the race for mayor: what's in it for low income new yorkers?

Upload: city-limits-new-york

Post on 04-Apr-2018

217 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

  • 7/29/2019 The Race for Mayor: What's In It for Low Income New Yorkers?

    1/36

    T Unrd TirdVte 2013 | 1

    The RaceoR MayoR

    Whats in it

    r lw-incmeNew Yrers?

    MaRch

    2013

  • 7/29/2019 The Race for Mayor: What's In It for Low Income New Yorkers?

    2/36

    abut t autrs

    Nn Rnkin is Vice President r

    Plicy Research and Advcacy at CSS,

    where she leads the wr n labr,

    husing, and yuth issues. She is the

    under The Unheard Third survey

    and has written widely n issues

    aecting upward mbility r lw-wage

    wrers and the challenges meeting

    wr and amily respnsibilities. Nancy

    Ranin is a graduate Crnell and

    Princetn Universitys Wdrw Wilsn

    Schl Public and Internatinal

    Aairs.

    apurv Mrtr is a plicy analyst

    at CSS where he cnducts research

    n issues aecting lw-incme New

    Yrers. He recently c-authred

    a CSS reprt n CUNY enrllment

    trends. He received a Masters in Public

    Administratin rm Baruch Cllege.

    We thanT Nw yrk cmmunit

    Trust r their generus n-ging

    supprt which maes The Unheard

    Third survey pssible. Lae Research

    Partners cnducts the survey annually

    r CSS.

    Insid Tis Rprt

    Wh Are The Unheard Third? 2

    Findings 4

    Summary 31

    Endntes 32

    Hw the Survey Was Cnducted 33

    2013 marks a critical election year forNew York City, as voters will choosea new mayor and a slate of new publicofcials. CSS is committed to ensuringthat the voices of low-income NewYorkerswho make up one-thirdof the citys electorateare a part ofthe political debate. During the 2013election season, CSS will sponsorpublic candidate forums, issue a voterguide detailing the positions of thecandidates, and widely disseminatethe ndings of The Unheard Third,our annual survey of low-income NewYorkers. These efforts are intended toraise the visibility of issues of concernto our constituents, and to put the

    candidates on record with their plansto help low-income New Yorkers andthe working poor.

    www.cy./t2013

    The Community Service Society ofNew York (CSS) is an informed,independent, and unwavering voice forpositive action on behalf of more than3 million low-income New Yorkers.CSS draws on a 170-year history ofexcellence in addressing the root causesof economic disparity. We respondto urgent, contemporary challengesthrough applied research, advocacy,litigation, and innovative programmodels that strengthen and benet allNew Yorkers.

    www.cy.

  • 7/29/2019 The Race for Mayor: What's In It for Low Income New Yorkers?

    3/36

    T Unrd TirdVte 2013 | 1

    In a city where more than one in ve

    residents struggles to survive on anincome that puts them below thepoverty level, will the word povertyeven be uttered by the candidates?Where Manhattans long avenuesstretch from the nations wealthiestzip codes to some of its poorestneighborhoods where the workingpoor wait eight years to get into publichousing1 and city shelters overowwith a record number of homelessfamilieswill ofce-seekers proposeideas for affordable housing on thescale needed? While we applaud thevision for the future that is bringinghigh tech campuses to the city, willanyone running for mayor offer avision for the future of the 58,0002mostly black and Latino young peoplewho have left school without diplomasor jobs? Will the candidates competeon how to create opportunities forupward mobility for those strugglingto support their families on low-wage,non-union jobs at car washes, retail

    chains, restaurant kitchens, and caringfor our children and elderlyor the348,000 unemployed New Yorkers3who are desperate to nd any jobat all?

    These are some of the questionson the minds of low-income NewYorkers this election year. One out ofthree voting age citizens in New YorkCitya huge potential bloclives in

    a family with an income below twice

    the federal poverty level of $23,021for a family of four. They are theunheard third. Their voices are toooften ignored by candidates seekingpublic ofce.

    More than a decade ago, theCommunity Service Society beganannually surveying these low-incomeNew Yorkers, with the goal ofelevating their concerns and views inthe public debate. Our 2012 surveyis based on telephone interviewswith 1,468 New York City residentsconducted by the national pollingrm, Lake Research. This past year,we asked low-income New Yorkersabout their priorities for the nextmayor. What issues would they wantcandidates to put front and center inthe campaign? Where do the poor andthose barely escaping povertys graspstand on proposals that will shape ourschools, the safety of our streets, andthe earning power of our workers?

    And how do their opinions align withor differ from those of middle- andhigher-income New Yorkers, whomwe surveyed for comparison?

    This report highlights the ndings ofour eleventh annual surveyndingsthat could decide the votes of one outof three New Yorkers.

    Fr details n hw the survey was

    cnducted see page 32.

    This much is certain: a lt is at stae in 2013. New Yrers will

    head t the plls t chse new leaders in a recrd number

    highly cntested races where n incumbent is running: at least

    19 51 City Cuncil seats, cmptrller, public advcate, ur

    ut ve brugh presidents, and, mst imprtant, mayr.

    What is ar rm certain are the issues that will determine the

    utcmes these races.

    T R r MrWhats in it for loW-income neW Yorkers?

  • 7/29/2019 The Race for Mayor: What's In It for Low Income New Yorkers?

    4/36

    2 | T Unrd TirdVte 2013

    W ar T Unrd Tird?one-third of neW York citY citizens over the age of 18 live

    in loW-income households, those earning less than tWice

    the federal povertY level. thats more than 1.7 million

    potential voters.

    Where Do The UnhearD ThirD Live?

    Gegraphic Distributin Vting-Age Citiens with Incmes

    Belw 200% the Federal Pverty Level

    SoURCE: AMERICAN CoMMUNITY SURVEY, 2011

    BoroUgh The UnhearD ThirD

    nUmBer o

    PoTenTiaL voTers

    The UnhearD ThirD as a

    share o PoTenTiaL voTers

    B 366,275 792,358 46%

    Bly 601,629 1,546,690 39%

    mtt 320,825 1,130,195 28%

    Qu 365,194 1,314,556 28%

    stt ild 65,175 328,577 20%

    nw Y Cty 1,719,638 5,112,376 34%

    Numbr Rsidnts12,905 - 19,999

    20,000 - 27,999

    28,000 - 35,999

    36,000 - 42,999

    43,000 - 54,830

    Washingtn Heights/Inwd

    50,855

    Highbridge/S. Cncurse

    47,725

    Mrrisania/E. Tremnt

    53,915Mtt Haven/Hunts Pint

    54,830

    Jamaica

    43,086

    East New Yr/

    Starrett City

    48,518

    Lwer East Side/Chinatwn

    49,154

    Williamsburg/Greenpint

    45,603

  • 7/29/2019 The Race for Mayor: What's In It for Low Income New Yorkers?

    5/36

    T Unrd TirdVte 2013 | 3

    indinsindin on:Lw-incme New Yrers aremre liely t say things in the city are headed

    n the wrng trac but all New Yrers are

    wrried abut grwing incme inequality and

    a shrining middle class. PAGE 4

    indin Tw: Ecnmic wrries and

    hardships persist amng lw-incme New

    Yrers three years int the recvery. PAGE 6

    indin Tr: While lw-incme New

    Yrers put jb creatin at the tp their

    agenda r the net mayr, they, alng withmderate- and higher-incme respndents,

    d nt thin the slutin is maing the city

    mre business-riendly. Rather, New Yrers

    are united in avring plicies that help

    wring peple get ahead. PAGE 9

    indin ur:New Yrers believe that

    the way r wring amilies t get ahead

    is by raising the fr r lw-paying jbs,

    attracting mre middle-silled jbs t the

    city, and ensuring that yung peple have

    the educatin they need t ll thse better-

    paying jbs. PAGE 12

    indin iv:Virtually all New Yrers

    thin that it is imprtant r the net mayr

    t put mre resurces int schls serving

    pr students and ensure that high schl

    students graduate well-prepared r cllege.

    PAGE 18

    indin Six: While New Yrers wantt see a greater investment in public

    schls, views are smewhat mied abut

    cntinuing sme the specic strategies

    the current administratin. PAGE 20

    indin Svn: Lw-incme New Yrers

    avr plicies t widen access t higher

    educatin r graduates the citys public

    high schls. They als want t substantially

    epand educatinal prgrams at all levels r

    thse serving time in state prisns.PAGE 22

    indin eit: Reducing crime, drugs,

    and guns cmes in secnd n the list

    tp pririties r lw-incme New Yrers.

    Views are divided n stp and ris

    tactics, but thse mst directly aected

    want this plice practice reined in. PAGE 25

    indin Nin: Maing husing mre

    ardable rans in the tp cluster issues lw-incme New Yrers want the

    mayral candidates t address. Lw-incme

    New Yrers eperience requent husing

    hardships and verwhelmingly thin that

    it is very imprtant that the net mayr

    pursue plicies t increase the availability

    ardable husing as part his r her

    agenda. PAGE 28

    raCe/eThniCiTY The UnhearD ThirD aLL PoTenTiaL voTers

    Wt, -hpc 28% 41%

    Blc, -hpc 27% 24%a 11% 11%

    hpc 34% 24%

    BoroUgh

    B 21% 16%

    Bly 35% 30%

    mtt 19% 22%

    Qu 21% 26%

    stt ild 4% 6%

    md huld ic* $15,760 $52,200

    ow Cld huld 41% 34%

    W a (18-65 y ld) 78% 83%

    n h scl Dpl 29% 16%

    Uplyt rt 26% 11%

    *BASED oN THE AGE AND CITIzENSHIP STATUS oF THE HEAD oF THE HoUSEHoLD

    hw D T Unrd Tird cmpr wit otr Ptntil Vtrs?

    DemograPhiC CharaCTerisTiCs o voTing-age CiTizens in neW York CiTY

  • 7/29/2019 The Race for Mayor: What's In It for Low Income New Yorkers?

    6/36

    4 | T Unrd TirdVte 2013

    Half of low-income New Yorkerssurveyed believe that the city is on thewrong track, with only 35 percentsaying that things are going in theright direction. This contrasts with theviews of higher-income residents, morethan half of whom see the city movingin the right direction, and moderate-income New Yorkers, whose views areevenly divided.

    Yet, despite their somewhat greateroptimism about the overall directionof the city, nearly three out of fourmoderate- and higher-income NewYorkers say they are worried aboutwidening inequality between thewealthy and the poor in the citywith four in ten saying they are veryworried. Democrats and African-Americans, of all incomes, are among

    the most worried about the growingchasm between the haves and thehave-nots. New Yorkersacrossincome groupsalso express worriesabout the citys disappearing middleclass, with over half saying they arevery worried about this prospect. Even

    more troubling, opportunities forupward mobility are seen as limited.Barely half of New Yorkers, regardlessof income, think that it is possiblefor poor people to make it into themiddle class these days. The chasm isnot merely widening; it is becomingunbridgeable.

    16% 44%34% 64%

    Nw yrkrs rss inm

    lins r wrrid but

    widnin inqulit in t it,

    wit mr tn 4 in 10 sin

    t r verywrrid.

    Q: Hw wrried are yu abut wideninginequality between the wealthy andthe pr in New Yr City? Are yu very

    wrried, smewhat wrried, a little wrried,

    r nt at all wrried? (Split Sampled

    Questin)

    15% 41%29% 70%

    15% 39%25% 74%

    NoT AT ALLWoRRIED

    A LITTLEWoRRIED

    VERYWoRRIED

    SoMEWHATWoRRIED

    ToTAL

    LoW INcoMe

    MoD-HIGH INCoME

    | | | | | | | | | | | |40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%

    hl lw-inm Nw

    yrkrs bliv tins v

    ttn prtt sriusl n

    t wrn trk.

    Q: Generally speaing, d thin things inNew Yr City are ging in the rightdirectin, r d yu eel things have gtten

    pretty seriusly n the wrng trac?

    44% 42%

    41% 41%

    39% 52%

    WRoNG TRACk RIGHT DIRECTIoN

    DireCTion o neW York CiTY, BY inCome

    50% 35%

    ToTAL

    LoW INcoMe

    MoDERATE INCoME

    HIGH INCoME

    | | | | | | | | | | |50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

    indin onloW-income neW Yorkers are more likelY to saY things in the

    citY are headed on the Wrong track but all neW Yorkers

    are Worried about groWing income inequalitY and a shrinkingmiddle class.

  • 7/29/2019 The Race for Mayor: What's In It for Low Income New Yorkers?

    7/36

    T Unrd TirdVte 2013 | 5

    hl blks nd nrl l

    Dmrts r verywrrid

    but widnin inqulit.

    Q: Hw wrried are yu abut wideninginequality between the wealthy andthe pr in New Yr City? Are yu very

    wrried, smewhat wrried, a little wrried,

    r nt at all wrried? (Split Sampled

    Questin)

    NoT AT ALLWoRRIED

    A LITTLEWoRRIED

    VERYWoRRIED

    SoMEWHATWoRRIED

    | | | | | | | | | | | | | |50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%

    5% 41%29% 70%

    20% 38% 68%32%

    50%11% 78%20%

    38%13% 72%27%

    16% 38% 60%37%

    47%9% 77%23%

    17% 40% 73%26%

    40% 16% 46%52%

    ToTAL

    WHITE

    BLacK

    LATINo

    ASIAN

    DeMocRaT

    INDEPENDENT

    REPUBLICAN

    Tr ut ur Nw

    yrkrs r wrrid but

    dispprin middl lss,

    wit vr l sin t r

    verywrrid.

    Q: Hw wrried are yu abut adisappearing middle class in NewYr City? Are yu very wrried, smewhatwrried, a little wrried, r nt at all

    wrried? (Split Sampled Questin)

    NoT AT ALLWoRRIED A LITTLEWoRRIED VERYWoRRIED SoMEWHATWoRRIED

    | | | | | | | | | | | |30% 20% 10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%

    23% 76%11% 53%

    24% 74%11% 51%

    22% 78%11% 54%

    ToTAL

    LoW INcoMe

    MoD-HIGH INCoME

    Brl l Nw yrkrs

    tink it is pssibl r pr

    ppl t mk it int t

    middl lss.

    Q: Hw pssible is it r pr peple tmae it int the middle class thesedays, very pssible, smewhat pssible, nt

    very pssible, r nt pssible at all? NoT PoSSIBLEAT ALLNoT VERYPoSSIBLE

    VERYPoSSIBLE

    SoMEWHATPoSSIBLE

    | | | | | | | | | | | |50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

    52%14% 15%46%

    53%17% 18%45%

    51%12% 13%47%

    ToTAL

    LoW INcoMe

    MoD-HIGHINCoME

  • 7/29/2019 The Race for Mayor: What's In It for Low Income New Yorkers?

    8/36

    6 | T Unrd TirdVte 2013

    indin Tweconomic Worries and hardships persist among loW-income

    neW Yorkers, three Years into the recoverY.

    The ofcial word may be that therecession has ended, but more thanthree years into a limping recovery,low-income New Yorkers do not seeit that way. Nearly half (48 percent)of the poor and near poor wereconcerned that they or someone intheir household would be out ofwork in the coming year, with nearlya third very concerned, compared to14 percent of moderate- and higher-income New Yorkers who were veryconcerned they might lose their jobs.

    Only 16 percent of low-income NewYorkers think the local job situationis starting to look up, a gure littlechanged from 15 percent a year ago.Moderate- and higher-income NewYorkers are more likely to see animproving jobs picture; 22 percentsay it is starting to look up, comparedto 13 percent who thought so a yearearlier.

    The threat of job loss combined withthe sense that jobs remain scarceweighs heavily on families withlittle or no savings. Nearly half oflow-income New Yorkers reportedvirtually nothingless than $500tofall back on if tough times were tohit their families. More than fourin ten of the working poor told usthat they worry all or most of thetime that their incomes will not beenough to pay the bills. And aneven greater share of low-incomeworking mothers55 percentsaid

    they worry all or nearly all the timethat their take-home pay will not besufcient to meet expenses.

    When asked what problems theypersonally worry about the most,low-income New Yorkers most oftensay health care and prescription drugs(17 percent). The precarious situationof low-wage workers, with little

    savings, in jobs that offer no healthinsurance and no paid sick leave, putsmany one illness away from economicdisaster.

    Close behind health care, the otherthings that keep low-income NewYorkers up at night are nding orkeeping a job (15 percent), schoolsand college tuition (14 percent) andcrime (14 percent). While health alsotops the list of worries for moderate-and high-income New Yorkers,

    retirement security is a close second.

    Economic hardships,4 such as adrop in wages or job loss, rose forlow-income New Yorkers followingthe onset of the recession and havebeen slow to abate. In addition,over the past two years, low-incomeNew Yorkers reported an increasein health hardships, including notbeing able to get medical care, notbeing able to afford to ll a neededprescription, or going withoutinsurance.5 It is not surprising thatwith continued high unemployment

    rates in the city and no increase inthe minimum wage since it went upten cents in 2009, many low-incomefamilies are struggling to make therent, buy groceries, and pay for theirmedications.

    A minimum wage worker in NewYork is earning a poverty wage:$7.25 an hour, or about $15,080

    for someone working full-time,year-round, is not enough to puta family of three above the federalpoverty threshold of $17,916. Forty-three percent of full-time workersearning poverty-level wages reportedexperiencing three or more serioushardships in the past year. Twenty-eight percent fell behind in the rent,nearly one in ve went hungrybecause they couldnt afford to buyfood, and almost a third had to cutback on buying clothes and school

    supplies for their children.

    The precarius situatin lw-wage wrers,

    with little savings, in jbs that er n health

    insurance and n paid sic leave, puts many

    ne illness away rm ecnmic disaster.

  • 7/29/2019 The Race for Mayor: What's In It for Low Income New Yorkers?

    9/36

    T Unrd TirdVte 2013 | 7

    hl lw-inm Nw yrkrs wrr but lsin b in t nxt r, nd ust 16 prnt s

    t b mrkt in t it is lkin up.

    Nrl l lw-inm

    Nw yrkrs v lmst n

    svins t ll bk n.

    Q: I tugh times were t hit yu and yuramily, hw much mney in savingsd yu currently have t all bac n?

    Mr tn 4 in 10 lw-inm

    Nw yrkrs wrr ll r mst

    t tim tt tir mil

    inm will nt b nu t

    p t bills.

    Q:Hw ten d yu wrry that yur ttal

    amily incme will nt be enugh tmeet yur amilys epenses and bills all

    the time, mst the time, sme the time,

    nce in a while, r never?

    Q: Thining abut the net 12 mnths, hw cncerned are yuthat yu r smene in yur husehld will be ut a jb?(Split Sampled Questin)

    Q: Thining New Yr City, d yu thin the jb maret isstarting t l up, is getting wrse, r is staying abut thesame? (Split Sampled Questin)

    ConCern aBoUT Losing a JoB vieW o JoB markeT

    | | | | | | | |80% 60% 40% 20% 0% 20% 40% 60%

    | | | | | | | | | | |0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

    37% 21%

    32% 32%

    40% 14%

    ToTAL

    LoW INcoMe

    MoD-HIGHINCoME

    ToTAL LoW INcoMe MoD-HIGH INCoME

    $0-$100

    $101-$500

    ToTaL:

    Working Poor

    37%

    13%

    50%

    LoW inCome

    38%

    11%

    49%

    MoD-HIGH INCoME

    12%

    3%

    15%

    20%16%

    23%

    55%

    22%17%

    50%

    19%

    52%

    48%

    37%

    31%

    60%

    50%

    66%

    STARTING ToLook UP

    GETTINGWoRSE

    STAYING ABoUTTHE SAME

    NoT AT ALLCoNCERNED

    A LITTLECoNCERNED

    VERYCoNCERNED

    SoMEWHATCoNCERNED

    NEVER oNCE INA WHILE

    SoME oFTHE TIME

    MoST oFTHE TIME

    ALL oFTHE TIME

    60%

    40%

    20%

    0

    27% 26% 20% 11% 16%

    20% 19% 19% 16% 26%

    15% 24% 17% 22% 21%

    32% 30% 21% 10%7%

    21% 19% 12% 43%5%

    ToTAL

    LoW INcoMe

    MoD-HIGH INCoME

    WoRKINg PooR

    LoW-INcoMeWoRKINg MoTheRS

    42%

    43%

    55%

    17%

  • 7/29/2019 The Race for Mayor: What's In It for Low Income New Yorkers?

    10/36

    8 | T Unrd TirdVte 2013

    Nw yrkrs rss inms

    mst tn itd lt r

    nd prsriptin drus s tir

    tp prsnl wrr.

    Q:

    Nw Im ging t read yu sme

    prblems yu and yur amily may

    ace. Please listen careully, then tell me

    which oNE these yu persnally wrry

    the mst abut.

    ToP PersonaL Worries BY inCome

    LoW inCome MoD-HIGH INCoME

    17% - Health care and prescriptin drugs 20% - Health care and prescriptin drugs

    15% - Finding r eeping a jb 19% - Retirement security

    14%- Schls and cllege tuitin

    16%- Schls and cllege tuitin

    14% - Crime, drugs, and gangs 11% - Crime, drugs, and gangs

    enmi rdsips v

    bn slw t rd mn

    lw-inm Nw yrkrs

    sin t rssin; lt

    rdsips v risn vr t

    pst tw rs.*Includes nly thse hardships that were ased abutin every year rm 2006 thrugh 2012.

    2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    55%

    50%

    45%

    40%

    35%

    30%

    25%

    nUmBer o harDshiPs* over Time among

  • 7/29/2019 The Race for Mayor: What's In It for Low Income New Yorkers?

    11/36

    T Unrd TirdVte 2013 | 9

    Overall, New Yorkers think thismayoral race should be about fourissues: creating jobs, investing morein education, keeping the city safe,and making housing more affordable.While the top cluster of issues issimilar for low- and higher-incomeNew Yorkers, the emphasis differs.

    Job creation is the single most salient

    issue for those struggling to makeends meet, with 43 percent of low-income New Yorkers mentioning it asone of the top two issues they wantmayoral candidates to address. Thenext three most mentioned issues forlow-income New Yorkers are reducingcrime, drugs and guns (31 percent),investing more in education (30percent) and making housing moreaffordable (26 percent). For moderate-and higher-income New Yorkers,investing more in education and jobcreation roughly tie as their top twoissues, mentioned by about a third ofthose asked. Despite the controversyand media attention surroundingthe citys aggressive stop and friskpolice tactics, it was not frequentlymentioned as a top campaign issueby either low- or higher-income NewYorkers. It may be that people feel thatthe issue has already gotten enoughattention, their views are unsettled, orthat it just gets pushed down by more

    pressing concerns. Making the citymore attractive to business comes indead last, at four percent, for low-income respondents, and is at thebottom of the list, at seven percent forNew Yorkers overall.

    For some business advocates, who seejob creation and pro-business policiesas nearly synonymous, these ndings

    may seem bafing, or worse. In theireyes, the conventional wisdom is thatthe road to more jobs is paved withlower taxes and fewer regulationson business. New Yorkers, acrossincomes, do not see it this way. Ata time when inadequate consumerdemand is the main drag on economicgrowth, the public is simply not

    buying the argument that the solutionto our economic problems is less

    regulation and more tax breaks forbusiness. Rather New Yorkers wanttheir next mayor to support policiesthat help workers and their familiesget ahead. In this analysis, what drivesthe shoe store owner to hire the nextworker or open the next shop is not atax break, but a long line of customersat the cash register who can afford tobuy shoes.

    Asked about their preferences for the2013 election, New Yorkersacrossincomes and by more than a three-to-one marginfavor a mayor whosupports policies that help workingNew Yorkers and their families getahead over a mayor who supportspolicies that make New York Citya good place to do business. Whenexamples of specic policies are

    spelled out, New Yorkers preferworker-friendly over business-friendlypolicies by a similar wide margin.Seventy-two percent of all NewYorkers agree with the statement, Weneed a mayor who supports policiesthat help working New Yorkers andtheir families get ahead, like makinghousing more affordable, protecting

    schools from cuts, and promotingbetter benets for workers. This

    is compared to only 20 percent (17percent of low-income and 23 percentof moderate- and higher-incomerespondents) who agreed that, Weneed a mayor who supports policiesthat make New York City a goodplace to do business, like lower taxesand fewer regulations for smallbusinesses. These views conrmpolling results from the previous year.

    In this analysis, what drives the she stre

    wner t hire the net wrer r pen the

    net shp is nt a ta brea, but a lng line

    custmers at the cash register wh can

    ard t buy shes.

    indin TrWhile loW-income neW Yorkers put job creation at the top of

    their agenda for the next maYor; theY, along With moderate and

    higher income respondents, do not think the solution is makingthe citY more business-friendlY. rather, neW Yorkers are united

    in favoring policies that help Working people get ahead.

  • 7/29/2019 The Race for Mayor: What's In It for Low Income New Yorkers?

    12/36

    10 | T Unrd TirdVte 2013

    Nw yrkrs wnt t nxt

    dministrtin t us n

    rtin bs nd invstin in

    dutin.

    Q:

    Net year there will be an electin r

    New Yr City mayr and ther city

    cials. Thining abut the city electins

    in 2013, what are the tw mst imprtant

    issues that yu wuld lie candidates t

    cus n?

    Tp nd bttm tir ltin

    issus r similr rss

    inm rups, but lw-

    inm Nw yrkrs r mr

    likl t s b rtin

    nd rdbl usin r

    imprtnt.

    Q: Thining abut the city electinsin 2013, what are the tw mstimprtant issues that yu wuld lie

    candidates t cus n?

    | | | | | | | |0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%

    mosT imPorTanT issUes

    36%

    32%

    28%

    21%

    16%

    15%

    14%

    7%

    7%

    7%

    ToP CLUsTer o issUe ConCerns BY inCome

    LoW inCome MoD-HIGH INCoME

    43% - Creating mre jbs 33% - Investing in educatin

    31% - Reducing crime, drugs, and guns 32% - Creating mre jbs

    30% - Investing in educatin 27% - Reducing crime, drugs, and guns

    26% - Maing husing mre ardable 18% - Maing husing mre ardable

    BoTTom CLUsTer o issUe ConCerns BY inCome

    LoW inCome MoD-HIGH INCoME

    7% - Reducing stp and ris plicing 9% - Maing the city mre attractivet business

    5% - keeping spending dwn 8% - Reducing stp and ris plicing

    4% - Maing the city mre attractive tbusiness

    8% - keeping spending dwn

    CreaTing more JoBs

    invesTing more in eDUCaTion

    REDUCING CRIME, DRUGS, AND GUNS

    MAkING HoUSING MoRE AFFoRDABLE

    kEEPING LoCAL TAxES DoWN

    PREVENTING CUTS To PRoGRAMS FoRCHILDREN AND SENIoRS

    REDUCING THE GAP BETWEENTHE RICH AND PooR

    REDUCING SToP AND FRISk PoLICING

    kEEPING SPENDING DoWN

    MAkING THE CITY MoREATTRACTIVE To BUSINESS

  • 7/29/2019 The Race for Mayor: What's In It for Low Income New Yorkers?

    13/36

    T Unrd TirdVte 2013 | 11

    LoW MoD-HIGH LoW MoD-HIGH LoW MoD-HIGH

    B mr tn tr-t-n

    mrin, Nw yrkrs prr

    mr w supprts pliis

    tt lp wrkin Nw yrkrs

    nd tir milis t d

    vr pr-businss pliis.

    Q:And thining abut ur netmayr, which the llwing twstatements d yu agree with mre?

    Sttmnt a:We need a mayr wh

    supprts plicies that mae New Yr City a

    gd place t d business.

    Sttmnt B: We need a mayr wh

    supprts plicies that help wring New

    Yrers and their amilies get ahead.

    (Split Sampled Questin)

    maYoraL PrioriTies

    70%

    60%

    50%

    40%

    30%

    20%

    10%

    0

    heLPing Working neW Yorkers

    69%

    heLPing Working neW Yorkers

    gooD PLaCe To Do BUsiness

    19%

    gooD PLaCe To Do BUsiness

    neiTher/BoTh/DonT knoW

    12%

    neiTher/BoTh/DonT knoW

    18%20%

    19% 20%

    69%

    69%

    13%

    69%

    72%

    11%

    12%7%

    WITHoUTSPECIFICS

    WITHSPECIFICPoLICIES

    WITHoUTSPECIFICS

    WITHSPECIFICPoLICIES

    WITHoUTSPECIFICS

    WITHSPECIFICPoLICIES

    Nw yrkrs prr mr

    w supprts wrkr-rindl

    pliis vr mr w

    vrs businss intrsts b

    t sm wid mrin wnspi pliis r inludd.

    Q:And thining abut ur netmayr, which the llwing twstatements d yu agree with mre?

    Sttmnt a: We need a mayr wh

    supprts plicies that mae New Yr City

    a gd place t d business lie lw

    t d w ult ll

    bu.

    Sttmnt B: We need a mayr wh

    supprts plicies that help wring New

    Yrers and their amilies get ahead lie

    u dbl,

    ptct cl cut, d

    pt btt bft w.

    (Split Sampled Questn)

    PreerenCe or maYoraL PrioriTies(aLL inComes)

    80%

    70%

    60%

    50%

    40%

    30%

    20%

    10%

    0

  • 7/29/2019 The Race for Mayor: What's In It for Low Income New Yorkers?

    14/36

    12 | T Unrd TirdVte 2013

    indin urneW Yorkers believe that the WaY for Working families to get

    ahead is bY raising the floor for loW-paYing jobs, attracting

    more middle-skilled jobs to the citY, and ensuring that Youngpeople have the education theY need to fill those better-

    paYing jobs.

    The ndings reect an underlyingcore value that people working hardshould be able to earn a decent living,and certainly at least escape poverty.Measures raising the oor of incomeand benets for low-wage workers,including increasing the minimum wageand requiring employers to provide at

    least a few paid sick days, enjoy nearlyuniversal support from New Yorkers.Nearly nine out of ten respondents ofall incomes think its important for thenext mayor to pursue such policies.However, those with low incomes showreal intensity on this issue. Eight in tenlow-income New Yorkers say policiesto raise the oor are very important,in contrast to 62 percent of moderate-and higher-income respondents.

    INcReaSINg The MINIMUM Wage

    The New York State legislature hasbeen debating raising the minimumwage since last year. Most recently,Governor Cuomo called for anincrease from $7.25 to $8.75 inhis January 2013 State of the StateAddress. When asked specicallyabout the original legislative proposalto raise the minimum wage to $8.50with an annual adjustment to keeppace with ination, New Yorkers are

    overwhelmingly in support. Ninetypercent of low-income respondents and88 percent of all New Yorkers favorthe legislative proposal, with the vastmajority strongly in favor. Supportcuts across party lines, with two-thirds of Republicans indicating theirsupport, along with the wide majorityof Independents and Democrats.Although the state minimum wage

    is set by Albany, the mayor can be apowerful voice pushing for passage.Some cities, like San Francisco, SantaFe, and Albuquerque have gone a stepfurther and set their own city minimumwages above state and federal levels.(See CSS Policy Update, The Case forRaising New York States Minimum

    Wage, for more on this issue.)

    PaSSINg PaID SIcK DayS

    While many of us take for grantedbeing able to take off a day or twofrom work when illness strikes, thisis far from the case for 43 percentof working New Yorkers, includingthe majority of low-wage workers inindustries like restaurants and retail.Sixty-two percent of low-income,working New Yorkers reported thatthey do not have a single paid sickday to use if they or a family memberneed to recover at home or seekmedical care. That puts workers livingpaycheck to paycheck in the impossiblesituation of choosing between theearnings and the job they need andtheir own or their childs health. Theimpact this has on public health wasbrought home this winter during oneof the worst u seasons in years, whenmany workers were forced to go in

    sick or send ill children to school,worsening the epidemic and crowdingemergency rooms. But lack of paid sicktime is a continuing challenge for low-income workers who literally cannotafford to get sick.

    Passing a law that would requireemployers to provide a minimumnumber of paid sick days for workers

    has been hotly debated over the pastfew years in New York City. As thepublic has listened to both sides andlearned more about the issue, supporthas grown from 74 to 83 percent infavor in the last year, while the numberof undecided has shrunk from 17

    percent in 2011 to just 4 percent now.New Yorkers of all income levels favorthe idea of passing a law requiringemployers to offer workers a minimumnumber of paid sick days. Support isintense. Nearly two out of three NewYorkers strongly favor passage of thepaid sick days bill originally before theCity Council that would have requiredsmall businesses to provide ve paidsick days and larger businesses of 20or more workers to provide nine days.The bill has since been amended to

    exclude mom-and-pop shops withfewer than ve workers from havingto provide paid sick days, but theseestablishments would not be allowed tore a worker for being out sick for upto ve days. Other amendments reducethe amount of required sick time to justve days regardless of business size,effectively exclude seasonal workers,and allow for voluntary shift changesin lieu of paid time off. All theseprovisions respond to concerns voicedby those opposed to a law. It is likelythat polling on the amended languagewould boost already high support evenfurther.

    Despite support from 37 of 51 Councilmembersa veto-proof majorityCity Council speaker and mayoralcontender Christine Quinn hasprevented the bill from coming to theoor for a vote. She argues that nowis not the time to pass a law that coulddestroy jobs in a still weak economy.

    Proponents of the measure, along withleading economists, have counteredthat there is simply no evidence tosupport such fears. They point toresearch on the impact of minimumwage increases and the experience oflocalities that have already put paidsick days laws in effect to show thatsuch laws have not had any negativeimpact on employment. Small costs

  • 7/29/2019 The Race for Mayor: What's In It for Low Income New Yorkers?

    15/36

    T Unrd TirdVte 2013 | 13

    of the magnitude being consideredcan easily be absorbed by minoradjustments in operations or pricesonce a law provides a level playing eldso that no business is at a competitivedisadvantage. (See CSS Report, TheImpact of Paid Sick Days on Jobs:

    Whats the Real Story?) It dees logicto think that businesses in the servicesector, those most likely to be affected,will abandon their customer baseand incur the much greater costs ofrelocating to avoid paying for a fewpaid sick days. Moreover, to focus onlyon the small costs to businesses ignoresthe substantial savings on the publichealth side. These include reductionin u cases and other contagiousillnesses, fewer emergency room visitsby workers unable to get needed care

    during normal work hours, decreasedworkplace accidents, and greaterlikelihood of workers getting cancerscreeningsall of which have beenshown to be related to access to paidsick leave.6

    With Speaker Quinn blocking actionon paid sick days and other mayoralcandidates urging passage, paid leavehas already emerged as an issue inthe race for City Hall. We looked atlevels of support among critical votinggroups. Paid sick days is favoredby New Yorkers across party lines,including 87 percent of Democrats,77 percent of Independents, and 69percent of Republicanswith supportrising over the previous year for everygroup. Nearly eight in ten New Yorkerssay they are more likely to vote for amayoral candidate who supports paidsick days and the majority would beless likely to vote for someone opposedto passage. Black and Hispanic

    Democrats, in particular, say they aremuch more likely to vote for a mayoralcandidate who supports paid sickdays. (See CSS Policy Update, PaidSick Days: Support Grows for a Work

    Standard Most Low-Wage Earners Still

    Lack in New York City, for more onthis issue.)

    BRoaDeNINg The joBS BaSe

    The Bloomberg administrationsactions to reinvent New York Cityas a high tech center are hugelypopular. A global competition won byCornell University in partnership with

    Technion-Israel Institute of Technologywill bring the city a world-classgraduate academic center designed tospawn new inventions and technologycompanies. Columbia and New YorkUniversity have since announced plansto expand their engineering schools aswell. Nearly nine out of ten of thosepolled want the next mayor to continuepolicies that bring high tech jobs to thecity.

    But equally popular are strategies to

    attract more middle-skill jobs, which,to date, have not been part of ahighly-touted plan. Over the past threedecades, changes in technology andglobalization have led to an increasingpolarization of job opportunitiesand wagesin the United States.

    Job growth has come at both endsof the skill spectrum, among highly-trained workers who use technologyto increase their productivity and forlow-skilled workers in service jobsthat require physical proximity andbenet from increased demand fromhigh-paid workers for services likechild care and restaurant meals. Manymiddle-skill jobs have been automatedor shipped overseas to less expensivelabor markets. These national trendsare even more pronounced in theNew York City area. According to ananalysis by New York Federal ReserveBank economists Abel and Deitz,7 from1980 to 2010, upper middle-skill jobs,like repairing and installing equipment,

    construction, and teaching increasedby just 38 percent in the New Yorkdownstate area compared to 46 percentnationally and lower middle-skill jobs,such as administrative support andmachine operators, actually fell by 7percent downstate compared to a 20percent increase in the United States.

    We found near-universal supportfor expanding the mayoral agendato include attracting more middle-skilled jobs that pay decent wagesbut do not require advanced degrees.Greater investment in infrastructurethat would put people to work in jobs

    such as upgrading subways, publichousing, schools, and parks drawswide and strong support. Nine out often low-income New Yorkers favorboth these latter job creation strategies,which are also supported by similarpercentages of moderate- and higher-income respondents. These positionsare consistent with our other ndings.Most of the recent job growth in NewYork City has been at the extremes:high-skill and high-paid or low-wageservice sector jobs. It stands to reason

    that New Yorkers worried aboutwidening economic disparities and adisappearing middle class would belikely to favor strategies to bolster themissing middle: jobs that pay goodwages and provide basic benets.

    eDUcaTINg NeW yoRKeRS So They caN

    ILL hIgh- aND MIDDLe-SKILL joBS

    At a recent mayoral forum, businessleaders representing the citys largestcorporations described the city as amagnet attracting the best and brightestcollege graduates from around thecountry to ll their jobs. Glaring in itsomission was any praise for home-grown hires. How do we strengthenthe pipeline of well-qualied graduatesfrom New York City public schools tothe jobs of the future? In responses to aseries of questions, New Yorkers acrossincome lines show strong support forputting more resources into education,especially schools serving poor

    children, and to doing more to expandaccess to higher education for groupsthat are now underrepresented.

  • 7/29/2019 The Race for Mayor: What's In It for Low Income New Yorkers?

    16/36

    14 | T Unrd TirdVte 2013

    Nw yrkrs r tt it is

    imprtnt r t nxt mr

    t pursu pliis tt lp

    lw-w wrkrs t d;

    wvr, lw-inm Nw

    yrkrs r mu mr likl

    t s it is vr imprtnt.

    Q: Hw imprtant is it t yu persnallythat the net mayr pursue this aspart his r her agenda? Very imprtant,

    smewhat imprtant, a little imprtant, r

    nt at all imprtant?

    PromoTe measUres To heLP LoW-Wage WorkersgeT aheaD, Like raising The minimUm Wage

    anD reQUiring PaiD siCk DaYs

    90%

    80%

    70%

    60%

    50%

    40%

    30%

    20%

    10%

    0

    ToTAL LoW INcoMe MoD-HIGH INCoME

    69%

    80%

    62%

    87% 89% 85%

    VERY IMPoRTANT SoMEWHAT IMPoRTANT

    B wid mritis, Nw

    yrkrs ll inms strnl

    vr risin t minimum

    w nd indxin it t kp

    p wit inftin.

    Q: The New Yr State legislatureis cnsidering raising the stateminimum wage rm $7.25 an hur t

    $8.50 an hur and then adjusting theminimum wage each year t eep pace with

    the cst living. D yu avr r ppse

    raising the state minimum wage t $8.50

    an hur?

    oPPose | avor

    STRoNGLYoPPoSE

    SoMEWHAToPPoSE

    STRoNGLYFAVoR

    SoMEWHATFAVoR

    78%

    83%

    74%

    | | | | | | | | | | | |20% 10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%

    ToTAL

    LoW INcoMe

    MoD-HIGHINCoME

    6%

    6%

    7%

    88%

    90%

    85%

    10%

    8%

    12%

    53%

    72%

    86%

    78%

    Supprt r minimum w

    inrs is spill strn

    mn Dmrts, but tw-

    tirds Rpublins ls

    vr it.

    Q: The New Yr State legislatureis cnsidering raising the stateminimum wage rm $7.25 an hur t

    $8.50 an hur and then adjusting the

    minimum wage each year t eep pace with

    the cst living. D yu avr r ppse

    raising the state minimum wage t $8.50

    an hur?

    oPPose | avor

    STRoNGLYoPPoSE

    SoMEWHAToPPoSE

    STRoNGLYFAVoR

    SoMEWHATFAVoR

    | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |

    40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

    ToTAL

    DEMoCRAT

    INDEPENDENT

    REPUBLICAN

    6%

    9%

    22%

    2% -

    88%

    94%

    84%

    66%

    10%

    4%

    14%

    33%

  • 7/29/2019 The Race for Mayor: What's In It for Low Income New Yorkers?

    17/36

    T Unrd TirdVte 2013 | 15

    as t publi s lrnd

    mr but t pid sik ds

    issu, wr r undidd nd

    supprt s rwn.

    Q: The New Yr City Cuncil iscnsidering a prpsal that wuldrequire emplyers in New Yr City t

    prvide wrers with at least ve paid sic

    days a year i they are a small business,

    and nine paid sic days a year i they are a

    business with 20 r mre emplyees. Wuld

    yu strngly avr this prpsal, smewhat

    avr, smewhat ppse, r strngly ppse

    this prpsal, r are yu undecided?

    avor

    oPPose

    UnDeCiDeD

    STRoNGLYFAVoR

    2011

    2011

    2011

    2012

    2012

    2012

    SoMEWHATFAVoR

    STRoNGLYoPPoSE

    SoMEWHAToPPoSE

    UNDECIDED

    | | | | | | | | | |0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%

    74%

    83%

    9%

    13%

    4%

    17%

    65%

    54%

    5%

    7%

    Nw yrkrs ll inm

    lvls vr pssin t pid

    sik ds prpsl wit rl

    intnsit; but tw-tirds

    strnl vr Nw yrk cit

    lw.

    Q:

    The New Yr City Cuncil is

    cnsidering a prpsal that wuld

    require emplyers in New Yr City t

    prvide wrers with at least ve paid sic

    days a year i they are a small business,

    and nine paid sic days a year i they are a

    business with 20 r mre emplyees. Wuld

    yu strngly avr this prpsal, smewhat

    avr, smewhat ppse, r strngly ppse

    this prpsal, r are yu undecided?

    oPPose | avor UnDeCiDeD

    a mrit lw-inm

    wrkrs in Nw yrk cit62

    prntlk pid sik lv.

    Q:Which the llwing benets dyu receive rm yur emplyer?

    PerCenT o Workers saYing TheY Do noT reCeive PaiD siCk Leave

    70%

    60%

    50%

    40%

    30%

    20%

    10%

    0ToTAL LoW inCome

    (200% PL)MoDERATE INCoME(201%-400% FPL)

    HIGHER INCoME(>400% FPL)

    43%

    62%

    45%

    29%

    2011

    2011

    2011

    2012

    2012

    2012

    STRoNGLYoPPoSE

    SoMEWHAToPPoSE

    STRoNGLYFAVoR

    SoMEWHATFAVoR

    | | | | | | | | | | | |20% 10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%

    ToTAL

    LoWINcoMe

    MoD-HIGHINCoME

    74% 17%

    83% 4%

    70% 21%

    84% 5%

    77% 13%

    83% 4%

    54%

    65%

    50%

    67%

    57%

    64%

    5%

    7%

    6%

    6%

    4%

    8%

    9%

    13%

    9%

    11%

    10%

    14%

  • 7/29/2019 The Race for Mayor: What's In It for Low Income New Yorkers?

    18/36

    16 | T Unrd TirdVte 2013

    44%

    arss prt lins, Nw

    yrkrs vr mkin pid sik

    ds n mplmnt stndrd.

    ovr tw-tirds Rpublins

    supprt pid sik ds s d

    tr-qurtrs Dmrts

    nd Indpndnts.

    Q: The New Yr City Cuncil iscnsidering a prpsal that wuldrequire emplyers in New Yr City t

    prvide wrers with at least ve paid sic

    days a year i they are a small business,

    and nine paid sic days a year i they are a

    business with 20 r mre emplyees. Wuld

    yu strngly avr this prpsal, smewhat

    avr, smewhat ppse, r strngly ppse

    this prpsal, r are yu undecided?

    oPPose | avor UnDeCiDeD

    2011

    2011

    2011

    2011

    2012

    2012

    2012

    2012

    STRoNGLY

    oPPoSE

    SoMEWHAT

    oPPoSE

    STRoNGLY

    FAVoR

    SoMEWHAT

    FAVoR

    | | | | | | | | | | | | |

    30% 20% 10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%

    ToTAL

    DEMoCRAT

    INDEPENDENT

    REPUBLICAN

    17%

    4%

    15%

    4%

    18%

    14%

    4%

    6%

    54%

    65%

    59%

    71%

    47%

    55%

    47%

    5%

    7%

    3%

    5%

    6%

    10%

    11%

    14%

    74%

    83%

    77%

    87%

    74%

    77%

    66%

    69%

    9%

    13%

    7%

    9%

    9%

    19%

    20%

    25%

    23% 16%

    22% 21%

    36% 18%

    33% 17%

    17% 35%

    48%

    56%

    52%

    Nrl 8 in 10 Nw yrkrs r mr likl t vt r mrl

    ndidt w supprts pid sik ds nd mrit wuld

    punis n ppsd t t prpsl.

    Q:Wuld yu be mre r less liely t vte r a candidate r mayr wh [ppsed/supprted] the prpsal which requires emplyers in New Yr City t prvide theirwrers with paid sic days? (Split Sampled Questin)

    Less LikeLY To voTe or | more LikeLY To voTe or

    MUCH LESSLIkELY

    SoMEWHATLESS LIkELY

    MUCH MoRELIkELY

    SoMEWHATMoRE LIkELY

    | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%

    ToTAL

    DEMoCRAT

    INDEPENDENT

    REPUBLICAN

    IF MAYoRAL CANDIDATE SUPPORTEDREQUIRING EMPLoYERS To PRoVIDE PAID SICk DAYS

    IF MAYoRAL CANDIDATE OPPOSEDREQUIRING EMPLoYERS To PRoVIDE PAID SICk DAYS

    4%

    5%

    5%

    81%

    78%

    76%

    66%

    28%

    27%

    34%

    35%

    8%

    10%

    9%

    23%

    54%

    58%

    43%

    43%

    ToTAL

    DEMoCRAT

    INDEPENDENT

    REPUBLICAN

  • 7/29/2019 The Race for Mayor: What's In It for Low Income New Yorkers?

    19/36

    T Unrd TirdVte 2013 | 17

    34% 20%

    37%

    37%

    22%

    36% 18%

    69%

    64%

    56%

    56%

    Blk nd hispni Dmrts

    r prtiulrl likl t vt

    r mrl ndidt i

    r s supprtd pid sik

    ds.

    Q:Wuld yu be mre r less liely tvte r a candidate r mayr wh

    [ppsed/supprted] the prpsal which

    requires emplyers in New Yr City t

    prvide their wrers with paid sic days?

    (Split Sampled Questin)

    Less LikeLY To voTe or | more LikeLY To voTe or

    MUCH LESSLIkELY

    SoMEWHATLESS LIkELY

    MUCH MoRELIkELY

    SoMEWHATMoRE LIkELY

    | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%

    ALL DEM.

    WoMEN DEM.

    BLaCk Dem.

    hisPaniC Dem.

    ALL DEM.

    Women Dem.

    BLACk DEM.

    HISPANIC DEM.

    IF MAYoRAL CANDIDATE SUPPORTEDREQUIRING EMPLoYERS To PRoVIDE PAID SICk DAYS*

    IF MAYoRAL CANDIDATE OPPOSEDREQUIRING EMPLoYERS To PRoVIDE PAID SICk DAYS*

    4%

    3%

    5%

    3%

    81%

    82%

    87%

    85%

    27%

    28%

    30%

    34%

    8%

    9%

    5%

    8%

    58%

    60%

    57%

    57% 26%

    Nrl 9 in 10 Nw yrkrs

    s t nxt mr suld

    ntinu t urrnt

    dministrtins pli

    brinin i t bs t Nw

    yrk cit.

    Q: Shuld the net mayr cntinue rdiscntinue this plicy and d yueel that way strngly r nt s strngly?

    invesTing in Bringing high TeCh JoBs To neW York CiTY

    CoNTINUESTRoNGLY

    VERY IMPoRTANT

    CoNTINUE NoTSo STRoNGLY

    SoMEWHAT IMPoRTANT

    ToTAL LoW inCome MoD-HIGH INCoME

    100%

    80%

    60%

    40%

    20%

    0

    73%

    89%

    73%

    89%

    73%

    89%

    Nw yrkrs r unitd in nr-univrsl bli tt it is imprtnt r t nxt mr t mk

    pliis r rtin middl-skill bs prt is r r nd.

    Q: Hw imprtant is it t yu persnally that the net mayr pursue this as part his r her agenda? Very imprtant, smewhat imprtant,a little imprtant, r nt at all imprtant?

    ToTAL LoW inCome MoD-HIGH INCoME ToTAL LoW inCome MoD-HIGH INCoME

    100%

    90%

    80%

    70%

    60%

    50%

    40%

    30%

    20%

    10%

    0

    100%

    90%

    80%

    70%

    60%

    50%

    40%

    30%

    20%

    10%

    0

    88% 90% 87% 90% 90% 91%

    69% 73% 67%58%62%

    69%

    aTTraCT more miD-LeveL skiLLeD JoBs To neW York CiTY ThaTPaY DeCenT Wages BUT DonT reQUire aDvanCeD Degrees.

    CreaTe JoBs BY UPgraDing sUBWaYs,PUBLiC hoUsing, sChooLs, anD Parks.

  • 7/29/2019 The Race for Mayor: What's In It for Low Income New Yorkers?

    20/36

    18 | T Unrd TirdVte 2013

    indin ivvirtuallY all neW Yorkers think that it is important for the

    next maYor to put more resources into schools serving poor

    students and ensure that high school students graduateWell-prepared for college.

    Over 90 percent of New Yorkerswant the next mayor to invest moreresources in schools serving poorchildren; 81 percent of low-incomerespondents and 76 percent of thosewith moderate and higher incomessee this as very important. Similarlyhigh levels of support are seen forbolstering college-readiness, now atdismally low levels. Only 21 percent

    of New York City students startinghigh school in 2006 graduated in2010 with high enough scores on statemath and English tests to be deemedready for higher education or well-paying careers.8 For both blacks andHispanics it was only 12 percent. Thiscompares with 40 percent of whitegraduates and 51 percent of Asian-Americans who achieved the college-readiness standard.9 Moreover, morethan half the college-ready graduatescame from just 20 of the 360 highschools that were included in theanalysis.10

    Although a majority of those surveyedfavored increasing the age whensomeone is allowed to drop out ofhigh school, support for this ideawas greater among moderate- andhigher-income respondents (70 percentin favor) than among low-incomerespondents (58 percent in favor).However, nearly everyone supportsthe idea of launching a massive

    publicly-funded campaign, on thescale of the citys anti-smoking efforts,to encourage young people to nishhigh school. This effort could build onand go well beyond the Ad Councilscurrent Boost Up campaign, whichfeatures a stack of desks 12 EmpireState Buildings high, representing the7,000 high school students who dropout every school day in the UnitedStates.

  • 7/29/2019 The Race for Mayor: What's In It for Low Income New Yorkers?

    21/36

    T Unrd TirdVte 2013 | 19

    65%

    83%

    72%

    16% 51%

    22% 46%

    12% 53%

    Nrl tw-tirds Nw

    yrkrs vr risin t

    wn smn is llwd t

    drp ut i sl t 18;

    supprt is strnr mn

    ir-inm Nw yrkrs.

    Q:

    D yu avr r ppse raising the

    age when smene is allwed tdrp ut high schl t 18? (split sample

    questin)

    Virtull ll Nw yrkrs s

    it is imprtnt tt t nxt

    mr pursu pliis tt

    wuld put mr rsurs int

    sls srvin pr studnts

    nd nsur tt i sl

    rduts r prprd r

    ll.

    Q: Hw imprtant is it t yu persnallythat the net mayr pursue this aspart his r her agenda? Very imprtant,

    smewhat imprtant, a little imprtant, r

    nt at all imprtant?

    Tr is nrl univrsl

    supprt r rtin mssiv

    publi mpin t nur

    studnts t nis i sl.

    Mr tn 8 ut 10 lw-inm Nw yrkrs strnl

    vr su prpsl.

    Q: D yu avr r ppse creating apublicly-unded campaign, similar insie t the anti-sming erts, designed

    t encurage children t nt drp ut and

    nish high schl? (split sample questin)

    ToTAL LoW inCome MoD-HIGHINCoME

    ToTAL LoW inCome MoD-HIGHINCoME

    100%

    90%

    80%

    70%

    60%

    50%

    40%

    30%

    20%

    10%

    0

    100%

    90%

    80%

    70%

    60%

    50%

    40%

    30%

    20%

    10%

    0

    93% 94% 92% 96% 96% 95%

    VERYIMPoRTANT

    SoMEWHATIMPoRTANT

    PUT more resoUrCes inTosChooLs serving

    Poor ChiLDren anD Teens

    ensUre high sChooL graDUaTesare WeLL-PrePareD

    or CoLLege

    78% 81% 76% 83%85%

    81%

    STRoNGLYoPPoSE

    STRoNGLYoPPoSE

    NoT SoSTRoNGLYoPPoSE

    NoT SoSTRoNGLYoPPoSE

    STRoNGLYFAVoR

    STRoNGLYFAVoR

    NoT SoSTRoNGLYFAVoR

    NoT SoSTRoNGLYFAVoR

    | | | | | | | | | | | |40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%

    | | | | | | | | | | | | |20% 10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

    ToTAL

    LoW INcoMe

    MoD-HIGHINCoME

    ToTAL

    LoW INcoMe

    MoD-HIGHINCoME

    65%

    58%

    70%

    87%

    91%

    84%

    28%

    34%

    24%

    11%

    7%

    13%

    7%

    9%

    4%

  • 7/29/2019 The Race for Mayor: What's In It for Low Income New Yorkers?

    22/36

    20 | T Unrd TirdVte 2013

    29% 41%

    27% 41%

    28% 35%

    indin SixWhile neW Yorkers Want to see a greater investment in public

    schools, vieWs are someWhat mixed about continuing some of

    the specific strategies of the current administration.The emphasis on standardized testshas been criticized by some educatorsand many progressives, but it doeshave the support of a fairly widemajority of New Yorkers, includingtwo-thirds of low-income parentswho strongly favor continuing thepolicy of focusing on testing in thepublic schools. New Yorkers, however,are divided over whether or not tocontinue the policy of closing low-performing schools and opening new

    schools in shared buildings. Fifty-fourpercent of low-income parents wouldcontinue this policy, while 38 percentthink it should be discontinued.This approach clearly remains

    controversial, especially comparedto the near-universal support forincreasing resources to schools servingpoor children.

    Gifted programs in the public schoolshave also been controversial, withsome arguing access is fairly basedon merit and others arguing that theprograms, which disproportionatelyserve white children, reintroducesegregation within schools and dont

    provide enough opportunities forchildren of color. Low-income NewYorkersincluding 68 percent of low-income parentsfeel strongly that thenext mayor should expand access to

    gifted programs. Support is especiallyhigh among blacks and Latinos; 75percent of low-income blacks and74 percent of low-income Latinosstrongly favor broader access togifted education.

    Expanding and improving high schooltechnical education that preparesstudents for careers like healthoccupations or construction drawseven greater support than expandingaccess to gifted programs, with 94percent of low-income respondentssaying it is important for the nextmayor to pursue this, including 83percent of low-income blacks and 82percent of low-income Hispanics whosay it is very important. Clearly thereis a strong interest in strengthening the

    job high schools do preparing youngpeople both for college and for careersbeyond the low-paid world of retailand fast food.

    Nw yrkrs r dividd vr

    wtr r nt t ntinu

    t pli lsin lwprrmin sls nd

    pnin nw sls in srd

    buildins. a smll mrit

    lw-inm prnts vr

    ntinuin t pli.

    Q: Shuld the net mayr cntinuer discntinue this plicy [clsinglw perrming schls and pening new

    schls in shared buildings] and d yu eel

    that way strngly r nt s strngly?

    41%

    38%

    38%

    50%

    54%

    55%

    DISCoNTINUESTRoNGLY

    DISCoNTINUENoT SoSTRoNGLY

    CoNTINUESTRoNGLY

    CoNTINUE NoTSo STRoNGLY

    | | | | | | | | | | | |50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

    a wid mrit Nw

    yrkrs, inludin vr 8 ut

    10 lw-inm prnts,

    vrs ntinuin t pli

    usin n tstin in publi

    sls.

    Q:Shuld the net mayr cntinue rdiscntinue this plicy [cusing ntesting in public schls] and d yu eel

    that way strngly r nt s strngly?

    DISCoNTINUESTRoNGLY

    DISCoNTINUE NoTSo STRoNGLY

    CoNTINUESTRoNGLY

    CoNTINUE NoTSo STRoNGLY

    | | | | | | | | | | | | |30% 20% 10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%

    26%

    14%

    29%

    68%

    84%

    66%

    ToTAL(ALL INCoMES,PARENTS ANDNoN-PARENTS)

    LoW INcoMePaReNTS(WITh chILDReN

    < 18)

    MoD-HIGHINCoMEPARENTS(WITH CHILDREN< 18)

    ToTAL(ALL INCoMES,PARENTS ANDNoN-PARENTS)

    LoW INcoMePaReNTS(WITh chILDReN< 18)

    MoD-HIGHINCoME PARENTS(WITH CHILDREN< 18)

    18% 55%

    67%

    18% 55%

    9%

  • 7/29/2019 The Race for Mayor: What's In It for Low Income New Yorkers?

    23/36

    T Unrd TirdVte 2013 | 21

    amn lw-inm Nw

    yrkrs, blks nd Ltins r

    mu mr likl tn wits

    t s it is vr imprtnt tt

    t nxt mr xpnd ss

    t itd prrms in sls.

    Q: Hw imprtant is it t yu persnallythat the net mayr pursue this[epand access t gited prgrams in the

    schls] as part his r her agenda? Very

    imprtant, smewhat imprtant, a little

    imprtant, r nt at all imprtant?

    Lw-inm Nw yrkrs,

    spill blks nd Ltins,

    nd prnts wit ildrn

    undr 18, s it is vr

    imprtnt tt t nxt mr

    xpnd nd imprv i

    sl rr nd tnildutin.

    Q: Hw imprtant is it t yu persnallythat the net mayr pursue this[epand and imprve high schl technical

    educatin that prepares students r careers

    lie health ccupatins r cnstructin] as

    part his r her agenda? Very imprtant,

    smewhat imprtant, a little imprtant, r

    nt at all imprtant?

    expndin nd imprvin i

    sl rr nd tnil

    dutin drws vn strnr

    supprt tn xpndin

    ss t itd prrms

    rss inm lvls, wit

    mr ppl sin it is vr

    imprtnt.

    Q: Hw imprtant is it t yu persnallythat the net mayr pursue this aspart his r her agenda? Very imprtant,

    smewhat imprtant, a little imprtant, rnt at all imprtant?

    VERY IMPoRTANT

    VERY IMPoRTANT

    SoMEWHATIMPoRTANT

    SoMEWHATIMPoRTANT

    100%

    90%

    80%

    70%

    60%

    50%

    40%

    30%

    20%

    10%

    0

    100%

    90%

    80%

    70%

    60%

    50%

    40%

    30%

    20%

    10%

    0

    exPanD aCCess To giTeD Programs in sChooLs

    exPanD aCCess TogiTeD ProgramsexPanD aCCess Tohigh sChooL CTe

    ALL LoWINCoME

    LoW-INCoMEPARENTS

    LoW-INCoMEWHITE

    LoW-INCoMEBLACk

    LoW-INCoMELATINo

    ToTAL LoW inCome HIGH INCoME

    87%

    93%

    85%

    94%87%

    92%

    84%

    90%80%

    92% 91%

    65% 68%52%

    75% 74%

    71%58%

    77%67%

    55%65%

    100%

    90%

    80%

    70%

    60%

    50%

    40%

    30%

    20%

    10%

    0

    exPanD anD imProve high sChooLTeChniCaL eDUCaTion

    LoW-INCoMEPARENTS

    (ALL RACES)

    ALL LoW-INCoMEASIANS

    ALL LoW-INCoMEWHITES

    ALL LoW-INCoMEBLACkS

    ALL LoW-INCoMELATINoS

    94% 92% 91%96% 95%

    78%65% 69%

    83% 82%

    VERYIMPoRTANT

    SoMEWHATIMPoRTANT

    VERYIMPoRTANT

    SoMEWHATIMPoRTANT

  • 7/29/2019 The Race for Mayor: What's In It for Low Income New Yorkers?

    24/36

    22 | T Unrd TirdVte 2013

    indin SvnloW-income neW Yorkers favor policies to Widen access to

    higher education for graduates of the citYs public high

    schools. theY also Want to substantiallY expand educationalprograms at all levels for those serving time in state prisons.

    geTTINg INTo cUNy

    One consequence of the GreatRecession that didnt draw muchinitial notice was the increaseddemand for CUNY four-year colleges,especially among white students andtransfers from private colleges lookingfor a more affordable alternative. As

    applications from students with higherSAT scores have increased, the numberand proportion of black and Latinostudents in the entering freshmanclasses, especially at the most selectiveCUNY senior colleges, have fallen.(See CSS Report, Unintended Impacts:Fewer Black and Latino Freshmanat CUNY Senior Colleges After theRecession.) Black and Latino studentswho make up 72 percent of citypublic high school classes lled only28 percent of the freshman seats atCUNYs ve top-tier colleges in 2011.As recently as 2008, black and Latinostudents had made up 36 percentof freshman enrollment at thoseinstitutions.11

    Given these trends, we asked NewYorkers whether or not they favoredusing afrmative action to achieveracial and ethnic diversity at CUNY,the citys public university system.The policy is supported by 58 percent

    of moderate- and higher-incomeNew Yorkers. Lower-income whitestend to oppose it (57 percent opposewhile 36 percent favor) whereas low-income communities of color favorafrmative action by similar, modestmajorities (54 percent of blacks, 53percent of Latinos, and 53 percent ofAsians). However, when presentedwith the argument that afrmative

    action will ensure that the mix ofstudents at the top CUNY four-yearcolleges resembles the mix of studentsin the citys public schools, supportdramatically increases among low-income respondents to 68 percentoverall and rises for all groups.Support among low-income whitesrises to a majority of 56 percent, and

    reaches 74 percent for blacks, 72percent for Hispanics, and 68 percentfor Asians. Some low-income NewYorkers may be wary that othergroups will be the beneciaries ofafrmative action at their expense.Bringing in the notion that each groupwill be fairly represented appears toallay those concerns.

    A far more popular policy, however, isguaranteeing admission to a four-yearCUNY college for any New YorkCity public high school students who

    graduate in the top quarter of theirhigh school class. That draws supportfrom 82 percent of moderate- andhigher-income New Yorkers and 89percent of low-income respondents,including 77 percent who stronglysupport this policy idea.

    geTTINg oUT o PRISoN WITh

    eDUcaTIoN aND TRaININg

    New Yorkers across incomes supportthe idea of providing signicantlymore education and training to peopleserving time in state prisons. Three-quarters of lower-income respondents,as well as eight out of ten moderate-

    and higher-income respondentssupport the idea of providing muchmore GED and vocational trainingthan is currently offered. Whencollege-level education is included,the idea also draws wide support,with three out of four in favor acrossincome groups. It makes sense. NewYorkers know that most of those

    coming out of prison will be returningto their old neighborhoods, and theywant them armed . . . with skills andeducation.

    A ar mre ppular plicy, hwever, is

    guaranteeing admissin t a ur-year CUNYcllege r any New Yr City public high

    schl students wh graduate in the tp

    quarter their high schl class.

  • 7/29/2019 The Race for Mayor: What's In It for Low Income New Yorkers?

    25/36

    T Unrd TirdVte 2013 | 23

    17% 53%

    25% 39%

    16% 57%

    15% 58%

    57%

    30% 36%

    46% 23%

    25% 41%

    26% 41%

    22% 32%

    21% 38%

    30% 35%

    25% 37%

    Lw-inm wits tnd t

    pps rmtiv tin, but

    lw-inm blks, Ltins,nd asins vr it b mdst

    mritis.

    Q: Sme universities use armativeactin t achieve racial and ethnicdiversity. D yu avr r ppse using

    armative actin at CUNY, the city public

    university system? (split sample questin)

    Nw yrkrs vrll vr

    rmtiv tin t cUNy;

    lw-inm Nw yrkrs,

    wvr, r smwt

    dividd vr t issu.

    Q:Sme universities use armativeactin t achieve racial and ethnic

    diversity. D yu avr r ppse using

    armative actin at CUNY, the city public

    university system? (split sample questin)

    hwvr, wn ivn t

    rumnt tt rmtiv

    tin will nsur tt cUNys

    tp sls will mr lsl

    rsmbl t mix studnts

    in t its publi sls,

    supprt mn lw-inm

    Nw yrkrs inrss

    drmtill.

    Q: Sme universities use armativeactin t achieve racial and ethnicdiversity. D yu avr r ppse using

    armative actin at CUNY, the city public

    university system, to ensure that the mix o

    students at the top CUNY 4-year colleges

    resembles the mix o students in the citys

    public schools?(split sample questin)

    STRoNGLYoPPoSE

    NoT SoSTRoNGLYoPPoSE

    STRoNGLYFAVoR

    NoT SoSTRoNGLYFAVoR

    | | | | | | | | | | | |50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

    ToTAL

    LoW INcoMe

    MoD-HIGHINCoME

    ALL LoWINCoME

    LoW-INCoMEWHITES

    LoW-INCoMEBLACkS

    LoW INCoMELATINoS

    LoW-INCoMEASIANS

    38%

    41%

    57%

    34%

    39%

    35%

    24%

    33%

    22%

    21%

    18%

    42%

    34%

    55%

    49%

    36%

    54%

    53%

    53%

    68%

    56%

    74%

    72%

    68%

    48%

    58%

    STRoNGLYoPPoSE

    NoT SoSTRoNGLYoPPoSE

    STRoNGLYFAVoR

    NoT SoSTRoNGLYFAVoR

    | | | | | | | | | | | | |60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

    ALL LoWINCoME

    LoW-INCoMEWHITES

    LoW-INCoMEBLACkS

    LoW INCoMELATINoS

    LoW-INCoME

    ASIANS

    STRoNGLYoPPoSE

    NoT SoSTRoNGLYoPPoSE

    STRoNGLYFAVoR

    NoT SoSTRoNGLYFAVoR

    | | | | | | | | | | | | |40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%

    9%

  • 7/29/2019 The Race for Mayor: What's In It for Low Income New Yorkers?

    26/36

    24 | T Unrd TirdVte 2013

    64%

    65%

    64%

    70%

    77%

    65%

    Nw yrkrs rss inmlvls vr mu mr

    dutin nd trinin r

    ppl srvin tim in stt

    prisns. Nrl tw-tirds

    Nw yrkrs strnl vr

    su prpsl.

    Q: Sme peple have prpsed thatpeple serving time in state prisnsshuld get much mre educatin r training,

    including GEDs and vcatinal training thanthey get currently. D yu avr r ppse

    mre educatin and training r peple

    serving time in prisn, r are yu unsure?

    (split sample questin)

    Nw yrkrs rss inm

    lvls vr pli

    urntin dmissin t

    ur-r cUNy ll r n

    Nyc publi i sl studnts

    w rdut in t tp qurtr

    tir i sl lss.

    Q: D yu avr r ppse a plicy whereany student wh graduates in the tpquarter their New Yr City public high

    schl class wuld be guaranteed admissin

    int a 4-year cllege in the CUNY system, the

    citys public university?

    Wn ll-lvl urss

    r inludd, mr dutin

    nd trinin r ppl srvin

    tim in stt prisns ntinus

    t drw wid supprt.

    Q:Sme peple have prpsed thatpeple serving time in state prisnsshuld get much mre educatin r training,

    including GEDs, vcatinal training, d

    cll ll cu than they get

    currently. D yu avr r ppse mre

    educatin and training r peple serving

    time in prisn, r are yu unsure? (split

    sample questin)

    STRoNGLYoPPoSE

    NoT SoSTRoNGLYoPPoSE

    STRoNGLYFAVoR

    NoT SoSTRoNGLYFAVoR

    | | | | | | | | | | | |

    20% 10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%

    ToTAL

    LoW INcoMe

    MoD-HIGHINCoME

    13% 7%

    5%

    7%

    9%

    6%

    8%

    8%

    16%

    9%

    11%

    8%

    10%

    9%

    10%

    85%

    89%

    82%

    78%

    75%

    81%

    75%

    75%

    74%

    STRoNGLYoPPoSE

    STRoNGLYoPPoSE

    NoT SoSTRoNGLYoPPoSE

    NoT SoSTRoNGLYoPPoSE

    STRoNGLYFAVoR

    STRoNGLYFAVoR

    NoT SoSTRoNGLYFAVoR

    NoT SoSTRoNGLYFAVoR

    | | | | | | | | | | | |20% 10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%

    | | | | | | | | | | |20% 10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%

    ToTAL

    LoW INcoMe

    MoD-HIGHINCoME

    ToTAL

    LoW INcoMe

    MoD-HIGHINCoME

    60%

    61%

    59%

    8%

    7%

    9%

  • 7/29/2019 The Race for Mayor: What's In It for Low Income New Yorkers?

    27/36

    T Unrd TirdVte 2013 | 25

    indin eitreducing crime, drugs, and guns comes in second on the

    list of top priorities for loW-income neW Yorkers. vieWs are

    divided on stop and frisk tactics, but those most directlYaffected Want this police practice reined in.

    The citys leaders are proud to remindus that New York is the safest big cityin the nation. Many attribute the risein tourism, growth in business, andinux of new college graduates to therecord drop in crime that has changedperceptions of New York City. Thefears most often raised in connectionwith crime are about going back to thebad old days of murder, crack, grafti,

    and squeegee men. Low-income NewYorkers are less likely to see crime asa problem of the past. Public safetyremains a large and present concern,as was made clear in their responses toquestions about personal worries andthe mayoral agenda.

    The Bloomberg administration hasmade ghting crime and tougher guncontrol, in particular, high priorities.But the sharp increase in aggressivestop and frisk tactics, a police practiceof stopping, questioning and searchingpeople for suspicious behavior, hascome under legal challenge and attackby civil rights groups and communityleaders. They charge it amounts toracial proling that violates the rightsof those targeted. In 2011 alone,close to 700,000 stops were made.Eighty-seven percent of those stoppedwere blacks and Latinos, many ofthem young men.12 While the mayordefends the tactic as a deterrent to

    crime and a way to get illegal guns offthe streets, critics point out that 88percent13 of all stops did not result inan arrest or summons being given andweapons were recovered in only onepercent of all stops. In January 2013,a federal judge ruled that the policedepartments practice of routinelystopping people for trespassing outsideresidential buildings enrolled in the

    Clean Halls Program in the Bronxwas unconstitutional because it failedto meet standards for searches. Inresponse to mounting protests, thepolice began new training in March,which has led to a 22 percent declinein the number of stops to 533,042 in2012.14

    A slim majority of New Yorkers say

    the next mayor should discontinueaggressive stop and frisk policing,including 55 percent of moderate- andhigher-income respondents. The viewsof low-income New Yorkers, however,are more divided, perhaps becauseof their degree of concern aboutcrime. A lot depends on who is asked,where they live, and what argumentsare presented. When asked whetherthe next mayor should continue ordiscontinue aggressive stop and friskpolicing, low-income New Yorkersoverall were split down the middle,with 46 percent saying continue and46 percent saying discontinue, and therest undecided. Opinions differed byrace. Low-income whites were morelikely to support continuing overdiscontinuing (51 to 41 percent) andblacks were more likely to hold theopposite view (35 percent continueand 58 percent discontinue). Viewsof low-income Hispanics were inbetween, with slightly more for

    continuing (48 percent) versus 44percent for discontinuing the tactic.

    When presented with argumentsfor and against stop and frisk, 45percent of low-income respondentsoverall agreed with the statementthat the practice should be continuedbecause it acts as a deterrent bydiscouraging people from carrying

    guns, helps reduce crime, and makesneighborhoods safer, as comparedto 39 percent who agreed with theview that stop and frisk should bedecreased because it mostly targetsyoung black and Hispanic men thatare not doing anything illegal. Once

    again, the opinions of low-incomeblacks tell a different story. Sixty-onepercent of them say this police tacticshould be decreased. Low-incomeHispanics, the other group most likelyto be subject to this police treatment,are divided, with slightly more sayingthe tactic should be continued (46percent) compared to 38 percentsaying it should be decreased.

    Views on this issue were differentwhen respondents were given the

    argument that stop and frisk does notreduce crime or make neighborhoodssafer. Then more low-income NewYorkers (46 percent) thought it shouldbe decreased compared to 38 percentwho said it should be continued.When presented with the version ofstatements making the case that stopand frisk is not effective in reducingcrime, over half of both low-incomeblacks and Hispanics agreed thatstop and frisk police tactics should bedecreased.

    Looking at the ndings for allincome groups, those who livein neighborhoods where a lotof people have been stopped andfrisked over the past year are morelikely to think that the next mayorshould discontinue the policy. Sixty-ve percent of them say aggressivestop and frisk policing should bediscontinued, including 55 percentwho strongly feel that way. Those

    living in neighborhoods where stopand frisk incidents are few are fairlyevenly divided over whether or not thepractice should be continued.

  • 7/29/2019 The Race for Mayor: What's In It for Low Income New Yorkers?

    28/36

    26 | T Unrd TirdVte 2013

    30% 31%

    38% 28%

    34% 32%

    41% 25%

    amn lw-inm Nw

    yrkrs, slim mrit

    wits vr ntinuin stp

    nd risk pliin, wil

    mrit blks vr

    disntinuin t pli.

    Q: Shuld the net mayr cntinue rdiscntinue this plicy and d yueel that way strngly r nt s strngly?

    a slim mrit Nw yrkrs

    s t nxt mr suld

    disntinu rssiv stp

    nd risk pliin. Lw-inm

    Nw yrkrs r vnl

    dividd.

    Q: Shuld the net mayr cntinue rdiscntinue this plicy and d yueel that way strngly r nt s strngly?

    Wn prsntd wit rumnts n bt sids t issu, Nw yrkrs r dividd n wtr r

    nt t NyPD suld ntinu stp nd risk. Lw-inm Nw yrkrs nrrwl vr ntinuin t

    pli wil mdrt- nd ir-inm rsidnts s it suld drs.

    DISCoNTINUESTRoNGLY

    DISCoNTINUESTRoNGLY

    DISCoNTINUENoT SoSTRoNGLY

    DISCoNTINUENoT SoSTRoNGLY

    CoNTINUESTRoNGLY

    CoNTINUESTRoNGLY

    CoNTINUENoT SoSTRoNGLY

    CoNTINUENoT SoSTRoNGLY

    | | | | | | | | | | | |60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

    | | | | | | | | | | | | |60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

    ToTAL

    LoW INcoMe

    MoD-HIGHINCoME

    aggressive sToP anD risk PoLiCing

    aggressive sToP anD risk PoLiCing

    oPinion o sToP anD risk

    51%

    46%

    41%

    58%

    44%

    46%

    55%

    42%

    46%

    51%

    35%

    48%

    46%

    39%

    ALL LoW

    INCoME

    LoW-INCoMEWHITES

    LoW-inComeBLaCks

    LoW INCoMEHISPANICS

    34% 32%

    33% 38%

    47% 25%

    Q:Which statement abut NYPDs stpand ris plicy is clser t yur view?Sttmnt a: Sme/other peple say

    that it shuld cntinue because it acts asa deterrent by discuraging peple rm

    carrying guns, helps reduce crime, and

    maes neighbrhds saer.

    Sttmnt B: Sme/other peple say that

    it shuld be decreased because it mstly

    targets yung blac and Hispanic men that

    are nt ding anything illegal.

    SHoULDCoNTINUE

    SHoULD BEDECREASED

    SHoULDCoNTINUE

    SHoULD BEDECREASED

    SHoULDCoNTINUE

    SHoULD BEDECREASED

    60%

    50%

    40%

    30%

    20%

    10%

    0

    ToTAL LoW inCome MoD-HIGH INCoME

    41%49% 45%

    39% 39%54%

  • 7/29/2019 The Race for Mayor: What's In It for Low Income New Yorkers?

    29/36

    T Unrd TirdVte 2013 | 27

    Q:Which statement abut NYPDs stpand ris plicy is clser t yur view?Sttmnt a: Sme/other peple say

    that it shuld cntinue because it acts asa deterrent by discuraging peple rm

    carrying guns, helps reduce crime, and

    maes neighbrhds saer.

    Sttmnt B: Sme/other peple say that

    it shuld be decreased because it mstly

    targets yung blac and Hispanic men that

    are nt ding anything illegal.

    Q:Which statement abut NYPDs stpand ris plicy is clser t yurview?

    Sttmnt a: Sme/other peple say

    that it shuld cntinue because it acts as

    a deterrent by discuraging peple rm

    carrying guns, helps reduce crime, and

    maes neighbrhds saer.

    Sttmnt B: Sme/other peple say that

    it shuld be decreased because it mstly

    targets yung blac and Hispanic men thatare nt ding anything illegal and d t

    duc c bd

    . (Split Sampled Questin)

    Q:Which statement abut NYPDs stpand ris plicy is clser t yur view?Sttmnt a: Sme/other peple say

    that it shuld cntinue because it acts as

    a deterrent by discuraging peple rm

    carrying guns, helps reduce crime, and

    maes neighbrhds saer.

    Sttmnt B: Sme/other peple say that it

    shuld be decreased because it mstly targets

    yung blac and Hispanic men that are nt

    ding anything illegal and d t duc

    c bd .

    oPinion o sToP anD risk

    oPinion o sToP anD risk

    oPinion o sToP anD risk

    SHoULDCoNTINUE

    SHoULD BEDECREASED

    SHoULDCoNTINUE

    SHoULD BEDECREASED

    SHoULDCoNTINUE

    SHoULD BEDECREASED

    SHoULDCoNTINUE

    SHoULD BEDECREASED

    SHoULDCoNTINUE

    SHoULD BEDECREASED

    SHoULDCoNTINUE

    SHoULD BEDECREASED

    SHoULDCoNTINUE

    SHoULD BEDECREASED

    SHoULDCoNTINUE

    SHoULD BEDECREASED

    SHoULDCoNTINUE

    SHoULD BEDECREASED

    SHoULDCoNTINUE

    SHoULD BEDECREASED

    SHoULDCoNTINUE

    SHoULD BEDECREASED

    50%

    40%

    30%

    20%

    10%

    0

    70%

    60%50%

    40%

    30%

    20%

    10%

    0

    60%

    50%

    40%

    30%

    20%

    10%

    0

    ToTAL

    ALL LoW INCoME

    ALL LoW INCoME

    LoW inCome

    LoW-INCoME WHITES

    LoW-INCoME WHITES

    MoD-HIGH INCoME

    LoW-INCoME BLACkS

    LoW-INCoME BLACkS

    LoW-INCoME HISPANICS

    LoW-INCoME HISPANICS

    41%

    45%

    38%

    48%

    39%

    46%

    38%

    49%

    47%

    46%

    34%

    44%

    42%

    24%

    31%

    46%

    32%

    49%

    61%

    53%

    38%

    51%

    amn lw-inm Nw yrkrs, wits nd hispnis nrrwl vr ntinuin t pli wil

    wid mrit blks tink t pli suld b drsd.

    hwvr, wn ivn t rumnt tt stp nd risk ds ntin t rdu rim r mk

    nibrds sr, lw-inm Nw yrkrs tink it suld b drsd.

    Wn ivn t rumnt tt it ds nt rdu rim r mk nibrds sr, mrit

    hispnis tink stp nd risk suld b drsd, nd lw-inm wits r lmst vnl split.

  • 7/29/2019 The Race for Mayor: What's In It for Low Income New Yorkers?

    30/36

    28 | T Unrd TirdVte 2013

    55% 19%

    45% 30%

    36% 31%

    35% 25%

    35% 27%

    indin Ninmaking housing more affordable ranks in the top clus-

    ter of issues loW-income neW Yorkers Want the maYoral

    candidates to address. loW-income neW Yorkers experience

    frequent housing hardships and overWhelminglY think that

    it is verY important that the next maYor pursue policies to

    increase the availabilitY of affordable housing as part of his

    or her agenda.

    aoRDaBILITy

    Nearly half of low-income NewYorkers consider being able to affordthe rent, mortgage, or maintenancecosts to be a serious problem; threeout of ten say it is a very seriousproblem for them. Affordabilitytrumps other housing problems fromrepairs to safety among low-incomeNew Yorkers overall. Over one-third

    of low-income New Yorkers reportedat least one housing hardship over thepast year. Nearly a quarter fell behindin the rent, 15 percent had the utilitiesor phone turned off because of unpaidbills, and 12 percent were threatenedwith foreclosure or eviction.

    These ndings are not surprising giventhe high and rising rent burdensthe

    portion of household income spenton rentfor low-income households.Most of New York Citys low-income households live in private,unsubsidized rentals. If we excludethose who beneted from Section8 vouchers that limit their rents to30 percent of their incomes, theproportion paying at least half theirincomes in rent increased from 41to 49 percent from 2005 to 2011.

    Eighty percent of the poor now payhalf or more of their income forrent. That leaves them, on average,with a meager $4.40 a day perhousehold member for everythingelse: food, clothing, MetroCards,and other necessities.15 Shelters areoverowing with a record number of48,694 homeless, including 20,000children.16 Growing numbers are now

    the working homeless; the head of

    the citys Department of HomelessServices, Seth Diamond, has testiedthat about a quarter of homelessfamilies have earnings.

    New Yorkers, at every income level,agree on the importance of increasingthe availability of affordable housing,but low-income New Yorkers expressgreater intensity on this subject.Eighty-ve percent of moderate- andhigher-income respondents think itis important for the next mayor toincrease affordable housing, with 64percent saying it is very important.Over nine out of ten low-income NewYorkers think it is important thatincreasing affordable housing be onthe next mayors agenda, and eight outof ten think it is very important.

    NeW yoRKS

    PUBLIc hoUSINg

    Unlike public housing elsewhere in

    the nations largest cities, New YorkCity Housing Authority (NYCHA)units remain an extremely large andcritically important part of the citysrental stock, housing over 400,000New Yorkers in 334 developmentsthroughout the ve boroughs.NYCHA brings in over a billiondollars in annual federal housingsubsidies to the city; but federal

    Ts w liv in

    nibrds wr stp nd

    risks r mmn r mr

    likl t wnt t nxt mr

    t disntinu t pli.

    Q:Thining abut yur neighbrhd,hw many peple in yur

    neighbrhd have been stpped and

    rised ver the past year, a lt, sme, a

    ew, nt t many, r nne?

    58%

    49%

    49%

    50%

    65% 31%

    39%

    47%

    46%

    42%

    DISCoNTINUESTRoNGLY

    DISCoNTINUENoT SoSTRoNGLY

    CoNTINUESTRoNGLY

    CoNTINUE NoTSo STRoNGLY

    | | | | | | | | | | | | |70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

    A LoT

    SoME

    A FEW

    NoT Too MANY

    NoNE

    shoULD The nexT maYor ConTinUe or DisConTinUeaggressive sToP anD risk PoLiCing?

  • 7/29/2019 The Race for Mayor: What's In It for Low Income New Yorkers?

    31/36

    T Unrd TirdVte 2013 | 29

    ovr n-tird lw-inm

    Nw yrkrs, nd 4 ut 10

    Nw yrkrs livin in publi

    r tr subsidizd usin,

    xprind t lst n

    usin rdsip.

    Q:In the last year have yu rany member yur husehld

    [eperienced these prblems]?

    Nrl l lw-inm

    Nw yrkrs nsidr bin

    bl t rd rnt, mrt,

    r mintnn sts t b srius prblm, wit 3 ut

    10 sin it is vr srius

    prblm.

    Q:And thining mre abut yurhusing, please tell me r each the llwing i they are a very serius

    prblem, smewhat serius prblem, nt

    t serius a prblem, r nt a prblem at

    all where yu live.

    operating support has not kept pacewith rising costs of an aging stockin a high-cost city. Moreover, about$100 million is siphoned off the topeach year and diverted to other cityagencies under past agreements.17Maintenance and management

    troubles plaguing NYCHA havereceived a lot of recent mediaattention.

    In comparison to low-income NewYorkers overall, NYCHA residents do

    have far more complaints about theirhousing. Half or nearly half say theyhave serious problems with properlyworking elevators, door locks, buzzersor intercoms; major repairs likeheating and leaks; and feeling safe inthe hallways and public areas. A third

    or more say maintenance is a veryserious problem. Among low-incomeNew Yorkers in non-subsidizedrentals, 29 percent say major repairsare a serious problem, and 21 percentreport serious problems with working

    elevators and entry safety. Despite thefact that rents are kept at 30 percentof income for those living in publichousing, paying even that amount ishard for many poor NYCHA residentsbecause their incomes are so low.Thirty-six percent of poor families

    living in public housing say meetingthe rent is a very serious problem, onpar with 35 percent of poor familiesliving in non-subsidized rentals whocite affordability as a very seriousproblem.

    NoT AT ALL NoT TooSERIoUS

    VERY SERIoUS SoMEWHATSERIoUSLY

    | | | | | | |80% 60% 40% 20% 0% 20% 40%

    Being aBLe ToaorD renT,

    morTgage, ormainTenanCe CosT

    heaTing, Leaks,or maJor

    rePairs

    eeLing sae inThe haLLWaYs anD

    PUBLiC areas

    ProPerLY WorkingeLevaTors, Door

    LoCks, BUzzers orinTerComs

    45%

    62%

    48

    30%

    LoWinCome

    MoD-HIGHINCoME

    30% 30%

    48% 12%

    62%

    74%

    32%

    13%

    LoWinCome

    MoD-HIGHINCoME

    47%

    61%

    19%

    5%

    61%

    71%

    27%

    8%

    LoWinCome

    MoD-HIGHINCoME

    43%

    63%

    14%

    5%

    59%

    61%

    24%

    10%

    LoWinCome

    MoD-HIGHINCoME

    46%

    54%

    15%

    5%

    LoW MoD-HIGH TYPE oF HARDSHIP

    23% 8% FELL BEHIND IN RENT oR MoRTGAGE IN THE LAST YEAR

    15% 5% HAD EITHER THE GAS, ELECTRICITY, oR TELEPHoNETURNED oFF BECAUSE THE BILL WAS NoT PAID

    12% 5% MoVED IN WITH oTHER PEoPLE EVEN FoR A LITTLEWHILE BECAUSE oF FINANCIAL PRoBLEMS

    12% 3% BEEN THREATENED WITH FoRECLoSURE oR EVICTIoN

    34% 13% aT LeasT one hoUsing harDshiP

    PUBLIC/SUBSIDIzED HoUSING oTHER RENTAL/oWN TYPE oF HARDSHIP

    25% 12% FELL BEHIND IN RENT oR MoRTGAGE IN THE LAST YEAR

    19% 8% HAD EITHER THE GAS, ELECTRICITY, oR TELEPHoNETURNED oFF BECAUSE THE BILL WAS NoT PAID

    16% 6% MoVED IN WITH oTHER PEoPLE EVEN FoR A LITTLEWHILE BECAUSE oF FINANCIAL PRoBLEMS

    16% 5% BEEN THREATENED WITH FoRECLoSURE oR EVICTIoN

    41% 18% aT LeasT one hoUsing harDshiP

  • 7/29/2019 The Race for Mayor: What's In It for Low Income New Yorkers?

    32/36

    30 | T Unrd TirdVte 2013

    27% 35%

    31% 37%

    29% 36%evn tu tir rnts r

    ppd t 30 prnt tir

    inms, pr Nycha rsidnts

    still nd rdin t rnt t b

    srius prblm.

    Q: Is the llwing a serius prblem,smewhat serius prblem, nt tserius prblem, r nt a prblem at al l where

    yu live being able t ard the rent?

    Lw-inm Nw yrkrs livin

    in publi usin r mu

    mr likl t rprt srius

    mintnn nd suritprblms tn lw-inm

    Nw yrkrs in nn-subsidizd

    rntls, ws min mplint

    is rdbilit.

    Q:And thining mre abut yurhusing, please tell me r each the llwing i they are a very serius

    prblem, smewhat serius prblem, nt

    t serius a prblem, r nt a prblem at

    all where yu live.

    Nw yrkrs rss inm

    lvls r n t imprtn

    inrsin t vilbilit

    rdbl usin, but lw-inm

    Nw yrkrs r mu mr likl

    t s it is vr imprtnt.

    Q:Hw imprtant is it t yu persnally thatthe net mayr pursue this as part his rher agenda? Very imprtant, smewhat imprtant,

    a little imprtant, r nt at all imprtant?

    NoT AT ALL NoT TooSERIoUS

    VERY SERIoUS SoMEWHATSERIoUS

    PooR IN NYCHAPUBLIC HoUSING

    PooR IN oTHER

    SUBSIDIzED RENTALS

    PooR IN NoN-SUBSIDIzED RENTALS

    47%

    47%

    49%

    51%

    48%

    41%

    65%

    66%

    63%

    45%

    43% 53%

    49%

    51%

    21%

    22%

    29%

    54%

    50%

    47%

    49%

    51%29% 33%

    36% 34%

    32% 28%

    34% 36%

    26% 35%

    49% 15%

    47% 11%

    51% 12%

    LoW-INCoME NYCHA HoUSING

    LoW-INCoME NoN-SUBSIDIzED RENTAL

    BEING ABLE To AFFoRDRENT, MoRTGAGE, oRMAINTENANCE CoSTS

    HEATING, LEAkS, oR

    MAJoR REPAIRS

    FEELING SAFE INTHE HALLWAYS ANDPUBLIC AREAS

    PRoPERLY WoRkINGELEVAToRS, DooR LoCkS,BUzzERS oR INTERCoMS

    BEING ABLE To AFFoRDRENT, MoRTGAGE, oRMAINTENANCE CoSTS

    HEATING, LEAkS, oRMAJoR REPAIRS

    FEELING SAFE INTHE HALLWAYS ANDPUBLIC AREAS