the pyramid in context learning provision organisation: key data … · 2019-07-20 · 4 1....

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Contents

The Pyramid in Context

Demographics and Population 4

Ethnicity and Migration 5

Indices of Multiple Deprivation (IMD) 6

Working Tax Credits 7

Free School Meals 7

Birth Data 8

Structure of Learning Provision 9

Academy Status 10

Geographical Map 11

Housing Growth and Schools Capacity (SCAP) 12

Pupil Admission Numbers and Number on Role 12

Capital Projects 17

Pupil Places

Primary School Projections 18

Secondary School Projections 19

Childcare Places and Availability 20

Childcare Projections for Spring Term 23

Local and Borough wide SEND Provision 24

Childcare Costs 26

Learning Provision Organisation: Key Data Report Don Valley Pyramid

Spring 2019 Release

Analysis of school and childcare provision within the Don Valley pyramid.

Final Vs. 02/2019

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Contents 1. Executive Summary ............................................................................................................................. 4

1a. Demographic ................................................................................................................................. 4

1b. Schools .......................................................................................................................................... 4

1c. Childcare and Early Years .............................................................................................................. 5

1d. SEND .............................................................................................................................................. 5

1e. Key Points ...................................................................................................................................... 5

2. The Pyramid in Context ....................................................................................................................... 6

2a. Overview ....................................................................................................................................... 6

2b. Demographics and Population ...................................................................................................... 6

2c. Pyramid Profile .............................................................................................................................. 7

2d. Ethnicity and Migration ................................................................................................................ 7

2e. Indices of Multiple Deprivation (IMD) Overview .......................................................................... 8

2f. Working Tax Credits ....................................................................................................................... 8

2g. Free School Meals (FSM) ............................................................................................................... 8

2h. Birth Trends ................................................................................................................................... 9

2i. Social Care Referrals..................................................................................................................... 10

3. Structure of Learning Provision ........................................................................................................ 11

3a. Locality of Provision .................................................................................................................... 13

3b. Academy Conversions ................................................................................................................. 14

3c. Social Mobility ............................................................................................................................. 15

3d. English as Other Language (EAL) ................................................................................................. 17

3e. Admissions .................................................................................................................................. 19

Secondary (Spring Census 2018) ....................................................................................................... 20

3f. Pupil Absence ............................................................................................................................... 21

3g. Exclusions .................................................................................................................................... 23

4. Pupil Place Planning .......................................................................................................................... 24

4a. Housing Growth and S106 Contributions ................................................................................... 24

5. School Capacity (SCAP) ..................................................................................................................... 27

5a. Primary School Projections ......................................................................................................... 27

5b Primary Totals .............................................................................................................................. 31

5c. Secondary School Projections ..................................................................................................... 33

5d. Contributing Factors ................................................................................................................... 38

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5e. Childcare Places & Availability .................................................................................................... 41

5f. Childcare Projections ................................................................................................................... 45

5g. Capital Projects ........................................................................................................................... 46

5h. SEND Provision ............................................................................................................................ 47

5i. Childcare Costs ............................................................................................................................. 49

6. Early Education Funding .................................................................................................................... 50

6a. 2 Year Old Early Education .......................................................................................................... 50

6b. 3 and 4 Year Old Early Education (Universal/Borough wide) ..................................................... 51

6c. 30 Hours Free Childcare for Eligible 3 and 4 Year Olds (Borough wide) ..................................... 52

6d. Future Plans ................................................................................................................................ 55

7. Parent Feedback ............................................................................................................................... 56

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1. Executive Summary

1a. Demographic

The Don Valley pyramid is located in the North area of Doncaster.

Within this pyramid 91% of the children are white British.

In 2010 the Don Valley pyramid had an IMD of 24.92% and was the 6th most deprived area in Doncaster, 2015 data shows that

Danum IMD has decreased to 24.50% and is now the 5th most deprived area in Doncaster. The Don Valley pyramid is below the

Doncaster average of 35.40% (2015).

Birth rates in the Don Valley pyramid have fallen slightly in the last 2 years.

Within Don Valley 7% of primary pupils and 6% secondary pupils have EAL; the most common first language other than English

locally is Polish followed by Romanian.

There are a number of planned housing developments, totalling 359 dwellings coming to the Don Valley area over the next few

years.

The Don Valley pyramid consists of a range of learning provision types from the school / academy and PVI sector offering a mix of

flexible provision.

1b. Schools

There are 9 schools in the Don Valley pyramid, 7 maintained schools and 2 academies.

There is a program of capital and S106 investment in Doncaster. Within this pyramid four schools have accessed capital funding.

Pupil absence in the pyramid has fluctuated over the past five years, primary absences are below the Doncaster average; however

secondary remain above the Doncaster average.

There was a total of 71 permanent exclusions in Doncaster in 2017/18, 9 of these were within the Don Valley pyramid.

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Projections for the next ten years shows that there are sufficient places across all years and all age groups in primary however

secondary data shows a growing shortfall from 2019/20 on year of entry which increases throughout the following 9 years,

neighbouring secondary schools are also showing similar shortfalls.

1c. Childcare and Early Years

Childcare places are based on summer terms as this shows the highest occupancy throughout the year. In Summer 2018 there

were vacant places in all provision types, and there is childcare available after 6pm and to accommodate shift patterns.

Based on current birth rates and average take up over previous terms data shows that there is a potential for a shortfall of places

for children aged between 5 to 14 years.

Childcare costs within Don Valley are slightly lower than the Doncaster average (with the exception of full day-care) and Yorkshire

and Humber averages.

The take up of 2 year old early education funding borough wide was 80% Autumn 2017, 75% Spring 2018 and 80% Summer 2018.

The take up of the 3 and 4 year old universal provision borough wide has remained at 98% for the previous 2 terms.

The take up of the 30 hours extended entitlement borough wide was 78% in Autumn 2017, 79% in Spring 2018 and 76% in

Summer 2018.

There are no identified concerns from families in the Don Valley area highlighting shortfalls in provision

1d. SEND

There are no special schools in the Don Valley pyramid, however all provision have to meet the requirements of the SEN Code of

Practice and Disability Discrimination Act requirements.

1e. Key Points

Due to the large number of housing developments in the area there will be shortfalls in places within both the primary and

secondary sectors. There are no identified concerns regarding the childcare sector of the Don Valley area.

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2. The Pyramid in Context

2a. Overview

The data within this report aims to provide an overview of the Don Valley pyramid, the available learning provision within the

pyramid and identify any pressures or shortfalls which will form part of the borough wide Learning Provision Organisation Strategy.

The first section gives an overview of the dynamics of the area and then moves onto analysis of pupil place provision.

2b. Demographics and Population

Doncaster is an ambitious borough and very few places in the UK come close to us in terms of delivering major projects over the

last 10 years. These projects are world class and have changed Doncaster considerably, with several more multi-million pound

developments already underway and in the pipeline.

Landmark developments include:

The Great Yorkshire Way Project (FARRS)

iPort

Aero Centre, Yorkshire

Project Unity (DN7)

National Rail College

Institute of Technology

PGA European Tour Development at Rossington Hall

Doncaster Corn Exchange Restoration

Bader School

DUTC

Big Picture Learning

The Urban Centre Master Plan including; City Gateway, Enterprise Market Place, Waterfront, Minster Canal Side, Civic/Business

District, Parklands, Retail Core, Innovation Quarter, Waterfront Phase 2.2c. Pyramid Profile

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2c. Pyramid Profile

The catchment area for Don Valley academy is children from Bentley, Toll Bar, Scawthorpe, York Road, Arksey and Almholme. The pyramid is made up largely of urban Bentley and the more extensive rural and semi-rural neighbourhoods of Arksey, Toll Bar and Almholme. Bentley is a former mining village which lies north west of the river Don and is linked to Doncaster town centre by the new St. George’s Bridge and the North Bridge. Bentley lies within four miles of a motorway junction, it has its own railway station and in respect has good road and rail links with the wider region. The site of the former Bentley colliery has been transformed into the picturesque Bentley Woodland and the Evergreen Housing development now adjoins this reserve. These are clean environment, energy efficient homes. Scawthorpe is mainly residential but Bentley and Scawthorpe have numerous and varied facilities including, doctors, schools, churches, shops, takeaways, public houses, restaurants, a library and parks. Within the York Road area there are some residential dwellings but there are also two very big retail parks and industrial units.

2d. Ethnicity and Migration

This data shows the breakdown of significant ethnicities of the children within the Don Valley pyramid, 91% of the children are

White British. The main nationality of any other white background is Polish.

*Source: School Census Spring 2018

91%

5%White British

Any other WhiteBackground

Gypsy/Roma

Mixed:White/Caribbean

Mixed:White/Asian

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2e. Indices of Multiple Deprivation (IMD) Overview

This data shows a comparison between the 2015 IMD and the 2010 IMD. Don Valley pyramid remains below the Doncaster average and the IMD has slightly decreased by 0.42% since 2010.

2015 IMD 2010 IMD

Pyramid 2015 (1 most deprived, 16

least deprived) Pyramid 2010

(1 most deprived, 16

least deprived)

Don Valley Pyramid 24.50% 5 Don Valley Pyramid 24.92% 6

Doncaster Average 35.40% - Doncaster Average 33.56% -

* Source: 2015 Indices of Multiple Deprivation https://www.gov.uk/government/collections/english-indices-of-deprivation

2f. Working Tax Credits

Percentage take up of the Childcare Element of Working Tax Credits. This take up is higher than the Doncaster and National averages.

School Pyramid Area 2013 - 2014 Tax Year

Don Valley Pyramid 14.56%

Doncaster Average 14.74%

National Average 14.30%

2g. Free School Meals (FSM)

Number of children accessing Free School Meals within the pyramid. Data shows that the Don Valley pyramid has a higher level of FSM take up than the Doncaster average.

School Pyramid Area % FSM

Don Valley Pyramid 21%

Non-geographic* 17%

Doncaster Average 16%

* Non-geographic includes all special schools and PRUs, plus McAuley and XP secondary schools

https://www.gov.uk/government/collections/english-indices-of-deprivation

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2h. Birth Trends

Baseline data for pupil place planning is based on health data. This data identifies children’s residency at time of birth, and is widely

accepted as the most accurate dataset of children residing within the borough. The data shows the birth trends for children residing

in Don Valley at birth against the borough wide trends.

Pyramid

1st September 2013 to 31st August 2014

(Current Reception)


(Current Nursery)



1st September

2017 to 31st

August 2018

Don Valley Pyramid 301 223 308 292 262

Doncaster 3610 2719 3557 3478 3529

*Source: NHS Birth Data September 2018

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

1stSeptember

2013 to 31stAugust 2014

(CurrentReception)

1stSeptember


(CurrentNursery)

1stSeptember


1stSeptember


1stSeptember


Don Valley Pyramid

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

1st September2013 to 31stAugust 2014

(CurrentReception)


(CurrentNursery)




Doncaster

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2i. Social Care Referrals

The data below shows the number of children who are subject to a Social Care Referral and the category they fall into.

January 2018 Children in

Care

Children in

Need

Child

Protection February 2018

Children in

Care

Children in

Need

Child

Protection

Don Valley

Pyramid 35 177 9

Don Valley

Pyramid 32 150 17

% of Borough

wide total 10 9 2

% of Borough

wide total 9 8 4

Doncaster Total 348 1878 371 Doncaster Total 343 1840 393

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3. Structure of Learning Provision The following pages set out the context of the local provision within the Don Valley pyramid. Below is a table showing all the provision by type.

Secondary School Don Valley Academy

Infant Schools None

Junior Schools None

Primary Schools Arksey Primary School

Bentley High Street Primary School

Bentley New Village Primary School

Kirkby Avenue Primary School

Scawthorpe Castle Hills Primary School

Scawthorpe Sunnyfields Primary School

Toll Bar Primary School

Our Lady of Perpetual Help Catholic School

Special Schools

Alternative Provision (PRU’s)

School Nurseries Bentley High Street Primary School


Our Lady of Perpetual Help Catholic Primary School





Full Day-care Provider (PVI Sector Nurseries) Smiley Faces Day Nursery

Danum Daisies

Sessional Care Providers / Pre-School

Playgroups Arksey Willows

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Out of School Provision (Breakfast Clubs, After

School Care and Holiday Schemes) Arksey Primary School


Castle Hills Primary School






Buddies out of School (Sunnyfields)

Childminders 21 Childminders

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3a. Locality of Provision To help to visualise the local provision the map below shows the geographical location of each provision from both the School / Academy and

PVI Sector. The exception is that childminders are not plotted. Although they work to the same Ofsted standards as all childcare provision they

operate from their home address and therefore are summarised within the key. The pyramid is 2 square miles in size.

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3b. Academy Conversions There has been a drive in recent years for schools to convert to academy status. Academies are independent, state-funded schools, which

receive their funding directly from central government, rather than through the local authority.

In Doncaster 54% of schools have converted to academies. This includes all of our secondary schools.

In Don Valley, two schools have converted.

Maintained Schools Academies

Arksey Primary School Bentley High Street Primary School

Bentley New Village Primary School Don Valley Academy






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3c. Social Mobility The data below shows the most common moves out of pyramid schools and their destination school outside of the usual leaving point over a 2

year period for academic years 2016/17 and 2017/18.

School Name Stable

Places

Joined

In

Year

Left

In

Year

1st Most Common

Destination

2nd Most Common

Destination

3rd Most Common

Destination

Arksey Primary 84 23 23 OOA (13) Bentley High Street

Primary (3) Hatchell Wood Primary (2)

Bentley High Street

Primary 460 67 69 OOA (28) Our Lady of Perpetual

Help Catholic Primary (5) Carr Lodge Academy (3)

Bentley New Village

Primary

269 49 66 OOA (13) Bentley High Street

Primary (8) Toll Bar Primary (5)

Kirkby Avenue Primary 323 78 41 OOA (14) Adwick Primary (3) Bentley High Street Primary

(3)

Scawthorpe Castle

Hills Primary 253 45 29 OOA (7) Kirkby Avenue Primary

(4)

Scawsby Rosedale Primary

(3)

Scawthorpe

Sunnyfields Primary 320 16 17 OOA (8) Our Lady of Perpetual

Help Catholic Primary (2) Willow Primary (1)

Toll Bar Primary 179 36 52 OOA (35) Carcroft Primary (2) Kirkby Avenue Primary (2)

Our Lady of Perpetual

Help Catholic Primary 132 30 19

Scawthorpe Castle Hills

Primary (3)

St Joseph & St Teresa's

Catholic Primary (3)

OOA (2)

Don Valley Academy 1028 105 184 OOA (124) St Wilfrid’s Academy (16) Outwood Academy Adwick

(9)

Pyramid Total 3,048 449 500

Doncaster Total 48,746 5,762 5,792

* Schools denoted with an asterisk identify where a pupil has moved from a Doncaster school to an out of area school then returned to their original Doncaster school.

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82%

18%

Primary Movement Within or Outside of Pyramid

Out of Pyramid Within Pyramid

85%

15%

Mobility Vs Stable Secondary Pupils

Secondary School Total Stable Secondary School Left

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3d. English as Other Language (EAL) Within the Don Valley pyramid 7% of the primary pupils and 6% of the secondary pupils are EAL. The Doncaster total shows that 9% of primary

pupils and 6% of secondary pupils are EAL; therefore Don Valley is below the borough wide average. The data below shows most common first

languages (other than English) within this pyramid compared to borough wide:

Primary

Don Valley Pyramid Borough wide

Polish 47 Polish 893

Romanian 15 Romanian 205

Turkish 13 Urdu 164

Lithuanian 10 Kurdish 136

Chinese 7 Slovakian 136

Secondary

Don Valley Pyramid Borough wide

Polish 35 Polish 701

Romanian 20 Romanian 217

Lithuanian 8 Urdu 126

Turkish 7 Slovakian 114

Italian 6 Punjabi 110

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School EMTAS Support Languages Supported

Arksey Primary School Partial Periodic traveller support in English only

Bentley High Street Primary School No

Bentley New Village Primary School No

Kirkby Avenue Primary School Yes Polish, Romanian, Turkish

Scawthorpe Castle Hills Primary School No

Scawthorpe Sunnyfields Primary School No

Toll Bar Primary School No

Our Lady of Perpetual Help Catholic Primary No

Don Valley Academy Yes Chinese Mandarin, Lithuanian, Romanian, Italian, Turkish. Annual support with First Language exams, languages pending school requirements

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3e. Admissions

The data below shows the non-catchment children on role and their identified catchment school.

Primary (Spring Census 2018)

School % Attending from out of Catchment

Catchment School

Catchment School

Catchment School

Catchment School

Catchment School

Arksey Primary 34% Bentley New Village

Primary (9)

Bentley High

Street Primary (6)

Toll Bar Primary

(5)

Askern Moss

Road Infant (3)

Scawthorpe Castle

Hills (2)

Bentley High Street

Primary 52%

Bentley New Village

Primary (94)

Kirkby Avenue

Primary (24)

Scawthorpe

Sunnyfields

Primary (16)

Scawthorpe

Castle Hills

Primary (14)

Arksey Primary (13)

Bentley New Village

Primary 16%

Bentley High Street

Primary (27)

Toll Bar Primary

(6)

Adwick Primary

(2)

Scawthorpe

Castle Hills

Primary (1)

Scawthorpe

Sunnyfields Primary

(1)

Kirkby Avenue Primary 53% Bentley High Street

Primary (75)

Bentley New

Village Primary

(13)

Borderline (12)

Scawthorpe

Sunnyfields

Primary (6)

Town Field Primary

(6)

Scawthorpe Castle Hills

Primary 32%

Scawthorpe

Sunnyfields Primary

(25)

Bentley High

Street Primary

(12)

Bentley New

Village Primary

(11)

Highfields Primary

Academy (7) Rosedale Primary (5)

Scawthorpe

Sunnyfields Primary 53%

Scawthorpe Castle

Hills Primary (66)

Scawsby

Saltersgate Infant

(12)

Borderline (11) Woodlands

Primary (8) Rosedale Primary (6)

Toll Bar Primary 43% Bentley New Village

Primary (56)

Arksey Primary

(7)

Littlemoor

Children’s Centre

and School (3)

Askern Moss

Road Infant (3)

Kingfisher Primary

Academy (2)

Our Lady of Perpetual

Help Catholic Primary

School

VA Schools are borough wide and do not have an allocated catchment area

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Secondary (Spring Census 2018)

Catchment School

% Attending

from out of Catchment

Catchment School

Catchment School

Catchment School

Catchment School

Catchment School

Don Valley Academy 18% Outwood

Academy Adwick (121)

Ridgewood School (34)

Hall Cross

Academy (10) Astrea Academy Woodfields (5)

Ash Hill Academy (4)

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3f. Pupil Absence

The table below shows a 5 year trend for authorised and unauthorised absences by Primary and Secondary.

Primary

2016/17 2015/16 2014/15 2013/14 2012/13

Auth Unauth Total Auth Unauth Total Auth Unauth Total Auth Unauth Total Auth Unauth Total

Arksey

Primary 3.3 0.5 3.8 3.8 1.7 5.4 4.5 0.6 5.1 4.3 0.9 5.2 5.5 2.2 7.7

Bentley High

Street Primary 3.3 1.5 4.8 3.5 1.2 4.7 3.2 0.8 4.0 3.2 0.4 3.6 4.3 0.7 5.0

Bentley New

Village Primary 4.6 1.6 6.2 3.6 2.2 5.8 3.7 1.9 5.6 4.9 1.5 6.4 5.1 0.6 5.6

Kirkby Avenue

Primary 3.4 1.3 4.7 2.5 1.4 3.9 2.6 1.2 3.8 3.3 0.8 4.0 3.6 0.4 4.1

Scawthorpe

Castle Hills

Primary

2.6 1.5 4.1 2.9 1.0 3.9 3.1 0.7 3.8 2.6 0.7 3.3 3.3 1.1 4.4

Scawthorpe

Sunnyfields

Primary

2.6 0.9 3.5 2.9 0.6 3.5 3.4 0.9 4.3 2.4 0.3 2.7 3.4 0.6 4.0

Toll Bar

Primary 3.7 4.6 8.4 5.2 3.4 8.6 6.4 2.9 9.4 7.3 3.3 10.7 6.9 2.2 9.1

Our Lady of

Perpetual Help

Catholic

School

2.8 0.8 3.7 2.4 1.8 4.2 3.8 1.7 5.6 4.0 1.6 5.5 5.8 1.1 6.9

Don Valley 4.9% 3.3% 1.5% 4.8% 3.6% 1.2% 4.8% 3.8% 1.0% 4.8% 4.5% 0.9% 5.4% 4.9% 3.3%

Doncaster 3.0% 1.2% 4.2% 3.0% 1.1% 4.1% 3.0% 1.1% 4.1% 3.1% 0.9% 4.0% 4.2% 1.0% 5.1%

National 3.1% 0.9% 4.0% 3.2% 0.8% 3.9% 3.3% 0.7% 4.0% 3.2% 0.7% 3.9% 4.1% 0.7% 4.8%

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The data shows that primary absences overall are below the Doncaster average and secondary absences overall are above the

Doncaster Average, however, all unauthorised absences are higher than both the Doncaster and National average.

Secondary

2016/17 2015/16 2014/15 2013/14 2012/13

Auth Unauth Total Auth Unauth Total Auth Unauth Total Auth Unauth Total Auth Unauth Total

Don Valley 5.4 2.3 7.7 4.5 1.6 6.0 4.4 1.0 5.4 4.5 1.5 6.0 5.5 1.6 7.1

Doncaster 4.1% 2.5% 6.6% 3.8% 2.1% 5.9% 3.6% 2.0% 5.7% 3.7% 1.9% 5.6% 4.6% 1.9% 6.5%

National 3.8% 1.3% 5.2% 3.8% 1.2% 5.0% 4.0% 1.2% 5.2% 3.9% 1.2% 5.1% 4.6% 1.2% 5.8%

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3g. Exclusions

This data summarises the number of permanent exclusions.

School Name Number of Permanent Exclusions

2017/18

Bentley New Village Primary School 1

Don Valley Academy 8

Pyramid Total 9

Doncaster Total 71

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4. Pupil Place Planning

4a. Housing Growth and S106 Contributions The annual SCAP return requires each local authority to aggregate birth and housing growth data into pupil yields and pupil projections alongside actual pupil numbers. The birth and housing data can, for interested parties, be shown separately. The following represents this combined data for the Don Valley area from the 2017 SCAP return to DfE.

The housing element projects the number of additional children from the proposed developments using this formula:

4 to 10 year old children (Year groups R to 6) = 21 children (3 per year group) per 100 planned dwellings

11 to 16 year old children (Year groups 7 to 11) = 15 children (3 per year group) per 100 planned dwellings Current applications contributing to housing growth in the Don Valley pyramid (as at Sept 17)

Arksey Primary School

Application Decision Development Proposal No. of Dwellings

Proposed

Granted Land to rear of Brook House Farm, Station

Road

Retrospective app for erection of 10

dwellings 10

Total 10



Proposed

Granted (Subject to

S106) Former Bentley Colliery Residential development on 0.9ha of land 33

Granted Land to north of Gowdall Green Erection of 2 houses and 8 flats 10

Awaiting Decision

Land off Malton Way, south of McDonald's

and north of Destiny Phase One (Stretton

Street

Proposed residential development for the

erection of 31 dwellings

31

Total 54

25



Proposed

Granted (Subject to

S106) Bentley House, Jossey Lane 80 dwellings 80

Total 80



Proposed

Granted subject to S106 Former Youth Club, Kirkby Avenue

Erection of two blocks of 4 three-bed

dwellings, one block of 4 one-bed

apartments including boundary walls and

formation of private access drive

10

Total 10



Proposed

Granted (Subject to

S106)

Doncaster Industrial Park, Watch House

Lane

Outline application for the demolition of

existing buildings and redevelopment of up

to 166 dwellings

166

Granted - Reserved

Matters Approved

Doncaster Industrial Park, Watch House

Lane

Details of appearance, landscaping, layout

and scale for erection of up to 28 dwellings

in outline (being matters reserves in outline

application previously granted permission

under ref 13/01905/OUTM)

28

Total 194

26



Proposed

Awaiting Decision

Toll Bar Central Club, Askern Road

Erection of 11 dwellings on 0.37ha of land

following demolition of existing social club

11

Total 11

Pyramid Grand Totals

Locality Number of Proposed Developments

Pyramid Total 359

Final Overview of Status

Catchment Primary Schools Application Decision

6 Schools Affected

3 Granted

4 Subject to Section 106

2 Awaiting Decision

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5. School Capacity (SCAP)

Below are the projected school places which were submitted in the 2018 SCAP survey. Primary Places are projected for 10 years

including the current year due to the children starting school at 5 years, and secondary places are projected beyond this point due

to the age of the children. The row titled CAP shows the capacity within each year group. Where cells are highlighted red, this is

due to the projected capacity exceeding the actual places available.

5a. Primary School Projections

YEAR CAP ALLCAP R

PA

N-N

OR

1

PA

N-N

OR

2

PA

N-N

OR

3

PA

N-N

OR

4

PA

N-N

OR

5

PA

N-N

OR

6

PA

N-N

OR

SUB BAL


2018/19 60 420 62 -2 59 1 59 1 59 1 52 8 54 6 59 1 404 16

2019/20 60 420 65 -5 62 -2 59 1 59 1 59 1 52 8 54 6 410 10

2020/21 60 420 51 9 65 -5 62 -2 59 1 59 1 59 1 52 8 407 13

2021/22 60 420 59 1 51 9 65 -5 62 -2 59 1 59 1 59 1 414 6

2022/23 60 420 49 11 59 1 51 9 65 -5 62 -2 59 1 59 1 404 16

2023/24 60 420 43 17 49 11 59 1 51 9 65 -5 62 -2 59 1 388 32

2024/25 60 420 51 9 51 9 49 11 59 1 51 9 65 -5 62 -2 388 32

2025/26 60 420 51 9 51 9 51 9 49 11 59 1 51 9 65 -5 377 43

2026/27 60 420 49 11 51 9 51 9 51 9 49 11 59 1 51 9 361 59

2027/28 60 420 48 12 49 11 51 9 51 9 51 9 49 11 59 1 358 62

2028/29 60 420 50 10 48 12 49 11 51 9 51 9 51 9 49 11 349 71

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YEAR CAP ALLCAP R

PA

N-N

OR

1

PA

N-N

OR

2

PA

N-N

OR

3

PA

N-N

OR

4

PA

N-N

OR

5

PA

N-N

OR

6

PA

N-N

OR

SUB BAL


2018/19 50 350 42 8 49 1 44 6 54 -4 49 1 45 5 42 8 325 25

2019/20 50 350 52 -2 42 8 49 1 44 6 54 -4 49 1 45 5 335 15

2020/21 50 350 52 -2 52 -2 42 8 49 1 44 6 54 -4 49 1 342 8

2021/22 50 350 45 5 52 -2 52 -2 42 8 49 1 44 6 54 -4 338 12

2022/23 50 350 54 -4 45 5 52 -2 52 -2 42 8 49 1 44 6 338 12

2023/24 50 350 29 21 54 -4 45 5 52 -2 52 -2 42 8 49 1 323 27

2024/25 50 350 45 5 29 21 54 -4 45 5 52 -2 52 -2 42 8 319 31

2025/26 50 350 44 6 45 5 29 21 54 -4 45 5 52 -2 52 -2 321 29

2026/27 50 350 43 7 44 6 45 5 29 21 54 -4 45 5 52 -2 312 38

2027/28 50 350 41 9 43 7 44 6 45 5 29 21 54 -4 45 5 301 49

2028/29 50 350 43 7 41 9 43 7 44 6 45 5 29 21 54 -4 299 51


2018/19 50 350 39 11 44 6 35 15 37 13 30 20 32 18 33 17 250 100

2019/20 50 350 44 6 39 11 44 6 35 15 37 13 30 20 34 16 263 87

2020/21 50 350 36 14 44 6 39 11 44 6 35 15 37 13 30 20 265 85

2021/22 50 350 36 14 36 14 44 6 39 11 44 6 35 15 37 13 271 79

2022/23 50 350 34 16 36 14 36 14 44 6 39 11 44 6 35 15 268 82

2023/24 50 350 42 8 34 16 36 14 36 14 44 6 39 11 44 6 275 75

2024/25 50 350 37 13 42 8 34 16 36 14 36 14 44 6 39 11 268 82

2025/26 50 350 38 12 37 13 42 8 34 16 36 14 36 14 44 6 267 83

2026/27 50 350 38 12 38 12 37 13 42 8 34 16 36 14 36 14 261 89

2027/28 50 350 39 11 38 12 38 12 37 13 42 8 34 16 36 14 264 86

2028/29 50 350 38 12 39 11 38 12 38 12 37 13 42 8 34 16 266 84

29

YEAR CAP ALLCAP R

PA

N-N

OR

1

PA

N-N

OR

2

PA

N-N

OR

3

PA

N-N

OR

4

PA

N-N

OR

5

PA

N-N

OR

6

PA

N-N

OR

SUB BAL


2018/19 45 315 44 1 38 7 37 8 22 23 33 12 36 9 35 10 245 70

2019/20 45 315 29 16 44 1 38 7 37 8 22 23 33 12 37 8 240 75

2020/21 45 315 26 19 29 16 44 1 38 7 37 8 22 23 33 12 229 86

2021/22 45 315 30 15 26 19 29 16 44 1 38 7 37 8 22 23 226 89

2022/23 45 315 31 14 30 15 26 19 29 16 44 1 38 7 37 8 235 80

2023/24 45 315 21 24 31 14 30 15 26 19 29 16 44 1 38 7 219 96

2024/25 45 315 27 18 21 24 31 14 30 15 26 19 29 16 44 1 208 107

2025/26 45 315 28 17 27 18 21 24 31 14 30 15 26 19 29 16 192 123

2026/27 45 315 27 18 28 17 27 18 21 24 31 14 30 15 26 19 190 125

2027/28 45 315 26 19 27 18 28 17 27 18 21 24 31 14 30 15 190 125

2028/29 45 315 27 18 26 19 27 18 28 17 27 18 21 24 31 14 187 128

Arksey Primary School

2018/19 20 140 0 20 14 6 14 6 10 10 11 9 13 7 11 9 73 67

2019/20 20 140 4 16 0 20 14 6 14 6 10 10 11 9 13 7 66 74

2020/21 20 140 5 15 4 16 0 20 14 6 14 6 10 10 11 9 58 82

2021/22 20 140 11 9 5 15 4 16 0 20 14 6 14 6 10 10 58 82

2022/23 20 140 10 10 11 9 5 15 4 16 0 20 14 6 14 6 58 82

2023/24 20 140 9 11 10 10 11 9 5 15 4 16 0 20 14 6 53 87

2024/25 20 140 9 11 9 11 10 10 11 9 5 15 4 16 0 20 48 92

2025/26 20 140 10 10 9 11 9 11 10 10 11 9 5 15 4 16 58 82

2026/27 20 140 10 10 10 10 9 11 9 11 10 10 11 9 5 15 64 76

2027/28 20 140 9 11 10 10 10 10 9 11 9 11 10 10 11 9 68 72

2028/29 20 140 10 10 9 11 10 10 10 10 9 11 9 11 10 10 67 73

30

YEAR CAP ALLCAP R

PA

N-N

OR

1

PA

N-N

OR

2

PA

N-N

OR

3

PA

N-N

OR

4

PA

N-N

OR

5

PA

N-N

OR

6

PA

N-N

OR

SUB BAL


2018/19 30 210 20 10 30 0 31 -1 22 8 29 1 21 9 24 6 177 33

2019/20 30 210 18 12 20 10 30 0 31 -1 22 8 29 1 21 9 171 39

2020/21 30 210 26 4 18 12 20 10 30 0 31 -1 22 8 29 1 176 34

2021/22 30 210 21 9 26 4 18 12 20 10 30 0 31 -1 22 8 168 42

2022/23 30 210 21 9 21 9 26 4 18 12 20 10 30 0 31 -1 167 43

2023/24 30 210 25 5 21 9 21 9 26 4 18 12 20 10 30 0 161 49

2024/25 30 210 24 6 25 5 21 9 21 9 26 4 18 12 20 10 155 55

2025/26 30 210 23 7 24 6 25 5 21 9 21 9 26 4 18 12 158 52

2026/27 30 210 24 6 23 7 24 6 25 5 21 9 21 9 26 4 164 46

2027/28 30 210 24 6 24 6 23 7 24 6 25 5 21 9 21 9 162 48

2028/29 30 210 24 6 24 6 24 6 23 7 24 6 25 5 21 9 165 45


2018/19 40 280 40 0 38 2 40 0 41 -1 39 1 37 3 37 3 272 8

2019/20 40 280 50 -10 43 -3 41 -1 43 -3 44 -4 42 -2 40 0 303 -23

2020/21 40 280 57 -17 53 -13 46 -6 44 -4 46 -6 47 -7 45 -5 338 -58

2021/22 40 280 43 -3 60 -20 56 -16 49 -9 47 -7 49 -9 52 -12 356 -76

2022/23 40 280 37 3 46 -6 63 -23 59 -19 52 -12 50 -10 52 -12 359 -79

2023/24 40 280 48 -8 34 6 40 0 54 -14 47 -7 40 0 38 2 301 -21

2024/25 40 280 44 -4 48 -8 34 6 40 0 54 -14 47 -7 40 0 307 -27

2025/26 40 280 41 -1 44 -4 48 -8 34 6 40 0 54 -14 47 -7 308 -28

2026/27 40 280 42 -2 41 -1 44 -4 48 -8 34 6 40 0 54 -14 303 -23

2027/28 40 280 44 -4 42 -2 41 -1 44 -4 48 -8 34 6 40 0 293 -13

2028/29 40 280 43 -3 44 -4 42 -2 41 -1 44 -4 48 -8 34 6 296 -16

31

YEAR CAP ALLCAP R

PA

N-

NO

R

1

PA

N-

NO

R

2

PA

N-

NO

R

3

PA

N-

NO

R

4

PA

N-

NO

R

5

PA

N-

NO

R

6

PA

N-

NO

R

SUB BAL


2018/19 21 147 22 -1 16 5 20 1 19 2 16 5 16 5 17 4 126 21

2019/20 21 147 20 1 22 -1 16 5 20 1 19 2 16 5 16 5 129 18

2020/21 21 147 18 3 20 1 22 -1 16 5 20 1 19 2 16 5 131 16

2021/22 21 147 18 3 18 3 20 1 22 -1 16 5 20 1 19 2 133 14

2022/23 21 147 17 4 18 3 18 3 20 1 22 -1 16 5 20 1 131 16

2023/24 21 147 19 2 17 4 18 3 18 3 20 1 22 -1 16 5 130 17

2024/25 21 147 19 2 19 2 17 4 18 3 18 3 20 1 22 -1 133 14

2025/26 21 147 19 2 19 2 19 2 17 4 18 3 18 3 20 1 130 17

2026/27 21 147 19 2 19 2 19 2 19 2 17 4 18 3 18 3 129 18

2027/28 21 147 17 4 19 2 19 2 19 2 19 2 17 4 18 3 128 19

2028/29 21 147 18 3 17 4 19 2 19 2 19 2 19 2 17 4 128 19

5b Primary Totals

YEAR CAP ALLCAP R

PA

N-

NO

R

1 P

AN

-

NO

R

2

PA

N-

NO

R

3

PA

N-

NO

R

4

PA

N-

NO

R

5

PA

N-

NO

R

6

PA

N-

NO

R

SUB BAL

2018/19 316 2212 269 47 288 28 280 36 264 52 259 57 254 62 258 58 1872 340

2019/20 316 2212 282 34 272 44 291 25 283 33 267 49 262 54 260 56 1917 295

2020/21 316 2212 271 45 285 31 275 41 294 22 286 30 270 46 265 51 1946 266

2021/22 316 2212 263 53 274 42 288 28 278 38 297 19 289 27 275 41 1964 248

2022/23 316 2212 253 63 266 50 277 39 291 25 281 35 300 16 292 24 1960 252

2023/24 316 2212 236 80 250 66 260 56 268 48 279 37 269 47 288 28 1850 362

2024/25 316 2212 256 60 244 72 250 66 260 56 268 48 279 37 269 47 1826 386

2025/26 316 2212 254 62 256 60 244 72 250 66 260 56 268 48 279 37 1811 401

2026/27 316 2212 252 64 254 62 256 60 244 72 250 66 260 56 268 48 1784 428

2027/28 316 2212 248 68 252 64 254 62 256 60 244 72 250 66 260 56 1764 448

2028/29 316 2212 253 63 248 68 252 64 254 62 256 60 244 72 250 66 1757 455

32

Births from New Housing - Based on 5 projected births per 100 dwellings (2019 births onwards) - 3 Pupils based on 269 Dwellings over 5 years

YEAR CAP ALLCAP R

PA

N-

NO

R

1

PA

N-

NO

R

2

PA

N-

NO

R

3

PA

N-

NO

R

4

PA

N-

NO

R

5

PA

N-

NO

R

6

PA

N-

NO

R

SUB BAL

2018/19 0

2019/20 0

2020/21 0

2021/22 0

2022/23 0

2023/24 0

2024/25 3 3

2025/26 3 3 6

2026/27 3 3 3 9

2027/28 3 3 3 3 12

2028/29 3 3 3 3 3 15

Primary Totals with Projected births - Based on 5 projected births per 100 dwellings (2019 births onwards) - 3 Pupils based on 269 Dwellings over 5 years

YEAR CAP ALLCAP R

PA

N-

NO

R

1 P

AN

-

NO

R

2

PA

N-

NO

R

3

PA

N-

NO

R

4

PA

N-

NO

R

5

PA

N-

NO

R

6

PA

N-

NO

R

SUB BAL

2018/19 316 2212 269 47 288 28 280 36 264 52 259 57 254 62 258 58 1035 1177

2019/20 316 2212 282 34 272 44 291 25 283 33 267 49 262 54 260 56 1072 1140

2020/21 316 2212 271 45 285 31 275 41 294 22 286 30 270 46 265 51 1115 1097

2021/22 316 2212 263 53 274 42 288 28 278 38 297 19 289 27 275 41 1139 1073

2022/23 316 2212 253 63 266 50 277 39 291 25 281 35 300 16 292 24 1164 1048

2023/24 316 2212 236 80 250 66 260 56 268 48 279 37 269 47 288 28 1104 1108

2024/25 316 2212 259 57 244 72 250 66 260 56 268 48 279 37 269 47 1076 1136

2025/26 316 2212 257 59 259 57 244 72 250 66 260 56 268 48 279 37 1057 1155

2026/27 316 2212 255 61 257 59 259 57 244 72 250 66 260 56 268 48 1022 1190

2027/28 316 2212 251 65 255 61 257 59 259 57 244 72 250 66 260 56 1013 1199

2028/29 316 2212 256 60 251 65 255 61 257 59 259 57 244 72 250 66 1010 1202

33

Primary Overview

Primary data shows that overall there are sufficient places within the pyramid.

5c. Secondary School Projections

Secondary Totals (With Housing)

YEAR CAP ALL CAP

7

PA

N-

NO

R

8

PA

N-

NO

R

9

PA

N-

NO

R

10

PA

N-

NO

R

11

PA

N-

NO

R

SUB BAL 12 13 14 6TH

2018/19 224 1120 199 25 212 12 184 40 163 61 154 70 912 208 74 49 0 123

2019/20 224 1120 227 -3 202 22 215 9 187 37 166 58 997 123 84 49 0 133

2020/21 224 1120 240 -16 230 -6 205 19 218 6 190 34 1083 37 94 56 0 150

2021/22 224 1120 241 -17 243 -19 233 -9 208 16 221 3 1146 -26 100 63 0 163

2022/23 224 1120 238 -14 244 -20 246 -22 236 -12 211 13 1175 -55 120 67 0 187

2023/24 224 1120 247 -23 241 -17 247 -23 249 -25 239 -15 1223 -103 115 80 0 195

2024/25 224 1120 254 -30 247 -23 241 -17 247 -23 249 -25 1238 -118 133 77 0 210

2025/26 224 1120 261 -37 254 -30 247 -23 241 -17 247 -23 1250 -130 133 89 0 222

2026/27 224 1120 249 -25 261 -37 254 -30 247 -23 241 -17 1252 -132 129 89 0 218

2027/28 224 1120 252 -28 249 -25 261 -37 254 -30 247 -23 1263 -143 133 86 0 219

2028/29 224 1120 254 -30 252 -28 249 -25 261 -37 254 -30 1270 -150 136 89 0 225

34

Pupils potentially displaced from Adwick back to Don Valley

YEAR CAP ALL CAP

7

PA

N-

NO

R

8

PA

N-

NO

R

9

PA

N-

NO

R

10

PA

N-

NO

R

11

PA

N-

NO

R


2018/19 0

2019/20 0

2020/21 8 8

2021/22 8 8 16

2022/23 8 8 8 24

2023/24 8 8 8 8 32

2024/25 8 8 8 8 8 40

2025/26 8 8 8 8 8 40

2026/27 8 8 8 8 8 40

2027/28 8 8 8 8 8 40

2028/29 8 8 8 8 8 40

Pupils potentially displaced from Campsmount back to Don Valley

YEAR CAP ALL CAP

7

PA

N-

NO

R

8 P

AN

-

NO

R

9

PA

N-

NO

R

10

PA

N-

NO

R

11

PA

N-

NO

R


2018/19 0

2019/20 0

2020/21 2 2

2021/22 2 2 4

2022/23 2 2 2 6

2023/24 2 2 2 2 8

2024/25 2 2 2 2 2 10

2025/26 2 2 2 2 2 10

2026/27 2 2 2 2 2 10

2027/28 2 2 2 2 2 10

2028/29 2 2 2 2 2 10

35

Pupils potentially displaced from Ridgewood back to Don Valley

YEAR CAP ALL CAP

7

PA

N-

NO

R

8

PA

N-

NO

R

9

PA

N-

NO

R

10

PA

N-

NO

R

11

PA

N-

NO

R


2018/19 0

2019/20 0

2020/21 36 36

2021/22 36 36 72

2022/23 36 36 36 108

2023/24 36 36 36 36 144

2024/25 36 36 36 36 36 180

2025/26 36 36 36 36 36 180

2026/27 36 36 36 36 36 180

2027/28 36 36 36 36 36 180

2028/29 36 36 36 36 36 180

Don Valley with Displaced pupils

YEAR CAP ALL CAP

7

PA

N-

NO

R

8 P

AN

-

NO

R

9

PA

N-

NO

R

10

PA

N-

NO

R

11

PA

N-

NO

R


2018/19 224 1120 199 25 212 12 184 40 163 61 154 70 912 208

2019/20 224 1120 227 -3 202 22 215 9 187 37 166 58 997 123

2020/21 224 1120 286 -62 230 -6 205 19 218 6 190 34 1129 -9

2021/22 224 1120 287 -63 289 -65 233 -9 208 16 221 3 1238 -118

2022/23 224 1120 284 -60 290 -66 292 -68 236 -12 211 13 1313 -193

2023/24 224 1120 293 -69 287 -63 293 -69 295 -71 239 -15 1407 -287

2024/25 224 1120 300 -76 293 -69 287 -63 293 -69 295 -71 1468 -348

2025/26 224 1120 307 -83 300 -76 293 -69 287 -63 293 -69 1480 -360

2026/27 224 1120 295 -71 307 -83 300 -76 293 -69 287 -63 1482 -362

2027/28 224 1120 298 -74 295 -71 307 -83 300 -76 293 -69 1493 -373

2028/29 224 1120 300 -76 298 -74 295 -71 307 -83 300 -76 1500 -380

36

Pupils Don Valley would displace back to Adwick

YEAR CAP ALL CAP

7

PA

N-

NO

R

8

PA

N-

NO

R

9

PA

N-

NO

R

10

PA

N-

NO

R

11

PA

N-

NO

R


2018/19 0

2019/20 0

2020/21 22 22

2021/22 22 22 44

2022/23 22 22 22 66

2023/24 22 22 22 22 88

2024/25 22 22 22 22 22 110

2025/26 22 22 22 22 22 110

2026/27 22 22 22 22 22 110

2027/28 22 22 22 22 22 110

2028/29 22 22 22 22 22 110

Pupils Don Valley would displace back to Campsmount

YEAR CAP ALL CAP

7

PA

N-

NO

R

8 P

AN

-

NO

R

9

PA

N-

NO

R

10

PA

N-

NO

R

11

PA

N-

NO

R


2018/19 0

2019/20 0

2020/21 2 2

2021/22 2 2 4

2022/23 2 2 2 6

2023/24 2 2 2 2 8

2024/25 2 2 2 2 2 10

2025/26 2 2 2 2 2 10

2026/27 2 2 2 2 2 10

2027/28 2 2 2 2 2 10

2028/29 2 2 2 2 2 10

37

Pupils Don Valley would displace back to Ridgewood

YEAR CAP ALL CAP

7

PA

N-

NO

R

8

PA

N-

NO

R

9

PA

N-

NO

R

10

PA

N-

NO

R

11

PA

N-

NO

R


2018/19 0

2019/20 0

2020/21 6 6

2021/22 6 6 12

2022/23 6 6 6 18

2023/24 6 6 6 6 24

2024/25 6 6 6 6 6 30

2025/26 6 6 6 6 6 30

2026/27 6 6 6 6 6 30

2027/28 6 6 6 6 6 30

2028/29 6 6 6 6 6 30

Don Valley with Adwick, Campsmount and Ridgewood Pupils displaced and its own pupils back from the same academies

YEAR CAP ALL CAP

7

PA

N-

NO

R

8 P

AN

-

NO

R

9

PA

N-

NO

R

10

PA

N-

NO

R

11

PA

N-

NO

R


2018/19 210 1050 199 11 212 -2 184 26 163 47 154 56 912 138

2019/20 210 1050 227 -17 202 8 215 -5 187 23 166 44 997 53

2020/21 210 1050 256 -46 230 -20 205 5 218 -8 190 20 1099 -49

2021/22 210 1050 257 -47 259 -49 233 -23 208 2 221 -11 1178 -128

2022/23 210 1050 254 -44 260 -50 262 -52 236 -26 211 -1 1223 -173

2023/24 210 1050 263 -53 257 -47 263 -53 265 -55 239 -29 1287 -237

2024/25 210 1050 270 -60 263 -53 257 -47 263 -53 265 -55 1318 -268

2025/26 210 1050 277 -67 270 -60 263 -53 257 -47 263 -53 1330 -280

2026/27 210 1050 265 -55 277 -67 270 -60 263 -53 257 -47 1332 -282

2027/28 210 1050 268 -58 265 -55 277 -67 270 -60 263 -53 1343 -293

2028/29 210 1050 270 -60 268 -58 265 -55 277 -67 270 -60 1350 -300

38

5d. Contributing Factors

Adwick Secondary Totals

YEAR CAP ALL CAP

7

PA

N-

NO

R

8

PA

N-

NO

R

9

PA

N-

NO

R

10

PA

N-

NO

R

11

PA

N-

NO

R


2018/19 210 1050 209 1 209 1 203 7 196 14 196 14 1013 37 58 35 0 93

2019/20 210 1050 211 -1 210 0 210 0 204 6 197 13 1032 18 72 36 0 108

2020/21 210 1050 225 -15 212 -2 211 -1 211 -1 205 5 1064 -14 71 44 0 115

2021/22 210 1050 227 -17 226 -16 213 -3 212 -2 212 -2 1090 -40 73 44 0 117

2022/23 210 1050 222 -12 228 -18 227 -17 214 -4 213 -3 1104 -54 76 45 0 121

2023/24 210 1050 226 -16 223 -13 229 -19 228 -18 215 -5 1121 -71 75 47 0 122

2024/25 210 1050 208 2 227 -17 224 -14 230 -20 229 -19 1118 -68 86 46 0 132

2025/26 210 1050 222 -12 209 1 228 -18 225 -15 231 -21 1115 -65 81 53 0 134

2026/27 210 1050 220 -10 223 -13 210 0 229 -19 226 -16 1108 -58 82 50 0 132

2027/28 210 1050 220 -10 221 -11 224 -14 211 -1 230 -20 1106 -56 81 51 0 132

2028/29 210 1050 217 -7 220 -10 222 -12 226 -16 212 -2 1097 -47 82 50 0 132

Campsmount Secondary Totals

YEAR CAP ALL CAP

7

PA

N-

NO

R

8 P

AN

-

NO

R

9

PA

N-

NO

R

10

PA

N-

NO

R

11

PA

N-

NO

R


2018/19 150 750 131 19 148 2 151 -1 126 24 116 34 672 78 39 29 1 69

2019/20 150/180 780 182 -2 133 17 150 0 153 -3 128 22 746 34 41 32 1 74

2020/21 150/180 780 192 -42 184 -4 135 15 152 -2 155 -5 818 -38 43 33 1 77

2021/22 150/180 780 148 2 194 -44 186 -6 137 13 154 -4 819 -39 52 35 1 88

2022/23 150/180 780 149 1 151 -1 197 -47 189 -9 140 10 826 -46 51 42 1 94

2023/24 150/180 780 159 -9 152 -2 154 -4 200 -50 192 -12 857 -77 48 42 2 92

2024/25 150 750 148 2 161 -11 154 -4 156 -6 202 -52 821 -71 64 39 2 105

2025/26 150 750 141 9 148 2 161 -11 154 -4 156 -6 760 -10 50 52 2 104

2026/27 150 750 148 2 141 9 148 2 161 -11 154 -4 752 -2 50 41 2 93

2027/28 150 750 148 2 148 2 141 9 148 2 161 -11 746 4 53 41 2 96

2028/29 150 750 146 4 148 2 148 2 141 9 148 2 731 19 48 43 2 93

39

Ridgewood Secondary Totals

YEAR CAP ALL CAP

7

PA

N-

NO

R

8

PA

N-

NO

R

9

PA

N-

NO

R

10

PA

N-

NO

R

11

PA

N-

NO

R


2018/19 240 1200 234 6 237 3 242 -2 232 8 227 13 1172 28 122 90 0 212

2019/20 240 1200 240 0 234 6 237 3 242 -2 232 8 1185 15 117 104 0 221

2020/21 240 1200 239 1 240 0 234 6 237 3 242 -2 1192 8 125 100 0 225

2021/22 240 1200 244 -4 239 1 240 0 234 6 237 3 1194 6 125 107 0 232

2022/23 240 1200 253 -13 244 -4 239 1 240 0 234 6 1210 -10 124 107 0 231

2023/24 240 1200 239 1 253 -13 244 -4 239 1 240 0 1215 -15 126 106 0 232

2024/25 240 1200 246 -6 239 1 253 -13 244 -4 239 1 1221 -21 122 107 0 229

2025/26 240 1200 241 -1 246 -6 239 1 253 -13 244 -4 1223 -23 126 104 0 230

2026/27 240 1200 245 -5 241 -1 246 -6 239 1 253 -13 1224 -24 130 107 0 237

2027/28 240 1200 244 -4 245 -5 241 -1 246 -6 239 1 1215 -15 122 111 0 233

2028/29 240 1200 244 -4 244 -4 245 -5 241 -1 246 -6 1220 -20 127 104 0 231

Cluster Secondary Totals

YEAR CAP ALL CAP

7

PA

N-

NO

R

8 P

AN

-

NO

R

9

PA

N-

NO

R

10

PA

N-

NO

R

11

PA

N-

NO

R


2018/19 824 4120 773 51 806 18 780 44 717 10

7 693 131 3769 351 314 221 1 536

2019/20 824/854 4150 860 -6 779 45 812 12 786 38 723 101 3960 190 333 233 1 567

2020/21 824/855 4150 896 -72 866 -12 785 39 818 6 792 32 4157 -7 350 249 1 600

2021/22 824/856 4150 860 -36 902 -78 872 -18 791 33 824 0 4249 -99 371 261 1 633

2022/23 824/857 4150 862 -38 867 -43 909 -85 879 -25 798 26 4315 -165 364 275 2 641

2023/24 824/858 4150 871 -47 869 -45 874 -50 916 -92 886 -32 4416 -266 405 269 2 676

2024/25 824 4120 856 -32 874 -50 872 -48 877 -53 919 -95 4398 -278 390 298 2 690

2025/26 824 4120 865 -41 857 -33 875 -51 873 -49 878 -54 4348 -228 391 287 2 680

2026/27 824 4120 862 -38 866 -42 858 -34 876 -52 874 -50 4336 -216 389 289 2 680

2027/28 824 4120 864 -40 863 -39 867 -43 859 -35 877 -53 4330 -210 393 286 2 681

2028/29 824 4120 861 -37 864 -40 864 -40 869 -45 860 -36 4318 -198 314 221 1 536

40

Secondary Overview

Secondary data shows a growing shortfall from 2018/19 on year of entry which continues to bulge through the school for several

years to come, neighbouring Outwood Academy Adwick is also showing similar shortfalls. This will need to be monitored as part of

our review of secondary places.

41

5e. Childcare Places & Availability

The tables below show the occupancy levels and the availability of the childcare provision for the Summer Term 2018.

Childcare Provision within Schools, PVI Sector Full Day-care and Sessional Care and Childminders

School, PVI and Childminder Provision

0 to 1 Yrs 2 Yrs 3 & 4 Yrs 5 to 10 Yrs 11 to 14 Yrs Total

VA

CA

NY

RA

TE

Availability P

LA

CE

S

NO

R (

FT

E)

BA

LA

NC

E

PL

AC

ES

NO

R (

FT

E)

BA

LA

NC

E

PL

AC

ES

NO

R (

FT

E)

BA

LA

NC

E

PL

AC

ES

NO

R (

FT

E)

BA

LA

NC

E

PL

AC

ES

NO

R (

FT

E)

BA

LA

NC

E

PL

AC

ES

NO

R (

FT

E)

BA

LA

NC

E

An

nu

al

Befo

re 8

am

8am

to

6p

m

Aft

er

6p

m

Wee

ken

ds

Sh

ift

Patt

ern

s

Bentley High Street Primary

26 23 3 52 38 14

78 61 17 22% TT 1

Bentley New Village Primary

26 21 5

26 21 5 19% TT 1

Kirkby Avenue Primary 4 3 1 26 22 4 30 25 5 17% TT 1

Our Lady of Perpetual Help Catholic Primary

26 10 16

26 10 16 62% TT 1

Scawthorpe Castle Hills 26 20 6 26 20 6 23% TT 1

Scawthorpe Sunnyfields 26 26 0 26 26 0 0% TT 1

Toll Bar Primary 4 4 0 26 13 13 30 17 13 43% TT 1

School Totals 34 30 4 208 150 58 242 180 62 26% - 0 7 0 0 0

Smiley Faces Nursery Ltd

6 3 3 50 50 0 44 44 0

100 97 3 3% AY 1 1

Danum Daisies 9 8 1 18 15 3 13 12 1 40 35 5 13% AY 1 1

Arksey Willows 8 8 0 16 8 8 24 16 8 33% TT 1

PVI Totals 15 11 4 76 73 3 73 64 9 164 148 16 10% - 1 3 0 0 1

20 x Childminders 22 12 10 21 13 8 24 19 5 106 74 32 20 16 4 193 134 59 31% - 12 20 3 0 4

All Sector Total 37 23 14 131 116 15 305 233 72 106 74 32 20 16 4 599 462 137 23% - 13 30 3 0 5

(All Year), TT (Term Time Only), SH (School Holidays Only). The data shows that 23% of places overall remain vacant with the school, PVI and childminder provision. The data does show that

there are provisions operating before 8am and but very few after 6pm. However, provision is available for shift patterns.

42

School Based and PVI Sector Breakfast Childcare Provision

School and PVI Breakfast Provision

0 to 1 Yrs 2 Yrs 3 & 4 Yrs 5 to 10 Yrs 11 to 14

Yrs Total

VA

CA

NY

RA

TE

Availability

PL

AC

ES

NO

R (

FT

E)

BA

LA

NC

E

PL

AC

ES

NO

R (

FT

E)

BA

LA

NC

E

PL

AC

ES

NO

R (

FT

E)

BA

LA

NC

E

PL

AC

ES

NO

R (

FT

E)

BA

LA

NC

E

PL

AC

ES

NO

R (

FT

E)

BA

LA

NC

E

PL

AC

ES

NO

R (

FT

E)

BA

LA

NC

E

An

nu

al

Befo

re 8

am

8am

to

6p

m

Aft

er

6p

m

Wee

ken

ds

Sh

ift

Patt

ern

s

Arksey Primary School 5 2 3 25 18 7 30 20 10 33% TT 1

Bentley High Street Primary 5 1 4 35 18 17 40 19 21 53% TT 1 1

Bentley New Village Primary 10 10 0 35 35 0 45 45 0 0% TT 1

Castle Hills Primary 10 5 5 40 25 15 50 30 20 40% TT 1 1


Our Lady of Perpetual Help Catholic Primary

5 4 1 25 18 7 30 22 8 27% TT 1

Toll Bar Primary 2 2 0 33 26 7 35 28 7 20% TT 1

School Totals 57 35 22 273 187 86 330 222 108 33% - 2 7 0 0 0

Buddies OOSC Sunnyfields 16 10 6 16 13 3 32 23 9 28% TT 1 1

PVI Totals 16 10 6 16 13 3 32 23 9 28% - 1 1 0 0 0

All Sector Total 73 45 28 289 200 89 362 245 117 32% - 3 8 0 0 0

(All Year), TT (Term Time Only), SH (School Holidays Only). The data shows that 32% of places overall remain vacant for School & PVI Breakfast Provision, allowing some flexibility for any increase in

requirements.

43

School Based and PVI Sector After School Childcare Provision

School and PVI After School Provision


VA

CA

NY

RA

TE

Availability

PL

AC

ES

NO

R (

FT

E)

BA

LA

NC

E

PL

AC

ES

NO

R (

FT

E)

BA

LA

NC

E

PL

AC

ES

NO

R (

FT

E)

BA

LA

NC

E

PL

AC

ES

NO

R (

FT

E)

BA

LA

NC

E

PL

AC

ES

NO

R (

FT

E)

BA

LA

NC

E

PL

AC

ES

NO

R (

FT

E)

BA

LA

NC

E

An

nu

al

Befo

re 8

am

8am

to

6p

m

Aft

er

6p

m

Wee

ken

ds

Sh

ift

Patt

ern

s

Bentley High Street Primary 5 2 3 35 24 11 40 26 14 35% TT 1

Bentley New Village Primary 40 40 0 40 40 0 0% TT 1

Castle Hills Primary 70 40 30 90 50 40 160 90 70 44% TT 1


Toll Bar Primary 60 55 5 60 55 5 8% TT 1

School Totals 85 47 38 265 199 66 350 246 104 30% - 0 5 0 0 0

Buddies OOSC Sunnyfields 16 10 6 16 10 6 32 20 12 38% TT 1

PVI Totals 16 10 6 16 10 6 32 20 12 38% - 0 1 0 0 0

All Sector Total 101 57 44 281 209 72 0 0 0 382 266 116 30% - 0 6 0 0 0

(All Year), TT (Term Time Only), SH (School Holidays Only). The data shows that 30% of places overall remain vacant for the school and PVI after school provision, allowing flexibility for any increase in

requirements. However, the data shows that there is no provision operating after 6pm.

44

School Based and PVI Sector Holiday Childcare Provision

School & PVI Holiday Provision


VA

CA

NY

RA

TE

Availability

PL

AC

ES

NO

R (

FT

E)

BA

LA

NC

E

PL

AC

ES

NO

R (

FT

E)

BA

LA

NC

E

PL

AC

ES

NO

R (

FT

E)

BA

LA

NC

E

PL

AC

ES

NO

R (

FT

E)

BA

LA

NC

E

PL

AC

ES

NO

R (

FT

E)

BA

LA

NC

E

PL

AC

ES

NO

R (

FT

E)

BA

LA

NC

E

An

nu

al

Befo

re 8

am

8am

to

6p

m

Aft

er

6p

m

Wee

ken

ds

Sh

ift

Patt

ern

s

Bentley High Street Primary 5 5 0 35 35 0 2 2 0 42 42 0 0% SH 1 1

School Totals 0% - 1 1 0 0 0

Buddies OOSC Sunnyfields 16 10 6 16 10 6 5 2 3 37 22 15 41% SH 1 1 0 0 0 PVI Totals 16 10 6 16 10 6 5 2 3 37 22 15 41% - 1 1 0 0 0

All Sector Total 16 10 6 16 10 6 5 2 3 37 22 15 41% - 2 2 0 0 0

(All Year), TT (Term Time Only), SH (School Holidays Only). The data shows that 41% of places overall remain vacant, allowing flexibility for any increase in requirements. The data also shows that there

are vacancies available for most age groups, however there is no provision for after 6pm and shift patterns.

45

5f. Childcare Projections

The tables below measures the birth rates of children to anticipate the future projected need for childcare places within this

pyramid. This data shows the anticipated projected place requirements for the spring and summer 2018 terms. This information is

displayed using a red, amber, green (RAG rating)

Green depicts sufficient available places

Amber depicts the potential for a shortfall of places if demand increases

Red shows an identified need where supply does not meet local demand.

Summary of Projected Places Spring 2018

Spring Term 2018 0 and 1 Years 2 Years 3 and 4 Years 5 to 10 Years 11 to 14 Years

Don Valley Pyramid

Doncaster Total

Don Valley projections show that there is a potential for a shortfall of places for children aged between 5 to 14 years. This supports

the outcome of the gap analysis where more flexibility in provision is required around childcare provision after 6pm and on

weekends. We will continue to monitor this over the coming terms. On a borough wide basis early indications of birth vs previous

occupancy rates show that there are a sufficient number of places available for all ages in Spring 2018.

Summary of Projected Places Summer 2018

Summer Term 2018 0 and 1 Years 2 Years 3 and 4 Years 5 to 10 Years 11 to 14 Years

Don Valley Pyramid

Doncaster Total

Don Valley projections show that there is a potential for a shortfall of places for children aged between 5 to 14 years. This supports

the outcome of the gap analysis where more flexibility in provision is required around childcare provision after 6pm and on

weekends. We will continue to monitor this over the coming terms. On a borough wide basis early indications of birth vs previous

occupancy rates show that there are a sufficient number of places available for all ages in Summer 2018.

46

5g. Capital Projects

There are currently no capital projects in place for the Don Valley Pyramid.

School / Academy Projects Status

PVI Sector Projects Status

N/A

N/A

Safeguarding and Access Projects

School / Academy Description of Project Status

Arksey Primary School Security Fencing (Round 1) Complete

Scawthorpe Sunnyfields Primary

School Security Fencing (Round 2) Approved

Arksey Primary School Security Fencing (Round 4) Approved

Arksey Primary School Secure Reception (Round 4) Approved

Scawthorpe Castle Hills Primary

School Access Improvements (Round 4) Complete

Scawthorpe Sunnyfields Primary

School Security Fencing (Round 4) Approved

47

5h. SEND Provision

This data shows the number of pupils identified as SEND per school, what proportion of the total cohort this represents and their

SEND status.

School Name Number of SEND

Pupils % of Total Cohort

Education,

Health and Care

Plan

SEN Support

Arksey Primary 18 25 1 17

Toll Bar Primary School 51 25 7 44

Castle Hills Primary School 55 20 5 50

Scawthorpe Sunnyfields Primary 22 7 2 20

Bentley New Village 54 20 3 51

Bentley High Street Primary 68 14 7 61

Kirkby Avenue Primary 67 19 4 63

Our Lady of Perpetual Help 16 12 5 11

Don Valley Academy & Performing Arts College 93 9 11 82

Pyramid Total 444 14% 45 399

Doncaster Total 6,544 14% 1,187 5,357

There were a total of 1400 children / young people living in Doncaster with a special educational need or disability aged 0 to

19 years old registered with Together Information Exchange (TIE), at November 2018. This shows an increase of 153

children / young people since 2017.

At October 2018, there were a total of 154 children known to the Pre-School Inclusion Team living in Doncaster with a

special educational need or disability aged 0 to 5 years old, this was an increase of 23 children from the previous year.

At September 2018 there were 70 Ofsted registered group childcare providers and 221 childminders on the Local Authority

Directory registered to provide the free early years entitlement (2, 3 & 4 year old funding). All have to meet the requirements

of the SEN Code of Practice and Disability Discrimination Act requirements. These figures are comparable to the previous

year.

A specialist provision for pre-school children with SEND is delivered by the Local Authority (Seedlings). The setting is

registered with Ofsted and offers sessions for funded 2, 3 & 4 year old children.

48

There were a total of 1,187children educated within schools that accessed support through an Education, Health & Care

Plan. An additional 5,357children had SEN support, as reported at the Autumn Schools Census 2018.

There are five special schools within Doncaster. Three schools offer places from 3 years to 19 years old (North Ridge

Community School, Coppice School and Heatherwood School) and two schools offer places for 7 years to 16 year olds (

Stone Hill School and Pennine View).

Pyramid Name of School Age range Type of provision offered

Adwick North Ridge Community School 3 to 19 Breakfast and After school

Don Valley Stone Hill School 7 to 16 Breakfast

Conisbrough Pennine View School 7 to 16 No provision

Hatfield Coppice School 3 to 19 After school

Danum Heatherwood School 3 to 19 No provision

A new special school for communication and interaction special educational needs is to be established in Doncaster.

The school will primarily be for children and young people with Autism Spectrum Disorder, specifically high functioning ASD and

Asperger’s. This cohort may also have social, emotional and mental health needs and specific learning difficulties.

Working with the Department for Education, the new school is envisaged to be on the Hungerhill Enterprise Park site. This school

would have places for 100 children and young people, 80 of which would be filled by the council, with the remaining 20 offered to

neighbouring authorities.

The school will be closely associated with another secondary school to enable pupils to access a mainstream curriculum where this

is appropriate. The development will take place as part of the programme creating 1,600 new special free school places across

England, made up of a total of 19 new schools.

49

5i. Childcare Costs

The average costs are indicated across the different Ofsted registered childcare types in the table below. As the opening times for day nurseries and childminders can vary, the weekly costs are based on average opening hours of 8am to 6pm. Breakfast and after-school are grouped within ‘out of school’ costs in line with the Yorkshire and Humber format to allow an easy comparison. This table shows the average costs of childcare for this pyramid in comparison to borough wide and Yorkshire and Humber averages.

Pyramid

Childminder Full Day-care Sessional Care Out of School

Childcare Holiday

P/scheme

Average Per Day

Average Per Week

Average Per Session

Average Per Session Average Per Day Before

School After

School

Don Valley £31.57 £197.50 £15.00 £5.00 £8.75 £21.00

Doncaster £34.30 £185.98 £13.89 £6.34 £9.38 £29.59

Yorkshire and Humber* £37.97 £204.96 Not Known Not Known £10.96 £26.18

Average childcare costs across the Don Valley pyramid area indicate:

Childminders costs are lower than the average for Doncaster and substantially lower than the Yorkshire & Humber average.

Day nurseries (Full Day care) costs are higher than the Doncaster average and lower compared to the Yorkshire & Humber average.

Sessional care costs for Don Valley are higher than the Doncaster average. There are no Yorkshire and Humber costs to compare with.

Out of school childcare for before school and after school care is lower than the Doncaster average. There are no costs to compare with for the Yorkshire & Humber ‘before school childcare’, but after school care is significantly lower than the Yorkshire and Humber average.

The average costs for holiday play schemes are lower than both the Doncaster and Yorkshire & Humber averages. School childcare costs - The range of costs submitted by the schools in this area can vary a great deal therefore we cannot calculate an average cost as this may not be a true reflection. It is recommended to ascertain the service and actual cost for a particular school, contact the Doncaster Families Information Service or the school directly.

50

6. Early Education Funding

6a. 2 Year Old Early Education Eligibility Criteria

The provision of early education for up to 15 hours per week for eligible 2 year olds starting the term after their 2nd birthday.

Families must be in receipt of one or more of the following:

Income Support

Income-based Jobseeker’s Allowance (JSA)

Income-related Employment and Support Allowance

(ESA)

Support through Part 6 of the Immigration and Asylum Act

Have an annual household income under £16,190 and

claim Child Tax Credit and / or Working Tax Credit

Guaranteed Element of State Pension Credit

The Working Tax Credit 4-week run on (the payment you

get when you stop qualifying for Working Tax Credit)

Universal Credit

Children are also entitled to a place if:

Your child is looked after by the local council

Your child has a current statement of special educational

needs (SEN) or an education, health and care plan

Your family is in receipt of Disability Living Allowance for

the child

A child who has left care through special guardianship

order, child arrangement order or adoption order

2YO Take Up (Borough wide)

Autumn 2017 Spring 2018 Summer 2018

80% 75% 80%

51

6b. 3 and 4 Year Old Early Education (Universal/Borough wide)

Eligibility Criteria

This is an entitlement for all children starting the term following their third birthday for up to 15 hours per week

3 and 4 Year Old Borough wide take up


92% 98% 98%

.

52

6c. 30 Hours Free Childcare for Eligible 3 and 4 Year Olds (Borough wide)

Eligibility Criteria

Eligibility for working parents includes: employed, self-employed and workers on a zero hour’s contract. To take up the 30 hours of

free childcare families need to meet all the following criteria:

Each parent earns less than £100,000 per year

Both parents are working and in a lone parent family the sole parent must work

Each parent works a minimum of 16 hours a week or earns on average a weekly minimum amount that is equivalent to 16

hours a week at either the National Minimum Wage or National Living Wage, for example, £120 a week based on National

Living Wage

There are exceptions to both parents having to work. Families where one parent does not work (or neither parent works) will not

usually be entitled to the 15 hours extended entitlement; however, they will be eligible where:

both parents are employed but one (or both parents) is temporarily away from the workplace on: parental, maternity or

paternity leave; adoption leave; or on statutory sick pay

one parent is employed and one parent:

has substantial caring responsibilities based on specific benefits received for caring

is disabled or incapacitated based on receipt of specific benefits

Take Up (Borough wide)

30 hours early education came into force from September 2017, take up information can be seen in the table below.

30 Hours


78% 79% 76%

53

We have assessed where families who access their additional hours and their home locality, the data can be seen below.

School PVI Total %

Great North Road 70 29 99 74

Bentley 8 9 17 13

Adwick 3 3 6 5

Sprotbrough 2 3 5 4

Askern 1 2 3 2

Edlington 0 1 1 1

Intake & Belle Vue 0 1 1 1

OOA 1 0 1 1

TOTAL 85 48 133 100

54

Home Locality of Families Accessing Additional Hours Within Pyramid

Great North Road

Bentley

Adwick

Sprotbrough

Askern

Edlington

Intake & Belle Vue

OOA

55

6d. Future Plans

We anticipate an increase in take up over the coming terms. As part of our sufficiency strategy we have applied a methodology to

predict future place needs. The following table shows the pyramid demand by term with potential maximum vs. minimum take up

and any potential shortfall of places. This data is based on the combined need for places for both 30 hours and universal

entitlement.

This information is displayed using a red, amber, green (RAG rating)

Green depicts sufficient available places

Amber depicts the potential for a shortfall of places if demand increases

Red shows an identified need where supply does not meet local demand.

Spring 18 Summer 18

Sub Locality Area MAX

(100% Take Up)

MIN (Current Universal

Take Up)

MAX (100% Take Up)

MIN (Current Universal

Take Up)

Don Valley

Doncaster Total

This data shows that both the Don Valley pyramid and the Doncaster total show sufficient places for the year ahead.

56

7. Parent Feedback The annual Parent Demand survey collects key data from a cross sector of the Doncaster population and informs the planning undertaken by

the local authority around managing the childcare market. The data below summarises the key information for the pyramid.

Number of pyramid respondents 133

Percentage of the Overall Response 7

Ages of children 0 to 1 Years 48

2 Years 35

3 and 4 Years 57

5 to 7 Years 36

8 to 10 Years 25

11+ Years 20

Main reasons using childcare Work 50

Child development 1

Training 4

Early education funding 13

Main reasons not using childcare

Childcare not currently required 28

Location not accessible 0

Session times 1

Costs 14

SEND 1

Informal childcare 26

60

For more information contact:

Write to: Learning Provision Organisation Service

Doncaster Council Civic Office Waterdale Doncaster DN1 3BU

Email: [email protected] Website: www.doncaster.gov.uk/schoolorganisation

Information can be made available in other formats such as Braille or Audio Tape on request. If you

know someone who may need this service, please contact a member of staff for more information or if you need any other help or advice.

www.doncaster.gov.uk

mailto:[email protected]

http://www.doncaster.gov.uk/

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