the swed i sh premium pension system

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UK Visit Feb 2006 1 THE SWEDISH PREMIUM PENSION SYSTEM Daniel Barr, Chief Economist

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THE SWED I SH PREMIUM PENSION SYSTEM. Daniel Barr, Chief Economist. DISPOSITION. From DB-land to DC-country Activity Performance. FROM DB TO DC. AFP (flat rate pension). ATP DB PAYG (related to 15 best income years). FORMER STRUCTURE. First Pillar. Second Pillar. Third Pillar. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: THE SWED I SH PREMIUM PENSION SYSTEM

UK Visit Feb 2006 1

THE SWEDISH PREMIUM PENSION SYSTEM

Daniel Barr,

Chief Economist

Page 2: THE SWED I SH PREMIUM PENSION SYSTEM

UK Visit Feb 2006 2

DISPOSITION• From DB-land to DC-country

• Activity

• Performance

Page 3: THE SWED I SH PREMIUM PENSION SYSTEM

UK Visit Feb 2006 3

FROM DB TO DC

Page 4: THE SWED I SH PREMIUM PENSION SYSTEM

UK Visit Feb 2006 4

FORMER STRUCTUREFirst Pillar Second Pillar Third Pillar

Occupational schemes (DB, 90% coverage)

Tax efficient individual pensions (incl. mutual funds, unit linked)

AFP (flat rate pension)

ATP DB PAYG

(related to 15 best income years)

Page 5: THE SWED I SH PREMIUM PENSION SYSTEM

UK Visit Feb 2006 5

REFORMED NATIONAL PENSION SYSTEM

Premium pension (DC,funded) 2,5%

Income pension (NDC, PAYG) 16 %

Guaranteed pension (filling up)

Page 6: THE SWED I SH PREMIUM PENSION SYSTEM

UK Visit Feb 2006 6

INCOME PENSION• PAYG ”Notional DC”• Contribution 16 percent of capped income.• Paid into individual notional accounts and indexed

to average earnings

Page 7: THE SWED I SH PREMIUM PENSION SYSTEM

UK Visit Feb 2006 7

THE SWEDISH PENSION SYSTEM

First Pillar Second Pillar Third Pillar

Tax efficient individual pensions (incl. mutual funds, unit linked)

Occupational schemes (90% coverage, to a larger extent DC)

Income Pension (PAYG)

Premium Pension(DC, funded)

GuaranteedPension(filling up) Members

choice

Page 8: THE SWED I SH PREMIUM PENSION SYSTEM

UK Visit Feb 2006 8

PREMIUM PENSION

• Individuals can choose maximum 5 mutual funds

• Default fund invest on behalf of passive individuals

Page 9: THE SWED I SH PREMIUM PENSION SYSTEM

UK Visit Feb 2006 9

”The Clearinghouse Model”Fund

Fund

Fund

Fund

Fund

Fund

Fund

Fund

Fund

Fund manager

Fund manager

Fund manager

PPM

Approx. 5,7 million pension savers

Page 10: THE SWED I SH PREMIUM PENSION SYSTEM

UK Visit Feb 2006 10

OPEN ARCHITECTURE

• Meet the requirements in the UCITS-directive (85/611/EEG)

780 funds 83 fund companies

Page 11: THE SWED I SH PREMIUM PENSION SYSTEM

UK Visit Feb 2006 11

ACTIVITY

Page 12: THE SWED I SH PREMIUM PENSION SYSTEM

UK Visit Feb 2006 12

NEW COMERS

Proportion of new members that made an active choice

Year 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

Active 67,0% 27,6 % 14,1% 8,3% 9,4 % 8,0% 7,4 %

Page 13: THE SWED I SH PREMIUM PENSION SYSTEM

UK Visit Feb 2006 13

SAME TREND IN OCCUPATIONAL SCHEMES

60%

33% 33%

24% 23% 22%

17%

31%29,7%

27,70%

23,90%

17,60%

14,10%

8,40% 9,40%

64%

36%34%

61,5%

65,10%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

SAF/LO

PFA-98

Premiepension

PA03

Page 14: THE SWED I SH PREMIUM PENSION SYSTEM

UK Visit Feb 2006 14

Active members share increases

50%

55%

60%

65%

70%

75%

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

Individuals Capital

Page 15: THE SWED I SH PREMIUM PENSION SYSTEM

UK Visit Feb 2006 15

ACTIVITY IN 401k-PLANS

Page 16: THE SWED I SH PREMIUM PENSION SYSTEM

UK Visit Feb 2006 16

FUND SWITCHES

0

200 000

400 000

600 000

800 000

1 000 000

1 200 000

1 400 000

1 600 000

1 800 000

2 000 000

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

Page 17: THE SWED I SH PREMIUM PENSION SYSTEM

UK Visit Feb 2006 17

Top ten funds 2006 (2000)

Fund Market Value Market Share

1 (1) Premiesparfonden (Default) 78 857 410 995 29,5%

2 (5) AMF Pensions Aktiefond - Sverige 9 210 050 130 3,4%

3 (3) AMF Pensions Aktiefond - Världen 7 905 309 778 3,0%

4 (6) Didner & Gerge Aktiefond 7 060 960 558 2,6%

5 (4) Robur Aktiefond Pension 7 032 194 890 2,6%

6 (9) SPP Generation 60-tal 5 072 854 562 1,9%

7 (8) SPP Generation 50-tal 4 675 274 882 1,7%

8 (75) HQ Rysslandsfond 4 098 189 396 1,5%

9 (2) Robur Contura 3 929 719 442 1,5%

10 (11) AMF Pensions Balansfond 3 549 845 638 1,3%

Page 18: THE SWED I SH PREMIUM PENSION SYSTEM

UK Visit Feb 2006 18

VALSITUATIONEN "I have enough knowledge to manage my premium pension"(18-62 years old)

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

2005

2004

2003

(5) Fully agree

(4)

(3)

Dont know

(2)

(1) Fully disagree

Page 19: THE SWED I SH PREMIUM PENSION SYSTEM

UK Visit Feb 2006 19

PERFORMANCE

Page 20: THE SWED I SH PREMIUM PENSION SYSTEM

UK Visit Feb 2006 20

-10%

-8%

-6%

-4%

-2%

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

00

-12

-13

01

-02

-28

01

-05

-31

01

-08

-31

01

-11

-30

02

-02

-28

02

-05

-31

02

-08

-31

02

-11

-30

03

-02

-28

03

-05

-31

03

-08

-31

03

-11

-30

04

-02

-29

04

-05

-31

04

-08

-31

04

-11

-30

05

-02

-28

05

-05

-31

05

-08

-31

05

-11

-30

05

-07

-31

05

-10

-31

06

-01

-31

06

-04

-30

06

-07

-31

06

-10

-31

%

Premiepensions-systemet

Inkomstindex

Performance since 1995

Page 21: THE SWED I SH PREMIUM PENSION SYSTEM

UK Visit Feb 2006 21

Asset Allocation

Svenska aktier38,3%

Utländska aktier52,6%

Svenska räntor7,0%

Utländska räntor2,2% (2,4%)

(6,6%)

(53,1%)

(37,9%)

Page 22: THE SWED I SH PREMIUM PENSION SYSTEM

UK Visit Feb 2006 22

Dispersion

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45%

Less than 0%

0 - 2%

2 - 4 %

4 - 6 %

6 - 8 %

8 - 10 %

More than 10%

Share of total num ber of individuals

Pass ive Active

Page 23: THE SWED I SH PREMIUM PENSION SYSTEM

UK Visit Feb 2006 23

ACTIVE RETURN BY INDIVIDUALS

-0,23% -0,40%

2,61%

0,11%

2,50%

-0,18%

1,63%

-0,62%

-2,79%

-0,60%

2,78%

0,70%

-3,0%

-2,0%

-1,0%

0,0%

1,0%

2,0%

3,0%

Inklusive Premiesparfonden Exklusive Premiesparfonden

200120022003200420052006