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The World Health Organization: Does it have a Role in Critical Illness? Rob Fowler, MDCM, MS(Epi), FRCP Department of Medicine & Critical Care Medicine Sunnybrook Hospital, University of Toronto [email protected]

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The World Health Organization: Does it have a Role in Critical Illness?

Rob Fowler, MDCM, MS(Epi), FRCP

Department of Medicine & Critical Care Medicine

Sunnybrook Hospital, University of Toronto

[email protected]

What is Critical Illness?

What is theWorld Health Organization?

Health Spending as a Percent of the GDP

Fowler RA, Adhikari N, et al Crit Care 2008

Life Expectancy and

per capita Health Spending

Health Care Spending and ICU beds

per 100,000 Population

Number of ICU Beds

by Country

Adhikari N, et al Lancet 2010

Mortality by Region: Pandemic (H1N1)

Duggal A et al 2015 (thesis dissertation) Institute of Health Policy, Management and Evaluation, University of Toronto

Why would the WHO be interested in Critical Care?

SARS 2003

SARS Critical Illness Outcomes

Mortality, at day 28 34%

Ventilation, at day 28 16%

Poor Outcome at day 28 50%

H1N1 2009

Air Travel from Mexico

March 1 – April 30, 2009

N Engl J Med 361;2: 2009.

The Challenge

Clinical Outcomes

Canada

Mexico

H1N1 Clinical Outcomes - 2014

OR death 6.75 [95% confidence interval 2.46-18.51]

90-day Mortality

13.9% Canada

50.5% Mexico

Dominguez G et al 2015 (submitted)

When will the next outbreak or

pandemic occur?

published on April 24, 2013, at NEJM.org

Mortality ~ 30%

Mortality ~ 30%

Ebola

Aug 26 2015 (+ 36 cases in Nigeria, Senegal, Mali, USA, Spain, UK = 28,041)

Kenema, Sierra Leone, July-August 2014

Case Fatality by Age

http://www.nejm.org/doi/pdf/10.1056/NEJMoa1411100

WHO: Challenges Faced

The “Goldilocks” Curse of EpidemicsThere is no response that is Just Right

The “Goldilocks” Curse of EpidemicsThere is no response that is Just Right

It is easy to over-react

The “Goldilocks” Curse of EpidemicsThere is no response that is Just Right

The “Goldilocks” Curse of EpidemicsThere is no response that is Just Right

It is easy to under-react

Politics & Responsibilities

Budget* (and Personnel)

WHO: Opportunities

• There is no one else who can do (a portion of) this work– Inherent focus is on developing world

– Neutrality

– Intimately connected at global (UN), regional (AFRO, EMRO, PAHO, WPRO, EURO, SEARO), country (MOH) and district levels

– Ability to convening partners who would not work together (MSF, medical branches of military, etc.)

– Ability to produce guidance that is generally viewed as the authoritative

– Its agenda influences other bodies

WHO: Opportunities

WHO integrated, clinically compatible guidelines & tools for limited-resource countries

Second-level learning programme: District clinicians at small hospitals in limited-resource countries

First-level learning programme: Health centres/outpatientsUsually nurse or clinical officer led teams

CHWs, community/family caregivers, peer supportHome-based care, treatment support; palliative care tools

IMAI-IMCI-IMPAC IMAI-IMCIIMAI-STBIMCI

IMPAC

IMAI

STB-PIH-IMAI

Larger than child pocket book- adults have more diverse problems- Sex, drugs- Mental health- More chronic problems etc

WHO integrated, clinically compatible guidelines & tools for limited-resource countries

Second-level learning programme: District clinicians at small hospitals in limited-resource countries

First-level learning programme: Health centres/outpatientsUsually nurse or clinical officer led teams

CHWs, community/family caregivers, peer supportHome-based care, treatment support; palliative care tools

IMAI-IMCI-IMPAC IMAI-IMCIIMAI-STBIMCI

IMPAC

IMAI

STB-PIH-IMAI

Larger than child pocket book- adults have more diverse problems- Sex, drugs- Mental health- More chronic problems etc

Uganda-December 2013- printed Feb

2014

Ebola/Marburg, CCHF

WHO- interim emergency guidelines - Generic draft for West African

adaptation- 30 March 2014- printed April 2014

Ebola/Marburg, CCHF, Lassa fever

Sierra Leone adaptation- printed December 2014

Focused on Ebola; includes Marburg, CCHF, Lassa fever

WHO- second genericversion- based on Sierra

Leone version, removes

SL specifics; some updates.

CCM 2013:41(2)

Goderich, SIERRA LEONEItalian Emergency NGO

Courtesy of Prof Antonio Pesenti & Dr. Gino Strada

[email protected]@who.int

Emerging Disease Clinical Assessment and Response Network

Clinical & Infection Control

Pandemic & Epidemic Diseases

WHO-HQ, Geneva

WHO Emerging Disease Clinical Assessment and Response Network (EDCARN)

Vision

The mortality due to emerging pathogens is reduced through

improved clinical management, even in absence of

vaccine or specific treatment. Enhance/empower the role

of clinical care / clinicians

Mission

In the Global Health Security context,

To strengthen global collaboration between clinicians, researchers,

WHO, medical NGO's, national health authorities and other

stakeholders in order to improve clinical management of patients

during outbreaks of emerging diseases.

EDCARN Partner mapping

WHO Secretariat

WHO CCSystematic

reviews

WHO CCTraining of EID

Clinical management and clinical research

WHO CCPreclinical research

WHO CCClinical trials

WHO ERC

Network(ISARIC)

Network(InFact)

Network(SCC)

Network(WFICCS)

Ministry of Health

Working GroupsInstitutions, clinicians, researchers

Disease / initiatives Specific

Advisory Panel

Research

Timeline of Start-up Activities for an Observational Study of SARI

If we Wait until Outbreaks Start to Initiate Outbreak Research – we will Fail to Improve Care

Late Fall 2013: Likely Outbreak Onset

March 21 2014: Outbreak Recognition

April 2014: Date for Case Series Generation

August 2014: Country Research Ethics Approval

October 2014: Approval to Submit Case Series

Research ChallengesExample Research Timelines for Ebola

WHO – Research Potential Ways Forward

If we wait for an outbreak or epidemic to start planning, initiating research, we will almost always fail to improve care during the outbreak and for the future

We must have somewhat generalizable, flexible observational studies, with paper and electronic case report forms, ready and ethics approved BEFORE

These CRFs should be “tiered” and be the platform upon which biological sampling and interventions are tested

• Tier 0: 1-page minimal CRF with descriptors and outcomes• Tier 1: Traditional observational study with characteristics, severity of

illness, course of care, treatments, available labs, outcomes• Tier 2: Biological sampling studies• Tier 3: Intervention Evaluation, open or randomized

There must be funds / a virtual fund-in-waiting to get this work done

WHO-ISARIC Research Collaboration Potential Ways Forward

[email protected]@who.int

Ebola Virus Disease