theoretical framework and hypothesis development business research methods mgmt 381
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THEORETICAL THEORETICAL FRAMEWORK FRAMEWORK
and and Hypothesis Hypothesis
DevelopmentDevelopment
Business Research MethodsBusiness Research Methods
MGMT 381MGMT 381
TheoryTheory
An interrelated set of An interrelated set of statements of statements of relationshipsrelationships whose purpose is to explain or whose purpose is to explain or predictpredict
Device for interpreting, criticizing Device for interpreting, criticizing established laws, modifying them, guiding established laws, modifying them, guiding to discovery of new theories/generalizationsto discovery of new theories/generalizations
Purpose of theoryPurpose of theory: to a) explain or b) : to a) explain or b) predict of occurrences of certain predict of occurrences of certain phenomena and to c) highlight the phenomena and to c) highlight the important concepts and relationships in a important concepts and relationships in a problem situation problem situation
How are theories How are theories generated?generated?
DeductiveDeductive reasoning reasoning (conclusion (conclusion derives from something known to be derives from something known to be true)true) 1. 1.Identify problem Identify problem 2.Define purpose 2.Define purpose
3.Develop research questions 3.Develop research questions 4.Conduct review of literature4.Conduct review of literature 5.Develop hypotheses5.Develop hypotheses
6. Determine measures6. Determine measures
7. Collect data7. Collect data
8. Analyze data8. Analyze data
9. Interpret data9. Interpret data
How are theories How are theories generated?generated? Science is accomplished by Science is accomplished by
deductiondeduction
How are theories How are theories generated?generated? InductiveInductive reasoning reasoning (conclusion (conclusion
derives on the basis of derives on the basis of observation of phenomena or observation of phenomena or facts)facts)
We observe cars on a street and note We observe cars on a street and note that 10 cars in a raw are white. But that 10 cars in a raw are white. But this does not mean 11this does not mean 11thth car will be car will be whitewhite
Why does this happen? Develop Why does this happen? Develop hypothesis. Test hypothesis.hypothesis. Test hypothesis.
Where do original Where do original ideas come from?ideas come from? Intensive case study investigationIntensive case study investigation Rules of thumbRules of thumb Hypotheses testingHypotheses testing
Good TheoryGood Theory
Guides the studyGuides the study Limits what the study wants to Limits what the study wants to
achieveachieve Suggests the most appropriate Suggests the most appropriate
research designresearch design Provides a framework for the Provides a framework for the
studystudy
Theoretical FrameworkTheoretical Framework
A conceptual framework of how a A conceptual framework of how a researcher theorizes the relationships researcher theorizes the relationships among different phenomena and among different phenomena and explains these phenomena and why explains these phenomena and why they are associated with each otherthey are associated with each other
Identifies several factors and variables Identifies several factors and variables that are important to the problem at that are important to the problem at hand hand
Theoretical FrameworkTheoretical Framework
It is a logically developed, It is a logically developed, described and elaborated network described and elaborated network of associations among variables of associations among variables identified through interviews, identified through interviews, observations and literature reviewobservations and literature review
Theoretical FrameworkTheoretical Framework
Identifies the relationships among the Identifies the relationships among the variables considered important to the variables considered important to the study of a problemstudy of a problem
Explains the theory underlying these Explains the theory underlying these relationshipsrelationships, describes the nature and , describes the nature and direction of these relationships direction of these relationships
Foundation of the entire research Foundation of the entire research projectproject
The process of The process of building theoretical building theoretical frameworkframework Introducing definitions of the Introducing definitions of the
concepts examined or variablesconcepts examined or variables Developing a conceptual model that Developing a conceptual model that
provides a descriptive representation provides a descriptive representation of the theory developedof the theory developed
Introducing a theory that provides an Introducing a theory that provides an explanation of relationships between explanation of relationships between the variables in the modelthe variables in the model
Components of the Components of the Theoretical FrameworkTheoretical Framework Variables relevant to the studyVariables relevant to the study Relationships among variablesRelationships among variables Nature and direction of the Nature and direction of the
relationship based on previous relationship based on previous research. Positive ? Negative?research. Positive ? Negative?
Explanation of why we would Explanation of why we would expect these relationships to exist expect these relationships to exist
A schematic diagram of the A schematic diagram of the theoretical framework to visualize theoretical framework to visualize the theorized relationships (visual the theorized relationships (visual model)model)
Main types of Main types of variablesvariables A variable A variable is anything that can take is anything that can take
on differing or varying values on differing or varying values Dependent Dependent (criterion) (DV)(criterion) (DV) IndependentIndependent (predictor) (IV) (predictor) (IV) Moderating or explanatoryModerating or explanatory - has - has a a
strong influencestrong influence on the IV-DV on the IV-DV relationship, modifies this relationshiprelationship, modifies this relationship
Intervening or mediatingIntervening or mediating- - temporarily temporarily influencesinfluences the DV and IV relationship the DV and IV relationship
ExtraneousExtraneous
The relationships between The relationships between independent and dependent independent and dependent
variablesvariables
Cultural ValuesCultural Values
Number of Books
Number of Books
BehaviorBehavior
Reading Ability
Reading Ability
IV DV
IV DV
The relationships between IV, The relationships between IV, DV and moderating variablesDV and moderating variables
Number of Books Number of Books
Reading Ability
Reading Ability
IV
DV
Parents’
Literacy
Parents’
Literacy
Moderating variable
The relationships between IV, The relationships between IV, DV and moderating variablesDV and moderating variables
Quality ofProductsQuality ofProducts PurchasesPurchasesIV DV
Consumers’ Needs
Consumers’ Needs Moderating variable
The relationships between IV, The relationships between IV, DV, intervening and DV, intervening and moderating variablesmoderating variables
Quality ofProductsQuality ofProducts PurchasesPurchasesIV
DV
Consumers’ Needs
Consumers’ Needs Moderating variable
WEATHERWEATHER
Intervening variable
ModelModel
Formalized (visual) representation Formalized (visual) representation of a theoretical frameworkof a theoretical framework
Designed through the use of Designed through the use of symbols or physical analoguessymbols or physical analogues
Represents theory so that theory Represents theory so that theory can be tested, examined and can be tested, examined and analyzedanalyzed
Simplified versions of phenomena Simplified versions of phenomena under studyunder study
Example of a ModelExample of a Model
Price Price SettingSettingPrice Price
SettingSetting
CostCost
Competitor’s price
Competitor’s price
Target profitTarget profit
Target marketTarget market
DV
IV
IV
IV
IV
Example of a ModelExample of a Model
DV
IV
IV
IV
IV
Student Performan
ce
Student Performan
ce
InstructorInstructor
Student Effort
Student Effort
Study Time Study Time
Student Abilities
Student Abilities
Technology
Technology
MV
IVs
Propositions and Propositions and HypothesesHypotheses StatementsStatements about concepts which may be about concepts which may be
judged judged as true or false as true or false if it refers to observable if it refers to observable phenomena phenomena
When a proposition is formulated When a proposition is formulated for empirical for empirical testing it is called a hypothesis testing it is called a hypothesis
A concrete statement of an abstract A concrete statement of an abstract relationship described in a theoryrelationship described in a theory (e.g. sales (e.g. sales and economic hardship are related)and economic hardship are related)
RelationalRelational (relationships between two or more (relationships between two or more variables)variables)
ExplanatoryExplanatory or or causalcausal (one concept explains or (one concept explains or causes the other one)causes the other one)
HypothesesHypotheses
Guide the direction Guide the direction of the studyof the study Limit what we studyLimit what we study Suggest the most appropriate research Suggest the most appropriate research
designdesign Provide a framework Provide a framework to organize the to organize the
conclusionsconclusions Play an important role in the Play an important role in the
development of theorydevelopment of theory Can be developed from the theoretical Can be developed from the theoretical
framework framework
Definition of Definition of HypothesisHypothesis A hypothesis is an A hypothesis is an educated educated
guess about a problemguess about a problem’’s solutions solution
Example:Example:If the pilots are given If the pilots are given
adequate adequate training to handle a training to handle a plane, air safety plane, air safety violations will violations will be reducedbe reduced
Directional HypothesesDirectional Hypotheses
If in stating the relationships between If in stating the relationships between two variables or comparing two groups two variables or comparing two groups terms, such as terms, such as ‘‘positivepositive’’, , ‘‘negativenegative’’, , ‘‘more thanmore than’’, , ‘‘less thanless than’’ and and ‘‘the likethe like’’ are used then these hypotheses are are used then these hypotheses are directional.directional.
Examples:Examples: Employees who are Employees who are moremore healthy take healthy take
sick leave lsick leave lessess frequently frequently The The greatergreater the stress on the job, the the stress on the job, the
lowerlower the job satisfaction the job satisfaction
Non-directional Non-directional HypothesesHypotheses
If there is no indication of the If there is no indication of the direction of the relationships or direction of the relationships or differences then these differences then these hypotheses are hypotheses are non-directionalnon-directional
Examples: Examples: There is a relationships between age There is a relationships between age and job satisfaction.and job satisfaction. There is a difference between the There is a difference between the work ethic values of American and work ethic values of American and Asian employees.Asian employees.
Null HypothesisNull Hypothesis
Null HypothesisNull Hypothesis (Ho)(Ho)–the statement –the statement expressed as expressed as nono (significant) (significant) relationships between the 2 variables relationships between the 2 variables or or nono (significant) differences between (significant) differences between 2 groups exist2 groups exist
Null hypothesis is set up to be rejected Null hypothesis is set up to be rejected in order to support an alternative in order to support an alternative hypothesishypothesis
Alternative HypothesisAlternative Hypothesis
Alternative Hypothesis Alternative Hypothesis (H1)(H1) –is the –is the opposite of the null: statement opposite of the null: statement expressing a relationship between 2 expressing a relationship between 2 variables or indicating differences variables or indicating differences between 2 groupsbetween 2 groups
Ho Ho is rejected if the results do not is rejected if the results do not meet the p<0.05 level of significancemeet the p<0.05 level of significance
Examples of Examples of HypothesesHypotheses Null HypothesisNull Hypothesis: There is no : There is no
relationship between stress relationship between stress experienced on the job and the experienced on the job and the job satisfaction of employees.job satisfaction of employees.
Alternative HypothesisAlternative Hypothesis: There is a : There is a relationships between stress relationships between stress experienced on the job and the experienced on the job and the job satisfaction of employees.job satisfaction of employees.
Why do we develop Why do we develop hypotheses?hypotheses?
Suggest variables to be included in the Suggest variables to be included in the research designresearch design
Provide possible answers to the research Provide possible answers to the research questionsquestions
Allow researchers to speculate about Allow researchers to speculate about possible research question answerspossible research question answers
Example: Example: Housing sales decrease because Housing sales decrease because the level of competition is extremely highthe level of competition is extremely high
Imply problem (decreased housing sales)Imply problem (decreased housing sales)
How to develop How to develop hypotheses? hypotheses?
Depends on information available:Depends on information available: 1) Information from previous 1) Information from previous
researchresearch 2) Information from economics, 2) Information from economics,
marketing, social, psychological marketing, social, psychological impacts of pricing on…, etc.impacts of pricing on…, etc.
3) Manager’s experience with a 3) Manager’s experience with a problemproblem
When developing When developing hypotheseshypotheses
Need to look at three elements: Need to look at three elements: a) a) Research question(s)Research question(s) b) Hypothesis b) Hypothesis c) Boundaries of study c) Boundaries of study
Example:Example:Research questionResearch question: : ““Will our TV ad attract Will our TV ad attract clients?clients? HypothesisHypothesis: : ““Yes, it will attracYes, it will attractt””
Example:Example:
BoundariesBoundaries limit the research process, e g. limit the research process, e g. research is limited to only female and male, a research is limited to only female and male, a specific geographical region, a certain product.specific geographical region, a certain product.
Boundaries depend on the research Boundaries depend on the research purpose and purpose and influence the value of the influence the value of the answer. answer.