban
Pelabuhan Gresik
Installed Cap.:6.1 mn tons
Installed Cap.:10.0 mn tons
Installed Cap.:4.1 mn tons
Gresik
1313
3.0% 2.7%
5.2%4.1%
3.2%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Average: 3,6%
2.0% 1.6%
3.2%
1.0%
JSX
Top-20
*)
INTP SMCB SMGR
SMGR DIVIDEND YIELD IN THE LAST 5 YEARS 1)SMGR DIVIDEND YIELD IN THE LAST 5 YEARS 1)
*):Based on median of Top-20 Biggest Market Capitalization JSX listed companies in dividend yield, excluding Semen Gresik for FY2010
2010 DIVIDEND YIELD 1)2010 DIVIDEND YIELD 1)
REGULAR DIVIDENDSREGULAR DIVIDENDS
Key determinants of dividend policy:• Historical dividend payout trends• Comparison with peers• Projected cash-flows available for dividends (after taking into account
potential expansionary capex etc)• Analyst and investor expectations• Shareholder profile
REGULAR DIVIDEND PAYMENTS WITH ATTRACTIVE YIELD
1) shares price based on closing price at the end of year
14
MARKET UPDATESMGR Corporate Presentation
January 2012
MARKET UPDATE - Cement Consumption FY2010 and FY2011
DESCRIPTION 2010 2009 CHANGE (%)
DOMESTIC 17,64 17,82 (1.0)
EXPORT 0.29 0,60 (52.9)
GRAND TOTAL 17,93 18,43 (2.8)
FY 2010 – Cement Consumption (mio tons)
Java 21,99 21,15 4.0
Sumatera 9,69 8,87 9.2
Kalimantan 2,83 2,44 15.8
Sulawesi 3,04 3,00 1.5
Nusa Tenggara 2,32 2,18 6.6
Maluku & Papua 0,88 0,80 10.4
TOTAL IND. 40,78 38,46 6.0
Export Semen 0,77 1,23 (37.2)
Export Clinker 2,10 2,79 (24.7)
Total Export 2,88 4,03 (28.5)
GRAND TOTAL 43,66 42,49 2.7
*) Source: Indonesia Cement Association, un-audited figures*) Source: Indonesia Cement Association, un-audited figures
15
DESCRIPTION 2011 2010 CHANGE (%)
DOMESTIC 19,591,300 17,639,686 11.1
EXPORT 127,148 290,551 (56.2)
GRAND TOTAL 19,718,448 17,930,237 10.0
Jakarta 6,630,161 3,820,650 21.2
Banten 2,779,158 2,091,186 32.9
West Java 7,060,905 5,875,212 20.2
Central Java 5,302,862 4,471,010 18.6
Yogyakarta 762,668 611,889 24.6
East Java 5,979,268 5,126,741 16.6
Total Java 26,515,022 21,996,688 20.5
Sumatera 11,027,719 9,690,931 13.8
Kalimantan 3,360,842 2,833,018 18.6
Sulawesi 3,526,632 3,046,896 15.7
Nusa Tenggara 2,779,241 2,326,931 19.4
Maluku & Papua 790,889 887,912 (10.9)
TOTAL INDONESIA 48,000,345 40,782,376 17.7
Export Cement 252,340 776,297 (67.5)
Export Clinker 999,588 2,106,699 (52.6)
Total Export 1,251,928 2,882,996 (56.6)
GRAND TOTAL 49,252,273 43,665,372 12.8
FY2011 – Cement Consumption (mio tons)
16
FINANCIAL UPDATESMGR Corporate Presentation
January 2011
1717
FINANCIAL SUMMARY: FY2010 RESULTS
EBITDA (Rp billion)
NET INCOME (Rp billion)NET INCOME (Rp billion)
EBITDA Margin (%)EBITDA Margin (%)
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
25.6 29.7 31.7 33.2 34.6
NET INCOME Margin (%)NET INCOME Margin (%)
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY1014.8 18.5 20.7 23.1 25.3
Description(Rpbn)
FY2009 FY2010 Change (%)
Revenue 14,388 14,344 (0.3)
Cost of revenue 7,614 7,534 (1.0)
Gross profit 6,774 6,810 0.5
Operating expenses 2,432 2,321 (4.5)
Operating income 4,343 4,489 3.4
Ebitda 4,773 4,970 4.1
Net Income 3,326 3,633 9.2
EPS (full amount) 566 613 8.3
4,9704,773
3,867
2,8492,234
0
1.000
2.000
3.000
4.000
5.000
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
3,6333,326
2,524
1,7751,296
0
1.000
2.000
3.000
4.000
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
1818
FINANCIAL SUMMARY: 9M-2011 RESULTS
EBITDA (Rp billion)
NET INCOME (Rp billion)NET INCOME (Rp billion)
EBITDA Margin (%)EBITDA Margin (%)
9M-07 9M-08 9M-09 9M-10 9M-11
29.1% 31.6% 32.5% 34.5% 32.8%
NET INCOME Margin (%)NET INCOME Margin (%)
Description(Rpbn)
9M-2010
9M-2011
Change (%)
Revenue 10,292 11,611 12.8
Cost of revenue 5,356 6,328 18.1
Gross profit 4,936 5,283 7.0
Operating expenses 1,729 1,881 8.8
Operating income 3,207 3,402 6.1
Ebitda 3,546 3,805 7.3
Net Income 2,522 2,761 9.5
EPS (full amount) 465 425 9.42.761
1.272
1.791
2.408 2.522
0
500
1.000
1.500
2.000
2.500
9M07 9M08 9M09 9M10 9M11
9M-07 9M-08 9M-09 9M-10 9M-11
17.9% 20.3% 23.1% 24.5% 23.8%
3.8053.5463.3792.783
2.063
0
1.000
2.000
3.000
4.000
9M07 9M08 9M09 9M10 9M11
19
STRATEGIC PROJECTSSMGR Corporate Presentation
January 2011
2020
SMGR LONG TERM STRATEGIC FOCUS
SMGRSMGR
THE OVERALL
STRATEGY
COMBINES
66 CRITICAL
ELEMENTS
1. Undertake Capacity Growth
2. Manage Energy Security
3. Enhance Company Image
4. Move Closer To The Customer
5. Enable Corporate Growth
6. Manage Key Risks
2121
Cement Finish GrindingPreparation Bored Pile
Coal StorageSteel Structure
Jetty Extension Area
TubanTuban
TonasaTonasa
TonasaTonasa
New Power Plant Area
New Plants Location
Capacity (mn tons)
Investment (US$ mn)
Construction
Start Completed
Java 2.5 304 2009 Mar 2012
Sulawesi 2.5 290 2009 Jun 2012
Sub Total 5.0 594
Power Plants Location
Capacity (MW)
Investment (US$ mn)
Construction
Start Completed
Sulawesi 2 x 35 114 2010 Nov 2012
TOTAL CAPEX US$ 708mn
CEMENT PLANTS & POWER PLANT PROJECTS
These strategic projects will ensure sustainability of the Company’s market leadership
Preheater Tuban IV
Blending Silo Tonasa V
Progress of Tonasa V Cement Plant Project Progress of Tuban IV Cement Plant Project
Progress of Power Plant Project - Tonasa 2 x 35 MW
PROGRESS OF CEMENT & POWER PLANT PROJECTS – December 31, 2011
22
Description Weight Planning Actual
Preparation 0.39% 100.00% 100.00%
Management 2.88% 100.00% 98.19%
Engineering 3.83% 100.00% 100.00%
Procurement 72.82% 100.00% 99.26%
Construction 18.03% 100.00% 78.86%
Commissioning 2.05% 100.00% 5.05%
Total 100 % 100.00% 93.65%
Description Weight Planning Actual
Preparation 0.12% 100.00% 100.00%
Management 5.58% 100.00% 99.18%
Engineering 4.14% 100.00% 100.00%
Procurement 69.41% 100.00% 99.83%
Construction 18.77% 100.00% 91.83%
Commissioning 1.97% 100.00% 66.95%
Total 100 % 100.00% 97.65%
Description Weight Planning Actual
Preparation 2.63% 100.00% 100.00%
Management 4.60% 70.68% 72.17%
Engineering 5.75% 99.77% 98.62%
Procurement 55.13% 85.86% 82.25%
Construction 26.45% 51.63% 43.98%
Commissioning 5.44% 0.00% 0.18%
Total 100% 72.61% 68.61%
Preheater Tonasa VPreheater Tuban IV
DESIGN CAPACITY (Mio Ton)
15.216.7 17.8 17.7 19.6
22.5
25.927.3
30.0
1,81,0
0,7 0,3
0,1
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012F 2013F 2014F 2015F
17.118.0
19.0 19.0
Export sales ▪
Domestic sales ▪
Export sales ▪
Domestic sales ▪
20.2
Based Capacity
Based Capacity
Up-grading
Up-grading
New Capacity
New Capacity
16.9
3.1
10.0
23
CONCLUSION: WHY SMGR?SMGR Corporate Presentation
January 2011
252525
SMGR’s COMPARATIVE & COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE HAS DRIVEN SMGR TO BE THE MARKET LEADER IN INDONESIA
Outstanding performance
Experienced management
team
Conservative capital structure
and financial policies
Robust cash flow generation
Outstanding business
performance
Favorable industry outlook
Outstanding business performance– Leading cement player in Indonesia with over 41% market share based on
sales volume for 2010 and approximately 37% share of total installed cement capacity (Source: Indonesia Cement Association (“ASI”))
– Strategically located plants proximate to key markets throughout the country
– Substantial growth opportunities through expansion and optimization– Superior distribution network and strong brands recognition– Long-term access to raw materials for cement production and coal for fuel
consumption– Concerns on environmental and Corporate Social Responsibility programs to
ensure sustainable growth.
Favourable industry outlook– Cement consumption pretty much in-line with Indonesian economic growth– Real estate and infrastructure projects and declining interest rates key
demand drivers– High barriers to entry (plant, distribution and brand investment costs)– Disciplined investment on supply side
Robust cash flow generation– Historically strong revenue, margin and price trends– High plant utilization and strong focus on cost and revenue management
Conservative capital structure and financial policies– [Investment grade-like credit metrics]– Conservative capital structure policy; low use of leverage– Access to capital markets for expansion initiatives
Experienced management team– Experienced and successful management team
Strengths of SMGR
2626
Main Office:Main Building of Semen Gresik
Jln. Veteran Gresik 61122 –Indonesia
Phone: (62-31) 3981731 -2, 3981745Fax: (62-31) 3983209, 3972264
Representative Office:Gedung The East, 18th Floor,Jln. Lingkar Mega Kuningan Kav. E3.2 No. 1,Jakarta 12950 – IndonesiaPhone : (62-21) 5261174 – 5Fax : (62-21) 5261176
www.semengresik.com
THANK YOUTHANK YOUIMPORTANT NOTICE
THIS PRESENTATION IS NOT AND DOES NOT CONSTITUTE OR FORM PART OF, AND IS NOT MADE IN CONNECTION WITH, ANY OFFER FOR SALE OR SUBSCRIPTION OF OR SOLICITATION,RECOMMENDATION OR INVITATION OF ANY OFFER TO BUY OR SUBSCRIBE FOR ANY SECURITIES NOR SHALL IT OR ANY PART OF IT FORM THE BASIS OF OR BE RELIED ON INCONNECTION WITH ANY CONTRACT, COMMITMENT OR INVESTMENT DECISION WHATSOEVER.THE SLIDES USED IN THIS PRESENTATION ARE STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL AND HAVE BEEN PREPARED AS A SUPPORT FOR ORAL DISCUSSIONS ONLY. THE INFORMATION CONTAINED INTHIS PRESENTATION IS BEING PRESENTED TO YOU SOLELY FOR YOUR INFORMATION AND MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED OR REDISTRIBUTED TO ANY OTHER PERSON, IN WHOLE OR INPART.This presentation includes forward-looking statements, which are based on current expectations and forecast about future events. Such statements involve known / unknown risks uncertaintiesand other factors, which could cause actual results to differ materially from historical results or those anticipated. Such factors include, among others:● economic, social and political conditions in Indonesia, and the impact such conditions have on construction and infrastructure spending in Indonesia;● the effects of competition;● the effects of changes in laws, regulations, taxation or accounting standards or practices;● acquisitions, divestitures and various business opportunities that we may pursue;● changes or volatility in inflation, interest rates and foreign exchange rates;● accidents, natural disasters or outbreaks of infectious diseases, such as avian influenza, in our markets;● labor unrest or other similar situations; and● the outcome of pending or threatened litigation.We can give no assurance that our expectations will be attained.
DISCLAIMERThe information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT Semen Gresik (Persero) Tbk and/or its affiliated companies and/or their respective employees and/or agents make any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liability as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any other such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue thereof.We expressly disclaim any responsibility or liability (express or implied) of PT Semen Gresik (Persero) Tbk, its affiliated companies and their respective employees and agents whatsoever and howsoever arising (including, without limitation for any claim, proceedings, action, suits, losses, expenses, damages or costs) which may be brought against or suffered by any person as a result of acting in reliance upon the whole or any part of the contents of this report and neither PT Semen Gresik (Persero) Tbk, its affiliated companies or their respective employees or agents accepts liability for any errors, omission or mis-statements, negligent or otherwise, in the report and any liability in respect of the report or any inaccuracy therein or omission therefrom which might otherwise arise is hereby expresses disclaimed.