the spatial aggregation of agricultural intensity. felix teillard
TRANSCRIPT
F. Teillard, G. Allaire, E. Cahuzac, F. Léger, E. Maigné and M. Tichit
The spatial aggregation of agricultural intensity
What opportunities for policy targeting?
WCCA – Brisbane – September, 29th, 2011
F O O D
A G R I C U L T U R E
E N V I R O N M E N T
1
2Introduction
How to improve the efficiency of conservation policies?
One option : better spatial targeting (Feehan 2005, Uthes 2010)
05
00
10
00
15
00
20
00
Ag
ri-e
nv
iro
nm
en
t b
ud
ge
t (
10
6 €
)
1990 1995 2000 2005
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1.0
Year
Fre
nc
h F
arm
lan
d B
ird
In
de
x
.
3Introduction – Objectives
Map agricultural intensity on large scale, at resolution adequate
for policy targeting
• We develop an intensity indicator
computable on large scale
• We estimate it at infra regional
resolution
• We map agricultural intensity and
test for its aggregation
.
.
4Methods – The intensity indicator
The Input Cost / ha intensity indicator (€ / ha)
• Relevant for the five main production types in France (84% of total UAA)
• Computed with FADN variables (Farm Accountancy Data Network)
• Estimated at higher resolution using other agricultural datasets
5Methods – Spatial scale and resolution
National scale, Small Agric. Region (“SAR”) resolution
0 20 40 60 80 100
50
60
70
80
90
10
0
Estimation resolution
Es
tim
ati
on
ac
cu
rac
y
Region
Department SAR
County
Municipality
100km
• Estimation
accuracy/resolution
trade-off
• The local Moran index of
spatial auto-correlation
High LM Low LM
6Results – Agricultural intensity indicator
The IC / ha indicator displays a broad intensity gradient
0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200
0.0
00
00
.00
10
0.0
02
0
Intensity - IC / ha (€ / ha)
Fre
qu
en
cy
7Results – Agricultural intensity indicator
Production types and cost structure along the intensity gradient:
Mainly
bovine livestock
All production
types
Mainly
indus. crops bovine dairy
< 300 €/ha > 500 €/ha
Fertilizers
Feed
Pesticides
Seed
Other
8Results – Agricultural intensity distribution
The distribution of agricultural intensity:
• Sharp regional contrasts
• Infra-regional heterogeneity
100km ≠
Random
Regional
averages
Intensity -IC / ha (€ / ha)
200
300
400
500
600
.
.
9Results – Agricultural intensity aggregation
Segregation of agricultural intensity: clusters of significant
aggregation within the two intensity extremes
100km
0 200 400 600 800 1000-0
.00
50
.00
50
.01
50
.02
5
Intensity - IC / ha (€ / ha)
Ag
gre
ga
tio
n (
loc
al M
ora
n)
Intensity -IC / ha (€ / ha)
300
500
Significant NSaggregation aggregation
10Discussion
We show strong spatial segregation of agricultural intensity
.
+ Indicator and method usable in other countries
- Other intensity components should be combined with the IC/ha
11Discussion
The theory (Primdahl 2003, Kleijn 2003) :
“Improvement” measuresTarget most sensitive area
Reverse biodiversity decline?
Our results give opportunity for going from theory to practice
.
“Protection” measuresTarget high quality areas
Current focus
12
Thank you
Funding 2009-2012: FarmBird Project
“Coviability models of FARMing and BIRD biodiversity”
email: [email protected]
Submitted paper: The spatial aggregation of agricultural intensity: what implications
for conservation policies?