the ubi banca group consolidated results as at 30th ... · the portfolio6.0 in run off accounts for...
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The UBI Banca Group
Consolidated Results as at 30th September 2015
11th November 2015
This document has been prepared by Unione di Banche Italiane Spa ("UBI") for informational purposes only and for use in the presentation of
November 2015. It is not permitted to publish, transmit or otherwise reproduce this document, in whole or in part, in any format, to any third
party without the express written consent of UBI and it is not permitted to alter, manipulate, obscure or take out of context any information set
out in the document.
The information, opinions, estimates and forecasts contained herein have not been independently verified and are subject to change without
notice. They have been obtained from, or are based upon, sources we believe to be reliable but UBI makes no representation (either
expressed or implied) or warranty on their completeness, timeliness or accuracy. Nothing contained in this document or expressed during the
presentation constitutes financial, legal, tax or other advice, nor should any investment or any other decision be solely based on this
document.
This document does not constitute a solicitation, offer, invitation or recommendation to purchase, subscribe or sell for any investment
instruments, to effect any transaction, or to conclude any legal act of any kind whatsoever.
This document contains statements that are forward-looking: such statements are based upon the current beliefs and expectations of UBI and
are subject to significant risks and uncertainties. These risks and uncertainties, many of which are outside the control of UBI, could cause the
results of UBI to differ materially from those set forth in such forward looking statements.
Under no circumstances will UBI or its affiliates, representatives, directors, officers and employees have any liability whatsoever (in negligence
or otherwise) for any loss or damage howsoever arising from any use of this document or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with
the document or the above mentioned presentation.
For further information about the UBI Group, please refer to publicly available information, including Annual, Quarterly and Interim Reports.
By receiving this document you agree to be bound by the foregoing limitations.
Please be informed that some of the managers of UBI involved in the drawing up and in the presentation of data contained in this document
either participated in a stock option plan and were therefore assigned stock of the company or possess stock of the bank otherwise acquired.
The disclosure relating to shareholdings of top management is available in the annual reports.
Methodology
The “notes on the reclassified financial statements” contained in the periodic financial reports of the Group may be consulted for a fuller
comprehension of the rules followed in preparing the reclassified financial statements.
Disclaimer
2
Executive Summary
Balance sheet indicators confirm high quality in terms of capital, liquidity and leverage
9M15 Net Profit at 162 mln/€, up by +8.1% vs. 9M14, notwithstanding the estimated contribution to
the Single Resolution Fund and to the Deposit Guarantee Scheme (21 mln/€ net)
Core profitability (NII + Fees & Commissions - LLPs - Operating costs) up by +20.8% 9M15/9M14
Right of withdrawal exercised by 1,103 shareholders for a total of 35,409,477 shares.
Second phase of the procedure: offer of the shares coming from the exercise of the withdrawal
right to the other shareholders: from 12 November 2015 to 12 January 2016
3
4
9.5%
Strength of capital ratios confirmed, CET1 phased in at 13%
June '15 Sept '15
CET 1 PHASED IN
+6 bps vs June 15 12.94% 13.00% and
+350 bps vs 9.5% (Feb ‘15 SREP
CET1 requirement)
• 3Q15 profit not included
9.5%
June '15 Sept '15
CET 1 FULLY LOADED
+23 bps vs June 15
12.33% 12.56%
• No profit included, either
related to 3Q15 and for
future years
As usual, in 4Q14, the Group will update the credit risk parameters included in internal rating model to fully include 2014
See annex 2
June '15 Sept '15
TOTAL CAPITAL PHASED IN
-31 bps vs June 15 15.62%
15.31% and
+431 bps vs 11% (Feb ‘15 SREP
TC requirement)
9.5% Basel 3 LEVERAGE RATIO
6.14%
5.88%
6.22% 6.04%
Phased in Fully loaded
June
‘15 June
‘15
Sept
‘15 Sept
‘15 • 3Q15 profit not included
5
Best in class portfolio, strong de-risking leading to lower deterioration
9.5% PERFORMING LOAN PORTFOLIO RISK PROFILE
MARCH
‘15
MARCH
‘15
September 2015 vs previous years
Low Risk 73.7% vs 71% in Dec ’14
vs 67.2% in Dec ’13
vs 58.3% in Dec ’12
High risk 4.8% vs 5.5% in Dec ’14
vs 6.4% in Dec ’13
vs 8.4% in Dec ’12
Unrated 5.7% vs 5.8% in Dec ’14
vs 5.7% in Dec ’13
vs 5.7% in Dec ’12
Medium Risk 15.8% vs 17.7% in Dec ’14
vs 20.7% in Dec ’13
vs 27.6% in Dec ’12
Perimeter: Network Banks + UBI Banca (IRB perimeter)
9.5% TOTAL PORTFOLIO CONCENTRATION
OF RISK 9.5%
GEOGRAPHICAL DISTRIBUTION
as at June ‘15 9.5%
THE LOWEST RATIO OF TOTAL GROSS
DETERIORATED LOANS/TOTAL GROSS LOANS
Customers or Groups 31.12.2007 30.09.2015
Largest 10 5.0% 2.9%
Largest 20 7.7% 4.8%
Largest 30 9.6% 6.1%
Largest 40 11.0% 7.2%
Largest 50 12.1% 8.1%
Largest customers or groups as a percentage of total
loans and guarantees
67.3%
6.4% 5.6%
4.2% 2.8%
2.7% 2.4% 2.3%
1.9% 1.8%
0.7% 0.7%
1.2%
Lombardy
Piedmont
Latium
Marches
Liguria
Campania
Emilia Romagna
Apulia
Calabria
Veneto
Umbria
Abruzzo
Other*
73.7%
* Other: includes the market shares of Basilicata, Friuli Venezia
Giulia, Molise, Tuscany, Valle d’Aosta and Trentino Alto Adige
24.8% 23.5%
17.1% 17.0% 15.6% 15.5%
Bank A Bank B Bank C Bank D Bank E UBI Banca
Peer Group: UCG, ISP, BP, BPER, BPM
As at 30 Sept 2015
Lending Market Share unvaried YoY
Long term lending stable notwithstanding competitive pressure
Decrease in short term lending, also net of CCG
6
Management data
TOTAL GROSS LOANS:
STABLE MARKET SHARE*
5.68% 5.67% 5.67%
Sept'14 June'15 Sept'15
* Net of Bad Loans, referred to households,
corporate and financial companies. It does not
include loans to CCG
Source: Bank of Italy
85.6 84.6 85.3 Total Lending
LENDING COMPOSITION (bln/€)
83.8
55.3 55.8 55.5 55.7
23.3 22.1 23.2 21.7
7.0 6.7 6.6 6.4
Dec '14 Mar '15 June '15 Sept '15
Run-off (mainly ML term)
Active - Short term
Active - Medium/Long term
of which
Of which CCG: 1 bln/€ in Dec ’14, 0.8 bln/€ in Mar ‘15, 1.1 bln/€ in June ‘15 and
0.7 bln/€ in Sept ‘15
See annex 6
Active - Medium/Long term
NEW ORIGINATIONS IN MEDIUM/LONG TERM LENDING - NETWORK BANKS
Network Banks confirm improvement in medium/long term lending
originations
7
24.9% 32.0%
16.8% 15.6%
54.8%
121.1%
30.0% 24.0%
Total Corporate Retail - Private Retail - Small business
9M14 vs 9M13 9M15 vs 9M14
of which
MEDIUM/LONG TERM LENDING
TLTRO
8.1bln/€ taken in Dec ’14/Mar ’15/Sept ‘15
As at 31 Oct ’15:
• Financing requests received: 7.7 bln/€
• Loans either granted or disbursed: 4.7 bln/€
8
Dynamics of customers in the UBI Group (detail of “value” customers”)
Total number
of new
customers
162,600
New
Customers
Customers Lost Net flows
~79,300
(48.8%) ~ 68,200
(46.8%)
~ 11,100
(65.8%)
Tot net new
customers
+16,800
No
n v
alu
e c
usto
me
rs
Va
lue
cu
sto
me
rs
~ 83,300
(51.2%) ~ 77,500
(53.2 %)
~ 5,700
(34.2%)
Total
number of
customers
lost 145,700
January – September 2015
Note: “Value” customers, e.g.:
Retail customers with a Medium
long term loan or with wealth >
25,000 euro or with three products of
which one is a current account
Private banking customers with
wealth > 100,000 euro (for new
customers wealth as at Sept ‘15, for
lost customers wealth as at Dec
‘14) ....
71%
9
NOTE: Numerator includes new disbursements, denominator includes reimbursements and exits to non performing.
* Management accounts, excluding Bad Loans and IAS effect
** Excludes UBI Banca Private Investment (merged with IW Bank in May 2015)
New origination
Reimbursement =
New origination
Reimbursement
=
The portfolio in run off accounts for a decrease in lending of
0.6 bln/€ in 9M15
FOCUS ON MEDIUM / LONG TERM LENDING* (74% of total lending)
Strong improvement in new Medium to Long Term new lending origination
in 9M15, leads to a replacement rate of 119% in Network Banks, and of 71%
in Product Companies, significantly higher than in previous periods
41.1 bln/€
(39.9 bln/€ in Dec ’14)
NETWORK BANKS**
57.4 bln/€
(57.5 bln/€ in Dec ’14)
TOTAL MLT STOCK**
10.3 bln/€
(10.9 bln/€ in Dec ’14)
PRODUCT COMPANIES
6.0 bln/€
(6.6 bln/€ in Dec ’14)
RUN-OFF PORTFOLIO
in 9M15
vs. 48% in 9M14
54% in FY14
119%
in 9M15
vs. 96% in 9M14
101% in FY14
The Group’s solid liquidity position (NSFR and LCR >1, loan to deposit ratio
94.2%, eligible assets 26bln€) allows optimal management and flexibility of
funding mix
10 * Bonds placed on third party banks networks
IAS amounts in b ln€ Dec '14 June '15 Sept '15% change vs.
Dec '14
DIRECT FUNDING FROM ORDINARY
CUSTOMERS74.0 71.7 70.9 -4.1%
Current accounts and deposits 44.3 44.7 44.1 -0.4%
Term deposits, other payables and repos 1.8 1.6 1.5 -13.2%
Securities in issue:
Network banks + UBI 23.6 21.7 21.6 -8.4%
Extra-captive customers* 3.3 3.2 3.2 -2.7%
Other (mainly customer CDs) 1.0 0.5 0.4 -55.6%
DIRECT FUNDING FROM INSTITUTIONAL
CUSTOMERS19.3 22.6 18.1 -5.9%
Covered Bonds 9.8 9.7 9.8 -0.9%
EMTN 3.1 3.1 3.1 0.2%
CD and ECP 0.8 0.7 0.1 -83.4%
Repos with CCG 5.5 9.1 5.1 -7.7%
TOTAL DIRECT FUNDING 93.2 94.3 89.0 -4.5%
See annex 3
• In October 2015 a New Long 7
Year Covered Bond issuance for
750 mln/€ (coupon at 1.00 %
equivalent to a spread of 36
basis points above the
interpolated mid swap rate (7y
and 3 months))
• Ordinary customers partially
shifting to more profitable
investment products within the
Group, with consequent growth in
AUM stocks
• Group liquidity position is
confirmed solid
11
AuM +11% and Bancassurance products +13.7% vs Sept ’14, drive +10.6%
increase in securities related commissions
Bond Balanced Equity Flexible Cash
bln/€ Sept '14 Dec '14 June '15 Sept '15% change
vs Sept '14
% change
vs June '15
AuM 30.0 30.7 34.0 33.3 11.0% -2.1%
Bancassurance 12.2 12.6 13.8 13.9 13.7% 1.2%
AuC 33.9 32.5 31.3 31.9 -5.8% 2.0%
Total Indirect Funding 76.1 75.9 79.1 79.2 4.0% 0.1%
Sept ‘15
Indirect Funding Indirect Funding
Evolution
49%
26%
11%
10% 4%
• Positive impact on commission
income from securities, moving
to 523 mln/€ in 9M15 from 473
in 9M14
• UBI Pramerica SGR AUM
composition: room for
improvement in the mix
Market effect Sept’15 vs June’ 15 on
Total indirect funding: -1.7 bln/€
(of which AuM: -1.4 bln/€)
12
Progressive recomposition and downsizing of Italian Govies Portfolio:
-3.6 bln€ vs Dec 2014
COMPOSITION OF ITALIAN
GOVIES PORTFOLIO
in bln/€
SIZE OF TOTAL ITALIAN
GOVIES PORTFOLIO
in bln/€
17.5
3.6 0.8
16.1
3.5 0.8
14.6
3.5 0.1
AFS HTM HFT
Dec '14 June '15 Sept '15*
20.5
IAS value
19.2 18.1
Nominal value
21.9 18.2 15.6
IAS value Nominal value IAS value Nominal value
AFS RESERVE AS
AT 30/09/2015:
193 mln/€
* Nominal value at Sept ’14: 18.8 bln/€
As at 30 Sept ‘15,
modified rate duration
of whole Italian Govies
Portfolio: 1.23
Average Maturity:
5.74Y
Ongoing de-risking of
the portfolio to reach an
average maturity of
5.22Y at year end
13 * TLTRO for 8.1 bln/€ expiring Sept 2018
Loan to Deposit ratio = 94.2% NSFR and LCR > 1
Confirmed sound liquidity position framework
...Total eligible assets at 25.8 bln/€, 59% of current accounts and deposits
Eligible Assets
25.8 bln/€
(net of haircut,
as at 28thOctober 2015)
Composition (%) Usage (bln/€)
69% 8%
10%
13%
Italian Govies
Retained securitisations
Retained covered bonds
Other (ABACO)
Unencumbered
Pledged to ECB*
CCG Repos
14.6
3.1
8.1
14
PPA allocated line by line
B
A
In 9M15, net profit at 162 €/mln (+8.1% YoY)
C
B
A Notes: Net result from finance includes ~89 mln/€ from AFS disposals - Govies and other - in 9M15 (vs. ~109 mln/€ in 9M14)
Profits from equity-accounted investees, include:
- 9.7 mln/€ from Zhong Ou in 9M15 (vs. 1.6mln/€ in 9M14) thanks to strong growth in AuM reaching 21.5 bln€ at end Sept’ 15
- 9.8 mln/€ from Lombarda Vita in 9M15 (vs. 5.7 mln/€ in 9M14)
- 2.1 mln/€ from Aviva Vita in 9M15 (10.1 mln/€ in 9M14)
Net provisions for risk and charges include the estimated annual contribution to the Single Resolution Fund for 22.8 mln/€ (accounted in 2Q15)
and to the Deposit Guarantee Scheme for 11.3 mln/€ (accounted in 3Q15)
C
MAIN INCOME STATEMENT ITEMS
Figures in € mln9M14 9M15
% change
9M15 vs 9M143Q14 2Q15 3Q15
% change
3Q15 vs 3Q14
% change
3Q15 vs 2Q15
Net interest income 1,376 1,246 (9.5%) 468 417 399 (14.8%) (4.3%)
Net commission income 908 970 6.8% 299 328 300 0.7% (8.4%)
Net result from finance 151 139 (7.7%) 14 53 28 100.8% (47.6%)
Profits of equity-accounted investees 29 23 (19.6%) 8 13 4 (56.1%) (73.3%)
Other income items 102 93 (8.6%) 42 32 31 (24.9%) (2.4%)
Operating income 2,558 2,467 (3.5%) 822 843 758 (7.7%) (10.1%)
Staff costs (977) (973) (0.4%) (329) (320) (318) (3.3%) (0.6%)
Other administrative expenses (458) (455) (0.8%) (147) (165) (142) (3.7%) (14.2%)
Net impairment losses on property, equipment and investment
property and intangible assets(128) (115) (10.2%) (42) (39) (37) (13.0%) (5.9%)
Operating expenses (1,563) (1,542) (1.3%) (518) (524) (497) (4.2%) (5.3%)
Net operating income 995 925 (7.0%) 303 319 262 (13.8%) (17.9%)
Net impairment losses on loans (626) (558) (10.9%) (197) (199) (169) (14.5%) (15.3%)
Net impairment losses on other financial assets and liabilities (2) (6) n.s. (0) (2) (3) n.s. 28.2%
Net provisions for risks and charges (4) (48) n.s. (1) (25) (19) n.s. (24.9%)
Profits (losses) from disposal of equity investments (0) 0 n.s. 0 0 0 n.s. n.s.
Pre-tax profit from continuing operations 362 314 (13.4%) 105 93 72 (31.7%) (22.9%)
Taxes on income for the period from continuing operations (187) (128) (31.8%) (52) (37) (29) (45.1%) (22.9%)
Profits for the period attributable to non-controlling interests (25) (23) (9.3%) (9) (7) (6) (40.1%) (25.2%)
Charges for exit incentives
(net of tax and non-controlling interests)(1) n.s
Profit for the period 150 162 8.1% 44 49 38 (14.0%) (22.6%)
Profit for the period NET OF NON-RECURRING ITEMS 175 176 0.3% 45 54 40 (10.3%) (26.2%)
C C
368 344
331
100 73
68
3Q14 2Q15 3Q15
15
(€ mln)
1,086 1,027
290 219
9M14 9M15
NII from Financial Assets & Interbank Exposure
NII from Business with Customers
Net Interest Income 1,376 1,246 468 417 399
Quarterly evolution 9M evolution
See annex 7
NII mainly impacted by reduction/recomposition of the financial portfolio
(also following expiry of high yield securities in 4Q14), customer margin
pressure (mainly on short-term), decreasing volumes (short term) and
portfolio in run-off
-61
-71
Reduction/recomposition of
the financial portfolio: expiry
of 4.9 bln€ high yield
securities in 4Q14, reduction
of the portfolio in 9M15, etc...
Main Drivers
1. M/L term portfolio in run-off:
approx. -23 mln€ y/y
2. Short term: strong decrease
in short term volumes and
price war
16
* Includes FX negotiations.
** State Guaranty Bonds: first reimbursement 3 bln/€ value 7th March ’14 and remaining 3 bln/€ value 7th August ’14
*** Funds&sicav, insurance products, other third party products
Net Commission Income at 970 mln/€: +6.8% YoY.
3Q15 vs 2Q15 trend affected by usual seasonality and lower placement of
indirect funding products
435 446
473 523
9M14 9M15
908 970
148 149 149
151 179 151
3Q14 2Q15 3Q15
+10.6%
+2.5%
+6.8%
299 328 300
€ mln 3Q14 2Q15 3Q15
Upfront fees*** 31 40 27
% on total commissions 10.3% 12.3% 8.9%12.4% 12.3%
9M14 9M15
113 119
Quarterly evolution 9M evolution
(€ mln) (€ mln)
Banking Services
Commissions
Securities
Management, Trading
& Advisory Services*
Net commission income
from:
See annex 8
Volumes YoY:
+11% AuM
+ 13.7% Bancassurance
Lower placement of indirect funding products**
(1.5 €/bln in 3Q15 vs 2.1 €/bln in 2Q15)
mainly due to summer break
17
Lowest quarterly level of operating costs since 2007
* Costs related to the integration between IW Bank and UBI Banca Private Investment effective 25 May 2015
** PPA effect amounted to 14.8 mln/€ in 9M14 and to 9.9 mln/€ in 9M15
9M15 vs 9M14
Stable evolution of staff costs: lower average number of headcount (on
average -726 resources corresponding to -29 mln€) compensating increase in
wages and lower recourse to reduction of working hours
Relevant savings in Other Administrative Expenses thanks to ongoing cost
control in all areas of activity
Depreciation and amortisation down also following lower PPA (-5 mln€).
High level of investments related to development projects (regulatory and
business) confirmed (129 mln€ in 2015, up 11 mln€ compared to 2014)
% change % change % change
9M15 vs 9M14 3Q15 vs 3Q14 3Q15 vs 2Q15
Staff costs 977 973 -0.4% 329 320 318 -3.3% -0.6%
Other Adm. Expenses excluding
IW Bank-UBI PI integration costs458 447 -2.5% 147 159 141 -4.0% -11.2%
IW Bank-UBI PI integration costs* - 8 n.s. - 6 0 n.s. n.s.
D&A (including PPA**) 128 115 -10.2% 42 39 37 -13.0% -5.9%
Total operating costs 1,563 1,542 -1.3% 518 524 497 -4.2% -5.3%
Total operating costs excl. IW
Bank-UBI PI integration costs1,563 1,534 -1.8% 518 518 496 -4.3% -4.2%
3Q159M159M14mln/€ 3Q14 2Q15
COVERAGE Dec '14 June '15 Sept'15
Performing loans 0.63% 0.58% 0.56%
Total deteriorated loans 27.1% 27.8% 27.7%
including write-offs 37.1% 37.6% 37.3%
of which
Bad Loans (Sofferenze) 38.6% 38.7% 38.7%
including write-offs 53.4% 53.0% 53.0%
Unlikely to pay 16.7% 17.1% 17.1%
Past due loans 4.4% 5.4% 5.1%
8,589
10,958
12,674 13,049 13,368 13,651
Dec '11 Dec '12 Dec '13 Dec '14 June '15 Sept'15
NET DETERIORATED LOAN STOCKS (€ mln)
GROSS DETERIORATED LOAN STOCKS (€ mln)
6,280
8,105
9,312 9,508 9,651 9,872
Dec '11 Dec '12 Dec '13 Dec '14 June '15 Sept'15
Increased coverage compared to Dec 2014 (stable vs June ‘15)
Note: the increase in 2012 vs 2011 deteriorated loans also reflects change in posting criteria for past due (from 180 to 90 days)
*Source: FY14 Financial Report, table A.3.2, Notes to the accounts 18
See annex 4
Coverage unvaried
notwithstanding disposal of 131
mln/€ (of which 31 in 3Q15) of
bad loans, provisioned 66%
+2.1%
+2.3%
9.5% TOTAL COVERAGE
27.7%
116.8% 144.5%
Fair Value
Real Estate
Collateral*
TOTAL
COVERAGE
Cash
Coverage
19
New inflows from performing to deteriorated loans significantly lower in
3Q15 vs 3Q14 (overall -37.9% vs Sept ‘13)
3,064
1,923 1,903
9M13 9M14 9M15
INFLOWS FROM PERFORMING TO DETERIORATED LOANS (NPE) (€/mln)
-37.9%
-1%
TOTAL DETERIORATED LOANS (NPE)
Sept '14 Sept '15
BAD LOANS
(“Sofferenze”)
Sept '14 Sept '15
UNLIKELY TO PAY
Sept '14 Sept '15
PAST DUE
115.8 87.5
652.3
1,043.3
1,155.3
772.1
LLPs (€/mln)
LLPs are significantly lower than in 9M14
626
558
9M14 9M15
-10.9%
LLPs (€/mln) - quarterly
199 230
197 190 199 169
1Q 2Q 3Q
-4.2% -13.7% -14.5%
1Q14 1Q15 2Q14 2Q15 3Q14 3Q15
1H14 1H15 3Q14 3Q15
1,260 1,275 663
628
-5.3% =
Potentially the non performing forborne exposures, for which
the cure period (12 months) expires and which show overall
a situation of regularity, may represent a return flow to
performing status estimated at approximately €200 million
per quarter (net of bad and restructured forborne exposures)
20
Outlook
The overall trend for operating income is forecast to be higher than in the third quarter although
with differing contributions from the individual components:
the pressure on net interest income may continue, although to a lesser extent than in the third
quarter, in a background of limited growth in loans and strong competition on spreads at
system level and following the continuation of the strategy to re-position the proprietary
securities portfolio;
net fee and commission income should benefit from the usual positive seasonal factors
normally experienced in the last quarter of the year;
a favourable environment for containing sovereign risk could allow better results to be
achieved for trading and hedging activity than in the previous quarters.
Actions undertaken in 2015 allow to confirm the objective of containing operating expenses in
line with those for 2014, notwithstanding the additional costs related to the contribution to the
European Resolution Fund and the Deposit Guarantee Scheme, estimated at over €30 million for
the current year.
Improvements in the macroeconomic environment, confirmed by the leading indicators, should
allow loan losses to be contained at a level lower than in 2014.
21
Annexes
Main Reclassified Balance Sheet Items
22
Annex 1
* Goodwill impairment in 2014
** Including € 8.1 bln TLTRO
Financial assets (AFS, HFT, FV, HTM) 22,617 23,746 21,870 19,595 -13.4% -10.4%
Loans to customers 84,947 85,644 85,340 83,834 -1.3% -1.8%
Property, equipment and investment property 1,741 1,729 1,756 1,744 0.1% -0.7%
Intangible assets 2,883 1,777 1,760 1,752 -39.2% -0.5%
of which: goodwill* 2,512 1,465 1,465 1,465 -41.7% 0.0%
Tax assets 2,567 2,992 2,753 2,727 6.2% -0.9%
Other assets 778 931 1,435 960 23.5% -33.1%
Total assets 120,539 121,787 119,454 115,689 -4.0% -3.2%
Net interbank position** 12,259 9,952 5,858 7,239 -40.9% 23.6%
Due to customers 45,582 51,617 55,331 50,760 11.4% -8.3%
Securities issued 42,272 41,590 38,996 38,262 -9.5% -1.9%
Tax liabilities 732 630 441 511 -30.2% 15.9%
Net worth attributable to the Parent 10,651 10,530 9,762 9,911 -6.9% 1.5%
Non-controlling interests 831 555 549 532 -36.0% -3.1%
Profit for the period 150 (726) 124 162 8.1% 30.2%
Total liabilities and equity 120,539 121,787 119,454 115,689 -4.0% -3.2%
30.06.2015
30.06.2015% quarterly
change
% annual
change
% annual
change
% quarterly
change30.09.2015
30.09.201530.09.2014 31.12.2014MAIN LIABILITIES AND EQUITY ITEMSFigures in millions of euro
MAIN ASSETS ITEMSFigures in millions of euro
30.09.2014 31.12.2014
23
Annex 2
Capital Ratios (Phased in, Basel 3) as at Sept ‘15:
Common Equity Tier 1 Ratio at 13%, Total Capital Ratio at 15.31%
mln/€ June '15 Sept '15
Risk weighted assets 59,526.3 58,129.1
Total prudential requirements
Credit risk 4,362.8 4,290.9
CVA (Credit Value Adjustment) risk 14.6 14.3
Market risk 84.1 44.5
Operational risk 300.6 300.6
mln/€ June '15 Sept '15
Common Equity Tier 1 Capital
(before filters and transitional provisions)8,163.1 8,319.1
Transitional provisions (minority interest) 191.9 180.3
Transitional provisions (AFS Reserves) -96.0 -97.1
Common Equity Tier 1 Capital filters -3.2 -2.6
Italian Govies filters -14.1 -168.7
Common Equity Tier 1
(after filters)8,241.7 8,231.0
Common Equity Tier 1 regulatory adjustments: negative elements
for deduction excess of expected losses over impairment losses -536.1 -673.1
Common Equity Tier 1 Capital (CET1) 7,705.6 7,557.9
Additional Tier 1 before deductions 39.2 38.4
Additional Tier 1 regulatory adjustments: negative elements for
deduction excess of expected losses over impairment losses -39.2 -38.4
Additional Tier 1 - -
Tier 1 Capital 7,705.6 7,557.9
Tier 2 instruments grandfathering - -
Tier 2 Capital after transitional provisions 1,813.2 1,623.0
Tier 2 capital regulatory adjustments -221.0 -279.5
of which: negative elements for deduction excess of expected
losses over impairment losses -246.5 -304.9
Tier 2 Capital 1,592.2 1,343.5
TOTAL OWN FUNDS 9,297.8 8,901.4
June '15 Sept '15
12.94% 13.00%
PHASED IN CET 1 PHASED IN
June '15 Sept '15
15.62% 15.31%
TOTAL CAPITAL
PHASED IN
TOTAL CAPITAL
PHASED IN
3Q15 profit not included
24
Bond maturities well planned and distributed over time. New Covered Bond
issuance in October 2015
* Inclusive of original 0.5 bln/€ of private placement with BEI expiring within 2022. Further 0.7 bln/€ retained issue not included (Oct ‘15)
2.60
9.52
3.73 4.26 4.47
4Q15 2016 2017 2018 2019 and following
RETAIL BONDS: Maturity Profile
INSTITUTIONAL BONDS: Maturity Profile INSTITUTIONAL BONDS: Maturity Profile
(Nominal amounts in € bln, net of bond repurchases)
(Nominal amounts in € bln)
Decreasing spreads vs. 6M Euribor (bps)
EMTN COVERED BONDS*
RETAIL BONDS: NEW ISSUANCES
0.97
0.10
0.80 0.15
1.00
0.53 1.80
1.05
0.05
1.05
4Q15 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 and following
5.36
0.03
2015 Maturities 2015 Maturities
EMTN
Covered Bond
2Q
- 0.03
- -
• Bond maturities well planned and
distributed over time
• In October 2015 a New Long 7 Year
Covered Bond issuance for 750
mln/€ (coupon at 1.00 % equivalent
to a spread of 36 basis points above
the interpolated mid swap rate (7y
and 3 months))
2015 Maturities 2015 Maturities
2Q 3Q 1Q
Retail
Bonds 1.62 2.00 1.07
150 126
95 50
FY12 FY13 FY14 9M15
Including CB issue for
750 mln/€ in Oct ‘15
-
3Q
-
Annex 3
1Q
Performing loans, 88.2%
Past due loans, 0.4%
Unlikely to pay loans, 6.3%
Bad loans, 5.1%
Figures in mln€
June '15 Sept '15 June '15 Sept '15 June '15 Sept '15
Performing loans 76,127 74,376 75,689 73,963 0.58% 0.56%
of which forborne 2,342 2,263 2,307 2,229 1.51% 1.50%
Non performing exposures 13,368 13,651 9,651 9,872 27.80% 27.69%
of which forborne 2,483 2,734 2,104 2,318 15.25% 15.21%
- Bad loans ("Sofferenze" ) 6,829 6,920 4,187 4,244 38.68% 38.67%
- “Unlikely to pay” loans 6,150 6,324 5,096 5,241 17.13% 17.13%
- Former impaired loans 5,223 5,394 4,349 4,475 16.74% 17.05%
- Former restructured loans 927 930 747 766 19.37% 17.61%
- Past due loans 389 407 368 387 5.39% 5.07%
Total loan book 89,495 88,027 85,340 83,834 4.64% 4.76%
of which: forborne 4,825 4,997 4,411 4,547 8.58% 9.00%
Gross exposure Net exposure Coverage
Asset Quality details
Days of
arrears
0 90
PERFORMING LOANS PAST-DUE LOANS UNLIKELY TO PAY BAD LOANS
(“Sofferenze”)
t
PERFORMING
FORBORNE NON PERFORMING FORBORNE
Performing loans, 84.5%
Past due loans, 0.4%
Unlikely to pay loans, 7.2%
Bad loans, 7.9%
% Incidence on total loans... ...in gross terms, Sept ‘15 ...in net terms, Sept ‘15
25
Annex 4
26
Other key elements to assess the Group loan portfolio
September 2015 September 2015
Loan To Value* (Network banks + UBI):
Performing loans:
Retail: 46.2% (45.6% in Dec ’14)
Corporate: 38.6% (39.8% in Dec ‘14)
Unlikely to pay and Past due loans:
Retail: 55.7% (55.6% in Dec ’14)
Corporate: 47.4% (49.4% in Dec ‘14)
% of secured (real estate + personal guarantees) positions as at Dec ’14
(table A.3.2 of the notes to the accounts):
Total: 77.5%
Performing: 77.2% Total non performing exposure: 80.0%
(over 66% assisted by real estate**)
* Arithmetic mean, to allow comparison with Bank of Italy data
** Management data
Annex 5
* Following the merger of Banca 24/7 in UBI Banca, effective July 2012, UBI Banca is managing the remaining stock of non captive mortgages and personal
and special purpose loans. Prestitalia is managing all “salary backed loan” operations, both stocks and new lending
** Minor companies, UBI Banca financial transactions, IAS adjustments, loans not segmented to commercial portfolios and intercompany eliminations
Lending Portfolio: +0.9% vs Dec’14 in the core perimeter
Small business: turnover up to €15 mln
Core Corporate: turnover from €15 to €250 mln
Large Corporate: turnover > €250 mln
27
Dec '14 June '15
Private Customers 21.0 21.1 21.1 0.6% -0.2%
Small business 13.4 13.4 13.2 -2.0% -1.5%
UBI Banca (former Banca 24/7)* 5.4 5.0 4.9 -9.0% -3.4%
IW Bank PI 0.9 0.8 0.8 -6.5% -2.7%
Prestitalia 1.9 1.7 1.5 -20.2% -7.7%
Total Retail 42.5 42.0 41.4 -2.5% -1.4%
Core corporate 14.2 14.5 14.3 0.9% -1.1%
Large corporate 8.1 8.5 8.6 5.9% 0.7%
UBI Banca (former Centrobanca) 4.9 4.7 4.7 -3.2% 1.2%
Total Corporate 27.2 27.6 27.6 1.6% -0.2%
0.8 0.8 0.8 7.3% 4.4%
15.2 14.9 14.0 -8.1% -6.2%
of which: UBI Leasing 6.9 6.8 6.7 -3.5% -1.2%
UBI Factor 2.0 2.1 1.9 -7.9% -10.0%
UBI Banca including CCG 1.6 1.7 1.2 -24.6% -28.7%
85.6 85.3 83.8 -2.1% -1.8%
% change vsDec '14 June '15 Sept '15€ b ln, end date
TOTAL NET LENDING BOOK
PRIVATE
OTHER**
RETAIL
CORPORATE
Annex 6
Stable “core” lending in Network
banks at 58 bln/€
(+0.9% vs Dec ’14)
28
Net Interest Income – Consolidated Customer Spread Details
* Average period data referred to the whole consolidated Group (Network banks+ Product companies + UBI)
Annex 7
CUSTOMER SPREADS
in bps on avg. STOCK* 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15
1M Euribor 23 23 7 1 0 -5 -9
Mark up vs 1M Euribor 278 278 286 281 275 268 259
Short term 361 348 347 335 323 308 293
Medium-long term 253 257 268 266 261 258 251
Mark down vs 1M Euribor -98 -95 -99 -96 -89 -86 -85
Sight deposits -8 -7 -19 -20 -16 -18 -19
Term deposits -191 -163 -130 -125 -112 -89 -94
Retail bonds -146 -146 -148 -142 -136 -129 -124
Institutional bonds -186 -183 -191 -189 -186 -187 -187
UBI Group - Customer spread 180 183 187 185 186 182 174
of which
UBI Network Banks cust. spread 196 198 204 203 201 196 190
29 * Includes FX negotiations
Net Commission Income details
Annex 8
Net Commission Income (€ mln) 9M14 9M159M15 / 9M14
(%)3Q14 2Q15 3Q15
3Q15 / 3Q14
(%)
3Q15 / 2Q15
(%)
MANAGEMENT, TRADING & ADVISORY
SERVICES*473 523 10.6% 151 179 151 0.3% -15.6%
of which:
Portfolio management 191 232 21.5% 67 80 75 11.2% -6.1%
Placement of securities 134 156 16.0% 41 53 35 -14.2% -34.7%
Third party services distribution 127 130 2.8% 40 45 39 -2.2% -14.4%
BANKING RELATED COMMISSIONS 435 446 2.5% 148 149 149 1.0% 0.4%
of which:
Guarantees (banking activity) 19 35 81.2% 8 11 10 21.3% -7.4%
of which for State guaranteed bonds (18) - n.s. (3) - - n.s. n.s.
Collection and payment services 87 82 -5.6% 28 29 27 -3.5% -7.0%
Services for factoring transactions 14 12 -16.6% 4 4 4 -15.1% -7.9%
Current accounts management 150 143 -4.1% 52 48 49 -4.2% 2.9%
Other services 164 173 5.2% 56 57 59 6.2% 4.0%
TOTAL 908 970 6.8% 299 328 300 0.7% -8.4%
Shareholders’
Meeting
approves
transformation
of UBI Banca
into Joint Stock
Company
Filing of the
transformation
resolution with the
Company Registrar
10 Oct
2015
Within 27
October
2015
Deadline for withdrawal
Shares are unavailable to the
shareholder once the withdrawal
right is exercised
Offer in option of the
shares subject to
withdrawal to the other
shareholders
Deadline for exercising
the option right
If the shares of the withdrawing
shareholders are not purchased, either in
whole or in part, by the other
shareholders, the shares will be offered
on regulated markets
Redemption of the shares subject
to withdrawal within limits defined
and removal of the constraint of
unavailability on the shares subject
to withdrawal which have not been
reimbursed
Authorisation from the
Bank of Italy to reduce the
own funds of the bank
Transformation into Joint Stock Company. Right of withdrawal procedure
Completion of the procedure for the
relative shares for the entire period.
Completion of the procedure for the
payment of the shares subject to
withdrawal may last a maximum period of
six months from the date of
communication of the withdrawal, with the
consequent unavailability of the
relative shares for the entire period.
Supervisory Board resolution also setting
limit to redemption of the shares
subject to withdrawal according the
formula defined in due time.
Authorisation request to Bank of Italy to
consequently reduce the own funds of the
bank
From 12
November
2015
Within 90
days
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
8 8
7 7 9 9
12 Oct
2015
Annex 9
To 12
January
2016
30