the revolutionary role of mobile devices in the global economy council 2016/lacc... · average...
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PAYDEN.COM 1
WHO ARE WE?
Payden & Rygel is one of the largest privately-owned global investment advisers. Founded in 1983, we are a leader in the active management of equity and fixed income portfolios, through domestic and international
solutions. Advising the world’s leading institutions and individual investors, we provide strong performance and real-world strategy on the global economy and capital markets.
Advising the World’s Leading Institutions and Individual Investors
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$100BILLIONAUM
23 ACCOUNTS
OVER $1BILLION
350CLIENT
RELATIONSHIPS
25 YEARS
AVERAGE TENURE OFMANAGEMENT TEAM
$200-400MILLION
AVERAGE ACCOUNT SIZE
200EMPLOYEES
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PAYDEN.COM
WHEN IS SOMETHING REVOLUTIONARY?
3
Steam Engine
1776
Intermodal Container
1955
Airplane
1903
Widely-adopted
Creates platform for previously unexpected products/services
Alters the structure of production and employment
PAYDEN.COM
WHEN IS SOMETHING REVOLUTIONARY?
5
Steam Engine
1776
Intermodal Container
1955
Airplane
1903
Widely-adopted
Creates platform for previously unexpected products/services
Alters the structure of production and employment
PAYDEN.COM
SMARTPHONES WIDELY ADOPTED IN THE U.S. IN JUST 8 YEARS
6
8
14
20
20
23
27
58
75
Smartphone
Cellphone
Color TV
Internet
Radio
Microwave
Stove
Car
Source: Asymco
Years To Go From 10% to 90% Adoption Rate By Household
PAYDEN.COM
THE SMARTPHONE IS QUICKLY BECOMING THE MOST ADOPTED DEVICE ON THE PLANET
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• Smartphone subscriptions are expected to double by 2021.
• From 3.4 billion today to 6.4 billion.
130m
130m
200m
270m
740m
1,580m
North America
Western Europe
Central/Eastern Europe
Latin America
Middle East & Africa
Asia Pacific
Most subscriptions will be added in developing countries
Smartphone Subscriptions to be Added by 2021
Source: Ericsson Mobility Report
PAYDEN.COM
WHEN IS SOMETHING REVOLUTIONARY?
8
Steam Engine
1776
Intermodal Container
1955
Airplane
1903
Widely-adopted
Creates platform for previously unexpected products/services
Alters the structure of production and employment
PAYDEN.COM
21,000
13
1978 - Polaroid 2012 - Instagram
Sources: Boston University and Wired.com
Number of Employees – Polaroid, 1978 and Instagram, 2012
THE SMARTPHONE DISRUPTS INDUSTRIES
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PAYDEN.COM
HOW MANY ITEMS HAVE BEEN SUBSUMED BY YOUR PHONE?
10
Computer System
Camcorder
Calculator
Cellphone
CD Player
Clock Radio
Speed Dial Phone
Voice Recorder
Flashlight
Weather ReportPhone Book
iPod/MP3 Player
Camera
GPS
Compass
Boarding Passes
Pager
Physical Gift Cards
Photo Albums
Diary/Calendars
PAYDEN.COM
NEARLY A MONTH OF WORK…FOR WHAT?
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Average worker would have to work 125 hours in 1988 to afford this phone.
Today, the average worker needs to work less than 6 hours for a smartphone.*
*Based on a smartphone that retails for $120 (HTC Desire, LG K4 or Microsoft Lumia on the Verizon Store on 8-17-2016).
PAYDEN.COM
WHEN IS SOMETHING REVOLUTIONARY?
12
Steam Engine
1776
Intermodal Container
1955
Airplane
1903
Widely-adopted
Creates platform for previously unexpected products/services
Alters the structure of production and employment
PAYDEN.COM
UNEXPECTED USE #1WHETHER INDIA OR UNITED STATES, YOU USE YOUR SMARTPHONE TO GET FROM POINT A TO B
13
PAYDEN.COM
UNEXPECTED USE #2Pokémon GO!
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93% Increase in Nintendo’s stock price since the release of Pokémon Go
Camera + GPS + Large Display + Data Connectivity+ $ transaction ability =
PAYDEN.COM
WHEN IS SOMETHING REVOLUTIONARY?
15
Steam Engine
1776
Intermodal Container
1955
Airplane
1903
Widely-adopted
Creates platform for previously unexpected products/services
Alters the structure of production and employment