the right game: use game theory to shape strategy

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The Right Game: The Right Game: Use Game Theory Use Game Theory to Shape Strategy to Shape Strategy Adam M. Brandenburger, Barry J. Nalebuff Harvard Business Review, July-August, 1995

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Page 1: The Right Game: Use Game Theory to Shape Strategy

The Right Game: The Right Game: Use Game Theory to Use Game Theory to

Shape StrategyShape Strategy

Adam M. Brandenburger, Barry J. Nalebuff

Harvard Business Review,

July-August, 1995

Page 2: The Right Game: Use Game Theory to Shape Strategy

The Right Game: Use Game Theory to Shape Strategy

Adam M. Brandenburger, Barry J. NalebuffHarvard Business Review, July-August, 1995

“Successful business strategy is about actively shaping the game you play, not just playing the game you find.”

Page 3: The Right Game: Use Game Theory to Shape Strategy

Lessons from Game Theory

Look at the situation from the perspective of all others’ involved

Look for win-win, not just win-lose opportunities

Look for opportunities to “change the game” for the better

Page 4: The Right Game: Use Game Theory to Shape Strategy

“Co-opetition”

Businesses must both cooperate to create value, even while competing to divide this value among themselves

Page 5: The Right Game: Use Game Theory to Shape Strategy

The Value Net

Company Customers Suppliers Substitutors

– Companies / products which could substitute for what you have to offer

Complementors– Companies / products which

complement what you have to offer

Page 6: The Right Game: Use Game Theory to Shape Strategy

Competition and Cooperation

Page 7: The Right Game: Use Game Theory to Shape Strategy

Elements of the Game

Players Added Values

– What each player adds to the value inherent in the total game

Rules Tactics (Perceptions) Scope

Page 8: The Right Game: Use Game Theory to Shape Strategy

Changing the Players

Players are participants in the Value Net– The Company itself, and its Customers,

Suppliers, Substitutors, Complementors

– How does the game change as players come in or out?

• Canadian Airlines no longer exists in the Canadian airline industry.

Page 9: The Right Game: Use Game Theory to Shape Strategy

Changing Added Value

What added value does each player bring to the game?– If a player were not participating at all,

how would the value of the overall game be affected?

• Bobby Hull joining the Jets gave the WHA instant credibility.

Page 10: The Right Game: Use Game Theory to Shape Strategy

Changing the Rules

Rules determine how the game is played

– Can the rules be changed to make the game more favorable for one, or for all?

• Guarantees to match lowest price

• Funding rules for universities in Manitoba

Page 11: The Right Game: Use Game Theory to Shape Strategy

Changing Perceptions

Players’ perceptions of the game influences the way they play it.

– Commitment strategies, (as ploys)• Publicly committing to something to make

others perceive you’re serious

Page 12: The Right Game: Use Game Theory to Shape Strategy

Changing the Scope

Scope is the boundaries of the game

– Tying issues together in negotiations• Softwood lumber and energy?

– Opening a “second front” in competition• Hezbullah attacking Israel from Lebanon