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“This is Our Land” How Likely is the Palestinian Youth to Instigate a Third Intifada? Nils Steven Mollema January 2017

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Page 1: “This is Our Land”

“This is Our Land” How Likely is the Palestinian Youth to Instigate a Third Intifada ?

Nils Steven Mollema

January 2017

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Nils Steven Mollema (s1251708)

University of Leiden

Faculty of Governance and Global Affairs

Supervised by Jelle van Buuren, PhD

Second Reader Edwin Bakker PhD

Msc Crisis and Security Management

“I come bearing an olive branch in one hand, and the freedom fighter's gun in the other. Do not let the

olive branch fall from my hand.” – Yasser Arafat, 1974 (BBC, n.d.)

Thesis in fulfillment of the Master of Science in Crisis and Security Management at the Faculty Campus

The Hague at Leiden University

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“I don’t believe that all the people who died for the sake of the Palestinian land should go to waste. I

believe we have a responsibility to keep working for what they originally did.”

(Student Bethlehem University #3)

Abstract

The violent means employed in the Second Intifada resulted in the death of 4,173 people. Of these, 3,223

were Palestinians, 631 of them minors. The remaining 950 were Israeli, of which 112 were minors. The

violence did not improve the situation of the Palestinian people. With the occupation of the Palestinian

Territories going into its 50th year, recent surges in violence from both sides have made a peaceful

solution in many ways more inconceivable than ever before. Increasing Israeli security measures have

created an entire generation of Palestinians which has been segregated from Israel, and vice

versa, fostering hatred and dehumanization of the other side, making engaging in violence all the more

attractive. This begs the question, how likely is it that Palestinian youth will once again organize and rise

up against the occupation of their land? Answering this question is best done through the lens of Social

Movement Theory. Historical analysis and a review of Social Movement Theory show that past intifadas

were born from frustration, collective action, strong leadership and a great deal of youth participation.

Today the frustration is there. The youth are upset with Israel, as well as their own government, the

Palestinian National Authority (PNA). Many no longer believe in the two-state solution, and they are

willing to engage in violence to find any solution, or at the very least to be heard. However, mobilization

of a social movement has been made very difficult. The PNA, under the leadership of Mahmoud Abbas,

says it is committed to a non-violent path to resolution through international diplomacy and intervention.

They have actively disarmed the population, tempered even moderate resistance, and consistently

cooperated with Israel on security matters. The PNA’s leadership is likely to be key to any successful social

movement and possible intifada, violent or otherwise. Therefore, it is unlikely that another intifada will

erupt as long as Abbas remains in power.

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Acknowledgements

For this research to be possible there are several parties. I would like to thank the men and women at:

The Netherlands Representative Office in Ramallah

Al-Haq

The Palestinian Center for Policy and Survey Research

Birzeit University

Bethlehem University

An-Najah University

Hebron University

Al-Quds University

The Youth Peace Initiative

For their assistance in gathering data, finding interviewees, and allowing me to use their vast network of

contacts to produce as valid and reliable research as possible.

I must also thank all those that proofread and assisted in the editing of this work. Most notably, Prof. Jelle

van Buuren PhD, for supervising the writing of this thesis.

For those that wished to remain anonymous, I thank you for your bravery to speak out and for your

honesty in interviews.

At this point a disclaimer must be made. This research does in no way reflect the views of the institutions

that assisted in the research. All statements are entirely my own.

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Table of Contents Abstract .............................................................................................................................................2

Acknowledgements............................................................................................................................3

Table of Contents ...............................................................................................................................4

Map of the West Bank, Area A, B and C ..............................................................................................6

Chapter 1: Introduction ......................................................................................................................7

1.1 Context ................................................................................................................................. 7

1.2 Structure ............................................................................................................................... 8

1.3 Scientific relevance ............................................................................................................... 9

1.4 Social relevance .................................................................................................................. 10

Chapter 2: Historical Background of the Conflict ............................................................................... 12

2.1 A political road map of Palestine ........................................................................................ 12

2.1.1 Fatah ...................................................................................................................... 12

2.1.2 Hamas .................................................................................................................... 14

2.1.3 The Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine .................................................. 16

2.1.4 The Palestinian People’s Party ............................................................................... 17

2.1.5 Palestinian National Initiative ................................................................................ 17

2.2 A Brief History of the Palestinian Israeli Conflict ................................................................. 19

2.2.1 The establishment of Israel .................................................................................... 19

2.2.2 The occupation in 1967 .......................................................................................... 19

2.2.3 The First Intifada .................................................................................................... 19

2.2.4 The Oslo accords (Oslo I & Oslo II).......................................................................... 21

2.2.5 The Al-Aqsa Intifada ............................................................................................... 23

2.2.6 The 2006 elections ................................................................................................. 25

2.2.7 International community in the conflict ................................................................. 26

2.2.8 The role student movements in the conflict .......................................................... 27

Chapter 3: Theoretical framework .................................................................................................... 29

3.1 Rational Choice Theory ....................................................................................................... 29

3.2 Political Opportunity Structures ......................................................................................... 30

3.3 Cultural Framing ................................................................................................................. 32

3.4 Media Discourse ................................................................................................................. 32

3.5 Transnational Activism ........................................................................................................ 33

3.6 The choice for violence or non-violence ............................................................................. 34

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3.6.1 Protest Cycles ......................................................................................................... 35

3.6.2 Political Exclusion ................................................................................................... 36

3.6.3 Legitimization of Violence ...................................................................................... 36

3.7 The Role of Social Movement Theory ................................................................................. 37

Chapter 4: Methodology .................................................................................................................. 39

4.1 Definitions of terms ............................................................................................................ 39

4.2 Research Methods and Operationalization ......................................................................... 40

Chapter 5: Results ............................................................................................................................ 46

5.1 Individual’s decisions to join the social movement ............................................................. 46

5.1.1 Collective identity................................................................................................... 46

5.1.2 Collective Action..................................................................................................... 48

5.1.3 Engaging in Collective Action ................................................................................. 53

5.1.4 Cultural Frames Resulting in Political Opportunities .............................................. 58

5.2 The International Community ............................................................................................. 61

5.2.1 The Perception of the International Community.................................................... 61

5.2.2 The Role the International Community should take ............................................... 62

5.3 The Choice for Violence ...................................................................................................... 63

5.3.1 Protest Cycles ......................................................................................................... 64

5.3.2 Legitimization of violence....................................................................................... 65

5.3.3 Policing protests ..................................................................................................... 66

5.3.4 Separation .............................................................................................................. 67

5.3.5 Romanticized view of violence ............................................................................... 68

5.4 The conditions for a movements success ........................................................................... 69

5.5 Statistics of the Palestinian Youth ....................................................................................... 71

Chapter 6: Conclusion and Recommendations .................................................................................. 76

6.1 Answering the research question ....................................................................................... 76

6.2 Conclusion and Limitations ................................................................................................. 78

6.3 Further Research................................................................................................................. 79

Bibliography .................................................................................................................................... 81

Interviews ....................................................................................................................................... 86

Appendix I – Oslo Accord I ................................................................................................................ 87

Appendix II – Oslo Accord II .............................................................................................................. 96

Appendix III – Sample Interview with coding................................................................................... 112

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Map of the West Bank, Area A, B and C1

1 http://endtimestruth.com/israel/palestinian-problem/

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Chapter 1: Introduction

1.1 Context

“To be Palestinian is to resist. It is a part of our identity”, these were the words of a young professional I

spoke to while doing research in Ramallah in the first half of 2016. These words have had a resounding

effect on this dissertation. Palestinians have never had their own nation-state. For almost their entire

history they have been under some form of foreign rule, be it by the British, the Jordanians, the Ottomans,

or the most recent example, the Israeli’s. The occupied Palestinian Territories2 (oPT) have been occupied

by Israel for roughly 50 years, since 1967 (Bickerton & Klausner, 2010, p. 156). This is one of the longest

ongoing occupations in the world. In that time, there have been countless pieces written about the history

of the conflict, the rise of Zionism and the Nakba, or "catastrophe" of 1948, referred to in Israel as the war

of independence. The First and Second Intifadas3, or uprisings, in the late 80's to the early 90's and early

2000's have been extensively researched, as have the Oslo accords and the development of the Palestinian

Authority. No less attention has been paid to the rise of Hamas, the Gaza wars, the function of

International Law, Palestinian resistance, the separation wall, and a nearly endless list of other subjects.

Yet, there is more to say and investigate still.

Near the end of 2015 there was an increase in violence across the West Bank, Gaza and parts of

Israel. From September to December there was a clear rise in incidents initiated by both sides, Involving

Palestinian as well as Israeli civilians (including settlers living in the occupied West Bank), the Israeli

Defense Forces (IDF), and Palestinian Security Forces (as shown in graph 1.1 and 1.2).

Graph 1.1 - Statics regarding security incidents in the West Bank4

2 The term occupied Palestinian Territories is a contested one. The borders of the region are still unclear, as is the name. The attempt to stay as neutral as possible, while still acknowledging that the region is contested, the term oPT was deemed most suitable. 3 A period of resistance with all three elements of longevity, central support, and the aim of emancipation. 4 These statics are gathered from media source and are not verified. They are therefore unsuitable for research purposes, but are reliable enough to show the trend in the selected time period.

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Graph 1.2 - Statics regarding security incidents in Jerusalem5

The more news about the attacks appeared in the media, the more suggestions of a third intifada

started to come out. Was this the next chapter in this conflict? Was this the start of another war? (Walters,

2015; Becker, 2015). This thesis does not attempt to answer the question of why this increase in violence

happened, or what motivated individuals to commit stabbing attacks, commit car-rammings, use pipe

bombs and other forms of interpersonal violence. These are questions that are being answered by other

researchers and other institutions. This research, instead, raises the question of why the increase in

violence did not translate into a violent, nationwide, population-wide, social movement similar to that of

the Second Intifada. In doing so it will also discuss the preconditions for a (third) intifada and how likely it

is one will occur. The main research question reads as follows:

“Which factors, be they facilitating or restrictive, can explain for the (lack of) potential of eruption of a

(third) intifada, instigated by the youth, in the near future across the oPT and Israel?”

1.2 Structure

The answer to this question will be discussed in the coming six chapters. The initial chapter of this

thesis, explores general literature regarding social movement theories, specific literature on the region

and the likelihood of a third intifada. The second chapter explains the exact methodology employed to

answer the research question. The third chapter uses in depth qualitative interviews to test the accuracy,

validity, and applicability of the reviewed literature with regard to the subject. In the fourth chapter

statistical tests are conducted to see whether these interviews are representative. The fifth chapter uses

literature, interviews and statistics to look towards the future and give a description of the possible

5 These statics are gathered from media source and are not verified. They are therefore unsuitable for research purposes, but are reliable enough to show the trend in the selected time period.

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development of this conflict in terms of social movements. The sixth and final chapter holds the conclusion

and the recommendations that follow from this thesis.

1.3 Scientific relevance

The majority of research and literature on the conflict between Israel and the Palestinians

approaches the conflict from an International Relations (IR) point of view (Norman, 2009, p. 15). This

framing has mainly been used to paint a picture of this conflict as two clashing nationalities fighting over

borders and land. This is an appropriate approach, but it has its limitations, which limitations stem from a

definition issue in terms of what type of conflict is being analyzed. In this case, only one side is an

internationally acknowledged, self-governing, highly developed nation-state, namely Israel. The

Palestinians on the other hand do not hold the same internationally recognized status as their Israeli

counterpart. The Palestinians are in many aspects under Israeli control (Pappe, 2015). Therefore, the

conflict is not between two nationalities, but rather between two national movements. The case of Israel

and the Palestinians has some characteristics of an international conflict, but it is more accurate to label

this an internal struggle, with a ruling power suppressing a group within its borders (Norman, 2009, p. 15).

Framing this conflict solely as an international one, would mean ignoring the other dynamics at play. The

conflict stems from organizations within a region actively mobilizing the public (i.e. social movements) to

challenge the governing and in the Israeli-Palestinian case, oppressing power, Israel. The presence of

social movements and their clear aim to establish an independent nation, whether alongside or in place

of Israel, makes the use of social movement theory a more pertinent one. A social movements approach

may yield different insights and uncover different dynamics than the more general IR point of view has

yielded in the past.

This research serves a broader academic goal as well. Much of the literature available in English

is based on studies set in western countries. This thesis takes the time to look at the extent to which these

theories are applicable in a non-western setting, namely the Middle East. Interviews with researchers

from the region that have devoted their careers to the study of social movements and related fields in the

region have allowed this thesis to build on extensive Arabic-language research, even though I do not speak

the language. The interviews hold interesting insights into the application of social movement theory and

show areas of potential expansion. This means that these researchers serve as a gateway into the Arabic-

language academic field, and allow for comparison with English-language texts and analysis. They are,

however, not a representation of the entire field. Regardless, they are reliable enough to be used as an

indicator of the applicability of western theories to this conflict.

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Much of this research is based on the work of Julie M. Norman (2009). Her work with social

movements in this conflict is extensive and valuable, but also becoming outdated, nearly 7 years have

passed since publication, and 9 since the interviews her research is based on were conducted. In that

time, there have been three wars in Gaza (Middle East Eye, 2014; BBC, 2014), further political stagnation,

no change of national representation, further settlement expansion and several upsurges of violence, as

well as significant changes in the region around Israel and the oPT. It is logical that these changes,

escalations, and stalemates have had an impact on the views of the youth and the population at large.

Therefore, it is academically suitable to return to Norman's research and update the research to match

the views of today.

A special focus on the views of the students across the Palestinian Territories is academically

crucial, as this is one of the least studied subjects in the conflict. It is well known that most of the leaders

who currently hold the power within the Palestinian Authority (PA), as well as the two main political

parties Fatah, Hamas and others, played prominent roles in student movements in the past (Zelkovitz,

2015). The only comprehensive English work on this subject is written by an Israeli scholar at the university

of Haifa, Ido Zelkovitz (Zelkovitz, 2015). This presents a glaring hole in the academic work on the subject.

By noting the state of student movements currently, the views of their supporters, and the relationships

to their formal counterparts, this work explores an, as of yet, nearly inaccessible field within the English-

language academic framework.

The goals of this research could have been achieved in a variety of settings. The choice for this

particular conflict has both a personal basis, as well as a societal motivation. The social motivation is

outlined below. Having family present in the area and working with the conflict on a political level since

the end of 2014 increased my interest in this specific area. Additionally, the complexity and longevity of

the Palestinian-Israeli conflict make it exceptional, and therefore fascinating to research. An internship at

the Netherlands Representative Office in Ramallah subsequently provided a large network of resources

to investigate the ins and outs of the political views of the youth in Palestine. Thus, this case was selected

based on the availability of resources to conduct an in-depth analysis, a strong personal interest, and the

potential for social change following this research.

1.4 Social relevance

From a societal point of view, this thesis is relevant as it gives an insight into a group of the

Palestinian population which at present is largely voiceless. The researched selection of the Palestinian

population has never had a chance to vote or gain influential positions in their national government, given

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that the last national elections were in 2006 (Bickerton & Klausner, 2010, p. 372). They are institutionally

underrepresented. Giving them a way to express their ideas and creating an overview of how these ideas

coexist is vital in understanding the next period of the conflict. The age of President Mahmoud Abbas has

many experts indicating a change of course upon his resignation or possibly his death (Interview Professor

Birzeit University #1). The interviewed population stated that the youth will play a significant role in

shaping the future of this conflict.

The research for this thesis was conducted during an internship with the Netherlands

Representative Office (NRO) in Ramallah. This was a unique opportunity, not only for a master’s student

but also for the NRO. Rarely do they have the opportunity to send someone into the field and get a ‘live’

view of developments. This was precisely my role during my internship with them. Therefore, the NRO

has requested a short analysis on the youth focused on youth’s political views, radicalization and

mobilization. For them and others in the field, a better understanding of the youth and a better

understanding of future developments means an improved planning process, better and more effective

diplomacy and better preparation for the future. With the Middle East at this moment in time engaged in

several conflicts, many extensively covered by western media, attention is being diverted to neighboring

countries, which poses the risk of forgetting about one of the world’s longest lasting occupations, and

thus any possible solutions. Therefore, it is important that research continues to be undertaken on this

conflict. This thesis will not hold the answers to the solution, but it helps those working to end the

occupation to do so moving forward.

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Chapter 2: Historical Background of the Conflict

2.1 A political road map of Palestine

A general understanding of the political parties in Palestine is vital for one to understand the views of

the youth. Most the of the interviewees for this research felt that Palestine was not united, because

people adhered to strongly to party lines. Many also felt that they were represented by one part or

another. When an individual says, they are represented by the PFLP, the PNI, or Fatah, what does that say

about the way they view the conflict and the way they see the future of Palestine. Therefore,

understanding the general views of the parties helps understand the positions of the youth. The most

important parties in the oPT are the Popular Front for the Fatah, Hamas, Liberation of Palestine (PFLP),

the Palestinian National Initiative (PNI), and the Palestinian People’s Party (PPP).

2.1.1 Fatah

“For many Palestinians, the Palestinian National Liberation Movement (Fatah) is not just one of several

political movements but the embodiment of secular Palestinian nationalism per se.” (Bröning, 2013, p. 57).

Founded in 1959 in Kuwait by graduates of Cairo University, Fatah is currently the largest of the Palestinian

parties (Bröning, 2013, p. 59). Ideologically Fatah has always claimed to transcend the narrow political

ideologies, even though it is a member of Socialist International (the global organization of social

democrats, socialists and labor parties across the globe, SI) (Bröning, 2013, p. 58). Fatah aims to embody

the needs and wishes of the Palestinian people regardless of religion or ideology.

In principal, Fatah stands for the reunification of Palestine per the historical borders, prior to the

establishment of the Israeli state. As is stated in their constitution, Fatah’s goal is “the complete liberation

of Palestine and eradication of Zionist political, military, and cultural existence.” (Bröning, 2013, p. 59). In

attempts to achieve this goal Fatah engaged in forms of guerrilla warfare and in ‘terrorist’ activities in the

1960’s, eventually resulting in their exile to neighboring nations. Their exile and continual resistance to

the Israeli military made them very popular among the Palestinian public. (Bröning, 2013, p. 59). The most

notable altercation between the Israeli military and Fatah was the Battle of Karameh in 1968. The success

of Fatah in inflicting large casualties on the Israelis resonated with Palestinians. In the aftermath of this

battle Yasser Arafat was announced as the leader of Fatah (Bröning, 2013, p. 61).

Under Arafat the organization became the largest of the Palestinian parties, and the largest in the

Palestinian National Authority (PNA), established following the Oslo accords, and the Palestinian

Liberation Organization (PLO), a body comprised of different political organizations from across Palestine

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that was the spokesperson for the Palestinians prior to the PNA’s establishment. Arafat’s success in

garnering major international attention for himself and his organization put Fatah at the forefront of the

conflict with Israel. Both in armed resistance and in negotiations, Fatah was the leading organization

(Bröning, 2013, p. 57). The political success of Fatah makes it difficult at times to differentiate between

Fatah policies and institutions and policies and activities of the PNA and the PLO. Mahmoud Abbas’ current

position as President of the PNA, the PLO and Fatah is an example of how intertwined these institutions

are (Bröning, 2013, p. 57). The devotion to the reunification of Historical Palestine was put aside at least

temporarily in 1974 in favor of a stronger support of the two-state solution. This shift was formalized

when the PLO accepted the so called, Ten Point Program. Even though this did not satisfy the Israelis it

showed a change in Fatah policy (Bröning, 2013, p. 60). Following the invasion of Lebanon by the Israelis,

per experts to eradicate the PLO and Fatah (Friedman, 1995, p. 129; Bröning, 2013, p. 61), Fatah entered

a tumultuous period leaving their leadership in Tunisia with no significant role in Palestinian activism.

To regain a position of power and relevance, Arafat agreed to the Amman Accord, in 1985. This

signaled reconciliation between the PLO and Jordan, calling for a confederation between Palestine and

Jordan (Bröning, 2013, p. 61). When the First Intifada broke out in 1987, it caught Fatah and its leaders

off guard. The intifada used tactics that were, at the time, foreign to Fatah, which was still focused on

armed resistance. Even though Fatah only played a minor part in the intifada itself, the PLO did play a

major role in the negotiations that followed, in Madrid in 1991. The First Intifada was one of the major

reasons for the Madrid Peace Conference, and by extension the Oslo accords, which followed in 1993

(Bröning, 2013, p. 62). By signing the Oslo Accords Arafat formally recognized the right of Israel to exist.

Officially Fatah held onto its claim to be fighting for the liberation of Historical Palestine until 2009, even

though their actions reflected a different position. This disconnect between their rhetoric and their

actions cost them support on the ground (Bröning, 2013, p. 63).

Following the Oslo accords Fatah struggled with the internal contradiction of being an all-

encompassing resistance movement and the leading political party in the PNA. This contradiction was also

clear in the outbreak of the Second Intifada. Assessments have come to different conclusions regarding

the level of involvement of Fatah leadership in instigating the unrest. What is apparent in most of these

assessments, however, is that Fatah did little to control the unrest and limit demonstrations (Bröning,

2013, p. 63). The Second Intifada brought with it a great deal of fighting between Fatah affiliated groups,

increasing the unrest within the party (Bröning, 2013, p. 64). The party was further weakened by the loss

of its leader, Arafat, in 2004. His replacement, Mahmoud Abbas, brought an end to the violence of the

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Second Intifada (Bröning, 2013, p. 64). His approach of engaging and cooperating with the Israelis was not

supported by a large segment of Fatah’s supporters (Bröning, 2013, p. 64). The discontent with Fatah

became clear in the parliamentary election of 2006 where the party suffered great losses, which went

hand in hand with a victory for Hamas. An international refusal to accept Hamas’ rise to power in the oPT,

based on the party’s more extreme and violent ideology, eventually led to a violent split of the Territories.

By 2007 (Bröning, 2013, p. 15), Gaza was under the rule of a de facto Hamas government, and the West

Bank was ruled by Fatah and the PNA (Bröning, 2013, p. 65). Although many reconciliation efforts have

been made, this situation has hardly changed since.

In summation, Fatah under Arafat before the Second Intifada was a secular revolutionary group,

that fought for the unification of Historical Palestine and a single state. Through the years, first under

Arafat and later under the leadership of Mahmoud Abbas, this goal has been relinquished for the more

pragmatic goal of a two-state solution. Thus, when referring to Fatah, one must make clear if this is pre-

Oslo Fatah or post-Oslo Fatah.

2.1.2 Hamas

Internationally the Islamic Resistance Movement (Hamas) is often seen as the great spoiler of the

peace process in the Palestinian-Israeli conflict. In most western nations, Hamas is recognized as a

terrorist organization, due to their refusal to denounce violence. Thus, they are not seen as a legitimate

political organization (Bröning, 2013, p. 15). The Palestinians disagree. In the oPT they are a legitimate

organization, with a great deal of democratic support. As shown by their success in the 2006 elections,

where they defeated Fatah (Bickerton & Klausner, 2010, p. 372). Hamas’ origin can be traced back to the

Muslim Brotherhood, an organization of Sunni Muslims, which originated in the 1920’s in Egypt. Hamas

was founded during the First Intifada in 1987. Originally it was a wing of the Muslim Brotherhood, but it

soon outgrew this status (Bröning, 2013, p. 16). The establishment of its military wing was not far behind,

with its first notable incident in 1989 (Bröning, 2013, p. 17). Ideologically Hamas seeks the liberation of

Historical Palestine from Israeli rule while also pushing back against the secular movement in Palestinian

politics represented by Fatah and the PLO (Bröning, 2013, p. 16). Hamas has been kept out of the PLO

because of internal resistance and outside pressure (Bröning, 2013, p. 15). Initially Hamas took pride in

this rejection by the PLO and outside parties. Recently, however, it has been seeking stronger

international support, recognition and cooperation by downplaying the importance of their charter, which

contains crude anti-Semitic sentiment (Bröning, 2013, p. 17).

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Originally Israel tolerated Hamas and paid little attention to it, as it did not consider it a threat.

Following the shooting or two Israeli military personnel, in 1989, Israel began to take Hamas more

seriously. Their leader and founder, Ahmed Yassin, was captured and sentenced to a life in prison in 1991

(Bröning, 2013, p. 17). Hamas also faced resistance in Jordan, where it was outlawed. The organization

has managed to survive their exile by so many institutions with the financial support of private donors

from the Gulf States, Syria and Iran (Bröning, 2013, p. 18). In the years following the arrest of Yassin, the

support for Hamas grew tremendously. The hard crackdown by Israel in the years following 1989, gave

Hamas the exposure it needed to be able to grow. Their supporters believed the violence Hamas employed

was legitimate. Tactics include car-rammings, suicide bombings, and other forms of terror attacks

(Bröning, 2013, p. 18). Hamas’ rejection of cooperation with Israel continued with their rejection of the

Oslo accords on the basis that the negotiations were deeply flawed, but also because of the inherent

recognition of Israel that came with the accords. Between the Oslo accords and the Second Intifada both

the PNA and Israel engaged in targeted killings of Hamas leaders (Bröning, 2013, p. 19).

During the Second Intifada, Hamas became closer to the political mainstream, as more organizations

employed terrorist tactics. Many Palestinians saw the failure of the Oslo accords as legitimization of

Hamas’ rejectionism (Bröning, 2013, p. 19). Nearing the end of the Second Intifada Israel and Hamas

agreed to a ceasefire that did not last long, as neither party fully halted operations. In 2004, Ahmed Yassin

was assassinated, opening up space for new leadership. The new leaders agreed to another ceasefire,

which has halted suicide attacks from Hamas to this day (Bröning, 2013, p. 19). The following year Hamas

chose to enter the established political institutions. Running for election in 2005, the party won most the

seats in municipal councils. They also ran in the 2006 elections, winning those as well, to the surprise of

the international community. Prior to the 2006 elections Hamas published an election platform that

continued to legitimize the use of armed resistance to liberate Palestine, but did not call for the demolition

of the Israel state and did not reiterate the anti-Semitism in their founding charter. Following the elections

the co-founder of Hamas, Mahmoud Al-Zahar, stated they would agree to a prolonged peace if

Palestinians received an independent state on the lands occupied in 1967 (Bröning, 2013, p. 20). This did

not go far enough for the international community, who produced the ‘quartet principals’ that were

rejected by Hamas. Hamas responded by proclaiming they would never recognize the Zionist state on

their land (Bröning, 2013, p. 21).

2006 saw the first of several wars in Gaza, where Hamas was now the de facto government, following

bloody clashes with Fatah. The wars were triggered by the killing of eight Palestinian civilians by Israeli

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cells. Although Israel never claimed responsibility, the ceasefire was proclaimed over. The first of the Gaza

wars became known by the Israeli operational name: Operation Summer Rain (Bröning, 2013, p. 21). In

2008-09, the world saw the second deadliest clash between Hamas and Israel, Operation Cast Lead. This

led to the deaths of 13 Israelis and 1400 Palestinians (Bröning, 2013, p. 23). The third and most recent

Gaza war was in 2014 resulted in the death of over 2200 Palestinians (BBC, 2014; Power & van Hooydonk,

2015, p. 28).

To this day Hamas has not recognized Israel, but has repeatedly stated its willingness to engage in a

ceasefire in return for an independent state along the 1967 borders (Bröning, 2013, p. 24). A clear

deviation from their original stance, although the term cease fire does imply the conflict would not be

over.

2.1.3 The Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine

The Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine (PFLP) was founded following the Israeli occupation

in 1967, as a revolutionary movement. It is built on a secular and socialist foundation. The PFLP is the

result of a merger between the Arab Nationalist Movement (ANM) and several militant organizations,

including the Palestinian Liberation Army (Bröning, 2013, p. 97). The PFLP’s aim is to create a single state

through a people’s war, stemming from their anti-imperialist neo-Marxist Ideology. In this state, minority

rights would be granted only to “Palestine’s original Jewish in habitants” (Bröning, 2013, p. 98). The PFLP

does not recognize the right of Israel to exist anywhere between the Jordan River and the Mediterranean

Sea. It also publicly rejects the regimes of the neighboring Arab countries, advocating for an overthrow of

the ‘Arab bourgeoisie’ (Bröning, 2013, p. 98).

Although significantly smaller than Fatah and Hamas, the PFLP remain a significant player on the

Palestinian Political playing field (Bröning, 2013, p. 97). They are the second largest member of the

Palestinian Liberation Organization (PLO) and have significant popular support (Bröning, 2013, p. 98). The

relationship between the PLO and the PFLP has been a strained one at times, most notably when the PLO

took steps towards a two-state solution. The PFLP has often plighted for democratization of the PLO to

gain more power within the organization (Bröning, 2013, p. 99). The relationship with the Palestinian

National Authority (PNA) is not a strong one. In 1996, the PFLP boycotted the PNA elections, out of an

unwillingness to support its acceptance of the two-state solution (Bröning, 2013, p. 100). On October 21st,

2001, the PNA banned the PFLP’s military wing and arrested the PFLP’s newly elected secretary general,

as a result of strong pressure from the USA (Bröning, 2013, p. 101).

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The violent methods employed by the PFLP throughout the organization’s history, such as hijacking

airplanes, have made many Israelis see them as the most ruthless of Palestinian terrorist organizations

(Bröning, 2013, p. 98). Internationally the PFLP is also viewed as a terrorist organization by several

international entities including the EU and the United States of America, along with Hamas and the Islamic

Jihad (Bickerton & Klausner, 2010, p. 372; The U.S. Department of State, 2016; The Council of the

European Union, 2016). In summary, the PFLP is an organization that employs violence with the goal of

removing Israel and its citizens to establish a state of Palestine within its historical borders.

2.1.4 The Palestinian People’s Party

The Palestinian People’s Party (PPP) was originally named the Palestine Communist Party (PCP), with

roots going as far back as 1919. The PCP was first established, as an anti-Zionist movement. Following the

establishment of the Israeli state the PCP was broken up as members joined Marxist movements from

Israel, Egypt and Jordan depending on their geographic location. It reemerged in 1982 when the PCP

gained its independence from the Jordanian Communist Party (JCP) (Bröning, 2013, p. 147). The PCP

joined the PLO in 1987 as the only member not engaged in armed resistance. Their leader, Bashir

Barghouthi, was one of the main leaders in the First Intifada. His creation of ‘popular committees’ is often

seen as one of the steering factors of the intifada (Bröning, 2013, p. 148). The name change from the PCP

to the PPP occurred following the collapse of the Soviet Union, in 1991. With the failure of the Eastern

European regimes the PCP/PPP deviated from its strict Marxist views, arguing that the class struggle

should be put on hold to seek reunification of all Palestinians in an independent state.

Bashir Barghouthi played an important role in the discussions leading up to Oslo accords (Bröning,

2013, p. 148). Over time, internal power struggles became more important than the goals of the

organization. Resulting in more internal debate than external action. This ultimately was the reason the

PPP lost one of its most prominent members, Mustafa Barghouthi who left to establish the PNI in 2002

(Bröning, 2013, p. 150). The PPP has lost influence over the years in the PNA and the PLO, but they have

remained true to their popular resistance methods to establish an independent socialist state and remain

supported, at the local level for their grassroots movements (Bröning, 2013, p. 151).

2.1.5 Palestinian National Initiative

The Palestinian National Initiative (PNI) was founded in 2002 in the middle of the Second Intifada, by

Mustafa Barghouthi, Edward Said, Haider Abdel Shafi and Ibrahim Dakkak (Bröning, 2013, p. 122). These

secular intellectuals that created the PNI proposed a different approach than those of organization such

as Hamas, the PFLP, and the more violent elements of Fatah. While these parties were preoccupied with

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violence at the time, the PNI proposed a peaceful approach. The core values of the PNI are National Unity,

nonviolent resistance, good governance and social justice (Bröning, 2013, p. 122). In the 2005 presidential

elections, the PNI’s leader, Mustafa Barghouthi, was viewed by many as the main competitor to Abbas,

receiving 19% of the votes, partly due to the stamp of approval given by the PFLP. The majority of the

support came from the young educated voters with limited affiliation to the PNA and Mahmoud Abbas.

This group was believed to be frustrated with the PNA, the failure of Fatah to lead them to greener

pastures and the established elite that lead the country. Even with a popular leader the PNI has largely

failed to take on positions of real power and influence in the political field (Bröning, 2013, p. 124). With

regard to the conflict with Israel the PNI supports a two-state solution, with the borders of 1967 and East

Jerusalem as the capital of, a future Palestinian state. The party believes this must be achieved through

nonviolent means. A possible explanation for why the PNI has failed to grow beyond its grassroots

foundation is that other parties have in recent history adopted similar non-violent policies, therefore

diluting the support base of the PNI (Bröning, 2013, p. 127).

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2.2 A Brief History of the Palestinian Israeli Conflict

2.2.1 The establishment of Israel

Prior to the establishment of the Israel as a nation state in 1948, the region between the Egypt, Lebanon,

Syria and the Jordan river, was known as Palestine. This region was never a sovereign entity and has known

many occupations and forms of external control. This region is referred to as Historical Palestine. On May

14th, 1948 David Ben Gurion proclaimed the state of Israel. This led to the first Arab-Israeli war. By the

end, Israel spread over roughly 75% of Historical Palestine, with the region the West Bank under Jordanian

rule and Gaza under Egyptian control (Bickerton & Klausner, 2010, p. 97). The war left between 600,000

and 760,000 Palestinians as refugees, most which are unable to return to their homes to this day. Most

of them found refuge to the West Bank or Gaza and roughly 36% were housed outside Historical Palestine

(Bickerton & Klausner, 2010, p. 100).

2.2.2 The occupation in 1967

The situation remained relatively stable until the Six Day War of 1967, the second Arab-Israeli war. In less

than a week Israel successful expanded its borders, taking control of the Gaza strip, the West Bank and

the Golan Heights. This left roughly 1.3 million Palestinians under Israeli occupation (Bickerton & Klausner,

2010, p. 156). The Six Day War resulted in a growing sense of Palestinian Identity and nationalism. “Israeli

occupation (…) encouraged the evolution of Palestinian nationalism and the emergence of new leaders not

associated with the Arab governments and Arab armies that had dismally failed the Palestinians in 1967.”

(Bickerton & Klausner, 2010, p. 156). In the same year, the PLO distanced themselves from the Arab

governments and committed to an armed struggle. This change was soon followed with the emergence

of new leadership. By 1969, Al-Fatah was the most important group in the PLO and Arafat emerged as the

new face of the PLO, a position he held until his death in 2004 (Bickerton & Klausner, 2010, p. 157).

2.2.3 The First Intifada

The period between 1969 and the First Intifada was anything but uneventful. There were conflicts

between the PLO and the Jordanians, in 1973 Egypt and Syria attacked Israel in the Yom Kippur War, Israel

and Lebanon had gone to war, and several peace efforts were conducted in the region with mixed result.

The Intifada, however, was the major Palestinian Israeli clash and is the most relevant to this thesis.

The years leading up to the Intifada were marked by tensions between the Palestinians, their Arab

neighbors and the Israelis. Palestinian refugees had issues in almost every nation they had fled to. Most

were treated as second class citizens, unable to work and failing to gain citizenship for themselves or their

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children (Bickerton & Klausner, 2010, p. 101). Palestinians lived in a political limbo, felt their economy was

hostage to the Israel’s economy, had little faith left in Arab governments to aid them, and were

disillusioned with the PLO. Although the latter was a potent nationalist symbol, it had failed through

diplomatic and military means to gain the right of self-determination for its people (Bickerton & Klausner,

2010, p. 218).

On December 9th 1987, an Israeli vehicle plowed into a line of oncoming cars at the checkpoint at

the border in Gaza. Four Palestinians were killed and another seven were injured. This was the spark that

caused a great deal of Palestinian frustration to explode into a fully-fledged popular uprising or Intifada

(Bickerton & Klausner, 2010, p. 220). The first year of the Intifada saw 150 Palestinians killed, a further

11,500 were wounded and many more were arrested. Roughly two thirds of those involved were under

the age of 15. Israel shut down schools, universities and other institutions. They also instilled a curfew,

yet failed to stop the rock throwing, harassment and demonstrations. The methods Israeli employed to

counteract the Intifada caused significant backlash to their reputation. The International community at

large felt the Israelis acted too strongly in response to what would be known as the ‘stone throwing’

intifada (Bickerton & Klausner, 2010, p. 220). The use of lethal force to mostly peaceful resistance enabled

the PLO to gain diplomatic traction at the international level (Bickerton & Klausner, 2010, p. 222).

The PLO took some time to take control of the Intifada, because of its originally independent and

spontaneous nature. The Unified National Leadership of the Uprising (UNLU), a small leftist confederation

of groups, were the real organizers of the Intifada in its initial stages. Arafat moved quickly to co-opt these

groups under the PLO umbrella (Bickerton & Klausner, 2010, p. 220). The PLO’s aim was made clear

between June and August 1988, with claims that they would accept an independent Palestinian state in

the West Bank and Gaza as outlined in the 1947 UN Partition Plan (Bickerton & Klausner, 2010, p. 220).

Even though the Intifada was known mostly as relatively peaceful movement, especially at its

conception, it became more violent as time passed and as Hamas gained more influence in the resistance

movement. The Qassam Brigades, Hamas’ military wing, employed far more violent methods that the PLO

supported. Hamas gained support during the Intifada and rose to be a true competitor of the PLO, even

causing debate within the PLO (Bickerton & Klausner, 2010, p. 222). Even so, by the end of the year, Arafat

was firmly in control of a much more unified PLO, in part due to his denouncement of terrorist activities

(Bickerton & Klausner, 2010, p. 226). This led to the declaration of independence by the Palestinian

National Covenant (PNC) on November 15th, 1988 (Bickerton & Klausner, 2010, p. 223). This naturally

garnered great international attention, with many Arab countries recognizing the PLO as the exile

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government, as well as the Russians. Israel, however, proclaimed it irrelevant and the USA also did not

recognize the declaration.

The intifada did lead the USA as well as other powerful international actors, to take an interest in

the conflict between the Israelis and the Palestinians. The peace process started before the end of the

decade and continued until 1993 when the Intifada was considered over with the signing of the Oslo

Accords.

2.2.4 The Oslo accords (Oslo I & Oslo II)

The build up to the Oslo accords is not very relevant to this thesis and is therefore omitted in favor of a

more elaborate explanation of the contents of the accords and the impact they have on the current

situation between Israel and Palestine.

The Oslo accords is the most influential document with regards to the current state of the Palestinian

territories. The peace agreement between the PLO and Israel, which is outlined in the first and second

Oslo Accords, is the foundation for the PNA and the power structure in the West Bank and Gaza. They

represent the only time that the Palestinians have come close to the establishment of their own state.

The first of the Oslo accords6 was signed on September 13th, 1993. There are a few key elements from

the accords that require illumination. The first, is the establishment of a Palestinian authority, originally

named the council. This authority would have governing control over Gaza and the West Bank. It was to

be the result of a democratic process. The elections would be conducted by the Palestinians and under

the supervision of the international community (Bickerton & Klausner, 2010, p. 263). Oslo I goes on to

describe a five-year transition period in which control of Gaza and the West Bank would be given to the

council. This would start with the Israeli withdrawal from Gaza and Jericho. The council would be

responsible for education, culture, health, social welfare, direct taxation, and tourism. Other sectors

would be discussed in later agreements between the council and Israel. The first Oslo accord leaves open

the issues of Jerusalem, refugees, settlements, security arrangements, borders, relations and cooperation

with other neighbors, and other issues of common interest (Bickerton & Klausner, 2010, p. 264). Although

it was stated that Israel would remain responsible for external security and for internal security and public

order of settlements and Israelis (Bickerton & Klausner, 2010, p. 265).

6 A copy of the Oslo Accords (Oslo I and Oslo II) are attached as appendixes I & II respectively.

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Following two years of negotiations, Oslo II was signed on September 28th, 1995. This agreement

elaborated on several of the issues left open in Oslo I and gave a more detailed account of how authority

would be transferred. Oslo II is important to the current status of the oPT for three key reasons. The first

of which is the recognition of the PNA as the replacement for the council7.

The second reason is that Oslo II divides the West Bank into Areas A, B and C. Area A, is comprised

of six cities: Jenin, Nablus, Tulkarm, Kalkilya (also spelled Qalqilyiah), Ramallah and Bethlehem. The

Palestinian National Authority would have full responsibility for internal security and public order, as well

as full civil responsibilities. Area B comprises the Palestinian towns and villages of the West Bank. In these

areas, which contain 68 percent of the Palestinian population, the PNA will be granted full civil authority

as in Area A. It would be charged with maintaining public order, while Israel would have overall security

authority, which would allow it to safeguard its citizens and to combat terrorism. This responsibility was

to take precedence over the Palestinian responsibility for public order. Finally, in Area C, which comprises

the unpopulated areas, including most Palestinian farmland, areas of strategic importance to Israel and

the Jewish settlements, Israel will retain full responsibility for security and public order. The PNA will

assume all those civil responsibilities not related to territory, such as economics, health, education, etc.

(Bickerton & Klausner, 2010, p. 290). The accord outlines the transfer of area C to the PNA over three

phases at six-month intervals, with the exception of settlements and military locations (Bickerton &

Klausner, 2010, p. 290). This has not taken place to this day. Less than one percent of Area C was

transferred to PNA control as of 2016, over 20 years after the accord was signed. The same is true for the

withdrawal of IDF forces from the West Bank, which was agreed to happen from the entire area, with the

exception of Hebron (Bickerton & Klausner, 2010, p. 272)..

The third way in which the Oslo accords effect the current situation is the establishment of

security coordination between the PNA and Israel. The Palestinian Covenant agreed to revoke the

statements regarding the destruction of Israel, and the PNA committed to establishing the Palestinian

Police, which would act systematically against all violence and terror. The Palestinian police was decreed

to arrest those suspected of terrorist acts, confiscate illegal arms and to exchange information to counter

terrorist activities. The Palestinian Police was never permitted to arrest Israeli citizens. These agreements

stand to this day (Bickerton & Klausner, 2010, p. 291).

7 See Annex II, article I

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Oslo II also outlined some smaller yet important elements of Israeli and Palestinian cooperation.

The first of these, is the release of Palestinian prisoners, an element that was very important to the

Palestinian population (Bickerton & Klausner, 2010, p. 292). The second is the joint water committee’s

establishment. The control of the water will remain in the hands of the Israelis and any change in the use

of water on the Palestinian side must be approved in the joint water committee. It is structures like these

that several interviewees took issues with, stating they don’t even have control of their own resources.

With the Oslo accords signed, it appeared as though the two parties were on a path to peace, but

this course hit a bump in the road with the assassination of Yithzal Rabin on November 4th, 1995, by a

Jewish zealot. Rabin had been the driving force behind the peace negotiations on the Israeli side. His death

opened political opportunities for those that were opposed to the peace agreements. The political divide

widened as time passed following Rabin’s death (Bickerton & Klausner, 2010, p. 273). This was despite the

majority of Israelis supporting the Oslo accords. In the initial years following Rabin’s death saw both sides

take steps to rectify the accords. The appointment of Benjamin Netanyahu as prime minister marked the

start of a different path (Bickerton & Klausner, 2010, p. 274). Both the Palestinians and the Israeli’s took

steps that led to the inevitable stalling of peace negotiations in mid-1997.

2.2.5 The Al-Aqsa Intifada

On September 28th, 2000, Ariel Sharon (who would be voted Prime Minister in 2001) visited the Temple

Mount/Haram al-Sharif. His statement that Israel would never give up the temple mount, a holy site in

Judaism which is also home to the Dome of the Rock and the Al-Aqsa mosque, which are religious sites to

Muslims, set off riots where Israeli police killed Palestinian demonstrators. This killing ignited a fuse of

frustration that exploded into the Second Intifada, better known as the Al-Aqsa Intifada. The reason for

the frustration among the Palestinians were anger toward Israel for controlling their lives, loss of faith in

the PNA for failing to make progress with the establishment of the Palestinian state, and disillusionment

with the entire Oslo process. The continued settlement expansion was another element that caused

anger, as they were seen as a threat to the Palestinian state and a contradiction of the Israeli promise to

retreat from the West Bank. The Palestinian’s had believed that Oslo would lead to the Palestinian state,

yet the deadline for a complete handover had expired and still the situation remained unchanged. As a

result, many Palestinians felt as though the PNA was colluding with Israel, leading it to be accused of

corruption and fraud (Bickerton & Klausner, 2010, p. 323).

The first six months of the Second Intifada resulted in the deaths of nearly 500 people, and more

than 8,000 wounded (Bickerton & Klausner, 2010, p. 324),most of which were Palestinians. The high death

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tolls were the result of the type of protest methods that were employed. The First Intifada was mainly

based on popular resistance and relatively innocent acts of violence. In the Second Intifada, however,

stone throwing youths were joined by armed Palestinian police. The situation resembled all-out warfare

more than it did a protest movement. Among the methods employed were sniper attacks, car bombs and

roadside bombs. The Israelis responded with tanks and Blackhawk gunships. (Bickerton & Klausner, 2010,

p. 324). Although this intifada was most renowned for its violent nature, there were also significant

popular protests being undertaken. Some state that the intifada was hijacked by a minority of violent

protesters (Norman, 2009, p. 2). Never the less this intifada is seen in the frame of violent resistance and

had a different character than the First Intifada.

The PNA did very little to stop the movement, and several groups, such as the “Tanzim” were Fatah-

linked groups that worked in cooperation with Hamas and Islamic Jihad to target Israeli civilians, including

Israeli women and children (Bickerton & Klausner, 2010, p. 325). The link with groups like Fatah and Hamas

in these movements is why the Palestinian political parties can be seen as social movements. They identify

as social organizations and are at their core resistance groups with political roles to play.

Throughout the Al-Aqsa Intifada, there were several peace initiatives. The first was in late 2000 and

early 2001. In an attempt to be reelected, Israeli prime minister Ehud Barak engaged in peace negotiations

with Arafat. These were almost successful, but failed on the issues of the Temple Mount/Haram al-Sharif

and the right of Palestinian refugees to return. The failure marked the end for Barak (Bickerton & Klausner,

2010, p. 326). Ariel Sharon was elected, a confirmation for Palestinians that the Israelis were not serious

about peace. Sharon was notorious for his statements about never sharing Jerusalem, not handing over

any more Israeli territory and is opposition of the right to return. The appointment created opportunities

for Hamas and Islamic Jihad to garner more support and continue their violent methods (Bickerton &

Klausner, 2010, p. 327).

On June 2002, almost two years after the start of the Intifada, Israel began the construction of the

“Security Fence”8 (Bickerton & Klausner, 2010, p. 340). The concept alone was enough to infuriate

Palestinians. The ‘fence’ has been dubbed the apartheid wall by many Palestinians, as was pointed out by

several interviewees. The international community was also in opposition of the wall, with several

countries calling for its construction to be ceased and parts that were built to be destroyed. This included

the USA (Bickerton & Klausner, 2010, p. 353). Despite this the ‘fence’ has been constructed and is close

8 The security fence is an Israel term, most Palestinians refer to it as the wall or the Apartheid Wall. Both terms are representative of the same structure.

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to finalization today. The wall’s construction sparked a debate on the Palestinian side as well. It was seen

by some as a symbol for how the use of violence and suicide attacks were harming the Palestinian cause.

Despite calls for a cease fire, both internally and externally the death toll continued to rise, the suicide

attacks increased and settlement expansion continued (Bickerton & Klausner, 2010, p. 341).

In 2002, the EU attempted to initiate a cease fire by meeting with Tanzim and Hamas officials. These

attempts failed, with Hamas and Tanzim continuing their own violent agendas. The “Quartet” of the USA,

UN, EU and Russia came out with a “road map” to peace, in October 2002, that would give Palestine and

independent state by 2005 (Bickerton & Klausner, 2010, p. 343). Even though the initial stages were

promising, with the restructuring of the PNA, the creation of the prime minister position (this was given

to Mahmoud Abbas/Abu Mazen), and the tentative support of Sharon, the “road map” came to an end

when Hamas vowed to continue the intifada, because Abbas was making too many concessions to the

Israelis (Bickerton & Klausner, 2010, p. 347).

In December 2003, the idea for a unilateral withdrawal from Gaza began to be floated around by

Sharon. It wasn’t until the spring of 2004 that it became clear that this would mean the dismantlement of

all Israeli settlements on the strip and a complete Israeli withdrawal. This plan was a response to an

intensification of violence in 2003 through 2004 in the Gaza Strip (Bickerton & Klausner, 2010, p. 350).

The death of Yasser Arafat on the eleventh of November, 2004 was a turning point in the resistance

movement of the Palestinians. He had been the face of the conflict for many years and had achieved much

in his life. Most Palestinians still see him as their emotional leader, despite his passing (Bickerton &

Klausner, 2010, p. 355). Abbas, who won the elections in January 2005, would call for the end of the

Intifada, and a commitment to none violence. Abbas’ supporters insisted he had the same aims as Arafat,

but different methods. Security forces were ordered to stop attacks against Israel, the PNA resumed

security cooperation with Israel, and Abbas held talks with Hamas and Islamic Jihad to instate a ceasefire.

This eventually succeeded in easing tensions between Palestine and Israel.

2.2.6 The 2006 elections

On January 24th 2006, Hamas won a historic victory in the PNA. They claimed 67 of a possible 132 seats in

an election that nearly didn’t happen. The Israelis originally decided to decline Palestinian citizens of

Israeli-ruled East-Jerusalemites the right to vote in the elections. Under the threat of the PNA to call off

the elections, the USA put pressure on Israel to approve the elections and allow all Palestinian nationals

to vote. Upon its victory, Hamas stated that as Israel would not recognize them as members of the

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government, Hamas would not negotiate with them, nor recognize Israel. The international community

followed Israel’s lead despite hailing the will of the people. They would not recognize a Hamas lead

government unless it denounced violence (Bickerton & Klausner, 2010, p. 372). Hamas did not denounce

violence after its election, and Israel responded by freezing the taxes it collects for the PNA. The USA

followed by retracting their nearly 250 million dollars of aid to the PNA. Soon after most other institutions

and countries did the same, fearing the legal consequences of dealing with Hamas, which to this day is an

internationally recognized terrorist organization (Bickerton & Klausner, 2010, p. 373).

Tensions mounted between Hamas and Fatah-backed President Abbas. Eventually a clash

occurred between the two organizations, in May 2006, resulting in the death of both civilians and fighters

from both sides. Israel also got involved, with rockets be launched back a forth between Israel and Hamas

in Gaza, and the capture of 64 Hamas leaders. All of this did no good, the calm that had been in place since

February 2005 had come to an end and the violence only made Hamas look stronger, while weakening

the public image of Abbas (Bickerton & Klausner, 2010, p. 374). By June 2007, the tensions between Fatah

and Hamas lead to a split government with Hamas as the de facto government in Gaza and the PNA, with

a Fatah majority emergency government, in the West Bank (Bickerton & Klausner, 2010, p. 379). This saw

a lot of the international support return to the West Bank, but made aid to Gaza much more difficult, as

it was now being ruled by a terrorist organization. The tensions between Hamas and Israel were far from

being settled. Since 2007 there have been three Gaza wars (Middle East Eye, 2014), with both Israel and

Hamas accusing each other of ending ceasefires and initiating new conflict (Bickerton & Klausner, 2010,

p. 381). The tension between Israel and Hamas in the Gaza strip remains to this day.

2.2.7 International community in the conflict

Since the Oslo accords there have been many initiatives, including initiatives lead by, several UN

resolutions, the Arab Peace Initiative and the French Peace Initiative. All of them have had the goal of

achieving the two-state solution. These have all failed. In the meantime, facts on the ground have

gradually changed. According to US secretary of state, John Kerry, the two-state solution is in serious

jeopardy due to several factors, most notably settlement expansion across the west bank and around

Jerusalem (Diamond & Labott, 2016). When the Oslo accords were signed, there were 262,500 settlers in

1993. Today there are over 520,000 settlers in the West Bank in 247 settlements (Oxfam, 2013; B'tselem,

2015).

Kerry’s speech was in wake of resolution 2334 being passed, with no votes against and only the

USA abstaining. This resolution stipulated the international community’s continued commitment to the

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two-state solution as well as stating out right that Israel is taking deliberate steps to undermine the peace

process with the establishment of new settlements and outposts, as well as the expansion of established

ones as shown by the following quote from the resolution. (settlements have) “no legal validity and

constitutes a flagrant violation under international law and a major obstacle to the achievement of the

two-State solution and a just, lasting and comprehensive peace.” (United Nations, 2016).

The Israeli response to both the speech and the resolution has been one of anger. Netanyahu

immediately called ambassadors from all the voting nations for and explanation. This was followed by

statements that Israel will not freeze or remove settlements as outlined in the resolution. He also stated

that Kerry’s statements are dangerous for the stability of the region and undermine the security of Israel

(Agence France-Presse, 2016; Avishai, 2016). Trump’s election has the potential to lead to a change in

direction for the USA and possibly the international community at large, with Tweets such as, “stay strong

Israel, Jan. 20th is coming” (Eglash & Morello, 2016).

Although resolution 2334 was passed after the interviews were conducted they are illustrative for

how the international community views the situation and how Israel responds to international pressure.

In recent years, the issue of Israel and Palestine has not been as high on the international agenda as in the

past, especially with the situation in Syria and other countries following the Arab spring. It remains a

conflict with a large international involvement.

2.2.8 The role student movements in the conflict

“Student activism served as the meadow upon which the Palestinian political sphere matured, evidenced

by the establishment of Fatah in 1959 and, later, by the formation of the PLO (…)” (Zelkovitz, 2015, p. 11)

The establishment of the PNA would not have been possible it wasn’t for the role of the student

movements. In the absence of national institutions, students took on the roles of leaders. Higher

education can be seen as a catalyst for social change throughout the history of the Palestinian struggle for

independence (Zelkovitz, 2015, p. 8). In fact, until the establishment of the PLO, the Cairo student

association was the only political organ representing the Palestinian issue (Zelkovitz, 2015, p. 14). As many

Palestinians had been forced to leave the land they grew up in, the diaspora played a large role in student

politics. Most organizations had a form of international cooperation (Zelkovitz, 2015, p. 19). This is also

why the first parties for the Palestinian cause were erected outside of Historical Palestine. Many of the

political parties which now operate in the oPT, began as student movements, including Fatah. Not only

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parties were forged in universities, but also the faces of the Palestinian struggle, such as Yasser Arafat

(Zelkovitz, 2015, p. 15).

In both intifada’s students from both high school and university were one of the largest groups of

participants, and they were the driving force behind the two uprisings (Zelkovitz, 2015, p. 122). In the

‘west’, universities are often described as ivory towers with a level of seclusion from the surrounding

community. In the oPT, this is not the case. Historically they could not afford to separate themselves from

the reality around them, as demonstrated by the student involvement (Zelkovitz, 2015, p. 123). It was not

only peaceful movements that came from the universities. They were a breeding ground for radical ideas,

and some of the first ‘violent’ groups began as student movements (Zelkovitz, 2015, p. 164).

Following the Oslo accords, universities became much more controlled. There was supervision

from the PNA, in an attempt to safe guard the future of the Palestinian state. As Arafat said: “The future

begins with the ministry of education, without which our national project would not be realized” (Zelkovitz,

2015, p. 128). Paradoxically, supervision undermined the freedom that had made the universities and

student movements the bedrock of the national struggle. Over the years, the formal political parties have

sought to conquer the campuses. Where universities were once a breeding ground for new ideas, today

well-established movements dominate the discussion and are attracting students to their cause, while

actively putting down new movements (Zelkovitz, 2015; interview Haifa Professor #1). This state of

suppression continues to this day. Part of the focus of this thesis is to understand the strength of modern

student movements, given the current state of affairs.

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Chapter 3: Theoretical framework

The theoretical framework of this thesis outlines the necessary conditions for social movements to be

established and for them to be successful in achieving their goals. To understand these conditions, the

following subjects have been examined; rational choice theory, political opportunity structures, cultural

framings, media discourse, and transnational activism. Following the explanation of these conditions is an

examination of the driving forces behind the decision of social movements to employ either violent or

non-violent methods.

3.1 Rational Choice Theory

For a social movement to have even the potential to exist there must be an aggrieved group or groups.

This is a prerequisite, but not sufficient to explain the establishment of social movements (Edwards, 2014,

p. 45). Aggrieved groups need more than their feelings to act; they must have the means to act. Thus, per

rational choice theorists, the focus of social movement theory must be on how resources are mobilized

and not the reasons behind the grievances (Edwards, 2014, p. 45). According to Edwards resources may

be tangible, for example financial means, or intangible, for example influence. Both tangible and

intangible resources are needed. According to rational choice theorists, people join social movements

based on rational, deductive reasoning. Their individual actions while they are a part of the movement

are rational as well (Edwards, 2014, p. 47). In accordance with this line of thinking, someone would never

join a social movement they believe has no chance of success based on the resources available to the

movement.

There are several other conditions for social movements to be successful. This thesis focusses on

the following conditions besides resource mobilization: Political opportunity structures, cultural framings,

media discourse and transnational activism (Norman, 2009, p. 15). These conditions are drawn from

several theoretical models including, Political Process Theory (PPT), Contentious Politics (CP),

Structuralism and Constructionism. These models do not so much contradict rational choice as they do,

expand the theory with other influences on social movements that just resource mobilization.

The rational choice theory has several limitations. The most important one to understand is that

of collective action. Why would someone spend energy and resources for a movement that one can

benefit from without investment? In economic terms this is referred to as the free rider dilemma

(Edwards, 2014, p. 45). In this thesis, collective action is defined as actions of group to achieve a common

group goal, often unachievable by an individual. A prerequisite for collective action is a collective identity

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(Norman, 2009, p. 26). A collective identity is defined as a process that extends across time and space,

involves a network of active relationships and contains a sense of emotional investment that establishes

a common unity between to individuals (Melucci, 1995, in Norman, 2009, p. 25). This plays a role in the

framing process that will be elaborated upon further on in the text. Norman (2009, p. 26) argues that in

2007 there was a collective identity in Palestine amongst the youth, but it did not result in collective

action.

Rational choice theorists outline three potential ways to get individuals to participate in collective

action. The first is social sanctions, a method that forces everyone to join the movement (Edwards, 2014,

p. 54). Most movements are too large for this to be possible, the Palestinian national movement is likely

too large for this method to be effective. The second method that may be employed is Selective incentives.

These coax people into joining a movement based on private benefits, such as financial gain (Edwards,

2014, p. 54). The third method is based on the concept of a critical mass. This assumes that actors are

interdependent rather than isolated. A social movement does not require everyone, but a ‘critical mass’

of highly resourceful individuals that are willing and able to carry the costs of the movement. Having

critical mass increases the believe that a movement may be successful, thereby making it more attractive

to join for outsiders (Edwards, 2014, p. 55). The issue with these is that they only explain the growth of a

movement, there must still be a core group of individuals dedicated to the cause beforehand. This is where

movement entrepreneurs come in. These are resource rich individuals that are willing to take the burden

of startup costs as they have an abundance of resources making collective action relatively less costly to

them (Edwards, 2014, p. 55). They are also the ones that stand to benefit the most once the social change

has occurred, making the investment more attractive to them than to other, less resource rich, individuals

(McCarthy and Zald 1977 in Ewards, 2014, p. 56).

3.2 Political Opportunity Structures

Structuralists argue that the success of social movements is greatly determined by their external

environment, most notably the political institutions and the state. The political environment must be

favorable before social movement can mobilize or be successful (Edwards, 2014, p. 78). In the most

absolute structuralist view social movements will not come into being when faced with unfavorable

political circumstance. In more tempered form of structuralism social movement are likely to emerge and

succeed if there is a favorable political environment (Edwards, 2014, p. 79). A favorable environment is

one that provides potential challengers with political opportunities for action. (Tarrow 1998 in Edwards,

2014, p. 81) This may be in a positive sense, a political process is structured in such a way that the voices

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of social movements may be heard. The opportunity to act may also come into being from a negative

standpoint. If the cause that the social movement is fighting for reaches a tipping point, creating a

necessity for the movement to act immediately (Edwards, 2014, p. 82). Political process theory outlines

how political opportunities affect the rational choices made by actors (Edwards, 2014, p. 83). Edwards

(2014, p. 83) shows that several authors have highlighted a link between the democratization of a nation

and the political opportunities available for social movements.

It is not only how democratic a nation is, which affects political opportunities of social movements.

The structure of the democratic state determines how open or closed a state is to social movements. The

regularity of elections plays a role in the ability for people to express themselves and to have a voice in

the political process. In other words: ‘political opportunities are embedded in the political structures of a

regime’ (Edwards, 2014, p. 83) a regime may be open or closed to the voices of its citizens. This is the

distinction between an authoritarian regime and a liberal democratic one (Edwards, 2014, p. 84). Norman

(2009, p. 18) names 6 factors that determine political opportunities: Political access, shifting alignments,

united/divided elites, influential allies, the degree of repression/facilitation in a system, the state strength,

and the prevailing modes of systemic repression embedded in a system. The former four factors being

dynamic and the latter two factors being relatively stable. Elections often cause changes in these dynamic

factors by opening up access for new challengers, causing shifts in the alignment and divisions of elites

and elite groups, and causing changes in the capacity and propensity to use repression against challengers

(Tarrow in Edwards, 2014, p. 85). With these changes come new opportunities for social movements

(Norman, 2009, p. 19). Therefore, the more regularly there are elections the more opportunities there are

for social movements to be established and be successful.

Political opportunities not only arise from structural shifts in power, but circumstantial ones as well.

The death of a leader, periods of political instability, regime shifts or changes in the composition of elites

may also provide an opening for social movements in much the same way planned elections do (della

Porta, 2008, p. 223).

The limitation to the PPT approach is that the degree to which a system is open or closed does not tell

us what it is open and closed for. One subject may find a much more open system than another. PPT

requires a deep understanding of the circumstances as well as of the political structure in place, as political

opportunities increase and diminish due to events both internal and external to the political structures

function. (Edwards, 2014, p. 88)

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3.3 Cultural Framing

There are examples where PPT falls short in explaining the rise and success of social movements.

Deborah Gould (2004; 2009 in Edwards, 2014, p. 100) highlights the case of AIDS-activism being driven by

the unfavorable political conditions. The movement was at its height when the political opportunities

were contracting. Political opportunities may be created by the groups themselves. This makes the

opportunities the product of social movements themselves and not the result of framing by the outside

world (Edwards, 2014, p. 101).

Constructionists argues that the mere presence of the opportunity is not enough there must be

cognitive liberation (a recognition that the opportunity is there). Often the meaning people attach to

situations determines what they view as opportunities. If one believes something to be real, it will also

have real consequences and vice versa (Edwards, 2014, p. 92). Inherent to this argument is that political

structures may have influence on political opportunities, but that these opportunities do not only arise

from the political structures and institutions, but from the people’s perception. Cultural frames make

people view the world in a certain way making cognitive liberation possible. The world around us can only

be processed once we attach meaning to a given situation (Edwards, 2014, p. 93). Elections, for example,

may be political opportunities for social movements to be established, but if in that nation the elections

are viewed as corrupt or unimportant, then the elections will most likely not result in the rise of social

movements. In other words, “people need to feel both aggrieved about some aspect of their lives and

optimistic that, acting collectively, they can address the problem” (McAdam, McCarthy and Zald 1996 in

Norman, 2009, p. 20).

Movement leaders can use cultural frames to their advantage through frame alignment. They may

then orient their movements frames to intersect with the population’s culture and their values and goals

(Norman, 2009, p. 21). This allows them to translate politcal opportunities into the cultural frames of a

population thereby mobilizing large groups of people to their cause.

3.4 Media Discourse

Traditionally the media is the link between movements and the masses. It plays a key role in how the

public sees the world. Therefore, social movements must engage with the media. They must tell their

stories and have them heard (Edwards, 2014, p. 96).

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The media is a powerful player with its own agenda, which stems from their corporate structure

or their political interests (Ryan 1991 in Ewards, 2014, p. 97). “Good stories are dramatic spectacles, big

important events, heart-rending tales of woe and adversity – which are all the better for a few famous

faces, cute children, good-looking leaders, and innocent victims (McCarthy et al. 1996, p. 297 in Edwards,

2014, p. 97.) As a result, media tend to cover protests that are sensational, violent, emotive, celebrity-

endorsed and full of activist ‘personalities’. Social movements must try to meet as many of these criteria

as possible in the hope of getting coverage (Edwards, 2014, p. 97). The medias preference for visual

spectacle in general, is exceptionally relevant for the Palestinian case, especially when considering the

choice for either violent or non-violent methods (Norman, 2009, p. 29).

The media not only play a role in framing the issue, but also have the power to influence the way

in which an organization or movement is framed (Norman, 2009, p. 29). Social Movements can be given

power, or have it taken away, by how, mainly, traditional media frames not only the issue they are raising,

but the movement itself.

Newer forms of social media appear to have less of a personal agenda. Social media gives the

movements the power to frame their own message and distribute it to millions with no intermediary

(Castells et al., 2006, 185 in Edwards, 2014, p. 98). The same is also true for the opponents of a movement.

Social media platforms are being pressured to take more of a stand in ongoing conflicts, such as the fight

against ISIL (Gaudin, 2016; Flynn, 2016). This may mean that social media platforms will have the same

issues as traditional media have now. In the Palestinian-Israeli conflict there are also signs that the new

media has its own affiliations and does favor one side over the other. For example, navigation services,

such as Google Maps and Waze do not work in the West Bank and Gaza. They only have records of the ‘so

called ‘settler roads ‘ (Coffey, 2014).

3.5 Transnational Activism

The Palestinian case must be considered in a global context. The international community has had

a vested interest in this conflict from the very beginning, and have influenced it in many ways throughout

its duration. Therefore, many Palestinians blame the conflict on the international community. The British

are often identified as the main culprits in the creation of the conflict, while the United States is often

seen as one of the main reasons that the conflict has not been and may never be resolved (Student Birzeit

University #2). It is not only the international political system that has an influence in this conflict. The

diaspora of the Palestinian people is often highlighted as crucial in the Palestinian Israeli conflict. They are

identified by many as the easiest way for the Palestinians to gain an advantage over the Israelis and as the

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biggest fear for the Israeli’s (Student Birzeit University #3). The support of the diaspora has been crucial

in the creation of Fatah, the PLO and eventually the PNA. (Zelkovitz, 2015, p. 18) The diaspora and larger

international involvement raises the social movement from one contained within national borders to a

global level. Thus, “the national state – the traditional target of political claims – has become ‘de-centered’

from our picture and instead exist as one ‘node’ in a network of global governance” (Edwards, 2014, p.

154). On this stage, important actors include multinational companies (MNCs), and a range of civil society

groups and non-governmental organizations (NGOs).

Within the theory of contentious politics, the shift to the international political arena enlarges the

mechanisms and processes that impact social movements. The realm of influence grows, creating new

dynamics within environmental mechanisms. The question arises at which level solutions must be found,

the international level or the national level (Edwards, 2014, p. 157). Several interviewees identified the

international community as the one with the most power to shape the conflict. At the same time, they

state the national government and the social movement must force changes in the conflict and its framing

to change the course of international politics.

The global environment dynamics impact the relational mechanisms as well. There is an increased

reliance on new social media platforms to communicate and mobilize those involved in the social

movement, with more horizontal, interactive (many to many), person to person, communication. This has

decreased the social movements reliance on state and top-down mass media (Edwards, 2014, p. 159). The

framing or cognitive mechanisms are also impacted by the international environment. There is an identity

shift. The way activists answer the question ‘who are we?’ changes in the international context. It requires

a framing that transcends local and national borders (Edwards, 2014, p. 160). In the Palestinian case this

appears to be true with many interviewees answering questions regarding the reason for the conflict and

the role of the international community with answers that refer to humanity in general and the response,

what would you do if your country was occupied.

3.6 The choice for violence or non-violence

“The world as a whole has taken decisive, frightening steps away from its painfully achieved segregation

between armies and civilian populations, between war and peace, between international and civil war,

between lethal and non-lethal applications of force. It has moved toward armed struggle within existing

states and towards state-sponsored killing, deprivation, or expulsion of whole population categories.”

(Tilly, 2003, p. 58). What Charles Tilly describes with this quote is the shift from conventional warfare to

new, more complex forms. The tactics that are employed in these conflicts, such as suicide bombings and

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the targeting of civilians, are often labeled as terrorism by actors in the field or politics and security.

Distinguishing between freedom fighting, terrorism, and civil war is not the aim of this thesis. For the sake

of this work, these labels for violence fall under the umbrella term, political violence. In this case, political

violence is defined as the employment of violent methods to further a political goal. Whether the use of

violence and the goal it is employed for is deemed legitimate by the international community or the

opposing side is irrelevant in the research, as those employing these tactics view it as a legitimate option.

Instead the focus is on what the main motivations are behind the decision to employ violent tactics over

non-violent ones.

Social movement scholars rarely say something about political violence, while it is often a crucial part

of many social movements throughout history (Goodwin, 2004, p. 259). The attention that has been paid

to political violence has been focused primarily on the creation of counter-terrorism policies rather than

the development of an academic body of knowledge. This has left gaps in the literature (della Porta, 2008,

p. 222). In her work, Donatella della Porta (2008) explains the prior research on reasons for employing

political violence and names the new challenges that are yet to be answered. According to Della Porta,

protest cycles, political exclusion, and the legitimization of violence are the main reasons presented for

the use of violence.

3.6.1 Protest Cycles

When protests are plotted on a timeline, one typically sees ebbs and flows in the number, irrespective of

the subject that is being protested. These rises and declines in protests are called protest cycles. As a

protest goes through this cycle the forms of protest, also known as the action repertoires, develop and

change. “During cycles of protest, the development of the forms of protest actions follows a reciprocal

process of innovation and adaptation, with each side responding to the other. As their adversaries

adapted their tactics to counter those of the movement, the social movements changed their tactics in

order to continue to mobilize” (della Porta, 2008, p. 222). There is a clear interaction between protesters

and those policing protests in the use of violence. With each cycle the two actors drive each other to use

‘harder’ policies often causing further escalation (della Porta, 2008, p. 222). Not all interaction leads to

violent escalation, the trend can also be reversed with strong advocacy and active diffusion of the

situation, as was seen in Italy during the 1980’s. The 1970’s had been characterized by violence and a

widespread support for non-violence defused violent forms of conflict throughout the 1980’s. (della Porta,

2008, p. 223).

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The methods of policing protests naturally play a significant role in determining whether a protest

escalates into violence. The use of paramilitary policing of social unrest in the 1970’s triggered processes

of radicalization among social movements in Italy, Spain and Northern Ireland (della Porta, 2008, p. 230).

The radicalization of movements not only lead to escalation between the protestors and the police, the

use of violence by radical left-wing groups in the Basque region spawned violent counter-movements as

well. This left Spain with violent radical movements on both sides of the political spectrum (della Porta,

2008, p. 230). In the Palestinian case this can be seen in the formation of radical movements on the

Palestinian side as well as the Israeli side.

3.6.2 Political Exclusion

As previously explained, a state may have an open or closed system to protests based on the government

system and the level of democracy. This is not as fixed as it may appear. A state may choose to open and

close its system. An open system creates opportunity for social movement. A closed system may decrease

formal opportunity, but the active repression causes radicalization of movements that continue to seek

for ways to achieve change. Therefore, exclusive and unstable democracies produce more radical

opposition and violent escalation (della Porta, 2008, p. 223) The PNA is in principal a democratic regime,

although elections have not been held regularly and there are a great number of political arrests made

every year by the PNA and the Israelis alike. It stands to reason that this would lead to more radical ideas

and expression therefore (della Porta, 2008, p. 225).

3.6.3 Legitimization of Violence

Emerging protest movements generally increase the concern of the public about law and order. This often

results in hardline tactics from conservative elites, but at the same time the demand for a more liberal

understanding of citizen rights spreads through society. The use of political violence can act as a polarizing

force in the democratic debate, often leaving a civil rights coalition weakened as hard liners may gain

momentum and push for a style of policing that alienates the activist. (della Porta, 2008, pp. 226-7). The

polarization of the debate makes more extreme rhetoric resonate more easily with the public and

supporters of a movement or cause. In the 1970’s in England and Spain violent organizations motivated

individuals to join their movements through discourses that provided potential members with rationales

for participating with the movements or organizations. Often the rhetoric points to the opposing force as

wrong based on the superiority of one race, gender, sexual orientation, or religion over the others. Terms

such as blood, honor and duty are often used in the justification of violence (della Porta, 2008, p. 227).

State repression creates martyrs and myths that take on a legendary status. Violent and extreme police

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actions delegitimize the state in the eyes of activists by creating ‘injustice frames’. These injustice frames

give foundation to the rhetoric described earlier (della Porta, 2008, p. 228).

3.7 The Role of Social Movement Theory

The function of this thesis is not to test social movement theory, but rather to use it as an analytical tool

for analyzing the interviews with the Palestinian youth. As is clear from the outline above, social

movement theory has a great many elements. Edwards (2014), even state that social movement theory

has become too broad to be used as an effective analytical tool. Therefore, it is important to note which

elements of the theory are most relevant in this research regarding the case of the Palestinian youth. The

first two elements that are important are the collective identity and collective action. These are used to

analyses the different visions of the future that exist amongst the Palestinian youth. As the reviewed

literature states the key for social movements is to convert a collective identity into collective action. The

following six elements are used to understand how that gap may be bridged for the Palestinian youth:

rational choice, political opportunities, cultural framing, protest cycles, political exclusion, and the

legitimization of violence. The former three elements are useful in explaining the personal choice of the

individual to join a social movement, the view on international intervention and in outlining the conditions

for a social movement to be successful. The later three elements are used to gauge the form that a

possible social movement may take on, namely a violent or a non-violent form, and why. The answers to

these questions of personal involvement, international intervention, form of protest, and conditions for

success, are key in predicting the possibility of a third intifada.

Two elements of social movement theory that were described above play only a minor role in this

research as they cannot be adequately analyzed given the focus of this thesis. These elements are the

influence of the media and transnational activism. To properly incorporate these elements, one would

need to do media analysis and speak to members of international movements, which are not a part of the

research method employed. Minor mentions of these elements may be found in the analysis. These are

based on the statements of local Palestinian youth and their personal views on the subject and do not

form a core part of this thesis.

In the introduction, it was stated that social movement theory has a western bias, or at least that

most social movement literature derives from the western nations. Part of the goal of this thesis is to see

whether the same elements of social movement theory are present in a different setting and what

possible other elements also play a role in social movement establishment and success. It follows that

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while social movement theory is used as an analytical tool, there is also attention payed to possible

explanation that are not in the theory and may help add to social movement theory.

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Chapter 4: Methodology

4.1 Definitions of terms

Before moving forward to the structure of the research, the operationalization of concepts, and other

elements of the methodology it is important to outline some definitions or terms that may have different

interpretations in different contexts. For this research, there are five terms that require definitions:

intifada, violence, non-violence, radical and social movement. The definitions that follow are not based

on academic works, but rather on the views of the interviewed population. The use these terms, thus, to

understand the populations views, the reader should use the same definitions.

In the historical context, the term intifada was used to describe two prolonged periods of

resistance, with the assistance from the central governing body of the Palestinians, either the PLO (First

Intifada) or the PNA (Second Intifada), with the aim of freeing the Palestinians from the occupying power.

A period of resistance is, therefore, only an intifada if it has all three elements of longevity, central support,

and the aim of emancipation. By this definition, the period of unrest at the end of 2016 from September

to December does not qualify as an intifada, despite popular media referring to it as the ‘Stabbing

Intifada’. This period did not have the support of the PNA and several interviewees argue that the

stabbings were individual acts of frustration and could not be called an uprising with the intent to free

Palestinians.

Violence is a relative term in this conflict and an incredibly sensitive subject for the Palestinian

youth. Generally, the interviewed population reserved this word for acts with the intent to kill or at least

severely harm someone. This includes stabbings, bombings and shootings. Rock throwing and car

ramming’s are not considered violent acts, as they are, per the Palestinian population, met by far worse

violent responses from the Israelis and these acts have no chance of actually harming Israelis. Therefore,

in this thesis violent resistance or violence refers to acts with the intent to kill or severely harm.

Where violence is defined as a very narrow concept, non-violence is a much broader term. This

can be used to describe anything from planting and olive tree, to throwing rocks and ramming checkpoints

with cars. Non-violent resistance is often also called popular resistance. Most often this type of resistance

comes in the form of a rally or gathering. The definition in this case is one of omission. Any act of resistance

that does not have the intent to severely harm or kill is a form of non-violent protest or popular protest.

Radical is a term that is used in many different contexts and can mean something as simple as

threatening the status quo to something as extreme as violent acts of terror. In this thesis, a radical is an

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individual that is willing to personally engage in violence to change the status quo. Therefore, a radical is

not per se a terrorist, while a terrorist is a radical. This definition is based on the views of the interviewed

population. Even those that do promote violence label themselves radicals in most cases.

In the ‘west’, social movements are often see as non-parliamentary movements. In other words,

these are movements that operate independently from political parties. In a setting where there is a

functioning democracy and a well establish culture of parliamentary elections, this definition makes sense.

In the case of the oPT however it does fit as elegantly. The Palestinian political parties are not your

standard political parties, they are leaders of social movements. They function, first and foremost, as

resistance movements with in a system of pseudo-democracy in a pseudo-nation. This thesis frames the

conflict as one of an oppressing government (Israel) over a people (the Palestinians). The Palestinians seek

ways to resist and are organized in parties that are also leaders of social movements. Parties are actively

trying to mobilize the people to resist. Their main concern is the occupation, not governing the people.

Therefore, political parties in Palestine fall under the definition of social movement. The PNA is the only

exception as this is not a party, but a fixed administrative entity that appears to function separately from

the people and is concerned mainly with internal. With the definitions now clear, it is time to move to the

structure of the research.

4.2 Research Methods and Operationalization

This thesis is a case study of the Palestinian youth in the West Bank and Jerusalem. A case study is the

ideal way to gain a deeper understanding the Palestinian youth as it allows them to explain their views

and, more importantly their reasons for these views. Surveys and statistics can give us an insight into the

general opinions. However, a case study allows us to gain understand the mechanisms, motives, ideas,

hopes, desires, and processes behind these opinions. The case study set up is also the most suitable in

relation to the social movement theory that requires an explanation of why individuals and groups make

certain choices. The answers to this can only be gained through a case study.

To answer the research question, this thesis employs a mixed methods approach, both qualitative

and quantitative data is employed. Qualitative in depth interviews are the primary source of information.

The majority of the analysis that follows is derived from this source. Statistics on the political views of the

youth, interviews with local experts, and background literature are used to triangulate the results of the

thesis.

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To be able to successfully employ this mixed methods approach, data from a variety of sources is

required. As the focus of the thesis is the Palestinian youth between 18 and 25, interviews were conducted

to get a deep understanding of their motivation and their views regarding the conflict and possible

resolutions. The NRO has a great many partners that assisted in contacting youths from different regions,

backgrounds, genders and religions across the West Bank and Jerusalem. The interviewed population is

by no means selected to represent all the Palestinian youth, but rather to gather as many different views

as possible. This research population was chosen predominantly because of the position they hold in

Palestinian society and the role they play in the future of the conflict.

Over half of the Palestinian population is under the age of 30 and the age group 15-30 represents

roughly 30% of the total population (PCBS, 2014). They are the majority of the voting population. The size

of the youth makes them a major factor in any future movement; social, democratic or otherwise. Not

only is the youth a large segment of Palestinian society, but it is also one that has gone largely

unrepresented in central government. The West Bank and Gaza have not seen national elections since

2006, when Hamas won the parliamentary elections and the split between the West Bank and Gaza

occurred. That means that anyone under the age of 25 has never had a chance to influence representation

at the highest level of government, as they were under the legal voting age at the time. The Palestinians

under 25 are also the first demographic group to have grown up fully segregated from the Israelis under

the Oslo accords and the first to have grown up with the Palestinian Authority as their government from

the moment they were old enough to walk. The majority of this generation will also not have participated

in the Second Intifada in any significant way given their age at the time. These are sound foundations to

investigate the views of the youth aged 18-25 and see if these are significantly different than those of

older generations, which have been the subject of previous research.

The interviews are singular semi structured interviews, allowing for balance of open dialogue and

directed conversation, with a focus on the youth across the West Bank. Hamas’ control of the Gaza strip,

in combination with the Dutch ministry of foreign affairs policies in dealing with them made it logistically

impossible to include the Gazan youth in the research. This may impact the validity of the research,

although the statistical data does include Gazan youth. Jerusalemites9 were included in the interviews as

this area did not pose the same obstacles as Gaza, but are less prominent part of the research.

9 A term used commonly when referring to individuals from a Palestinian background in possession of an Israeli ID card living in Jerusalem.

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Similar interviews were conducted with university professors and local experts from NGO’s and

activist organizations in the region, for a broader context. These experts have been in the field for a longer

period, are aware of trends across time and can serve as a tool to examine this youth movement to those

of the past.

To analyze the interviews, of both the youth and the experts, a coding system was employed.

Answers from each interview were reviewed and placed in categories dependent on the subject they were

referring to. Annex III is an example of one of the interviews after having been coded. The coding system

used four colors.

Green is for individual motivation for joining a movement. This category includes elements of the

collective identity, collective action, and reasons for personal involvement or lack thereof. Answers

regarding the collective identity are easily identified. They are statements that are intended to refer to all

Palestinians. Collective action references are identified by references to a social movement. These refer

either to the goal of the social movement or the form the social movement should take. Regarding

personal motivation, the reviewed literature identifies three main reasons for personal involvement;

political repression, rational choice and cultural frames. To identify political repression, terms such as

freedom of speech, corruption, and political arrests are clear indications of political repression. Another

element the reviewed literature identifies is rational choice. An interviewee that states there is no chance

of success and will therefore not join a movement, is clearly making a rational choice. Terms such as power

imbalance and limited resources are good indication that rational choice is at play. Cultural frames are

linked to political opportunities as the reviewed literature explains. In the interviews, references to how

history is perceived and how this impacts the individuals view are good indications that cultural frames

are influencing his/her view of when opportunities lie for successful social movements.

Red indicates the role of the international community. Given the international attention that is

payed to this conflict, it follows that there are strong views on the international community’s role. The

reviewed literature also indicates that shifts at the international political level may create possibilities for

change at the conflict level. Identifying these answers is quite simple. Each interview asks this question

outright. The answer given here is the clearest answer. Further references to the United Nations, the

diaspora, the Arab nations, the EU, the USA and others are also used to operationalize the role of the

international political arena.

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Blue is used to identify answers that refer to the use of violence, whether this be condemnation

or support of violence. To analyze these answers the reviewed literature shows three main reasons;

protest cycles, political exclusion, and legitimization of violence. References to protest cycles are most

often found when historical refences are used to state the violence is acceptable. For example, we only

used violence because in year ‘x’ they did something else. Political exclusion, can be identified by

statements referring to a failure of the political system and violence being the only way to be heard. The

legitimization of violence has to do with the rhetoric that is used. Most often this comes in the form of

references to rights granted in international law or speeches/statements from leaders of movements. The

literature review does not give clear indication on how non-violence comes forward, but condemnation

of violence is easily identified.

Purple is the final color used. It refers to the reasons why a movement may be successful or

unsuccessful. The reviewed literature states that the openness of a system is vital in success of social

movements. The interview has questions directly asking about the political freedom that help gauge the

openness of the system. Political opportunities structures are also important in the cited works. These are

political opportunities built into the system, such as elections or changes in leadership. Answers that

identify opportunities for social movement to capitalize on, which occur naturally, are political

opportunities structures. An example is the death of Abu Mazen as a political opportunity. He is an old

man and will not be able to hold office for very long. This opportunity will come irrespective of actions

taken. The reviewed literature also identifies, resource mobilization as a key in combination with

leadership. Any reference to weak or strong leadership, or an individual that needs to be put in a position

of power is an indication or resource mobilization. References to steps that need to be taken actively

before a movement can be successful are the clearest indication of resource mobilization playing a role.

The results of this coding system are an overview of the ideas of interviewed population. The

answers are not limited to the reviewed literature’s options. Answers that add to the reviewed literature

regarding one of the four subjects mentioned are also highlighted in the appropriate color. As this

population is not designed to be representative of the general youth of Palestine, the composition in

terms of the ratio of support per view point are irrelevant and not directly analyzed in this thesis.

Statistical data is needed to see how well the views of the interviewed population demonstrate

the views of the Palestinian youth at large. Simple percentages are used to show the composition of the

Palestinians youth regarding the views gathered from the interviews. The representative nature of the

statistical data allows the freedom to make more general statements regarding the findings of this thesis.

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The necessary statistics are gathered on a regular basis by the Palestinian Center for Policy and Survey

Research (PCPSR). PCPSR is the leader in the field of policy, politics, and national opinion. They regularly

conduct surveys with a population that is representative for that of the oPT. This makes them the ideal

source for statistical data to test the representativeness of some of the conclusions drawn from the

qualitative in depth interviews. The dataset for this research is the result of the most recent round of

surveys conducted in 2016. Using the most recent data ensures that the interviewed population and the

population in the statistical data are the same removing a discussion that ideas have changed over time

and increasing the reliability of the findings. This data is used to indicate the support of the general

Palestinian youth population, for the different goals and methods of collective action as identified by the

interviewed population.

In any research structure the reliability, internal validity and the external validity must be justified.

In this research the reliability of the research is maintained by using different sources to check the findings,

in other words triangulation of data. In this case triangulation is achieved through a combination of

interviews with youths and experts and statistical data. Even though this research does not indicate aim

to outline the composition of the Palestinian youth, it does aim to outline as many different relevant

opinions as possible. By interviewing youths from as many backgrounds as could be reached, this research

ensures that if repeated the findings would be relatively similar. Although a mixed methods case study

does not have the same level of reliability as a purely quantitative method, the reliability is sufficient for

the aims of this thesis.

The internal validity of this research is achieved by mainly focusing on the opinions of the research

population. The statements of the youth themselves are the predominant factor in the analysis. The youth

know best what they feel, what they are thinking and what they are planning. The omission of

intermediaries by gathering information directly from the source increases the internal validity of the

findings in this research. The triangulation of data, described above, is also a way of keeping the internal

validity high. If the three sources of information all show similar results the odds are that what we are

attempting to measure is indeed being measured.

The external validity of this research is limited. As this is a case study the aim is not to reevaluate

social movement theory, nor is the aim to create a theoretical framework for other social movements.

The findings in this thesis refer exclusively to the Palestinian-Israeli case. The use of quantitative data as

a representativeness test for the general youth population of Palestine does allow statements in the

conclusion to be generalized to the Palestinian youth population at large.

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Chapter 5: Results

To answer the research question10 we must first understand the views of the youth on social movements

regarding the future of the Palestinian Israeli conflict. To begin, one must understand the interviewees

personal view on the collective identity, collective action, and the conditions needed for these to come

together. This is explained in the analysis of the individual’s decisions to join social movements. The

interviewees answered questions explaining their personal reasoning, some elaborated and spoke on

behave of their classmates, friends, and sometimes their entire generation.

Following the analysis of the individual, an examination is done regarding the international

community’s role in social movements. The international community has always had and continues to

have a large role in the development of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict. It follows that an analysis of the

youth’s view on the role of the international community in the future is required.

Succeeding the discussion about the role of the international community is an examination of the

choice for violence. Several of the interviewees have openly stated a believe that violence is the best way

to achieve their political goals. The question that arises from this is, why they believe this and what form

should this violence take?

Having established the motivations and the beliefs of the individuals on the relevant subjects, an

analysis is done examining necessary conditions for a movement to be successful, as identified by the

youth and some experts in the field. No movement has been successful in resolving the conflict between

the Israelis and the Palestinians, why not and what needs to happen for a movement to achieve this goal?

These are the kinds of questions that are answered in the final segment of the results chapter.

5.1 Individual’s decisions to join the social movement

5.1.1 Collective identity

The literature review is clear, for social movements to be established and to be successful there must be

a collective identity and collective action in the name of this identity. Therefore, the first question to be

answered in this segment is whether there is a collective Palestinian identity and what that is according

to those involved in this research. A professor at An-Najah University made it clear that the question of

10 “Which facilitating and restrictive factors can explain for the (lack of) potential of the instigation of a (third)

intifada, by the youth, in the near future, across the oPT and Israel?”

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identity is a complicated and important one, by stating the following: "This is a huge question for the

Palestinians. Define for me who is Palestinian. Is the Israeli with a Palestinian background, but with an

Israeli ID, passport and citizenship a Palestinian? Or is the Palestinian who lives in the States a Palestinian.

And the Palestinian enjoying his life in the Netherlands is he Palestinian because he is originally from here?

Is one Palestinian when he has a Palestinian mother or father? This is, by the way, one of the constitutional

problems for us as Palestinians, to define this" (Professor An-Najah University #1)

Among the interviewed population there is a split as to whether there is or is not unity among the

Palestinians. To be more specific, whether the Palestinian youth is unified with a collective identity.

Roughly a quarter gave a firm yes as an answer to this question. There were also several that made the

distinction between political unity and unity amongst the people. In Palestine, there is a clear split

between the people and the politics. Due to the absence of elections and the poor function of democratic

mechanisms in place, the political sphere does not accurately reflect the people’s views. This group stated

that the people were unified, mostly by a common enemy, but at the political level there is no consensus

on how to deal with this united believe. The majority of the interviewed population, agreed that there is

no political unity, but that the people are also not unified, as they are divided according to the political

streams in the West Bank and Gaza (student Qalqiliyah #5). In this view, there is no distinction between

political parties and the people. People are viewed as political beings in this case. There are also those

that feel that in the past there was unity, but that the Oslo Accords have left the Palestinians divided.

Interesting was that even those that felt there was no unity identified elements, when asked indirectly

about the subject, stated that are shared between most those that were interviewed.

The answers to both the direct and indirect questions regarding the elements of the collective

identity yielded the following results. Feeling Palestinian, supporting resistance against Israel, viewing the

land from river to the sea as Palestine, and a history of dealing with occupation in one form or another

were unanimous or nearly unanimous inclusions in the collective identity. Democracy and diversity were

also inclusions by a majority of interviewees. A student from Birzeit University made a clear statement

with regards to diversity: “Diversity is the Palestinian identity, there is no one race, shape, or religion for

Palestinian identity. Each rich city in Palestine has its own identity and that can be observed by anyone

that visits Palestine. The richness of Palestine history regarding trade, religion, conflicts, etc. made it very

complex to define a Palestinian identity as it becomes very diverse.” (student Birzeit University #4). What

he says is that although there are differences, we are all Palestinian. A history and a culture is the unifying

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feature of us all. This includes, but not limited to, language, geographic land, heritage, traditions, and

food. Unification along these lines cross geographic borders. Refugees in other countries, whether that

be Lebanon or the United States of America, can identify with these aspects of the Palestinian collective

identity. Interestingly, when asked directly about violent resistance only one interviewee stated a

rejection of these types of actions. The majority, felt that resistance is important in being a Palestinian

and that each person has the right to do this in their own way. Here it is appropriate to refer to the opening

line of this thesis: “to be Palestinian is to resist”. This appears to be the simplest way to explain the

collective identity of the Palestinians regarding this conflict. The question that remains is how to resist.

This brings to the forefront the question of collective action and the traditional dilemma of whether

collective identity leads to collective action.

5.1.2 Collective Action

Indulging in collective action in Palestine can take many forms. It can be done through small youth

movements, focused on resistance in different forms. For example, the Right to Movement group that

organizes group runs as form of resistance and protest to the occupation and the restriction on Palestinian

movement. Another example is the Youth Peace Initiative (YPI). The YPI has the goal of overcoming the

separation between Palestinians and Israelis. Meetings between youths from both sides of the wall are

organized. At these meetings, debates are held to try to come to resolutions regarding the conflict. The

hope is that these plans and ideas that are developed in these meetings will eventually be a base for future

negotiations and that the youths involved in this program will be the future leaders of the national

entities.

Although option for non-political social movements exist, most of those that were spoken to saw

the political parties and the political institutions as the primary forms of social movement available to

them. Therefore elements, such as trust in leadership, belief in the political system and the freedom of

expression within a party are crucial determining factors for many to join or not to join a social movement.

The objectives of collective actions that follow are often strongly linked to a certain political party. This

fits with the reviewed literature, through the political opportunities structures. As the system in Palestine

is relatively closed for non-political actors to be effective, the only opportunities that are available for

social movements are with political parties.

Of those that were interviewed about half of them are currently actively involved in social

movements in one form or another. All of those that were interviewed have an opinion on what methods

collective action should employ and what the aims of this action should be. There are three commonly

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mentioned goals for collective action that have been identified by the interviewed population, each linked

to a certain method of achievement. The aims that were presented are the enforcement of Oslo, an all-

inclusive single state and a single state exclusively for Palestinians.

5.1.2.1 Peaceful Resistance to enforce Oslo

The first option for collective action, is peaceful resistance and negotiations aimed at the establishment

of two separate states, one Palestine and one Israel. This is the solution that is currently supported by

Fatah and to a degree being executed by the PNA. This is a solution supported by a relatively large minority

of the interviewed youth. These are most often the supporters of post-Oslo Fatah. Those that act on behalf

of Fatah in student councils, always expressed this view on the conflict, but were often unable to explain

why they believed this was the best way forward in a personal way. They often used the same words and

phrases, creating the impression that this was a rhetoric they learned rather than believed in. This rhetoric

most often revolves around the international community being the only option for the Palestinians. They

see the UN and International humanitarian aid as the best way forward. When pushed for an explanation

why they believe the international community can help in this situation the post-Oslo Fatah supporters,

are rarely able to give a clear answer as to what kind of form this support should take. Others have been

able to give more detailed explanations.

A student from An-Najah University gave the following explanation: “I believe the Palestinians

don’t have the power the Israelis do. If I had the power and I think that I have right to take this land I

wouldn’t give any meter of it. This is Israel it has the power and Israel thinks that it has the right to have

this land so why would they give this up, so I don’t think they would compromise a single square meter of

the historical land of Palestine eventually. (…) The Palestinian state will be created mainly by convincing

the international community that we are human beings that are living on this land, with this dispute, with

this conflict, who need to be recognized as a nation with a state with a right to freedom of movement,

with a right to life. When they are convinced they convince their governments and their governments

change it.” (student An-Najah University #3). This is a different approach than that of the PA, as is

explained in the International Community segment of the analysis. What is clear is that this individual has

a clear vision how he thinks this can be achieved and why. He and others have given several reasons to

believe in the peaceful resistance approach to enforce Oslo.

The first is a believe that Israel has earned the right to exist. As was mentioned by a participant

from Qalqiliyah: “Israel has earned the right to exist. They have earned that through power.” (Qalqiliyah

#4). This is not a popular opinion, and was given by an individual that was clearly anxious about being

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interviewed. This individual did not finish his interview. His reason was that he felt uncomfortable and

was afraid the PNA would find out this was his view.

The second reason to support this plan stems from a bounded rational believe that violence will

not solve this conflict. Those that state this either see that violence breed more violence and/or they

believe that there is no victory possible against the much larger military power of Israel. As stated by a

professor from the Haifa university: “You can come and shoot this guy (an IDF soldier) with an AK, but

Israelis will not respond to this type of shooting. If you come with an AK, the Israelis comes with a tank. If

you come with a tank, the Israelis will come with F16. So, you can imagine where that will lead to for you.

They are quite pragmatic; they (the Palestinians) know their limits of power” (Professor Haifa #1).

The third reason presented is that the “smell of the something is better than nothing at all”

(student An-Najah University #2). Meaning, the Palestinians may want the historical Palestine as their

state, but having a smaller state is better than no state at all. Many that adhere to this believe also state

that they will accept the two-state solution, but not as a permanent solution as was openly stated by

Birzeit University student #3: “I can support this, if it ends the occupation. But I don’t see it as a permanent

solution. It is a step to the eventual goal of the restoration of the historical Palestine. It is not the best way

to reach this goal however.”.

The fourth reason for the support of this method and aim of collective action, is the view that the

Israelis are people as well. Those that use this reason believe that one of the main reasons for conflict is

misinformation. In their eyes, separation has led to a lack of contact between Palestinian and Israeli youth.

This has made them susceptible to ‘brain washing’ through propaganda and other mediums. The

participants in the YPI often have this view. They see interaction as a tool, to educate those on the other

side of the separation wall. They have seen the effects of seeking contact with other youths. To them the

‘enemy’ has become personalized and humanized. This makes it harder for them to call for violence

against the Israelis and more capable of accepting the presence of an Israeli state. The question with this

group remains whether the interaction with the Israeli youth is what caused this believe, or whether the

willingness to interact is enough to make one see the other side as human. There have also been

individuals that have had interactions with none-military Israelis, that do not see them as humans and

continue to call of violence against the Israelis in general. They are less prone to supporting a two-state

solution or an all-inclusive one state solution.

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5.1.2.2 An All-Inclusive One State Solution

The second aim of collective action that was proposed was for a single state with equal rights and

freedoms for all its citizens. This solution is the clearest example of a desire for peace and rights and has

less to do with national pride, although it is sometimes qualified by Palestinian rule over the nation and

the exclusion of the Zionists from the state. Not all that supported this as an aim believed it to be possible.

This was, for many, the ideal solution, but an unattainable one currently, including student An-Najah

University #3. He described the ideal solution as follows: "If we have this proposition of making a one state

in which the Palestinians and the Israelis and the Palestinian citizens of Israel and all other ethnicities and

other religious communities to live equally in this state, with the right to vote the right to election and the

right to do everything equally. I think that this is the perfect solution now. I would work for that more than

the two-state solution by the way.", but went on to state that Israel will not allow this to happen.

The all-inclusive state could be achieved by peaceful mean or violent ones. As is stated by PCPSR

Interview #1: "to be for the one state solution, need not mean that you are for non-violence or renounce

violence." Those that believe this to be possible through peaceful means were often the ones that would

be willing to live in a state called Israel with equal rights for all. Once this was established the natural

demography of the nation would result in a democratic shift in power to the Palestinians and the nation’s

name and flag could be changed through this process. There were only very few that had the insight to

see this was even theoretically possible and even fewer that believed the Israelis would allow this to

happen.

The individuals that believed this was possible through violence would target the Zionists and

drive them out of the land. As outlined by a polling expert, the support for violence is very strong amongst

the youth: “The support for violence, this is the most desperate, the most hopeless, the ones that thinks

things will not change unless force is utilized. So, to them Israelis understand nothing but the language of

force. Only by inflicting pain and suffering on the Israelis, not by talking to them, and convincing them of

the value of a one state, only by inflicting pain will they come around” (PCPSR interview #1). The violent

supporters for a one-state solution, repeatedly say that Jews can remain if they were not a threat to the

stability and safety of the nation. How exactly that could be determined however remained unclear in all

cases.

5.1.2.3 A Single State for Palestinians

The third possible objective of collective action is a single state for only the Palestinians across the

Historical Palestine, implying a repeal of the Oslo accords. This has the greatest support amongst the

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interviewed population. Most of the political parties in Palestine formally support this aim, but many,

including Fatah, have since then taken steps that would indicate a wavering commitment. Hamas is often

seen as the face of this aim, especially as they are the face of the armed resistance in the current political

structure. Hamas too has not always stood strong in their commitment to this, but have managed to keep

this image with many of their supporters. Hamas supporters are not the only ones that favor this collective

action. Most PFLP, pre-Oslo Fatah and Islamic Jihad supporters also prefer this path.

Some of the PFLP supporter and pre-Oslo Fatah supporters have even taken this a step farther

calling for a dismantlement of the PNA. The most extreme example of this is from a student at Bethlehem

university: “the first step is the PNA should vanish and then maybe something will happen.” (….) “The PNA

is basically the Israeli authority number two” (student Bethlehem #3). As is apparent from the language

used, this aim, goes hand in hand with armed resistance. Exactly why the choice for violence is made is

explained at a later stage in more detail.

The support for an exclusively Palestinian state, stems from three sources. The first is a clear lack

of believe that the current political set up is able to give the Palestinians an independent state. Most

supporters have lost faith in the PNA, Mahmoud Abbas and almost everyone in the current regime. Many

refer to the democracy as being broken in a similar way as Student An-Najah University #2: “This authority

is illegal. Somehow it is illegal. When Abbas came to power, he was talking about democracy, but every

president in Palestine has 4 years of office. So, now he became 8 years more, so it became illegal. That is

first. Second, somehow it is forced. We can’t just change it. It became just insane. You can’t just change

the reality now”. These individuals feel they have been abandoned by their government and don’t feel

represented by it at all. They have also never had the chance to influence change through democratic

process. Most see their state a democratic, but when that is taken away they argue there is no other

option for them to influence policy.

The second reason that comes forward from the interviews is frustration. Many of Palestinians

have never spoken to an Israeli civilian. Even fewer wish to do so. They know the Israelis only as the

enforcers of the occupation. They are frustrated by their situation and want the freedom to move. They

have grown so frustrated with this that they have internalized this frustration and are aiming it at the

Israelis, no longer being able to see them as human, but only as the reason for their suffering. This in some

cases results in an unwillingness to deal with the other side. Thus, they want to see all Israelis leave this

land. Many firmly believe that all Israelis can on a days’ notice migrate to another country, because all

Israelis have a second passport. This is true for many Israelis, but by no means all of them. When

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confronted with that fact, many simple deny it and call the information false and Israeli propaganda.

Frustration in this case has led to irrationality.

The third reason given is that several of the interviewees have a romantic view of violent

resistance. The classic proverb is that everything was better in the past. It appears that is also true here,

in the minds of some youths. They see the Second Intifada, where violent resistance was highly prevalent,

as a success. This, despite the limited physical evidence of improvement following violent resistance. The

victories of violent resistance that they refer to are minor victories. For example: “The PLO indeed. It was

great. When they took Palestinian prisoners. They took airplanes along with the PFLP (in 1970). They took

hostages until they released the prisoners. They benefit the Palestinians, they were reasonable in their

demands and had the power to negotiate. Now the PA, doesn’t have the power to negotiate on. When

Israel says no, its no. We can’t have anything to put pressure on Israel” (student Birzeit University #2). This

quote demonstrates a believe that terrorist actions work, and that negotiations are only successful when

you have a gun to someone’s head. There is an apparent unwillingness to negotiate. The supporters for

this collective action do not appear to be interested in peace, but are interested in victory at the expense

of Israel.

5.1.3 Engaging in Collective Action

As mentioned above, roughly half of those that were interviewed are engaged or have been engaged in

collective action in one way or another. Each has their own reasons for either joining a social movement

or not joining a social movement. As a group the interviewees identified six reasons for joining a

movement: financial gain, frustration or anger, a belief in the new generation, a belief that a new

movement can be started, a belief that a pathway to success exists, and indoctrination by political parties.

The reviewed literature assumes that people must be pushed to join a social movement. It is as though

the assumption is that a natural state is one of not being involved. This thesis also examines barriers for

joining a social movement. The interviewees identified eight reasons why they personally did not join a

social movement: a lack of representation, fear of destabilizing the situation, a sense that movements

that were once strong no longer hold the same strength, fear of persecution, the power imbalance

between Palestine and Israel, depression or hopelessness, and a belief that the role of the institution is to

engage in collective action and not the individual.

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5.1.3.1 Why do the Youth Engage?

"Money plays an important role. Naïve people are also a problem. When you bring 17 and 18 year old’s

and give them money and say you should be with us. They say you can have this money and give us your

allegiance then of course these youngsters will agree. This is what most of the movements do. They give

money and they bring in naïve people and put them in places that then they make trouble with other

groups." (student An-Najah University #1). This quote outlines one of the ways that political parties in

Palestine attempt to get individuals to join their cause and engage in collective action. By no means is this

a new approach to get people engaged. The cited works also mention appealing to one through personal

benefits can tie them to a cause without having to change their mentality or convincing them that the

cause is worthy. This does not work for everyone and is therefore not the only tool that is used to increase

engagement.

Political indoctrination is also a way that one can get individuals to join their cause. Fatah is often

accused of this, as they have control of the PNA and through this control over school systems and other

mechanisms that may shape the mind of the youth. Other parties have also been accused of having such

practices. The evidence is clear in some cases. One Hamas representative openly stated that his goal in

the university is to attract people and shape their mentality to fit that of Hamas. Others, such as student

Birzeit University #3 has accused the students of not being able to think for themselves: "I think the youth

should be freed from their leader’s opinions, Especially in Fatah and Hamas. The youth in these parties are

basically hypnotized to do whatever the leaders say.” (student Birzeit University #3). It needs to be stated

that the shear fact that one agrees with the current policy does not mean they have been indoctrinated.

The point that is being made is that unless one actively seek other sources or information and other

policies, they will come to the same conclusion as the party in power do to the control these parties

exercise on the information flows to the people, according to several interviewees.

Many of the people that engage in collective action, especially those that do so through non-

political entities, have a belief that there are still pathways to success. These may be the ones that are

being implemented currently, or ones which are not yet in the execution process. The second group is

where the YPI members tend to fall, as they are seeking new policy options that may break the stagnation

of the negotiations. The former groups are often those that are active in political organization, such as

Fatah, the PNA or Hamas.

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There are also those that are not sure whether there is still a pathway to success, but have faith

in the younger generation to carve a new path, or that the situation will change with a change in power.

This follows the logic of structuralist and the political opportunity literature. The change in power that

they refer to is a shift from the old generation currently in power to the youth. In their eyes this would

change the dynamic so that paths that were closed may be opened or new paths may be found that were

currently unthinkable. One such individual is Student An-Najah University #3: " I think there should be

another movement formulated by the youth that does not apply any ideology as well, but it should be

more involved with the international community. I think we should have a movement with Palestine that

hold members from the international community. In the past there was, it existed in Fatah. We had

members from the EU, from the Chinese.”. He sees this as a new way forward and is willing to invest in the

development of the ideas of the youth. A small number of individuals have found their motivation to join

in collective action in a lack of representation in the current social movements. This may at first sound

counter intuitive, but they feel that they should engage in the development of a movement, because there

is not a movement out there that currently represent their views and they believe that there should be as

well as that there is the political opportunity to develop such a movement. One such individual that is at

least contemplating starting a movement is Student An-Najah University #1: “There is no other

organization that thinks the same as I am. Maybe there will be. Maybe I will do something. This is why I

want to keep doing what I am doing. I want a movement that cares for all people.”. The idea that this

freedom exists is up for debate, as many more have argued that no such freedom or opportunity for

startups exist.

Frustration, as mentioned earlier, is a source of fuel for collective action as well. Many

interviewees pointed to this as the reason for the rise in violence at the end of 2016. Most of the

individuals that identified frustration as a source for their drive to engage in collective action, were also

the ones that preferred violence over a non-violent approach. The frustration often stemmed from

political suppression, from both the PNA and the Israeli government. One example of an individual that

was clearly frustrated by the repression was Student Birzeit University #1. He was arrested and stayed in

prison for 6 months. When asked why he was arrested he gave the following answer: “Israel see Hamas a

terrorist group. As I am a part of Hamas. But I am a student, a peaceful student. I don’t carry any weapons.

The fact that I call myself Hamas is in itself enough to arrest me. For Israel, this is enough for a charge.

They put a check by your name". The feeling that he was arrested for doing nothing is one of the reasons

that he was angered. In his eyes, as well as several others, these types of actions are the reason for the

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stabbing attacks. How this could be the case is discussed in the segment devoted to the choice for violence

later in the thesis.

5.1.3.2 Why don’t the Youth Engage?

A lack of the representation among the active social movements is more often than not a deterrent for

engagement in social movements. Several interviewees stated that there is a lack of leadership in the oPT

and they are unwilling to engage in activities as a result. Many feel the PNA has all the power to do

something, but that they are engaged in the wrong type of social action. Some even go as far as to say

that the PNA has abandoned the Palestinians and have sold the case to the highest bidder. Birzeit

University student #2 embodies this feeling very clearly in the following statement: "they can’t get me any

rights when they go to the UN. They went to the UN a few times to get our rights. We did not get it; we did

not get safety. For example, Nadims Nuara’s death, he is a martyr he is 17 years old, shot by an Israeli

sniper. Sajeh Darwish, a classmate in Birzeit also was shot in his village while he was feeding his horse. He

was shot by an Israeli settler because he wanted to. Nobody stands with the Palestinians, even the PA

doesn’t afford standing with these people. That is why I don’t support the PA and I don’t feel represented,

because they don’t represent what we really feel as Palestinians”

A fear of making the situation worse is a common fear among the youth as well. The youth is

divided when it comes to whether the situation is better or worse than the past. Some believe that there

is a form of peace between the Israelis and the Arabs at large, a 'cold peace', but a peace none the less.

Others feel that the occupation is worse than it has ever been. The truth is difficult to ascertain as the

arguments used are often the same facts with a different context. Such as the wall, the stabbings, the

separation and the negotiations. The clearest dividing line between these groups is their desire. Those

that feel there is a form of peace are often the same people that desire freedom and peace and would

accept integration or the two-state solution. This is the same group that sees the conflict in waves and

phases. While those that are adamant that the occupation is only getting worse are those that wish to see

their land reunited as a whole and wish to see the Israelis all leave the area. The supporters of this view

are those that most often describe the conflict as a continual struggle that doesn’t stop until the Historical

Palestine is reinstated and internationally recognized.

Social movements, especially student social movements, no longer have the same power as they

used to, as was outlined in the historical context. As a result, the interviewees feel that it is not a smart

investment of energy to work for these movements. As is elaborated on in the framing section. The

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student movement was once the backbone of the Palestinian independence movement. Since the

establishment of the PNA, these movements have lost a lot of their power. This is not only true of student

movements, but also of Fatah according to many individuals. When Fatah signed the Oslo Accords, many

felt that they had sacrificed the strength of the movement to achieve a margin of the original goal, thereby

handicapping the resistance in the future. Therefore, there is a distinction made between the post-Oslo

Fatah supporters and the pre-Oslo Fatah supporters.

The fear of persecution is a very real problem for the Palestinians. As is shown by this statement

of a Hamas member at the Birzeit University: “I have the same believe as Hamas. It is not my job though.

I work in the student frame. I just don’t want to get arrested tonight. You know we get arrested for saying

these things right?” (student Birzeit University #1). The fear of announcing one’s opinions, consequently

means they most likely will not act on these opinions in any meaningful way either. The first time this

became clear was in Qalqiliyah. A group of 5 girls in Qalqilyah refused to be interviewed after they found

out the types of questions that were being asked. One man, also in Qalqiliyah left the interview midway

and literally ran away during an interview. Both instances showed how prevalent the fear of percussion is

from the political institutions in both Palestine and Israel alike. It is not only jail time that is feared

however, social stigmas and exclusion are also strong deterrents in Palestinian society. One does not want

to be labeled a normalized individual. That is why many in the YPI do not even tell their families they are

a part of these movements. It is easy to understand how these institutional and social issues are barriers

to joining a social movement.

Power imbalance between Israel and Palestine is one that is apparent in almost every important

policy area, per many interviewees. In many of their eyes, Israel has the military arena, the media arena

and has the greater international support. For many this is too big of a hurdle to overcome. Therefore,

they resign to trying to make the best out of their circumstances.

Student An-Najah University #2 states that many people don’t want to join a movement because

they are depressed. They don’t see what can still be done that hasn’t be tried yet, so they are on the verge

of giving up: "The thing is after this intifada came down and people start maybe to get more disappointed.

I think they have tried everything, they have tried negotiations for 22 years now, that didn’t work out so

far. They tried the intifada. That didn’t work out. So, people got depressed." & "This is difficult. I don’t think

so. Whatever you do someone comes up and says no this is unacceptable. If we agree on the 67 borders

the Israelis will say no, we can’t give that then. If we take less land, then the Palestinians will not agree.

That is why I see this as a looping endless conflict. We need real leaders that know what their people want

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and why" This is a view reciprocated by many individuals. Several have the feeling that they have tried

everything and there is nothing they as a people can do anymore other than stay put and live their lives

on their land.

The final reason that was presented by interviewees for not participating in the collective action

in a direct way is that it is not their role. Several members of the student councils use this argument when

asked about how important the occupation is on their agenda. Others too have stated that in their

environment people value friends, family and themselves more than the struggle for Palestine. They

would rather leave that fight to the PNA and other institutions.

At this juncture, it is important to remember that no social movement involves the majority of a

population and the reviewed literature emphasizes the importance of a critical mass. The fact that these

circumstances stop half of the interviewees from participating in collective action, does not mean they

are the reason the social movements have yet to yield the desired results for most Palestinians.

5.1.4 Cultural Frames Resulting in Political Opportunities

The theoretical framework of this thesis outlines how the cultural frames of a population or an individual

may impact how they view the political opportunities for social movements to be established and to be

successful. The interviewees brought to light many elements of the Palestinian culture, from different

spheres. Each region in the oPT may be viewed as having a separate culture and resulting in a different

view on the conflict and what paths are the best to take. For example, the economic situation one grew

up in, or being born within a refugee family have a clear impact on how these individuals see the future

and the opportunities available to them. Due to the constraints of this thesis, not all of these can be

discussed at length. Therefore, four perceived key cultural frames are discussed below; the democratic

Palestine, the effect of interaction and new media, the history of the student movements and the political

divide in Palestinian society. These are considered key, because they are relevant for the greatest portion

of the interviewed population.

5.1.4.1 Democratic Palestine

Elections are often viewed as a political opportunity that would motivate people to come into action.

There are three reasons that have been outlined in the interviews as reasons for the elections to be a

political opportunity. The first stems from their collective identity. Most interviewees stated that Palestine

is in its foundation a democratic country. Thus, they believe elections should happen. This structure brings

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with it a structural opportunity for social expression with each election. Palestinian youths that were

included in this research felt robbed of their opportunity to express themselves and influence the

development of resolution between Israel and Palestine. The second is that they believe elections will be

the result of reconciliation or lead to reconciliation between Fatah and Hamas and the political

reunification of the West Bank and Gaza. The third reason is that they believe elections will result in a

change in leadership causing a return to the older forms of resistance. The search for a new approach

would cause a reunification of the Palestinians, as leaders would need the support of the people in a

restructuring effort. Continuation along the current path does not require the same support as the

institutions are able to follow this course without a popular vote, as shown by the past ten years, where

the institutions have functioned in a disconnect with the people. A believe that the reinstatement of

resistance would unify the people is especially popular in the lower economic classes and in refugee

camps. These are the same places where a romanticized view of the Second Intifada and armed resistance

is prevalent.

5.1.4.2 Interaction and New Media

Interaction between Palestinians and Israelis seems to breed a believe that resolution is possible among

the Palestinian youth. As mentioned early resolution need not mean peaceful coexistence. Those that

have interacted with Israelis often see the origin of this conflict as a result of brain washing, miss

understanding, separation and media control. These individuals actively seek contact with Israelis, do not

view them all as evil or the enemy, but sooner see them as humans that have been misinformed. Israelis,

in their eyes, are open to a different view of Palestinians. This group sees opportunities to create windows

of opportunity. Most of this group believes they can make a difference outside of politics through grass

root movements such as the Youth Peace Initiative. They see the power that social media gives them to

frame the conflict as they see it, without a middle man to distort their framing.

There is also another group that sees the power of the new media. They see the same chance to

frame the conflict and ‘free’ the minds of the people. Only their goal is not to use this to help the Israelis

understand that the Palestinians are people as well. Their aim is to free the people from the control of the

PNA. They envision a rise against the PNA to create an opportunity for a new movement to emerge,

namely one that returns to armed resistance of Israel.

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5.1.4.3 Student Movements

The history of the student movements make some believe that this is the way forward, but also makes

them the target of the PNA, demonstrated in the following quote: "(…) because Fatah is afraid they will

lose the elections, they are not taking the steps towards having these elections realized. (…) If a student is

or a movement is trying to express their positions and it doesn’t go a long with the P(N)A, they will be put

in jail." (Professor An-Najah University #1)

There is a discussion about the form that student movements should have. The professors often

spoke about the student movements as vital and important, both within the university and outside of it.

They saw the change in focus, from liberation to more a more institutional focus, of the student

movements as a positive development. Several students spoke out against the student movements. They

called the movements controlled, weak, powerless, and ineffective in the conflict with the Israel. The

students that were interviewed generally wanted the student movements to have more freedom and to

refocus on the conflict. This excludes those that were in the student council, who feel the liberation

movement is a job that should be handled at a higher political level.

There can be no doubt that the student movements of today are not as strong as those in the past.

The student movement has lost a lot of its power and although many experts have said that these hold

the key to a new social movement in Palestine, the structures that are in place and the mentality towards

student movements have changed. Students vote for student representation based on the conflict, but

based on internal university affairs. This is a stark difference from the historical role of student parties

prior to the establishment of the PNA. Those that grew up with strong student parties as the face of the

conflict tend to believe this is where the next wave of social movements should come from, while many

youths feel the institutions should represent them and be the face of social movements of the future.

5.1.4.4 The Political Divide

The political party that one supports plays a strong role in an individual’s framing of the conflict. Each

party as described before has its own vision on the conflict. The information they communicate to their

supporters are crucial in the process of opinion forming for the individual. Several of the interviewees

mentioned the strong control formal parties try to exercise on their youth counter parts, as though they

no longer think for themselves, but just communicate the party line blindly. Resulting in a divide in the

population. In many interviews, it was apparent what answers would be given once the political

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orientation was known. One can divide the political views of the youths that were interviewed into five

groups. Hamas, Pre-Oslo Fatah, Post-Oslo Fatah, Left wing resistance, Independent. Each of these has a

few key elements that members identify with. For Hamas supporters, these key elements are, support for

an Islamic political structure, support for violent resistance and a goal of reunification of historical

Palestine. Pre-Oslo Fatah supporter can be identified based on their support of a secular political

structure, support of violent resistance, and the goal of the reunification of historical Palestine. Post-Oslo

Fatah supporters are identified by their support of a secular political structure, a preference for non-

violent resistance and negotiations, and the support for a two-state solution per the 1967 boarders. Left

wing resistance supporters can be identified by their support for a secular political structure, a demand

for violent resistance, the goal of the reunification of historical Palestine, the abolishment of the PA and

the goal of removing all Israelis from the Palestinian land. The independents do not identify with any of

these groups, often identify with singular elements of parties, but are not truly affiliated with any of them.

Interestingly there are several examples of people voting against their own preferences. The clearest

example of this are the pre-Oslo Fatah supporters. During the interview the feeling was that they would

vote for Hamas when asked, but they would still vote for Fatah, despite their adamant rejection of the

Oslo accords, the two-state solution and a strong rejection of current Fatah leadership.

5.2 The International Community

The importance of the international community in this conflict has previously been established. What still

requires explanation is the view of the Palestinian youth on two key questions regarding the international

community. The first of these questions is, what is the general attitude of the youth towards the

international community? The second is, what role do the youth want the international community to

play? The interplay between these questions is apparent, as how one views the international community

currently impacts how the role they envision for it in the future.

5.2.1 The Perception of the International Community

“(…) there is no doubt in my mind. We have to do it alone.” (Qalqiliyah interview #3)

“There are protests, there are prisoners starving themselves out of protest and no one is acting.

Resolution 194 regarding the refugees and letting them return to their land. Until now the UN has failed

to let Israel agree to this. So, do you think they can end the occupation?” (Jalazone interview #2)

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“I am not that proud of being an Arab, because you see that all the Arab countries are not doing that

much to us. Not giving us that much support. I mean the people are good, they feel the empathy for us.

The leaders just don’t care.” (Student An-Najah University #1)

These three quotes paint a very clear picture of how the Palestinian youth feel about the current

policies of the international community. Many feel abandoned by the UN, the western nations and the

Arabic neighbors alike. The United states is the country that is most often referred to as an issue for the

Palestinians and the resolution of the conflict. The claim is that the United States is biased and too

supportive of Israel. Some go as far as to say the ISIS is an American method to destabilize the region and

remove Arab resistance against Israel. The International Criminal Court (ICC) is also not viewed in a

positive limelight. It is described as a failing institution by many Palestinians. In their eyes, Israel is not

being held accountable for breaking international law. Several interviewees have also stated the Arabic

nations are no longer interested in the conflict. That these views exist does not mean the interviewees do

not understand why these choices were made by international institutions. Some understand what drives

international politics quite well, but do not agree with the results and wish to see the international

community act in a different manor.

5.2.2 The Role the International Community should take

The thoughts on the role of the international community in the future is divided into three lines of

thinking. The first is we don’t need them anyway. The second is a desire to tangible political action. The

third is a desire to see military intervention.

The thought that there is no role left for the international community is the strongest in the fringes

of society. This includes the refugee camps and the poorest of the population, although some higher

educated individuals also feel there is no longer a place for the international community at the table. In

their eyes the UN, the USA, the EU and others have had their chance and have failed to support the

Palestinians. At this point they believe the international community can only do more harm than good as

shown by the following quote: “There is no role for them at all. We don’t want the west and we don’t want

the Arabs either.” (Qalqiliyah interview #3)

The majority of the interviewees expressed a desire to see the international community back up

their rhetoric with political instruments. As a young professional working in the PNA stated: “They cannot

keep issuing statement. I don’t want to hear statements anymore. Whether from the EU or Holland or

anyone. Yesterday EU statement of demolitions. What do I do with these statements? These do not cause

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change. What causes a change is when there are measures taken?” (Young Professional #1). The political

tools that the youth sees as legitimate and strong options include a boycott of all Israeli goods or at least

settlement products, calling Israeli leaders to the ICC, enforcing a fairer coverage by the media on the

conflict, and acting as neutral mediator at meetings between the PNA and Israel. Most of the interviewees

were aware that the official position of most western countries is a support of the two-state solution. In

the eyes of the youth these steps would be in line with this point of view. When asked how they would

get the international community to commit to this many did not have an answer, but those that did

referred to social media as a key. This allows them to access the international populations directly. Several

interviewees explained that if they could explain the reality of the situation to the populations of the

western countries it would be enough to change their minds. These populations would in turn vote for

governments that implement these policies and so the situation would change. This requires the Israeli-

Palestinian conflict to be so important to western voters that it would determine their votes. Whether

that is the case is a big question.

The third and final way the youth wish to see the international community get involved is through

military support. They wish to see not only UN forces, but also Arab forces and other nations militaries

stand up to Israel. The very few that support this vision believe the diaspora is a weapon as well. They see

themselves as superior with the support of these institution and the diaspora. One such believer is

Jalazone interview #2: “They must fight the movement, with political, economic and armed measures. They

must deny the existence of Israel. They don’t have a right to live here.”. When asked how this might be

possible no one that was interviewed had a sufficient answer. They claimed the Palestinians had the right

to the land and it was the obligation of the international community to come in and help.

With the role of the international community now clear, it is time to move on to the choice for

violence and what the driving forces are behind this decision.

5.3 The Choice for Violence

Having clearly established what options for collective action there are per the Palestinian youth, the youth

is facing a choice. This choice simply put is between violence and non-violence. The literature review

names three reasons that a social movement might result in political violence: protest cycles,

legitimization of violence, and policing protests. These were present in the reasoning of the Palestinian

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youth. There are two other reasons that have been brought to the light in the interviews: separation and

a romanticized view of violence.

Before, examining these reasons an explanation must be given of what is considered violence and

what is not. Violence knows many gradations, and in this conflict, there have been many different forms

of violence. Everything from fighter jets bombing cities and regions to stone throwing have occurred. For

the sake of this research the definition that is used is dictated by the interviewees. The consensus is that

stone throwing and car ramming at checkpoints are not violence they are protests, although there are a

few that see this as violence already. For this research, everything that exceeds this level is considered

violence. That includes, stabbing attacks, car bombs and the use of guns. Having established this, it is time

to examine the five reasons to support violence according to the Palestinian youth.

5.3.1 Protest Cycles

As indicated by the reviewed literature the history of a conflict has an impact on the type of methods

employed by the social movements in the form of protest cycles. The brief historical overview in this thesis

shows that the conflict between the Israelis and the Palestinians is ever present, but has peaks and valleys

in terms of the intensity of the conflict. Intensity need not refer to violence, but to the level of attention

that the conflict got internationally and how much it captivated both sides at the time. The conflict has

had a relatively low intensity since the Second Intifada, despite some significant, yet minor peaks including

the Gaza wars and what many have dubbed the ‘stabbing intifada’. Due, in large part, to the position the

PNA has taken, by committing to peaceful negotiations. This mirrors the expectations from the literature

review, that a conflict will continue to escalate to more violence until a consorted effort is made by both

sides to minimize the use of violence. The peak of violence was in this case the Second Intifada. Following

this both sides have avoided engaging in a large scale violent conflict.

The reviewed literature is unclear in how this peaceful period will hold up when a permanent solution

remains out of reach. In the case of several individuals a lack of a permanent solution is a reason to re-

escalate the conflict using violence. Formal parties may have made peace, but many do not agree with

this policy, referring back to past waves of conflict and the impact that these had on their lives as a reason

to reengage in violent methods. As indicated by the following quote: “I don’t want to kill Israelis. If they

want to leave this land I will never kill him. But, if he wants to stay here and kills us, they many things that

are bad. I don’t want to kill him or them, but if he leaves this land that is good. If they want to still here I

cannot stay quiet. It is for me. They killed my grandfather, or the dad of grandfather. I don’t want to kill

them that is a critical point. If they want to stay here I can’t.” (Student An-Najah University #2). This

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student clearly indicates that the responsibility for acts committed by the parents or grandparents of

Israelis is passed down the generation per this individual. A son may be held responsible for the acts of

his father. The past cycles of protest have a definite impact on the decision to employ violence in the fight

for independence. Some even go as far as to state: “I don’t believe that all the people who died for the

sake of the Palestinian land should go to waste. I believe we have a responsibility to keep working for what

they originally did.” (student Bethlehem university #3). Responsibility to those that have passed is not the

only way in which protest cycles impact the decision for violence.

A sense retribution, punishment and retaliation also play a strong role. As shown by Student An-

Najah University #1: “(…) if someone slaps you in the face. I don’t expect you to turn the other cheek and

let him slap you. You have to slap him back.” (Student An-Najah University #1). The degree of retaliation

is highly variable. Some wish to see them punished in a judicial way and wish to claim back their land.

Others go a step further as demonstrated here: ”I can’t stand side by side with someone who killed my

ancestors. Not even my ancestors, it’s something inhuman. No one died from my family, but I know people,

really know them closely who’s brothers and sisters died. I know someone who’s friend died in front of

their eyes. He bled to death in his arms. I don’t think it’s reasonable to ask this person; how about we

forget the past and how about we start a new page where we all live together and elect whoever we want;

of course not. To me, killed is the least these people deserve.” (Student Bethlehem #3). For these individual

the idea of peace is impossible and there is no possibility of learning to live together. This group is a

minority on the interviewed population, but is often the clearest in their rhetoric and overpowers those

with a more nuanced view, as was demonstrated in a view group interviews.

5.3.2 Legitimization of violence

Groups that actively encourage the use of violence have a set rhetoric used to encourage members to

engage in violent behavior. This process is referred to as the legitimization of violence. The literature

review shows the choice of violence is often driven by a belief that it is a legitimate and acceptable option.

In the case of the Palestinians there is a general belief that the use of violence is acceptable. Even most of

those that do not encourage its use, or belief that it is productive state it to be a legitimate option.

Interviewees refer to international law. Per international law they as inhabitants of this land have the

right to resist a military occupation, in whatever way they can. This according to the interviewees. In their

eyes, they are acting in self-defense against Israel. In the interviews two questions were raised when this

argument was used.

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The first, is the question of targeting civilians, as this is illegal per International Humanitarian Law (IHL)

(International Commitee of the Red Cross, n.d.). Most of those that belief in the use of violence argue

there is no such thing as a civilian on the Israeli side: “Q: Is there a difference for between soldiers and

civilians on the Israeli side? A: No. There is no difference. They are all trained, have all been in the military

and all have weapons. Violence is acceptable against all of them, because they build their homes on our

civilian privately owned land.” (Qalqiliyah interview #3). Per this rational they are not breaking

international law themselves. This allows them to legitimize the use of violence against what could be

considered civilians.

The second, is the question of violent acts within Israel’s borders, as the use of force within another

nation’s borders is another issue of debate in international law (Mishra, 2016; International Committee

of the Red Cross , 2016). For most this is not an issue. As explained earlier, a part of the identity of the

Palestinians is that this is all their land. Therefore, it is not Palestinians using force in Israel, but Israel using

force in Palestine. While most of the international community considers the occupation of Palestine to

have started in 1967, many Palestinians argue that the occupation started with the inception of Israel, in

1948. These two arguments are actively propagated by groups that support violence, like Hamas. It allows

people to ‘legitimately’ support and use force across all Historical Palestine. Whether these arguments

are reasonable or true is irrelevant for the internal legitimization of the individual.

5.3.3 Policing protests

Although closely related to protest cycles the methods of policing protests have a separate impact on the

choice for violence or nonviolence. Policing protests are continually present in both the ebbs and flows of

cycles. They increase and decrease over time, but most often once employed the choice to shift down to

a less extreme method of policing is rarely made. The ‘stabbing intifada’ has been over since December

2015 and yet the shoot to kill order at checkpoints remains in place a year later. Many interviewees are

angered by the policing methods used, especially those employed by the Israelis. When asked about the

employment of violence on the Palestinian side, many interviewees replied that their violence is nothing

compared to that of the Israelis.

The use of excessive violence is not the only reason that policing protests is identified as a

problem. Many also point to the system of arresting an individual prematurely and locking them away for

excessively long periods of time as a reason for anger. An individual in Jalazone explained:

“A: I have been arrested and injured by them. In 2013 I was arrested and the year before I was injured.

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Q: How, what happened?

A: I was injured during a peaceful demonstration. I was watching.

Q: Where was this?

A: At the entrance of the camp, on the main road. In 2009, I was arrested by the Israelis for 24 days. And

in 2013 it was for 2 years. I was sentenced as a result of concession from other guys.

Q: Did you have a trial at all? How does this process work?

A: They claimed that he was a participant of a political party that is terrorist organization according to

Israel (probably Hamas) and throwing stones.” (Jalazone interview #2)

This individual felt he was locked away for no reason other than stating his views and sharing

these views with others. According to him, and others with similar stories, these practices are violations

of human rights. If the Israelis will not adhere to these norms, why should the Palestinians. This is how

many legitimize their preference for violence. Both this and excessive force used by those policing protests

are used are reasons to engage in violent behavior. This wraps up all the reasons identified by the

literature review. We now move to the reasons not in the reviewed literature, first is separation.

5.3.4 Separation

“I have never spoken to an Israeli and I don’t know if I want to. (There was a small exchange here between

him and the translator, where the translator expressed his disbelieve that he would not be willing to sit

down and speak with them. His point being that you cannot have a solution without them.) I have lost a

very close friend in this conflict, three of my cousins are in jail and it makes it very difficult to be able to

talk to them in a normal way. Maybe I will to talk to one that is not a Zionist, but never can I talk to a

settler.” (Student Birzeit University #3)

This quote illuminates how difficult it is for most individuals to leave the past and engage with the

other side, in this case Israelis. On both sides there have been steps taken that have deteriorated the

casual interaction between the parties. With the wall erected and social deterrents of normalization in

place, it takes a great deal of effort and energy to engage with the ‘enemy’. The following quote shows

that this effort may be key in decreasing the tendency for violence: “(…)2 years ago from now I had not

met any Israeli and never believed that I should. Until I met them and its personally good for me, because

I always want to know how they lived, because if you know your enemy then you can educate yourself for

the conflict. What changed me is when I saw how they reacted, how their attitude changed when they saw

me, how I looked how I react about the situation that happened. Something changed in me. I wondered

what would happen if more Israelis so Palestinians, if they would have another mentality with different

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perspectives. It didn’t happen so far, because they are afraid of meeting Palestinian’s and coming to

Palestine and the Israelis are hopeless of meeting Israelis.” (Student An-Najah University #3). This

student’s narrative clearly indicates that the segregation of people leads to more extreme and radical

ideas about the opponent, like the term enemy is one he barely uses anymore where as he did in the past

a lot.

The statement that separation leads to more willingness to use violence is supported by the fact

that, with one exception, every participant in the research that supports the use of violence has not talked

to an Israeli and is not willing to. This is contrasted by the fact that almost all of those that have engaged

with the other side have indicated a shift to a more passive view, similar to student An-Najah University

#3.

5.3.5 Romanticized view of violence

It was previously stated that the supporters of violent resistance amongst this generation of youths may

have a romanticized view of violence and the success of such forms of resistance. There are two ways that

the romanticizing of violence are identified: the way martyrs are viewed and the perception of successful

resistance prior to the establishment of the PNA.

5.3.5.1 Martyrs

“Q: What is your opinion on celebrating them (martyrs)?

A: Every Palestinian who gives his life for his homeland is called martyr, because they gave up their life

for us. When you decide to give up his life for others then… Don’t think for a second these are happy

celebrations; they are burning inside, they are burning. But it is a way to relief these feeling. They say

thanks god he is a martyr. It’s a kind of religious thing.

Q: And streets being named after him and these types of things. These are not a celebration?

A: That is a celebration as a hero. He is a hero because he gave up his life.

Q: Do you believe that to be right?

A: Yes, he is a hero, because he gave up his life. I want to struggle a different way. It is not easy to give

up your life, I don’t want to do that.” (Young professional #1)

The reference to an individual willing to give up their life for their country as a hero is not a new

one by any means. Most western nations use similar rhetoric when it comes to their soldiers. A distinction

must be made between a soldier in the military and an individual. With military personnel, it is safe to

assume they are acting in line with a strategy as a part of a larger whole. With the individuals in these acts

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the same assumption is not as safe, even though several interviewees would state otherwise. This is the

type of rhetoric that legitimizes the use violence. Even those that belief stabbing attacks to be ineffective

or detrimental, view the individuals that do this as heroes. The idea of being celebrated may get

individuals to commit a violent act. This act may then be as a part of a social movement or as an individual

for purely personal reasons. The interviewees belief that these individuals did this on behave of the nation.

There are news sources and experts that state that some of these individuals are simply looking for a

socially acceptable form of suicide (Walters, 2016)

5.3.5.2 Before the PNA

As has been made clear earlier, there are many that belief the PNA has been the downfall of successful

social movements. They actively suppress them and are, in some eyes, an extension of Israel. For many

the idea that the PNA was better before Abbas, that Fatah was better before the PNA or that the PLO was

better than the PNA, comes down to the movements view on the use of violence. The earlier movements

often encouraged violent resistance or at least did not actively do anything to stop it being employed. This

changed after the Second Intifada. As shown by the following quote: “I have mixed feelings. Some of what

they do is right. Some of what they do is wrong. It is wrong to throw Palestinians in jail is not right. They

do this to people that speak out against the PA. Not for crimes but for talking. It is good that they were

involved in the Second Intifada and that they used force then.” (Qalqiliyah interview #3). The belief is that

without the violent resistance as a threat the negotiations are useless. “They (Palestinian representation

under Arafat) try to have strength points against Israel so they can negotiate, unlike Abu Mazen. He only

negotiates without strength points.” (Student Birzeit University #2). Many believe the use of violence is

rational. Without it Israel has no reason to comply and thus the administration of Palestine must allow

the use of violent resistance to give them power. The issue with this is that Israel has far superior military

capabilities and will not be deterred by violence per Professor Haifa university #1. Those that see this are

reasonable in his eyes. The other are romantics that do not see the reality of the situation.

5.4 The conditions for a movements success

Having examined the reasons why an individual may join a movement and what expectation they have

for these movements, it is time to look at what conditions are required for a movement to be successful.

The literature review states the main reason for a successful social movement is the ability to engage the

required amount of resources, given the presence of a collective identity and the willingness for collective

action of a critical mass. This ability to engage these resources and dependent on political opportunities,

at the three levels: Palestinian, Israeli and International. Besides these conditions, the interviewees add

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the following conditions: distribution of power and framing of the conflict (link to ISIS, and the religious

versus land conflict).

That both the PNA and Israel have policies in place that limit the political opportunities of social

movements has been previously established, in the section on personal reasons for joining a movement.

The political opportunities at the international level have not been discussed at such length. Many

interviewees see the international community as the final chance to have a successful movement, but

admit there are limited political opportunities as the structural opportunities are scarce, given the slow-

moving nature of international politics. as demonstrated by this quote: “I don’t think he (Abbas) can do

any more than he is doing right now. If he does anything else, then the whole world will be acting against

what he does. I have already experienced other ways for a solution, like the armed uprising. Look at what

that gave us, taking into consideration the Israeli power militarily and look at how the world treated us

after that. They want us to act as they impose us, not as we want to. Abu Mazen is also under this

imposition. We are under siege and can’t be in similar power as Israel” (Jalazone interview #1) the

structure of international politics give Palestinians have only two openings for success. One is through

social media as outlined earlier. The second is through diplomacy, although this is not as accessible for

local social movements, it can be strengthened by social movements at an international level. The

previous quote brings to light another issue, the balance of power.

Many interviewees expressed the belief that the political opportunities were limited in Palestine,

but even if the PNA did engage with social movements, and support them actively, there would not be

enough resources available to them to be able to country the Israeli strength. The interviewees stated

demonstrated that Israel has the political power, the economic power, and the military power. Even if the

Palestinians would be willing to embrace the Israelis the Israelis won’t do the same for the Palestinians as

it threatens the very bedrock of their national foundation. Therefore, the Israeli agreement is an

important reason why a movement would be successful or not. The interviewed youth see the only way

to break this balance of power is at the international level through framing. If they can cut off Israel from

international support they feel political opportunities will emerge and more resources will be at their

disposal.

The framing of the conflict in general is crucial in the eyes of experts. Israel attempts to frame this

conflict as one of religion and ethnicity per interviewees. In this frame, Israel has a legitimate claim to the

land, but the Palestinians nearly unanimously agree that this is conflict about land irrespective of religion.

In the current climate, a frame of Jews versus Muslims would also be a threat for Palestinian social

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movements given the international developments in the region and the growth of ISIS. “They (ISIS) are

terrorists. They harm the Palestinian cause. Da’esh claims to be Islamic, and every party representing any

religion harms the Palestinian cause. If we look at the Palestinian conflict as religious, then the Israelis

have a right to this land. I don’t think however that it will ever spread to Palestine.” (Qalqiliyah interview

#5). This demonstrates how the conflict is impacted by ISIS. If the Palestinians are seen as Muslims instead

or Palestinians, then there is a risk their independence movement will be labeled as Islamic terrorism

rather than a fight for independence. This will have consequences for the support of from abroad and the

resources that are available to social movements seeking independence in any form.

5.5 Statistics of the Palestinian Youth

In the previous segments of this chapter interviews with students and experts have been used to examine

the collective identity, the collective actions, the role of the international community, the choice for

violence and the conditions required for a successful social movement in the oPT. The tables below show

how several of the points raised above are viewed by a representative sample of the Palestinian youth.

The first table (table 5.1) outlines the youth support for political parties in the oPT. The following five

tables (tables 5.2-5.6) show the level of support for several options of collective movement. These

statistics allow for a more accurate answer to the research question, regarding a potential third intifada.

Table 5.1 Youth support for political parties in the oPT (West Bank, Gaza, and East Jerusalem)

Political Party Frequency Percentage (%) Valid Percentage

(%)

Cumulative

Percentage (%)

PPP 1 .4 .4 .4

PFLP 10 3.8 3.8 4.2

Fatah 70 27.0 27.2 31.5

Hamas 63 24.4 24.6 56.1

DFLP 5 1.8 1.8 57.9

Islamic Jihad 3 1.2 1.2 59.1

Independent Islamists 7 2.6 2.6 61.7

Independent Nationalists 14 5.5 5.6 67.2

None of the above 84 32.5 32.8 100.0

Total 257 99.2 100.0

Missing 2 .8

Total 259 100

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Table 5.1 shows there are three large groups. As expected Fatah and Hamas get the most support

from the youth, as they are traditionally the largest parties, as stated in the historical overview earlier.

Each of these gets roughly a quarter of the youth populations support. Fatah, is still slightly larger than

Hamas. What is more interesting is that the lack of political representation identified in the earlier parts

of the analysis is very clear in this table as well, with almost a third of the participants indicating they do

not support any of the largest political movements in the oPT. Table 5.1 only shows those parties that got

a vote of support in the questionnaires. Among the parties not getting any votes are the PNI, Fida, and

the third way headed by Salam Feyyad.

Table 5.2 shows the expected result. The majority (65.1%) of the youth in Palestine does not

wish to live together with the Israelis. We do see that the discrepancy is not as large as one would

expected based on the interviews. Despite this being a very uncommon response in the interviewed

population, over one third (see table 5.2) in of the youths support the one state solution, with both

Israelis and Palestinians living together.

Table 5.2 Youth support for abandon the two-state solution and demand the establishment of one

state for Palestinians and Israelis

Frequency Percent Valid Percent

Cumulative

Percent

1) Strongly

support

20 7.7 7.7 7.7

2) support 70 27.2 27.2 34.9

3) oppose 118 45.6 45.6 80.5

4) Strongly oppose 48 18.6 18.6 99.1

5) DK/NA 2 .9 .9 100.0

Total 259 100.0 100.0

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Table 5.3 Youth support for joining more international organizations

Frequency Percent Valid Percent

Cumulative

Percent

1) Strongly

support

74 28.5 28.5 28.5

2) support 121 46.8 46.8 75.2

3) oppose 56 21.8 21.8 97.0

4) Strongly oppose 5 2.1 2.1 99.1

5) DK/NA 2 .9 .9 100.0

Total 259 100.0 100.0

The interviewed population saw the most support for the PNA come for their work in the

international political arena. This is reflected in the statistics of table 5.3. just over three quarters of the

Palestinian youth support joining more international bodies. The interviewees stated this would help

build the legitimacy of the future Palestinian state.

Table 5.4 Youth support for resorting to popular non-violent and unarmed resistance

Frequency Percent Valid Percent

Cumulative

Percent

1) Strongly

support

25 9.8 9.8 9.8

2) support 113 43.7 43.7 53.5

3) oppose 92 35.6 35.6 89.1

4) Strongly oppose 23 8.9 8.9 98.0

5) DK/NA 5 2.0 2.0 100.0

Total 259 100.0 100.0

Table 5.5 Youth support for a return to the armed intifada and confrontations

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In the interviews, it became clear that even those individuals that vote for parties currently

propagating for peace and are actively disarming the Palestinians (for example Fatah), may support a

violent and armed intifada. Tables 5.4 and 5.5 do show an interesting difference with the expectations

from the interviews. While there were some interviewees that stated they supported an armed

movement, almost all stated they supported popular resistance. Yet, in the statistics we see that a larger

group supports an armed intifada than unarmed resistance. These two concepts are not mutually

exclusive, but it is possible that some of the population believe that they are and therefore believe they

had to choose between the two.

Table 5.6 shows the largest deviation from the expectations based on interviews. Most of the

people interviewed stated that they supported the PNA, at least to a degree. The statics tell a different

story. Not only does a large group not support the PNA’s current policies, almost half of the youth

Frequency Percent Valid Percent

Cumulative

Percent

1) Strongly

support

53 20.6 20.6 20.6

2) support 117 45.1 45.1 65.7

3) oppose 76 29.5 29.5 95.2

4) Strongly oppose 10 4.0 4.0 99.2

5) DK/NA 2 .8 .8 100.0

Total 259 100.0 100.0

Table 5.6 Youth support for dissolving the PNA

Frequency Percent Valid Percent

Cumulative

Percent

1) Strongly

support

41 15.8 15.8 15.8

2) support 85 32.7 32.7 48.5

3) oppose 93 35.7 35.7 84.2

4) Strongly oppose 29 11.1 11.1 95.3

5) DK/NA 12 4.7 4.7 100.0

Total 259 100.0 100.0

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population does not support the idea of the PNA and wishes it to be dismantled. In the interviews, only

the PFLP supports and some scarce individuals made such claims. The statistics show that almost half of

the people see the PNA as a hindrance to their goals for the oPT. This finding combined with the previous

statements, make it clear that there is a large group, possibly even a majority amongst the youth that wish

to abandon the Oslo Accords and go down a different path.

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Chapter 6: Conclusion and Recommendations

6.1 Answering the research question

The literature review and the history paint a clear picture of what would be needed for a third intifada to

take erupt. There needs to be political opportunity, frustration amongst the people, a trigger event similar

to those that preceded both the First and Second Intifada, and the freedom from the governing body and

popular leaders to engage in protest. All these elements would need to coincide, although not all are

equally important. In the Palestinian case, the freedom from the PNA/PLO to engage in a strong social

movement is essential, because of the already existing and continual political and physical repression

exercised by Israel. A trigger event is also among the most important currently absent factors. Political

opportunity and frustration are, although not less important, less of a necessary point of focus, as there

are enough individuals that believe they can create their own political opportunity and the frustration is

nearly permanent. A trigger event is therefore needed to spark those who believe they can create political

opportunity into action, and to engage those that are frustrated. Looking at the results of this research

the case could be made for the impending occurrence of a third intifada as well as for it being unlikely for

one to occur in the near future.

There are five arguments that are derived from the results that suggest an intifada may soon

happen. The first is frustration. Before both previous intifadas frustration was high among the Palestinian

population, which is currently the case as well. There is frustration regarding leadership, the PNA, the

occupation, the treatment of Palestinians by the IDF and the progress being made towards a Palestinian

State. These are very similar sentiments to those that fueled the Second Intifada. A strong collective

identity also became apparent in the results. The reviewed literature shows that a social movement

cannot be successful without a collective identity. The third argument is the willingness of the people to

act. If we take the interviewees at their word, many are willing to go to great lengths to achieve their

goals, even if those are not always aligned. Not only do they state their own willingness to act, they also

indicate that they believe many other people share that sentiment. This may indicate the presence of a

critical mass, which is the fourth reason and intifada may occur. Several interviewees stated that given

the opportunity many Palestinians would join a movement for freedom. This is supported by the statistics,

which show a majority would support another armed intifada. This, in turn, is linked to the fifth reason

for a potential third intifada, the believe that a political opportunity can be created, although this is only

the view of the minority of the interviewed population.

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As stated earlier, a case can also be made against the likelihood for a third intifada, for six reasons.

The first of those is that the PNA is actively supporting Israel to stop protests, especially violent ones,

while each of the past intifadas had the support, or at least non-intervention, of the ‘government’ at the

time, whether that was the PLO or the PNA. With two governmental institutions cooperating against

them, it is difficult to see how a social movement could possibly be successful. The second reason is linked

to the first. There is fear among the Palestinians, both of persecution and of any movement not having a

chance of success. According the some this belief stems from a lack of leadership which is the third reason

an intifada may not happen. Both previous intifadas had strong leaders at the heads of organizations, in

Arafat, Marwan Barghouthi11, and several others. According to the interviewed population, there are

currently none with the same ability to mobilize enough resources, including influence in the international

arena, funding for a conflict, and inspiration for the Palestinian population to feed off of. Resource

mobilization, however, is not the only issue. Several interviewees stated that they believe there are simply

not enough these resources available and that there is no way for them to get these at the present

moment. This is due to the international support for Israel and the military capacity of Israel. However,

even if these resources were available, interviewees have stated there is no consensus on what to use

them for. The divide at both political level and, to a lesser degree, the population level makes effective

and efficient resource mobilization difficult, if not impossible. The sixth and final argument in support of

the unlikeliness of a third intifada is the lack of political opportunities. The majority of the interviewed

population feels that they cannot create their own political opportunities, due to a lack of resources, and

also don’t see an opportunity arising any time soon. Even with the death of Abbas, several interviewees

believe this would be handled internally by the PNA. The only way they would be able to imagine a political

opportunity would arise is if there was to be a shift in the position of the international community. This,

however, does not appear likely given the current developments in the Middle East.

Based on these arguments it seems that the stronger case is made by the group that does not

believe an intifada is likely to occur in the near future. There are simply too many changes that must occur.

First, Hamas would have to reconcile with Fatah and the PNA. To achieve this, the international

community must also remove Hamas from the list of terrorist organizations, to allow for more open

discussions and a functioning democratic Palestine. There would have to be a shift on the international

level away from supporting Israel, towards holding them accountable for their actions. Only if this were

to occur, Israel's power over the Palestinian population may be limited in such a way that more individuals

11 The leader of the Tanzim Brigades, a military group associated with Fatah.

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believe an intifada would be successful. The statistics show that most youth would support an intifada,

but supporting one and believing it would be successful are two different things, as was made clear by the

interviewed population. Moreover, leaders must step up who allow for social movements to be

established and thrive. These are a lot of conditions to align in a short window of time. Therefore, this

thesis carefully concludes that a third intifada is unlikely to occur in the near future, if conditions remain

the same. In conclusion, so long as the PNA is led by Abbas and are actively working to suppress social

movements in the oPT, then a third intifada is unlikely to erupt.

At this juncture it is important to note that predicting the future is impossible, and in the past

significant changes have occurred in short periods of time, with very little warning. If the right trigger

occurs at the right time, it is possible to see a major shift on an international scale that could change the

entire dynamic currently at play. Triggers have in the past overcome concepts such as fear, political

repression and rational choice, therefore it is impossible to say with certainty that these conditions will

remain and that a third intifada will not occur.

6.2 Conclusion and Limitations

This thesis set out to answer the question of what conditions would explain for the (lack of) potential for

a third intifada. On the path to answering this research question there were many sub questions that

required an answer. One of these was what might be the best type of literature to help understand the

conflict. Social movement literature proved to be exceptionally helpful in this regard, although it is

unfortunately, as previously stated, affected by western bias. Reflecting on the results of the research, it

becomes clear that almost all of the elements outlined in western social movement literature were

present in the Palestinian case. However, the reviewed literature was not inclusive enough to encompass

all elements of the Palestinian struggle. There were several instances where the interviews revealed new

elements, which were particularly relevant in this case study. A striking example of this were the elements

of segregation and romanticizing violence in the choice to employ violence or non-violence. The definition

of a social movement also proved to be different from the traditional western one in this context, with

political parties not being separate from social movements, but rather one of the major driving forces

behind them.

It was also found that the Palestinian youth do have a common identity, based first and foremost

on the recognition that this is their land. Resistance is a manner of expressing this believe, which surpasses

several segregating lines, such as place of birth, education level, exposure to violence, and political

orientation. This is also where the title of this thesis is derived from. Although there is unity in population’s

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view on the land, there is no clear unity on the aim of collective movement, nor on the methods that

should be employed to achieve these aims. There are those that support a single state for all, a single

state for only Palestinians, a two-state solution and any variation in between. There is a large group which

supports violence and an armed intifada, but very few that are willing to instigate this. Even though there

may well be a critical mass supporting an intifada, getting them started is a tall order in the current

climate. For this strong leadership would be needed. In this thesis, it has been outlined how this leadership

is being actively repressed by the PNA, leading to many calling the authority an obstacle to successful

resistance, and even an extension of the Israeli government. As a result, there are limited political

opportunities for the development of an effective social movement. It appears only a trigger that would

cause a shift in the international political stance on the conflict may limit Israel’s power over the

Palestinians, opening up space for a successful social movement and a third intifada. It is important to

remember that a successful intifada need not be violent one, although given the support for violence it

does seem likely it would be. For the time being, however, a third intifada appears unlikely.

This thesis naturally has its limitations. The interviewed population is by no means representative

of the entire Palestinian population, and although the statistics do help support more general claims they

do not help to understand the thinking and reasoning of people in those regions that were not

represented in interviewed population. Nobody from Gaza was included in the interviews, while in that

region completely different dynamics are at play than in the West Bank. Therefore, Gaza is deserving of

extra, individual attention. There are also some limitations in the interviews, including my appearance and

international background. This may have influenced interviewees to give a different answer than they

would have to a Palestinian interviewer. The fact that I do not speak or read Arabic also limited the quality

of answers in certain interviews, as there was a definite difference in quality between translators,

although they were all competent enough to give adequate translations. The main limitation of not being

versed in Arabic, however, was in the reading materials. It was not possible to include student magazines,

political manifestos or other such materials in the analysis. The final limitation to this thesis and its answer

to the research question is the scope of the thesis. The youth is only a part of the population, and even

though it is a large part, and it would be the most likely to engage in, and instigate, the next intifada, older

generations could also play a significant part.

6.3 Further Research

This thesis made clear choices with regard to what was researched and what was left out. There are a

great many elements that are closely related to the main research question and the case which was

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examined. Many of these elements require further elaboration either to strengthen the conclusions of

this thesis, or to answer closely related questions. The first area of expansion that comes to mind is

conducting similar research in Gaza, which has a completely different structure than the West Bank and

East Jerusalem. Therefore, it is likely that the views of the Gazan youth, and the reasons for them, will

also vary dramatically from those in the other areas of the oPT.

Furthermore, this thesis chose to pay only minor attention to transnational activism and the role

of the media in a possible new intifada and successful social movements. By conducting research within

the Palestinian diaspora and international organizations interested in the Palestinian case one may find

new avenues and get different ideas regarding Palestinian social movements. Other relevant areas for

further investigation include the generation gap in the oPT, the relationship between armed and unarmed

resistance (are they mutually exclusive?), the individual radicalization process, the differences between

political views of Palestinians across historical Palestine, the Israeli youth’s view on the conflict, and the

ideologies and roles of the smaller political movements. One final addition, is a repeat of this research

following the appointment of the next President of the PNA, following Abbas’ death or resignation from

power.

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Interviews12

Finalist of The Next President of Palestine #1

Finalist of The Next President of Palestine #2

Finalist of The Next President of Palestine #3

Interview NRO consultant #1

Interview Young Professional #1

Interview PCPSR Researcher #1

Israeli Youth from YPI #1

Jalazone interview #1

Jalazone interview #2

Jalazone interview #3

Professor An-Najah University #1

Professor An-Najah University #2

Professor Birzeit University #1

Professor Birzeit University #2

Professor Birzeit University #3

Professor Haifa University #1

Professor Hebron University #1

Professor Hebron University #2

Student Al-Quds University #1

Student Al-Quds University #2

Student Al-Quds University #3 (group)

Student An-Najah University #1 (YPI member)

Student An-Najah University #2

Student An-Najah University #3 (YPI member)

Student Bethlehem University #1 (group)

Student Bethlehem University #2

Student Bethlehem University #3

Student Birzeit University #1

Student Birzeit University #2

Student Birzeit University #3

Student Birzeit University #4

Student Hebron University #1 (group)

Wadi Foukin Interview #1

Wadi Foukin Interview #2

Wadi Foukin Interview #3

Qalqiliyah interview #1

Qalqiliyah interview #2

Qalqiliyah interview #3

Qalqiliyah interview #4

Qalqiliyah interview #5

12 For those interested in the transcribed interviews, please contact the author or the supervisor of this thesis.

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Appendix I – Oslo Accord I

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Appendix II – Oslo Accord II

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Appendix III – Sample Interview with coding

Student An-Najah University interview #3

23-06-2016

This interview was conducted without a translator and was recorded.

Background

Q: What is your name age and university?

A: I am …., I have just graduated from An-Najah University national university. I am an industrial engineer.

I was born in 1992 in Nablus. I have lived there all my life. My family are from there. My father and my

mother were both born there and lived there. They worked abroad, but are both from Nablus.

Q: Where abroad did they work?

A: My dad spent 7 years in Romania, to study medicine and then traveled to Paris. My mom she used to

travel regularly every month and week, because she represents 14 Arab countries in her work for children

and women programs.

Q: You are the first interview to have had parents that worked abroad. Are you religious?

A: I am not, obviously (gestures to beer).

Q: Are your parents religious?

A: They are traditionally religious. They are religious, but not extremely.

Q: So, it’s not that they pray 5 times a day?

A: No, they don’t.

Q: It is more of a passive religious thing then?

A: Yes, I told you they are traditionally religious, because they come from religious traditional conservative

families. They are more religious in Ramadan for example. But, mostly they are not.

Q: Are you an only child?

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A: No I am in the middle. I have younger and older brothers. One of them is an engineer and lives in

Nablus. The other one is studying in Birzeit University, accounting.

Q: If you could define yourself in one word, what would that word be?

A: You would stereotype that, but a Palestinian.

Q: What do mean by that?

A: I think this is a normal answer for a Palestinian man who is meeting another international or man from

outside of Palestine. If I was more specific I would call myself, not to compliment myself, very Palestinian.

Like I have a lot of confidence in myself to present a lot of the Palestinian levels and communities.

Q: How would you define your nationality?

A: Palestinian.

Q: That makes sense with your other answer. I sometimes get people that call themselves human or

outgoing or something like that so their definition of nationality remains a question.

The Palestinian Israeli conflict

Q: Looking at the current situation how do you see the conflict developing?

A: With the existence of occupation you mean?

Q: I mean given everything there is now, how do you see this developing?

A: Can you be more specific, do you mean socially, economically, politically?

Q: Umm. Let’s start with attitude in the conflict between Israel and Palestine and then we can get into the

other things later.

A: I think, like in 5-10 years. The people in Palestine will be hopeless and won’t believe in peace anymore.

They have already lost their faith in the leadership and the last thing was the two-state solution which is

now almost expired and so people will invest less in peace. I do not want to say we won’t believe in peace,

but we will invest less in peace. This will generate and attitude to either adapt to live with the status quo,

or drag them to the zone of violence.

Q: Does that mean you also believe the occupation is a fixed thing?

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A: This is the pillar of this thing. The occupation is the thing that is dragging the people out there. If the

occupation is ended, like I disagree with a lot the quotes that the last day of occupation is the first day of

peace. This is too perfect. I’m not a perfectionist. I think the last day of the occupation is first step to start

the first thing of the peace. Like, we have a lot of things to do to achieve peace, social, political, human

aspect problems that we need to solve, before getting to peace. I think the occupation is the main pillar

of dragging people to that zone.

Q: Then you don’t see the occupation changing for the time being?

A: It is. It is going to be more extreme, because it is convincing the people, the Israeli society, that there

is a need of this occupations existence. It secures your state. The people believe this. This is why they are

shifting to the right. I know how dynamic is the political views of the Israelis. They are shifting to the right;

the left is being more pink and believing in things that don’t exist. Most of the people now are supporting

the right governments. Because, they believe the right governments will secure the state. Even if they

want peace they also want their securities. There is this vague perception that the government creates by

either convincing the people that the Palestinians want to kill them or that the Palestinians are going to

violate and peace agreement. So, yeah, the occupation is really affect what is going to happen in the Israeli

and the Palestinian society.

Q: When you say, the leftist side is pink and believes in things that don’t exist, what things do you mean?

A: Ok, I think the left is really hopeful. Let’s be really practical. There is 120 Knesset member; 13 in the

joint Arab list and 6 in Merits. This is how we count if we raise anything in the Knesset. This is how we

count, they will count Merits with them. But I know that the reality in Israel is that there is no peace

coming. Even if they try it is just the left that is criticizing what is happening with the government, but the

majority of the people and the supporters in Israel know this is too good to be true. They believe in Frank

Sinatra I think. Because, it happened lately that the government abandoned every NGO that works to

peace, it started giving red lines to people trying to work towards that. As an example, Mohammed

Mandeni. He is an advisor to Mahmoud Abbas and a lot of other examples like Breaking the Silence and

other NGOs. They you can see organization in Israel that are trying to make people more committed to

this attitude that is create by the government. So, yeah.

Q: It is clear there is an in-depth knowledge. Most of the people I have spoken to have struggled to give

specific examples and answers in these situations.

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A: I have been studying a lot the Israel society to understand how they think. To see if we have an

opportunity to work together. I just started working with this program and I think that I need to study to

really have a chance to do this or not.

Q: Do you then, because you see the occupation is going to get worse or makes the situation worse at

least, what do you think will be necessary to the occupation to be lifted?

A: Do you mean the occupation should be ended or what should be changed, because I can’t answer the

question if it is what should be changed. What should be changed? It should not exist.

Q: Ok, so how do we make it not exist?

A: This is what we are trying to do. We are trying to reach out to the Israeli people, to the Israeli population

and public opinion. To convince them that there are human beings living on the other side, because I know

they are brainwashed. What we think; what we consider the IOP or IOF and they call the IDF. What we

consider as criminals they consider as heroes. I’m not saying that is wrong, it is their identity. Eventually

they are brainwashed systematically from the government of Israel. So, I think we should reach out to the

people who are obliged in believes and ethics to go into the military. We should reach out to those people

and convince them that we are not just numbers or spots you see from your planes and your tanks. We

are people and we want to enjoy our life and enjoy living. We also want the prosperous future of ours.

So, if they see that in us we would cross off a lot of things. They would form pressure groups to pressure

the government or the occupation. In order for it to end. The problem is now different, in terms of there

are two opinions now, there is Israeli left right and middle. Politically from Merits, Lickoud and Labor. And

there is the settlements opinion. This is now a great deal and great issue for Israel. The government is

supporting the settlements. A year ago, I heard an analysis on one of the Israeli channels and it was saying.

Ok we have a BDS problem, how can we avoid the BDS. So, one of the settlers said we are going to have

our own state in Judea and Samaria as settlers and then Israel wouldn’t be boycotted. You would have 2

states.

Q: You would have almost three.

A: We would have three or four considering Gaza now. We have a lot of initiatives and conventions. We

go to Geneva to the Oslo accords and these things. What I am saying exactly is the ideology of settlers

who are trying to annex and to produce this fear to let the people of Palestine to believe there is no state

of yours, there will be no state of yours. There will be just fragmented ghettos of yours. Cities divided by

checkpoints. Your cities are not going to be connected. Your connection will of course be abandoned. This

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goes back to your first question, that is really needed. The attitude of people. When the people see that

you would anticipate how their attitude would be.

Q: If you say that you need to change the Israeli perception, because that is what you are speaking about

correct?

A: Yes, completely right.

Q: How would you go about doing that? What is the best way to do that?

A: I think there is no best way, but there are a lot of approaches to that.

Q: But, if you could decide.

A: I would invite all the Israelis to come to Palestine. To come and see how we live. To see that there is no

incitement in our education. W educate people because we want to be educated. There is no violence in

the streets. We don’t want to kill the Israelis. It’s not about the Jews. We don’t have a problem with

religion. We would respect if you are Jews as religious people or as an ethnicity, but if we have our own

state we don’t care. The Israelis should come to Ramallah to Palestine. If they see we are human beings,

they would totally change their minds. I started to believe in this when I met some Israelis. They were

surprised that there are Palestinian people who spoke, who drink, who play basketball, who weed. They

don’t see that really. They don’t believe that. The only thing that, like, if you go to Israel and ask them

about the Palestinian hobbies they would say that they like to dig tunnels, they like to throw rockets to

bomb themselves, because they have been educated like that. They are the ones who have this incitement

in their education system. So, if I have the chance to decide. I think I would go to the approach of

convincing the Israeli society that they are being brainwashed and they should be more curious. That it is

in their interest to end the occupation, because the people will no longer think of the Jews as good people.

If the occupation exists, they would see that the Jews are trying to do what happened to them in the

Holocaust to another people. When they see that their tragedy is being reflected on another nation I think

they would stop. Especially when this nation has the legitimate right and privilege to live on this land. The

land, if I want to be more specific, I believe we have all this land. From the river to the sea. But we have

made compromises so we can live in peace, so 1967, 1948 to 1967, 1973, 1988, 2001 and then the Oslo

accords, we have a lot of peace agreement. But I believe we made our decision in Oslo and now we want

Palestinian land our state with a just right of the plight of refugees, with the right to set borders, this is

what we want. But the Israelis don’t believe in that because their government is brainwashing them that

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we want to violate all these rules and we want to kill them eventually. I think no it is not in our interest to

do so.

Q: You say that our land is from the river to sea. So basically, that would be Gaza, West Bank and what

now is Israel, correct? (nods) Do you then believe that Israel has a right to exist?

A: I believe we have signed. I don’t want to be whatever he has said. I don’t want to be like this man who

is not giving his own personal view. I’m saying we have signed something and we should stick to it.

Anyway, it is a matter of perspectives. There are two narratives, the Israeli one and the Palestinian

narrative, I would say my narrative, that we are promised and we are the chosen people of god for this

land, we have been here for thousands of years. I am not going to be committed to the narrative of my

ancestors of the history. Eventually I think both nations should compromise to live in peace. I think yes,

we have the right to live from river to sea, but I still also believe Israelis existed and should have its border

and its prosperous future eventually yes.

Q: Would it matter to you if there was one state, but everyone was treated equally. Would that be an

acceptable solution?

A: Equal, so there would be no second-class citizens, then I think this would be the perfect solution. If

equally.

Q: So, you don’t feel like the Israeli population needs to per se leave?

A: No, no, no. If we have this proposition of making a one state in which the Palestinians and the Israelis

and the Palestinian citizens of Israel and all other ethnicities and other religious communities to live

equally in this state, with the write to vote the right to election and the right to do everything equally. I

think that this is the perfect solution now. I would work for that more than the two-state solution by the

way. Yeah.

Q: Do you think that Palestinians can achieve any kind of peaceful solution on their own? Two-state, one-

state doesn’t matter, just some form of tangible solution? Without the international community, without

these foreign entities coming in, without the UN and these kinds of organizations.

A: To achieve the vision of the Palestinians?

Q: Or just a form of peace and what that would be if you think it is possible.

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A: No, I don’t think so. I believe the Palestinians don’t have the power the Israelis do. If I had the power

and I think that I have right to take this land I wouldn’t give any meter of it. This is Israel it has the power

and Israel thinks that it has the right to have this land so why would they give this up, so I don’t think they

would compromise a single square meter of the historical land of Palestine eventually. This is a political

term but. I think the Palestinians can achieve something with the international law which applies all over

the world, but this would take hundreds of years.

Q: That would be only the Palestinians? You wouldn’t need the international community for that?

A: I think we need them for that.

Q: What is their role?

A: The Palestinian state was created mainly by convincing the international community that we are human

beings that are living on this land, with this dispute, with this conflict, who need to be recognized as a

nation with a state with a right to freedom of movement, with a right to life. When they are convinced

they convince their governments and their governments change it. So, eventually the international

community has a lot of influential part to do with is. Basically, the political and official one as I said. And

then they can help with building the culture, the economy, the social presence and more the attitude of

the people. That should be, like we have been living in this conflict for more than 100 years. I don’t believe

that this conflict started in 1948 it started in 1918. When Belfour gave the promise to the Israelis. I think

we should over step this thing with the help and support of the international community.

Q: Very specifically, what would you expect them to do and what do they need to do to come to solution?

A: This is a really generic question, because I can talk in terms of the international law or I can talk in all

spaces like the US and the OQ. So, I think that states should oblige Israel to commit to the international

law.

Q: How would they go about doing that?

A: They would like cut off the impunity that Israel have. They would stand up and cut their tie with Israel

financial or even emotionally. If I talk about peace, then there should be negotiations between the

Palestinians and the Israelis there should be more comprehensive objectives that should apply. A

framework that should not be changed ever. Lines that should not be crossed and timelines that should

be upheld. We have signed Oslo and in 1999 we should have had our own state. We have passed this date

by 17 years and we still have no state.

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Q: It is interesting to me that when I say international community, everyone jumps to the US and the EU.

No one says anything about the Arab countries, is there a role for the Arab countries to play here?

A: I think should, but I don’t think they will, because the Arabs now have their own problems, starting

from Egypt, Iran, Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, everywhere. The Middle East, I don’t want to talk about a conspiracy

theory. Basically, the Arabs are now really fucked up, this is off the records (both laugh). They are in a lot

of trouble now. I think they have a lot of interests with the international community, that they would help

Palestine through the international community. As an example, Qatar and the Emirates would support

the Palestinians through other countries, through political leaders that they feel should be in charge,

through the states, through the EU, whatever. Jordan has always been supportive, but they can’t cross

the lines because they have their own agreements with other countries. Egypt, have their own internal

security and their own internal problems. They are very supportive and always have been, especially in

Gaza. Now they can’t play a big role because of the problems that are existing. Mainly the biggest problem

I believe the biggest problem is ISIS.

Q: Normally I bring up ISIS near the end, but you bring it up now. An organization like ISIS, does it have an

influence on the conflict here beyond taking attention away from it? Let’s start with the question, is there

a foundation from ISIS in Palestine?

A: No. It will never exist in Palestine. ISIS does not represent Islam at all. The Palestinian Islamic movement

in Palestine is not related to ISIS. If ISIS is by any chance going to be in the region they would kill every

Islamic person in here, because they think we are out of Islam. So, no, there is no organization here that

represents ISIS or will exist. The type of not Islam that ISIS is will definitely not exist in Palestine in 100

years, in a 1000 years.

Q: That is a very comforting thought. Do you think that the ISIS situation changes or influence the

perception of the outside world on the Palestinian movement?

A: Of course. You mean that the International community would view the Palestinian situation wrong

because the majority of the Palestinians are Muslims?

Q: That is what I am getting at.

A: Of course, of course. Not just the Palestinians, but all the Islamic world. 57 Islamic states. I can give you

this answer for whatever question about ISIS. If I was given the opportunity to let ISIS end the Israeli state

and give me my Palestinian state, I would reject that. I think it I am going to have my state I would have

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it with my own human values. ISIS doesn’t have any human values in it. It doesn’t represent any religion,

not even Islam. I mean many Palestinians, not just me, mostly the Palestinians, would not accept that ISIS

should play any role in Palestine. If they were given the chance to the participation of ISIS to help the

Palestinian cause. They would reject that, because eventually we would end with another occupation.

One against the Islam. In the perception of the Palestinians, the Islamic Palestinians at least.

Q: Ok, A very comprehensive answer. You are also the first person to understand where that question

came from. Everyone assumes that I mean Hamas when I ask that question and I don’t. I mean exactly

what you said what you said in that I think there is a relationship between the two. Do you believe there

is a role for violence to be played in the conflict between Israel and Palestine?

A: Be more specific, I can’t follow.

Q: Have you ever participated in any kind of violent demonstrations or a demonstration that was initially

peaceful or that turned violent?

A: No, but I need to make it clear that violence in the eyes of Israel is different that violence in the eyes of

the world. Because, Israel would consider throwing a rock as violence. I don’t want to say it’s not a violent

action, but its different than holding a gun or throwing rockets. Mostly I would support in the peaceful

demonstration that to go for violence. Of course, I have participated in 100s of demonstrations that have

children and youth that throw rocks, but they were shot at. Like many of colleagues in the university they

were shot at similar demonstrations. What I used to do was holding flags to try to set thing in front of the

soldiers to make it clear; I am not going to be violent, I don’t want to be violent and you should not be as

well. I try to talk to them. Eventually they would throw the tear gas and do whatever they can to

disseminate this demonstration, so the violence in terms of the eyes of the Israeli government is any

Palestinians, any gathering of Palestinians heading towards any entity of the Israeli occupation.

Checkpoints, settlements, whatever it is. So, there is no role for violence I think violence will not achieve

anything, in terms of a solution. But, we need again to define the terms violence, because sometimes it is

legitimate for the Israelis, when it is systematic by the IOF.

Q: So, this is what I mean by violence. I think there is, in terms of an uprising there is already a sort of

gradation to it. I would agree with you that throwing rocks doesn’t qualify as a violent uprising. But when

I talk about something like the Second Intifada, that would be a form of violent uprising, when you talk

about car bombs and these types of situations. Then there are the more military type actions, I would say

that as much as Hamas say they support the more, what the west would call, terrorist actions, I would say

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they are more supportive of military action. Do you think either one of those can be effective or is there

no room for either?

A: Again, I will say it. I and the majority of the Palestinians will denounce any kind of violence, of course

car bombs, putting bombs in busses, killing civilians and using this kind of violence against Israelis, but the

international laws gives us the right to resist. I’m not saying we should carry weapons, but when you go

to what happened in Gaza. The Palestinians now have this rule. Every 7 years, there is another intifada in

the West Bank and every 2 years there is another war against Gaza. So, Gaza is this place 60km surrounded

with borders, that take almost 20 kilometers from that 60 squared. So, what I see in the last war,

statistically because I am an engineer, 2200 Palestinians in Gaza were killed, mostly civilians, hundreds of

thousands were refugees left without food, water and education. What I see is 10,000 home units bombed

and dropped to the ground. Now there is a debate in the US whether what happened in Gaza from Hamas

is terrorism or not. Was it a war or was it an aggression? I would call it an aggression, because there is no

balance of power between Israel and Gaza or Israel and Palestine in the end. But what happened is, I

blame it in the beginning on the unilateral withdrawal from Gaza. Israel could have passed out Gaza to

the PA, but this is not in Israelis interest. The terrorism and violence that is generated from Gaza is a very

generic word as well, because we should consider if it is war or not. Anyhow I denounce any violence at

all. It will not be productive to the Palestinian cause. I now believe that Palestinians now see that the

violence and these actions will not be productive, because we have been trying a lot and it did not work.

Even if we are convinced it is the only we believe it is not productive anyway.

Internal Palestinian conflict

Q: Normally I now jump into the role of the youth in this conflict, but first I would like to go more internally

into Palestine. Do you feel represented by the PA?

A: I partially do. But I think, it could be better. If we have elections, local government, parliamentary,

presidential elections. It could be more legitimate to the Palestinians. As a youngster, I think no. As a

Palestinian I think yes, but as a youngster no. I think the participation in all those governments is really

clear and not influential. It’s just like, we are not represented and now we are trying to be more

represented. I think in October there are going to be local elections on the 8th of October and now I think

that the youth will participate and formulate their own lists to be nominated. They would not accept to

be represented by 1 in 15 in the elections.

Q: Do you feel that there is a party that represents you?

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A: Yes, Fatah.

Q: Do you feel there is enough freedom to start a new party?

A: No.

Q: Do you think there should be?

A: Yes.

Q: When you say there isn’t enough freedom, how is it limited?

A: By the people themselves. Why I choose Fatah is because I think Fatah is not and doesn’t apply any

ideology and with this it holds the majority of the Palestinians, the atheists, the Muslims, the ignorant,

the agnostics, the Buddhists, the Samaritans, the Jews, a lot of people. I think there should be another

movement formulated by the youth that does not apply any ideology as well, but it should be more

involved with the international community. I think we should have a movement with Palestine that hold

members from the international community. In the past there was it existed in Fatah. We had members

from the EU, from the Chinese.

Q: Do you mean Palestinians who live there or?

A: No, I mean people form there that believe in the Palestinian cause. I think another party should exist

without an ideology. It is limited by mainly the people, because the people are not open up to this, SO,

far they are not. The easiest way to the brain is religion, the easiest way to life is socialism, the easiest

way to money is capitalism. So, people are not opened up to choose no ideology in the party. But also the

existence of Hamas and Fatah as the main powerful parties also limits the formulation of a new party of

course. I agree with that. But, what the main thing is the people themselves.

Q: So, do you think that the PA plays a role in… I have heard stories of how people at universities have

been arrest, not only by Israelis, but also by the PA. Why is that? Where does that come from?

A: From the problems between Hamas and Fatah. Mainly the people from Hamas who get arrested in the

West Bank and the people form Fatah in Gaza. But I think this doesn’t come from nowhere. I have been

in this debate, because in the Universities of course Hamas people say they are arrested for nothing, for

being Hamas. This is what they claim. But I think there is also a law that applies to all the Palestinians and

eventually they will be in jail and they wouldn’t be arrested if they didn’t have money that isn’t explained

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by any economy, there are weapons, so, if I want to answer your question. I would say the PA does not

play a role in limiting democracy, but the conflict between Hamas and Fatah does.

Q: Does that mean that power consolidation, that both parties are doing, is the problem? (nods). You say

They arrest each other, but if they are part of those parties, then they are not starting a new one. What

about the people that have branched of these parties to start something new and they get arrested?

A: There hasn’t been any initiative like that so far. Because I would go to my first answer that people have

lost hope in peace and that people don’t have the courage to start this. They are not, we don’t have this

culture of startups. So, we can’t even politically think of a startup, whether it is a new movement or it’s a

party. But, what I think is that it has different entities. The universities, the work environment, the local

councils, but it is not consolidated yet. If it would be there would be people to support it, but they haven’t

initiated this so far. This is what I believe.

Q: So, if you were to describe the role of the youth in the resolution of the Israeli Palestinian conflict?

A: The youth in Palestine or also in Israel. (Palestine first) I think the youth should be freed from their

leader’s opinions, Especially in Fatah and Hamas. The youth in these parties are basically hypnotized to

do whatever the leaders say. So basically, the youth should create this think tank. Let’s take it from here.

They youth in Fatah are represented by Fatah. Fatah drives the PLO, the PLO and the PA are driving

Palestine so if any of the Fatah youth would describe the solution for this conflict they would describe it

with, yeah, I want the two-state solution with the fundamentals of east Jerusalem, with 67 border, solving

the plight of the refugees, the prisoners and whatever. The youth should create their own vision to the

solution, especially in Palestine. There should be such a movement that joins the left, the PFLP, Hamas,

Fatah and other Islamic people, ideologist. So, what should happen in the beginning, we need to create a

vision of ours. As long as we belong to just this blind leaders, we will then be just as useless as our leaders.

Q: Does that mean that in your opinion the youth parties are the same as their formal parties? That there

is no difference?

A: Of course, yes. Definitely yes, 100% yes. In the universities, everywhere. Whenever there is a youth

party you should understand that they belong to the leadership they do not represent themselves. I would

say that more for Fatah than Hamas. In my university, we have the student unions elections where the

students of An-Najah University vote for 81 student council members. So, in 2013, we had 40 something

as Fatah, Hamas had 30 something and the left parties had less. So, what happens is that the 81 go into a

room they would elected 13 including the president who represent the 81 who represent the 22,000. (So,

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kind of like a cabinet). Hamas did not join this meeting. What happened is, by the law of the student union,

2/3 of the votes go the winning party.

Q: So, then Fatah goes from 40 to about 60 seats.

A: Of course, and Fatah has nominated 13 members including the president. I was one of the people

against that list. That list was just nominated by the leadership and I didn’t believe in those people.

Therefore, I am saying there are also people in Fatah against Fatah policies. This also exists in Hamas. So,

we can achieve something. We can’t just be eye blind and follow our leaders where they want to go.

Q: Do you have a problem with religion being a part of a political system?

A: Not really. Of course I am a secular. I am a secular, because I am part of Fatah. I think that the Islamic

people that want to be in politics want to involve religion, but they have the right. I am a secular, so

personally I have a problem with this, but other people do not and they have the right to be represented

in the political system by their own views, so that means religion as well.

Q: To what degree, because this is the image that is put out there a lot. The Jews versus the Muslims. To

what degree do you feel the Palestinians are the Muslim people?

A: To zero degree. This is not a religious conflict. It has never been and it will never be. The Israelis are

trying to drag it into that zone. I always to talk to Christian people, Muslim people, Jewish people,

Samaritans and also Israelis to convince them that this is not a religious conflict. It should never be

religious. Palestinians have a lot of ethnicities and never had a problem with these different perceptions

of religion. But for the Jews it’s a claim from go that they are the chosen people and promised this land.

What drives me crazy is when you talk to the Jewish people they would say that Jews are not a religious

community. They are an ethnicity. They would compare that you are Arabs and we are Jews. What

Palestinians perceive is that Jews are a religious community. This is a problem I think some Palestinians

believe it is a religious conflict. It shouldn’t be and will never be. I don’t agree with the thing that Jews and

Muslims are the base for this conflict.

Q: Ok. An-Najah University hasn’t had elections in two years, right? (yes) and you voted Fatah, but was

against the list? (Yes). When you say that you explained your view on the solution, the fact that the Israelis

should be invited over to see that you are human. Why do you think that hasn’t happened yet? Why hasn’t

there been a resolution yet? Why haven’t the Palestinians come together as you have also said that they

need to?

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A: Ok, so I’ll go from the point of explaining that if I was in charge, it’s not the thing is invite the Israelis. I

want the Israelis to see the Palestinians, who they are, where they live, what they teach, how are they

educated, what is their normal life like. You ask why, it’s because 2 years ago from now I had not met any

Israeli and never believed that I should. Until I met them and its personally good for me, because I always

want to know how they lived, because if you know your enemy then you can educate yourself for the

conflict. What changed me is when I saw how they reacted, how their attitude changed when they saw

me, how I looked how I react about the situation that happened. Something changed in me. I wondered

what would happen if more Israelis so Palestinians, if they would have another mentality with different

perspectives. It didn’t happen so far, because they are afraid of meeting Palestinian’s and coming to

Palestine and the Israelis are hopeless of meeting Israelis. This is because of the leaders of both countries.

I blame for Israel, because I think that Mahmoud Abbas is the best peaceful leader that Israel has ever

had to make peace with. I blame Netanyahu and his government. I think he is misleading his government

so eventually if the Palestinian public opinion and the Israeli public opinion had somehow met in a point

we would be more close to the solution, but as long as we have this leadership they will not meet, because

I told you Israelis are afraid and the Palestinians are hopeless of this cause.

Q: Do you think that the public opinion between the Israelis and the Palestinians is closer together than

the political?

A: What do you mean?

Q: I have heard this described as a higher political conflict and not a people’s conflict. Do you think that

the people themselves have a much more similar mentality towards the conflict than the political leaders

do?

A: Yes. Of course. They have because the leadership is more expired in terms of legitimacy and the people

you know in Fatah, Hamas and other parties they have come to the point that they want to end this

conflict. But as I told you before the people are still represented in parties by their leadership, so they

meet at, the Palestinian public opinion meets at the point that they want to change their leaders. The

Israeli public opinion the meet at the point at the point that they also want to change their leaders and

this is where I think the two should meet with new leadership for both nations.

Q: So, you don’t think that either side is represented by their leadership.

A: Yes of course.

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Q: Ok, enough formal questions. Thank you, now let’s have a beer and relax for a bit.