the role of farmers’ associations in commodity price risk management and commodity collateralized...
TRANSCRIPT
The role of farmers’ associations in commodity price risk management and commodity collateralized finance in
developing countries.
UNCTAD, Commodities BranchUNCTAD, Commodities Branch
Olivier Combe, Lamon RuttenOlivier Combe, Lamon Rutten
What is price risk?
For a producer it is the eventuality that prices will decrease at the date of sale
For a buyer it is the eventuality that prices will increase at the date of purchase
Lower incomesLower incomes
Colombian Mild Arabica price evolution from Aug 95 to Dec 96
163
141
132129
110
119
135131
134
143
133 135138
123128 129
126
100
110
120
130
140
150
160
170
Price CIF in US cents/lb for Colombian Mild Arabica (price in New York), month's average
Less protection against price risk
Higher domestic price fluctuation
The reasons which explain that agriculture in developing countries is facing price risk.
Liberalization trend
Structural adjustment
plans
GATT agreements
Borders more permissive
Lower budgets for agriculture
Disappearance of marketing
boards
Higher price risk
Farmers ’ problems
Urgent need of cash-flow
Difficulties of warehousing
Immediate sale after harvest
Lower price due to :-counterparty risk is high-information non available -bad quality of products-supply in excess-weak competitiveness for purchase
too few warehousesexpensivenesssocial pressureunusual
former loanstaxesincomes 1 or 2 times a yearnext campainsocial constraints
&
High price riskHigh price risk
To guarantee sale price before harvest even before tilling
Price risk management tools
At delivery payment up to 80% of the final
value
To fix a profitable price before the sale
Price risk management may solve some farmers’ financial problems
Solutions:Solutions:To fix a profitable sale price
Urgent need of cash-flow
allows allows
Producer
Association
Future sale
Producer
Association
Instantaneous delivery
Solutions :Solutions : Easier access to credit for the borrower and less risky for the lender thanks to warehouse receipts.
Delivery of harvest
Issue of a receipt which indicates:-quantity-quality
Production of the receipt as collateral
Agreement, harvests stocked will be realized after loan
repayment
Commodity collateralized finance may solve some farmers’ financial problems
1 2 3 4 5Urgent need of
cash-flow
Loanto
farmers
Bank
Borrower producers’ groupsellermiller
Warehousesinsuredaccountable forstocksprivate orpublic
Delivery of harvest
Issue of a receipt
Receipt as collateral
Mandate to release the stocksfor the buyer
Buyer
Sale of the stockedharvest in accordance with the receipt
Payment to the lender bank
Payment of the rest after reimbursement of
the loan
Solutions :Solutions : Warehouse receipts are negotiable
1 2 3Urgent need of cash-flow
Loanto
farmers
Bank
Commodity collateralized finance may solve some farmers’ financial problems
4
Borrower producers’ groupsellermiller
Warehousesinsuredaccountable forstocksprivate orpublic
Price risk management with a farmers’ association and a bank involved
Association
Bank Farmer
Farmer
Farmer
Farmer
Farmer
Delivery of harvest
Payment up to 80%at delivery
National or foreigner futures markets
Over the counter market
Hedging of price risk Higher payment at delivery
Forward delivery contract
Hedging on the future market:-purchase of puts-futures contracts
Sale of a‘price insurance’
OR
Price insurance or
forward delivery contract
Allow
Public
Example of a futures market and its components
Brokers
Clear brokers’ accounts
Clearing house
Market floor Trade according to their client’s mandate
Control trades andprices
Giv
e m
anda
tes
of
purc
hase
s an
d sa
les
Con
vey
orde
rs fr
om th
e
clea
ring
hou
se
Public is:
-speculators-bodies which hedge-arbitrager
Roles of equal significance
Counterparty risk is absent from futures market
Public
Brokers
Clear brokers’ accounts
Clearing house
Market floor
Control trades andprices
give
man
date
s of
purc
hase
s an
d sa
les
Con
vey
orde
rs fr
om th
e
clea
ring
hou
se
Requirements to use the market:
Example of a futures market and his components
- have a broker- have the legal right to deal in futures market- have sufficient cash-flow
?BankTraderAssociationFarmerGovernmental or para-governmental body
Trade according to their client’s mandate
Benchmark place for prices
Necessary environment for a sound use of such tools
Futures marketSpot market Associations
Government
Banks
Competitive
Numerous actors
Liquidity
thus
Information available universally and on a minute to minute basis
DemocraticAware of their members (standard of living, production..)DynamicUncorrupted
Sufficient training Reliability between actors(to limit counterparty risk)
Interested in financing agricultural sector
Efficient
Correlated
Appropriate infrastructuresfor trade
Have to promote above points by adapting laws, ...
Ready to invest in terms of training, involvement in markets,etc.
Essential:
How may farmers’ associations do to improve systems
Training farmers Limiting counterparty risk
Acting as an intermediary in warehouse receipt’s system
Providing price risk management opportunities
How to tradeImportance of qualityWhat are loan contractsHow to hedge
By applying social punishment to unreliable farmers Indicating dishonest tradersActing as a trader or a seller what improves reliability in trades
Associations with an adequate size can hedge their risk by themselves (enough cash-flow, reliability, volume to trade, etc)
Local banks are needed for smaller associations.In that case the role of the association is limited to strategic choices (which type of hedging, what volume will be hedge, etc) and not to technical choices.
By supplying an appropriate framework: :- negotiating contracts with the lender- selecting participants- managing formalities in order to incite banks to lend-borrowing itself on behalf of all its members
Association
To improve agricultural area means:
Knowing how to face the risks Easing finance
Building efficient market’s infrastructures
Stressing reliability between actorsTraining actors
Informing decision makers about the real opportunities of these solutions
Adapting institutional framework
Sponsorisé par la CNUCED
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