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A workforce in crisis? The UK nursing labour market review 2015
R C N L A B O U R M A R K E T R E V I E W
A workforce in crisis? The UK nursing labour market review 2015 2
Contents
1. Introduction and commentary 3
2. The UK nursing workforce 5
3. Nursing and Midwifery Council registrants 9
4. The nursing workforce in NHS England, Scotland, Wales and in health and social care in Northern Ireland 12
5. Nursing and earnings 28
6. Nurse education 35
A workforce in crisis? The UK nursing labour market review 2015 3
1. Introduction and commentary
This report provides a review of the UK nursing labour market, looking at recent data and trends for nursing staff working in the health sector across the UK, drawing out differences and similarities across the four UK countries. The review uses national data sets to estimate the size, shape and composition of the nursing workforce. The review covers:
• theUKnursingworkforceacrossthewholeUKeconomy
• NursingandMidwiferyCouncilregistrants
• thenursingworkforceinNHSEngland,ScotlandWalesandinhealthandsocialcare, NorthernIreland
• nursingearnings
• pre-registrationeducation.
Lastyear’sLabourMarketReviewdescribedtheimpactoftheculminationofyearsofshort-termworkforceplanning,payrestraintandlackoffocusonworkforceretention.Itpaintedadismalpictureofnursingshortages,recruitmentdrivesinEurope,increaseduseofagencystaff,thedegradationofspecialistandseniornursingaswellasworseningworkload,moraleandstresslevels.Thisyear’s12-monthreviewofdevelopmentsaffectingnursingshowsafurtherdeteriorationinthekeyfactorsnecessaryforplanningasustainableworkforce.
The most dramatic manifestation of failures in workforce planning has been the huge growth in the useofandresourcesallocatedtoagencynursing,acrossboththeNHSandtheindependentsector.TheRCNFrontline First report Runaway Agency SpendingpublishedinFebruary2015projectedthatspendingonagencynursingstaffwouldreach£980millioninEnglandalonebytheendof2014-15.1 Thereisalsogrowingrelianceonagencystaffinginsocialcare,particularlyinresidentialandnursingcarehomesastheyfacechallengesinrecruitingandretainingnursingstaffandmeetregulatoryrequirementsandqualitystandards.WithlittlereliabledataonthenumberofnursingvacanciesintheNHSorsocialcare,thisgrowingrelianceonagencystaffingisaclearindicatorofproblemswithworkforcesupply.
Whilesomeagencynursecapacityisnecessarytocoverunplannedabsencesandvacanciesandmeetunexpectedspikesindemand,relianceonagencystaffisnotjustcostly,butcanresultinlackofcontinuityandlesseffectiveteamworkwhichcanhaveasignificantimpactonpatientcare,asacknowledgedbytheChiefNursingOfficer(CNO)forEngland.In2015,theCNOcalledforimprovedrecruitmentandretentionacrossthewholehealthandcaresystem,streamlinedinternationalrecruitment, flexible working opportunities offered to new and existing staff, and improved support forstaffintheirroles.Theimpactofanyactiononthesemeasuresisyettobeseen.
This report shows how reliance on agencies comes as the full impact of cuts to the number of training placesisnowbeingfelt.AfragmentedandprimarilylocalapproachtoworkforceplanninghasledtosubstantialgapsinthecurrentworkforcecompoundedbytheinabilityofthevariousUKworkforcebodiestorespondtoimmediateworkforcepressuresoraddressanygaps.Theonlyotherviableshort-termsourceisimmigrationfromabroad,withrisingnumbersofnursingstaffbeingrecruited,particularlyfromEuropeancountrieshitbyeconomicslowdown.Meanwhile,thedecisionnottoputnursingonthelistofoccupationsinshortenoughsupplythattheycanbefilledbyoverseasrecruits
1 http://frontlinefirst.rcn.org.uk/sites/frontlinefirst/index.php/blog/entry/nhs-runaway-agency-spending-report/
A workforce in crisis? The UK nursing labour market review 2015 4
fromoutsideEuropecomesontopofnewimmigrationrulesaffectingnon-EuropeansalreadyintheUK.ThecombinationofthesedecisionsislikelytoincreasedemandforEuropeannurses.
Securestaffingisperhapsthemostimportantissuefacingtheprofession,yetalackofinvestmentinthesupplyofnursingnumbers,aswellasunderfundedtrainingandremuneration,meansaworkforcein crisis.
Ofcoursethegrowthinagencystaffingisnotjustaffectedbyworkforcedemand.Manynursingstaffareactivelychoosingagencyworkinginsearchofflexibleworkinghoursandtomaximisetheirearningpotential.ThispointstoavitalneedfortheNHSandotherhealthandcareproviderstobothrecruitandretainnursingstaff,yettheworkforceisoverwhelminglyexperiencingunderstaffing,risingworkloadsandpayrestraint.AnalysisofmedianannualearningsintheNHSshowsthatqualifiednursingstaffhavesufferedbetween6.3percentand10.5percentrealtermspayreductionsince2011,whilehealthcareassistantsandnursingauxiliarieshaveseenacutofjustovereightpercentover the same period.
Amongallnursesandnursingauxiliaries/assistantsworkingfulltimeintheeconomyacrosstheNHSandinotherhealthcaresettingstherehasbeenacumulativerealtermsdropof9.6and9.2percentinmedianweeklyearningsbetween2008and2014.Amongpart-timenursesandnursingauxiliaries/assistants,earningshavefallenby6.2percentand7.1percentoverthesameperiod.
Thechallengesfacedbythehealthandsocialcaresectorarewellunderstood:risingdemandcoupledwith squeezed budgets. The plans being formulated to cope with these challenges include the integrationofhealthandsocialcare,theexpansionofsevendayservices,movingcarefromacutetocommunitysettingsandimprovedhealthprevention.Theseallrequireafuturenursingworkforcewiththeskillstoworkacrossprimarycare,communitycareandacutehealthsettingsaswellastheskillsnecessarytoworkinmultidisciplinarysettings.Inshort,tomorrow’schallengeswillnotbemetwithouttakingcareofthenursingworkforcetoday.
A workforce in crisis? The UK nursing labour market review 2015 5
2. The UK nursing workforce
The labour market review aims to estimate the size, shape and composition of the nursing workforce usingOfficeofNationalStatisticsdatasetsinadditiontodatacollectedbythefourUKhealthdepartments.Itshouldbenotedthatdatasetsoftenusedifferentterminology,particularlyaroundthedefinitionofregisterednursesandmidwivesandnursingsupportstaffanddataissometimescollectedacrossdifferenttimeframesandthatthesedifferenceshavebeenidentifiedwheresignificant.
Section2providesananalysisoffiguresfromtheLabourForceSurvey(LFS)whichprovidesofficialmeasuresofemploymentandunemploymentfortheUK.Itgivesanindicationofthenumberofnurses,nursingassistantsandauxiliariesandmidwivesworkingacrosstheUKeconomy(asdefinedbytheOfficeforNationalStatistics).
Figure 1: Nurses, nursing assistants/auxiliaries and midwives in employment (2004-2014)
Source:AnalysisofLabourForceSurveysApril-June2004-2014
TheLFSprovidesanestimationofthesizeofindividualsectorsasdefinedbystandardindustrialclassification(SIC)codesandthenumberofpeopleworkingingivenoccupationsasdefinedbystandardoccupationclassification(SOC)codes–inthiscasenurses2, nursing auxiliaries and assistants3 and midwives.4
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2 SOC2231definesnursesasthoseproviding‘generaland/orspecialisednursingcareforthesick,injuredandothersinneedofsuchcare,assistmedicaldoctorswiththeirtasksandworkwithotherhealthcareprofessionalsandwithinteamsofhealthcareworkers.Theyadviseonandteachnursingpractice.’
3 SOC6141definesnursingauxiliariesandassistantsaswho‘assistdoctors,nursesandotherhealthprofessionalsincaringforthesickandinjuredwithinhospitals,homes,clinicsandthewidercommunity.’
4 SOC2232definesmidwivesasthosewho‘deliver,orassistinthedeliveryofbabies,provideantenatalandpostnatalcareandadviseparentsonbabycare.Theyworkwithotherhealthcareprofessionals,andadviseonandteachmidwiferypractice.’
A workforce in crisis? The UK nursing labour market review 2015 6
Figure1showsasteadyincreaseinthenumberofnursesworkingacrosstheNHS,otherpartsofthepublicsectorandtheindependentandvoluntarysectorsbetween2004and2014,withtheexceptionofaperiodofdeclinebetween2008and2010.
Thereareestimatedtobeapproximately590,202peopleemployedintheoccupationalcategoryofnursein2014,havingrisenby20percentsince2004.
Thereareanestimated300,201peopleemployedinthecategoryofnursingauxiliariesandassistantsintheUKin2014,havingrisenby32percentsince2004.
Inaddition,thereareestimatedtobeapproximately40,538peopleemployedasmidwivesintheUKin2014,havingfallenfrombysixpercentfrom43,046in2004.
Figure 2: Nurses in employment and sector of work (2014)
Source:AnalysisofLabourForceSurveyApril-June2014
Figure 3: Nursing auxiliaries and assistants in employment and sector of work (2014)
Source:AnalysisofLabourForceSurveyApril-June2014
Health authority or NHS trust2.2%2.3%
81.2%
1.2%13.1%
Charity/voluntary sector
Local government
Other public sector
Private sector
Health authority or NHS trust
2.3%
8.1% 63.4%
1.6%
24.6%Charity/voluntary sector
Local government
Other public sector
Private sector
A workforce in crisis? The UK nursing labour market review 2015 7
Broadly,UKhealthservicesaredeliveredviathreemainsectors:publiclyfundedservicesthroughtheNHS;servicesdeliveredbyindependentsectororganisations(privatecompanies,socialenterprises)andservicesdeliveredbyvoluntaryorganisations.5
AnalysisofLFSdataindicatesthesectorsinwhichnursesandnursingauxiliaries/assistantsworkshowthatalargerproportionofnursingauxiliaries/assistantsworkoutsidetheNHSthannurses.Figure2showsthatthemajority(81percent)ofallnursesintheUKworkinhealthauthoritiesorNHStrusts/boards.Oneineight(13percent)workintheprivatesectorandjustovertwopercentworkinthevoluntarysector,andasimilarnumberworkinlocalgovernment.
Figure3estimatesthatjustundertwothirds(63percent)ofallnursingassistants/auxiliariesworkforhealthauthoritiesorNHStrusts/boards;justunderaquarterworkintheprivatesector;aroundeightpercentworkinthevoluntarysectorandaroundtwopercentinlocalgovernment.
AccordingtoLaingBuisson(independenthealth,communitycareandchildcaresectoranalysts)revenuesgeneratedbyindependentsectorprovidersinthehealthandcaremarketstoodat£44.3billionin2013/14,upfrom£40.5billionin2012/13.Itstatesthat‘themaindriverofgrowththroughouthasbeenoutsourcingofpubliclypaidservices,andtoalesserextentaresurgenceofprivatelypaidhealthcareasBritainhasemergedfromtherecession.’6
Figure 4: Proportion of nurses, nursing auxiliaries/assistants and all UK employees working part time (2004-2014)
Source:AnalysisoftheLabourForceSurvey2004-2014
Figure4showsestimatesofpart-timeworkingamongthenursingworkforceascomparedtothewhole UK working population.7
In2004,almosttwofifths(37percent)ofnursesreportedthattheyworkedparttime,droppingto28percentin2013andthenmovingupto32percentin2014.Asimilartrendisevidentamongnursingauxiliariesandassistants,with42percentreportingworkingparttimein2003,decliningto35percentin2013andincreasinglyto39percentin2014.
Part-timeworkingisclearlymoreprevalentinthenursingworkforcethantheworkforceasawhole;justoveraquarterreportedtheyworkedparttimewithbarelyanychangeoverthisperiod.
5 SkillsforHealth(2011)Health Sector Workforce Intelligence: UK report. www.skillsforhealth.org.uk
6 www.laingbuisson.co.uk/MediaCentre/PressReleases/LaingBuissonReview27ed.aspx
7 Full-timeandpart-timestatusisself-classifiedbyrespondentstotheLabourForceSurvey.
504540353025201510
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Nurses All UK employeesNursing auxilaries and assistants
%
A workforce in crisis? The UK nursing labour market review 2015 8
Figure 5: Proportion of female nurses, female nursing auxiliaries/assistants and all female UK employees working part time (2004-2014)
Source:AnalysisoftheLabourForceSurvey2004-2014
Figure5looksatpart-timeworkinginmoredetailthoughanalysisoftheincidenceamongfemaleemployeesonly,duetothehighproportionofwomeninthehealthcareworkforce(around90percentofnursesand80percentofnursingauxiliariesandassistantsarefemale).
Part-timeworkingishigheramongthefemaleworkforcethanintheworkforceasawhole.Twofifths(42percent)ofallwomenreportedworkingparttimein2014comparedto26percentofallmenandwomen.
Figure5showsasimilar,downwardtrendinpart-timeworkingamongthefemalenursingworkforcebetween2004and2013withanincreasein2014.In2004,twofifths(42percent)ofnursesreportedworkingparttimecomparedto30percentin2013,risingtoathird(34percent)in2014.Amongnursingauxiliariesandassistants,justunderhalf(47percent)workedparttimein2004fallingto40percent2013beforerisingto45percentin2014.
Since2008,theUKeconomyhasseenageneraltrendofashiftinemploymenttowardsincreasedpart-timeworkaswellasself-employment.Muchofthegrowthinpart-timeworkingwasaccountedforbypeoplewhocouldnotfindfull-timework.In2008,theproportionofpeopleinvoluntaryworkingparttimewas9.5percent;thispeakedat18.5percentinmid-2013andcurrentlyfellto16.5percentin2014.
504540353025201510
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2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Nurses All UK employeesNursing auxillaries and assistants
%
A workforce in crisis? The UK nursing labour market review 2015 9
3. Nursing and Midwifery Council registrants
Section3examinesNursingandMidwiferyCouncil(NMC)registrantdata.AsofMarch2014,therewere680,858nursesandmidwivesontheregister,anincreaseof7,291(1.1percent)since2013.8 AllnursesandmidwiveswhopractiseintheUKmustbeontheNursingandMidwiferyCouncilregister.However,thisdoesnotnecessarilymeantheyareworkingasanurseormidwife.
Figure 6: Number of new entrants to the UK nursing register from UK sources (2004/5 to 2043/15)
Source:NursingandMidwiferyCouncil,obtainedunderFreedomofInformation
Figure 6 shows the trend in numbers of new nurses entering the labour market from UK training between2004/5and2014/15.Itshowsthat2014-15figureshavereturnedtothoseseenin2004/5followingarocky10-yearfallinnumbersfollowedbyasmallrecovery.
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8 NursingandMidwiferyCouncil.Annual Reports and Accounts 2013-14 and 2012-13 www.nmc.org.uk/about-us/reports-and-accounts/annual-reports-and-accounts/
A workforce in crisis? The UK nursing labour market review 2015 10
Figure 7: Number of new entrants to the UK nursing register from non-EU and EU sources (2004/5 to 2014/15)
Source:NursingandMidwiferyCouncil,obtainedunderFreedomofInformation
Figure7showsthepatternofannualregistrationofnursesandmidwivesfromnon-EUcountriesandEUcountriessince2004/5.TheNMCdatarecordswhenanurseregisters,butthisdoesnecessarilymeanthattheyareworkingintheUKasanurse.
Overallnumbersdroppedrapidlybetween2003/4and2009/10from12,670to2,519beforereaching8,183in2014/15,duemostlytoafallinnon-EUregistrants.ThisismostlylinkedtostricterimmigrationrulesaswellasmorecostlyapplicationrequirementsimplementedbytheNMCforinternationalnurses.Meanwhile,thenumberofEUregistrantshasincreasedfivefold,from1,193in2009/10to7,518in2014/15ashealthandsocialcaretrustslooktofillingworkforcegapsandnursingstaffseektoleaveEuropeancountrieshitbyeconomicdownturn.
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A workforce in crisis? The UK nursing labour market review 2015 11
Figure 8: International and UK sources as percentage of total new admissions to the UK nursing register: initial registrations (2004/5 – 2014/5)
Source:NursingandMidwiferyCouncil,obtainedunderFreedomofInformation
Figure8showsthebalancebetweennewentrantsfromUKandinternationalsources.Admissionsofinternationalnursesdeclinedsteadilybetween2004/5and2008/9,fallingfrom38to11percentofallnewnursesontheUKregister.Sincethen,figuressteadilyincreasedto28percent.
Figure 9: Inflow and outflow of nurses and midwives from the UK (2004/5 – 2014/5)
Source:NursingandMidwiferyCouncil,obtainedunderFreedomofInformation
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A workforce in crisis? The UK nursing labour market review 2015 12
TheNMCrecordsverificationsissuedtoothercountrieswhichgivesanindicationoftheoutflowofregisterednursescomparedtoinflowfromnewregistrantswithFigure9showingthattheinflowhasstoodaboveoutflowsince2013/14.
Ofthe4,935verificationsissuedin2014/15,twofifths(42percent)wereissuedtoAustralia,23percenttotheUSA,eightpercenttoIreland,sixpercenttoNewZealandandjustfourpercenttocountriesintheEuropeanEconomicArea.
4. The nursing workforce in NHS England, Scotland, Wales and in health and social care in Northern Ireland
ThissectionlooksattrendsinthenursingworkforceacrossthefourUKcountriesbetween2004and2014.9WhileservicesareoftenreferredtoastheNHStheyaremostlyindependentfromeachotherandoperateunderdifferentmanagement,rules,andpoliticalauthority.
Alleffortshavebeenmadetoensureconsistencybetweenmeasuresbuttherearevariationsindefinitionsandmethodsofdatacollectionindifferentcountries.Althoughdatamaynotbefullycomparable between countries, we can see a general upward trend in the registered nursing, midwiferyandhealthvisitingworkforceandadownwardtrendinthehealthcareassistant/healthcaresupportworkerworkforceoverthelasttenyearsinallUKcountriesexceptScotland.Trendsforeachcountryareexploredfurtherinthereport.
Table 1: Full-time equivalent (FTE) and percentage change in the qualified nursing, midwifery and health visiting workforce, 2004, 2012-2014, England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland
2004 2012 2013 2014 % change 2004-2014
% change 2013-2014
England 286,841 305,060 307,692 313,51410 9.3% 1.9%
Scotland 38,87311 41,159 41,869 42,61612 9.6% 1.8%
Wales 20,126 21,755 21,923 21,987 9.2% 0.3%
NorthernIreland
13,023 13,823 14,139 14,428 10.8% 2.1%
9 Dataforallfourcountriesisprovidedaswhole-timeequivalent(WTE)figuresandmeasuredat30Septemberannually.
10 HSCIC(2014)NHS Hospital and Community Health Service (HCHS) Workforce Statistics in England, Non-medical staff – 2004-2014 www.hscic.gov.uk/catalogue/PUB16973/nhs-staf-2004-2014-over-tab.xls
11 ISDScotland,Nursing and midwifery staff by time, NHS Board and NHS region (WTE) www.isdscotland.org/Health-Topics/Workforce/Historic-Data/index.asp
12 ISDScotland(2015)NHS Scotland Workforce – Data as at 30th September 2014 – Nursing and midwifery staff in post www.isdscotland.org/Health-Topics/Workforce/Publications/data-tables.asp?id=577#577
A workforce in crisis? The UK nursing labour market review 2015 13
13 StatsWales(2009)Nursing staff by grade and year, Qualified nursing, midwifery and health visiting staff and nursing support staff https://statswales.wales.gov.uk/Catalogue/Health-and-Social-Care/NHS-Staff/Non-Medical-Staff/Nursing-Midwifery-and-Health-Visitors/Pre-2009/NursingStaff-by-Grade-Year
14 StatsWales(2014)Nursing staff by grade and year, Qualified nursing, midwifery and health visiting staff and nursing support staff https://statswales.wales.gov.uk/Catalogue/Health-and-Social-Care/NHS-Staff/Non-Medical-Staff/Nursing-Midwifery-and-Health-Visitors/NursingStaff-by-Grade-Year
15 DHSSPSNI(2003)Health and Personal Social Services Workforce Census September 2003 – Section 3: Nursing, Midwifery and Health Visiting Staff www.dhsspsni.gov.uk/wf_census_03_sect3.pdf
16 DHSSPSNI(2014)Northern Ireland Health and Social Care Workforce Census March 2014 www.dhsspsni.gov.uk/hscwc-march-2014.pdf
Table 2: Full-time equivalent (FTE) and percentage change in the health care assistant/health care support worker workforce, 2003, 2011-2013, England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland
2004 2012 2013 2014 % change 2004-2014
% change 2013-2014
England 113,485 103,549 106,530 108,566 -4.3% 1.9%
Scotland 15,627 14,712 15,141 15,575 -0.3% 2.9%
Wales 7,281 6,314 6,332 6,313 -13.3% -0.3%
NorthernIreland
3,835 3,849 3,939 3,986 3.9% 1.2%
Notes on tables 1 and 2:
• England2004,2012-2014.Table1figuresareWTEqualifiednursing,midwiferyandhealthvisitingstaffinhospitalandcommunityservices.Table2figuresarehealthcareassistantsandnursing assistants/auxiliaries.
• Scotland2004.Table1figuresareWTEnursingandmidwiferystaffinNHSScotland,excludingnon-registeredstaff.Table2figuresarenon-registerednursingandmidwiferystaff.
• Scotland2012-2014.Table1figuresarenursingandmidwiferystaff,bands5–9inNHSScotland.Table2figuresare1-4nursingandmidwiferystaff.N.B.ScotlanddatawasrecalibratedusingAgendaforChangebandsafter2006so2012-2014figuresarenotdirectlycomparablewith2004figures.
• Wales2004.Table1figuresareWTEqualifiednursing,midwiferyandhealthvisitingstaffandnursingsupportstaffinhospitalsandthecommunity,excludinglearners,nurserynursesandnursing assistants/auxiliaries.13Table2figuresareWTElearners,nurserynurses,andnursingassistants/auxiliaries.
• Wales2012-2014.Table1figuresareWTEqualifiednursing,midwiferyandhealthvisitingstaffandnursingsupportstaffinhospitalsandthecommunityexcludingnursingassistantpractitioner,nurserynurse,nursingassistant/auxiliary,nurselearner–pre-registration,andnurselearner–post1stlevel.14Table2figuresareWTEnursingassistantpractitioner,nurserynurse,nursingassistant/auxiliary,nurselearner–pre-registration,andnurselearner–post1stlevel.
• NorthernIreland2004.Table1figuresareWTEnursing,midwiferyandhealthvisitingstaffinthehealth and personal social services workforce, excluding unqualified nursing staff. Table 2 figures are unqualified nursing staff.15
• NorthernIreland2012-2014.Table1figuresareWTEqualifiednursingandmidwiferystaffinthehealth and social care workforce.16Table2figuresareWTEnursesupportstaff.
A workforce in crisis? The UK nursing labour market review 2015 14
4.1 NHS England nursing workforce
4.1.2 Hospital and community
Figure 10: Qualified nursing and midwifery staff (FTE); health care/nursing assistants (2004-2014) Index change: 2004 = 100
Source:HealthandSocialCareInformationCentre
Figure10showsthetrendinqualifiednursingstaffandunregisterednursingstaffintheNHSinEnglandbetween2004and2014.WhiletherehasbeenanoverallincreaseofninepercentintheFTEnumberofqualifiednursesandmidwives(from286,841in2004to313,514in2014),thechartshowsthatthereweretwoperiodswhennumbersfell;between2006and2007,and2010and2011.
Looking at numbers of health care assistants and nursing assistants/auxiliaries, there has been an overalldownwardtrendbetween2004and2014,withfull-timeequivalentstafffallingbyfourpercent(from110,196to108,556).However,numbershavereturnedtogrowthsince2012whentheystoodat103,549.
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802004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Qualified nursing and midwifery Health care/nursing assistants
A workforce in crisis? The UK nursing labour market review 2015 15
Figure 11: NHS England, monthly staffing, qualified nursing, midwifery and health visiting (FTE) May 2010-February 2015
Source:HealthandSocialCareInformationCentre
Figure11showsthetrendinthequalifiednursingandmidwiferyworkforceinmoredepth,displayingmonthlystaffingfigures.ThisshowsanoverallupwardtrendfromMay2010,maskingmonth-on-monthfallsandrecoveriesinthenumberofnursingstaffemployed,reachingaten-yearlowof304,566inAugust2012beforerisingtoapeakof318,490inFebruary2015.
Table3looksindetailatthetrendinqualifiednursing,midwiferyandhealthvisitingstaffbetween2010and2014,withthenumberofFTEnurseshavingfallenacrossallbuttwoofthemainworkareas.Therehasbeenanincreaseinnursingstaffingnumbersinadult,generalandelderlyandgeneralsettings,whichhaveseenanoverallfourpercentrisefrom168,042to174,994(FTE).Thebiggestfallwasseeninlearningdisabilities,withacombinedfallof25percentacrosscommunityandothercaresettings.ThenumberofFTEnursingstaffemployedinmaternityservicesfellbyalmosteightpercentwhilethetotalnumberprovidingpsychiatryservicesincommunityandothersettingsfellbysevenpercent.Thenumberofneonatalnurses,meanwhile,increasedbythreequartersbetween2011and2014.
320,000
218,000
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A workforce in crisis? The UK nursing labour market review 2015 16
Table 3: England, qualified nursing, midwifery and health visiting staff (FTE) by work area (2010-2014)
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 % change 2010-2014
All 309,139 306,346 305,060 307,692 313,514 1.4%Adult, elderlyandgeneral
168,042 167,547 167,007 170,224 174,994 4.1%
Communityservices
47,779 46,399 46,035 45,716 46,850 -1.9%
Maternityservices
26,654 24,916 24,510 24,627 24,655 -7.5%
Communitypsychiatry
15,986 15,575 15,767 15,694 15,389 -3.7%
Otherpsychiatry
25,334 24,477 23,558 22,896 22,398 -11.6%
Paediatric nursing
15,807 15,629 15,607 15,819 16,108 1.9%
Schoolnursing
3,003 2,997 2,936 2,957 3,017 0.5%
Communitylearning disabilities
2,570 2,367 2,268 2,086 2,003 -22.1%
Otherlearning disabilities
2,684 2,421 2,186 2,086 1,921 -28.4%
Educationstaff
1,279 1,241 1,290 1,227 1,326 3.7%
Neonatalnursing
- 2,777 3,895 4,359 4,854 74.8%*change 2011-14
Figures12and13lookatmorerecent,monthlydataandconfirmstherecentupwardtrendinstaffingnumbersacrossadult,elderlyandgeneralandcommunityservices.ByFebruary2015,thenumberofFTEqualifiednursing,midwiferyandhealthvisitingstaffhadreached177,527inadult,elderlyandgeneralsettingsand48,232incommunityservices.
A workforce in crisis? The UK nursing labour market review 2015 17
Figure 12: NHS England monthly staffing, qualified nursing, midwifery and health visiting (FTE) in acute, elderly and general settings (May 2010-February 2015)
Source:HealthandSocialCareInformationCentre
Figure 13: NHS England monthly staffing, qualified nursing, midwifery and health visiting (FTE) in community services (May 2010-February 2015)
Source:HealthandSocialCareInformationCentre
180,000
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May 10Jul 10
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b 15
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48,500
48,000
47,500
47,000
46,500
46,000
45,500
45,000
44,500
44,000
43,500
May 10Jul 10
Sep 10Nov 1
0Jan 11
Mar 11
May 11Jul 11
Sep 11Nov 1
1Jan 12
Mar 12
May 12Jul 12
Sep 12Nov 1
2Jan 13
Mar 13
May 13Jul 13
Sep 13Nov 1
3Jan 14
Mar 14Jun 14
Aug 14Oct
14Dec 1
4Fe
b 15
FTE
A workforce in crisis? The UK nursing labour market review 2015 18
Figure 14: England, qualified nursing workforce (FTE), community nursing services, health visitors and district nurses (2004-2014) Index change: 2004=100
Source:HealthandSocialCareInformationCentre
Figure14looksingreaterdepthatcommunityservicesbetween2004and2014.Thenursingworkforce(FTE)grewbyaround12percentoverthe10-yearperiod.However,furtheranalysisshowsthedifferingfortunesofthedistrictnursingandhealthvisitorworkforce.Whilethenumberofdistrictnurseshasfallenby42percentbetween2004and2014,thenumberofhealthvisitorshasrecoveredtoits2004levelof10,167afterhavingfallento7,941in2011.
120
110
100
90
80
70
60
50
402004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Community services District nurseHealth visitor
A workforce in crisis? The UK nursing labour market review 2015 19
Figure 15: Source of recruitment of joiners to the qualified nursing, midwifery & health visiting staff group as can be best determined from the data available
Source:HealthandSocialCareInformationCentre
Figure15looksatthesourceofrecruitmenttothequalifiednursing,midwiferyandhealthvisitingworkforceascanbebestdeterminedfromthedataavailable.Itshouldbenotedthatforasizeableproportionofjoinersthesourceofrecruitmentisunknown,rangingfrom39percentfor2010-11to18percentin2013-14,thusmakingitdifficulttopresentreliablecomparisons.However,trendsinthedatashowthattheproportionofnursingstaffjoiningtheworkforcefromtheEUrosefromtwopercentin2010-11to8.8percentin2013-14whiletheproportionjoiningfromeducation/trainingremainedataround14percent.ThelevelofmovementaroundtheNHSappearstohavesloweddownwiththeproportionofjoinerscomingfromotherNHSorganisationsorgeneralpracticefallingfrom39percentin2010-11to33percent.Followinganoppositetrend,theproportionofrecruitsfromprivatehealthproviders,socialcareorthethirdsectorrosefrom19percentto23percentoverthe same period.
40%
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%Aug2010-Aug2011 Aug2011-Aug2012 Aug2012-Aug2013 Aug2013-Aug2014
NHS organisation/general practice
Private health/ social care/third sector
Education/training
Abroad – EU countryOther public sector
National qualifications
No employment
Abroad – Non-EU country
Self employed
A workforce in crisis? The UK nursing labour market review 2015 20
4.2 NHS in Scotland
Figure 16: Scotland, registered and non-registered nursing and midwifery staff (FTE) 2004-2014 Index change: 2004=100
Source:InformationServicesDivision,Scotland
Figure16showstherelatedpatternsofgrowthintheregisteredandnon-registerednursingandmidwiferyworkforceinNHSScotlandbetween2004and2014.Overall,thenumberofFTEregisterednursingandmidwiferyrosefrom38,873in2004to42,616in2014(10percent).
Therehasbeenanoverallfluctuatingtrendinthenon-registerednursingandmidwiferyworkforce,startingat15,628in2004,reachingitslowestpointof14,712in2012beforerisingto15,575in2014.
Thedropinnumbersemployedbetween2006and2007islargelyduetoassimilationtoAgendaforChange,withmanypostsallocatedasnotassimilatedbutstillwithinnursingandmidwifery,andnotnecessarilyalossofposts.
Figure17showsinmoredetailthetrendinnursingandmidwiferystaffinpostinNHSScotlandfrom2010to2014,demonstratingthelossof1,695FTEstaffinpostbetweenSeptember2010andJune2012,beforerecoveringto59,004in2014.
115
110
105
100
95
90
852004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Registered nursing and midwifery staff
Non-registered nursing and midwifery staff
A workforce in crisis? The UK nursing labour market review 2015 21
Figure 17: Trend in nursing and midwifery staff in post in NHS Scotland from 2010 to 2014
Sourcetofollow
4.3 NHS in Wales
Figure 18: Wales, qualified nursing and midwifery staff and nursing support staff (FTE), 2004-2014. Index change 2004=100
Source:StatsWales,WelshGovernment
59,500
59,000
58,500
58,000
57,500
57,000
56,500
56,000
55,500
55,00
54,500
Sep 2010
Mar 2011
Jun 2011
Sep 2011
Dec 2011
Mar 2012
Jun 2012
Sep 2012
Dec 2012
Mar 2013
Jun 2013
Sep 2013
Dec 2013
Dec 2013
Mar 2014
Sep 2014
Dec 2014
FTE
115
110
105
100
95
90
85
802004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Qualified nursing and midwifery staff
Nursing support staff
A workforce in crisis? The UK nursing labour market review 2015 22
Figure18showsthatthenumberofqualifiednursingandmidwiferystaffhasrisengraduallyfrombyninepercentfrom20,126(FTE)in2004to21,987in2014,whilethenursingsupportworkforcehasdroppedfrom7,281(FTE)to6,313(afallof13percent).
Table 5: Qualified nursing and midwifery staff (FTE) by work area (2010-2014)
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 % change 2010-2014
Acute, elderlyandgeneral
15,980 15,839 15,913 15,937 15,891 -0.6%
Communityservices
3,434 3,478 3,536 3,695 3,808 10.9%
Communitypsychiatry
1,229 1,256 1,325 1,339 1,337 8.8%
Otherpsychiatry
3,251 3,141 3,075 3,064 3,036 -6.6%
Maternityservices
1,713 1,700 1,655 1,658 1,649 -3.7%
Paediatric nursing
1,108 1,033 1,040 1,033 1,084 -2.2%
Communitylearning disabilities
315 299 300 281 281 -10.8%
Otherlearning disabilities
478 470 465 452 444 -7.1%
Neonatalnursing
332 423 419 439 428 28.9%
Schoolnursing
175 211 220 207 222 26.9%
Source:StatsWales.Nursingstaffbygradeandyear2010-2014
LookinginmoredetailatthequalifiednursingandmidwiferyworkforceinWalesbetween2010and2013,Table5showsanoveralldropinacute,elderlyandgeneralnursing,maternityservices,paediatricnursingandlearningdisabilities.Aninepercentincreaseincommunitypsychiatrynurseshasbeenpartiallyoffsetbyasevenpercentfallinnursingnumbersinotherpsychiatrysettings.Althoughsmallnumbers,therehavebeensignificantincreasesinthenumbersemployedinneonatal(29percent).
A workforce in crisis? The UK nursing labour market review 2015 23
Figure 19: Qualified nursing workforce (FTE) community nursing services, health visitors and district nurses (2004-2014) Index change: 2004 = 10
Source:StatsWales.Nursingstaffbyareaofworkandyear2004-2014
Figure19showsasimilarpicturetoEnglandinrelationtothetrendinqualifiednursingstaffworkingincommunitypsychiatry,communitylearningdisabilitiesandcommunityservices;overallnumbers(FTE)workingincommunitynursingservicesrosefrom4,344in2004to5,425in2014(25percentgrowth).Thisismatchedbysimilaroverallgrowthinthenumberofhealthvisitorsfrom684to858,whilethenumberofdistrictnurseshasfallenby35percentoverthesame10-yearperiod,from950in2004to614in2014.
130
120
110
100
90
80
70
60
50
402004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
All District nurseHealth visitor
A workforce in crisis? The UK nursing labour market review 2015 24
4.4 Health and social care in Northern Ireland
Figure 20: Qualified nursing and midwifery staff (FTE), unqualified nursing staff/nurse support staff (2004-2014) Index change: 2004=100
Source:DepartmentofHealth,SocialServicesandPublicSafety,NorthernIrelandHSCWorkforceCensus
Thequalifiednursingandmidwiferyworkforce(FTE)grewoverallbetween2004and2013,risingfromby15percentfrom12,526to14,428in2014.
Priorto2005,thenursingsupportworkforcewascategorisedasunqualifiednursingstaffandnumbered3,550(FTE).After2005,thecategorisationchangedtonursingsupportstaffandpeakedat4,095in2008beforedippingto3,867in2011andrisingbackto3,986in2014.
Table 6: Northern Ireland, qualified nursing and midwifery staff (FTE) by work area (2010-2014)
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 % change 2010-2014
Acute nurses 7,533 7,171 7,197 7,334 7520 -0.2
Mentalhealthnurses 1,633 1,581 1,627 1,617 1636 0.2
Midwifery 990 1,014 1,040 1,086 1095 10.6
Districtnurses 908 824 834 860 853 -6.1
Paediatric nurses 631 637 682 713 749 18.7
Healthvisitors 445 438 427 458 461 3.6
Learningdisabilitynurses 437 437 421 417 428 -2.1Source:DepartmentofHealth,SocialServicesandPublicSafety,NorthernIrelandHSCWorkforceCensus
Table6looksatthenumbersofqualifiednursingandmidwiferyworkforcebyworkareabetween2010and2014.ThenumberofFTEnursesworkinginacutesettingsaswellasdistrictandlearning
112
110
108
106
104
102
100
98
96
942004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Qualified nursing and midwifery staff
Unqualified/nursing support staff
A workforce in crisis? The UK nursing labour market review 2015 25
disabilitynursesallfellbybetweentwoandsixpercentoverthisperiod,whiletherewasgrowthinthenumberofpaediatricnurses(19percent),healthvisitors(fourpercent)andmidwives(11percent).
4.5 Nursing and age
ThefollowingfiguresprovideestimatesoftheageprofileofqualifiednursingstaffusingavailabledatafromNHSEngland,Scotland,WalesandHealthandSocialCareNorthernIreland.Analysisofthefiguresshowsaprogressivelyageingworkforce.Comparisonsofdatafrom2005and2013highlighthow older workers form a substantial and growing component of the workforce in all four countries.
Figure 21: NHS England, age profile, qualified nursing staff, September 2005 and September 2014 (headcount)
Source:HealthandSocialCareInformationCentre
Figure21showstheshiftinageprofileamongthequalifiednursingworkforceinEnglandbetween2005and2014.In2005,justoverathird(37percent)oftheworkforcewasaged45orover,comparedto45percentin2013.
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
2005
<25 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 >65
%
2014Age
3.34.6
25.4
21.4
34.6
28.727.1
31.9
9.4
12.7
0.3 0.8
A workforce in crisis? The UK nursing labour market review 2015 26
Figure 22: Scotland, nursing and midwifery staff, September 2005 and 2014 (headcount)
Source:InformationServicesDivision,Scotland
Figure22showsasimilarageprofileinthenursingworkforceinScotlandtothatinEngland.Twofifths(41percent)ofthenursingandmidwiferyworkforcewasagedover45in2005,comparedtooverhalf(55percent)in2014.
Figure 23: Wales, registered nurses by age, 2007 and 2013 (headcount)
Source:iViewWorkforce,NHSWales
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
2005
<25 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 >65
%
2014Age
4.2 4.1
18.3 17.9
36.5
23.4
29.0
37.7
9.1
16.1
2.90.9
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
2005
<25 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 >65
%
2014Age
3.5 2.7
21.2
17.2
35.3
29.130.5
37.1
9.2
13.2
0.2 0.6
A workforce in crisis? The UK nursing labour market review 2015 27
Usingavailabledatafrom2007and2013,Figure23alsoshowsthattheageprofileofthenursingworkforceinWaleshaschanged;in2007,twofifthsoftheworkforcewasaged45orovercomparedtojustoverhalfin2013.
Figure 24: Northern Ireland, qualified nursing, midwifery and health visiting staff by age, 2005 and 2014 (headcount)
Source:DepartmentofHealth,SocialServicesandPublicSafety,NorthernIrelandHSCWorkforceCensus
Figure24showsthesharpchangeintheageprofileofthequalifiednursingworkforceinNorthernIrelandbetween2005and2014.In2005,justonethird(34percent)ofqualifiednursingstaffwerebelowtheageof45,comparedwithjustunderhalf(48percent)in2014.
Since2004theaverageretirementageofnurseshasrisenduetochangesintheNHSpensionschemeandgovernmentpolicy:
• thenormalNHSpensionagehasincreasedfrom60to65
• theNHSearlyretirementageincreasedfrom50to55
• theUKgovernmentabolishedthedefaultretirementageof65years
• thestatepensionageisduetoincreaseto66by2020,to67by2028andto68by2046.
Althoughthenumberofnursesapproachingretirement(55yearorolder)hasincreasedoverthepast10years,thenumberofactualretirementshasbeenflat17, suggesting an increasing number of nurses aredelayingtheirretirement.
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
2005
<25 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 >65
%
2014Age
5.03.7
24.5
21.8
36.7
26.6 26.3
34.0
7.5
13.2
0.0 0.8
17 IndicativefiguresfromtheHealthandSocialCareInformationCentreshowingreasonsforleavingandstaffmovementsamongnursingstaffhasremainedstablebetween2011-14.
A workforce in crisis? The UK nursing labour market review 2015 28
5. Nursing and earnings
5.1 Nursing staff
Section5looksataverageearningsgrowthfornursingstaffcomparedtootheremployeesintheUK,usingofficialstatistics.
Figure 25: Median weekly earnings for full-time employees compared to CPI and RPI inflation Index: 2008=100
Figure25showsthegrowthinfull-timeweeklyearningsforallUKnursingstaffandallUKemployersbetween2008and2014,using2008figuresasthebase.Overthesixyearperiod,weeklyearningsrosebyjust12percentfornursesandninepercentfornursingauxiliaries,comparedto20percentforthewholepopulationworkingfull-time.
125
120
115
110
105
100
95
90
CPI RPI All full-time
Nurses full-time
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Nursing auxillaries and assistants part-time
A workforce in crisis? The UK nursing labour market review 2015 29
Figure 26: Real terms annual change for median weekly earnings (full-time employees)
Figure 27: Real terms annual change for median weekly earnings (part-time employees)
Figure26looksatannualchangesinmedianweeklyearningssincetherecession,adjustingforRPIinflation.Thefigureshowsthatsince2008,realtermsmedianweeklyearningsgrowthhasbeenbelowzeroforallfull-timeemployeesintheUKeconomy.Amongfull-timenurses,therehasbeenacumulativerealtermsfallinweeklyearningsof9.6percentanda9.2percentcumulativerealtermsdrop for nursing auxiliaries and assistants.
Figure27showsrealtermsmedianweeklyearningsgrowthforpart-timeworkersbetween2008and2014.Part-timenursingauxiliariesandassistantshaveexperiencedacumulativerealtermsfallinearningsof6.2percent,whileearningshavedroppedby7.1percentforpart-timenurses,withbelowzerogrowthforbothsetsofworkerssince2010.
6
4
2
0
-2
-4
-6
-82008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Nursing auxillaries NursesAll
%
15
10
5
0
-5
-10
-152008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Nursing auxillaries NursesAll
%
A workforce in crisis? The UK nursing labour market review 2015 30
5.2 NHS earnings
Thedatapresentedbelowshowtrendsinmedianearningsforqualifiednursing,midwiferyandhealthvisitorstaffinEnglandbetween2011and2015.ComparativedatafortheotherUKcountriesisnotavailable.
ItisimportanttosetthisdatainthecontextofdecisionsonAgendaforChangepayupliftsacrossthisperiod:
• 2012:payfreezeforthoseearningabove£21,000peryear
• 2013:onepercentconsolidatedupliftforallstaffinUK
• 2014:onepercentnon-consolidatedupliftonlyforstaffatthetopoftheirpaybandinEnglandandNorthernIreland;aone-offpaymentof£187inWales;onepercentconsolidatedupliftforallstaffinScotland
• 2015:onepercentconsolidatedupliftforthoseearninguptopoint42oftheAgendaforChangepayscale(£56,504)inEngland;onepercentconsolidatedupliftforallAfCstaffinWalesandScotlandaswellasthelivingwage.
Figure 28: Nominal annual change in median annual earnings: qualified nursing, midwifery and health visiting staff Agenda for Change bands 5-7, England (2011-2015)
Figure28showsthatnominalearnings(nottakingintoaccountinflation),rosebetween2011 and2015:
• Band5: 3.7percent
• Band6: 4percent
• Band7: 3.4percent.
1.6
1.4
1.2
1.0
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.0Feb 2011 Feb 2011 Feb 2011 Feb 2011 Feb 2011
Band 5
Band 6
Band 7
%
A workforce in crisis? The UK nursing labour market review 2015 31
Figure29belowshowsthatnominalearningsgrowthfornursingstaffinhigherbandswas slightlystronger:
• Band8a: 4.9percent
• Band8b: 6.6percent
• Band8c: 6.2percent
• Band8d: 4percent
• Band9: 12.1percent.
Figure 29: Nominal annual change in median annual earnings: qualified nursing, midwifery and health visiting staff Agenda for Change bands 8 and 9, England (2011-2015)
Figures30and31showsthechangeinmedianannualearningsbetween2011and2015,showingthattakingintoaccountRPIinflation,qualifiednursing,midwiferyandhealthvisitingstaffallsuffereda cumulative, real terms drop in earnings of:
• Band5: -10.3percent
• Band6: -9.9percent
• Band7: -10.5percent
• Band8a: -9.1percent
• Band8b: -7.4percent
• Band8c: -7.6percent
• Band8d: -9.7percent
• Band9: -6.3percent.
121086420
-2-4-6-8
Feb 2011 Feb 2012 Feb 2013 Feb 2014 Feb 2015
Band 8a Band 8b Band 8c Band 8d Band 9
%
A workforce in crisis? The UK nursing labour market review 2015 32
AllchartsshowmedianannualearningstrendfiguresobtainedfromtheHealthandSocialCareInformationCentre,withgrowthadjustedforbothRPIandCPIinflation.RPIisthepreferredindexforwagenegotiatorsasitincludeshousingcosts,unliketheCPImeasure.
Figure 30: Real terms (CPI and RPI) annual change in median annual earnings: qualified nursing, midwifery and health visiting staff Agenda for Change bands 5-7, England (2011-2015)
Figure 31: Real terms (CPI and RPI) annual change in median annual earnings: qualified nursing, midwifery and health visiting staff Agenda for Change bands 8a, 8b and 8c, England (2011-2015)
0.0%
-0.5%
-1.0%
-1.5%
-2.0%
-2.5%
-3.0%
-3.5%
-4.0%
-4.5%
Band 5 CPI Band 6 CPI Band 7 CPI
Band 5 RPI Band 6 RPI Band 7 RPI
Feb 2012 Feb 2013 Feb 2014 Feb 2015Feb 2011
2%
1%
0%
-1%
-2%
-3%
-4%
-5%
-6%
Band 8a CPI Band 8b CPI Band 8c CPI
Band 8a RPI Band 8b RPI Band 8c RPI
Feb 2012 Feb 2013 Feb 2014 Feb 2015Feb 2011
A workforce in crisis? The UK nursing labour market review 2015 33
Figure 32: Real terms (CPI and RPI) annual change in median annual earnings: qualified nursing, midwifery and health visiting staff Agenda for Change bands 8d and 9, England (2011-2015)
Figure 33: Nominal annual change in median annual earnings: Nursing assistants/auxiliaries and health care assistants, England (2011-2015)
Figure33showsthatinnominalterms,medianannualearningsroseby5.5percentand5.7percentfornursingassistants/auxiliariesandforhealthcareassistantsrespectivelybetween2011and2015.
8%
6%
4%
2%
0%
-2%
-4%
-6%
-8%
-10%
Band 8 CPI Band 9 CPI
Band 8d RPI Band 9 RPI
Feb 2012 Feb 2013 Feb 2014 Feb 2015Feb 2011
2.5%
2.0%
1.5%
1.0%
0.5%
0.0%
Nursing assistant/auxillary Health care assistant
Feb 2012 Feb 2013 Feb 2014 Feb 2015Feb 2011
A workforce in crisis? The UK nursing labour market review 2015 34
Figure 34: Real terms (CPI and RPI) annual change in median annual earnings: Nursing assistants/auxiliaries and health care assistants, England (2011-2015)
Between2011and2015,nursingassistants/auxiliariesinEnglandsufferedacumulative,realtermsdropof8.4percentwhilehealthcareassistantssawan8.2percentdropinmedianannualearningsusingRPIastheinflationmeasure.
0.0%
-0.5%
-1.0%
-1.5%
-2.0%
-2.5%
-3.0%
-3.5%
Nursing assistant/auxillary CPI Health care assistant CPI
Nursing assistant/auxillary RPI Health care assistant RPI
April 2012 April 2013 April 2014 April 2015April 2011
A workforce in crisis? The UK nursing labour market review 2015 35
6. Nurse education
This section looks at data and trends regarding the number of commissioned student places as well asdemandforandentrytonursingcoursesinhighereducationinstitutions(HEI).ThisgivesavitalindicationofthefuturesupplyofqualifiednursesintotheUKworkforce.WhilefiguresforHEIentryaregivenfortheUK,thenumberofplacescommissioned-whichisthekeydeterminantoffutureintaketoeducation-isundertakenseparatelybyeachUKcountry.
Figure 35: Applicants for entry to all courses at higher education institutions in the UK (2010-14)
Source:UCASAnnualreferencetables
750,000
700,000
650,000
600,000
550,000
500,000
450,000
400,000
Num
ber o
f app
lican
ts a
nd
acce
ptan
ces
Acceptance rate %
10095908580757065605550
2010697,350487,33069.9%
2011700,160492,03070.3%
2012653,635464,910
71.1%
2013677,375495,59573.2%
2014699,685512,37073.2%
ApplicantsAcceptancesAcceptance rate
A workforce in crisis? The UK nursing labour market review 2015 36
Figure 36: Applicants for entry to nursing courses at higher education institutions in the UK (20010-14)
Source:UCASAnnualreferencetables
Figure35looksatthenumberofapplicationsandacceptancestoallcoursesinUKhighereducationinstitutionsbetween2010and2014andtherelationshipbetweenthetwofigures,withtheacceptanceratereaching73percentin2014.
Figure36looksatthenumberofapplicantsandacceptancesfornursingcoursesbetween2010and2014andshowsthatthetotalnumberofapplicantsroseby85percentwhilethenumberofacceptancesroseby26percentovertheperiod.Theacceptanceratehasremainedstableataround40percentthroughthisperiod.
100,00090,00080,00070,00060,00050,00040,00030,00020,00010,000
0
Num
ber o
f app
lican
ts
and
acce
ptan
ces
Acceptance rate %
50454035302520151050
201061,14526,55543.4%
201162,00023,99038.7%
201260,57523,83039.3%
201362,51524,70039.5%
201466,46026,96540.6%
ApplicantsAcceptancesAcceptance rate
A workforce in crisis? The UK nursing labour market review 2015 37
Figure 37: England, number of nursing places commissioned (2005/6 to 2015/16)
Sources:ParliamentaryQuestion29November2013[179089]www.publications.parliament.uk/pa/cm201314/cmhansrd/cm131129/text/131129w0002.htm
HealthEducationEnglandDraft Workforce Plan for England http://hee.nhs.uk/wp-content/uploads/sites/321/2013/12/Workforce-plan-interactive1.pdf
Figure37showsthatthenumbersofstudentplacescommissionedinEnglandhavebeguntoriseagain,afterfallingto17,219in2012/13.Thereare20,003plannedplacesfor2015/16comparedto22,815in2003/4.
25,000
20,000
15,000
10,000
5,000
0
2005/06
2006/07
2007/08
2008/09
2009/10
2010/11
20011/12
20012/13
20013/14
20014/15
20015/16
Com
mis
sion
ed p
lace
s
Entry year
A workforce in crisis? The UK nursing labour market review 2015 38
Figure 38: Scotland, nursing and midwifery student intakes (2003/04 to 2012/13)
Source:InformationServicesDivision,Scotland
Figure38showsafallof27percentinstudentintakeplacesinScotlandbetween2004/5and2012/13,droppingfrom3,698to2,713.Atcommissioneduniversitiestherewasa21percentdropinplacesbetween2010/11and2012/13from3,060to2,430.Placeshavebeguntograduallyriseagainsince2013/14.In2014/152,698placeswereplanned.
Figure 39: Wales, number of nursing places commissioned, 2004/5 to 2014/5 and places planned for 2015/16
Source:HealthandSocialServices,WelshGovernment
1,400
1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200
0
2004/05
2005/06
2006/07
2007/08
2008/09
2009/10
20010/11
20011/12
20012/13
20013/14
20014/15
20015/16
Com
mis
sion
ed p
lace
s
Entry year
4,000
3,500
3,000
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
0
2004/05
2005/06
2006/07
2007/08
2008/09
2009/10
20010/11
20011/12
20012/13
20013/14
20014/15
Inta
kes
Entry year
A workforce in crisis? The UK nursing labour market review 2015 39
Figure39showsafallof35percentincommissionedplacesbetween2003/4and2012/13inWales,droppingfrom1,405to919.In2015/16,thereare1,283placesplanned,representinga22percentincreasefrom2014/15.
Figure 40: Northern Ireland, number of nursing places commissioned, 2008/9 to 2014/15
Source:A Workforce Plan for Nursing and Midwifery in Northern Ireland (2015-2025)www.nipec.hscni.net/workforceplan_NOTES.aspx
Figure40showsafallof20percentinthenumberofcommissionedplacesinNorthernIrelandbetween2008/9and2014/15,droppingfrom792to685.Thereisnoplannedincreasetotrainingplacesavailablein2015/16.
850
830
810
790
770
750
730
710
690
670
650
2008/09
2009/10
20010/11
20011/12
20012/13
20013/14
20014/15
Com
mis
sion
ed p
lace
s
Entry year
TheRCNrepresentsnursesandnursing,promotes excellence in practice and shapes health policies
October2015
RCNOnline www.rcn.org.uk
RCNDirect www.rcn.org.uk/direct 03457726100
PublishedbytheRoyalCollegeofNursing 20CavendishSquare London W1G0RN
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