the public education top 10
TRANSCRIPT
© Center for Public Education, 2016
The Public Education Top 10Patte Barth
Director, Center for Public Education
© Center for Public Education, 2016
10 years of the Center for Public Education
Provide evidence-based research and analysis on education issues and present it ways that are useful to public schools and school board governance
© Center for Public Education, 2016
Top 10 Good Things
#10 Modernized Career Technical Education
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High school grads with high credentials do welleven with no college
• Algebra 2 & advanced biology
• GPA of at least C+
• An occupational concentration – 3 or more courses in a specific labor
market area)
• Professional certification or license
SOURCE: CPE, The path least taken, Part 2, 2015
© Center for Public Education, 2016
High school grads with high credentials do welleven with no college
college goers
PLUS C+ or better GPA
PLUS Advanced Biology
PLUS Algebra 2
PLUS occupational concentration
PLUS professional license
low credentialed grad
0 5 10 15 20 25
16.71
19.71
19.38
18.62
16.5
14.51
10.28
Hourly wages at age 26
SOURCE: CPE, The path least taken, Part 2, 2015
© Center for Public Education, 2016
Fastest growing occupational clusters
• Information technology: +23%
• Health science: +21%
• Human services: +19%
• Law, public safety, corrections, security: +14%
• Education and training: +14%SOURCE: NASD of CTE consortium, 2010. estimated growth 2008-2018
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Top 10 Good Things
# 9 Robust data systems
#10 Modernized Career Technical Education
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In 2005, few states had effective data systems Most states collected onlyenrollment, test scores andGraduation/drop outs
A small handful had data on course-taking or could match data across sectors
SOURCE: Data Quality Campaign, 2011
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By 2011, nearly every state did 36 states had data systemswith all 10 essential elements;all had at least 7
40+ states promote datatraining to principals/teachers
110 state data privacy laws wereintroduced; 30 passed
SOURCE: Data Quality Campaign, 2011
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Top 10 Good Things
# 8 High-quality pre-kindergarten
# 9 Robust data systems
#10 Modernized Career Technical Education
© Center for Public Education, 2016
Enrollments in state-funded pre-K have doubledin last decade
2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 20140
35
1417
20
24
28 28 29
Percent of 4-yr-olds in state pre-k
SOURCE: NIEER, 2014
Including Head Start and special
needs enrollments,
42% of all 4-yr-olds were in
publicly funded pre-k in 2014
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Program quality has improved
SOURCE: NIEER, 2014
Quality benchmark Percent of state programs2002
Percent of state programs2014
Teacher with BA 45 57
Specialized training 74 85
Assistant with CDA 24 34
15 hours+ in-service training 64 81
Early learning standards 36 100
Class size 20 or lower 74 85
Adult/student ratio 1:10 or better 71 87
Screening/referral 52 66
At least 1 meal 50 47
Site visits 70 62
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Top 10 Good Things
# 7 The reading performance of English language learners
# 8 High-quality pre-kindergarten
# 9 Robust data systems
#10 Modernized Career Technical Education
© Center for Public Education, 2016
ELL population has doubled since 1998
1998 2015
Proportion of student population 4% 10%
4th-graders performing at Basic or better 21% 32%
SOURCE: NCES, NAEP-Reading 2015
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Gap between ELL and non-ELL narrowing but still wide
SOURCE: NCES, NAEP-Reading 2015
1998 2000 2002 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015150
270
174
189
217 226
NAEP-Reading Gr 4, 1998-2015
ELL non-ELL
43 pts
37 pts
What’s working ….
• Access to pre-k
• Research-based practices
• Bilingual teachers
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Top 10 Good Things
# 6 College going
# 7 The reading performance of English language learners
# 8 High-quality pre-kindergarten
# 9 Robust data systems
#10 Modernized Career Technical Education
© Center for Public Education, 2016
Two-thirds of all grads go immediately to college
1973 1983 1993 2003 20130
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
48
56
6468 67
4138
51
6057
49 47
56 58
66
Percent recent high school completers enrolled in 2- or 4-yr college following Oc-tober
White Black Hispanic
SOURCE: NCES, 2014
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Colleges need to think about supports for their growing enrollments• About 60% of first-time freshmen at 4-year colleges earn a BA in six
years
• About 30% of degree/certificate seeking freshmen at 2-year colleges complete the program within 150% of expected time
SOURCE: NCES, 2014
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Top 10 Good Things
# 5 Elementary Secondary Education Act
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ESEA: an historic law
• First passed in 1965, it advanced education as a civil right
• Recognized that poor children needed more resources in order to fulfill American promise of equal opportunity
• 1994 Reauthorization and 2001’s NCLB introduced the expectation that poor children will be taught to the same standards as their peers
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Its new redo: Every Student Succeeds Act
• Passed with significant bipartisan support
• Recognizes the importance of local governance and community ownership of public schools
• Facilitates greater flexibility and local innovation for student achievement
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Its new redo: Every Student Succeeds Act
• Accountability plans drafted by states with local involvement
• AYP and 100% proficiency goal – gone
• ‘Ambitious state-designed long term goals’• State-designed index factors including
academic, non-academic and school factors
• State-designed college-career ready standards
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Top 10 Good Things
# 4 High-level high school course-taking
# 5 Elementary Secondary Education Act
© Center for Public Education, 2016
Many more students take high-level math & science
1990 2000 2005 2009
57
77
4440
71
White African American Latino
percent of high schoolers taking Algebra 2/Trig
SOURCE: NCES, High School Transcript Study 1990–2009; NSF science & engineering indicators, 2012
High school grads now earn an average 3.5 science credits –- up from 2.8 in 1990
70% of the class of 2009 took advanced chemistry
14% had AP/IB science
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Public high schools offer more rigorous choices
• 69% of all public high schools offer AP/IB• 82% offer courses for dual high school/post-secondary credit
• Only 55% of rural high schools have AP/IB• 25% of public schools do not offer chemistry• 11% of public schools do not offer Algebra 1
SOURCES: NCES, 2013 (2010 data); OCR, 2014
© Center for Public Education, 2016
Top 10 Good Things
# 3 Math achievement
# 4 High-level high school course-taking
# 5 Elementary Secondary Education Act
© Center for Public Education, 2016
4th & 8th graders have gained 2+ yrs learning
grade 4 grade 8
29
19
NAEP math gains, 1990-2015Internationally …
4th graders outperformed by only 7 out of 60 participating nations on TIMSS
8th graders outperformed by 6 out of 56 nations
SOURCES: NCES, TIMSSs, 2011; NAEP, 2015
© Center for Public Education, 2016
Math achievement
1972 1980 2005 2014
40 years of SAT math scores1972-2014
509
492
520
513
SOURCE: College Board, Total Group Profile Report, 2012, updated for 2014 data
Test-takers doubled since 1972
More diverse – 51% white
36% had parents with no college
© Center for Public Education, 2016
What about those international rankings?
• US 15-year-olds perform below international average on PISA, which emphasizes problem solving and applications
• Changes in math standards and instruction in recent years may improve our standing in next PISA administrations
© Center for Public Education, 2016
Top 10 Good Things
# 2 High school graduation
# 3 Math achievement
# 4 High-level high school course-taking
# 5 Elementary Secondary Education Act
© Center for Public Education, 2016
High school graduation at all-time high
Series10
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
81.486.6
70.775.2
88.7
69.7
Public high school 4-yr graduation rates
Overall White BlackHispanic Asian/Pacific Islander American Indian/Alaska Native
SOURCE: NCES, adjusted cohort graduation rates, public high schools, 2013
© Center for Public Education, 2016
High school graduation at all-time high
• Gains largely driven by performance of black and Latino students –
rates rose an incredible 7 and 12 points respectively since 2008
• Number of so-called ‘drop out factories’ fell from 2,007 in 2002 to
1,146 in 2013
SOURCES: NCES, 2013; Grad Nation, 2014
© Center for Public Education, 2016
Top 10 Good Things
# 1 Public school still the school of first choice
# 2 High school graduation
# 3 Math achievement
# 4 High-level high school course-taking
# 5 Elementary Secondary Education Act
© Center for Public Education, 2016
The public supports public schools
For 40 years, about 9 in 10 students attended public schools
• 10% of school-age students attend private schools
• 3% are homeschooled
SOURCE: CPE, School Choice, 2015
© Center for Public Education, 2016
The public supports public schoolsPublic schools are not one size fits all!
• 4% of school-age students attend public magnet schools
• 4% are in public charter schools
• 10% are in other public schools of choice
• Uncounted number in-school programs of choice
SOURCE: CPE, School Choice, 2015
© Center for Public Education, 2016
Public Agenda found that most parents don’t want
districts to close neighborhood schools for low
performance. Instead they want leaders to “fix the
school they have.”
© Center for Public Education, 2016
1 Public school is 1st choice
2 High school graduation
3 Math achievement
4 High-level course-taking
5 ESEA
6 College going
7 ELLs and reading
8 High-quality pre-kindergarten
9 Robust data systems
10 Modernized CTE
Top 10 Good Things
© Center for Public Education, 2016
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