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© Center for Public Education, 2016 The Public Education Top 10 Patte Barth Director, Center for Public Education

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Page 1: The Public Education Top 10

© Center for Public Education, 2016

The Public Education Top 10Patte Barth

Director, Center for Public Education

Page 2: The Public Education Top 10

© Center for Public Education, 2016

10 years of the Center for Public Education

Provide evidence-based research and analysis on education issues and present it ways that are useful to public schools and school board governance

Page 3: The Public Education Top 10

© Center for Public Education, 2016

Top 10 Good Things

#10 Modernized Career Technical Education

Page 4: The Public Education Top 10

© Center for Public Education, 2016

High school grads with high credentials do welleven with no college

• Algebra 2 & advanced biology

• GPA of at least C+

• An occupational concentration – 3 or more courses in a specific labor

market area)

• Professional certification or license

SOURCE: CPE, The path least taken, Part 2, 2015

Page 5: The Public Education Top 10

© Center for Public Education, 2016

High school grads with high credentials do welleven with no college

college goers

PLUS C+ or better GPA

PLUS Advanced Biology

PLUS Algebra 2

PLUS occupational concentration

PLUS professional license

low credentialed grad

0 5 10 15 20 25

16.71

19.71

19.38

18.62

16.5

14.51

10.28

Hourly wages at age 26

SOURCE: CPE, The path least taken, Part 2, 2015

Page 6: The Public Education Top 10

© Center for Public Education, 2016

Fastest growing occupational clusters

• Information technology: +23%

• Health science: +21%

• Human services: +19%

• Law, public safety, corrections, security: +14%

• Education and training: +14%SOURCE: NASD of CTE consortium, 2010. estimated growth 2008-2018

Page 7: The Public Education Top 10

© Center for Public Education, 2016

Top 10 Good Things

# 9 Robust data systems

#10 Modernized Career Technical Education

Page 8: The Public Education Top 10

© Center for Public Education, 2016

In 2005, few states had effective data systems Most states collected onlyenrollment, test scores andGraduation/drop outs

A small handful had data on course-taking or could match data across sectors

SOURCE: Data Quality Campaign, 2011

Page 9: The Public Education Top 10

© Center for Public Education, 2016

By 2011, nearly every state did 36 states had data systemswith all 10 essential elements;all had at least 7

40+ states promote datatraining to principals/teachers

110 state data privacy laws wereintroduced; 30 passed

SOURCE: Data Quality Campaign, 2011

Page 10: The Public Education Top 10

© Center for Public Education, 2016

Top 10 Good Things

# 8 High-quality pre-kindergarten

# 9 Robust data systems

#10 Modernized Career Technical Education

Page 11: The Public Education Top 10

© Center for Public Education, 2016

Enrollments in state-funded pre-K have doubledin last decade

2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 20140

35

1417

20

24

28 28 29

Percent of 4-yr-olds in state pre-k

SOURCE: NIEER, 2014

Including Head Start and special

needs enrollments,

42% of all 4-yr-olds were in

publicly funded pre-k in 2014

Page 12: The Public Education Top 10

© Center for Public Education, 2016

Program quality has improved

SOURCE: NIEER, 2014

Quality benchmark Percent of state programs2002

Percent of state programs2014

Teacher with BA 45 57

Specialized training 74 85

Assistant with CDA 24 34

15 hours+ in-service training 64 81

Early learning standards 36 100

Class size 20 or lower 74 85

Adult/student ratio 1:10 or better 71 87

Screening/referral 52 66

At least 1 meal 50 47

Site visits 70 62

Page 13: The Public Education Top 10

© Center for Public Education, 2016

Top 10 Good Things

# 7 The reading performance of English language learners

# 8 High-quality pre-kindergarten

# 9 Robust data systems

#10 Modernized Career Technical Education

Page 14: The Public Education Top 10

© Center for Public Education, 2016

ELL population has doubled since 1998

1998 2015

Proportion of student population 4% 10%

4th-graders performing at Basic or better 21% 32%

SOURCE: NCES, NAEP-Reading 2015

Page 15: The Public Education Top 10

© Center for Public Education, 2016

Gap between ELL and non-ELL narrowing but still wide

SOURCE: NCES, NAEP-Reading 2015

1998 2000 2002 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015150

270

174

189

217 226

NAEP-Reading Gr 4, 1998-2015

ELL non-ELL

43 pts

37 pts

What’s working ….

• Access to pre-k

• Research-based practices

• Bilingual teachers

Page 16: The Public Education Top 10

© Center for Public Education, 2016

Top 10 Good Things

# 6 College going

# 7 The reading performance of English language learners

# 8 High-quality pre-kindergarten

# 9 Robust data systems

#10 Modernized Career Technical Education

Page 17: The Public Education Top 10

© Center for Public Education, 2016

Two-thirds of all grads go immediately to college

1973 1983 1993 2003 20130

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

48

56

6468 67

4138

51

6057

49 47

56 58

66

Percent recent high school completers enrolled in 2- or 4-yr college following Oc-tober

White Black Hispanic

SOURCE: NCES, 2014

Page 18: The Public Education Top 10

© Center for Public Education, 2016

Colleges need to think about supports for their growing enrollments• About 60% of first-time freshmen at 4-year colleges earn a BA in six

years

• About 30% of degree/certificate seeking freshmen at 2-year colleges complete the program within 150% of expected time

SOURCE: NCES, 2014

Page 19: The Public Education Top 10

© Center for Public Education, 2016

Top 10 Good Things

# 5 Elementary Secondary Education Act

Page 20: The Public Education Top 10

© Center for Public Education, 2016

ESEA: an historic law

• First passed in 1965, it advanced education as a civil right

• Recognized that poor children needed more resources in order to fulfill American promise of equal opportunity

• 1994 Reauthorization and 2001’s NCLB introduced the expectation that poor children will be taught to the same standards as their peers

Page 21: The Public Education Top 10

© Center for Public Education, 2016

Its new redo: Every Student Succeeds Act

• Passed with significant bipartisan support

• Recognizes the importance of local governance and community ownership of public schools

• Facilitates greater flexibility and local innovation for student achievement

Page 22: The Public Education Top 10

© Center for Public Education, 2016

Its new redo: Every Student Succeeds Act

• Accountability plans drafted by states with local involvement

• AYP and 100% proficiency goal – gone

• ‘Ambitious state-designed long term goals’• State-designed index factors including

academic, non-academic and school factors

• State-designed college-career ready standards

Page 23: The Public Education Top 10

© Center for Public Education, 2016

Top 10 Good Things

# 4 High-level high school course-taking

# 5 Elementary Secondary Education Act

Page 24: The Public Education Top 10

© Center for Public Education, 2016

Many more students take high-level math & science

1990 2000 2005 2009

57

77

4440

71

White African American Latino

percent of high schoolers taking Algebra 2/Trig

SOURCE: NCES, High School Transcript Study 1990–2009; NSF science & engineering indicators, 2012

High school grads now earn an average 3.5 science credits –- up from 2.8 in 1990

70% of the class of 2009 took advanced chemistry

14% had AP/IB science

Page 25: The Public Education Top 10

© Center for Public Education, 2016

Public high schools offer more rigorous choices

• 69% of all public high schools offer AP/IB• 82% offer courses for dual high school/post-secondary credit

• Only 55% of rural high schools have AP/IB• 25% of public schools do not offer chemistry• 11% of public schools do not offer Algebra 1

SOURCES: NCES, 2013 (2010 data); OCR, 2014

Page 26: The Public Education Top 10

© Center for Public Education, 2016

Top 10 Good Things

# 3 Math achievement

# 4 High-level high school course-taking

# 5 Elementary Secondary Education Act

Page 27: The Public Education Top 10

© Center for Public Education, 2016

4th & 8th graders have gained 2+ yrs learning

grade 4 grade 8

29

19

NAEP math gains, 1990-2015Internationally …

4th graders outperformed by only 7 out of 60 participating nations on TIMSS

8th graders outperformed by 6 out of 56 nations

SOURCES: NCES, TIMSSs, 2011; NAEP, 2015

Page 28: The Public Education Top 10

© Center for Public Education, 2016

Math achievement

1972 1980 2005 2014

40 years of SAT math scores1972-2014

509

492

520

513

SOURCE: College Board, Total Group Profile Report, 2012, updated for 2014 data

Test-takers doubled since 1972

More diverse – 51% white

36% had parents with no college

Page 29: The Public Education Top 10

© Center for Public Education, 2016

What about those international rankings?

• US 15-year-olds perform below international average on PISA, which emphasizes problem solving and applications

• Changes in math standards and instruction in recent years may improve our standing in next PISA administrations

Page 30: The Public Education Top 10

© Center for Public Education, 2016

Top 10 Good Things

# 2 High school graduation

# 3 Math achievement

# 4 High-level high school course-taking

# 5 Elementary Secondary Education Act

Page 31: The Public Education Top 10

© Center for Public Education, 2016

High school graduation at all-time high

Series10

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

81.486.6

70.775.2

88.7

69.7

Public high school 4-yr graduation rates

Overall White BlackHispanic Asian/Pacific Islander American Indian/Alaska Native

SOURCE: NCES, adjusted cohort graduation rates, public high schools, 2013

Page 32: The Public Education Top 10

© Center for Public Education, 2016

High school graduation at all-time high

• Gains largely driven by performance of black and Latino students –

rates rose an incredible 7 and 12 points respectively since 2008

• Number of so-called ‘drop out factories’ fell from 2,007 in 2002 to

1,146 in 2013

SOURCES: NCES, 2013; Grad Nation, 2014

Page 33: The Public Education Top 10

© Center for Public Education, 2016

Top 10 Good Things

# 1 Public school still the school of first choice

# 2 High school graduation

# 3 Math achievement

# 4 High-level high school course-taking

# 5 Elementary Secondary Education Act

Page 34: The Public Education Top 10

© Center for Public Education, 2016

The public supports public schools

For 40 years, about 9 in 10 students attended public schools

• 10% of school-age students attend private schools

• 3% are homeschooled

SOURCE: CPE, School Choice, 2015

Page 35: The Public Education Top 10

© Center for Public Education, 2016

The public supports public schoolsPublic schools are not one size fits all!

• 4% of school-age students attend public magnet schools

• 4% are in public charter schools

• 10% are in other public schools of choice

• Uncounted number in-school programs of choice

SOURCE: CPE, School Choice, 2015

Page 36: The Public Education Top 10

© Center for Public Education, 2016

Public Agenda found that most parents don’t want

districts to close neighborhood schools for low

performance. Instead they want leaders to “fix the

school they have.”

Page 37: The Public Education Top 10

© Center for Public Education, 2016

1 Public school is 1st choice

2 High school graduation

3 Math achievement

4 High-level course-taking

5 ESEA

6 College going

7 ELLs and reading

8 High-quality pre-kindergarten

9 Robust data systems

10 Modernized CTE

Top 10 Good Things

Page 38: The Public Education Top 10

© Center for Public Education, 2016

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