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The Total Loss Crisis And Vehicle Repairability Lee Petersen Lee Petersen Marketing Manager Marketing Manager Training Division Training Division August 2, 2006 August 2, 2006 Presentation by the Special Presentation Committee Presentation by the Special Presentation Committee Follow Up Presentation

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Page 1: The Total Loss Crisis - Collision Industry Conference · problem for the Collision Repair and Auto Insurance Industries As stated by: Dan Risley, Executive Director, ... Collision

The Total Loss CrisisAnd

Vehicle RepairabilityLee PetersenLee Petersen

Marketing Manager Marketing Manager –– Training DivisionTraining Division

August 2, 2006August 2, 2006

Presentation by the Special Presentation CommitteePresentation by the Special Presentation Committee

Follow UpPresentation

Page 2: The Total Loss Crisis - Collision Industry Conference · problem for the Collision Repair and Auto Insurance Industries As stated by: Dan Risley, Executive Director, ... Collision

The Total Loss Crisis

VEHICLE REPAIRABILTIY is the biggest VEHICLE REPAIRABILTIY is the biggest problem for the Collision Repair and Auto problem for the Collision Repair and Auto Insurance IndustriesInsurance Industries

As stated by:As stated by:Dan Risley, Executive Director, Dan Risley, Executive Director, Society of Collision Repair SpecialistsSociety of Collision Repair Specialists

(SCRS)(SCRS)

Page 3: The Total Loss Crisis - Collision Industry Conference · problem for the Collision Repair and Auto Insurance Industries As stated by: Dan Risley, Executive Director, ... Collision

““The biggest issue is the number of repairable The biggest issue is the number of repairable vehicles. The number of vehicles. The number of total lossestotal losses in the U.S. in the U.S. has been steadily on the risehas been steadily on the rise……You canYou can’’t t underestimate the impact of new technology and underestimate the impact of new technology and substrates (frames) being utilized by the OEMsubstrates (frames) being utilized by the OEM’’s in s in their new models have on repair costs.their new models have on repair costs.””

---- Dan Risley, SCRSDan Risley, SCRS

The Total Loss Crisis

Page 4: The Total Loss Crisis - Collision Industry Conference · problem for the Collision Repair and Auto Insurance Industries As stated by: Dan Risley, Executive Director, ... Collision

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

1980 1990 2000 2002 2003 2004 2005

1980199020002002200320042005

4%5.5%

9.5%

13%

16.5% 17%

18 – 21%

Source: Collision Repair Industry Insight

The Total Loss Crisis

Page 5: The Total Loss Crisis - Collision Industry Conference · problem for the Collision Repair and Auto Insurance Industries As stated by: Dan Risley, Executive Director, ... Collision

Many factors driving Many factors driving ““TotalsTotals”” trend, including:trend, including:•• Cost of air bagsCost of air bags•• Cost of OEM partsCost of OEM parts•• Lack of technical information from OEMLack of technical information from OEM’’ss•• Low appraisal staffing (eyes on the car) Low appraisal staffing (eyes on the car) •• Expensive electronic systemsExpensive electronic systems•• Strong salvage valuesStrong salvage values•• Lack of technical trainingLack of technical training•• Exaggerated estimates, etc.Exaggerated estimates, etc.

The Total Loss Crisis

Page 6: The Total Loss Crisis - Collision Industry Conference · problem for the Collision Repair and Auto Insurance Industries As stated by: Dan Risley, Executive Director, ... Collision

Another major factor is the OEM Another major factor is the OEM ““Repairability IssueRepairability Issue””•• They donThey don’’t understand the need to t understand the need to ““Design for Design for RepairabilityRepairability””•• They make decisions based on manufacturing and They make decisions based on manufacturing and weight issues weight issues •• They come up with exotic structural metals such as:They come up with exotic structural metals such as:

-- BoronBoron -- MagnesiumMagnesium --AluminumAluminum

-- HSS SteelHSS Steel -- HSLA SteelHSLA Steel -- UHSS UHSS SteelSteel

-- Hydro Form SteelHydro Form Steel -- Laminated SteelLaminated Steel --Quiet SteelQuiet Steel

-- Dual Phase SteelDual Phase Steel

The Total Loss Crisis

Page 7: The Total Loss Crisis - Collision Industry Conference · problem for the Collision Repair and Auto Insurance Industries As stated by: Dan Risley, Executive Director, ... Collision

•• Rumor now has it that they are testingRumor now has it that they are testing……

KRYPTONITE!!KRYPTONITE!!

The Total Loss Crisis

Page 8: The Total Loss Crisis - Collision Industry Conference · problem for the Collision Repair and Auto Insurance Industries As stated by: Dan Risley, Executive Director, ... Collision

•• Design and assembly engineers need Design and assembly engineers need additional education on the repair additional education on the repair challenges these highchallenges these high--tech metals are tech metals are causing and the need for structuralcausing and the need for structural““sectioning parts.sectioning parts.””

•• OEMOEM’’s need to provide more s need to provide more technical information and technical information and specific repair procedures specific repair procedures so we can make quality so we can make quality and safe repairsand safe repairs

The Total Loss Crisis

Page 9: The Total Loss Crisis - Collision Industry Conference · problem for the Collision Repair and Auto Insurance Industries As stated by: Dan Risley, Executive Director, ... Collision

And there is a And there is a critical need for more trainingcritical need for more trainingin all aspects of collision estimating and in all aspects of collision estimating and repair.repair.

•• Body/Frame TechniciansBody/Frame Technicians•• Collision Center EstimatorsCollision Center Estimators•• Auto Physical Damage AppraisersAuto Physical Damage Appraisers•• Independent AppraisersIndependent Appraisers

The Total Loss Crisis

Page 10: The Total Loss Crisis - Collision Industry Conference · problem for the Collision Repair and Auto Insurance Industries As stated by: Dan Risley, Executive Director, ... Collision

International International BodyshopBodyshop Industry Symposium (IBIS)Industry Symposium (IBIS)

Montreal Palace HotelMontreal Palace HotelSwitzerlandSwitzerland

May 31May 31stst –– June 2, 2006June 2, 2006

The Total Loss Crisis

Page 11: The Total Loss Crisis - Collision Industry Conference · problem for the Collision Repair and Auto Insurance Industries As stated by: Dan Risley, Executive Director, ... Collision

IBIS:IBIS:The global forum for collision industry leadersThe global forum for collision industry leadersand influencersand influencers

The Total Loss Crisis

Page 12: The Total Loss Crisis - Collision Industry Conference · problem for the Collision Repair and Auto Insurance Industries As stated by: Dan Risley, Executive Director, ... Collision

Keynote Speaker:Keynote Speaker:

Sir Nick Scheele Sir Nick Scheele Retired PresidentRetired PresidentFord Motor Company Ford Motor Company –– EuropeEurope

The Total Loss Crisis

Page 13: The Total Loss Crisis - Collision Industry Conference · problem for the Collision Repair and Auto Insurance Industries As stated by: Dan Risley, Executive Director, ... Collision

““Vehicle repairability is not a key Vehicle repairability is not a key consumer concern at this time. consumer concern at this time.

If consumers want it, the industry willIf consumers want it, the industry willprovide it. But the industry will need toprovide it. But the industry will need tomake a clear, consistent and compellingmake a clear, consistent and compellingcase as to why Vehicle Repairability is case as to why Vehicle Repairability is vital.vital.””

The Total Loss Crisis

Page 14: The Total Loss Crisis - Collision Industry Conference · problem for the Collision Repair and Auto Insurance Industries As stated by: Dan Risley, Executive Director, ... Collision

The ThrowThe Throw-- Away VehicleAway Vehicle

Could the car become just another consumer Could the car become just another consumer durable?durable?

The Total Loss Crisis

Page 15: The Total Loss Crisis - Collision Industry Conference · problem for the Collision Repair and Auto Insurance Industries As stated by: Dan Risley, Executive Director, ... Collision

Should repairability be part of the design Should repairability be part of the design and development process of a new and development process of a new model?model?

-- William KimberleyWilliam KimberleyEuropean EditorEuropean EditorAutomotive Design & ProductionAutomotive Design & Production

The Total Loss Crisis

Page 16: The Total Loss Crisis - Collision Industry Conference · problem for the Collision Repair and Auto Insurance Industries As stated by: Dan Risley, Executive Director, ... Collision

RepairabilityRepairability

•• Repairability is considered by assessing the cost of Repairability is considered by assessing the cost of the parts and the associated time with returning the the parts and the associated time with returning the vehicle to its prevehicle to its pre--accident conditionaccident condition

The Total Loss Crisis

Page 17: The Total Loss Crisis - Collision Industry Conference · problem for the Collision Repair and Auto Insurance Industries As stated by: Dan Risley, Executive Director, ... Collision

RepairabilityRepairability

•• Repairability has become an issue with the increase Repairability has become an issue with the increase use of aluminum and exotic metalsuse of aluminum and exotic metals

The Total Loss Crisis

Page 18: The Total Loss Crisis - Collision Industry Conference · problem for the Collision Repair and Auto Insurance Industries As stated by: Dan Risley, Executive Director, ... Collision

RepairabilityRepairability

•• It is not just the different materials, but also the It is not just the different materials, but also the manufacturing processes themselves that are manufacturing processes themselves that are changingchanging

The Total Loss Crisis

Page 19: The Total Loss Crisis - Collision Industry Conference · problem for the Collision Repair and Auto Insurance Industries As stated by: Dan Risley, Executive Director, ... Collision

RepairabilityRepairability

•• As vehicles became more complex, the associated As vehicles became more complex, the associated repair methods became less genericrepair methods became less generic

The Total Loss Crisis

Page 20: The Total Loss Crisis - Collision Industry Conference · problem for the Collision Repair and Auto Insurance Industries As stated by: Dan Risley, Executive Director, ... Collision

RepairabilityRepairability

•• There is no penalty, as far as the insurance rating is There is no penalty, as far as the insurance rating is concerned, for a manufacturer to use new materials or concerned, for a manufacturer to use new materials or joining technologies that might have a negative joining technologies that might have a negative influence on the repair processinfluence on the repair process

•• Nor for that matter is there any incentive in the shape of Nor for that matter is there any incentive in the shape of a better insurance rating for the manufacturer to take it a better insurance rating for the manufacturer to take it into account when considering repairabilityinto account when considering repairability

The Total Loss Crisis

Page 21: The Total Loss Crisis - Collision Industry Conference · problem for the Collision Repair and Auto Insurance Industries As stated by: Dan Risley, Executive Director, ... Collision

RepairabilityRepairability

•• The repair industry is about to undergo transformationThe repair industry is about to undergo transformation

The Total Loss Crisis

Page 22: The Total Loss Crisis - Collision Industry Conference · problem for the Collision Repair and Auto Insurance Industries As stated by: Dan Risley, Executive Director, ... Collision

RepairabilityRepairability

•• As things stand, the general repair shop will no As things stand, the general repair shop will no longer have the competencies to repair new carslonger have the competencies to repair new cars

The Total Loss Crisis

Page 23: The Total Loss Crisis - Collision Industry Conference · problem for the Collision Repair and Auto Insurance Industries As stated by: Dan Risley, Executive Director, ... Collision

RepairabilityRepairability

•• There needs to be a standard by which a car can be There needs to be a standard by which a car can be rated as to its structural repairability and the ease of rated as to its structural repairability and the ease of repair and the cost implicationsrepair and the cost implications

A New Role For EuroNCAP?A New Role For EuroNCAP?

The Total Loss Crisis

Page 24: The Total Loss Crisis - Collision Industry Conference · problem for the Collision Repair and Auto Insurance Industries As stated by: Dan Risley, Executive Director, ... Collision

Future Of The Repair SectorFuture Of The Repair SectorThe Battle For ValueThe Battle For Value

The Total Loss Crisis

Page 25: The Total Loss Crisis - Collision Industry Conference · problem for the Collision Repair and Auto Insurance Industries As stated by: Dan Risley, Executive Director, ... Collision

A Vehicle ManufacturerA Vehicle Manufacturer’’s Perspectives Perspective

Howard AtkinHoward AtkinEuropean Bodyshop Development ManagerEuropean Bodyshop Development Manager

Honda Motor EuropeHonda Motor Europe

The Total Loss Crisis

Page 26: The Total Loss Crisis - Collision Industry Conference · problem for the Collision Repair and Auto Insurance Industries As stated by: Dan Risley, Executive Director, ... Collision

Opportunities From Accident RepairOpportunities From Accident Repair•• 40% 40% -- 50% Parts Sales50% Parts Sales•• New/Used Car SalesNew/Used Car Sales•• Service/MechanicalService/Mechanical•• Continuing Customer RelationshipContinuing Customer Relationship

The Total Loss Crisis

Page 27: The Total Loss Crisis - Collision Industry Conference · problem for the Collision Repair and Auto Insurance Industries As stated by: Dan Risley, Executive Director, ... Collision

New And Existing Repair MethodsNew And Existing Repair Methods•• Repairing vehicles using common Repairing vehicles using common

tools and repair procedurestools and repair procedures•• Real life situations, not training Real life situations, not training

center conditionscenter conditions

The Total Loss Crisis

Page 28: The Total Loss Crisis - Collision Industry Conference · problem for the Collision Repair and Auto Insurance Industries As stated by: Dan Risley, Executive Director, ... Collision

Looking AheadLooking Ahead……

What The Future May BringWhat The Future May Bring

Short/Medium TermShort/Medium Term•• Vehicle technology continues to developVehicle technology continues to develop•• Vehicles continue to become more difficult to repairVehicles continue to become more difficult to repair•• Repairs require more specialist skills and/or Repairs require more specialist skills and/or

equipmentequipment

The Total Loss Crisis

Page 29: The Total Loss Crisis - Collision Industry Conference · problem for the Collision Repair and Auto Insurance Industries As stated by: Dan Risley, Executive Director, ... Collision

Looking AheadLooking Ahead……

What The Future May BringWhat The Future May Bring

Long TermLong Term•• Widespread use of collision avoidance systemsWidespread use of collision avoidance systems•• The uncrashable carThe uncrashable car•• End of the collision repair industry as we know it?End of the collision repair industry as we know it?

The Total Loss Crisis

Page 30: The Total Loss Crisis - Collision Industry Conference · problem for the Collision Repair and Auto Insurance Industries As stated by: Dan Risley, Executive Director, ... Collision

Vehicle Repairability ChallengeVehicle Repairability ChallengeANDAND

Increased Total LossesIncreased Total LossesEQUALSEQUALS

Fewer Cars To Repair!Fewer Cars To Repair!

The Total Loss Crisis

Page 31: The Total Loss Crisis - Collision Industry Conference · problem for the Collision Repair and Auto Insurance Industries As stated by: Dan Risley, Executive Director, ... Collision

It Begs The QuestionIt Begs The Question……What Should CIC and the U.S. Collision What Should CIC and the U.S. Collision Repair Industry Be Doing About This Repair Industry Be Doing About This Growing Crisis?Growing Crisis?

The Total Loss Crisis